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1-BTCUSD

BTC Tests Key Resistance – Will $102K Give Way or Trigger a Drop⚔️📍 BTC Tests Key Resistance – Will $102K Give Way or Trigger a Drop? 💣📉 The BTC bulls have delivered 🔥 — pushing through the mid-channel resistance and now eyeing the psychological $100K milestone. This current structure remains extremely clean, moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-min chart. 🔹 Current structure highlights: Midline support at $98,689 Lower boundary around $96,776 Resistance cluster at $100,001–$100,636 Key upside target: $102,774 (with a 60% confidence level) Higher timeframe resistance potential: $113K However, the market isn’t a one-way street. A breakdown below $97,400 shifts momentum bearish — triggering the 40% scenario where BTC could revisit the GETTEX:92K –$94K demand zone. 👀 🎯 This is a pivotal moment: Will BTC break and run to $102K+, or are we due for a cooling phase back toward macro support? This chart is a playbook — stay tactical, stay sharp, and let structure lead the way. 📐⚡ Let’s see what the next 24–48 hours bring. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Bitcoin has not yet reached our zone, but it has formed a correction of the same degree as the previous ones and has also created a support area. The diametric pattern could potentially shift into a symmetrical one, and Bitcoin may even reach the 100K–105K zone. We should keep a close eye on the 100K level for now, as it also serves as a psychological resistance. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
BITCOIN - Bullish Continuation After BreakoutCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken above a key daily resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest. This area previously acted as a resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. If buyers confirm support at this level, price is likely to continue upward toward the 102,000 level, which serves as a logical target based on previous structure. Conversely, a failure to hold this support could signal a potential shift and invalidate the bullish continuation. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wick rejections from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
65
BTC SHORT TP:98,800 08-10-2025🚨 Short setup activated! We’re aiming for 98,800 on the 2H chart, as BTC enters the selling zone between 103,500 and 105,000. Momentum is fading — the price looks tired, and this area is primed for a reversal 📉 We expect this move to unfold within 24 to 48 hours, possibly with manipulative spikes to 105k–106k before the real drop begins. Add your short in a way that fits your strategy — be sharp, be tactical. Follow for updates and let’s profit from the downside together 🔥💰 #BTC #ShortSetup #PriceAction
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
Bitcoin Breaks Trendline-Is $109k Next?Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel Pattern The asset is exhibiting an ascending channel pattern, indicative of sustained bullish momentum. Key observations include: - Channel Boundaries: The price has consistently respected the channel's upper and lower boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows. - Breakout and Retest: Following a strong momentum breakout, the price is potentially retesting a key support level, previously acting as resistance. - Support Zone: If buyers confirm support at this level, it may signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting the upper boundary of the channel at $109,000. Key Monitoring Points: - Bullish Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume to confirm long positions. - Risk Management: Failure to hold support could signal a bearish shift, emphasizing the importance of monitoring price action and adjusting strategies accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
1
Ether-Bitcoin Ratio Signals ETH Is 'Extremely Undervalued,' The cryptocurrency market is a realm of intricate signals, complex metrics, and often-conflicting narratives. Among the myriad indicators traders and investors scrutinize, the Ether-Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio holds a prominent place. This metric, a simple division of Ethereum’s price by Bitcoin’s price, serves as a barometer for the relative strength and market sentiment between the two leading crypto assets. Recently, this ratio has dipped to levels that historically signaled significant undervaluation for Ether, sparking debate about a potential upcoming rally. However, a confluence of factors – notably surging ETH supply, stagnant network demand, and a weakened token burn mechanism – casts a considerable shadow over this optimistic outlook, suggesting that past performance may not be a reliable guide in the current, uniquely challenging environment. Understanding the ETH/BTC Ratio: A Barometer of Relative Strength At its core, the ETH/BTC ratio reflects the market's perception of Ethereum's value proposition relative to Bitcoin. When