Secure ptofits of LONG📊 BTC Daily Chart – In-Depth Analysis (as of Apr 15, 2025)
🔍 Overview
You're holding a long position from below $80K, still active but now at a +5-6% gain, while TP is placed around 88.3K, close to a key resistance and trendline confluence. Let's break this all down and answer your core question: Is it wise to secure profits now even if TP hasn't been reached?
⚒️ BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher Confirmation
The BitcoinMF PRO indicator has been delivering precise entries/exits—highlighted with green "Long" and red "Short" tags.
Your current active long was marked by BitcoinMF PRO near the lower end of the descending channel with Fisher Transform at a local bottom, signaling an extremely oversold bounce zone.
The Fisher is curling up from a "super low" region, meaning it is entering mid-zone. This reduces risk-reward from here for new longs—good reason to lock partial profits.
📉 Technical Chart Structure Breakdown
🔺 Linear Regression Channels:
BTC is now trading near the top of the smaller descending red channel, nearing rejection territory.
Also, it’s approaching the bottom half of the broader dark blue ascending channel = resistance cluster zone.
🔁 Elliott Wave Structure (Possibly Ending Wave 4)
This looks like a potential 3 → 4 → 5 wave structure unfolding.
Wave 3 likely bottomed near $71K- FWB:73K , and this long is likely part of Wave 4 retracement. If correct, Wave 5 may resume down again unless invalidated above $88.3K.
🔸 Fibonacci Watch:
0.5 Fib retracement from recent swing high to low is around $84.2K-$85.5K—you’re sitting on it right now.
0.618 Fib confluence is ~$88.5K, right where TP is set. That zone is statistically known for rejections. This is another reason to secure a chunk of profit now.
📉 Volume & Sentiment
Volume is weak on this rally, indicating a lack of conviction.
Fear & Greed Index (live: ⚠️ around 72 – greed zone) is starting to lean hot.
Market sentiment is optimistic, and price is hovering just below known short zones.
🏦 Whale Activity, Exchange Inflows & CME Gap
Whale wallets have shown mild accumulation at lower levels (~ FWB:73K -$75K), but no aggressive buying up here.
Exchange inflows are increasing slightly – suggesting some may be getting ready to sell into this strength.
✅ CME Gap around $66K is still unfilled. Historically 90% of gaps fill. Keep that in your long-term radar.
🔄 Long vs Shorts Ratio (Bybit + Binance)
On both Bybit and Binance, Longs > Shorts by ~58/42 – minor imbalance. Suggests majority is positioned long, slightly raising correction risk.
✅ Final Strategic Take
❗ Why You Should Secure Profits Now:
Price is at a resistance confluence zone (Fib + LR + sentiment).
The move has already run +5-6%, and even if price doesn’t touch TP at 88.3K, greed could erase that unrealized profit quickly.
If this is just Wave 4, the next move could be a final push down to $70K or lower (Wave 5).
Volume divergence + rising inflows = risk is increasing.
Locking at least 50-70% now is smart trader psychology. You can always re-enter.
🔮 Most Probable Next Move: 6.8 / 10 – Mild Up, Then Pullback
BTC has 69% probability of testing $86.5K–$88.5K, but rejection is very likely there.
After that, we could see a pullback to $80K–$82K.
Extreme bullish continuation (above $90K) currently has <20% probability unless macro/Fed/etc. change.
📌 Action Recommendation:
📈 Secure partial profits immediately.
🧠 Move stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit to protect the rest.
🛑 Avoid FOMO-ing into new longs now – let the chart confirm breakout first.
🧠 Ancient Wisdom:
In Pirkei Avot (Ethics of the Fathers), Rabbi Tarfon said:
“The day is short, the work is great… and the reward is much, but the Master is insistent.”
