BTC Is Still Bearish (4H)Given the structure formed at the price floor (3D), the mitigation of supply zones at the price ceiling, the sellers holding their ground, and the failure to clear key supply areas, the buyers who have pushed the price upward will likely turn into sellers around the red zone. This suggests that a significant drop is ahead.
In reality, the price reaching these levels has not accomplished anything substantial, as no critical zone has been cleared.
The target could be the green box.
Be cautious with your buy/long positions.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Dip Ahead?Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! Bitcoin’s sitting at a crossroads right now. If we smash through that 87,678 resistance, we could be in for an exciting ride up to 90K or beyond—bullish vibes all the way! But, if the momentum fizzles and we keep sliding into lower lows, I’m eyeing a consolidation zone between 85,400 and 84K. What do you think—ready for a breakout, or bracing for a dip? Let’s chat about it!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Falling to $79K?This detailed technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe highlights a Rising Wedge pattern, key support and resistance levels, a trade setup, and projected price movements. The chart suggests a bearish breakdown, and traders can use this analysis to make informed decisions.
1. Understanding the Chart Pattern – Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves upwards within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, indicating weaker bullish momentum and an increasing probability of a downside breakdown.
📌 Key Observations:
The black solid trendlines outline the wedge pattern.
The price action remained inside this wedge from March 11 to March 26, 2025.
A breakdown has now occurred, confirming bearish momentum.
🔺 Why is this Bearish?
Rising Wedges are considered distribution patterns, meaning buyers are losing strength, and sellers are gradually taking control.
The price fails to make aggressive new highs and instead grinds upward weakly.
Once support is broken, a strong sell-off usually follows.
2. Key Chart Levels – Support & Resistance Zones
🔵 Resistance Level (Upper Bound of Wedge & Supply Zone)
The red arrow marks a strong rejection at $88,500 - $89,000, which acted as a major resistance level.
This zone has seen multiple failed breakout attempts, signaling that sellers dominate this area.
Stop-losses for short trades should be placed above this resistance zone.
🟢 Support Level (Lower Bound of Wedge & Demand Zone)
The wedge's lower boundary previously acted as strong support until it was breached.
The blue highlighted box represents a demand zone around $81,000, where buyers previously stepped in.
Losing this level could trigger a much stronger bearish move.
3. Breakdown Confirmation & Trading Setup
With the wedge broken to the downside, we now look for a confirmed bearish setup to enter a trade.
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
✅ The price broke below the wedge’s lower boundary, signaling a reversal.
✅ A retest of the broken wedge trendline confirms the breakdown.
✅ The price is now showing lower highs and lower lows, indicating a new bearish trend.
🎯 Trade Setup – How to Play This Move?
🔴 Entry for Short Position:
Enter short between $86,900 - $87,200 after confirming a rejection at the broken trendline.
🔵 Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss above $89,282 to protect against a fakeout.
If BTC closes back inside the wedge, the short setup is invalidated.
🟢 Target 1: $81,000 – This is a key demand zone, and price might temporarily bounce here.
🟢 Target 2: $79,031 – This is the next strong support level, making it a final bearish target.
⚠ Risk Management Note:
Adjust position size based on risk tolerance.
Be mindful of short squeezes (where price temporarily spikes before continuing lower).
4. Expected Price Movement – Bearish Projection
🔮 The dashed black lines on the chart indicate a likely price pathway:
1️⃣ A breakdown below the wedge, followed by a minor retest of the broken trendline.
2️⃣ A continuation toward $81,000 (support level).
3️⃣ A small bounce before further decline.
4️⃣ The price reaching the final target of $79,031, where buyers may start accumulating again.
📌 If Bitcoin breaks below $81,000 with high volume, the bearish trend will likely accelerate.
5. Market Psychology & Trading Strategy
📌 Why This Setup Makes Sense?
The market exhibited exhaustion at the top of the wedge.
The break-and-retest confirms seller dominance.
The lower highs & lower lows show bearish momentum.
🚀 Alternative Bullish Scenario?
If BTC reclaims the wedge and breaks above $89,000, then the bearish setup is invalid.
