BitcoinAsset and Timeframe:
Asset: Bitcoin / TetherUS (BTC/USDT)
Exchange: Binance
Timeframe: 1 hour (1h)
Key Observations:
Price Action: The chart shows a recent downtrend with a significant drop leading to the current price of $85,079.84.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked on the chart. FVGs are areas on a chart where there is an imbalance in buying and selling, often acting as support or resistance levels.
Order Block (OB): An Order Block (OB) is identified at $85,010.00. Order Blocks are often areas where large institutions have placed orders and can act as support or resistance.
Potential Trade Setup:
Entry: $85,010.00 (the OB)
Profit Target: $87,800.00
Stop Loss (SL): $84,000.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: The potential trade setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio. The profit target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
Date Range: The chart covers the period from March 24th to April 1st, 2025.
Price Information:
Open: $85,212.98
High: $85,441.25
Low: $85,059.97
Close: $85,079.84
Change: -$2,145.11 (-2.46%)
Analysis:
Downtrend and Potential Reversal: The recent price drop suggests a strong bearish momentum. However, the identification of the Order Block at $85,010.00 indicates a potential area of support where buyers might step in.
FVGs as Targets: The FVGs above the current price could act as potential targets for a bullish move. Traders might look for price to fill these gaps.
Risk Management: The provided trade setup includes a clear stop loss at $84,000.00, which is crucial for managing risk.
Time Consideration: The chart spans several days, suggesting that this trade setup might play out over a few days or even a week.
Technical Indicators: While the chart highlights FVGs and OB, it doesn't show other technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages. These indicators could provide additional confirmation for the trade setup.
Volume: The chart does not display volume information. Volume analysis would be valuable in confirming the strength of the potential reversal.
Potential Trade Scenario:
The trader is anticipating a bounce from the Order Block at $85,010.00. They are targeting the $87,800.00 level for profit, likely based on the FVGs above. The stop loss at $84,000.00 is placed below the OB to limit potential losses if the price continues to decline.
Important Considerations:
Market Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its high volatility. Traders should be prepared for significant price swings.
Fundamental Analysis: This analysis is purely technical. Fundamental factors, such as news events or regulatory changes, can significantly impact Bitcoin's price.
Risk Tolerance: Traders should only risk what they can afford to lose.
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin -potential to 91K, back to 78K wick to 73K and THEN -->>In this cycle, since the push up from the Low in Jan 2023, we have had 2 other Major pushes.
Each of these came off the Rising line of support that we are currently heading towards again, with the date of "Touch" currently in Mid June.
If we rise and stay back in the higher Range Box, that date is even later in the year ( around Mid Q4 )
As I have talked about many times, I am watching the MACD as the "trigger".
The chart below is the Weekly MACD
We reach Neutral , if we continue current rate of descent, around end of April
This is obviously before we would hit the line of support being talked about above.
That leaves 2 possibilities.
1) - MACD may drop below Neutral
2) - We may see a bounce from PA but NOT to a New ATH
If you look back at previous range we had in 2024, there was a bounce there.
See how the Histogram went White as we had that bounce
We Just had a white bar on the histogram .
Will we see another White bar next week and a further rise in PA
Top of current Range box in 91K - We could head to that again, Drop back to the Low around 78K and then we would be ready. This would be over the next 3 - 6 weeks
78K is the Price that touches that line of support the soonest, in early June
Why could we go back down?
For the reasons above regarding the MACD BUT ALSO ;-
There are things called FAIR VALUE GAPS (FVG)
. These gaps highlight market inefficiencies and potential trading opportunities, allowing traders to anticipate price movements and confirm trends.
That area just below Current PA on this weekly chart is the FVG that goes down to 73K
It is NOT guaranteed that PA will revisit that area but while we sit so close, the potential exists
But something to note, that could be benifical is that Should PA Drop to Fill that Gap, PA could hit that line of support earlier than Mid June..infact, it would be a month earlier and be in Mid May.
So, I can see the potential for a push higher in the near future, to extend MACD, then a drop back to the range Lows, a Sharp wick down to around 73K and THEN a sustained push higher...
This is just an idea.....No guarantees...But it does have Potential
We will see - Time will tell...........
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trading Analysis – Rectangle Pattern Breakdown1. Market Overview
The BTC/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a trendline-supported uptrend that eventually transitioned into a rectangle consolidation pattern before breaking downward. The market displayed signs of buyer exhaustion near the resistance level, leading to a rectangle pattern breakdown, confirming a bearish shift.
This analysis will break down the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies for traders looking to capitalize on this move.
2. Breakdown of the Chart Structure
A. Trendline Breakout & Shift in Market Sentiment
The chart initially exhibits an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support for Bitcoin’s price.
As long as BTC/USD remained above this trendline, the uptrend was intact.
However, once the price broke below the trendline with strong bearish momentum, it signaled a significant shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish.
The breakdown of the trendline also coincided with the rectangle’s lower boundary breakdown, confirming bearish strength.
B. Rectangle Pattern Formation (Consolidation Phase)
The price oscillated between resistance at $88,500 and support at $86,000, forming a rectangle consolidation pattern.
This pattern reflects a period of market indecision where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium.
Multiple failed breakout attempts at resistance signaled strong seller dominance, leading to eventual support failure.
The rectangle breakdown suggests that bears have gained control and a downward move is likely.
C. Breakdown Confirmation & Target Projection
The price broke below the lower support of the rectangle ($86,000) with increased selling pressure.
The bearish breakout was confirmed by strong red candles with high volume, reinforcing the downside move.
The height of the rectangle pattern provides a measured move target of around $83,797, aligning with previous support.
The momentum remains bearish, and price is likely to test this level before any reversal attempt.
3. Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Ideal Trade Entry
Entry Point: After the price retested the broken rectangle support at $86,000, which now acts as resistance.
Confirmation: The rejection from this resistance with a bearish engulfing candle confirmed further downside.
Bearish momentum indicators, such as RSI and MACD crossovers, further validated the setup.
B. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Strategy)
Stop Loss: Placed above the previous resistance zone at $88,969 to protect against false breakouts.
Rationale: If price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
C. Take-Profit Target & Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Target: $83,797, based on the rectangle pattern height projection and key support levels.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses.
4. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook
A. Bearish Continuation Outlook
The trendline failure, rectangle breakdown, and bearish candlestick patterns all suggest a continuation of the downtrend.
If price fails to reclaim support-turned-resistance ($86,000), further downside is expected.
Increased selling volume confirms bearish control.
B. Possible Bullish Reversal Scenarios
If BTC/USD bounces strongly from the $83,797 target zone, it could indicate buyer accumulation and lead to a bullish recovery.
A move back above $86,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
5. Conclusion
This BTC/USD analysis highlights a bearish rectangle pattern breakdown, reinforced by a trendline break and strong resistance rejections at $88,500. The breakout target is $83,797, where traders should monitor price action for further bearish continuation or potential reversal signs.
Traders should approach with caution, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and follow volume trends for confirmation of further price movements.
$BTC - Possible Swing Point RetestCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 6h
Something I'm watching for an ABC pattern or if we'll get a pentawave here and a swing point retest back down to the 78k area
Expecting a bounce at the monthly open in confluent with some imbalances or single prints, then we'll see if we can get above or reject at the wpoc 87k
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook: Critical Levels and Market SentimentBitcoin is currently trading at $87,350, showing signs of recovery after a significant pullback. The weekly chart highlights a crucial battle between bulls and bears as price approaches key resistance levels.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels
$89,067: Bitcoin needs to break above this level to regain bullish momentum. This has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
$92,247: If Bitcoin clears the previous resistance, this level becomes the next challenge.
$99,563 - $100,763: This is a major supply zone where sellers could take control. A strong breakout beyond this range could pave the way for new all-time highs.
Support Levels
$76,612: If Bitcoin faces more downside pressure, this level will be a critical area for buyers to defend.
$67,853: A break below the previous support could lead to a deeper correction, with this level acting as the next major demand zone.
Technical Overview
Bitcoin is in the process of recovering from a sharp decline. The price has bounced from a strong weekly support level, but it is still facing challenges in reclaiming key moving averages.
The 10-week moving average (yellow line) is acting as resistance. A sustained close above this moving average could indicate a shift in momentum toward further upside.
A descending trendline has been limiting Bitcoin's ability to make higher highs. A breakout above this trendline would signal renewed bullish strength.
Trading volume shows buyers stepping in, but confirmation is needed to validate the trend reversal.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
The overall sentiment remains cautious, with buyers attempting to regain control. A strong weekly close above $92,000 could trigger a push toward the $100,000 range. On the other hand, failure to hold $87,000 could lead to another retest of lower support levels.
The next few weeks will be crucial in determining Bitcoin’s direction. If resistance levels are broken with strong volume, the bullish trend could resume. However, if the price continues to struggle, a deeper correction remains a possibility.
