BTC had break down the 4H trend line Time for long term shortTrend line had been broken down not only once but more than 1 time shows a strong bearish bias momentum with strong volume
Which confirmed by retest the resistance twice and failed to break it out and the pressure still on the downward momentum after several attempts to push higher and successfully pushed down-so set your short positions SL above 105,600 to avoid any wicks attempts
Entry 102,600. / 102,800
SL. 103,600
TP1 @. 101,220
TP2 @ 100,250
TP3 @ 99,550
Runners to hold if you wish 98,500
Wish for all best of luck and well managed Trade setup , enjoy the trend movment
1-BTCUSD
BTC pressure, price under a lot of selling pressure💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (June 22)
Notable news about BTC:
Market overview: Bitcoin's consolidation lasts in the context of increasing macro instability
US President Donald Trump expressed his caution on Thursday when he delayed the decision involving a potential direct attack on Iran for a maximum of two weeks. The global market, including cryptocurrencies, has reacted, slightly increased in Asian and European sessions when investors absorb the impact of crude oil prices in the context of interrupted transport routes.
However, traders are very cautious, reflecting the tough stance of Fed President Jerome Powell on the economy, with the reason for the expectation of inflation in the short term due to tariffs.
Bitcoin -large holders continue to accumulate despite the cautious attitudes of traders on the spot and derivative markets.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin price fluctuates around $ 104.057 after cutting up the day from the peak of $ 106,457 of Friday. Main technical indicators, such as relative power index (RSI), strengthen the trend of discounts when the price slip down the average line 50.
Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, monitoring the amount of money poured into BTC, shortening the trend of increasing, stable around the middle line. This reflects the limited interest in Bitcoin on both spot markets and derivative markets.
If the weakness of the Organizing Committee overshadows the demand on the chain and network activity, supporting the exponent dynamic line (EMA) 50 days at $ 103,169 can be helpful, temporarily absorbing the pressure of selling. Overcoming this level, high fluctuations can accelerate the decline, bringing the main levels, such as EMA 100 days at $ 99,085 and EMA 200 days at $ 93,404, in.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
The Pattern That Could Launch BitcoinSpotted a long-term inverted head & shoulders pattern forming over a 7–8 month stretch on Bitcoin — much more reliable than short-term setups. If this bullish structure plays out, we could be looking at a breakout that pushes BTC firmly into price discovery.
I’ve included local Fibonacci levels on the chart, though I couldn’t fit the macro one (going from $4k → $69k → $15k — the 1.618 extension of that larger swing lands at $119,800. That could be a key resistance target if we clear the ATH and continue the uptrend. After that, there's the smaller timeframe, but more recent, fib ext 1.618 sitting at $131k.
I'd be very cautious of a failed pattern if $101k doesn't hold. As a last support, 95k and the red 20EMA might hold.
Let’s see how this plays out 🚀
BITCOIN Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is retesting a
Horizontal support level
Around 101,288$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local rebound so we can
Go long with the Take Profit
Of 104,324$ and the Stop
Loss of 100,300$
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Under Resistance: Neutral Core, Bearish Pressure.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 4H) – (Date: June 22, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $103,041.65.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (H4):
▦ EMA21 – (Exponential Moving Average 21-Period) – ($103,957.85):
∴ The current price is below the 21EMA, signaling weakness in short-term momentum;
∴ The slope of the moving average is negative, reflecting ongoing downward pressure;
∴ Recent attempts to reclaim the level were rejected, reinforcing its role as dynamic resistance.
✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA acts as an active intraday resistance, and its breakout is a primary condition for any directional shift.
⊢
▦ EMA50 – (Exponential Moving Average 50-Period) – ($104,101.19):
∴ The 50 EMA remains above the price and the 21EMA, confirming a bearish trend alignment over the mid-term;
∴ The widening gap between EMA's suggests a well-established downward trend;
∴ A reclaim of both EMAs is required to revalidate bullish structure.
✴️ Conclusion: The 50EMA stands as a structural mid-term resistance, whose breakout would mark a tactical trend reversal.
⊢
▦ VPVR – (Volume Profile Visible Range) - (75, Up/Down):
∴ The POC (Point of Control) is concentrated around the $104,000 – $105,000 zone, just above the current price;
∴ This region reflects the highest volume concentration and tends to act as passive resistance or a redistribution zone;
∴ There’s a visible volume gap between $100,000 and $102,000, creating vulnerability to rapid price moves.
✴️ Conclusion: Price remains below institutional interest concentration, limiting upside potential unless volume reclaims the POC zone.
⊢
▦ BB – (Bollinger Bands - 20-Period SMA, 2.0 StdDev):
∴ The previous candle tapped the lower band and triggered a technical buy reaction (mean reversion);
∴ The mid-band aligns precisely with the 50 EMA (~$104,100), reinforcing confluence resistance;
∴ The channel shows slight downward expansion, suggesting volatility may continue to favor bears.
✴️ Conclusion: The recent bounce is technical relief; there is no structural reversal unless the price reclaims the mid-band.
⊢
▦ RSI – (Relative Strength Index) – (41.76):
∴ RSI is recovering from oversold territory but remains below the neutral 50 mark;
∴ The absence of a clear bullish divergence with price weakens the reversal thesis;
∴ RSI resistance lines sit between 45 and 50 – key levels that must be breached to confirm relief.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI signals technical relief, but still operates within a bearish zone — no clear evidence of dominant buying force yet.
⊢
▦ MACD – (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – (MACD: –135.56 | Signal: –539.84):
∴ MACD line is crossing the signal line from below, generating an early bullish reversal signal;
∴ The histogram is contracting on the negative side, showing seller exhaustion;
∴ Readings remain deep in negative territory, requiring further confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD hints at momentum reversal, though structural validation requires a return to the positive zone.
⊢
▦ VOL – (Volume Bars):
∴ Volume increased significantly during the recent bounce, indicating reactive buyer demand;
∴ However, follow-through volume was not sustained — warning of potential bull trap;
∴ The absence of consistent volume undermines the durability of the bounce.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume shows reactive presence, but lacks sustained confirmation — recovery may be short-lived.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Bitcoin on the 4H chart is staging a relief move after recent sell-side pressure, yet remains below all key EMAs, under volume-based resistance, and without confirmation from momentum indicators.
∴ The structure is best defined as technical relief, not a confirmed trend reversal.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant & BGeometrics):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges) = (Latest Spike Zone ~103K):
∴ A recent uptick in Bitcoin inflows to exchanges is visible at local price levels, aligning with prior rejection zones;
∴ Increased inflows suggest potential intent to distribute, especially at resistance;
∴ Historically, such inflow patterns precede local price weakness or continuation of retracement.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange inflow data warns of potential short-term sell pressure, supporting a cautious outlook near current levels.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (Binance Perpetual) – (Near Neutral to Slightly Positive):
∴ Current funding rates remain slightly positive but balanced, reflecting lack of directional conviction from leveraged traders;
∴ The absence of aggressive long bias reduces the risk of long squeezes but also suggests weak bullish momentum;
∴ Historically, neutral funding rates precede volatile expansions when followed by imbalances.
✴️ Conclusion: Funding rate indicates a neutral sentiment posture - not bearish, but lacking speculative bullish fuel.
⊢
▦ Open Interest – (All Exchanges) – (~$33.2B):
∴ Open Interest is elevated, marking one of the highest levels since April;
∴ The price is falling while OI remains high - a classic divergence signaling potential liquidation risk;
∴ This setup increases volatility probability and indicates the market is loaded with directional exposure.
✴️ Conclusion: Open Interest suggests a high-risk environment; either a cascade of liquidation or a sharp reversal is imminent.
⊢
▦ Realized Price – (Market: $103K | Realized: ~$47.5K):
∴ The gap between market price and realized price is vast, reflecting that most market participants are sitting on large unrealized gains;
∴ This positioning exposes the market to profit-taking impulses;
∴ The lack of compression between these metrics implies no capitulation is underway.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains well above realized cost basis, implying latent sell-side risk and no evidence of fear-driven exits.
⊢
▦ UTXO Age Bands – (Realized Price by Age = 6m–3y clusters above $90K):
∴ Long-term holders (6m–3y) maintain positions well in profit, with realized values near or above $90K;
∴ No major movement from these cohorts detected — suggesting continued conviction or strategic dormancy;
∴ Younger UTXO bands are positioned lower, indicating recent accumulation remains underwater.
✴️ Conclusion: No signs of distribution from experienced holders — current structure favors hodler passivity, not capitulation.
⊢
▦ Miner Outflows – (Miner Transfer Volume Stable):
∴ Miner outflows remain stable, with no sharp spikes in transfers to exchanges;
∴ Implies no immediate operational selling pressure from mining entities;
∴ Miner behavior remains conservative, awaiting directional confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Miners are currently not a source of sell pressure, reinforcing structural equilibrium in supply flow.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ The on-chain structure supports a technically vulnerable, yet fundamentally intact market; ∴ ∴ Exchange inflows and high Open Interest signal short-term caution, while the lack of miner selling, stable long-term holder behavior, and distance from realized price all point to no deep structural breakdown;
∴ Expect heightened volatility with directional resolution dependent on external catalysts or spot-driven pressure.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal framework reveals local reactive strength, but lacks structural realignment;
∴ On-chain flow warns of directional tension - neither resolve nor breakdown confirmed;
∴ Macro environment holds liquidity in suspension, awaiting a trigger;
∴ All vectors align under strategic ambiguity - stillness is not stasis, but anticipation.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Neutral:
∴ The broader structure is intact - no systemic breakdown, yet no resumption of trend authority;
∴ Exchange inflows and high OI generate latent fragility, despite holder and miner resilience;
∴ The system holds - but without forward thrust, the architecture is stable, not ascendant.
⊢
▦ Tactically Cautious:
∴ Technical signals show reaction, not reversal - EMA's remain unbroken, volume is passive, RSI is capped;
∴ On-chain risk (inflows, OI) outpaces confirmation of strength;
∴ Action without structure is speculation - the trader must remain coiled, not extended.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)📈 BTC/USD
🕒 Interval: 4H
1. General trend
We are observing a medium-term downtrend.
Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows.
Current price: approx. USD 102.625.
2. Formation and Price Action
🔻 Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10):
Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of USD 111,000 - 112,500.
Consolidation from May 27 to June 2.
🔻 Right side of the chart (after June 10):
A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards.
A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming.
The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow – a possible demand reaction.
3. Technical levels
📉 Resistance:
$112,400 – local peak from June 10.
$109,000 – $109,500 – area of previous consolidations.
$107,000 – lower limit of previous support.
📈 Support:
$102,000 – currently tested level.
$100,000 – psychological support level.
$97,000 – potential range of further declines.
4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart)
The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone.
This may suggest a short-term upward rebound – but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction.
5. Candles and price action
The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum – this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone.
No confirmation of a reversal – only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500–104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound.
6. Scenarios
✅ Bullish scenario (short-term):
Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone.
Test of USD 103,500–104,000 (local resistance).
If broken – a move towards USD 107,000 is possible.
❌ Bearish scenario (continuation):
Breakout of support at USD 102,000.
Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD.
Possible escalation of declines on increased volume.
7. Signals to watch
Price behavior in the area of 102k USD - a key place to react.
Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement.
Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Breakdown in Play (4H)BTC has lost key support at $103,573 on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking down from the recent consolidation zone. The rejection from the lower highs and weakening RSI suggest more downside pressure ahead.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken: $103,573 (now acting as resistance)
Current Price: $102,246
Next Key Support Zones:
$101,410 (short-term bounce zone)
$97,340 – critical horizontal support
$93,343 – potential deeper flush area
Resistance to Watch:
$103,573 (retest = short opportunity)
$105,807 (major rejection zone)
Short Setup (Signal Style):
Short Entry: ~$103,500 (if retested)
Stoploss: Above $105,800
Targets:
TP1: $101,400
TP2: $97,300
TP3: $93,300
Final Note:
Trend remains bearish below $103.5K. Bulls need to reclaim that level fast or further downside becomes likely.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#MAGIC/USDT#MAGIC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which supports the upward move by breaking it upward.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 0.1533, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 0.1560
First target: 0.1611
Second target: 0.1667
Third target: 0.1750
BTCUSD: Trading Signal From Our Team
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry - 10334
Sl - 10158
Tp - 10626
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Symmetrical Triangle: Volatility Squeeze Before Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This formation is characterized by converging trendlines—higher lows and lower highs—indicating a period of consolidation and decreasing volatility.
Price action is tightening, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent. Symmetrical triangles can break either way, but in this case, the pattern follows a strong prior uptrend, hinting at a possible bullish continuation. Still, traders should watch closely for a confirmed breakout with volume.
⚠️ Key levels to watch:
Upper resistance: ~$111,000
Lower support: ~$96,000
A decisive break above or below these boundaries could set the tone for BTC’s next major move.
Bitcoin – Ritual Latency & Tactical Tension.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – Binance – (CHART: 1H) – (June 21, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $103,909.52.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (H1):
▦ EMA9 – ($103,783.82):
∴ The price oscillates around EMA9 with marginal bullish slope;
∴ Two candle rejections confirmed the EMA9 as a reactive short-term axis;
∴ Current close is above, but lacking directional follow-through.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum attempt, yet unsupported – fragility persists.
⊢
▦ EMA21 – ($103,869.74):
∴ Flattened trajectory overlapping EMA9;
∴ Indicates tactical compression – a latency band rather than trendline;
∴ No breakout confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Equilibrium zone – direction undecided.
⊢
▦ EMA50 – ($104,212.18):
∴ Serves as immediate dynamic resistance;
∴ Price has not closed above since June 20, 13:00 UTC;
∴ Requires sustained move to invalidate micro-downtrend.
✴️ Conclusion: Key reversal barrier – price remains below structural trigger.
⊢
▦ SMA100 – ($104,552.65):
∴ Downsloping, acting as mid-term ceiling;
∴ No candle engagement in recent sessions;
∴ Confluence zone with EMA50 adds density.
✴️ Conclusion: Inertial resistance zone – trend continuity until breach.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($105,197.18):
∴ Highest structural ceiling on H1;
∴ Remains untouched, reinforcing broader tactical bearish bias.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA200 maintains bearish structure – trend remains capped.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands - (20,2):
∴ Bands tightened – low volatility configuration;
∴ Upper band slightly expands – minor opening signal;
∴ Price contacts upper range without strength.
✴️ Conclusion: Potential breakout pattern – requires volume ignition.
⊢
▦ RSI (14, smoothed by EMA9) – (11.00 | Avg: 13.85):
∴ RSI at historical low – indicative of exhaustion rather than momentum;
∴ EMA of RSI confirms suppressed structure;
∴ Hidden divergence plausible but not confirmed.
✴️ Conclusion: Latent reversal conditions – needs confirmation from RSI reclaim.
⊢
▦ MACD (12,26,9) – (MACD: 88.35 | Signal: -159.25 | Histogram: -247.60):
∴ Histogram remains negative but is narrowing;
∴ MACD line curling upward, approaching signal;
∴ No crossover yet – early recovery signal under surveillance.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish divergence forming – reversal not validated.
⊢
▦ ATR (14, RMA) – (372.44):
∴ Volatility decreasing after a local spike;
∴ Range-bound structure indicates compression, not impulse.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical latency – volatility may reawaken post-volume.
⊢
▦ Volume (21):
∴ Faint increase in last bullish candle – still below strategic threshold;
∴ Lacks institutional confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Spot activity insufficient – neutral, vulnerable structure.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ H1 presents structural compression between EMA9/21/50, confirming tactical latency;
∴ RSI at deep oversold – signal of exhaustion, not yet momentum;
∴ Bollinger and MACD show early signs of kinetic preparation;
∴ The market is postured, not reactive – awaiting a directional event.
✴️ Tactical View: Structurally Neutral – Momentum Suspended, entry only upon RSI/Volume confirmation and MACD validation.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
∴ Update as of June 21, 2025 – Synchronized to H1 Structural Reading.
▦ Exchange Netflow Total – (All Exchanges) – (+692 BTC):
∴ Positive net inflow detected over 24h;
∴ Suggests moderate sell-side liquidity entering exchanges;
∴ Reflects defensive posturing, not panic-driven behavior.
✴️ Conclusion: Mild bearish pressure – not sufficient to invalidate structural base.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day):
∴ Dominance of Taker Sell Volume confirmed – aggressive sellers remain in control;
∴ Pattern consistent over the last 6 sessions;
∴ No divergence between volume behavior and price structure.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains tactically sell-biased – momentum driven by taker aggression.
⊢
▦ Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) – (1.009):
∴ Marginally above 1.00 – coins being spent in mild profit;
∴ Absence of capitulation, but also no sign of deep conviction among holders;
∴ Stable rotation, not breakout-driven.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural neutrality – market is churning without direction.
⊢
▦ Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR) – (≈1.00):
∴ Flat – confirms lack of distribution or panic;
∴ Historically aligns with consolidation regimes.
✴️ Conclusion: Supply behavior is balanced – trend-neutral reading.
⊢
▦ Open Interest – All Exchanges – ($34.01B):
∴ Remains elevated – indicative of speculative leverage;
∴ Elevated risk of liquidation cascade on directional volatility;
∴ OI rising faster than spot volume = synthetic exposure dominating.
✴️ Conclusion: Market structurally exposed – fragile to external triggers.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – All Exchanges – (-0.003):
∴ Slightly negative – shorts funding longs;
∴ Suggests bearish bias among leveraged participants;
∴ Conditions ripe for short squeeze if spot demand increases.
✴️ Conclusion: Contrarian setup building – tactical upside risk exists.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Metrics reflect a market under cautious speculative tension;
∴ No broad liquidation, no long-term holder exit – base intact;
∴ Taker dominance and leverage build-up suggest reactive positioning;
∴ System is neutral-leaning fragile – vulnerable to both triggers and traps.
✴️ Tactical Note: "Structurally Stable – Tactically Unsettled"
⊢
⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus:
∴ Macro Landscape Reference – June 21, 2025.
▦ United States – Federal Policy & Risk Layer:
∴ Treasury Yield Curve remains slightly positive (+0.44%), removing short-term recession signal;
∴ 10Y yield elevated at 4.42% – reflects sustained inflation resistance and risk demand;
∴ Fed maintains QT stance – no rate cuts expected before September;
∴ Tension with Iran intensifying – military rhetoric entering fiscal discourse.
✴️ Conclusion: U.S. macro acts as compression catalyst – neutral on surface, volatile underneath.
⊢
▦ Strategic Bitcoin Reserve – (Executive Order – Trump):
∴ Recent Executive Order establishes BTC as sovereign asset class;
∴ Adds policy-level legitimacy to institutional accumulation;
∴ Reflects shift from “hedge” to “strategic reserve logic”.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural bull signal – narrative transition confirmed.
⊢
▦ China – Internal Stimulus & Soft Deflation:
∴ PPI negative at -3.3%, Retail Sales up 6.4% – stimulus-driven divergence;
∴ Fiscal revenue declining YTD – systemic drag despite easing;
∴ Not a current volatility driver.
✴️ Conclusion: China is neutral to crypto – reactive, not directive.
⊢
▦ European Union – Disinflation & Monetary Drift:
∴ HICP falls to 1.9%, ECB cuts deposit rate to 2.00%;
∴ PMI Composite < 50 – economic contraction quietly progressing;
∴ Forward guidance hesitant.
✴️ Conclusion: EU remains marginal – supportive for risk, but not catalytic.
⊢
▦ Global Fragmentation & SWIFT Erosion:
∴ Geopolitical blocs continue diverging – dollar-reliant systems weakening;
∴ Bitcoin seen increasingly as transactional hedge in sanctioned environments;
∴ De-dollarization dynamic accelerating.
✴️ Conclusion: Bitcoin positioned as neutral monetary rail – volatility shield and escape valve.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Interflux Macro Oracle:
∴ U.S. remains the dominant macro variable – its monetary and geopolitical stance defines volatility posture;
∴ Bitcoin structurally benefits from institutional legitimacy, but tactically suspended by risk-off layers;
∴ The system is internally calm, externally tense – volatility is downstream of Powell and geopolitical shock.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal structure remains compressed, yet technically reactive;
∴ On-chain behavior supports latent structural integrity, but reveals synthetic tension;
∴ Macro axis introduces dual asymmetry – stability in policy, instability in conflict;
∴ The system is in latency – not due to certainty, but due to mutual hesitation.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish.
∴ The underlying structure - long-term moving averages, exchange reserves, macro narrative, and holder behavior - remains intact and upward-biased;
∴ There is no technical breakdown or structural disassembly;
∴ It is the silent foundation - the “floor” of the chart remains elevated.
⊢
▦ Tactically Suspended.
∴ Although the structure points to strength, the present moment neither demands nor validates action;
∴ There is no volume, no ignition signal, no confirmation flow;
∴ Thus, the tactic is suspended - the trader (or observer) is in a disciplined state of observation, not execution.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 2-Hour Candlestick Chart2-hour candlestick chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $103,904.89 with a gain of $595.12 (+0.58%) as of 01:22:41. The chart highlights a volatile period with significant price fluctuations, including a sharp drop followed by a recovery, and includes key price levels such as $106,099.25 and $102,803.95. The chart also features a highlighted support zone in pink and a resistance zone in light blue
BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further?
Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution.
🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty
US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy.
Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution.
📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4)
BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108.
A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586.
However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume.
✅ Suggested Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300
Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800
Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk.
💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders
The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum.
For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
$BTC - Protected LowBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 1D
Price got strongly rejected at 106.5k
It deviated below the 4-hour mini-range. We now need to see a reclaim of 105–105.1k. If not, a retest of the value area low at 101.4k is likely.
100k remains to be the protected low, and it would be critical if we won't get a valid retest at 101.4k
local resistance: 105-105.5k
local support: 101.4k
protected low: 100k
Ethereum:Daily signalhello guys👋
According to the drop we had, you can see that buyers came in and the price had a good growth, and after that a trading range was made in which the price got stuck.
Now, considering that the price is in the trading range and it seems that the buyers have shown their support, it is possible to step into the specified support areas with risk and capital management and move up to the set goals.
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BTC to 125000📈 BTCUSD Long Setup – Maximum Fear Often Marks the Bottom
Timeframe: 8H
Entry: ~103,500
SL: 96,448
TP: 125,000
RR: ~3:1
🧠 Market Sentiment:
The current environment is dominated by extreme fear – sentiment is heavily bearish, and interest from retail investors is strikingly low. Most market participants appear to be short or sitting in hedged positions, which ironically sets the stage for a potential short squeeze if price breaks to the upside.
🔍 Technical Context:
BTC has been ranging for weeks – support has held repeatedly.
Liquidity has been swept below previous lows – possible spring formation.
A reclaim of the 104k–105k zone could act as a launchpad.
Setup anticipates a contrarian move against the prevailing bearish bias
BTC, will hibernate for a few weeks from here to sub 100k.BTC rise has been impressive the last few weeks with market triggering excitement after hitting a series of ATH and finally punching the elusive100k levels, and pushing it further to 110k as a bonus.
But like with any overheated parabolic move, a cool down will need to transpire eventually. And that season is ripe now for the king of coins.
From the diagram we are seeing some curve fitting price action, with horizontal ranging at the upper channel -- indicating a bull saturation scenario.
A corrective phase to 0.5 fib levels maybe expected in the next few weeks. It did the same behavior last time. This hibernation would be healthy in the long run - and it needed to happen.
Spotted at 104k.
Target sub 100k levels / or 0.5 fib at 94k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.