the ratio trends upwards, it indicates that ETH is outperforming BTC, suggesting growing investor confidence in Ethereum's ecosystem, technological advancements, or utility. Conversely, a declining ratio signifies BTC's relative strength, potentially due to factors like "digital gold" narratives, safe-haven appeal, or specific Bitcoin-centric catalysts. A low ETH/BTC ratio, such as those observed in recent times, is often interpreted by analysts as a sign that ETH is "cheap" or "undervalued" compared to Bitcoin. The logic is that, over time, capital flows within the crypto market tend to seek out assets with stronger growth potential or those perceived as lagging behind their fundamental value. If ETH is indeed undervalued, the expectation is that it will eventually catch up, leading to a rally in both its USD price and its value relative to BTC. This potential for "mean reversion" or a "catch-up trade" is what excites many market participants when the ratio hits historical lows. Historical Precedents: When Undervaluation Sparked Rallies The argument for an impending ETH rally based on the current low ETH/BTC ratio is not without historical merit. There have been several instances where a depressed ratio preceded substantial upward movements for Ether. 1. Post-2018 Crypto Winter: After the ICO boom and subsequent crash, the ETH/BTC ratio languished for an extended period. However, as the DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystem began to gain traction in 2020 ("DeFi Summer"), ETH, as the foundational layer for most DeFi protocols, experienced a resurgence. The ratio climbed significantly as capital flowed into Ethereum to participate in yield farming, lending, and decentralized exchange activities. 2. The NFT Boom (2021): The explosion of Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) in early 2021, predominantly on the Ethereum blockchain, provided another major catalyst. The increased demand for ETH to mint, buy, and sell NFTs pushed its price and the ETH/BTC ratio upwards, as Ethereum's utility as a platform for digital collectibles and art became undeniable. 3. Anticipation of The Merge (2021-2022): As Ethereum moved closer to its pivotal transition from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) – "The Merge" – market sentiment turned increasingly bullish. The promise of significantly reduced energy consumption, coupled with the "ultrasound money" narrative (where ETH issuance would drastically decrease and potentially become deflationary due to EIP-1559's burn mechanism), fueled strong buying pressure. The ETH/BTC ratio saw notable gains during periods of heightened Merge anticipation. In these instances, the low ETH/BTC ratio acted as a tinderbox, and specific fundamental catalysts served as the spark that ignited significant rallies. Investors who recognized the undervaluation signal and anticipated these catalysts were handsomely rewarded. This historical pattern underpins the current optimism among some analysts who see the present low ratio as a similar buying opportunity. The Complicating Factors: Why This Time Might Be Different Despite the compelling historical precedents, the current market environment for Ethereum presents a unique set of challenges that complicate the simple "undervalued, therefore rally" thesis. These headwinds stem from fundamental shifts in Ethereum's tokenomics and network dynamics. 1. Surging Supply: The Post-Merge Issuance Reality While The Merge successfully transitioned Ethereum to a more environmentally friendly PoS consensus mechanism, its impact on ETH supply has been more nuanced than initially portrayed by some bullish narratives. • Staking Rewards: Under PoS, new ETH is issued as rewards to validators who stake their ETH to secure the network. While the rate of new ETH issuance is significantly lower than it was under PoW, it is still a consistent inflationary pressure. The annual inflation rate from staking rewards is currently in the low single digits. • Net Issuance vs. Deflation: The "ultrasound money" thesis largely depended on the EIP-1559 burn mechanism (discussed later) consistently burning more ETH than is issued through staking rewards, leading to a net deflationary supply. However, this has not always been the case post-Merge. There have been extended periods where ETH has been net inflationary. • Unstaking and Liquid Staking Derivatives: The ability for validators to unstake their ETH (enabled by the Shanghai/Capella upgrade) means that previously locked supply can re-enter the market. Furthermore, the proliferation of Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) like Lido's stETH or Rocket Pool's rETH, while enhancing capital efficiency, also means that staked ETH is not entirely removed from liquid circulation, as these derivative tokens can be traded or used in DeFi. This consistent, albeit reduced, issuance contributes to sell pressure, especially if demand does not keep pace. The narrative of ETH becoming a deflationary asset has been weakened, impacting one of the key bullish arguments that previously supported a higher ETH/BTC ratio. 