Bitcoin Part1: bearish Trade Short termBitcoin Macro Index' bear signal puts $110K BTC price return in doubt
Fact is: Bitcoin and ether drop amid grim inflation outlook, tariff uncertainty midterm to long term, as long the white house continues its policy.And PRES: trump cannot prevent it.
A positive change of the white house policy, and improving its relationshipsto other nations,instead putting them with tariffs, will be a boosting positive cataylst also for crypto,specially Bitcoin. Bitcoin has lost in trust of new investors ,specially since 21st of January 2025.
Also participating of Pres. trump in crypto summits had no positive significant signals ,specilly not for Bitcoin.Instead Bitcoin lost now more than 34% since Nov. 2025.
Also many crypto fans are very disappointed about developement of their crypto performances.
Promise gave,Promise ,,NOT,,kept!
It wIll be a very volatile time ahead.
Therefor I prepare for both scenarios:Bullish/Bearish short term.
This is part 1:bEARISH STRATEGY:
Below 78k...bearish momentum will gain more on momentum.
1-BTCUSD
Price drop warning based on historical patternsSo we had a lot of similarities in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC bullish cycle with the previous cycles. I believe it is logical that we will have some similarities in the correction. So I checked based on the Ichimoku indicator and I imagine such a pattern for the future trend of Bitcoin. But this is just one of the possible scenarios. Don't always be bullish. The market has two sides. So always have short trades in your plan. Be with the trend. Be safe.
happy Eid Al-Fitr
Bitcoin Dominance Nearing Major Resistance – Big Move Incoming!Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has been in a strong uptrend and is now approaching a key resistance zone between 65% - 75%. Historically, this level has acted as a major turning point, leading to significant shifts in market dynamics.
✅ BTC.D has broken above long-term trendline resistance.
✅ The 62%-65% zone is a strong supply area where dominance previously reversed.
✅ A fakeout above resistance could trigger a sharp rejection, leading to a decline in BTC dominance.
✅ The projected drop in BTC.D (expected in Q3 2025) aligns with potential altcoin strength, signaling an upcoming altseason.
🔸 BTC dominance could push toward 75% before a rejection.
🔸 This move could coincide with Bitcoin reaching $100K+ levels
🔸 If BTC.D gets rejected at resistance, a sharp drop toward 50% or lower could fuel a massive altcoin rally in Q3 2025.
🔸 This scenario aligns with past cycles, where BTC.D peaked before capital rotated into altcoins.
⚡️ BTC dominance is nearing a make-or-break level – a rejection could mark the start of altseason 2025, while a breakout could further strengthen BTC’s dominance.
💬 What do you think? Will BTC.D break higher, or is altseason around the corner? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Jambo update!!BYBIT:JUSDT.P
An update on jambo, i pasted the screenshot of my first interest on the chart so you guys get a better idea of what im talking about. I would keep this in mind as it gives a good example of what patience looks like.
We are down at a price that looks great, now it would make sense to wait for a reaction at this deep support zone on the weekly chart... if the 4hr from here reacts nicely, ill be watching for a retracement to snipe from the 15m.
Ill update again, I've only got two outcomes!!
Analysis of Bitcoin’s Price MovementsI. Technical Analysis
(1) Support and Resistance Levels
BTC has formed a strong support level at $80,000. Judging from past market performances, this price level has successfully withstood selling pressure multiple times, demonstrating the market's recognition of its value at this price. When the price dropped to $82,000, a certain degree of rebound occurred, indicating the presence of buying support below. This also indirectly confirms the effectiveness of the $80,000 support level. As a resistance level, $87,000 restricts the upward movement of BTC. The failure of this attempt to break through $89,000 indicates that selling pressure is relatively strong above this price level.
(2) Moving Average System
Although the short - term moving averages of BTC have turned downward to some extent due to price declines, the long - term moving averages still maintain an upward trend. This indicates that, in the long run, the upward trend of BTC has not been completely disrupted. Short - term price fluctuations may just be normal market adjustments. When the short - term moving averages gradually recover and cross above the long - term moving averages again, a golden cross is expected to form, providing technical support for the upward movement of BTC.
(3) Technical Indicators
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that BTC is currently in the oversold zone, which means there may be excessive selling in the market. Once market sentiment recovers, the price of BTC is expected to rebound. In addition, although the MACD indicator shows a bearish signal, the bearish momentum is gradually weakening, suggesting that the market may be on the verge of a reversal.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@80500 - 81000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin at a Crossroads – Two Paths, One TruthThe market is at a breaking point. Retail traders are still guessing. The real players already know. This isn’t just about price action—it’s about power.