Where do you think Bitcoin is headed next?
The Global BTC Shake out is coming before 1 million BTC in 2037I believe it worth stating that we might be in a moment where bitcoin is gonna shake everyone out and make everyone sell or at least all those who think 1 million BTC is coming soon. The great Bitcoin reset cycle will occur eventually before true mass adoption... we could very well retest $15,000 as bottom sometime next year.. if true BUY and hodl and invest consistantly for a whole decade and reap the reward of a 1 million bitcoin probably in 2037-38 and Bitcoin by then will be nearly on par with golds market cap by then or below it. And youll become among the weathiest of the wealth.
Bitcoin Stalls Below $90,000 as Buying Pressure WeakensThe last four trading sessions for Bitcoin (BTC) have been fairly neutral, with the cryptocurrency fluctuating by around 2% , staying just below the critical $90,000 resistance level. The current uncertainty in the market is mainly driven by the renewed trade war narrative, following Trump’s recent comments about imposing tariffs on cars and auto parts. These statements have once again elevated global economic concerns, prompting investors to avoid risk assets in the short term — a category that includes Bitcoin. As long as this uncertainty persists, this neutral behavior could remain a defining feature of BTC in upcoming sessions.
Key Bearish Channel in Play
Since January 20, a notable bearish channel has taken shape, favoring selling pressure and driving BTC down to $77,000 in recent weeks. At present, the price is testing the upper boundary of the channel, but recent buying attempts have not been strong enough to trigger a breakout.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line initially showed a strong upward slope, but this momentum has faded as the indicator approaches the neutral 50 line, suggesting a balance between buyers and sellers. This reinforces the resistance posed by the upper edge of the bearish channel.
MACD Indicator
A similar situation is developing in the MACD, where the histogram has begun to decline steadily, nearing the zero line. This behavior points to a lack of strength in the moving average trends and may indicate that neutrality could continue to dominate BTC price action in the near term.
Key Levels:
$98,900 – Distant resistance: This level sits near the mid-range zone of a large sideways range observed in previous weeks. A bullish move toward this area could revive the forgotten bullish bias and reestablish the importance of the broader lateral structure.
$90,000 – Major resistance: Arguably the most relevant resistance zone at the moment. It aligns with the Ichimoku cloud and the upper limit of the current bearish channel. A breakout above this level could jeopardize the prevailing downtrend and introduce a strong bullish momentum.
$78,600 – Key support: This level marks the recent low for BTC. If the price drops back to this zone, it could provide confirmation for the continuation of the bearish channel.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
BTC Bitcoin Price Target by Year EndSeveral factors support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $97,500 by the end of the year:
Institutional Adoption and Treasury Investments: Companies like GameStop are incorporating Bitcoin into their treasury reserves, following the lead of firms such as MicroStrategy. GameStop plans to raise $1.3 billion for Bitcoin purchases, indicating growing corporate confidence in BTC as a store of value.
Supportive Regulatory Environment: The U.S. administration has pledged to make the country the "undisputed Bitcoin superpower and crypto capital of the world." Plans include introducing clear regulations for stablecoins and market structures, aiming to stimulate investment and innovation in the crypto sector.
Positive Price Forecasts: Analysts have set bullish targets for Bitcoin, with some predicting prices ranging from $120,000 to $150,000 by year-end. These projections are based on factors like supply shocks and increased institutional adoption.
Seasonal Trends and Market Liquidity: Historically, the second quarter has been favorable for Bitcoin, with increased market liquidity and investor interest. Currently, approximately $31.8 billion in "dry powder" is poised to enter the crypto markets, potentially driving prices higher.
Finite Supply and Growing Demand: Bitcoin's capped supply of 21 million coins, coupled with rising global demand, supports its long-term value appreciation. Its growing acceptance and technological advancements, despite evolving regulatory landscapes, bolster its investment appeal.
These factors collectively suggest a favorable environment for Bitcoin to approach or surpass the $97,500 mark by year-end.
BITCOIN new All Time High is a certainty.Bitcoin / BTCUSD found excellent support on the 1week MA50 and is staging a full force recovery.
According to the Time Cycles, it sits between the 0.786 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels. That's hostorically the Final Year of the Cycle.
