1-BTCUSD
Fifth Rejection from the Last HurdleBTC’s initial reaction to the $72,000 - $73,800 resistance indicates a fifth rejection at this critical level. For a potential retest of this resistance, BTC must secure a weekly close within the $65,500 - $67,300 support zone. As noted previously, BTC could experience a deeper pullback, potentially revisiting the downward trendline it broke out from two weeks ago. However, to sustain bullish momentum, BTC must maintain weekly closes above this trendline to bolster the likelihood of a renewed move higher.
BTC USD UpdateAnother monthly bullish candle has closed, but the bullish bias stopped the trend just before the all-time high in BTC/USD pair High liquidity has been grabbed, and we've seen a massive bearish reaction. I have a runner and a stop-loss below 65,149.51. If we lose this level, we're in bearish mode.
Let's see what market makers are planning to do this week and what the overall end-of-year price action will be. I'll try to share some good setups, but going long just before we missed taking out the high looks a bit risky, so I'm in scalping mode, sitting behind order flow software and trying to catch a high-volume ride somewhere. I'll keep you posted!
Bitcoin: on a quest for new ATHThe crypto market benefited from the ongoing US Presidential campaign. Namely, as one Presidential candidate is counting on votes from the crypto community, so the market is reacting to initial pools for a potential win of this candidate. This is currently a market game, betting on a better future condition for further push of the crypto coins into the mainstream including the enlargement of the crypto ecosystem. Certainly, no one knows what the final result will be, for both the US Presidency and crypto ecosystem, but still, BTC price benefited from such expectation, which is certainly positive. BTC price reached its highest weekly level at $73.338. It is quite close to BTCs ATH from March this year. Still, during the second half of the week, BTC reverted back a bit, ending the week around the $69,3K level.
The RSI moved from clear overbought territory, down to the level of 57. There is currently no clear indication that the market started its reversal toward the oversold market side. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days formed a clear golden cross two weeks ago, while MA50 continued its divergence from MA200.
The week ahead will be marked by two important events. The US Presidential elections are scheduled for November 5th and FOMC rate decision, scheduled for November 7th. These two events are promising higher market volatility. In this sense, the price of BTC might turn to both sides quite easily. At this point on charts, there is probability that BTC will test the level of $68K, where the support line stands. Whether the price of BTC might revert to the fresh new ATH, could not be clearly noted at this moment from charts. It would depend on the market sentiment after November 5th and 7th. Trading precaution is highly advisable.
BITCOIN - BTCUSD - SWING IDEABitcoin is currently testing the 0.5 Fib Area along with the market structure Resistance. We can LONG after it breaks the 69,900 Level and aim for ATH (All Time High).
Otherwise, in case of a breakdown, we can look for a small scalp/trade.
Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
🚀Follow, I will drop daily 2-5 Intraday Charts🚀
BTC/USDT LOCAL Short SignalI'm observing a bearish trend on BTC/USDT. Bitcoin has broken through a significant support level around $67,606, indicating potential further downside. The setup is clear, with an entry just below the support level, aiming for a substantial move lower.
Bitcoin has shown continued selling pressure, with lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The breakdown of support aligns with this trend, suggesting a continuation of the bearish momentum. This trade follows the momentum, aiming to capitalize on the downward move.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management in trading.
BTCUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry Point - 67612
Stop Loss - 66366
Take Profit - 70099
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bitcoin Forming GraveStone Doji "A reversal is on the horizon".
A "Gravestone doji" is a pattern of candlestick analysis that forms at the top of an uptrend and warns market participants of a bearish trend reversal. Sometimes, this pattern emerges at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling a bullish reversal.
Note :
Do your own Research and Trade Wisely Never rely on my opinions.
Good Luck folks
BTC Analysis - Weekly TimeframeCurrent Scenario
In my view, BTC is facing one of the worst-case scenarios at the moment. After an ABC correction downwards, we experienced another ABC pattern upwards, only to face a strong rejection below the key resistance level (trendline) that previously acted as support. This level, which BTC couldn’t break for a long time, is now holding us down, suggesting that downward momentum might resume.
Bearish Outlook
It seems like BTC is forming a new downward movement, potentially targeting the $42,000 - $38,000 range. This is a long-term analysis on the weekly timeframe, with all major support and resistance levels outlined.
There’s only one remaining bullish chance here: if BTC can defend the $66,000 - $65,000 zone and push upwards aggressively. In this case, we could aim for a high of $134,000 - $136,000. However, if this level fails to hold, I consider the bearish scenario to be the dominant one for now.
Candlestick Pattern
Additionally, on the weekly timeframe, we’ve formed a bearish candlestick pattern — a shooting star — which typically appears at the top of a trend. This is a potential warning sign of further downside.
Targets
TP 1: $48,800
TP 2: $42,000 - $44,000
TP 3: $38,000
Invalidation Level
Invalidation: $73,881 — if BTC breaks above this level, it would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital
BTCUSD: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily BTCUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 68,947.26
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
BTC EXTREEMLY BULLISH ON WEEKLY CHART!!🚨 Warning: For the brave-hearted only! 🚨
BTC is looking extremely bullish on the weekly timeframe! We just saw a hammer candlestick form at the “bottom” of this trend — a textbook bullish reversal signal! 📈
🎯Targets🎯
I have a minimum target of:
35% to 52% upside based on the recent price structure and strength of this hammer. 📊
Invalidation
🔴 Invalidation: If we break below the previous low on this chart, that could spell trouble, but until then — it's game on! 🎯
Disclaimer: 🚨 This is not financial advice — As always, trade responsibly and make sure to double-check which way is “up.” 😂
BTC price projection for November based on historical returnsI got data from CoinGlass looking at Bitcoin historical returns in November since 2013.
BTC has accumulated 42.78% gains on average. With seven positive years out of eleven, November also has a median return of 7.12%, from opening (1) to closing (30).
In particular, November’s best year was 2013 with 449.35% gains from day one to 30, followed by 2017 and 2020, with 53.48% and 42.95%, respectively. Meanwhile, 2018’s bear market resulted in -36.57% returns in November for Bitcoin, being its worst year followers by 2019.
Bitcoin opened November 2024 at $70,272.
So, if you project this price for the end of the month based on historical average and median returns, BTC could reach a range between:
Median (7.12% = $75,275)
Average (42.78% = $100,334)
This, of course, is just for your entertainment, and the analysis shouldn't be used in isolation to make any financial decisions. I hope you enjoyed it.
All things considered, Bitcoin price is impossible to predict with precision, as the market is extremely volatile and uncertain. Investors should understand what they are buying and consider multiple factors before pressing the button.
Creating your Trading Plan🔸Creating a comprehensive trading plan is a foundational step for any trader, whether you are involved in forex, stocks, options, or crypto markets. A well-structured trading plan outlines your trading goals, strategy, risk management protocols, and the psychological mindset necessary for success. Let’s break down the core components: strategy, risk management, psychology, and confluence.
1. Trading Plan Strategy
A trading strategy is a set of rules or guidelines you follow to identify, enter, and exit trades. Here are the elements to consider:
▪️Market Selection: Define which markets you will trade (e.g., forex pairs, stocks, cryptocurrencies) and what your time frames will be.
▪️Trading Style: Will you be a day trader, swing trader, or a long-term investor? Your style will influence your strategy.
▪️Entry and Exit Rules: Specify the technical or fundamental indicators that will trigger your trades. For example, you might use moving average crossovers, support and resistance levels, or candlestick patterns for entry and exit points.
▪️Trade Execution: Outline how you will place trades and manage your orders (e.g., market orders, limit orders, trailing stops).
▪️Backtesting: Before committing real money, test your strategy on historical data to understand its effectiveness.
▪️Example: Suppose your strategy involves trading breakouts. You would define what constitutes a breakout, how to confirm it, and the risk/reward ratio you expect before taking a trade.
2. Risk Management
Risk management is about preserving your capital and minimizing losses. It's a critical part of any trading plan and focuses on controlling how much you stand to lose on each trade and how to protect your account over time.
▪️Position Sizing: Determine how much of your capital you will risk per trade. Many traders risk no more than 1-2% of their total capital on a single trade.
▪️Stop Losses and Take Profits: Always use a stop-loss to cap potential losses and set a take-profit order to lock in gains. This should be part of your trading strategy.
▪️Risk/Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward on a trade is worth the risk. A common minimum risk/reward ratio is 1:2, meaning you risk 1 unit of currency to make 2. Diversification: Spread your risk by trading multiple assets or markets instead of concentrating all your capital in a single trade or asset class.
▪️Example: If your account balance is $10,000, and you decide to risk 2% per trade, the maximum loss you would accept on any trade would be $200. This would dictate your stop-loss placement and position size.
3. Trading Psychology
The psychological aspect of trading is often underestimated, but emotions can greatly impact your decision-making. Maintaining a disciplined and objective mindset is crucial.
▪️Emotional Discipline: Avoid trading based on fear, greed, or impatience. Develop routines that keep your emotions in check.
▪️Handling Losses: Accept that losses are part of trading and learn not to let them affect your confidence or decision-making. Sticking to your plan, even after a loss, is crucial.
▪️Confidence and Patience: Build confidence in your strategy through thorough backtesting and practice. Be patient and wait for high-probability setups.
▪️Avoid Overtrading: This happens when traders try to chase losses or enter trades impulsively. Stick to your plan and don’t trade just for the sake of it.
▪️Example: If you find yourself becoming anxious or stressed during a losing streak, take a break from trading to reassess your mindset. Practicing mindfulness or keeping a trading journal to reflect on your emotions can be very helpful.
4. Confluence
Confluence in trading refers to multiple factors or signals aligning to indicate a strong trade setup. Relying on confluence increases the probability of a trade working in your favor.
▪️Technical Confluence: This might include a combination of support/resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, moving averages, or chart patterns lining up to give you a higher confidence trade.
▪️Fundamental and Technical Confluence: Sometimes, combining technical analysis with fundamental data can strengthen your trade setup. For instance, a bullish technical setup supported by positive economic news.
▪️Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Check if your trade setup looks strong on multiple time frames. For example, a bullish signal on a daily chart confirmed by a shorter time frame like 4-hour or 1-hour charts.
▪️Example: Imagine you see a bullish reversal candlestick pattern at a major support level, and your moving average indicates an upward trend. This confluence of signals might give you more confidence to enter a long position.
🔸Putting It All Together
A successful trading plan ties these elements together to give you a clear roadmap. Here’s a simplified example of a trading plan:
🔸Goal: Achieve 5% account growth per month.
Market: Trade major forex pairs (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD) during the London and New York sessions.
🔸Strategy: Use a breakout strategy confirmed by volume and momentum indicators. Enter trades when a breakout occurs from a key support/resistance level.
🔸Risk Management: Risk 1.5% of the account balance per trade. Use a 1:2 risk/reward ratio.
🔸Psychology: Practice emotional discipline. Use a trading journal to record trades and emotions.
🔸Confluence: Only take trades when at least three confluence factors align (e.g., breakout, volume increase, trend confirmation).
🔸By crafting and following a trading plan that incorporates strategy, risk management, psychology, and confluence, you increase your chances of trading success while minimizing potential losses.
BTCUSDT BREAKOUT ON SUPPORTBitcoin has broken through the hourly support around $69,060, and we are currently observing a pullback. This pullback is expected to fill the gap left by the recent drop and retest the highs near the highlighted resistance zone. From there, we anticipate a continuation of the sell-off, pushing the price down toward the lower support level at $67,626.
BITCOIN breakout of the main resistance Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
The previous analyses regarding Bitcoin have not only met but exceeded their bullish targets. In this assessment, we will provide a comprehensive summary of Bitcoin's price movements within the pertinent timeframe. 💣🚀
The price has successfully pierced through two notable resistance peaks and is now approaching one of its most significant resistance levels observed in recent months. 📚✔
Given the impressive surge in trading volume, coupled with the insights gleaned from the technical chart, I am optimistic about the potential for either a touch or a decisive break of this resistance in the immediate future. However, prior to that breakthrough, we may experience a phase characterized by sideways movement or brief bearish candles. 📚🎇
🧨🧨 Our team’s overarching perspective leans toward further bullish movement and the possibility of overcoming this prolonged resistance, with the expectation of encountering neutral or ranging candles in the short term. Additional scenarios are also illustrated on the chart, indicated with lighter arrows, while the price targets are clearly marked for your reference. 🧨🧨
To enhance your understanding, I’ve summarized the key takeaways at the bottom of the chart for your convenience. I hope you find this analysis insightful and beneficial. ✌🎉
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
Bitcoin BTC to $250K - BUY & HODLBitcoin went to the Moon with Dec '17 top.
Then it corrected 88.6% on the Fibonacci Retracement with Dec '18 bottom.
After that it went to Mars and hit the tops again in Nov '21.
It was a 2000% gain.
What can you tell from this?
Percentage-wise, Correction is lower than the gain.
So, the Dominant Trend for BTCUSD is UP!
OK, back to Earth.
Let's gather fuel and power-up the rocket.
Time to go Interstellar.
Before I go into the technical stuff, allow me to keep things simple for you.
I took the liberty and measured the BTC Cycles.
But you don't need to worry about that, just follow my lead!
I used a fancy tool called Fibonacci Time Zones.
This tells me roughly when the next Bullish Cycle for Bitcoin will start.
We are on the 5th Fibonacci Summation milestone, and another 2000% gain is destined to commence.
When?
Early '23 , like all other Cryptocurrencies.
What's the level?
My ultimate levels are: 10K & 7.5K .
I will buy more there.
I will HODL for the long-term because I know it's a waiting game.
Now you have what you came for: when & where.
You can go ahead and open the next idea. :)
Thank you and you're welcome.
But if you capable of digesting what's to come below, then I put my hat down...
Bitcoin ( BTCUSD , BTCUSDT , BTCBUSD ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Cycle: Complete V Cycle Degree (white)
* A-B-C Elliott Wave Correction (red)
* Ending Diagonal in Cycle C (red)
* Harmonic Pattern: Cypher
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 161.8% (Golden Ratio) Fibonacci Extension
* Bullish Divergence
* Dominant Trend Line (turquoise dotted)
* Demand Zone
* Fractal Pattern
If you get all this without a headache then you're a legend!
The Aug '15 to Dec '17 is what I'm expecting, and it's a BIG one.
Good luck my fellow HODLer..
Thanks for the like,
Richard, the Wave Jedi.