Scenario 1 – The Bullish Illusion? 🚀
BTC is breaking out of a falling wedge on the weekly timeframe—a textbook bullish signal. If momentum holds above $90K, we could see an explosive push to new all-time highs. Liquidity is there. Whales are positioning.
✅ LONG ENTRY: $81,000 – $85,000
🎯 Targets:
Short Term: $117,983
Mid Term: $134,291
Long Term: $148,822 🌍💥
🔻 STOP LOSS: $78,000 – Because risk management isn’t optional.
But here’s the problem… the game is never that simple.
Scenario 2 – The Elite Trap 🩸
If BTC fails to reclaim $90K, this is a setup. Fake breakouts exist for one reason—to trap retail and liquidate late longs. If smart money decides to pull the plug, BTC gets dumped straight into the liquidity void below.
📌 What to Watch:
Failure to hold $90K = Bull Trap.
Liquidity below $78K = Liquidation Cascade Incoming.
And guess what? Scenario 2 is already in motion.
Retail FOMO’d in.
We shorted the top.
🚨 Bitcoin Short Printing Money – Precision Over Emotion 🚨
📉 SHORT ENTRY: $85,000 – $85,250
🎯 Targets Hit So Far:
✅ $83,800 – Cleared
✅ $83,000 – Cleared
✅ $82,700 – Cleared
✅ $82,000 – Cleared
💰 Massive profits already banked—but the real move is still unfolding.
🔻 Remaining Targets:
🎯 $81,150 → Next Stop
🎯 $79,100 → Breaking Structure
🎯 $77,000 → Liquidity Grab
🎯 $73,900 → Elites Accumulating
🎯 $69,100 - $68,100 → The Real Target Zone
🚨 The Final Move – The True Target? 🚨
A rising wedge successfully broke out on the 1D chart on February 6, 2025. It’s playing out perfectly, and the last target sits at $50,500.
The Only Question Left: When?
Retail keeps chasing the dream. The elites are already cashing in.
🚨 This isn’t speculation—it’s precision. This isn’t emotion—it’s control. The system plays the masses, but we play the system. 🚨
The "Good" Crypto Narrative Is OverIt's been a while since I've done a bit of a deep-dive on this market and why I don't believe it'll sustain a significantly higher value in the future. I no longer have the stamina to write a long-winded post. It's exhausting at this point, and I don't need to reiterate it. Instead, I'll summarize recent developments and their impact on the crypto narrative.
1) The TOTAL crypto market cap currently rests below the all-time high from 2021. This is even including stablecoins. There is $144B worth of USDT currently in circulation. In 2021, that number was $80B. Meanwhile, stock indexes and several individual stocks are significantly up from their last peaks. From a "store of value" standpoint, this doesn't look great, particularly factoring in inflation. Adjusted for inflation, Bitcoin itself is sitting below its inflation-adjusted 2021 all-time high, which is around $84K.
2) Bitcoin active addresses are back to 2017 levels and BELOW the levels from even the previous bear market! This implies that "authentic" adoption has stagnated and begun a decline. studio.glassnode.com
3) In the eyes of a growing number of investors, Trump and Elon's crypto push has only solidified the crypto market as a joke and as a global symbol of greed and corruption.
4) Gold has far outpaced Bitcoin as a store of value during this recent period of turbulence, disproving Bitcoin as a possible safe haven. Here is the Bitcoin/Gold chart for reference:
5) Still, if cryptocurrencies completely ceased to exist, there would be no net-negative effect on the world. In fact, it may be a net-positive. Unless this suddenly changes, crypto does not have any real world value. You cannot say this about most MIL:1T + markets: If most major companies and resources ceased to exist, we'd see a very significant (mostly negative) impact on our daily lives, almost immediately.
In summary, I don't think people will be coming in droves to invest in this market. I think that ship has sailed. The opportunity for it to prove itself has waned, and it has been overtaken by largely bad actors. If anything, I think people are more likely to be forced to buy it than enter the market willingly.
From a technical standpoint, a breakdown from the big uptrend channel in the chart above would likely confirm that the top is in.
---------------------------------------------
Beware, a crypto narrative still exists, but it's only the one fed to us by those in power. It will be important not to fall for it. I worry that people will be forced to own cryptocurrencies, at the expense of their freedom. And even in a situation where crypto prices continue to increase, it is unlikely to be seen positively.
