1-BTCUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone,
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode.
I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally.
I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video.
I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern.
And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks.
As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life.
I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research.
I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves.
Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITCOIN Weekly line charttells a story of 4 discernible patterns and 4 log targets.
1) The inverse head & shoulders to end the bear market
2) A broadening rising flag .... which at the time, many thought it was head and shoulder's top on the candle chart.
3) A small sideways flag
4) and the current frustrating broadening descending bull flag. Which has cause much grief to participants but will likely gives an explosive quick large moves.
As you can see putting the chart can help in identifying trends.. key highs and lows and also gives patterns that may not be visible on a candle chart.
Another tool in your toolbox.
Never HODL at the highest point even if the profit is small
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
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I used TradingView's INDEX chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
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Let's take a look at the section that showed a big movement.
(1M chart)
- 13888.32
- 57789.06
- 71320.68
The three points above are where the BW(100) line was created.
The fact that the BW(100) line was created means that a high point section has been formed, so there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, based on the previous two experiences and looking at the current movement, we can see how important the 71320.68 point is as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, we should sell when it falls below 71320.68 in order not to HODL in the high range.
In the big picture, the stop loss point has been confirmed.
-
(1W chart)
From the 1W chart, we can see that the 68376.06 point is an important stop loss point.
Therefore, we should decide to sell depending on whether there is support in the 68376.06-71320.68 range.
-
If the BW(0) line is created after the price falls, then it is a strong buying period.
Therefore, we should check whether there is support and see if we can buy.
The reason is that after buying at the 37929.90 point, there is a possibility that it will fail to rise above the MS-Signal indicator and continue to decline.
Therefore, you should not forget that you need to cut your loss when it falls below 37929.90 after buying.
If you have a lot of cash left after distributing your investment weight well, you can buy more when the next BW(0) line is created to lower the average purchase price.
However, since it is a 1W chart, such a transaction is not easy, so I think it is better to buy again after cutting your loss.
-
(1D chart)
Since BW(0) and BW(100) lines are often created on the 1D chart, it is recommended to use the BW(0) and BW(100) lines created at the current price position for trading.
As mentioned earlier or in the chart, you can see that the BW(100) and BW(0) lines appear after the arrows are created, and there is a decline and rise.
Therefore, since the arrows are created near the current price, you can see that the BW(100) line is likely to be created soon.
Therefore, if you are trying to make a new purchase now, I think it would be better to lower the investment ratio or not to make a transaction at all.
In any case, when the BW(100) line is created, you have to stop the transaction in progress or sell some of it.
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It is not much, but I think it can be a good reference for trading.
If you look at the StErr Line, HA-High, HA-Low, BW(0), and BW(50) indicators together to make this judgment, I think it will be a great help in your trading strategy.
Since these indicators can be used on all time frame charts, I think they can help you get an eye for selecting support and resistance points.
If you use too many indicators, you can trade incorrectly.
Therefore, you should think about how to use the indicators, which indicators to apply to which trading strategy, and think about how to use them accordingly.
I hope that this time, you will trade without HODLing at the high point.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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BTC USD IdeaBig Question, Should i Short BTCUSD Now? I have My Stop under 74463.96, this is for me price whats saying bullback is getting started, reasons would be that we are unable to push price higher in morning sessions, while ny session has not started yet, we dont have any bias as of now, thats what we call inside day when we are stuck behind yesterdays candle. Although volume indicators are deep back in range low after 66.783 price tag, these are technical indications. As of FA with elections and dollar news we could do massive moves still, We need to know that fundamentals beat any TA by far. So for me i don t close trade , i don t worry i just keep my stop tragged behind past day low and let it stop me out or keep going im not worried, i will not quess and short now nothing. We have not even lost yesterdays low, so why take a risk? If we get back in range and start breaking low of 66783 then ill look next plan. Intersting times to see what market makers will do! ill keep you posted.
