April 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock in a little while.
After the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross was imprinted yesterday
Today, two things are clear
*Red finger strong rise or purple finger major rebound.
The main issue was whether the 6-hour chart MACD dead cross occurred
After writing the analysis, looking at the overall movement
The purple finger seems strong today.
Let's apply it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
At the bottom left, I connected the long position entry point of $93,046 that I entered in the analysis article on the 25th.
Bitcoin and Tether dominance are moving sideways.
Bitcoin is slightly more advantageous in terms of MACD signals or Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
but it is not strange if one side skyrockets or plummets.
While moving sideways, I was watching Nasdaq,
and I paid attention to the Nasdaq movement.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. 94242.4 dollar long position entry section / green support line breakaway stop loss price
2. 96005.1 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target -> Final Good
The 1st section at the top is the rising wave position
If you touch it first, the possibility of success of the strategy increases.
If the strategy is successful, it would be good to use it as the final long position re-entry.
Depending on the adjustment coming out of Nasdaq, it can be pushed up to section 2
Roughly, it is the support line of the Bollinger Band 6-hour chart.
If the rebound fails in Nasdaq
Bottom -> Please note that it can be pushed to section 3.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a simple reference and use.
Thank you.
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD | Bearish Rejection from Order Block Zone | Choch Confirm📉 BTCUSD – 30M SMC Breakdown | April 30, 2025
Bitcoin just printed a clean bearish reaction from a high-probability supply zone, aligned with Smart Money tactics.
📍 Technical Breakdown:
Order Block (OB) marked clearly near 95,474 – 95,756, sitting in a premium price zone.
Price returned to this OB after a previous Change of Character (Choch) to the downside — a clear signal of distribution.
The Strong High remains intact — no structural break = institutional control still active.
Rejection wicks and slow momentum near the OB confirm buyer exhaustion.
🎯 Setup Breakdown:
Entry Zone: 95,474 – 95,756
SL: Above 95,800 (invalidates OB)
TP Zone:
TP1: 94,600
TP2: 94,000
TP3: 93,480 (next liquidity pool near the Weak Low)
Risk:Reward ~ 1:3.5+
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
This is where retail traders start buying the breakout — but Smart Money knows better.
They set traps in the OB, then reverse price for maximum stop hunts.
🔁 Market Psychology:
Choch = shift in sentiment
Price retesting OB = liquidity hunt
Weak Low = magnet for future price sweep
This short setup aligns with mitigation + manipulation + distribution.
📌 What to Watch:
If price fails to break Strong High → short bias remains
If we break below 94,600 → hold for full TP at 93,480
Re-entry possible on LTF pullbacks into new internal OBs
🧠 Execution Note:
Be patient — price might dance in OB before melting. Let it reject, confirm, and flow.
🔥 Final Word:
This setup is clean, logical, and follows institutional flow. If you missed the first touch, wait for a lower-timeframe pullback entry.
Smart traders don’t chase price — they let it come to them. 🧘♂️📉
🗣️ Comment “BTC BEAR ZONE” if you caught this short setup.
📥 Save this post — real case study for Smart Money traders.
📡 Share this with your trading group — gems like this don’t show up daily.
Bitcoin H4 | Falling toward a swing-low supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 91,933.60 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 87,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 99,342.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
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It is yours to take...Back in 2024 after the early August low Bitcoin produced three weeks green. There was first a small bounce, a higher low followed by three weeks candles closing green. Today is the same. After these three weeks one last red week and then the start of major advance. Bitcoin grew from a low of $52,500 to a high of $110,000.
The rise started with the three white soldiers signal again today is the same, what will you do?
It was a rise of more than 100% and yet still not the bull market year based on the halving and past history.
Bitcoin launched 2009 four years later the first major bull market and All-Time High, we all know the story in 2013. MtGox and the rest. It continues and exactly four years later we get a new All-Time High, major growth and Bitcoin goes mainstream, everybody knows about Bitcoin now and it is 2017. It doesn't stop, it continues.
Then the market crashes the end is near and people start to quit, none of those are like me who continue to post, to publish, to fight, to persist and to win. In 2021 the story is not new already old, Bitcoin hits a new All-Time High, exactly four years later and four years after 2021 is 2025... We are already in late April and no bullish action this year, are we late?
If the August low marks the start of the current advance a new All-Time High can happen in August 2025 but no, too soon, right now there are too many Altcoins.
In November 2024 Bitcoin broke above $80,000 for the first time in its history and this is the biggest development in years from a bullish perspective. So we can take November as the starting date. If we calculate one year then the next All-Time High can happen in November 2025 are we late?
Any buy below $100,000 is still a bargain we are not late at all. The next All-Time High can happen in August, in November, in December 2025 or even in Mach 2026 that doesn't matter at all, really. What truly matters right now is to buy and hold and go LONG do you agree?
That's it. This is the opportunity that your life will change.
It is right in front of you right now, it is yours to take.
Buy Bitcoin and hold.
You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
Is Bitcoin Overextended? Here's My Trade Plan If BTC Retraces!Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis 📝
🚀 Current Market Structure:
The daily BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong bullish trend, with price action recently making a significant upward move. The current candles are consolidating near the highs, suggesting a potential overextension after a parabolic rally. This often precedes a corrective phase, as buyers may take profits and new participants wait for a more favorable entry.
🔍 Wyckoff Perspective:
Your approach aligns with the Wyckoff Method, specifically looking for a retracement to the 50% level of the current swing. This would place the ideal entry zone around the $93,071 area, as marked on your chart. According to Wyckoff, after such a retrace, we should watch for an accumulation range—a period of sideways movement where smart money absorbs supply. The key signal to watch for is a "spring" (a false breakdown below the range), followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming demand dominance.
🌐 Fundamental Backdrop:
Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains supported by several macro factors:
Institutional adoption continues, with ETFs and large funds increasing exposure.
The recent halving event has reduced new supply, historically a bullish catalyst.
Regulatory clarity in major markets (e.g., US, EU) is improving, reducing uncertainty. However, risks remain from potential regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (such as interest rate hikes), and geopolitical tensions.
💬 Sentiment & Analyst Consensus:
Market sentiment is currently optimistic, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the "Greed" zone. Many analysts are calling for a healthy correction before the next leg up, echoing your expectation of a retrace. Some prominent voices suggest that a pullback to the $92,000–$94,000 range would be constructive, allowing for reaccumulation and a more sustainable rally.
📈 Technical Triggers to Watch:
Retrace to 50% Level: Monitor for price action around $93,071–$94,593.
Accumulation Range: Look for a period of low volatility and tight range after the retrace.
Spring & Breakout: A false breakdown below the range, quickly reclaimed, followed by a strong bullish candle, would be the classic Wyckoff entry trigger.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
BTC LONG TP:96,000 27-04-2025🚀 Bounce incoming!
We’re going LONG aiming for 96,000, backed by a strong 2H rebound setup 📈
Entry range is between 92,100 and 92,700 — perfect zone to stack up and average in smart.
We expect this move to develop within 14 to 20 hours, so timing is 🔑!
Clear bullish bounce signals — don’t miss the wave!
Follow me for real-time updates and let’s catch those greens together 💚🔥💰
Bitcoin's Crossroads: Golden Cross Signals, Capital Floods In
The Bitcoin narrative is rarely static. It oscillates between fervent optimism and deep skepticism, driven by a complex interplay of technical patterns, on-chain data, macroeconomic shifts, and evolving investor perceptions. Recently, several compelling signals have converged, painting a picture of a market potentially at a significant juncture. A rare "Golden Cross" technical pattern has formed, an event often associated with the start of major bull cycles. Simultaneously, on-chain data reveals a surge in "hot supply," indicating a significant influx of new capital and heightened market activity. Adding another layer, Bitcoin demonstrated surprising resilience and relative strength against traditional assets like gold and tech stocks during recent market turbulence, exhibiting an unusually low beta that hints at potential maturation.
This confluence of technical momentum, fresh capital inflow, and changing market behavior warrants a deep dive. What exactly is the Golden Cross, and what does its appearance portend for Bitcoin? How should we interpret the nearly $40 billion in "hot supply," and what risks and opportunities does this influx of potentially newer, less experienced capital present? And critically, does Bitcoin's recent outperformance and low correlation signal a fundamental shift in its role within the broader financial landscape? This article will dissect these interconnected developments, exploring their historical context, potential implications, and the inherent uncertainties that always accompany the world's leading cryptocurrency.
Decoding the Golden Cross: A Technical Harbinger?
Technical analysis (TA) is a cornerstone of trading in many markets, including cryptocurrency. It involves studying past price action and volume data to identify patterns and trends that might predict future movements. One of the most widely recognized and discussed bullish signals in TA is the "Golden Cross."
• What is a Golden Cross? A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term moving average (MA) of an asset's price crosses above a longer-term moving average. The most commonly watched Golden Cross involves the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossing above the 200-day SMA.
o The 50-day SMA reflects the average closing price over the last 50 trading days, representing recent momentum.
o The 200-day SMA reflects the average closing price over the last 200 trading days, representing the longer-term underlying trend.
• Traditional Interpretation: When the faster-moving 50-day MA overtakes the slower 200-day MA, it suggests that recent price momentum is strengthening significantly relative to the long-term trend. Technicians interpret this as a potential confirmation that a bottom may be in, and a new, sustained uptrend could be starting. It's often seen as a lagging indicator (confirming a trend already underway) but one that can signal the potential for significant further upside. Conversely, the opposite pattern, where the 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA, is known as a "Death Cross" and is considered a bearish signal.
• The "Once Per Cycle" Phenomenon: The claim that this specific Golden Cross (50-day crossing 200-day) happens "once every cycle" for Bitcoin generally refers to its appearance after major bear market bottoms and preceding significant bull runs in Bitcoin's roughly four-year halving cycles. Historically, looking back at Bitcoin's chart, these crosses have indeed often preceded periods of substantial price appreciation. For example, Golden Crosses occurred in 2012, 2015, 2019, and 2020, each preceding major bull markets, albeit with varying time lags and magnitudes.
• Historical Performance and Caveats: While historically bullish for Bitcoin, the Golden Cross is not an infallible predictor.
o Lagging Nature: By the time the cross occurs, a significant portion of the initial rally off the bottom may have already happened.
o False Signals: Markets can experience "whipsaws," where a Golden Cross forms briefly only to reverse into a Death Cross shortly after, trapping overly eager bulls. This was seen briefly in some shorter timeframes or even on the daily chart during choppy periods in Bitcoin's history.
o Context Matters: The broader market environment, macroeconomic factors, and fundamental developments play crucial roles. A Golden Cross during a period of intense regulatory crackdown or global recession might not have the same impact as one occurring during quantitative easing and growing institutional interest.
o Confirmation Needed: Traders often look for confirmation signals after a Golden Cross, such as sustained price action above the moving averages, increasing volume, or bullish follow-through patterns.
What to Expect from the Golden Cross?
The formation of a Golden Cross on Bitcoin's daily chart is undeniably a positive technical development that captures market attention. It suggests underlying strength and improving medium-term momentum. Historically, it has often marked the transition from a bear market recovery phase to a more sustained uptrend.
However, expectations should be tempered with caution. It's a signal, not a guarantee. It indicates potential but requires confirmation through continued price strength and favorable market conditions. Relying solely on this pattern for investment decisions is risky. It should be considered alongside other factors – on-chain data, fundamental developments, and macroeconomic context – to form a more complete picture. The most reasonable expectation is that the Golden Cross increases the probability of further upside but doesn't eliminate the possibility of consolidation, pullbacks, or even failure of the nascent uptrend.
The Heat is On: Understanding the Surge in 'Hot Supply'
While technical analysis looks at price charts, on-chain analysis delves into the activity happening directly on the Bitcoin blockchain, providing insights into investor behavior and capital flows. A key metric highlighted recently is the rise of "Bitcoin hot supply."
• What is 'Hot Supply'? "Hot Supply" typically refers to Bitcoin that has been moved on the blockchain relatively recently, often within the last few months (definitions can vary slightly between analytics platforms, e.g., coins moved within the last 1-3 months or sometimes up to 6 months). These coins are considered "hot" because they are more likely to be involved in active trading or spending, as opposed to "cold" supply held in long-term storage (often associated with HODlers). It represents the portion of the Bitcoin supply that is more liquid and actively circulating.
• Nearing $40 Billion: The fact that this hot supply is nearing a value of $40 billion is significant. It indicates a substantial amount of Bitcoin changing hands and reflects a "surge in capital turnover," as described in the analysis. This suggests heightened market activity, increased liquidity, and, crucially, the entry of new participants or the reactivation of dormant capital.
• New Investors Flooding In (at High Prices?): The analysis explicitly links this surge to new investors and speculators taking an interest, likely attracted by Bitcoin's recent price recovery and multi-month highs. The mention of "$95K" (even if potentially a typo or hypothetical peak target in the source analysis) symbolizes the risk that many of these new entrants might have acquired Bitcoin at relatively elevated prices compared to the cycle lows. This creates a cohort of investors with a higher cost basis.
• Implications of High Hot Supply:
o Increased Liquidity: More coins moving means more potential buyers and sellers, which can facilitate smoother price discovery and larger trades.
o Fuel for Rallies: An influx of new capital provides buying pressure that can sustain upward price momentum. Speculative interest often feeds on itself in bull markets.
o Increased Volatility: Coins held by newer entrants or short-term speculators are often considered "weaker hands." These holders may be more susceptible to panic selling during price dips or quick profit-taking during rallies, potentially leading to sharper price swings in both directions.
o Potential Overhead Supply: If the price stalls or reverses, the large volume of coins acquired at recent highs ( SGX:40B worth moved recently) represents potential selling pressure as these holders seek to break even or cut losses.
Interpreting the Influx:
The surge in hot supply is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it confirms growing interest and provides the necessary capital flow to potentially validate the bullish signal from the Golden Cross. New demand is essential for sustained price increases. On the other hand, it introduces a layer of fragility. The market's ability to absorb potential selling from these newer, higher-cost-basis holders during inevitable corrections will be a key test of the underlying strength of the current trend. Monitoring whether this "hot supply" gradually cools down (moves into longer-term holding) or remains elevated will be crucial in the coming months.
Bitcoin's Relative Strength: Outshining Gold and Tech Amid Turmoil
Beyond technicals and on-chain flows, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets, especially during periods of market stress, offers valuable insights into its evolving perception. The observation that Bitcoin outperformed both gold (a traditional safe-haven) and tech stocks (risk-on assets) in April, particularly amidst "tariff turmoil" or other geopolitical/economic uncertainties, is noteworthy.
• Challenging Correlations: Historically, Bitcoin often traded with a high correlation to risk assets like tech stocks, particularly during market downturns. Investors tended to sell Bitcoin alongside equities during risk-off periods. Gold, conversely, often acts as a safe haven, rallying during uncertainty. Bitcoin outperforming both simultaneously suggests a potential breakdown in these typical correlations, at least temporarily.
• Why the Outperformance? Several factors could contribute:
o Unique Drivers: Bitcoin's price is influenced by factors unique to its ecosystem, such as halving cycles, adoption news, regulatory developments, and flows into new instruments like spot ETFs. These can sometimes override broader market trends.
o Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistent inflation concerns may lead some investors to seek alternatives to fiat currency, benefiting both gold and Bitcoin, but perhaps Bitcoin more so due to its perceived higher growth potential.
o Safe-Haven Experimentation: While gold remains the established safe haven, some investors might be tentatively allocating a small portion to Bitcoin as a potential alternative store of value or hedge against systemic risk, especially if they perceive traditional systems as vulnerable.
o Decoupling Narrative: Some proponents argue that Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from traditional markets as it matures and establishes itself as a distinct asset class. The recent performance could be seen as evidence supporting this view.
o Coincidence/Timing: It's also possible that the timing was coincidental, with Bitcoin-specific catalysts driving its price higher while unrelated factors weighed on gold and tech stocks during that specific period.
Significance of Relative Strength:
Demonstrating strength during periods when traditional assets are struggling enhances Bitcoin's appeal. It challenges the simplistic "risk-on only" label and suggests it might offer diversification benefits. If this pattern persists over longer periods and across different market stressors, it could significantly bolster the case for Bitcoin's inclusion in traditional investment portfolios.
Maturation Signal? The Low Beta Phenomenon
Closely related to relative strength is the concept of beta. Beta measures the volatility or systematic risk of an asset compared to the overall market (often represented by an index like the S&P 500).
• Beta Explained:
o A beta of 1 indicates the asset's price tends to move with the market.
o A beta greater than 1 indicates the asset is more volatile than the market.
o A beta less than 1 indicates the asset is less volatile than the market.
o A beta of 0 suggests no correlation.
• Bitcoin's Historically High Beta: Traditionally, Bitcoin has exhibited a high beta, especially relative to equity markets. It was often seen as a high-volatility asset that amplified broader market moves, particularly to the downside during risk-off events.
• Recent Low Beta Observation: The finding that Bitcoin displayed an "unusually low beta during recent market stress" is significant. It implies that its price movements were less correlated with, and potentially less volatile than, the broader market during that period of turbulence.
• Implications of Low Beta:
o Maturation Narrative: A lower, less correlated beta is often characteristic of more mature assets or distinct asset classes. It suggests investors might be viewing Bitcoin with a longer-term perspective, less prone to knee-jerk selling based on short-term fluctuations in other markets.
o Diversification Potential: Assets with low correlation to traditional portfolios (like stocks and bonds) are valuable for diversification, as they can potentially reduce overall portfolio volatility. A sustained low beta would strengthen Bitcoin's diversification credentials.
o Shift in Holder Base?: It could indicate a shift towards more institutional and long-term holders who are less reactive to daily market noise compared to purely retail speculators.
o Store of Value Aspirations: While still highly volatile compared to traditional stores of value like gold, a decreasing beta could be interpreted as a tentative step towards fulfilling some store-of-value properties, particularly if it holds value better than risk assets during downturns.
Is it Sustainable?
While the recent low beta is an encouraging sign for Bitcoin bulls and proponents of its maturation narrative, it's crucial to question its sustainability. Was it a temporary anomaly driven by specific market conditions in April, or does it represent a durable shift? Bitcoin's correlation and beta have fluctuated throughout its history. Renewed market panic, significant regulatory shocks, or major shifts in macroeconomic policy could potentially cause correlations to snap back. Continued observation across different market environments is needed to determine if this low beta is a new regime or a fleeting characteristic.
Synthesizing the Signals: A Complex Tapestry
Bringing these threads together – the Golden Cross, the surge in hot supply, relative outperformance, and low beta – reveals a complex and somewhat contradictory picture:
1. Technical Momentum Meets New Money: The Golden Cross provides a technically bullish backdrop, potentially encouraging more participants. The SGX:40B in hot supply confirms that new capital is entering, providing the fuel that could validate the technical signal.
2. Speculation vs. Maturation: The influx of hot supply points towards increased speculation and potentially "weaker hands." Yet, the low beta and relative outperformance during stress hint at underlying strength and potential maturation, suggesting a core base of holders is becoming less reactive. This highlights the heterogeneous nature of the Bitcoin market, with different investor cohorts exhibiting different behaviors simultaneously.
3. Opportunity and Risk: The convergence creates both opportunity and risk. The opportunity lies in the potential for the Golden Cross and new capital to ignite a sustained rally, further bolstered if Bitcoin continues to act as a diversifier (low beta). The risk lies in the potential fragility introduced by the high volume of recent entrants (hot supply) who might capitulate during dips, potentially invalidating the Golden Cross and reversing the low beta trend.
The current environment suggests Bitcoin is navigating a transition. The technicals point upwards, fresh capital is flowing in, and its behavior relative to traditional markets is showing intriguing signs of change. However, the presence of significant "hot" money serves as a reminder that volatility and sharp corrections remain distinct possibilities.
Overarching Risks and Necessary Caveats
Despite the positive signals, numerous risks persist:
• Technical Analysis is Not Predictive: The Golden Cross is a historical pattern, not a crystal ball. It can fail.
• 'Hot Supply' Risk: A large cohort of investors with a high cost basis can become a source of significant selling pressure if sentiment shifts.
• Macroeconomic Headwinds: Persistent inflation, rising interest rates (globally), geopolitical conflicts, or a global recession could dampen appetite for risk assets, including Bitcoin.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: While spot ETFs marked progress, the global regulatory landscape for crypto remains fragmented and uncertain. Unexpected crackdowns remain a threat.
• Correlation Risk: The low beta and decoupling narrative could prove temporary. Bitcoin could easily recouple with risk assets during a broader market panic.
Conclusion: Bitcoin at an Inflection Point?
Bitcoin currently stands at a fascinating crossroads, illuminated by a confluence of compelling, albeit sometimes conflicting, signals. The rare Golden Cross offers a technically bullish omen, suggesting underlying momentum is shifting favorably for a potential long-term uptrend, echoing patterns seen in previous cycles. This technical optimism is fueled by tangible evidence of renewed interest, with nearly $40 billion in "hot supply" indicating a significant surge in capital turnover and the arrival of fresh speculative and investment capital.
Simultaneously, Bitcoin's recent behavior exhibits intriguing signs of potential maturation. Its ability to outperform traditional safe havens like gold and risk assets like tech stocks during periods of market stress, coupled with an unusually low beta, challenges its historical "risk-on only" profile. This suggests a growing base of investors may be viewing it through a longer-term lens, potentially as a unique store of value or a portfolio diversifier, less swayed by short-term market noise.
However, this complex picture demands caution. The very influx of capital that fuels optimism also introduces fragility, as newer entrants with higher cost bases may be quicker to sell during downturns. The Golden Cross, while historically significant, remains a lagging indicator with no guarantee of future success. And the low beta, while encouraging, could prove ephemeral in the face of severe macroeconomic shocks or shifts in market sentiment.
Ultimately, Bitcoin's trajectory towards 2030 and beyond will depend on its ability to navigate these dynamics. Can it convert the current technical momentum and capital influx into a sustainable trend? Will its utility and adoption grow sufficiently to solidify its role beyond pure speculation? Will it continue to carve out a unique space in the financial ecosystem, proving its resilience and diversification benefits across various market conditions? The current signals suggest the potential is there, but the path forward remains intrinsically linked to broader economic forces, regulatory evolution, and the ever-unpredictable psychology of the market. Bitcoin is flashing signs of both renewed vigor and evolving character, making the coming months and years critical in defining its future role.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Bullish Setup: Buy Zone to Target Levels Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key points:
Support Zone: Strong support is identified in the yellow zone around 3,290–3,293, where price has bounced multiple times.
Buy Zone: Market is currently in a potential buy zone just above support, signaling a possible long entry.
Targets:
1st target: Around 3,368
2nd target: Around 3,419
All-Time High: Marked as a potential long-term resistance above 3,500.
Outlook: If price respects the support and buy zone, the market may rally toward the 1st and 2nd targets. Watch for bullish confirmation before entering.
Bitcoin's 215-Day Pattern: Another Breakout Loading?The Bitcoin chart shows a repeating pattern of consolidation lasting 215 days before each major upward breakout. This cycle has occurred multiple times over the past two years, with each accumulation zone followed by a strong bullish rally.
Currently, Bitcoin is once again emerging from a similar 215-day consolidation phase, suggesting the potential for another significant move to the upside if the pattern holds. If history repeats, we could see a target around $150K.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC
BTC Correction Likely Before ATHBTCUSDT technical analysis update
BTC price could drop to the GETTEX:89K –$91K range before moving higher. There's a CME futures gap at $90.7K, which may act like a magnet. BTC has strong support around $90K and may see a small pullback before reaching a new all-time high.
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis: Breakout Incoming?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this juicy BTCUSDT 1-hour chart. Bitcoin is teasing us with some serious action!
We’ve got a textbook symmetrical triangle pattern forming, with price consolidating tightly between converging trendlines. This is a classic setup for a big move — Bitcoin is coiling up like a spring, ready to explode!
The chart shows multiple phases of consolidation , with the latest triangle pushing BTC toward a critical decision point near the weekly high of $95,773.15 and the monthly high of $95,119.06.
The price is currently hovering around $95,000, testing resistance. A breakout above the upper trendline could send BTC soaring past $96,600, potentially targeting $97,200 or higher!
On the flip side, a rejection here might see it dip toward the daily low of $92,839.27 or even the lower trendline for support.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95,773.15 (weekly high)
Support: $92,839.27 (daily low)
Breakout Target: $97,200+
Breakdown Target: $92,800
✉ What do you think — bullish breakout or bearish?
Drop your thoughts below!
BTC(20250429) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 29: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive lines. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was in a golden cross operation, but pay attention to two points: First: the technical indicator signal was rising, but the price did not continue to break the high; Second: Although the attached chart indicator was shrinking, it showed a rebound trend after the retracement, and it did not continue, so the current trend was range-bound, and the rhythm was very important; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose but did not break the high yesterday, and the US session was under pressure and then supported and rebounded. It was under pressure again in the Asian morning session, with the high point in the 95700 area and the low point in the 93450 area; the current price is in a sideways correction, so do not take action, just wait and see.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at 95500 area, stop loss at 95900 area, target at 94500-94000 area; buy at 93700 area, stop loss at 93300 area, target at 95000 area; give real-time trading according to real-time trend during the trading session
BTCUSD INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 91940The BTC/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a phase of sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next directional move.
Key Levels:
Support: 91,940 (primary), followed by 90,200 and 88,110
Resistance: 99,300, with extended targets at 101,000 and 103,150
A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 91,940 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 99,300 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 101,000 and 103,150 over the longer term.
Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 91,940 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 90,200 and 88,110 support levels.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, BTC/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 91,940 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-29 : BreakAway in CarryoverToday's pattern is a Breakaway in Carryover mode.
That suggests today's price move will attempt to break away from yesterday's body range and may be somewhat similar to yesterday's price action.
I interpret this pattern as a potential breakdown (breakaway) attempting to possibly find support below 540.
Remember, we are moving into the May 2-5 Major Low cycle pattern - so price should attempt to move downward at this stage.
Gold and Silver are moving through a consolidated topping phase. Where price attempts to push higher through a series of tops. Ultimately, I believe Gold and Silver will make a big breakout move higher (above $3500, $35.00) and attempt to rally up - breaking the $4200+ level (eventually).
Bitcoin seems to be stalling, like the SPY/QQQ, near upper resistance (near the FIB 50% level).
I see this stalling as the markets searching for a trend.
As I keep saying, I have a hard time seeing any reason why the markets will rally to new ATHs in the current environment (except the possibility of pure speculation).
We need to see some real growth expectations for the markets to begin another big rally phase.
Right now, I'm looking for confirmation of my breakdown into the May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern. Let's see if that actually happens or not.
Get some.
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