1-BTCUSD
$40K Is Not Possible & The 2025 Bull-Market (Back To Basics)Let's clear a few basic but very important points because there is some confusion going on around right now, and this is dangerous for our Cryptocurrency market bulls.
The 2025 bull-market is not over because it hasn't even started. Correct?
The Cryptocurrency market grew in late 2024, between November and December. Cryptocurrency peaked in Nov.-Dec. 2024 and then entered a corrective phase. This corrective phase that started in late 2024 is ongoing until now. So 2025 has been mainly bearish action; no bull-market, yet.
Cryptocurrency first peaked in March 2024 and then went into correction mode until August 2024. Between August and October 2024 the Cryptocurrency market consolidated and this consolidation produced the last advance mentioned above.
As the market hits bottom now, we will enter a new phase of growth. The bull-market cannot be over because it has not even started.
Bitcoin at $40,000?
Bitcoin at $40,000 is not possible and I will explain why.
The March 2024 peak price was $74,000. The two peaks in 2021 were $64,000 and $69,000 in April and November 2021 respectively. This is the biggest support in the history of Bitcoin and cannot be violated.
The consolidation in late 2024 also works as a very strong support range and this is our baseline but prices are set to bounce, always, around 80K.
This is why 40,000 is just a dream, or a bad joke, and not possible. Bitcoin is going up.
The 2025 bull-market
It is a fact that 2025 has been bearish, the first two months. For Bitcoin it has been sideways and now we have bearish action. This is all perfect and it is all good. All is well that ends well. Since the bearish action is happening now, the bullish happen will happen later on.
As we all know, new All-Time Highs will happen in late 2025. Make sense, it is logic. I can see it, grasp it, hear it, feel it.
Cryptocurrency is going to undergo the biggest bull-market in its history in 2025.
The bull-market is not over because it has yet to start.
Hold easy and hold strong.
Panic hold.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March?🚀📈 Delayed Cycle Kicks Off This March? 🔥💡
March has (almost) arrived, and Bitcoin has officially confirmed $79,478 as major structural support—a critical level that had to be checked before the next move. This aligns perfectly with my previous idea of a delayed cycle playing out.
📌 Long above $79K
📌 Short below $79K
📌 Short-term target: $GETTEX:87K+
With this structural support holding, I expect Bitcoin to push toward the next major test: $113,800. This is the all-time trendline, a level of historical significance.
🔑 What happens at $113K?
This is where Bitcoin’s fate for this cycle will be decided:
✅ A breakout above $113K could unlock a run to $150K - $200K, a true extension of this cycle.
❌ A terminal rejection at $113K could mark the end of this cycle, signaling a broader correction phase.
At the moment, the probabilities lean toward further upside, with an 80% chance of continuation. The 20% downside risk remains for a dip to $FWB:65K-$66K, but as long as Bitcoin stays above $79K, the bullish thesis remains intact.
💡 March looks strong, and I’m stepping on the gas today.
Let’s make it a powerful month! 🚀
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTC no panic sell just liquidity sweepNo reason for panic. Whales are just chasing liquidity in lower areas which if removed now prevents price drops later so keep smiling as this is definitely you would want to do if you were whale. Just wait, alts are not dropping at light speed, some are growing and this is good sign the BTC bottom is near. Hold tight.
Once this is done, we are going up.
Bitcoin- Fibonacci Retest and Oversold RSIBitcoin's daily chart shows a significant price retracement, currently testing the key 0.5 Fibonacci level around $79,000. This level historically acts as a strong support zone during corrective phases. If BTC holds above this level, it could signal a potential rebound. However, if it breaks lower, the next major support is near $72,000 (0.618 Fibonacci level).
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to the 20 level, indicating extreme oversold conditions. Historically, such low RSI readings have led to strong reversals. If buying pressure emerges, BTC could see a recovery from these levels.
Regards
Hexa
Bitcoin Has Dropped $20K in a Single Week! Where’s the Bottom?Hey followers,
Crazy times, huh? I was just looking at the Bitcoin chart, and I don’t see any other week in history with a $20K retracement, absolutely wild.
I haven’t done much BTC analysis lately, but the last time I did, I warned: “Money on your screen won’t feed your family—turn it into real gains.” Well, here we are. Once again, two simple criteria have proven their ability to predict profit-taking areas and potential corrections:
📌 Channel projection
📌 Equal waves
Now, with this massive sell-off, it’s time to hunt for strong support zones. Percent-wise, the weekly drop might not be extreme, but in raw dollar terms, it should be the biggest in BTC’s history. So, where could this madness stop?
For me, the 48K–$66K range is where things get interesting. Somewhere inside this zone, I expect a reaction, and I’ll be looking for possible reversal setups. Let’s break down the key reasons why this area is a potential landing spot:
🔹 1. Previous yearly highs acting as support
In 2021, Bitcoin saw two major sell-offs in the $60K–$70K range. Then, in early 2024, the same zone acted as a strong resistance before BTC finally broke through.
When a zone like this is left untested, it often pulls the price back like a magnet for a retest, a classic case of liquidity seeking validation. That’s why this area forms the foundation of my support box.
🔹 2. Short-term trendline alignment
This trendline, drawn from wick touches, is valid because the third touch happens higher than the peak between the first and second touches, comes to retest the trendline from higher high levels (HH). Even though it’s short-term, it perfectly aligns with the horizontal support zone, adding extra confluence.
🔹 3. 50% retracement from the all-time high
From my past crypto analysis, BTC loves its 50% retracements from all-time highs—like clockwork. And guess what? This level perfectly overlaps with the marked support zone, reinforcing its strength.
🔹 4. The psychological $50K level
Round numbers play a big role in trading, humans love them. Back in August 2024, $50K acted as a key level. I even mentioned on a local radio station earlier that year that buying the dip around here could be a smart move… and, well, lucky me, it worked out. :)
So once again, this simple but effective criterion strengthens the case for this area.
Putting all these criteria together:
Summary:
The more confluences in a single price zone, the stronger it is. Sure, we could add some fake trendlines or EMAs, but for me, price action and human psychology tell the real story. Think of it like tracking footprints in the snow, BTC leaves clues, and it’s our job to follow them.
- For long-term believers, this zone could be a solid place to accumulate more BTC.
- For those looking to enter Bitcoin for the first time, this is the area to watch.
What do you think? Are we heading lower, or...
🚀If you like the analysis, hit the boost as well🚀
Cheers,
Vaido
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Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level.
A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure.
Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month?
If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Here’s where we could see solid support:
Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time
Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March
Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark
Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K
Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone
Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region
Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup
Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears
Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement
233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside
Potential Trade Setups
Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K
Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades.
New Indicator Release
The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
bermuda triangles on #BTC where the money disappear2 options where BTC may end the descent and turn
We are about to complete a downward impulse in C of the flat correction on bitcoin
there's a confluence on FIbs - option one with a decent liquidity level
and an intersection of a impulse's dynamic support with a livermore's channel on weekly timeframe
February 27 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 10:30 in a little while.
It is rebounding after breaking away from the previous low yesterday,
but today's main point of view is the Bollinger Band 4-hour chart's center line touch section.
Both Nasdaq and Bitcoin are in similar positions.
I created today's strategy centered on this part.
The purple finger at $82,610 on the lower left
is the 3rd place in the long position entry section on February 26.
* When the blue finger moves,
it is a short->long switching strategy centered on long positions.
1. $88,577.5 short position entry point / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. $85,093.5 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
3. $92,090.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
If it reaches the Good section, the final short position switching
(Approximately the center line of the 12-hour Bollinger Band chart.)
If it falls immediately from the current position,
The 1st section at the bottom, $85,724.5, becomes the long position entry point.
(Same stop loss price when green support line is broken)
Since there is pressure from the 4-hour MACD dead cross in the Tether Dominance that moves in the opposite direction of the beat,
If it succeeds in rebounding in section 1,
There is also a possibility that it will strongly break through the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart. (Bitcoin is in the process of a 4-hour chart MACD golden cross)
In real time, Nasdaq is touching the center line of the 4-hour chart first.
The proper order has finally been created.
Even if Bitcoin doesn't rest on the weekend,
the order of Nasdaq -> Bitcoin is correct in terms of the pattern.
With the forced coupling with Nasdaq,
today's analysis is particularly difficult from the drawing to the entry point haha
The 2nd section at the bottom is the final long position entry point for today,
and if it reaches this section,
there is a low probability of a sweep in Tether dominance. (Bit case skyrockets)
Bottom is a double bottom -> There is a possibility of additional adjustment in the 3rd section,
so please note, and this week, if possible, it would have been good if the previous low was not broken,
but it ended up breaking and is going through a difficult time.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference and only as a level of use,
and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin on 2h chart Hello, dear friends! Welcome to my page🫶
Today, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 2-hour timeframe. There is a fascinating pattern emerging that I'd like to discuss. 🧐
I've drawn long-term support and resistance lines that have been forming since February and March of this year. Today, Bitcoin is attempting to break through a descending trendline. For many, this might seem like a bullish signal, but let's not jump to conclusions just yet. On the 2-hour chart, we can see that the price continues to form a rising wedge, which is typically considered a bearish signal, often resulting in a downward breakout.
At this moment, I see the possibility of the price rising into the blue zone, followed by a sharp decline. To provide a clearer picture, I'll also include a more long-term chart so you can better understand my analysis.
What are Your thoughts? How are You feeling about the market? Where do You think the price will go next? Share Your insights in the comments, I'm looking forward to hearing from You.
Thanks for Your attention💋
Always Yours, Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin's Symmetrical Triangle Hi friends, whenever I have a moment of free time, I immediately come to share my thoughts on Bitcoin's price movement with You🩷
Since February 24th, Bitcoin has been forming a technical pattern known as a symmetrical triangle, often seen as a sign of market indecision. This pattern is characterized by the price oscillating between converging support and resistance lines, indicating a balance of buying and selling pressures.
Currently, Bitcoin's price is fluctuating within this triangle, gravitating towards the upper resistance line. As the apex of the triangle approaches, the market's uncertainty could culminate in a decisive move. Given the historical behavior of similar patterns, it is plausible that we may witness a sharp price decline soon, potentially reaching levels as low as $60,000 to $58,000.
This anticipated move aligns with the technical analysis principles, where symmetrical triangles often precede significant price breakouts or breakdowns. Traders should monitor these key support and resistance levels closely and consider the broader market context and potential external factors that could influence Bitcoin's price action.
What do You think? What can we expect after the formation of this triangle? It's certain that there will be a strong movement, but will it go up or down?
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Truly Yours, Kateryna💋
ROAD TO 130K !!!Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to $130k . it might happen.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Dropped Below $80k: Will This Nightmare Will Be Stopped?Hello, Skyrexians!
Despite the extreme fear tonight BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues going down and finally broke $80k. Investors are panic selling right now and don't know what to do. But we pointed out earlier that the most impulsive part of bull run ahead and current dump is just the correction.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see that the potentially strongest reversal signal has been broken. We are talking about divergence with AO. That is the reason why we marked that waves 1 and 2 like you see on the chart. According to this counting we can see that wave's 3 targets are at the $140k and $190k. At the same time we wanna tell you that the strong resistance is located at 1 Fibonacci level at $110k and we have seen it already.
Current dump is wave 2 inside wave 3. It has the target between 0.5 and 0.61. The first one has been already reached. We expect reversal from here. Moreover Fractal Trend Detector is showing us bull run support with the green zone and now we see its retest.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Check accuracy from last post, for BTC Here's an example demonstrating how BTC hits liquidity when you have the right knowledge to capitalize on it. Check my last post just a few points shy of the entry, but the speed at which it reached the target is incredible, showcasing both trend following and liquidity sweeping.