Bitcoin: in a silent moodThe fears regarding future US economic outlook are still strong among investors. The Fed held its FOMC meeting during the previous week, holding for one more time interest rates unchanged. On the other hand, Fed officials acknowledged uncertainties originating from moves from the US Administration, mostly related to trade tariffs. The US equity markets are trying very hard to sustain a positive mood, however, it is not an easy task under current circumstances. This is why markets generally slowed down a bit, waiting for more clarity in which direction the US economy will go till the end of this year. The same sentiment is impacting the crypto market.
During the previous week, BTC tried to hold a positive sentiment, reaching the highest weekly level at $87,4K. However, the coin soon reverted back to the levels above the $84K. Fridays and Saturdays trading sessions passed in a quite silent mood, oscillating around the $84,5K, without any sort of direction. The RSI continues to move around the level of 45, again not providing a clear signal that the market is ready for a move toward any side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly converge toward the MA200, from the upper side, implying that the cross might come quite soon.
Quietness is not a good signal from the market. It means that something much bigger is coming in the near future, in terms of price moves. As per current BTC charts, there is some space for the upside, but now only till the level of $88K. A lower ground might come with lower probability. As long as uncertainty interferes with market sentiment, some higher moves to either side could not be expected.
1-BTCUSD
BTC Today's analysisDuring the recent continuous and close tracking of the cryptocurrency market dynamics, I have always maintained an optimistic view on the price trend of BTC.
As it turns out, this prediction has been strongly validated by the market. Since the last market analysis, the price of BTC has shown a strong upward momentum, steadily climbing from an initial price of around 84,000 to the current remarkable 85,200.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture – Breakout or Breakdown? 📉 BTC is at a key decision point! After pulling back from recent highs, it's now consolidating within a range, sitting right in the middle of the previous price swing. I'm keeping a close eye on this zone—if price breaks out, a high-probability trade opportunity could emerge.
🎯 In this video, we dive deep into price action and market structure, breaking down a potential trade setup—if the market aligns with our strategy.
🚨 Trade smart, manage risk—this isn’t financial advice! 🚀🔥
When Will Altseason Start? When BTC reached 120k📈 One of the most common questions I get:
WHEN WILL ALTSEASON START?
Here’s the answer 👇
🔻 The real problem: memes drained all the liquidity.
The money that was supposed to go into fundamental projects in the summer of 2024.....got redirected into memes.
Yes, some people made money on that. But most retail traders?
They didn’t.
Of course, you can show profitable wallets. I also made money, but it was on insider information.
I think it would be perfect if Trump launched his token —
just like Argentina’s Libra — to show people one clear thing:
- Memes are dangerous.
-They suck liquidity and leave you with nothing but losses.
It’s a necessary wake-up call.
I didn’t want to say this, but maybe we need people to get burned by memes so they stop blindly throwing money at hype.
Some memes might still pump.
Yes, even some “fundamental memes” might outperform serious altcoins.
But in general?
The meme market is a trap. It's a money pit.
People think they’re great investors, but in reality — it’s a casino.
There’s no tech. No fundamentals.
I don't deny the “fundamental” memes may show growth more than other altcoins. I don't rule that out. But if we are talking about the general pool of memes, there is such a problem going on here that most people will lose money.
5% make money on memes, 95% lose.
I'm self-aware, and I'm in that 95%.
That's why I didn't invest in altcoins.
Development is dead ... for now. Nobody cares about building.
You can spend two years developing a serious product, burn through money, and try to improve the crypto space…
But most people don’t want that.
They want:
To buy pictures they like
As long as they look well-packaged.
That’s why we see so few good projects today —
everyone ran off to create memes.
But finally, we’ve reached a new stage:
People are starting to realize...
We need real, fundamental projects again.
Memes might still spike — especially near the end of the bull run.
But the market has finally started waking up.
⚠️ Yes, the market is broken.
But that’s exactly what we need — A bottom to bounce from.
Crypto’s future is bright.
The next 10 years — and even the end of this year — could look very strong.
But right now?
We’re not at the bottom in price.
We’re at the bottom in sentiment.
In faith. In energy.
This is a real turnaround.
From here, real projects will emerge with real audiences and real goals. That’s what will grow this industry—and this industry will shape the world.
Crypto moves fast.
All it takes is two green daily candles,and suddenly everyone screams:
“It’s back! New bull market!” Funny… but predictable.
Back to reality.
We’re at a point where liquidity is gone. People are out of funds.
Panic is setting in. “Cycles don’t work anymore,” they say.
People start selling to survive — for business, travel, life.
Even long-time holders are taking losses.
But when all the weak hands are gone, only the true holders will remain.
And who will move the market next?
Institutional investors
When the U.S. adopts Bitcoin as a reserve (which might already happen this May)... Other countries will follow.
Bitcoin will rally — and drag the market upward.
That’s when we’ll see:
The alt season will start only when Bitcoin is 120-130k.
Then profit taking and overflow into alts will start.
That’s when we’ll see:
-Institutional investors
-The Web2 audience
-Capital flowing into fundamentals, not memes
Because eventually, people will realize:
You don’t invest in memes.
You invest in utility. In value. In tech.
💥 Retail is the key.
The market needs mass participation.
Retail brings volume, and for that, we need:
Real news, Clear regulation, Trust and confidence
When that happens —people will believe again. And they’ll come running.
But then, like always...
Everyone will be convinced:
“Crypto is in permanent bull mode!”
Money will pour in. FOMO will take over…
...and then it ends.
The new bear market begins.
And I’ll be screaming about it — loud.
I do my best for you, EXCAVO.
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading Is Not Gambling: Become A Better Trader Part III'm so thankful the admins at Tradingview selected my first Trading Is Not Gambling video for their Editor's Pick section. What an honor.
I put together this video to try to teach all the new followers how to use analysis to try to plan trade actions and to attempt to minimize risks.
Within this video, I try to teach you to explore the best opportunities based on strong research/analysis skills and to learn to wait for the best opportunities for profits.
Trading is very similar to hunting or trying to hit a baseball... you have to WAIT for the best opportunity, then make a decision on how to execute for the best results.
Trust me, if trading was easy, everyone would be making millions and no one would be trying to find the best trade solutions.
In my opinion, the best solution is to learn the skills to try to develop the best consistent outcomes. And that is what I'm trying to teach you in this video.
I look forward to your comments and suggestions.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Bitcoin: Bear Flag Break Can Retest 78K.Bitcoin is in the process of developing a bear flag formation and may push higher on smaller time frames but the short term bearish structure is still intact. This means there is a higher probability that price retests the 78 to 80K once more. IF such a scenario presents itself, it may provide an opportunity for a new swing trade long (upon confirmation). IF the 87,500 area minor resistance breaks instead, this would increase the chance that price retests the 90K area resistance.
How you play this is going to depend on the time frames you typically operate within. If you day trade, even though a bear flag is in progress, the structure itself is made up of higher lows which means the momentum is bullish. Longs can be justified if you are working on time frames such as 5 min or 1 min because the proportional risk is small. If you are working on larger time frames like 30 min or above, the bear flag play makes more sense since price is near the previous swing high (87,500 area). At the moment there is no confirmation on the larger time frame for the swing trade short but a candle or a break of the lower trend line can occur this week.
The other play is simply waiting for the retest of the 80 to 78K area. This is not only a swing trade long location, but is a dollar cost average area for investing as well. If the 76K is cleared, price can revisit the 73K to 70K area (all time high before the election).
Whether any of these scenarios play out depends on what kind of catalysts we get in the coming weeks (surprises or scheduled economic events). The chart helps to identify price points of interest where we can measure potential and assess risk from, they do not offer any meaningful way to forecast the future.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the designated downward channel, in which the price started to grow again. What's more, we can see consolidations on the EMA Cross indicator and here it is worth watching the movement of the red line to see if it will again go up from the green line, which would confirm the return of the uptrend.
Let's start by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face:
T1 = 85808 USD
T2 = 88093 USD
Т3 = 91127 USD
Т4 = 95106 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 82854 USD
SL2 = 79859 USD
SL3 = 75171 USD
If we look at the MACD indicator, we can see how it indicates an uptrend, but we still have to wait for a return to a strong main uptrend. The RSI shows rebounds near the middle of the range, which we are approaching again, and it is worth paying attention to how the price will behave now.
Bitcoin at $85K: Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,000, holding steady despite a 4.4% drop in the broader cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours. This dip reflects a cautious mood across risk assets, driven by uncertainty over upcoming US inflation data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. While altcoins are taking a bigger hit, Bitcoin’s price action has been choppy but resilient. For now, it’s in a consolidation phase, with traders watching for the next big move.
Broader Market Context
The recent decline in the crypto market mirrors a broader “risk-off” sentiment among investors, who are bracing for economic shifts that could impact global markets. Factors like US inflation reports and Fed policy updates are creating short-term uncertainty. As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin often serves as a market indicator, its ability to hold key levels could signal stability, while a breakdown might deepen the downturn. Despite this, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains strong, supported by growing institutional adoption and a more favorable regulatory landscape.
Short-Term (1-Hour Chart):
Support: $84,000 (make-or-break), $82,000
Resistance: $86,500, $90,000
Indicators: RSI at 45 (neutral), MACD showing bearish momentum. A descending triangle is in play, breaking $86,500 with strong volume could push to $90,000, but a fall below $84,000 might test $82,000.
Long-Term (Weekly Chart):
Support: $80,000, $75,000
Resistance: $90,000, $100,000
The 200-day moving average is trending up, reinforcing a bullish long-term view, but $80,000 must hold for that to stay intact.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds $84,000 and breaks $86,500 with solid volume, expect a run to $90,000 short-term, with $100,000 in sight long-term.
Bearish Case: A break below $84,000 could see it slide to $82,000 or even $80,000.
Volume is the key, watch for a spike to confirm either direction.
Broader Context and Tips
Long-term, Bitcoin’s fundamentals look solid with growing institutional interest and a crypto-friendly climate. But short-term, watch out for volatility triggers like US inflation data or Fed moves. For traders, focus on $84,000 support and $86,500 resistance, these levels will dictate the next trend. Set tight stops (e.g., just below $84,000 for longs) and keep an eye on news. Long-term holders should view $80,000 as the critical floor for the bullish trend to continue.
HBAR ANALYSIS📊 #HBAR Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending triangle pattern on weekly chart. Also #HBAR is trading around its low level. If the price sustains here and give a bullish move then we could expect a bullish move otherwise we would see more dip.
👀Current Price: $0.18230
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #HBAR price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#HBAR #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTCUSD - Consolidation Likely to Resolve with Bullish BreakoutThe Bitcoin/USD 4-hour chart displays a consolidation pattern after recovering from the March lows near $77,000, with current price action hovering around $83,928. Following a recent test of resistance at $86,500, a minor pullback appears to be underway, but the higher probability move remains to the upside as indicated by the directional arrows on the chart. The price has been forming a series of higher lows since the March 11 bottom, suggesting accumulation and underlying bullish momentum. Key to this outlook is the strong support established by the blue reaction zone near $76,000-$78,000, which has successfully contained selling pressure. Traders should monitor for a potential shallow retracement before the anticipated push toward the orange resistance level at $87,650, which represents the next significant hurdle. A decisive break above this resistance would likely trigger an acceleration in buying momentum and confirm the bullish scenario, potentially opening the path toward retesting the $90,000-$92,000 region in the coming sessions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
A Good Example of How Market Makers Manipulate BTC Price- As liquidation areas are visited, price drops back down, retraces back up just to fill the price imbalance before continuing to for a new low.
- The latest price action is similar to the previous, and there is a very good likelihood that the Bitcoin price will create another major new low
- Also take note of the fake out in the ascending channel to trap traders into placing long positions. The fake out was also able to trigger stop losses from short positions.
Let me know what you guys think and comment below.
BtcusdCardano (ADA) price held steady above the $0.70 mark on Friday, continuing its 10-day range-bound trading within a tight 5% margin. The prolonged price stagnation suggests ADA investors are cautiously assessing the market impact of the latest development within the Cardano ecosystem.
Input | Output (IO), the blockchain research and development firm behind Cardano, announced that Lace, its Web3 non-custodial wallet, will officially expand to support Bitcoin. This marks the beginning of Lace’s transition into a multichain platform, allowing users to securely store, manage, and interact with BTC within its intuitive interface.
Btcusd signal
BTC/USD Trading Analysis – Double Bottom & Rising Wedge BreakoutThis BTC/USD 4-hour chart showcases a potential bullish breakout setup based on technical patterns, key support and resistance levels, and price action analysis. The chart suggests a trend reversal following a downtrend, with signs of bullish momentum building up.
Let's break down the full technical analysis, covering the chart structure, key levels, price patterns, and trading strategy.
1. Market Structure & Identified Patterns
A. Double Bottom Reversal – Strong Bullish Signal
A double bottom pattern has formed, which is a bullish reversal signal that indicates the end of a downtrend.
This pattern consists of two significant low points (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) near the $80,000 - $81,000 support zone.
The pattern confirms strong buying interest at this level, preventing further price drops.
A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern’s validity, signaling a move toward higher targets.
B. Rising Wedge Formation – Potential Bullish Breakout
The price action is consolidating in a rising wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing range.
A rising wedge often suggests a potential breakout.
Since this wedge forms after a double bottom, the breakout is expected to be bullish, rather than a bearish breakdown.
If the price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline, it will confirm a strong upward momentum.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
Major Support Zone (80,000 – 81,000):
This level has been tested twice, confirming buyer strength.
It serves as the foundation for the double bottom pattern.
Stop Loss Level (72,921):
If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup.
This level is strategically placed to manage risk and protect against potential downturns.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance Zone (95,000 – 100,000):
This is a critical level, as the price has faced multiple rejections here.
A breakout above this zone would confirm a strong bullish trend continuation.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1 (108,481): The first take-profit target aligns with previous highs and is a logical point for partial profit booking.
TP2 (114,372): This is the second profit target, calculated based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price movements.
3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
A. Entry Strategy
To execute a successful trade, we need to wait for confirmation of the breakout.
Ideal Entry: After a strong breakout above 95,000 – 100,000, indicating bullish momentum.
Confirmation Factors:
Increased trading volume → Signals strong buying interest.
Candle close above resistance → Confirms breakout.
Retest of broken resistance as support → Strengthens bullish continuation.
B. Risk Management
Stop Loss Placement: Below 72,921, ensuring limited downside risk.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup aims for a 1:3 or better risk-to-reward ratio.
C. Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout:
If BTC breaks and holds above 95,000 – 100,000, we can expect a rally toward 108,481 (TP1) and 114,372 (TP2).
❌ Bearish Rejection:
If BTC fails to break resistance, it could retest 80,000 or drop lower, invalidating the bullish setup.
4. Final Thoughts – What to Expect?
This BTC/USD 4-hour chart analysis provides a high-probability bullish trade setup, supported by:
✅ Double Bottom Formation → Strong Reversal Signal
✅ Rising Wedge Breakout Potential → Momentum Building
✅ Key Resistance Breakout Levels Identified
📌 Conclusion:
If Bitcoin breaks above 95,000 – 100,000, expect a major bullish move toward 108,481 and beyond. However, if resistance holds, we might see a retest of lower support levels. Risk management is essential for a successful trade execution. 🚀
$BTC to the MoonFor BTC, we are still sticking to our "to the moon" analysis 🚀 hehehe. We remain in a trade with the following parameters:
Entry: 81,758
Stop Loss: 79,901
Target: 109,390
This is our trade operation, but we have also increased our hold position at this entry point, aiming for the very long term. Currently, our average price is 42,350.
What reinforces our analysis?
By analyzing the daily and H4 time frames, we can observe:
✅ Bullish continuation purges
✅ SMT (Smart Money Theory) confirming the movement
✅ A shift in the state of price delivery
With that in mind, I remain bullish, and may the moon be just the first target! Let's go, BTC! 🚀
BITCOIN HAS TO BREAK LONG TERM TREND by DEC - SQUEEZE APEX DECI have posted this before and I post it again now, just months away from a CRUCIAL point for Bitcoin PA
As with any time scale trading chart, An Apex is a point of reaction. PA usualy reacts BEFORE the Apex is met.
This Giant Apex is in DEC 2025
Every single ATH in the life span of Bitcoin has been rejected by the Arc of Resistance that is overhead.
We can also see how from the ATH in 2011, a trend line was formed that has acted as Support ever since 2012. PA has never dropped below this line.
So, as you can see, PA has been in a diminishing "Sandwich" and Now, we are coming to the Crunch
We can see how the ATH's have been a reducing % Rise ever since this point also.
And you will notice how this number on the chart reduces each time, even though the real value is increasing.
Low to ATH A ( ATH 2011) - 3,465,178%
Low to ATH B ( ATH 2013) - 49,670 %
Low to ATH C ( ATH 2017) - 9,865 %
Low to ATH D ( ATH 2021) - 2,148 %
E is not over yet but coing on current ATH we have
Low to ATH E ( ATH 2025) - 575 %
So, you see the reduction of % rise, held back all along by the ARC Of RESISTANCE
What is interesting, is that since PA has been in the chanel formed in 2011, when comapred to each other, we have been seeing a rise of 20% of the previous rise ( on average )
This closer chart shows you this in more detail
I will ignoew the A - B as thia is out of channel
C-B = 19.6 %
D-C = 21.77 %
Currently E-D = 26.7 %
As you can see, we are currently OVER that average % Rise.
And we are also heading into a tight APEX in Dec.
The expected 200K ATH this cycle will take us out of the pattern, out of the Apex and out of the 20 % average rise of previousl
This really is CRUNCH TIME for Bitcoin
The REALLY interesting thing is, What would be Next ?
This would break the Cycle routine.
We may already have broken that as described in previous charts of mine from years ago
But what IS Certain is that something HAS to happen.
This Cycle ATH will reveal a HUGE amount but we have yto Wait and see what will happen
BTCUSD TOUCHED 85000 REVERSAL ?What’s up, traders? I’m here to drop free game, sharp analysis, and top-tier trade setups! 🎯 Let’s get straight to it:
🔍 Market Insight
🔸 BTC/USD has been consolidating since Friday night now it broke the consolidation and touched 85000 which was awaiting from long way we posted an idea with a buy entry but price missed our entry area and flyed
🔸 A liquidity sweep at 84789 on the 30M timeframe confirms smart money movements.
🔸 Strategy: After a liquidity grab, we shift to the 1-minute timeframe to confirm a Change of Character (ChoCh) for a sniper entry! 🎯
🔥 Trade Execution
✔️ Order Block marked at 84,900.
✔️ Sell limit at 84,900 – catching this right at the sweet spot!
✔️ Stop-loss 85,200 (-30 pips) to manage risk.
✔️ Take-profit 84,100 (+80 pips) – smooth 1:2.5 risk-reward!
📊 Technical Breakdown
🟢 Bias: Bullish – buyers in control!
⚠️ Lock in profits after 30 pips – don’t get greedy!
📌 Final Setup
💰 Sell Limit: 84,900
⛔ Stop-Loss: 85,200
🎯 Take-Profit: 84,100
💸 Let’s ride this move and secure the bag! 🚀💰 #CryptoSignals #BTCUSD #SmartMoney #ForexTrading
BTCUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 84765
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 84317
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC You'll regret it if you don'tBTC has been floating at 84000 today, yesterday it touched resistance at 87000, today's resistance is still valid, with the Fed's information, gold's rally has been full down, and more people will pay attention to BTC next
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates