Why is Eth Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020Why is Ethereum Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020
The cryptocurrency market is a volatile landscape, constantly shifting and evolving. Recent data has revealed a significant development: the Ethereum to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has plummeted to an all-time low since 2020. This stark decline, currently resting at a mere 0.02 has ignited a wave of speculation and concern within the crypto community, raising questions about Ethereum's current standing and future trajectory.
The ETH/BTC ratio serves as a crucial metric for comparing the relative performance of Ethereum against Bitcoin. When the ratio falls, it indicates that Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum, and conversely, a rising ratio suggests Ethereum's ascendancy. The current dramatic drop highlights a significant divergence in the fortunes of these two leading cryptocurrencies.
The backdrop to this decline is multifaceted. Bitcoin, often seen as the “digital gold” of the crypto world, has exhibited remarkable resilience and strengthened its position. This consolidation is likely driven by several factors, including increased institutional adoption, regulatory clarity in some jurisdictions, and its established reputation as a store of value. These factors have contributed to a sense of stability and confidence in Bitcoin, attracting capital and bolstering its market position.
Ethereum, on the other hand, has faced challenges in maintaining its momentum. While it remains the leading platform for smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps), it has struggled to keep pace with Bitcoin's surge. Several factors contribute to this relative underperformance.
Firstly, regulatory uncertainty surrounding Ethereum and its classification has cast a shadow over its future prospects. The evolving regulatory landscape, particularly in major economies like the United States, has created a sense of unease among investors. The lack of clear guidelines and the potential for stricter regulations have dampened enthusiasm and limited institutional investment.
Secondly, Ethereum has faced competition from emerging layer-1 blockchains that offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees. These “Ethereum killers,” as they are sometimes called, have attracted developers and users seeking alternatives to Ethereum's perceived limitations. While Ethereum has undergone significant upgrades, such as the transition to proof-of-stake (The Merge), the benefits have not yet translated into a sustained surge in its relative value.
Thirdly, the overall market sentiment has played a role. Bitcoin's narrative as a safe haven and store of value has resonated strongly during periods of economic uncertainty. In contrast, Ethereum, with its focus on innovation and development, is perceived as a riskier asset. When market volatility increases, investors often gravitate towards the perceived safety of Bitcoin.
The decline in the ETH/BTC ratio raises several critical questions. Is Ethereum in trouble? Is this a temporary setback or a sign of a more fundamental shift in the crypto landscape?
While the current situation is concerning, it is essential to consider the long-term potential of Ethereum. Its robust ecosystem, driven by a vibrant community of developers and innovators, remains a significant asset. Ethereum's role in powering decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other emerging technologies positions it as a crucial player in the future of the internet.
Furthermore, Ethereum's ongoing development efforts, including layer-2 scaling solutions and future upgrades, aim to address its scalability and efficiency challenges. These improvements could potentially revitalize Ethereum's performance and restore its competitive edge.
However, the current market dynamics suggest that Ethereum faces an uphill battle. To regain its footing, it needs to overcome regulatory hurdles, address its scalability issues, and effectively communicate its value proposition to a broader audience.
The cryptocurrency market is notoriously unpredictable, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The ETH/BTC ratio could rebound, or it could continue its downward trajectory. The outcome will depend on a complex interplay of factors, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, and market sentiment.
In the meantime, the low ETH/BTC ratio serves as a stark reminder of the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. It underscores the importance of diversification and the need for investors to consider the risks and potential rewards of each asset carefully.
The current situation also highlights the need for Ethereum developers and community members to focus on the core values of the project, and to continue to innovate and improve the technology. Ultimately, the success of Ethereum will depend on its ability to adapt to the changing landscape and deliver on its promise of a decentralized and equitable future.
In conclusion, while the record low ETH/BTC ratio raises concerns about Ethereum's current standing, it is premature to declare its demise. The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and Ethereum's long-term potential remains significant. However, the current challenges demand a proactive and strategic approach to ensure its continued relevance and success in the years to come.
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Daily HEADS UP - Nice start to Week But RESISTANCE NOW
The daily chart shows the line of resistance we now hit
This is the line that has rejected PA since january
It is Strong.
We May break through but we have to wait and see but it is certainly Wise to be prepared for rejection
Even more so when you look at the Apex we are coming to with in the next 7 days
PA ALWAYS REACTS BEFORE THE APEX
The Volume profile on the right suggests resistance overhead is strong but we do sit above the POC ( point of control )
All to play for this week and it coulf get emotional
And YES, that is a Fib circle we are hitting too
Double resistance could lead to a Drop in the near future and yet, it is also worth knowing that PA can pick an intersection of two lines of resistance to break through. Kind of 2 birds with one stone attitude.
We need to wait and see
What ever happens, I feel this week may be VERY interesting.
Enjoy
BTC - POSSIBLE LONG TERM SCENARIO (JAN 2024)This is my first post in 2024.
BTC - POSSIBLE LONG TERM SCENARIO (JAN 2024)
This is what I see BTC in a big picture at the moment. The lowest I anticipate (if happens) would be 36k. Moreover, BTC can correct when reaches around 48k. The top also can be around 150k in 2025. Let's see what will happen.
BITCOIN | 4H | KEY POINTS Hey traders, what's up
I've marked the key levels for Bitcoin on the chart. Right now, it's holding within the 4-hour supply and demand zone. But if this level breaks, I expect Bitcoin to drop all the way down to around $78K.
For spot buyers, there’s no real risk at the moment. But if you're trading on margin and currently in the red, be extra cautious.
The market will liquidate you first, then move on its way.
Big thanks to everyone supporting my analysis with likes
I will provide continuous updates under this analysis.
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTCUSD INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-1-25 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find temporary support near recent lows or a bit lower.
I'm not expecting much in terms of price trending today. I do believe the downward price trend will continue today with the SPY attempting to move down to the 548-550 level trying to find support.
The QQQ will likely attempt to move downward toward the 458-460 level trying to find the support/base/bottom level today.
Gold and Silver are in a moderate consolidation phase that I believe is transitioning through a Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend type of phase. Ultimately, the trend will continue to push higher through this phase as metals have moved into the broad Expansion phase. This phase should see gold attempt to move above $4500+ before the end of May/June 2025.
BTCUSD is rolling within the 0.382 to 0.618 Fibonacci price levels related to the last price swing. I see this middle Fib level and the "battle ground" for price. I expect price to stall, consolidate, and roll around between these levels trying to establish a new trend.
Thus, I believe BTCUSD will move downward, attempting to move back down to the $78,000 level.
Nothing has really changed in my analysis except that we are experiencing a 48-96 hour consolidation phase before we move back into big trending.
Play smart. Position your trades so that you can profit from this rolling price trend and prepare for the bigger price move downward (targeting the bigger base/bottom near April 15, 2025).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BTC USDT entry on retest of TSO - AM with invalidation above
looking for retracement to TDO & TYO
TYO should act as a huge magnet for price
EQLs below acting as a DOL
If you wanted to risk $100.00 on this trade, then your position size would be 2.36 BTC/USDT.
note: make sure to adjust this position size according to your own risk-management strategy and portfolio size.
Continue to believe in BTCI. Technical Analysis
(1) Support and Resistance Levels
BTC has a strong support at $80,000. It’s withstood selling pressure multiple times. When the price dropped to $82,000, it rebounded, validating this support. $85,000 and $87,000 act as resistance levels. Failed attempts to break through these thresholds show strong selling above these price points.
(2) Moving Average System
While BTC short - term moving averages are down due to price drops, long - term ones stay upward. This means the long - term uptrend isn’t disrupted. A golden cross may form when short - term averages recover and cross long - term ones, supporting upward movement.
(3) Technical Indicators
RSI shows BTC is in oversold zone, hinting at excessive selling. Market recovery may trigger a price rebound. Although MACD gives a bearish signal, the bearish momentum is weakening, indicating a possible reversal.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@80500 - 81000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin short term.I follow 5 wave movements in most of my analysis because it gives a good idea about the direction of the movement.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
89542.51 or higher, the key is whether the price can be maintain
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Today, we will talk about the BTCUSD chart for the first time.
-
(BTCUSD 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that it is in an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Currently, it is showing a short-term uptrend as it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, but it is highly likely that it will continue to rise only if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising to around 89542.51.
-
We need to see if the OBV is maintained above the middle line and can break through the upper line.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, if there is no increase in trading volume, it is likely to eventually show a downtrend.
If it shows a downtrend, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
At this time, we need to check whether there is support near 73589.43.
-
The competition starts on April 1.
As I mentioned in the Binance BTCUSDT chart description, the next volatility period is expected to be around April 5 (April 4-6).
Therefore, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and decide the position.
In other words, I think it is good to decide the position depending on whether there is support near the original section marked on the 30m chart.
-
It is expected that the key point of this competition will be whether the trading volume can increase and whether the price can be maintained by rising above 89542.51.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTC LONG TP:84,000 31-03-2025Bitcoin is currently presenting a promising bullish formation around the 84,000 mark on both the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes. This suggests a strong upward momentum developing in the short term. Furthermore, over the next 3 days, we are observing a super bullish setup that indicates the potential for prices to reach between 90,000 and 95,000 by April.
These developments offer an exciting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the upward trend. Be sure to follow me closely as we navigate these market movements together and continue to generate profits!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownThis BTC/USD 1-hour chart showcases a falling wedge breakout, indicating a potential bullish reversal after a downtrend. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin could move toward its next resistance target of $87,550, offering a profitable long setup for traders. Let's analyze the chart in detail.
1️⃣ Market Context: Understanding the Trend
📉 Previous Downtrend
Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was in a strong downtrend after reaching a resistance level near $87,000–$88,000.
Sellers took control, creating lower highs and lower lows, forming a descending wedge pattern.
The price declined sharply, reflecting profit-taking, increased supply, and weak demand.
📊 Current Market Setup
Bitcoin found strong support around $81,412, a level where buyers have stepped in multiple times.
The price action compressed into a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, indicating that bearish momentum was weakening.
The breakout from the wedge suggests that bulls are regaining control, signaling a potential uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level ($87,000–$88,000)
This zone has acted as a strong supply area where Bitcoin previously struggled to break through.
If Bitcoin approaches this level again, a break and retest scenario would be ideal for further continuation.
🔹 Support Level ($81,412)
This area has provided multiple bounces, confirming it as a demand zone where buyers are actively defending.
A break below this support would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a downward move.
📍 Breakout Confirmation
The falling wedge breakout is confirmed by bullish price action and strong buying pressure.
Bitcoin is now forming higher lows, indicating a potential trend reversal.
3️⃣ Technical Chart Pattern: The Falling Wedge
📌 What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines before breaking out upward.
✅ Characteristics of a Falling Wedge in This Chart
Series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a contracting price range.
Decreasing bearish momentum, seen by smaller candles near the support zone.
Bullish breakout with strong momentum, signaling a reversal.
💡 Implication:
A breakout from a falling wedge often leads to a strong upward move, especially if volume supports the breakout.
4️⃣ Trading Setup & Strategy
📍 Entry Strategy
A confirmed breakout above the wedge with a strong bullish candle.
A pullback and retest of the breakout level can provide a high-probability entry point.
🎯 Target Levels
Primary Target: $87,550 (Projected based on wedge height).
Extended Target: Above $88,000 if momentum continues.
🛑 Stop-Loss Placement
Below the support zone at $81,412 to minimize risk.
If Bitcoin falls below this level, it invalidates the bullish setup.
5️⃣ Risk & Considerations
⚠️ Potential Risks to Watch
Fake Breakouts: If BTC fails to hold above the breakout level, it could result in a bull trap, causing a price reversal.
Market Volatility: Crypto markets are highly volatile, and external factors (such as macroeconomic news or regulatory updates) could impact price movements.
Resistance Pressure: The $87,000–$88,000 zone could act as a strong resistance, leading to possible consolidation before a decisive move.
✅ Risk Management Tips:
Keep a tight stop-loss below key support.
Adjust position size based on volatility.
Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid false breakouts.
6️⃣ Conclusion: Bullish Bias but Caution Advised
📈 Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential uptrend after breaking out from the falling wedge pattern. However, traders should watch for a confirmation of strength before entering long positions.
Key Points to Watch:
BTC needs to hold above $83,500 to sustain bullish momentum.
A strong candle close above $85,000 will further confirm bullish control.
The $87,550–$88,000 resistance zone will be a crucial test for the next move.
🚀 Bullish outlook remains valid unless BTC drops below $81,412.
Hashtags for TradingView Idea
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #CryptoSignals #TradeSetup #TradingStrategy
Bitcoin Monthly Candle close colour patterns since 2011We got the expected RED March close but it was a close thing.
but, this creates better Odds for a continued push to ATH.
We have had only 3 occasions when we had a Green Jan, Red Feb, Red March ( arrows)
2 of those went on to an ATH the following Year !
The other one was entering a Bear Market.
Of the previous 7 RED March Closes, 5 were followed by a Green April
And of those 5, 4 were followed by consecutive Green candles closes for the following Months.
As you can see, April, May and June do have more GREEN closes than Red on average but May and June is near 50/50
It could be said that March Candle close was a "Spinning Top", showing in-balance / indecision in the market. This is possibly driven by Macro events.
We had a similar situation in 2012 and April was Green, as were the following months.
We had 2 other occasions with small Red candle bodies in March, both were Hammer Candles, one inverted, that led to a red April, the other was not and let to a green April.
The March close we just had, had a Long Upper Wick. To me, this shows the BEARS had the upper hand, keeping driving down.
And thats OK, PA needed to reset but we now need a GREEN April
Statistically, April should close Green - We currently have a Score of 8 Green to 5 Red month closes for April.
April seems to have opened GREEN and I hope to see it close that colour though we do need Caution
Because of the Colour sequence over recent months, there are not many comparisons to use.
Alpine showing a week level signal
BINANCE:ALPINEUSDT showing a strong weekly level signal. Don't know the reason why, but enjoy and see if it happens.
Basic information:
Alpine F1 Team a chance to engage with the racing brand. Binance promises that the token will "revolutionize the fan experience" by allowing fans to:
Participate in team voting polls
Hunt digital collectibles and purchase NFTs
Enjoy gamification features tied to fan rewards or great experiences
COINBASE:BTCUSD For long-term level, BTC will also reach a higher level, so be patient and do not use any emergency money to buy a long-term style coin.
Bearish Trend Meets Bullish Momentum: Is BTC Ready for a Rebound📉 Bitcoin is currently in a strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, but 📈 the 1-hour timeframe shows a break of structure and bullish momentum. This suggests a potential short-term pullback into the previous range, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 Additionally, there’s a bearish imbalance above that could be rebalanced. While this presents a possible buy opportunity, ⚠️ it’s a high-risk setup due to the overall bearish trend. Always trade with caution! 🚨
Disclaimer
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult a professional if needed. 💡
Bitcoin will reach $180,000 this yearBitcoin’s trajectory is unstoppable—analysts are calling for a climb to $180,000, fueled by institutional adoption, limited supply, and global economic uncertainty. With halving cycles tightening the squeeze and mainstream acceptance soaring, BTC isn’t just a store of value—it’s the financial revolution we’ve been waiting for. Buckle up, the bull run’s coming.