In trading terms: The market doesn’t owe you your TP. Secure reward when the work is done. Don’t overstay your welcome.
for more follow links in profile
1-BTCUSD
BTC/USD Daily Technical Outlook – Approaching Cycle Top?Bitcoin is currently trading around $85,500, maintaining short-term bullish momentum within a well-formed ascending structure on the daily chart. The price is now entering a mid-phase rally, with a clear target of $98,000, a key resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of a rising wedge formation and historical trend extension zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $88,800 (local supply zone)
Major Target Zone: $97,000–$98,000 (macro resistance + psychological round number)
Short-Term Support: $82,000
Key Breakdown Level: $78,500
While the momentum suggests BTC may continue to push higher in the near term, the $98,000 resistance is likely to act as a distribution zone, where buying may slow and profit-taking increases. This level could falsely signal a breakout, leading to a spike in retail long positions before the market enters a longer-term correction phase.
If rejection occurs at or near $98,000, BTC could begin a multi-month correction, with the primary downside target set at $49,000 by July 2025. This level aligns with previous weekly support, volume profile lows, and would represent a typical deep retracement following a major cycle top.
Outlook:
Near-term bias: Bullish toward $98,000
Macro bias: Bearish reversal expected from resistance zone
Cycle correction target: $49,000 (Q3 2025)
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 83,260.07
1st Support: 80,469.31
1st Resistance: 88,484.86
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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BTCUSD is Going to Fall ? 79K Again...BTCUSD | Liquidity Grab Before Major Drop? (1H Chart Analysis)
Idea :
Timeframe: 1H
Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential liquidity grab around the major resistance zone near 85.5k–86k. The price tapped into the imbalance zone, likely triggering buy stops and drawing in late longs.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Liquidity sweep just above recent highs
Multiple internal liquidity zones below acting as potential magnet
Potential fake breakout, followed by sharp rejection
Final target could be the external liquidity around 74k–76k
Trade Setup:
Short entry after liquidity is swept above 85.5k with confirmation
Stop-loss: above 86.5k
Targets: 82k, 80k, and 74k (external liquidity)
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term Play)
---
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and risk management before taking any trades. Trade responsibly.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TradingStrategy #MarketStructure#ShortSetup #BearishBias #LiquiditySweep #TraderMindset #TradingViewIdeas #DYOR
Bitcoin Parallel Channel Master Analysis🟦 Parallel Channel Overview
The chart reveals a well-established ascending parallel channel, guiding Bitcoin’s price action over an extended period.
The upper and lower bounds have been respected multiple times, validating the strength and consistency of this trend structure.
Price currently hovers near the midline, following a bounce from the lower boundary, indicating the channel remains intact and bullish momentum is supported.
🧭 Current Price Action
A recent dip tested the lower boundary and was met with strong buying interest — a bullish sign.
Price is now pressing up against the midline, which acts as a crucial pivot:
A successful flip of the midline to support could propel the price toward the upper channel boundary.
A failure here may trigger another retest of the lower support.
📌 Key Structural Levels
Lower Channel Support: The primary demand zone; a breakdown here could suggest a broader structural change.
Midline (Median): The dynamic pivot — the battleground for bulls and bears.
Upper Channel Resistance: Where profit-taking or breakout acceleration typically occurs.
🔁 Repeating Breakout Pattern: Timeline & Insights
🔹 1st Breakout – February 2024
Price breaks above the channel and sets a new high.
Eventually retraces back into the channel.
In August 2024, the break out area from February becomes midline support, validating the zone.
🔹 2nd Breakout – November 2024
Another breakout occurs, reaching a peak roughly equal to the first breakout.
In April 2025, price once again retests the midline, mimicking the previous August retest behavior.
🟡 Pattern Recognized
Breakout → Peak → Pullback to Midline Support → Reaccumulation → Breakout
With this repeating structure, a 3rd breakout is likely, assuming midline support holds.
Based on historical intervals:
Feb to Nov 2024 = ~9 months
Aug to Nov = ~3 months
This positions the next breakout for June 2025, following the April retest.
🔮 Projected Outcome: 3rd Breakout
If the vertical breakout range repeats:
3rd breakout peak could mirror the height of previous breakouts.
⚖️ Summary & Strategic Implications
✅ Structure is bullish as long as Bitcoin trades within or above the channel.
✅ Midline bounces have reliably preceded breakouts — current April 2025 retest strengthens that thesis.
✅ June 2025 becomes a critical breakout watch window.
❌ Break below the midline would invalidate the repeating breakout structure and shift focus to lower support zones.
Another Dump Session for Bitcoin?#bitcoin #btc price has formed an ascending wedge after 75K capitulation. As seen in the chart, #btcusd broke down this wedge' s support line and now consolidating under it.
This breakdown was bearish. CRYPTOCAP:BTC must reclaim at least 89K to avoid incoming dump session.(The invalidation)
Also, the macro is still enigmatic nowadays. There' re no permanent recovery signs for trade wars. Unless the invalidation aids, BTC may see serious dumps in short term. Not financial advice. DYOR.
Do you think I'm joking ???Now that Bitcoin is returning to the cup-and-handle support, one can expect a strong pump up to 130k . it might happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Blockchain X has artificial intelligence technology that can make smart trades, allowing you to continuously make profits in the crazy world of cryptocurrency. Come and try it!
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 83747 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 84807
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC/USDT 4H – Watching Smart MoneyWe had a solid sell-side liquidity sweep near 77K–78K.
Price wicked below all the equal lows and tapped into a fresh 4H bullish OB — that entry was loud if you were paying attention.
Then, boom, MSS triggered, and price smashed a bullish BOS.
Now price is sitting above a filled FVG (~82,000–83,500) and holding well.
So far, price:
✅ Took sell-side liquidity
✅ Tapped +OB
✅ Broke structure bullish
✅ Filled FVG cleanly
✅ Is consolidating in premium range
Now, we're chilling near 85K. Price hasn’t tapped any fresh liquidity yet, so it might be building up for the next run toward the 88K OB or even buyside above 90K+.
But listen:
This is not a buy zone right now — you’re too high up.
If we pull back toward the OB or even the lower FVG (~81.5K–83K) and get a bullish confirmation candle → then yes, continuation buys could be back on the table.
Until then… no chasing.
🔍 What I’m Watching:
FVG retest + bullish engulfing = trigger ✅
Break below MSS or OB = invalidation ❌
Patience until the market reveals its next move.
💬 Drop your bias in the comments — are you waiting for the FVG or already in from the lows?
Let’s ride this the smart way, not the retail way.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #SmartMoney #SMC #OrderBlock #LiquiditySweep #FairValueGap #TradingView #CryptoSignal
PI/USDT:SIGNALHello friends
Given the price growth, you can see that we had a stop and a triangle pattern was formed, which is a continuation pattern of the trend.
Now, given the complex market conditions, our suggestion to you is to buy in stages and be sure to observe risk and capital management.
I have also specified goals for you.
*Trade safely with us*
A Bitcoin Fib-Time Based Cycle (Concept #4)In this chart we see the 4th Fib-Time based concept for Bitcoin. We take a simple approach in this chart, in comparison to my other concepts which are linked below. I published this chart because the results suggested that we are currently in the DCA out phase and that it ends in 30 weeks, somewhere around Oct 2025. The placement of these fib times are in pre ATH peaks, that start from 2012 pre launch into 2013 ATH and they continue again into 2016 pre launch of 2017's ATH and so on.
Without going to in-depth the signposts label DCA in and out phases. For 3 cycles they have been decently placed. However, we cannot discount that we do not need to repeat this pattern, we could be on the road to something very different. Although, the low in 2022 did fall within this period yet again.
Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish (short-term), cycles can play out over the years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why this is an alternative concept to others I have been exploring.
This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles to date, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching for. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want.
Key Takeaways:
- It appears that in times to DCA out, the price exhausts towards the end of the signposts. Where as for times of DCA in, the price typically has made its low right from the start of the signpost.
- Both zones are about a year in time, but the bear market extends much longer during the peak bullish periods.
- We are currently reaching the 0.272 in a the next few weeks, which is the fib-time between where we are now. This could cause some volatility.
This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here:
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-14 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will move in a moderate upward price trend.
Although I don't expect anything huge today, I do believe the EPP structures/layers support this upward price move and that we'll see the SPY attempt to move back towards/above 550 over time.
The QQQ will likely follow the SPY higher over the next 5+ days.
Don't get too excited about this upward price move because it is structurally moving to setup a PEAK that will transition into a downtrend near April 22-25. This peak will create a downward price flag (a new inverted EPP) structure that will assist in developing a new sideways price structure carrying into June/July.
In other words, it looks like we are trapped between 480-585 on the SPY, and we will likely stay within that wide consolidation range for another 2-3 months.
Gold should attempt to rally this week, trying to break above $3300. I believe this is a critical level for Gold and also presents a breakaway level for Silver near $33.00
Bitcoin has moved into APEX VOLATILITY and will continue to trap BUYERS into believing BTCUSD is breaking away from the consolidation range. This is a BULL TRAP.
I believe BTCUSD will ROLL OVER within about 4-5 days - setting up a big breakdown move as the SPY/QQQ also roll downward in about 5+ days.
We still continue to see volatility and sideways price action. Still lots of opportunities for skilled traders.
Get Some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BTCUSD – Bullish Breakout Loading ?
📈 *Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis – April 14, 2025*
Bitcoin is looking 🔥 as it pushes higher from a key **accumulation zone** after a sharp recovery from recent lows. The previous **rising channel** was broken to the downside, but now the price is forming a solid **bullish structure**, suggesting a strong comeback is in play!
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### 🔍 Technical Highlights:
- ✅ **Demand Zone Bounce:** Clean rebound from the highlighted green box (accumulation area), signaling buyer strength.
- 📈 **Higher Highs Incoming?** Price is now consolidating near **$85,000**, with bullish momentum building.
- 📊 **Upside Target:** Eyes on $87,000 → $88,500 if momentum sustains and daily closes continue above resistance.
- 📌 **Key Support:** $84,000 holds the line — invalidation below that would shift bias.
---
### 🧠 Trader's Insight:
The structure is setting up for a **potential bullish continuation**. Momentum traders should watch for a confirmed break and close above $85,400 for further upside! 🚀
💬 *"Patience in accumulation pays in breakout."*
Ready to catch the next leg up? 📲 Let’s trade smart and ride the wave.
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm,
this was initially a private post,
but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people.
---
interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history.
monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math.
and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of.
the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born.
most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early,
watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind.
we will not.
🌙
---
tp - 753k
Crypto update 2025.04.14The current market moves due to tariffs are pushing away the interest from cryptos, as those are stuck somewhere between potentially being a safe-haven and still classed as a risky asset.
Let's dig in.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTO:BCHUSD
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
CRYPTO:LTCUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
bitcoin dips below 60kbitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed.
i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,,
this crypto winter ❄️
why would this happen, you ask?
the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid.
a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands.
distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold.
think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe.
---
take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart.
what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states:
if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa.
all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats,
so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps.
this fits neatly into the larger cycle:
sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions,
yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand.
with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller,
as momentum gradually fades.
---
w4 target: below 60k
w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
---
ps. i have recently shared a much more bullish idea via:
BTC.D - Still in the ascending channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D remains firmly within its long-standing ascending channel. The recent “fake breakout” below the channel has been invalidated as dominance swiftly returned to the channel, showing a strong reaction and confirming the channel’s validity.
This suggests:
✅ Bullish Implication for BTC: Bitcoin is likely to continue gaining dominance in bullish moves, outpacing altcoins in performance.
✅ Bearish Impact on Altcoins: In downturns, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines compared to Bitcoin.
Traders should monitor this channel as a key indicator for market behavior, especially for Bitcoin and altcoin strategies.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, our main scenario was implemented and a full–fledged rebound from the $77,000-$73,000 zone was achieved (volume anomalies, pushing volumes).
After passing through several large selling zones, we’ve reached a resistance level from which we can get a significant correction.
At the moment, the $85,600–$88,000 zone is being tested (absorption of the buyer's market aggression). The latest wave of buys, which began on April 10, is inertial. Trading volumes have decreased, and there is no clear dominance between one side and the other.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There are strong anomalies along the delta, which can provoke a significant correction. Below the current price, we have a support zone of $82,700–$81,400, but with high activity from the seller, it can only slow down the fall slightly.
The main expectations are the beginning of a corrective movement, as indicated by the nature of growth, the current volume zone, as well as delta protection.
A less likely scenario is a surge in the buyer's market activity, which will take the quote above the $88,000 level. In this case, the priority will change dramatically to long.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buyer activity)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected:
• Wednesday, April 16, 2:00 (UTC) — publication of China's GDP for the first quarter and in comparison with the first quarter of 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index and volume of US retail sales for March;
• Wednesday, April 16, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, April 16, 17:15 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, as well as the Philadelphia manufacturing activity index from the Federal Reserve Bank for April;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:45(UTC) — European Central Bank press conference;
• Thursday, April 17, 13:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate in the Eurozone.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin NEoWave Analysis Based on 6M Cash DataCash Data 6M
In the 6-month cash data for Bitcoin, it appears that a Running Neutral Triangle is forming and we are currently in wave-D of this triangle. Based on the previous mid-term Bitcoin analysis, as long as Bitcoin’s price remains above $70,000 there is potential for the price to rise to $150,000. Therefore, wave-D of the neutral triangle could expand and grow larger.
Until wave-D is complete, we cannot accurately predict the endpoint of wave-E( The label-E shown in the image is not precise and will likely change) However, after wave-D concludes, the price will experience at least a 50% correction to complete wave-E of the triangle, followed by a strong upward move in Bitcoin.
The analysis will be updated once wave-D is complete.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Bitcoin Reversal After Fake Bullish Divergencehello guys.
Fake Bullish Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom shows a bullish divergence, but the price action invalidated it — signaling a "fake divergence".
This could trap early long positions and fuel further downside.
Broken Trendline Support:
A significant ascending trendline support has been broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The recent bounce back seems corrective rather than impulsive.
Price Projection:
An arrow points downward toward the horizontal support around $69,149, hinting at a possible drop in price.
This level coincides with the intersection of the mid-channel support line and horizontal price structure.
Channel Structure:
The overall chart operates within a large ascending channel.
A revisit of the lower bound of the channel aligns with the projected price target.
-------------------------------------
Conclusion:
Despite the recent rebound, Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness due to a fake bullish RSI divergence and a broken ascending trendline. The technical setup suggests a potential decline toward the $69,000–71,000 support zone before any meaningful recovery can occur. Caution is advised for bullish traders until the price confirms a stronger support or reversal signal.
BITCOIN's 1D MA50 Flip = GREEN LIGHT for the NEXT BIG PUMP!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed Saturday's 1D candle above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since February 03)! The 1D MA50 got tested and rejected the price 6 times since then. At the same time, the price marginally broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
This is the most powerful short-term bullish combination as it was staged on a Bullish Divergence 1D RSI, which is on Higher Lows against the bearish trend's Lower Lows. Technically such break-outs immediate Target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which now happens to be just below the $100k mark at $99500. In not such a coincidental fashion, that is he last Resistance level that run through February 05 - 21 before BTC's strong tariff sell-off.
So do you think the 1D MA50 break is the green light for a $99500 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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