Linear chart version of cup&handle+ bullflag targetsI just posted the log chart version of these patterns before posting this idea and as you can see the linear chart version of these patterns have a much smaller measured move target for their breakouts. Usually what ends up happening in these scenarios is both the linear and log targets eventually get hit,, it just takes the logarithmic targets much longer than the linear ones. So while there is a possibility we could hit the log chart targets this bull run, there’s a much higher probability that we will Hit the full linear targets this bull run. With the higher log chart target that could get reached this bull run or it could also not get hit until next bull run which is something that has occurred frequently in the past with log patterns as well. Either way I’m confident those log chart targets will get hit by next bull run if not this one and pretty confident as long as the 5.3 diminishing returns theory doesn’t play out that we will very likely hit these linear price targets. *not financial advice*
Cup & handle and Bullflag have much higher target on logchartHere on the monthly logarithmic chart we can see both the cup and handle and the bull flag that Bitcoin is starting to break upwards from. Both of these patterns are also very much so valid on the linear chart as well, but as usual, the logarithmic version of these patterns has a much higher ensured move target for their breakouts. While there’s a probability we could hit these higher logarithmic targets during this bull ru, often times the logchart patterns take considerably longer to hit their full targets than the linear charts patterns, so there’s also a chance these targets especially the higher cup and handle target could not get hit until next bull run as well. I will go ahead and follow this chart up with the linear version so people can see the contrast between the breakout targets on both styles of chart. Much higher probability we can hit both of these patterns linear chart targets this bull run. *not financial advice*
BTCUSDT 15 min - BEAR & BULL Strategies - 2 stepBTCUSDT 15 min - BEAR & BULL Strategies - 2 step
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BTCUSDT 15 min - BEAR & BULL Strategies - 2 step
We continue with our bullish channel and triangle strategy.
BTCUSDT is marking increasingly higher lows and is approaching the base of the current bullish channel that acts as dynamic support.
That said, we must set a strategy that allows us to properly manage the risk-reward equation.
We don't really know what the price will do, but we must be prepared for different scenarios.
If we already have it in our portfolio,
SL: 75500
TP: 79000
If we want to position ourselves BULLISH
BULLISH STRATEGY LEVELS:
BUY: 75500 or 76400
TP 79K
SL: 74700 below the EMA 200
BEAR STRATEGY LEVELS:
SL: 76400
SELL: 75000
If it breaks the dynamic support and gives signs of a change in trend.
In the area of uncertainty, we will continue to swing :)
We just have to wait for the triangulation to break in one direction or another.
Good luck in making decisions.
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I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain values that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend anyone to operate based on these indicators. Inform yourself, educate yourself and build your own strategies when investing. I only hope that my comments help you on your own path :)
Bitcoin BTC price decides where to go nextAlmost all indicators are at extremely critical and decisive points:
1️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:BTC - $68300
2️⃣ BTC.D - 59% and continues to update local highs
3️⃣ USDT.D - 5.25% on the verge of a breakout or rebound upwards
4️⃣ Fear and Greed Index - 73 (greed)
🐳 Blue scenario - a sharp exit from the correction channel and movement towards $77-78k.
💔 Red scenario - correction OKX:BTCUSDT to $64000, and maybe even to $ 61k
Vote which scenario you think is more likely.
We will supplement this idea with interesting charts and our own opinion after we have 100+ votes.
November 7 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly later at 10:30, until 4 a.m. FOMC
There are two Nasdaq indicator announcements.
In particular, in the case of the US interest rate announcement FOMC
The rate cut from 5 to 4.75% is expected
It is almost the same as the forecast,
So it seems likely that it will be applied as Nasdaq good news.
Today was a place with a lot of worries.
I brought a simple analysis article with your votes
But today, for some reason, I want to eat some mild chicken.
At the bottom left,
I connected today's strategy with the condition of maintaining the long position of the purple finger at $73,877
In yesterday's analysis article.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy (two-way autonomy)
1. 74,372 dollars long position entry section / purple support line completely detached or 2nd section touched, stop loss price
2. 1st section long position 1st target at the top -> Top section 2nd target
(Refer to the 75,412.5 dollars long position re-entry section in the 1st short section of the sky blue finger)
If there is an immediate rebound from the current position
You can operate based on the short in the 1st section of the sky blue finger at the top /
stop loss price when the orange resistance line is broken.
Since the short-term pattern is broken from the 2nd section touched,
The possibility of additional decline after tomorrow increases.
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
Bitcoin is both a bullish flag and a cup-and-handleBitcoin is currently displaying both a bullish flag pattern and a cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a strong confirmation of a bullish trend. These patterns, especially when seen together, often indicate solid upward momentum and are widely recognized as bullish reversal signals. With Bitcoin entering its 4-year cycle phase, traditionally marked by significant price growth, the technical indicators align favorably for potential long-term gains.
Additionally, recent news and market developments are reinforcing the positive outlook, supporting the upward trend. This combination of technical signals and external factors could attract more investors, sparking renewed confidence in Bitcoin’s next major rally. As anticipation builds, these signals may well mark the beginning of a substantial growth phase, capturing attention from both seasoned investors and new entrants looking to capitalize on this momentum.
"BTCUSDT Aiming for 82,000 USDT ResistanceCurrently, BTCUSDT is trading within a very solid long-term price channel. With the current price fluctuating around 75,672 USDT and showing minimal change compared to yesterday, the bullish momentum remains strong.
It is anticipated that BTCUSDT could soon progress toward the potential resistance level of around 82,000 USDT at the upper boundary of the price channel.
What is the Bitcoin plan?Given the recent pump by US election news, the dual scenario is more correct for Bitcoin.
As you know, the market is probabilities and we only predict and follow probabilities, because the nature of the financial market is uncertainty.
It seems that the first part of this double was a diametric that ended and then we had an X wave and now for the second part of this double we can look for rebuy in the flip range.
We can consider the range of 82K - 88K as the peak of this duality.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Market Analysis: A Breakout to New Highs, but Will It Hold?After a prolonged over 250-day range, BTC has broken out to a new all-time high (ATH) above the $75K zone, fueled by renewed interest following recent election sentiment and influential media coverage. This breakout marks a key technical development, but the question remains: Can it sustain?
Key Observations and Price Action Insights
New High Zone ($75K): The breakout above $75K looks technically healthy, with price action showing strength and bullish sentiment. To build confidence in a continued uptrend, BTC would ideally hold above this zone consolidating through few days, allowing for a strong base before seeking higher levels.
Potential Retracement Levels:
Mid-Range Support ($63K): If the current level fails to hold, BTC could revisit the mid-range support around $63K, a key level for possible consolidation and renewed buying interest.
Lower Range Support ( GETTEX:52K ): In the unlikely event of a more substantial correction, BTC could target the lower boundary near $52K. However, strong interest from high-profile figures and positive sentiment may help mitigate any significant pullbacks.
Strategy Considerations:
Traders should proceed with caution while tracking these key levels. Although sentiment and momentum remain robust, monitoring BTC’s behavior at these crucial zones will be essential for managing potential risks. The coming days could set the tone for a continuation or indicate a reversion to established levels.
FBTC: Break Out After 12 Months of Sideways - DCA TradeAll the white lines are buys. My weighted average price per share would be somewhere in the middle. I Dollar Cost Averaged into the position from basically the launch of the product on exchanges earlier this year, Say March 24. The trade looks to finally be playing out.
Long Term Hold position for me, and will add on higher timeframe (1 Day, 3 Day, Weekly) oversold conditions outside a normal standard deviation.
Fun time to be a trader at the moment.
BTC Eyeing a Correction? Watch These Key Levels!GM crypto bro's! Today, the fear & greed index is at 75 in Greed status. Stoch RSI is now entering the overbought area.
Market outlook remains consistent with yesterday's analysis. Current BTC action hints at a high probability of correction in the 73K-70K range, while the potential pump target stays in the 79K-80K zone.
The market is still driven by greed—stay safe, avoid FOMO, and manage your risks as always. That's it for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, one chart at a time. Have a nice day & stay SAFU!
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point
This is a continuation of the Weekly Inflection Point.
On the daily we're getting close to a crucial area. A downward move here may indicate a large move, correction on the weekly, daily. 16k could easily be hit. There is also the potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg to 77-88k before a final correction.
Watch for a break above or below the keltner channel. If the stock market is about to tank because WW3, the debt bubble created in 2008-2020, then Bitcoin will get shocked with it while everyone scrambles for PM's.
After maybe bitcoin will be revived when people realize there isn't enough PM's out there, else some world wide digital currency emerges.
Either way I have little hope for bitcoin, unless the NWO backs it because of the transparent transactions that can be traced, blacklisted, non fungible- control. Such a currency is a fools hope and will be used against you when tyranny seeks control over you.
BTC in Weekly Timeframe: Holding Support.Hello, traders!
In my previous update on the daily timeframe, I mentioned a possible rejection for BTC, which has now occurred. The $69k level was expected to hold as support, but it failed, and the price is currently trending at $68k, which remains a support level, though a weaker one.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC is still showing strong support, but if we see a further correction, $65.5k is likely the next level to watch. The upcoming weekly close needs to stay above this support level.
With the U.S. election happening today, the market is likely to experience some volatility, so please be cautious and trade safely.
I’ll continue to keep you all updated on market conditions.
Pay no attention to the wavy line...Added this nonsense as filler- you know what to do though: we wait till the red resistance zones populate, so we can mentally throw out support zones that don't match the support/resistance channel.
What do you think: is this the channel that holds till Jan 1st 2025?
Because if it is, then we're darn close to >100k in the new year, and possibly reaching MAJOR correction by the inauguration.
BITCOIN Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keeps growing
And we are seeing a
Strong bullish breakout
Of the key level around 74k$
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Must reserve order at Stop Loss point when trading
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
I think the conditions for an uptrend have been met as USDT dominance has fallen below 4.97.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, it seems that it still takes time for the altcoin uptrend to start.
Well, many altcoins are rising now, but there are only a few altcoins that are showing a full-fledged uptrend, so they have recorded a lot of declines.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and maintain or show a downward trend.
If not, altcoins may gradually move sideways or show a strange bull market where only BTC rises, so caution is required.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
When the ATH is renewed, the target point is
1st: 1.618 (76787.43)
2nd: 1.618 (89050.0)
I think it is around the 1st and 2nd points above.
If the price rises above 1.618 (76787.43) and maintains, there are several points that need to be passed to rise to the 1.618 (89050.0) point.
Therefore, when there is a jolt in that area, you should focus on finding the right time to trade by considering whether you can make a split trade or a new entry, and referring to the method explained below.
The point where the current upward trend is likely to turn into a downward trend is the 72344.74 point.
If the BW(100) line is created this time, I will report the price at that time and tell you again.
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Since the ATH has been renewed, it can be seen that it has become more difficult to trade newly.
Well, you can think that a market has been formed where you can make a profit by buying and waiting, but it is also a market where it is not strange for it to fall at any time.
When trading in this market, you must set a stop loss point.
Otherwise, you may end up in a situation where everyone is making a profit but you are the only one suffering a loss.
Therefore, let's take some time to talk about how to start trading and how to set a stop loss point.
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Since the current ATH is being updated, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are almost unnecessary.
For most altcoins, you can select a trading point and respond by referring to the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
(1h chart)
Therefore, to start trading, you can start trading on the time frame chart below the 1D chart, that is, the chart that you mainly look at and trade.
Even so, as I always say, the basic chart for trading is the 1D chart, so you must check the trend or support and resistance points on the 1D chart before starting trading.
The most important things to look at when starting trading are the 5EMA on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
This is because there is a high possibility of volatility depending on whether these indicators are touched and the support and resistance points around them are supported.
At the current price position, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1D chart are 75571.99 points.
Therefore, you should prepare to trade based on whether there is support or not based on the 75571.99 point.
Since it is in an upward trend on the 1D chart, it is better to focus on finding the time to buy (LONG).
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Accordingly, if you have confirmed that it is supported near 75571.99 and are thinking of buying, you should think about where to set the first stop loss point.
You can select the first and second points among the various support and resistance points drawn on the chart as the first stop loss point.
If you do that, you can see that the profit and loss ratio is not right.
Since the loss is this large, it is important to adjust the investment ratio when starting a trade.
That is why you should be more careful when finding the time to buy.
In other words, it should be considered that it is a more advantageous time to conduct a breakout trade.
(For altcoins that do not update the ATH, it is recommended to conduct a transaction depending on whether there is support.)
Therefore, it means that it is better to proceed with a purchase when the 75571.99 point is broken upward from the bottom and receives support and rises.
If the purchase is successful in that way, when the price rises and touches the 3rd point, change the stop loss point by changing the stop loss point to the 1st point or the 75571.99 point and proceed with the transaction.
If you do this, there may be cases where you are sold due to sudden volatility, but it is still recommended to conduct the transaction while setting the stop loss point.
This is because in the past, in 1919 and 2021, when both cases turned downward, you should not fall into a situation where you cannot do anything because you bought it as it was.
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If the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are located at a point where there are no support or resistance points at all, you should trade by looking at the movements of the indicators on the time frame chart you are currently viewing (in this case, the 1h chart).
To do this, you should check the positions of the 5EMA on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts that I mentioned earlier.
Since there are no 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts at the current price position, the next indicators to look at are the BW(100), HA-HIgh indicator and the BW(0), HA-Low indicator.
Since the BW(100) and HA-High indicators were created, it means that a high point section has been formed, so you should think that there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, you should buy when it falls and then breaks through the BW(100), HA-High indicators upward to show support.
Therefore, in order to conduct a SHORT transaction, you can start trading depending on whether the BW(100) and HA-High indicators are generated and whether there is support.
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The fact that the BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are generated means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, when the BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are generated, you should quickly decide whether you can start trading, thinking that there is a high possibility of an increase.
At this time, it is good to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator as reference material.
Although it sometimes moves in the opposite direction of the price movement, if it shows a pattern of escaping from the overbought or oversold range, it can be used as a good reference material.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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