All Fib stages have been fairly similar among those Cycles so if it continues to be that consistent, we should expect the price to rise now non-stop towards the end of the year and price a new All Time High.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTCUSD: What if it's just a Channel Up to $175k?Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.175, MACD = -714.800, ADX = 31.665) as it is stuck between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 but it's the wider timeframes that are particularly critical right now and more specifically the 1W, which is causing the current rebound on the 1W MA50. We can argue that the pattern since the Dec 2017 Top is a Channel Up, even though the last Bear Cycle bottom didn't make exact contact with its bottom.
We can equally however assume that the new Cycle High won't make direct contact with the Channel's Top either. And that's also backed up technically by the Fibonacci levels of the previous Cycle, which saw BTC making a Top just over the 1.618 Fib extension. Consequently we can assume the new Top to hit at least $175,000 (Fib 1.618 currently). The bullish wave is also a direct Channel Up since the November 2022 bottom after all. Even on the previous Cycle, if we exclude the COVID crash price distortion, the bullish wave was a Channel Up as well.
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Bitcoin - Please Just Listen To The Charts!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains in a bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite literally everybody freaking out about cryptos lately, big brother Bitcoin is still creating bullish market structure. During every past cycle we witnessed a correction of at least -20% before we then saw a parabolic rally. So far, Bitcoin is just doing its normal "volatility thing".
Levels to watch: 70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Buy@85500 - 86500Presently, Bitcoin is firmly ensconced within a robust upward trajectory. Having transitioned from a sideways trading phase at 84000 last week, it has executed a remarkable rally, surging directly into the resistance corridor in the vicinity of 89000. With the current trading price hovering at 87000, the market exudes a palpable sense of bullishness.
Should BTC sustain a stable sideways oscillation between 87000 and 88000, the bulls stand to methodically amass upward momentum. Once primed, a breakthrough of the 89000 threshold by BTC appears all but inevitable.
From a technical vantage point, Bitcoin has convincingly breached the sideways trading range. Its moving averages exhibit a distinct bullish configuration, with the 85000 level solidifying as a crucial support.
On the fundamental front, a confluence of factors—including the prevailing global economic uncertainties, the buoyant market sentiment, and the relatively permissive regulatory environment—collectively conspire to propel the continued ascent of its price.
💎💎💎 BTCUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@85500 - 86000
🎁 TP 87000 88000 89000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Trade Idea: BTCUSDT (15m Chart)Trade Idea: BTCUSDT (15m Chart)
Price has aggressively pushed up from the daily demand zone and is now forming a potential bullish continuation setup. A retracement into the M15 FVG zone is expected. If price respects this zone and forms a bullish reaction, a long opportunity aligns well with the context target above.
Bias: Bullish
Context: Price is targeting upside liquidity after reclaiming structure. Expecting continuation following a healthy retracement.
Trade with confirmation and risk management.
Gold (XAUUSD) Rejection from Double Top – Bearish Targets playThis chart shows gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a double top at a key resistance zone. The price has reached this resistance and may experience a rejection, potentially triggering a sell-off.
A downward move is projected with two targets:
1. First target around the previous support zone.
2. Second target near the trendline and a deeper support level.
The breakout from the descending trendline suggests a shift in momentum, but rejection at the resistance could confirm a bearish reversal. If sellers take control, the price may drop toward the indicated targets.
First TP: Around 3,040 (previous support zone).
Second TP: Around 3,025 (near trendline support).
If price confirms rejection from the double top resistance, these levels could act as key downside targets.
BTCUSDT - Low Time Frame Support Level I believe that BTCUSDT is at a critical level right now, and this blue box combined with the blue line is where we could see some price reaction. However, don't expect a major move, this is a low timeframe zone that might only give us smaller, more precise opportunities.
🔹 What To Watch For:
Reaction Potential: If the price touches this blue box and blue line, there may be a short-term reaction, but don't overestimate it.
Low Timeframe Focus: Keep an eye on the lower timeframes for breakouts or rejections around these areas.
Patience Is Key: This isn't a large move zone, so we will wait for confirmation before acting.
💡 Stay Smart: Always trade with confirmation. If the price moves fast and unexpectedly, we won't chase it. Stay in control, and wait for the right signals!
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
2024-2026 Exploration of 5-100x Web3 cryptos and Stock Targe【Old article on 2024-3-5】-republish due to private indicators before
Time flies, nearly four years have passed since we wrote a similar article, and we feel quite satisfied as 95% of the predictions have been met. Except for Boeing, which surprisingly didn't take off, Bilibili ($19), BTC ($3800), Tiger $3, and PDD ($19) achieved the expected 5-10x growth within two years. The subsequent performances of ACH,UOS, NEAR, and ALGO
provided even greater surprises with 10-80x gains.
However, I continuously reflect and hope to improve my judgment since, compared to readers who directly read the articles, those of us immersed in the sea of information sometimes have our initial judgments clouded by various external factors.
We prefer to express our views at relatively low or high points in advance, allowing time to silently validate these opinions. Real-time perspectives are highly attractive but also constantly at risk, demanding much energy and health. Many have faced health warnings, and we hope everyone remains healthy and happy in 2024. I lean towards identifying the start and end points, then trusting the driver and natural progression for everything in between.
Returning to the topic, it has been over two and a half years since a similar article, and I will discuss a few targets and core catalysts I believe are underestimated:
1.Bitcoin (BTC) BINANCE:BTCUSD
Introduction: Born in January 2009 as a hedge against inflation after the 2008 financial crisis, BTC has experienced nearly 16 years. Its underlying logic and blockchain technology have birthed foundational blockchains like Ethereum, ADA, SOL, AVAX, CFX, and Algo. BTC's development attributes have expanded potential applications, such as Stacks and RGB protocols. My ultimate expectation for BTC is simple: it could be valued highly just as a new E-GOLD for decades to come. If its ecosystem applications further explode, it could become one of this century's leading assets.
Key Catalysts: The 2024 halving, reducing block rewards to 3.125 and resulting in a yearly inflation of about 0.782%, which is lower than the inflation rates of most developed countries. The next wave of funding entering the industry could be expedited by the SEC’s approval of ETFs, the alleviation of sell pressure from Grayscale's repositioning and MGOT, and traditional financial risks causing forced rescue actions by BTC-holding companies to pass.
● Expected Valuation: $200,000 MC: 4.2 trillion USD, marking the beginning of a new world, extensively unfolding application scenarios
Reminder: It's important to emphasize that long-term expected valuations do not imply a straight path upwards from current price points. There might be an average upward trend, but short-term intense volatility is possible. Always remember not to engage in long-term commitments with high leverage. This reminder is also placed here for additional caution.
2.Telegram Ime ( POLONIEX:LIMEUSDT Lime) & TON ( BINANCE:TONUSDT TON)
Introduction
Ime Messenger is a special version of Telegram, integrating functionalities such as a multi-chain wallet, enabling direct transfers of various blockchain assets like BTC, ETH, AVAX, BNB, Polygon, Mantle, AVAX, etc., among Telegram friends. It incorporates features like Binance Pay, direct Google Translate in Twitter and TG conversations, and optimizes Telegram's overall layout and usability.
Telegram accounts and chat histories, along with other crucial data, can be directly utilized in the Ime version of Telegram without the need for a new account. Similarly, chat histories in the IME version will automatically sync with the original Telegram version, facilitating easy switching. The Ime version essentially acts as an integrator, merging the Web3 world into the TG ecosystem, with TON leaning towards the chain ecosystem.
TON is a native public blockchain ecosystem developed on top of Telegram, serving as an inherited blockchain project from TG's original project team. It introduces more development possibilities and diversity to Telegram's native ecosystem growth.
● Core Logic:
Within three years, the user base of the Ime version increased from 2 million to 10 million users, a 500% increase. The friendly relationship with Telegram's founding team enables seamless connection to Telegram's 700 million users. The latest multi-chain Token group red packet function uses Lime as the Gas fee, which will greatly benefit the project's operation and promotion if more convenient modes are optimized in the future. Ime's multi-chain integration feature can help project parties integrate into the Telegram ecosystem faster. Currently, LIME's FDV fluctuates between $5M and $10M, far below the valuation of many primary market projects.
TON, as TG's native underlying public blockchain, ranks at the forefront in terms of operational level and market promotion. It can be directly used in the original version of TG, reducing the teaching cost. Although it doesn't support multi-chain, the wallet is a single-chain wallet in the form of a dialogue box. TON itself also has enough potential, and its FDV has surpassed $10 billion, indicating the market's expectations for Telegram.
● Keys to Launch:
Ime Lime:
Due to the presence of many hardcore tech personnel from Russia and Ukraine, the involvement of core operational PR is needed to enhance the project's self-marketing capability.
Further optimization of the TG group members' ability to freely use the red packet function to send various TOKENs as rewards to group members.
More optimization of TG functionalities to be utilized.
Further support and policies from Russia towards blockchain applications.
TON:
A more lenient regulatory stance from the SEC towards the official Telegram TON.
Collaboration and output of SocialFi Killer-level projects on the chain.
An increase in GameFi entering through TG as a portal.
● Expected Valuation:
Lime: Current MC FDV: $5.7M, Expected FDV: 3B-5B
TON: Current MC FDV: $MUN:10B, Expected FDV: $60B
3.Conflux (CFX)
BINANCE:CFXUSDT
● Basic Introduction:
Conflux is a Layer 1 public blockchain supported by a team that includes a Turing Award winner and technical advisors from Tsinghua University's Yao Class, aimed at long-term development platforms for dApps, e-commerce, Web 3, and metaverse infrastructures. Its Tree-Graph consensus mechanism, which combines Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS) algorithms, is considered one of the most prominent purely domestic projects in my opinion.
● Core Logic:
Conflux's unique Tree-Graph consensus algorithm achieves high scalability and low latency, driven by a technology-focused team, ensuring smoothness and convenience comparable to high-valuation blockchain projects like SOL and ETH. It aligns quickly with the mainstream development pace of Web3, waiting only for further opening and an increase in active users to unlock significant potential. Trendy applications are gradually making their way onto CFX.
● Keys to Launch:
Further support and liberalization for blockchain public chain applications and the metaverse by mainland China.Further popularization of the public chain as a pilot test in China's Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan regions.
More official cooperation and implementation with institutions like CITIC, Xiaohongshu, leading to the complete disappearance of traditional capital suppression.
Gradual maturity of Conflux's own development and formal, successful support for BTC L2.
● Expected Valuation:
Current MC FDV of CFX: Fluctuating around $0.9B, Expected FDV: $36B-$80B
4.Opulous (OPUL)
KUCOIN:OPULUSDT
● Basic Introduction:
A music RWA+DeFi project, where RWA has already achieved application cooperation with singers. Investors can participate in purchasing a portion of album rights with OPUL to earn subsequent album revenue shares from the artist. The new feature, Opulous OLOAN, creates a unique bridge between RWA and the music industry. By staking USDC in the pool, it provides funding for musicians and earns extra income on the staked USDC.
OVAULT is a unique staking pool on the Opulous platform that allows you to stake USDC to access a diverse music library. This library, curated by Opulous music experts, features popular and high-performing songs. Participating in OVAULT not only grants access to this music library but also rewards, offering a way to engage with the music industry and profit from staking.
● Core Logic:
The company has a rich network of core music resources, with dittos being a music collaboration company of ED Sheeran, Overall, Opulous maintains a relatively leading position in market rhythm control, ranking as one of the more playful project parties on the Algorand and Arb chains. The pressure from private placements has been fully released.
● Key to Launch:
The further popularization of music applications, as well as the actual revenue generated by high-profit artists.
● Expected Valuation:
OPUL current MC FDV fluctuates around $50M-100M, with an expected FDV of $MUN:10B-$30B
5.Bilibili (BILI)
NASDAQ:BILI
● Basic Introduction:
A video creation and live streaming platform, a haven for secondary elements, and a platform concentrated with young purchasing power, which has invested in a bunch of enterprises leading to poor financial reports in recent years. Thus, the stock price has plummeted from its peak, so let's just drink to that.
● Core Logic:
Currently, the only platform in China that seems capable of competing with YouTube.
Gaming may catch up to the era of Web3 entry points.
High user stickiness, but consumer rights are currently somewhat limited to anime series.
● Key to Launch:
Encourage more original creative educational videos, as most Chinese videos now are summary-based, and original content is much less compared to YouTube. Activating this "wasteland" could be a significant source of revenue for Bili, as many are willing to pay for quality knowledge, but management needs to be stricter to prevent bad money from driving out good.
Investments from the past two years are beginning to generate exit profits.
Revise the business distribution; the current mix of live streaming and gaming services with the website is a bit odd.
● Expected Valuation:
Bili's current valuation: $3.8B MC FDV, with an expected valuation in 5 years of $50-100B.
6.Avalanche / Polygon / Near / Algorand/ Solana
CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BINANCE:NEARUSDT COINBASE:MATICUSD BINANCE:ALGOUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT
● Basic Introduction:
Alt-L1 is a core foundational public blockchain infrastructure. AVAX and Polygon are more akin to Ethereum's sidechains, while Sol / Near / Algo have their own underlying architectures + EVM+BTC virtual machine compatibility or stand-alone projects to enhance compatibility with Ethereum. Each public blockchain has its own unique ecosystem. In 2024, it's more suitable for each chain to be discussed separately in a comprehensive series due to their foundational architectures, which cannot be fully covered here without extending into tens of thousands of words.
● Core Logic:
The security of L1's underlying architecture has become increasingly refined. Although there have been debates regarding Sol's foundational security, it's undeniable that Solana has become the largest ecosystem outside of Ethereum, even leading in popularity at times. However, with the initiation of Ethereum's layering series, Ethereum's ecosystem could potentially introduce more gameplay. AVAX, SOL, and Matic are perfect examples of market rhythm mastery, with Near being average in convenience, and Algo being the least market-savvy but having the highest prestige in terms of technical strength and collaborations.
The other L1s are advancing similarly, now engaging in mutual competition. After an uninteresting two years, the public chain ecosystem is finally starting to show some vitality again.
● Key to Launch:
After global macroeconomic black swan events are thoroughly cleared, the new era's focus will shift further towards AI, blockchain, and informational fields, increasing the exploration desire for reservoirs and funds. LSD, Restaking, Rollup, and various new DeFi gameplay will further penetrate major ecosystems, sparking new value bubbles.
● Expected Valuation:
Future MC FDV:
AVAX: 150B
SOL: 300B
ALGO: 60B-150B (300B--- if the team optimizes and gets designated by US policies)
NEAR: 50B-100B
MATIC: 80B-100B (250B--- if designated by Indian policies)
7.Tiger Brokers (Tiger) NASDAQ:TIGR
● Basic Introduction:
A youthful brokerage with excellent trading experience, superb data provision, and UI design, providing ample information on financial reports and data.
● Core Logic:
Undervalued, with virtual licenses approved. The support for compliant tokens like USDC for deposit could significantly increase trading volume and financial income.
● Key to Launch:
Further relaxation and support for compliant KYC by domestic policies.
Overall recovery and accumulation in the financial markets.
● Expected Valuation:
Current FDV: 0.58B, Expected FDV: 10-20 B
8.Planetswatch (Planets)
● Basic Introduction:
An eco-friendly project monitoring air quality through air sensors, allowing for real-time air quality data transmission via different sensor nodes in exchange for token rewards.
● Core Logic:
High early valuation and low circulation rate, with prices significantly dropping due to the bear market and inflation impacts, a common issue for early-stage projects with low circulation rates.
● Key to Launch:
Further global emphasis on environmental infrastructure, with Eco projects becoming a focal point in blockchain discussions.
● Expected Valuation:
Current MC FDV: 2M, Expected FDV: 20M-200M
9.ContextLogic (Wish) $NASDAQ:WISH NASDAQ:LOGC
● Basic Introduction:
Wish is a U.S.-based e-commerce platform founded in 2010 by former Google employee Piotr Szulczewski and former Yahoo employee Danny Zhang. Its parent company, ContextLogic Inc., is headquartered in San Francisco, USA, primarily selling inexpensive household items, clothing, jewelry, electronics, toys, etc.
● Core Logic:
Overhyped by consortia like Goldman Sachs in 2020, leading to a steady fall to the verge of delisting. Prices are near low, with recent market actions and promotions starting to revive.
● Key to Launch:
Further reliance on group buying, especially the expectation of cheap group purchases by the consumption downgrade population.
Entry of new major institutions into the acquisition process.
Revival in financial reports and business.
● Expected Valuation:
Current MC FDV: 0.1B, Expected MC FDV: 2B-10B
10.Waves Enterprises (West) $KUCOIN:WESTUSDT GATEIO:WESTUSDT
● Basic Introduction:
Waves Enterprise is an enterprise-grade blockchain platform for building fault-tolerant digital infrastructures. As a hybrid solution, it combines enterprises, service providers, and decentralized applications in a trustless environment, leveraging the advantages of public permissioned blockchain across a wide range of business use cases.
Sidechains are used for building private or hybrid infrastructures, storing metadata on the mainnet. The platform is powered by Waves Enterprise System Token (
WEST
), the native utility token for all network operations.
● Core Logic:
Enterprise-grade public and private hybrid blockchain protocols may be more easily accepted by traditional enterprises.
● Key to Launch:
Further support for blockchain technology from Russia, with traditional oligarchs and consortiums responding to related policies.
Further popularization
Expected Valuation:
Current MC FDV: 2-5M fluctuation, Expected MC FDV: 2B-5B (20-50B--- if designated by Russia)
Summary:
This article analyzes the long-term potential value of several projects. Some have survived through significant trials and tribulations, and others possess superior fundamentals and philosophies but lack market operation capabilities and are in need of a discerning eye. Therefore, while they have potential, it does not guarantee they will meet expectations, and they may also suffer unexpected setbacks.
The global economy has not yet emerged from the mire; in fact, it can be likened to treading on thin ice where the superficial prosperity cannot mask the unresolved core flaws. Certain festering issues and malignancies have yet to be addressed, so even as the future for AI and blockchain seems bright, it's prudent for individuals and institutions to adhere to a set of personal principles.
For emerging public chains like SEI, TIA, and Layer 2 solutions, as well as diverse projects like Altlayer, Manta, Dymension, Edenlayer, Zeta involving Restaking, LSD, and other novel mechanisms, the extended lock-up periods of this investment round make early valuations even more challenging to gauge. This tests the responsibility and habits of the project teams since the majority of tokens are still in their hands. If the foundation dumps early, new projects could experience significant setbacks. However, there's also the possibility of projects like TIA achieving "vintage" valuations, though such outcomes are difficult to predict swiftly.
The development of the blockchain industry is expected to be relatively bright in the coming years. However, it's important to reiterate the caution stated at the beginning of this article: long-term valuations do not mean a continuous upward trend from current price points. The market could experience intense volatility, similar to a scenario where BTC suddenly drops to
1K
and then rebounds to $40k, although such an event is highly unlikely. If one can maintain a healthy position in such scenarios, there should be no cause for concern.
Remember not to engage in long-term commitments with high leverage. Try to avoid or minimize engagement with contracts unless for entertainment and if you possess sufficient self-discipline. Do Your Own Research (DYOR) remains the primary way to maintain a healthy investment strategy.
Disclaimer: This article is not intended as investment or financial advice but merely reflects the author's opinions and insights, hoping for mutual learning and progress.
BTC(20250327) market analysis and operationYesterday, the small level broke through the previous low and then rebounded. Today, pay attention to 87000 points. If the 4-hour level can stand above this point, the correction will end and the market will continue to rise. Pay attention to the upper pressure levels near 88500, 90045 and 91250. If the 4-hour level falls below 87150 and cannot be recovered, the small rebound will be weak, and there is a high probability of sideways or retracement at a small level. Pay attention to the lower support levels near 86370, 85530 and 84775.
BTC-----Sell around 87000, target 86500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC on March 27: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive, the attached indicator golden cross was running with shrinking volume, and the fast and slow lines were below the zero axis. The general trend was still bearish. The four-hour chart was under pressure near the 88,800 area after the rebound last week. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative, and the attached indicator was dead cross running. There was an obvious retracement and decline trend. Let's take a look at the continuation and strength first; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's European session fell and the US session continued to break the previous day's low position, and the high position was corrected in the early morning near the 87,500 area. In this way, if we continue to see a retracement and fall and break the low today, then the rebound cannot break the pressure point position, otherwise it will be difficult to fall.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound 87,000 area, stop loss at the 87,500 area, and target the 85,600 area;
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Correction Ahead?hello guys
The Bitcoin/USDT chart shows an ascending channel with recent price action forming a divergence at the top, indicating potential weakening momentum. A bearish breakout from a smaller triangle suggests a short-term correction. The price may test the ascending trendline around $85,400, where a key support zone exists. If this level fails, a deeper correction toward the major support area around $76,800 could follow. However, if Bitcoin holds above the trendline, the uptrend could resume.
Traders should watch price action around the $85,400 level for confirmation of further downside or a potential bounce.
BTC Is Still Bearish (4H)Given the structure formed at the price floor (3D), the mitigation of supply zones at the price ceiling, the sellers holding their ground, and the failure to clear key supply areas, the buyers who have pushed the price upward will likely turn into sellers around the red zone. This suggests that a significant drop is ahead.
In reality, the price reaching these levels has not accomplished anything substantial, as no critical zone has been cleared.
The target could be the green box.
Be cautious with your buy/long positions.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Dip Ahead?Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! Bitcoin’s sitting at a crossroads right now. If we smash through that 87,678 resistance, we could be in for an exciting ride up to 90K or beyond—bullish vibes all the way! But, if the momentum fizzles and we keep sliding into lower lows, I’m eyeing a consolidation zone between 85,400 and 84K. What do you think—ready for a breakout, or bracing for a dip? Let’s chat about it!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange