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1-BTCUSD

Bitcoin Testing a Difficult LevelJust two days ago, we were bullish in the short term at GETTEX:92K , identifying it as a solid support level. Since then, BTC has risen nearly 4%, but now it’s time to exercise caution. Here’s why: • Bitcoin is currently hitting the 50-day moving average and the Bollinger Bands, which are acting as resistance. • This level previously served as a support line four times and has now become a resistance line three times. While I don’t believe this is an insurmountable barrier for BTC, it may be too early for the price to break through this level decisively. Considering the liquidity shortage following the Santa Rally and volume levels that are average or below, I anticipate a short-term downside. A small short position might make sense for a limited timeframe (up to a day). That said, shorting isn’t my preferred strategy, and I recommend caution. Personally, I’m staying out of this trade for now, and I suggest you do the same unless you’re confident in your analysis and being ready to bet against the whole crypto community. Let’s wait for a retest. Yours sincerely, Mister iM
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by themr-im
Crypto Market analysis - Total 2TOTAL2 has been a very reliable chart to base the bull runs on. We're looking at it now to see where we could potentially reverse. For this chart to be bearish, we would have to take out the low at 850 billion. As long as we put a higher low above that, the chart will remain bullish in the longer term. Between August and November, we went through an accumulation phase, where we put consecutive higher lows after completing a bullish harmonic. We can also see that from the low to the first higher low, before breaking out of the exponential down curve, we retraced a perfect 0.786, which is very typical of a wave 2 retracement. If you then take the Fibonacci extension levels from the high to the low, we hit a perfect 4.618 extension, which is uncommon but very possible for a wave 3 extension. This would currently put us in a wave 4 correction. We have retraced and have today cut through the 0.382 retracement level and are sitting at the 1.26 support. However, this isn't a reliable support, as it only acted as resistance in the past and has never been held as support. We could, therefore, expect to go lower, and the next level would be the 0.5 retracement level at 1.21 trillion. For a wave 4, it is common to retrace between the 0.5 and 0.618, and the 0.618 is around 1.11 trillion, which is where the next zone of support sits. I would, therefore, find it possible, if not probable, to retrace all the way down to the 0.618 at 1.11 trillion dollars and accumulate within that zone of support before the next substantial rally. The next substantial rally will hopefully bring us to all-time highs, but it does not necessarily have to do that. We could retrace and put in another lower high, which would, at that point, confirm distribution and likely indicate a mid-to-long-term pause in the bull market, if not a reversal into a bear market. Until this happens, or we take out the low at 850, we remain bullish. The last points to consider are that we didn't distribute at the highs and didn't have a major liquidation event, this suggests that these assets will revisit the highs or have deep retraces into them. We are also developing bullish divergence which will mature as long as we stay above 850 b. For that reason, we are not selling anything at these prices. Conclusion Analyze prices carefully around these levels: The current support at 1.26. The next support at 1.11 trillion. Look for TOTAL2 to showcase bullish accumulation or reversal. Once TOTAL2 signals its direction, focus on individual assets that align with the macro trend. Updates on specific positions will follow.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by SynergyTradingSetups
4
Next Volatility Period: Around January 10 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (USDT 1D chart) USDT is maintaining a gap downtrend. The gap downtrend is a sign that funds have flowed out of the coin market. (USDC 1D chart) I think that the price defense is being done in the short term because USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend. If USDT continues to maintain a gap downtrend and USDC moves sideways or gaps down, the coin market may fall significantly, so be careful when trading. ----------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) USDT is showing an upward trend while maintaining a gap downtrend. It is likely that this is the last upward movement before the downtrend, so you should think about how to respond to the downtrend. In order to turn into a short-term uptrend over time, it needs to be supported in the 95863.11-97461.86 range or higher. If not, it will eventually fall. - USDT is one of the important stablecoins that support the coin market. Since USDT is a stablecoin used worldwide, it is a fund that has a big impact on the coin market. - 93576.0, 94742.35 are important support and resistance points. Therefore, if the price can be maintained around 93576.0-94742.35, the coin market is expected to show a large increase when USDT shows a gap increase. If it falls below the 92792.05 point and shows resistance, 1st: 87.8K ~ 89K 2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above. - Even if it rises above the 93576.0-94742.35 section and shows support, it must rise above the 101947.24-106133.74 section, which is the high point boundary section, to continue the upward trend. If not, it will fall again, and at this time, the 93576.0-94742.35 section will play an important role as support and resistance. - As I mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can develop into a movement to form a bottom section. To do that, it needs to meet the HA-Low indicator. Since the next volatility period is expected to be around January 10 (January 9-11), we need to see if the HA-Low indicator is generated after the volatility period. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. How to view and respond to this is up to you. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
Crypto Alpha Report (January 1)Monday Alpha Report 2025 01 01 Happy New Year to you all! 2024 was an unmitigated year of prosperity and profit for our community, and it will only get better in 2025. Executive Summary: -Altcoins continue to outperform Bitcoin. While not giving full credence to the idea of alt season, it is slowly beginning to materialize as key metrics evolve. -High probability of Bitcoin rallying into Trump’s inauguration; however, caution is still warranted as downside risks are still strong. -Ethereum is likely to continue to underperform Bitcoin in 2025. -AI Agents continue to explode, and you should be allocated. Macro: Stablecoin Dominance 6.00% still stands as resistance, keeping this metric from pushing us into bearish territory. The bulls do not want this metric in an uptrend, and as the 30 MA creeps closer to the 50 MA, we need to be vigilant for a breakout on this metric to confirm a breakout to test the 200 SMA. For now, the market is indecisive. Stablecoin + Bitcoin Dominance This metric wants to continue the bearish trend, which would bode well for altcoin positions. A resumed downtrend in this metric will correlate to rising altcoin prices, so altcoins, for now, are still a better play than Bitcoin. Altcoin Price Performance vs. Bitcoin Daily momentum returns to the upside, signaling a potential breakout on this metric after putting in a Higher Low. A pushback up to re-test the long-term downtrend resistance will mean a return to the froth of the altcoin markets. Bitcoin Bitcoin’s price is consolidating, with the Daily Timeframe showing a potential reversal. Trends: 5M: Bullish 30M: Bullish 1H: Neutral 4H: Bearish Price must close a 4H candle above $95,000 to strengthen the reversal narrative. That close would also confirm the potential Adam & Eve reversal pattern in the same timeframe. Volatility has dropped significantly on the Daily and 4H time frame, and price has found support at $93,000. Key Levels: POC: $93,727 VWAP: $93,676 Value Area High: $94,337 - $94,700 Value Area Low: $93,730 - $92,851 Strategy: When Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend, it closes its Weekly and Monthly Candles very close to their highs. When Bitcoin’s strength wanes, it begins closing much lower than its highs, as seen in the last two weekly and December’s monthly candles. In other words, when Bitcoin is no longer strongly uptrending, as it is now, it tends to pump during the beginning of the month and sell off into the later half of the month. This aligns perfectly with the upcoming catalyst of Donald Trump’s inauguration as the 47th President of the United States. Anticipating a “buy the rumor, sell the news” type situation, with a potential bull trap emerging in the latter half of this month. While downside risks are still very evident, given that we are trading below the 4H Moving Averages, the Daily Timeframe shows momentum returning to the upside following a bounce off the 60 DMA. Should the current reversal play out, I expect price to make a run to $100,000 over the next two weeks and potentially higher. We should be cautious of a bull trap at that time. Risk-hungry traders could begin starting a position with invalidation below $93,000 or wait for a 4H close above $95,000 and 4H momentum to be regained. Altcoins: I see altcoins performing well also over the next two weeks, likely front-running Trump’s inauguration same as Bitcoin. Again, downside risk is real, but we saw some strong buybacks today. XRP - Target of $2.70. ENA - Target of $1.20. HBAR - Target of $0.35. FTM - Target of $0.96. Again, I’m cautiously optimistic. I cycled about 30% of my portfolio into altcoins today, 20% into AI Agents (Zerebro, SPORE, Pillzumi, Nothing, YNE, SEN), and the rest into Bitcoin. We’re probably bottomed out for now, but I will cut Bitcoin and alts fast if we start heading for the lows again. We will hold AI Agents until we lose momentum, but that’s the meta play for this year.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules. :) We are just surfing the waves of emotions, of the crowds. Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around. It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran. (in my opinion) We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc) and second lower peak around November (or DEC ) As always good luck in your speculations #Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know During these tops you will be told many stories you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BallaJi
4
BITCOIN What will happen in the short term ?According to my calculations, the price will reach 94450 in the short term. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
5
Bitcoin: Macro Support/Resistance Fibonacci SchematicsThe layout of these Bitcoin Schematics are to be able to see all key kevels through appropriate Timeframes. #1 and #2 are Monthly Schematics. #3 through #6 are all 2-Week candles. #7 and #8 are both 1 Weekly Candles. The first two are this ideas main attraction BIG MACRO WISE. These are the most Macro Schematics in the blueprint and they are both in LOG mode. They include two of the Strongest Fibonacci Tools each historically in this market. Each include Fib Spikes and Fib Extensions. The horizontal orange extensions are both the most important Macro Fib Extensions which is why they are 1 and 2. The middle four are all structured support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci Sequence. They are different because of their small price differences and structure when formed but the overall sequence travels up and can be seen visually on all separately. The last two are the most recent formations so they are on smaller timeframes. Even though every single box has about two schematics per, #8 has about 4. This includes 3 Major Fib tools with different colors along with a not so visible couple of lines. #2 must be watched closely as this resistance can turn into support quickly and then we move onto terra infinte. Once this happens, our resistance is Box #1 at around 200k give or take. Ofcourse there are the other boxes of resistance but I am looking at the Base Schematic of Box 1 to give me the next major ATH on Bitcoin. Or at least a major level before finding another top potentially at around 250k per Box #1's Schematic Layout. I have linked my collection of my best Bitcoin ideas leading up to this point below and all either have some of the same schematics or work together as one.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by MichaelBsul
The Bitcoin Matrix: Fibonacci’s $250k BlueprintI am tracing Bitcoin's trajectory to $250k using a unique technical lens - Fib circles on a logarithmic chart paired with extension spikes. These circles, six in number, have been instrumental in identifying key price action stages since Bitcoin's first halving. We group these stages into three 'duo-phases' ( I, II, III ) ( With two for each ) Each Macro Pair representing an integral era of Bitcoin's technical evolution in Logarithmic mode through s/r. I've also linked my other future proof Bitcoin analysis ideas below.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by MichaelBsul
4
250k Btc (with facts) Bitcoin growth across three Halving CyclesFirst Halving: Market cap at halving: 146 million Market cap during run-up: $18.75 billion Run-up: 20 billion (approx.) Second Halving: Market cap at halving: $9.375 billion Market cap during run-up: $300 billion Run-up: $290.625 billion (approx., 15 times larger than the first halving) Third Halving (hypothetical): Market cap at halving: 150 billion Possible market cap scenarios during run-up: a. $1.2 trillion (already achieved) b. $2.4 trillion (potential) c. $4.8 trillion (potential) Run-up (applying the 15x increase pattern): $4.35 trillion approx. Hope you learned something :) Follow for more
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by MichaelBsul
9
Tale of the Two Necklines! #Btc Markets take more than they give. Can you survive what lower prices would do to your Mentality and portfolio The reasons are unknown why prices are rejecting at these key levels Clearly lack of appetite or belief at these levels, of the use case of Inflation protection. But if regular people like me can see the weakness... then it only feeds on itself To bring us down to more palatable levels where the opportunity outweighs the risks. Simple as it may sound. A 6X from 16k to 100K is more enticing than a 2.5X.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by BallaJi
IBITUSDT Analysis: Red Box Breakout PotentialIn IBITUSDT, the red box signifies a critical resistance zone. If price breaks and retests this level, it may present a long entry opportunity . That said, my overall expectation is for the correction to deepen further before significant upward movement. Key Points: Red Box Resistance: Monitor for a breakout and retest to confirm a potential long setup. Deeper Correction Likely: Current market conditions suggest the correction could continue before recovery. Confirmation Indicators: I will utilize CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks in lower time frames to validate entries. Learn With Me: If you want to understand how to leverage CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints for accurate market analysis, feel free to DM me. Reminder: Always manage your risk and look for confirmation before taking any trades. If this analysis helps you, please don’t forget to boost and comment. Your support inspires me to share more valuable insights! If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by XU99
BTCUSDT SHORT IDEA. BASED ON LIQUIDITY AND MARKET STRUCTUREWhile the long-term direction of the premier crypto is upwards, with targets at 250k, a slight correction to the previous ATH isn't out of contention. On that note, I'm expecting a drop from around the 100k level towards the previous ATH around 70k-ish. Why 100k? It is both a valid technical and psychological level. Technically, 100k rests at the Internal Range liquidity for the present price leg. Not a financial advise. Do your own research.
by Therealdimkpa
Dreams that we measure with logic 2025; USDT.D BTCUSDT BTC.D Logic says; Coordinates to avoid wandering anxiety; Knowledge, experience and analysis. Feeling says; Whatever logic says... USDT.D D-W; Bearish Flg - Inverted Cup and Handle ( The downward movement is confirmed in my opinion) BTCUSDT D-W; Bullish Flag (The upward movement is confirmed in my opinion) BTC.D Bitcoin Dominance has just pulled back to its bearish flag trendline, and will fall. Altcoins will kiss the moon and pass it.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by Allirezakhan
Bitcoin Analysis: Key Support Levels and Market Trends 25.01.01Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on Bitcoin (BTC). Daily Chart Analysis On the daily chart, Bitcoin is showing signs of rejection near the 99485 resistance level. The price has now moved back between the 20 EMA and 60 EMA, indicating a consolidation phase. The red box supply zone remains a critical level. If this zone fails to hold as support, the price could retest the lower support range of 70000–68000. Weekly Chart Analysis On the weekly chart, 89372 is the last line of defense for Bitcoin. Key scenarios: A breakdown below 89372 could lead to a correction down to the 82353 level, aligning with the weekly 20 EMA. If selling pressure intensifies, the price could drop further to the major support zone at 73835. Market Structure and Historical Context Historically, Bitcoin has followed a pattern of one-way rallies to new highs, followed by extended corrections and sharp drops before resuming its upward trajectory. However, since 2023, the pattern has shifted to a box-like, stair-step upward trend. This reflects increasing liquidity in the market and the emergence of new cryptocurrencies, which has led to capital distribution across a broader range of assets. Key Insight: Significant corrections typically occur only when the weekly chart closes below the 60 EMA and subsequently faces resistance. Until then, the market may continue a long-term consolidation phase. Conclusion For margin traders, this zone offers limited buying opportunities. Bullish Perspective: There is no clear buy signal at this time. Bearish Perspective: The trend remains uncertain, but a failure to hold the 89372 support level could trigger significant selling pressure. The daily chart is currently consolidating between the 20 EMA and 60 EMA. While it’s unclear whether the next move will result in a golden cross or a death cross, a clear breakout in either direction is likely to drive substantial momentum. Although this update doesn’t bring major changes to the previous week’s analysis, I’ll revisit Bitcoin as new developments emerge. Let’s stay patient and trade wisely. 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Greedy_allday
Connection Between Bitcoin and Holiday Market trendHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚🎇 In recent years, brief declines in the cryptocurrency market, especially around the holiday season or year-end, have become a common trend. This behavior is a natural part of market cycles and doesn’t diminish the overall strength of the ongoing bull market. 📚✨ From a technical perspective, small pullbacks, often shown as red candlesticks, play a crucial role in sustaining healthy market momentum and supporting future growth. These corrections help with market consolidation, avoiding excessive overextension. 📚✨ If the market only experiences a continuous rise with no pullbacks, it could signal an unsustainable rally, which might result in a sharper decline later. Therefore, these temporary down periods are vital for the long-term stability and profitability of the market. 📚🎇 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Short-term declines in the cryptocurrency market, especially during the holiday season, are normal and necessary for maintaining long-term stability and growth. 🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
6
2024 is a wrap - time for 2025 outlook - let's go2024 will be a memorable year -23% gains -Mag 7 + Semiconductors + Bitcoin all contributing nicely -PLTR was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 (impressive 340.48%) As always, 2024 wasn't in a straight line up, though it felt like it at times VIX had #1 and #2 largest single day moves ever (Aug 5 and Dec 18) April was a sticky inflation pullback month August was a Bank of Japan deleveraging weekend scare FED dominated the catalysts with guidance, narrative, and wait and see between employment and inflation data 2025 will bring new president, new policy, new Republican power. Many were excited about this but there are still checks and balances and markets need more reassurance than hyperbole. I plan to look at income plays and trading plays were buy and hold. Whatever I do own equities and ETFs wise, I want protection just in case the market isn't as straightforward and bullish like it has been since Oct 2022. Happy New Year - thanks for watching!!! See you in 2025!!!
TVC:US10Y
by ChrisPulver
1