A close above $89,500 would signal strong buying pressure and potential bullish continuation.
6. Conclusion – What to Watch Next?
🔎 Key Points to Monitor:
✔ Retest & rejection at $87,000 – $88,000 (confirming bearish momentum).
✔ Break of $81,000 to signal continuation toward the target.
✔ Stop-loss protection above $89,000 to manage risk.
📊 Final Thoughts:
The Rising Wedge breakdown suggests a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
This is a high-probability short trade with well-defined entry, stop-loss, and targets.
Traders should wait for price action confirmation before entering trades.
Would you like any refinements, or do you need further trade ideas? 🚀📉
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-27-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will continue to melt downward (possibly attempting to fill the Gap from March 24).
I strongly believe the SPY/QQQ are completing the "rolling top" pattern I suggested would happen near or after the March 21-24 TOP pattern my deeper cycle research suggested was likely.
At this point, things are just starting to line up for a broader market decline while the current EPP pattern plays out as a Breakdown of the EPP Flagging formation (moving into consolidation).
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Yes, I do expect a little bit of volatility near these recent highs. But, I also expect metals to continue to rally higher from these levels over the next 10-15+ days. Watch the video.
Bitcoin is stalling/topping - just as I suggested it would months ago.
Now we see how the market move into this new trending phase and how far this current trend will drive price trends. I believe the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin will all continue to move downward while Gold/Silver move (RIP) higher on this breakaway move.
This is a PERFECT trader's market.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Bitcoin Looking Bullish on 4 hour - printing a bull FlagBitcoin is certainly looking Bullish on the lower time frames and, in my opinion, continur to fall in the Flag till we get near that lower Trend line of Ascending channel we been making since the Low around 76K
The 4 hour MACD is falling Bearish and support the idea of a continues Drop to lower Trend line
I think the Margins are too tight to do any day trading
Just Sitting, waiting.
Longer term, I am still prepared to see another Drop Lower but maybe not to the 76K range again.
The Monthly candle for March is currently Green off an expected RED.
It has Long wicks above and Below, showing a good fight between Bulls and Bears.
The Body of this candle is not Big but it would take a serious drop out of range to turn it red
So, RELAX
We should be OK
BITCOIN Say goodbye to low prices if this level breaks. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways the past couple of days following the strong bullish reaction on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). The reason it that it is about to face the most common Resistance of this Cycle, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Within the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle, BTC always started its new rally near or on the 1W MA50 but the most important development to confirm that was a break above the 1D MA50. On both previous correction/ accumulation phases, the 1D MA50 break coincided with a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement break.
The bottom of each phase is formed when the 1W MA50 gets tested on a Double Bottom, which we've had on March 11 2025, September 06 2024 and September 11 2023. Among those fractals, their 1D RSI patterns post identical sequences.
As a result, once the price breaks above the 1D MA50, we can claim that the most optimal buy opportunity of the past 6 months will cease to exist and then you'll have to chase a rally all the way to at least a +97% rise (late 2023 rally, the late 2024 was even stronger at +106%). That gives us a minimum target estimate of $150000.
Do you think that would be the case? Break above the 1D MA50 and off to the races with no looking back? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN - The Bearish Scenario - Sign's of a Possible Top...In this video, I explore the possibility that Bitcoin may have already hit a temporary peak.
My perspective comes from initially building a bullish case—only to uncover subtle flaws that I chose to set aside.
But as I meticulously documented my observations, those cracks in the bullish argument became impossible to ignore. When I switched to a bearish wave count, some thing began to align, shedding light on areas of the chart that previously seemed uncertain.
These market waves are intricate, requiring patience and a fresh perspective to decipher where we truly stand in the broader pattern.
Only after stepping back and allowing time for meaningful price action does the picture start to come into focus.
I also touch on Ethereum's pattern and the Dow Jones.
March 26 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
With the purple finger on the left,
I connected the long->short switching section in the existing strategy.
4-hour chart MACD dead cross imprint released.
The short-term pattern is broken and Nasdaq is moving sideways.
*Long position strategy when the red finger moves.
1. 87,141.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 89,177.2 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
For those who are maintaining a short position,
Check if it breaks through the pink resistance line
The 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom are sideways sections. In particular, the first section at the top is the resistance line section of the Bollinger Band daily chart, and since it is pressed, adjustments can occur when touched.
Therefore, even if a rebound occurs at the red finger 87.1K,
if the daily candle is created tomorrow,
it should touch the first section 89.1K at the top to open the resistance line,
so that it can safely rise to the top section, right?
Since the mid-term pattern is broken from the green support line deviation,
it must unconditionally succeed in the rebound,
and it would be good to operate while watching the Nasdaq movement.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
BITCOIN Trending Higher - Can Bulls Maintain Momentum?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation toward higher levels.
The price has broken above a key resistance zone and successfully retested it as support, confirming the bullish structure. This retest strengthens the case for further upside, with the next target aligning with the upper boundary of the channel near $91,000.
As long as the price remains above this newly established support, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, if the price fails to hold above this zone, a deeper pullback toward the midline or the lower boundary of the channel could come into play.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Is BTC Bitcoin Overextended? My Bias Is Bullish With Conditions!This 30-minute chart 🌟 shows Bitcoin consolidating within a descending channel after a recent bullish breakout 🚀, with a potential bullish structure forming. The price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel near $87,500 🛡️. If the price breaks below the channel and retests the equilibrium support, it could present a strong buy opportunity 💰 . Considering the broader analysis 🌍, a break above $87,926 with strong volume 🔥 would confirm bullish momentum toward $90,000 🎯 . Not financial advice. ✨
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot:85,975.56
1st Support: 83,546.45
1st Resistance: 89,692.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSD Trade Idea: is it gonna move?A bullish trade setup on BTC/USD, targeting a move towards the previous day's high or the nearby Order Block . The price recently swept the previous day's low's liquidity (86,407.34), indicating potential support. A long entry is placed after a retracement, with a stop loss below recent lows and a take profit set near 87,654.55.
BTC to 42k 2025 possibly lower
### 🔎 **1. Sentiment & Behavioral Data**:
- **App Rank + Google Trends Overlay**:
Elevated app rank + Google Trends spikes historically mark **local tops or overheating**, often preceding significant cool-downs.
- Current period mirrors previous euphoric cycles.
- RSI (monthly) also elevated → supports reversion.
---
### 🧊 **2. Macro Liquidity Conditions**:
- **BTC vs Global Liquidity Index**:
- Historically tightly correlated.
- Current divergence: **BTC is at ATH territory**, while **Global Liquidity Index is still suppressed**.
- Suggests **unsustainable move**, and vulnerability if liquidity tightens.
---
### 🏦 **3. ETF Flow Structure**:
- **Monthly Flows:**
- Net positive ($780M), **but cooling**.
- Feb had negative net flows (~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B out), March stabilizing but still tepid inflows.
- Sign of **diminishing marginal demand** from institutional flows → could fail to support current prices if retail demand slows.
---
### 🔥 **4. Liquidation Heatmap (Hyperliquid)**:
- **Heavy liquidation clusters**:
- Between **$86K - $90K** → currently being tested.
- **Liquidity vacuum below ~$80K** with significant liquidation levels → ideal for a **"liquidity hunt" wick** if downside opens up.
- Reinforces potential **swift downside mechanics** via cascading leverage.
---
### 📈 **5. Technical Structure & Smart Money Concepts**:
#### BTCUSD (Weekly View):
- Price hitting **regression model’s upper red band** (mean reversion zone).
- Momentum indicators (MACD, ST Oscillator, Squeeze) all **bearish divergent**.
- Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) below ($66K– GETTEX:52K ) + large Weekly OBs → **magnet zones**.
#### BTCUSDT.P (Perpetual Futures):
- RSI and volume profile show clear **bearish divergence**.
- Weekly CHoCH (Change of Character) + potential **lower high forming**.
- Price sitting in **high liquidity zone** with **weak support below**.
#### BRN/BTC Ratio:
- Shows **macro risk-off positioning** still in play (low oil/energy relative to BTC).
- Risk that this reverses → capital rotation *out of crypto* and into commodities.
---
### ⚠️ **Conclusion: Near-Term Bearish Bias**
Your thesis is still anchored in the **broader structural bull market**, but the current **micro-structure is highly vulnerable** to a **mid-cycle correction**, driven by:
- Overheated retail metrics.
- Bearish divergence across momentum tools.
- Depleting ETF inflows.
- Liquidity + liquidation setups ideal for **fast downside moves**.
- Macro conditions (liquidity and cross-asset risk ratios) not supportive of continued vertical price expansion **without correction**.
BITCOIN on a Bull Flag that targets $94000.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up since the March 11th market bottom.
The recent 2day pull back is a Bull Flag that just hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
Ahead of an emerging Golden Cross (4h), this is a triple buy signal.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 94000 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also rebounding on its 2 week Rising Support. An additional strong buy signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
BTC/USDT 1H: Double Top Reversal – Short Setup Below $88KBTC/USDT 1H: Double Top Reversal – Short Setup Below FWB:88K
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Current Market Conditions (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Price at $87,146, showing bearish momentum following a confirmed double top formation.
Hidden bearish divergence on RSI, with lower highs while price made equal highs—classic SMC signal.
Market Makers appear to be distributing in the $88,000 – $88,250 resistance zone.
Trade Setup (Short Bias):
Entry: Current price around $87,146 is optimal for short positions.
Targets:
T1: $86,250 (-1%)
T2: $85,500 (-1.9%)
Stop Loss: $88,300 (+1.3%) above resistance zone.
Risk Score:
7/10 – High-volume rejection at resistance supports this setup, but RSI nearing oversold adds some short-term bounce risk.
Key Observations:
Strong resistance cluster at $88,000 – $88,250.
RSI at 40, approaching oversold, but divergence signals outweigh reversal for now.
Smart Money activity shows clear signs of short positioning with large bearish wicks and volume spikes.
Recommendation:
Short positions favored with tight risk management.
Consider scaling out at each target level to lock in profits.
Monitor price action closely at $86,250 for signs of absorption or bounce.
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
#BTC/USDT Update! This is the only Bullish trigger point!#BTC has reached our key resistance zone, the exact area I've been highlighting since last week.
So far, we've seen a clear rejection from this level.
Bitcoin still needs more momentum to break above this zone convincingly.
As long as we remain below this range, it won’t be smooth sailing for BTC or altcoins.
📊 I’ll be sharing some important altcoin charts later today.
Stay tuned!
Please hit the like button to support my content and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTCUSD: Can $160k be a very 'pessimistic' target estimate?Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.359, MACD = 2868.500, ADX = 51.194) and having rebounded almost on its 1W MA50, there couldn't be a better buy opportunity for the rest of the year. Basically the price is now ranged inside the 1W MA50 and top trendline of the Pi Cycle, while the 1W CCI hit the -100.00 oversold limit. This has been the most efficient buy entry in August 2024 August 2023 even on the Cycle before in June 2021.
Even if the market doesn't make an 'excessive top' above the Channel Up, like the last two Cycles, hitting $160,000 would still be under the top of the Channel Up and the top of the Pi Cycle. No matter how high this target seems now, it will still be a pessimistic, 'bad case' scenario.
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When will BTC break through 89,000?Currently, Bitcoin is in a strong upward trend. It has soared directly from a sideways movement at 84,000 to the resistance zone near 89,000. Now, with the price at 86,000, the market sentiment remains bullish.
If BTC maintains a stable sideways movement between 87,000 and 88,000, the bulls can gradually accumulate upward momentum. Once ready, BTC will undoubtedly break through 89,000.
Technically, Bitcoin has broken through the sideways range, and its moving averages show a bullish alignment. The 85,000 level has emerged as a significant support.
Fundamentally, factors such as global economic uncertainties, exuberant market sentiment, and a relatively relaxed regulatory environment are jointly driving the continuous upward movement of its price.
💎💎💎 BTCUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@85500 - 86000
🎁 TP 87000 88000 89000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates