BITCOIN at Key Support – Ready to Bounce to $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading at a key demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support within the ascending channel. The recent retracement has brought the price back into this area, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. The confluence of the support zone and the ascending trendline suggests that buyers may step in to regain control.
If price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish continuation toward the $94,000 level, aligning with the channel’s midline and the next major resistance. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish bias and signal a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increasing buying volume, before considering long positions. A breakout above minor resistance levels along the way could further strengthen the bullish outlook.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
1-BTCUSD
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – Bearish Outlookhello guys.
Market Structure & Pattern
Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge, with lower highs indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The price is testing the ascending trendline support, which, if broken, could lead to further downside.
Anticipated Move
A short-term bounce may occur, but a rejection from resistance is expected.
BTC is likely to break below support, leading to a move toward the $80,000 - $81,000 demand zone.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $89,200 – $90,000 (Potential rejection area)
Support: $85,000 (trendline), then $80,000 - $81,000 (target zone
)
Confirmation & Invalidations
A confirmed break below the trendline supports the bearish outlook.
Bullish invalidation: A strong breakout above $89,200 - $90,000 could shift momentum back to the upside.
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Conclusion
The current structure suggests a bearish breakdown, with a target of $80,000 - $81,000 unless resistance is broken. Monitoring price action at key levels is crucial for confirmation. 🚨
#BTC/USDT This level is important...BTC is currently trading below the 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA in the 4-hour chart.
This is not ideal for the price action, and $93k has now become a strong resistance level.
The pattern appears to be setting up for a breakout soon. While it won’t be easy, it’s entirely possible we break to the upside.
If there’s a break below, we could see a dip to $73k.
Do I think the bear market has already started? Definitely not!
I’ll keep you updated, so follow and share this chart with your friends.
Thank you!
#PEACE
(BTCUSD) – Bearish Continuation or Institutional Accumulation?Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, struggling to break above resistance. The price has rejected the upper boundary and could continue its downtrend toward $72,000 - $73,000 if support around $83,000 fails.
Key observations:
• Lower highs & lower lows confirm a bearish structure.
• A break below $83,000 - $82,000 could accelerate selling pressure.
• The next major support zone is $72,000 - $73,000.
Fundamental Analysis – Institutions and Governments Increasing Reserves:
• The U.S. government now holds around 200,000 BTC (~$17 billion), primarily seized from criminal cases. Their decision to maintain these holdings instead of liquidating suggests a potential shift in long-term Bitcoin adoption.
• MicroStrategy continues to accumulate BTC, now holding 423,650 BTC (~$42.43 billion), reinforcing corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
• Coinbase now custodies 12% of the total Bitcoin supply, making it the largest Bitcoin custodian. This highlights institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
• Despite these bullish fundamentals, ETF inflows have slowed down, and macroeconomic uncertainty (such as potential Fed rate hikes) could put pressure on Bitcoin in the short term.
White House Crypto Summit 2025Today on March 7th the White House will host a Crypto summit for the first time. This summit is expected to host
many prominent figures in the space, here are some of the main ones:
Michael Saylor Founder of Strategy.
● David Bailey CEO of Bitcoin Magazine.
● Matt Huang Co-founder of Paradigm.
● Zack Witkoff Co-founder of world liberty financial
● SEC Chairman Paul Atkins
● Changpeng Zhao (CZ) Co-founder of Binance.
● Kyle Samani Managing partner at Multicoin Capital.
● Anatoly Yakovenko Co-founder of Solana.
● Charles Hoskinson Co-founder of Cardano.
● Sergey Nazarov Co-founder of Chainlink.
● Brian Armstrong CEO of Coinbase.
● Vlad Tenev CEO of Robinhood.
● Arjun Sethi CEO of Kraken.
● Kris Marszalek CEO of Crypto(.)com.
● Brad Garlinghouse CEO of Ripple.
Trump is expected to sign executive orders at 3PM EST during the summit but what these orders are is not confirmed as of yet. I would speculate the "Strategic Reserve" including BTC,ETH,SOL,XRP & ADA would be an EO in some capacity as all of the founders/CEOs of those projects are in attendance. Perhaps regulatory framework, a tariff based system to reward US based crypto projects? In truth the specifics are unpredictable.
What we do know is that each of the major announcements have been sell the news events, as the saying goes "Buy the rumor, sell the news" and that has been true so far. Will this be a repeat? This summit so far has not had a rally going into this event, the charts show that BTC and the broader market have pulled back and retested last years chop range high after a liquidity sweep of previous ATH. Altcoins fairing worse than Bitcoin but structurally very similar. I do think the bearish structure of the HTF chart has many worried, sentiment is very low and many see the sell off continue. Either this is a genius way to acquire cheaper coins for the upcoming reserve or many will be caught offside or sidelined.
For now I am not taking sides, there is no clear read on this event for me but I can guarantee huge volatility on the low time frames, whether this leads to a meaningful move on the high time frames is yet to be seen.
BITCOIN Same bottom, different year.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has formed a Triangle pattern of Lower Highs (Resistance) and Higher Lows (Support), following the February 28 Low. The bullish confirmation will be given if the price breaks above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) but this already looks like a Bottom formation, similar to the Triangle patterns formed around August 2024 and September 2023.
Those were the major bottoms (so far) of the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle and it won't be surprising at all if 2025 has its own now that will drive BTC to its eventual Top towards the end of the year.
Both rallies that followed the 2023 and 2024 Triangle break-outs, reached at least their 1.786 Fibonacci extension. As a result, this gives us a minimum medium-term Target of $120000 in the event the 4H MA200 breaks.
So do you think this is a standard Bull Cycle Triangle bottom formation? And if yes, is $120k the immediate Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN may take 1 month to form bottom but upside is huge.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the 1 stdev below following February's pullback.
With the 1day RSI rebounding after turning oversold, this reminds us of all the previous major Lows of the current Bull Cycle.
Those took around 1.5 - 2 months to be priced, so don't be susprised if Bitcoin doesn't rise before mid April.
The upside until the end of the year remains huge however and if it 'only' tests again the Mean MM, it can reach $140k.
If it approaches the 1 stdev above, the estimated value can be as high as $180k.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTCUSD: Bottom formed. Road to $150k started.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.811, MACD = -265.000, ADX = 36.155) as it recovered some losses from last week. The most important outcome is that both last week and so far the current one, the 1W candle entered the long term Support Zone comprised of the 1W MA25/MA50 and rebounded over it. This is the Zone that has produced all HL bottoms of the 2 year Channel Up. As the 1W RSI is also about to enter its multiyear Buy Zone, we expect the bottom to be formed within 4-6 weeks max and then start the standard +97.97% rally it printed on all three prior bullish waves. The trade is long, TP = 150,000.
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BTCUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 86085
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 88897
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC LONG TP:88,000 08-03-2025Bitcoin is currently showing signs of accumulation, and it is anticipated that there will be a manipulation towards the 85,000 - 84,000 zone before making a strong upward move.
We are taking this trade based on a 1-hour timeframe, so we should expect to see results within a maximum of 10 to 16 hours. If the expected outcome does not materialize within this period, the analysis will be considered invalid.
Be sure to follow me to stay updated and continue profiting!
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Entry Confirmed with a Tight Stop...In this video, I walk you through a recount using AriasWave and explain how we can set up a strong trade entry with a tight stop.
The key support level for this trade is at 86,022—if the price drops below this, the trade idea would no longer be valid.
We've already received confirmation with a break above 86,500. Stay tuned for updates, as I’ll provide further insights if the price moves above 95,065, confirming the larger pattern.
AND THESE LITTLE PIGGIES CRIED WAAH WAAH ALL THE WAY HOMEIf you haven't realized yet or maybe you all cant read properly but your hopes of getting into the crypto reserve are long gone. Not only that but they intend to sell the forfeited and seized digital assets other than Bitcoin to buy more Bitcoin. REJECTED!
BTCUSD – Descending Broadening Wedge With Key Buy ZonesBitcoin is trading within a Descending Broadening Wedge on the 6-hour timeframe, a pattern that typically signals increasing volatility before a potential breakout. The price is fluctuating between two diverging trendlines, with several critical buy levels forming along the structure.
Descending Broadening Wedge Resistance Breakout at 94,543
The upper boundary of the wedge, around 93,000 to 94,500, serves as dynamic resistance. If Bitcoin pushes through this level, it could trigger a breakout toward the first target at 108,000 and possibly extend to 124,407. Volume has been increasing near resistance, indicating strong market participation.
Ascending Trendline Rebound at 84,536
This level aligns with an ascending support trendline inside the wedge. Bitcoin has previously bounced from similar trend structures, making this an important zone to watch for a potential reaction.
Double Bottom Possibility at 79,006
The 79,000 level has acted as support in previous price movements, creating a possible double bottom scenario. If the price stabilizes here, it could be an early sign of trend reversal within the wedge.
Descending Broadening Wedge Support at 75,092
The lower boundary of the pattern, around 75,000, remains a major support level. This is where previous downward movements have found buying interest, making it a crucial point for potential price reversals.
Stop Loss at 69,000 to 68,000
A drop below this range would indicate that the wedge structure has failed, opening the possibility for further downside movement.
Bitcoin remains within a widening consolidation phase, with increasing volume showing heightened market activity. As long as the price respects the wedge boundaries, these key levels present potential opportunities for positioning ahead of a breakout.
Why I shorted BTC?In last weekend’s crypto analyses, I mentioned that many altcoins were in a support zone, with a strong chance of a reversal from that level.
Shortly after I published my analyses, the announcement regarding the federal crypto reserve was released, triggering a massive pump.
However, this surge was short-lived, and prices quickly retraced back to their initial levels. For me, this is not a good sign—when major positive news fails to sustain gains, it often signals weakness in the market.
Now, regarding Bitcoin: although its price remains above the announcement level, it has struggled to hold gains above the 91K support level and continues to break below it.
I don’t believe prices are dropping just to set up a massive bull run for everyone to buy in—this looks like a bearish signal to me.
As a result, I have shorted BTC and expect a decline to 75K. That said, with my stop-loss placed above the initial pump’s high, I’m currently running a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, which—regardless of the outcome—is ideal in my book.
Bitcoin: 74k-72k Line in the Sand!Hello everyone!
First of all happy international women's day to all the ladies out there! (Don't forget to get flowers guys)
Bitcoin is approaching a key area
with extremely strong support, but several indicators also mark the line in the sand for the current bullmarket for Bitcoin.
Weekly
- Fib: 38.2% of the complete trend retracement (15.5k - 109.4k)
- MA: 50 SMA (75.4k)
- S/R: 70k-74k Strong supply/resistance area
A consistent pattern emerges on Bitcoin's chart: breaks below the 50-week SMA (black line) after an all-time high (red arrows) have reliably indicated bear markets. Similarly, reclaiming the 50-week SMA (green arrows) has historically confirmed bull runs toward fresh all-time highs.
3D
- Fib: 61.8% of the retracement from previous range low to current high (49.5k - 109.4k)
- MA: 100 SMA (77k)
On the 3-day chart, the 100 SMA has acted as strong support during this bull market. Bitcoin revisited the moving average on 5 individual occasions and bounced off it. Despite briefly closing below it twice, BTC quickly reclaimed it with the following candle.
A potential correction to $70,000 is possible for Bitcoin. To maintain the bull market, it's crucial for bulls to find support there and drive the price back above the 3-day 100 SMA and the weekly 50 SMA.
Happy trading!
Pat
Short Term Could Drop Be Careful Here - Possible $100Some bad news came out. Bybit got hacked for a lot of Ethereum. How this happens I dont understand but more than likely an inside job. These run out a basement exchanges are dangerous never leave your crypto on an exchange, NONE OF THEM.
Anyways I dont like the break of this rising wedge or potential bear flag. If this deosnt break back into the wedge and close in it then we could se another drop to about 100 or so if the measured move plays out. Be cautious here.
Not Financial advice.
Bitcoin, Trump & Executive Order —$500,000 To $1,000,000 In 2025News: President Donald Trump Signs Executive Order Pimping Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency Market (BOOM!)
Headline: Bitcoin and President Trump in Talks To Support All Cryptocurrency Market Players; Traders & Participants
Summary: Mr Trump Is The New Satoshi. We Have A Cryptocurrency President, Bitcoin Is Going Up!
Headline: Bitcoin Jumps $10,000 As President Trumps Signs Executive Order In Support Of Master Ananda And All Cryptocurrency Holders
News: Bitcoin Is The Future Of Money & Is Here To Stay (The Money Monopoly Is Over!)
__
The headlines says it all. The news says it all. The chart says it all. Bitcoin is going up.
Everything is being prepared for a massive rise toward $500,000 to $1,000,000 in this bull-market bullish phase. Growth will be off-the-chart.
There will be no need to buy Bitcoin, you will need it to pay.
Would you like to pay rent? Your landlord will ask, "Do you have Bitcoin?"
If the answer is no, you will have to look for a new apartment.
Would you like to pay your bills? The system will ask, "Bitcoin or Ethereum?"
When you choose fiat, the system will give an error, "Error 404: Dinosaur Money No Longer Accepted."
Would you like to pay taxes? The system will say, "Cryptocurrency Accepted, Including Memecoins."
This is the future. The future is now. Money already evolved. Reality is no longer the same.
Before a major rise, there is always some bearish action. It is great that yesterday closed red and today starts red. This means that we will have big green when the news is released about today's political event.
Pump Bitcoin to the moon. Pump it, pump it, pump it!
We are ready for growth.
The year is 2025.
Namaste.
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing.
BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop.
Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc.
On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day...
We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO.
In these time lev trades are not recommended.
THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-7-24 : Rally PatternAs many of you know, I've been expecting the SPY/QQQ to find support (seeking a base/bottom) for the past 3+ days. The amount of selling has been somewhat extreme. We are currently in a downtrend.
So, my expectation of a base/bottom is related to the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern and the previous support levels (pre-election and recent lows) that suggest price will attempt to hold/base/bottom near recent support.
As of yesterday's close, price had broken downward, still within the support range.
So, again, I urge caution as I believe price will be very volatile while attempting "hammer out a base/bottom" (if it happens).
Overall, my bias is to the downside because of the current trend. Yet, The RALLY pattern today suggests we may see a recovery above 577 on the SPY which may lead to a rally targeting 580+.
Gold and Silver are holding up well and should setup a base/bottom today on the Counter-Trend Top/Resistance Pattern. I don't expect Gold and Silver to rally very strong today. I expect more of a melt-up in trend for metals.
Bitcoin is still consolidating and moving into a very tight Flag Apex range. As I pointed out in today's video, a shorter-term Flag apex will be reached on Sunday (3-9). I believe Bitcoin will become very volatile over the next 3+ days - attempting to break away from a GETTEX:13K consolidation range.
This apex volatility could drive the SPY/QQQ into extreme volatility as well.
Unless you are very skilled at targeting short-term price swings - stay very cautious of this volatility as it could end up turning and biting back.
It's Friday. I'm planning on watching and only trading when I believe there is a very clear opportunity for profits.
I got dinged around (took some lumps yesterday) trying to trade while driving and handling family issues. Lesson learned - don't force it.
The markets will settle into a trend next week. So, be prepared to sit and watch if you don't like what you see on the charts today.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold