Are we ready for the rise in the price of Bitcoin?The answer is yes
We are repeating history...
There are less than 60 days left until the breaking of the previous ceiling and then the price increase to the desired ranges in the Bitcoin chart.
After 1 year of effort and study, I found out the method of seeing the chart, I did a lot of trial and error, but now I am ready to make the best predictions in the world....
I am Ehsan Chegani from the beautiful country of Iran and I must tell you that the price ceiling of Bitcoin will be set in 2025 and the price will increase to the range of 220 thousand dollars.
The altcoin party will start in 3 months and eventually the price of many altcoins will see new ceilings, but there will be no news of significant progress in the market until the next 2 months...
During these 2 months, I buy more bitcoins and altcoins with every price drop... how about you???
Number 1: The US government will support Bitcoin.
Number 2: Little by little, I am preparing my hardware wallets to be ready to convert bitcoins to dollars and exit the market.
Number 3: The price has reached its ceiling and I am selling.
1-BTCUSD
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (NTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99,238.95
1st Support: 94,532.95
1st Resistance: 102,235.80
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BNB goes to $1,000 ?Through the ups and downs , all we see is BNB maybe one of strong crypto coin that still having pretty solid supporters.
Now (Dec 25th 2024) we're still hovering near resistance level $700-$750.
Look at XRP , BGB, and other coins that been through long long long time in sideways , we should suspect that BNB will soar high anytime soon!
BNB $1,000 is real ?
Interpretation of 50 MA (Moving Average) on Chart
The 50-day moving average (MA) (red line in the chart) is a widely used indicator that helps identify the trend direction and acts as a dynamic support or resistance level. Here is how it applies to the current chart:
Current Overview:
Support Role:
The 50 MA is closely aligned with the green support area, reinforcing this level as a strong dynamic support.
The price has historically respected the 50 MA as support, evidenced by previous bounces near this level.
The upward slope of the 50 MA indicates that Bitcoin is still in a bullish trend on higher timeframes.
The bullish structure remains intact as long as the price stays above the 50 MA.
The convergence of the 50 MA with the green horizontal support area (~$92,500–$95,000) adds significant strength, making it a key level to monitor for a potential bounce.
Bullish Case:
If the price is above 50 MA, it could act as a launching pad for the next upward move.
A bounce off this level could target the $102,500 or $110,000 levels.
Bearish Case:
A breakdown below the 50 MA and the green support area could signal a trend reversal or a deeper correction.
The next support after this would be at $85,000–$90,000 or the lower range around $77,500.
Key Points:
The 50 MA is a crucial support level at the moment. Traders should closely monitor price action near this level. A strong bounce could confirm a bullish continuation, while a breakdown could indicate increased selling pressure.
Let me know if you would like further clarification or additional analysis!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
Example of how to trade without chart analysis
Hello, traders.
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Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market.
(However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.)
In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions.
Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more.
Today, I will tell you why.
--------------------------------------
In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts.
Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility.
However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market.
One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes.
So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks.
-
If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy.
The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again.
When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments.
That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio.
-
If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price.
In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments.
Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale.
-
As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%.
However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins.
That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart.
This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts.
If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Bitcoin Short - Final Squeeze?Negative ETF Inflows and positive ETF Outflows. We go after data right? I'm bearish until ETF data prooves otherwise. Which level will be the final one? I'm deciding on speed and time above 100k. For now target is 104-105.5. If we hover around several days at 100k without hitting any, I'm more into the 103 lvl.
Post-Holiday BTC Rallies: A Historical PerspectiveIdea:
Over the past six years, Bitcoin has exhibited a fascinating pattern: post-Christmas rallies. Let’s dive into the data and analyze what this could mean for the market this time around.
Historical Context:
In 5 out of the last 6 years, Bitcoin has seen significant gains shortly after the holiday season, with price increases ranging from 44% to an astonishing 272%. These rallies have been a consistent part of Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior, making them an exciting opportunity for traders and investors.
Key Observations:
2017/18: BTC rallied over 272%, marking the peak of an explosive bull market.
2019/20: A solid 44% gain during the recovery phase from the bear market bottom.
2020/21: Post-pandemic bull run fueled a 122% surge as BTC climbed to new highs.
2021/22: A rally of 90%, driven by retail and institutional adoption.
2022/23: Another impressive rally of 72% as the market recovered from a bear cycle.
The only exception? 2018, the first phase of a brutal bear market, when market-wide sentiment was overwhelmingly bearish. This highlights a crucial insight: rallies are far less likely during early bear phases.
What About This Year?
📊 Cyclicality is Key: Bitcoin’s price action has always been heavily influenced by cycles. With the market in a recovery phase following the 2022 lows, we could be on the verge of another post-holiday rally.
📈 Factors to Watch:
Macro Sentiment: With inflation stabilizing and global markets recovering, Bitcoin is regaining strength.
Institutional Interest: Continued interest in BTC ETFs and large-scale adoption could fuel upward momentum.
Cyclical Patterns: The historical consistency of these rallies cannot be ignored.
Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Case:
If history repeats itself, we could see Bitcoin post significant gains over the next few months, potentially targeting new highs in 2025 as part of the broader bull cycle.
2️⃣ Bearish Case:
If macroeconomic factors or unforeseen events trigger a pullback, the rally might be subdued, or Bitcoin could enter a consolidation phase.
Why This Matters:
Understanding these cyclical patterns can provide a major edge for traders. The post-holiday season has been a lucrative time for Bitcoin in the past, and recognizing these opportunities could make all the difference.
What are your thoughts? Will Bitcoin repeat history this year? Or are we in for a surprise? Share your ideas below!
Year 2025 and Beyond: Where to Place Your Bets?S&P 500:
US indices may continue their upward trend until the first quarter of 2025. The ultimate target appears to be above 6300, where they may peak and begin a significant correction. A global stock sell-off could potentially trigger a stock market crash similar to that of 2008.
India's Nifty 50:
India's Nifty 50 may find support around the 23,000–22,700 range and resume its upward movement in the final fifth wave, targeting a peak near 29,000. The Nifty 50 is likely to follow a trend similar to the S&P 500. The bullish cycle that began in 2009 is expected to conclude near the 29,000 level. Subsequently, a significant sell-off in Indian indices could trigger a major bear market, potentially erasing up to 50% of market capitalization from its peak.
Gold:
Gold may continue its consolidation for another month or two. A final surge toward the $3,000–$3,100 range is expected to mark the end of the rally that began in December 2015 at the $1,050 level. However, the bear market in equities is unlikely to spare even the perceived safe haven, leading to a pullback in gold prices as well.
Brent Crude:
Since March 2020, Brent crude experienced a remarkable rise, surging from $15 per barrel to $139 per barrel by March 2022. Over the past 33 months, it has already corrected by more than 47%. Brent crude is still expected to decline further, potentially reaching $50 per barrel within the next 3 to 6 months. However, the current inflationary trend could drive Brent prices beyond $160 per barrel later in 2025, before eventually succumbing to a deflationary trend that may persist for several years.
US Dollar Index:
The US Dollar Index peaked at around 114 in September 2022. Since then, it declined to 100 by July 2023 before starting to rise again in a corrective A-B-C pattern, forming part of a larger (A)-(B)-(C) decline. The Wave C of (B) is expected to conclude near 109, followed by another decline toward 98 by the first half of 2025. However, a renewed bullish trend in the US Dollar Index could reinforce the "Cash is King" narrative during a global equity market downturn.
USD/INR:
The bullish trend in USD/INR, which began in January 2008 at the 39 level, has seen the Indian Rupee weaken by over 60% against the US Dollar over the past 17 years. In the short term, USD/INR may peak around 86. However, the Rupee is likely to weaken further, reaching 90 against the US Dollar by the second quarter of 2025.
US Govt. 10 years bond yield:
The long-term yield on U.S. Government 10-year bond's yield indicates rising interest rates for this decade. In the short term, the yield may ease to 3%-2.6% by the second quarter of 2025. However, fears of a U.S. Government default could push the yield to 10% or higher over the next couple of years. The "Bond Ghost," along with a global equity rout, may haunt investors again in 2025-2026.
Bitcoin (BTC):
Bitcoin's bullish trend may continue until the first quarter of 2025, albeit at a slower pace. BTC still has the potential to reach around $115k-$120k, concluding the bullish run that began in November 2022 from the level of $15,500. Over the past decade and a half, BTC has significantly outpaced any other asset class globally. However, global risk aversion, which may start with an initial global equity market sell-off, could pause Bitcoin's bullish journey for the rest of 2025. Before the end of 2025, BTC might lose up to 50% of its value from its peak.
In the longer run, however, BTC has the potential to become the most valuable asset class globally, even after experiencing a 50% erosion in its value.
Timelapse of ETH's Daily ActionTimelapse of ETH's Daily Action 🎥📉" Post: "See how ETH's daily price action played out in this timelapse! 🌟
📍 Annotated with crucial support and resistance levels.
🔎 Were these levels respected or ignored?
Dive in and comment your analysis below! #ETH #Crypto #Trading"
ETH Daily Action Levels Annotations
Highlight key support and resistance zones.
Annotate consolidation areas to identify possible accumulation or distribution phases.
Mark breakout or breakdown points, especially where trends began or ended.
Timelapse of BTC's Daily ActionBTC Daily Action Levels Annotations
Highlight major support and resistance levels in the timelapse.
Annotate key pivot points where the price action reversed or consolidated.
Mark critical breakout and breakdown levels with arrows or boxes to emphasize their impact.
"Timelapse of BTC's Daily Action 🎥📈" Post: "Watch BTC's daily price action unfold in this timelapse! 🚀
📍 Key levels annotated to showcase their significance.
🔍 Did the market respect these levels, or did it break away?
Share your thoughts below! #BTC #Crypto #Trading"
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily TF)
73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 92424 on 12/23/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 99607, 102700, 108293 and more heights is expected.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Trend Hunter Buy Zone (94200 to 92231). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
We would set buy orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (94200)
Ending of entry zone (92231)
Take Profits:
99607
102700
108293
110000
115000
118281
120000
125000
130000
134468
__________________________________________________________________
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BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000 (UPDATE)BTC has already smashed our TP1 target & now hovering around the $98,000 zone. It is still possible that price might dump lower towards the $86,000 zone but overall you can DCA (Dollar Cost Average) into buy's now if you're willing to hold. I personally won't be buying at these prices.
Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, with your updated target of 107.100:
Current Analysis
Trend Overview:
The dollar index (DXY) is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Momentum indicators like RSI are likely staying below 50, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Key Resistance Zone (108.100):
This is the potential sell zone, where the price may face rejection.
Look for a bearish candlestick pattern at or near this level (e.g., shooting star, evening star, bearish engulfing) to confirm the entry.
Support Zones on the Path to 107.100:
Intermediate Support 107.500: DXY might consolidate or bounce slightly here, as it's a possible reaction point.
Final Target 107.100: This aligns with a major support level from prior price action or Fibonacci retracement zones.
Indicators to Watch
RSI:
If RSI is below 40, it confirms strong bearish momentum.
Any divergence (e.g., higher low on RSI while price makes a lower low) near 107.500 or 107.100 could signal weakening downside momentum.
MACD:
Look for a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below the signal line) as confirmation to enter or hold the trade.
Volume:
A spike in volume near resistance (108.100) supports rejection. Similarly, decreasing volume near the target (107.100) could indicate trend exhaustion.
Trade Setup for 1-Hour Chart
Sell Entry: Around 108.100 (resistance zone).
Take Profit (Target): 107.100.
Stop Loss: Around 108.300, slightly above resistance, to account for volatility.
TVC:DXY
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/24/2024 : Rally111Please pay attention to this video. Today, I share some vital data related to how I plan on helping all of you become better traders in 2025 and what you need to do to try to improve your own trading results.
Trading is not gambling. It is not about throwing money at trends and hoping to catch a few winners.
Trading is about trying to time market trends when the best opportunities are ready for profits - then getting out of those opportunities as profits start to mature.
Trading is about honing your skills to be able to target 35% to 55% or more every 15 to 25+ days.
If you can do that efficiently every 15 to 25+ days, then you are SET.
You can turn $1000 into more than $300k in less than a year trading like that. Then, you can turn that $300k into more than $10 million in another year.
Can you imagine that happening to you and your family?
It is all about having the right tools, gaining proper knowledge and experience, and putting that to practice/use. And that is what I've been trying to teach you for the past 6+ months - the knowledge and skills to be able to see/time the biggest market moves.
I know many of you have followed me for many months. I appreciate all of you. Now, as we close out 2024, let's make a commitment to really focus on gaining the success we desire for ourselves and our families so we can enjoy 2025 as a better year.
I challenge all of you to a straightforward goal: Learn, Practice, Gain experience, and Execute better trades so you can grow your accounts and move into the "Trader Life" you have always desired.
Trade 2-4 times a day (when opportunity strikes) and try to grow your account by 35 to 55% every 15 to 25 days. That's all it takes.
Are you ready?
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bitcoin’s December Outlook: Consolidation or Trend Reversal?Bitcoin Bull Market: Is It Over? A Closer Look at December's Impact
Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated resilience in December, with a modest decline of less than 2.5% as traders anticipate the crucial monthly and yearly candle close.
BTC Price Performance in December
Despite being approximately $15,000 below its recent all-time highs, BTC/USD has only depreciated by 2.4% compared to its December opening. This positions Bitcoin as a strong performer in 2024, with the broader bull market narrative remaining intact upon a long-term perspective. Analysts project a potential 145% price increase for Bitcoin from this year's levels.
Key Insights for the Week
The coming week holds significant importance for Bitcoin's trajectory. A weekly candle close below $92,800 could signal the start of a bearish trend, potentially driving prices toward $79,580 and $71,400 in January. Conversely, if Bitcoin stabilizes above $92,800, it is likely to trade within the range of $92,800 to $103,760.
For a renewed bullish outlook, a daily candle close above $103,560 is critical, as it would pave the way for upward movements toward $127,510 and $149,100.
Key Levels to Watch
Pivot Line: $92,800
Support Levels: $79,580, $71,400, $64,920
Resistance Levels: $103,757, $127,511, $149,100
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between $92,800 and $103,760
Bearish Trend: Below $92,800
Bullish Momentum: Above $103,560