Once we graduate from these strange and confusing times, rife with dissociation, monopolies, grift, and power consolidation, it seems more likely that humanity will look at crypto as part of an uncomfortable past. If we never move on to more optimistic times, and things continue to become more dystopian, well, then that would be a time where crypto adopters can say, "hey, we were right!" But...at what cost?
Regardless, it will always be possible to profit from the volatility, hence my attempts at trading a little recently, with a focus on Litecoin. So, trading opportunities will present themselves, which will keep at least some people interested in this market. I think it is unlikely to be enough liquidity to sustain significant new all-time highs.
Here is my last big post, where I detailed more reasoning - this was prior to the Bitcoin ETF's:
And here is a recent post, where I describe how my own thoughts about the market evolved, from when I first entered in 2017 to the present:
As always, this represents only my opinion, and is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not as financial advice. There are many other opinions out there. It is your responsibility to develop critical thinking.
Thanks for reading as always!
-Victor Cobra
Bitcoin 1-Year Pattern- The art of trading lies in analyzing the past to anticipate the future.
On the yearly timeframe, BTC has consistently followed this cycle:
- 1 year of bearish decline.🟥.
- 1 year of consolidation and bottoming out.🟩.
- 1 year of steady growth.🟩.
- 1 year of explosive upward movement.🟩.
based simply on that :
- 2025 is poised to be a breakout year for BTC.
- 2026 should be the next bear market.
- Everything changes, nothing lasts forever, but as a trader, you must stay on course.
- Don't let market noise shake your confidence.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTCUSD: Free Trading Signal
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy BTCUSD
Entry - 83712
Stop - 80416
Take - 88802
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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BTCUSDT dumping hard, Supports to watch!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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BTC has declined by approximately 7-8% in recent days after reaching $88,000. This recent pullback is attributed to a rejection at the long-term $89,000 resistance. Currently, Bitcoin has fallen to $82,000, breaching several minor support levels. The next critical support zones to monitor are $81,200 and $80,600.
Support Levels:
$82.4k
$81.2k
$80.6k
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
BTC is on the way .BUY DIPObservations:
Ascending Channel:
The price is respecting an upward-sloping channel (orange lines), indicating a bullish trend since mid-2022.
The lower boundary serves as strong support, while the upper boundary acts as resistance.
Support Zones:
Two green rectangles highlight potential demand zones around $82,290 and slightly higher. These zones are likely areas where buyers are expected to step in if the price corrects further.
Resistance Levels:
Key resistance levels are marked with red lines: $108,171, $131,987, $175,479, and $232,111. These may act as profit-taking zones if the price continues to rally.
Current Price Action:
The price ($98,687) seems to be consolidating near the upper range of the channel. If it breaks out above this range, a more significant rally could follow.
Alternatively, a rejection here could trigger a pullback toward the support zones.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
A breakout above the upper channel boundary could lead to testing the $108,171 resistance. Sustained momentum may target the next resistance levels at $131,987 and beyond.
Bearish Case:
If the price fails to break the resistance and drops, the first support to watch is around $82,290. A deeper correction might revisit the channel's lower boundary.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The price could consolidate within the $90,000–$100,000 range before making a decisive move.
BTC(20250329) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) contracts on March 29: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yin line yesterday, and the K-line pattern continued to fall. The price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was golden cross and the volume was shrinking. The general trend is still firmly bearish; we should note that the price will still fluctuate over the weekend, and the probability of continuous decline is relatively small, but it does not mean that it will not fall, but just let everyone not expect too much of the weekend trend; the lower support position focuses on the two previous lows of 80,000 and 76,600. The short-cycle hourly chart shows that the European session fell and the US session continued to break the low position. The current K-line pattern is continuous and positive, and the attached indicator is golden cross. It is likely to be corrected first during the day.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 85,200 area, stop loss at the 85,700 area, and target the 84,200-83,800 area;
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Idea – Short Setup on 15-Min ChartMarket Context:
Bitcoin has been in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the 15-minute timeframe.
The price recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $84,510, indicating strong selling pressure at that zone.
A new low was formed at $83,532, confirming continued bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
Type: Short (Sell)
Entry Zone: $84,000 - $83,800
This zone represents a potential pullback area where sellers might re-enter the market.
The Fibonacci retracement and previous price action confirm resistance in this region.
Stop Loss : $84,240
A stop loss above $84,240 is placed to invalidate the trade if Bitcoin gains bullish momentum beyond the recent swing high.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $82,575
This aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level, a common take-profit zone.
Target 2: $81,775
The 1.414 Fibonacci extension, further confirming a continuation of the trend.
Target 3: $81,380
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension, marking a deep continuation move where price might find stronger support.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Analysis:
The setup offers a high RR ratio, making it a favorable short trade.
The trade allows for tight risk management while targeting a significant move in price.
Confluence Factors Supporting the Short:
Bearish Trend: Price is making lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Retracement Resistance: Rejection from key levels.
Liquidity Grab & Pullback: Price may retest resistance before continuing downward.
Risk-Reward Favorability: Targets align well with market structure.
This setup offers a solid momentum-based short opportunity with clearly defined risk levels and take-profit zones. Traders should monitor the entry zone reaction before confirming the short position. 🚀
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast | Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish MoveIntroduction
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Day Chart Analysis highlights a critical market development: the breakdown of a Rising Wedge pattern, signaling a potential bearish trend. After reaching a new all-time high (ATH) resistance, BTC has shown weakness, confirming a possible reversal. This analysis covers key levels, trend structure, trading setups, and market psychology for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
1️⃣ Understanding the Chart Structure
Rising Wedge Pattern – A Classic Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a bearish technical formation that develops when prices rise within a narrowing range. It typically features:
✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Suggesting bullish momentum, but the price action becomes weaker over time.
✅ Converging Trendlines: Showing a loss of buyer strength as each rally fails to make significant new highs.
✅ Volume Decline: As the wedge matures, volume decreases, confirming reduced buying interest.
✅ Breakdown Confirmation: A sharp drop below the lower trendline validates the bearish move.
In this case, BTC followed all the classic wedge characteristics, and its breakdown has initiated a potential major correction.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Dynamics
🔵 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) (~$110K-$115K)
BTC reached its ATH resistance zone but failed to hold above it.
The red arrow indicates the rejection at the top, where strong selling pressure emerged.
Bulls attempted multiple breakouts but failed, leading to a reversal.
🟢 Support Zone (~$78K-$80K) – Weak Retest Before Breakdown
The price initially bounced off this support but struggled to hold gains.
The blue support level highlights a key zone where BTC found temporary stability.
A weak rally followed, but the price got rejected again, confirming the bearish trend.
🔻 Major Bearish Target (~$48,920)
Using the measured move theory, the projected drop extends to $48,920, a strong historical support.
The black arrow points to the expected downward trajectory.
3️⃣ Trading Setup & Risk Management
🔽 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy)
For traders looking to short BTC based on this pattern, here’s an optimal trade setup:
🔸 Entry Point: Around $85K-$90K (post-retest of breakdown)
🔸 Stop Loss: Above $100K (invalidation of the bearish setup)
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $75K (minor support)
TP2: $60K (psychological level)
TP3: $48,920 (final bearish target)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Recovery?
If BTC reclaims $100K+ with high volume, the bearish thesis is invalidated, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
A break above ATH ($115K) would confirm new bullish strength.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Psychological Factors
📉 Bearish Sentiment Strengthens:
Rising Wedges often cause a bull trap, where buyers expect new highs but get caught in a reversal.
Current price action suggests sellers are gaining control.
⚠️ Key Risks for Traders:
False breakdowns can occur if BTC sees unexpected bullish news.
Keeping an eye on fundamental developments (ETF approvals, macroeconomic conditions, etc.) is essential.
Conclusion – BTC Heading for a Deeper Correction?
Bitcoin’s Rising Wedge breakdown strongly suggests a continued bearish trend.
Short opportunities are ideal below $90K, with downside targets near GETTEX:48K -$50K.
If BTC regains $100K+, bearish outlook is invalid.
📊 Trading Recommendation: Monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly!
Would you like me to tweak any part of this analysis? 😊
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup – Potential Reversal & Target Leve🔵 Entry Point:
🔹 Around $83,678.04 – The suggested buying zone.
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 $82,998.62 – The price level where the trade will be exited if it moves against the plan.
🎯 Target Points:
✅ TP1: $84,144.23 – First profit target.
✅ TP2: $84,787.10 – Second profit target.
🏆 Final Target: $85,560.84 – The ultimate goal for the trade.
📈 Technical Overview:
🔹 The price is at a support level, with a potential reversal to the upside.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio is favorable, with a clear uptrend target.
🔹 DEMA (9) at $83,776.52 indicates a possible trend shift.