2. Flat Demand: A Stagnant Network Picture For ETH's price to appreciate significantly, there needs to be robust demand for the token, driven by network usage and adoption. Currently, several indicators suggest that demand is, at best, flat, and in some areas, declining. • Network Activity Metrics: Key on-chain metrics such as daily active addresses, transaction counts, and total gas consumed have shown periods of stagnation or even decline. While Layer 2 scaling solutions are processing more transactions, this activity doesn't always translate directly into proportional demand for ETH on the mainnet, especially if Layer 2s manage their own fee markets efficiently. • Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi: While DeFi remains a cornerstone of Ethereum's value proposition, the growth in TVL has slowed considerably compared to the explosive growth seen in 2020-2021. Capital inflows into DeFi protocols on Ethereum have been less aggressive, partly due to macroeconomic conditions, regulatory concerns, and the emergence of competitive DeFi ecosystems on other blockchains. • Competition from Alternative Layer 1s and Layer 2s: Ethereum faces increasing competition from other Layer 1 blockchains (e.g., Solana, Avalanche, Aptos, Sui) that offer higher throughput and lower transaction fees, attracting users and developers. Moreover, Ethereum's own Layer 2 ecosystem (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism, Polygon zkEVM, Starknet, zkSync Era), while crucial for its long-term scalability, also fragments user activity and can, in some ways, reduce direct demand pressure on ETH for L1 transactions if users primarily operate within these L2 environments. • Macroeconomic Headwinds & Regulatory Uncertainty: Broader economic conditions, including inflation, interest rate hikes, and recession fears, have generally dampened risk appetite across financial markets, including crypto. Additionally, the ongoing regulatory uncertainty in key jurisdictions like the United States creates an environment of caution, potentially hindering institutional adoption and large-scale investment in assets like ETH. • NFT Market Cool-Down: The NFT market, which was a significant driver of ETH demand, has experienced a substantial cool-down from its peak in 2021-2022. While innovation continues, transaction volumes and average sale prices have fallen, reducing the ETH velocity associated with this sector. Without a significant uptick in genuine network demand – more users transacting, more capital flowing into DeFi, a resurgence in NFT activity, or new killer dApps emerging – it becomes harder for ETH to absorb the ongoing supply issuance and stage a sustainable rally. 3. Weakened Burn Mechanics: The Diminished Impact of EIP-1559 EIP-1559, implemented in August 2021, was a landmark upgrade for Ethereum. It introduced a mechanism where a portion of every transaction fee (the "base fee") is burned, permanently removing that ETH from circulation. This was a key pillar of the "ultrasound money" narrative, as it created a deflationary pressure that could, under conditions of high network demand, outpace new ETH issuance. However, the effectiveness of this burn mechanism is directly tied to network congestion and the level of the base fee. • Lower Network Congestion: In periods of lower network activity and congestion (as has been observed more frequently recently), the base fee required to get transactions included in a block decreases. A lower base fee means less ETH is burned per transaction. • Impact of Layer 2s: As more transaction activity shifts to Layer 2 scaling solutions, which have their own, typically much lower, fee structures, the demand for block space on Ethereum Layer 1 can decrease. While L2s do periodically batch transactions and settle them on L1 (consuming L1 gas and contributing to the burn), the overall L1 gas consumption directly attributable to individual user transactions might be lower than if all those transactions occurred on L1. • Periods of Low Burn: Consequently, there have been extended periods post-Merge where the amount of ETH burned via EIP-1559 has been insufficient to offset the ETH issued as staking rewards. During these times, ETH's supply becomes net inflationary, undermining the deflationary narrative that was a strong catalyst in previous cycles. While EIP-1559 remains a crucial and beneficial upgrade for Ethereum's fee market predictability, its power as a consistent deflationary force has been tempered by the current realities of network demand and the evolving Layer 2 landscape. Synthesizing the Outlook: A Tug-of-War The current situation for Ethereum is a complex tug-of-war. On one side, the historically low ETH/BTC ratio flashes a compelling "undervaluation" signal, suggesting a potential for significant upside based on past market behavior. This attracts traders looking for relative value plays and those who believe in Ethereum's long-term fundamental strengths. On the other side, the fundamental picture is clouded by persistent, albeit reduced, supply issuance, a lack of explosive growth in network demand, and a burn mechanism whose deflationary impact is currently muted. These factors create genuine headwinds that could prevent ETH from easily replicating its past ratio-driven rallies. For ETH to truly capitalize on its apparent undervaluation relative to Bitcoin, several things likely need to occur: 1. A Resurgence in Demand: This could come from a new "killer app" or narrative on Ethereum, a significant rebound in DeFi or NFT activity, increased institutional adoption (perhaps spurred by clearer regulation or new investment products like spot ETH ETFs in more jurisdictions), or a general improvement in macroeconomic conditions that boosts risk appetite. 2. Successful Maturation and Value Accrual from Layer 2s: As Layer 2 solutions mature and gain wider adoption, their success needs to translate into tangible value accrual for ETH itself. This could happen through increased L1 settlement demand, the use of ETH as a primary gas token on L2s, or innovative mechanisms that tie L2 economic activity back to the L1 token. EIP-4844 ("Proto-Danksharding") is a step in this direction by aiming to reduce L2 transaction costs, potentially fostering more L2 activity and, consequently, more L1 settlement. 3. A Shift in Broader Market Sentiment: Often, major altcoin rallies, including for ETH, occur after Bitcoin has established a strong uptrend and market sentiment becomes broadly bullish. A sustained Bitcoin rally could create a "wealth effect" and encourage capital to rotate into ETH and other altcoins. Conclusion: Caution Warranted Despite Undervaluation Signals While the ETH/BTC ratio strongly suggests that Ether is trading at a significant discount compared to Bitcoin, historical precedent alone may not be enough to guarantee a rally in the current market. The fundamental challenges posed by ongoing supply, relatively flat demand, and a less potent burn mechanism are significant and cannot be ignored. Investors and traders eyeing ETH must weigh the allure of its apparent undervaluation against these tangible headwinds. A potential ETH rally is likely contingent not just on the ratio mean-reverting, but on a demonstrable improvement in Ethereum's core demand drivers and a favorable shift in the broader market environment. The "extremely undervalued" signal is a call for attention, but thorough due diligence and a clear understanding of the current complexities are more crucial than ever. Ethereum's long-term vision remains ambitious, but its path to reclaiming relative market dominance against Bitcoin in the near term appears more challenging than in previous cycles.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
DeGRAM | BTCUSD ended the period below 100k?📊 Technical Analysis ● Price rocketed out of the $91 300 demand zone, snapping the 6‑month descending trend and converting the $99 500 former cap into support. ● A tight bull pennant is forming just above that level; a decisive break targets the marked resistance level/supply band at $108 000. Long bias void below $93 300. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. Treasury’s plan to boost quarterly bill issuance is flattening real yields and lifting non‑yielding assets. ● Hong Kong’s new spot‑BTC ETFs amassed >$500 M AUM in two weeks, signalling fresh Asia‑Pacific demand and tightening offshore float. ✨ Summary Pennant continuation above new support and expanding Asian ETF inflows argue for a push from $99.5 K to $108 K; protect longs if price closes under $93.3 K. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
LITCOIN SIGNALSHello dears You see that after a good growth, the price was in a range and then we had a decline until the support area was identified, which is also a good area and it was able to record a new ceiling, which is a good sign. Now the best and least risky thing is to buy steps. We have identified the buying steps for you and the targets... Note that this analysis is in daily time and may take a while, so if you are not patient, do not enter. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 5-7 : Breakaway In CounterToday's Breakaway In Counter Trend mode suggests the markets will likely attempt to break downward before the end of trading, today. Why do I state the downward trend direction? Because the LT/ST trends are BULLISH and the general upward price trend in the SPY over the past 5-10+ days. Counter-trend patterns are typically inverted compared to the general 5-8 day price trend. If we can't clearly identify a 5-8 day price trend, then the counter-trend patterns should be determined based on the ST/LT and BIAS trend information on the SPY Cycle Patterns data window. Today, being a FOMC comment day, should stay rather muted/sideways in early trading. Normally, on FOMC days, the markets tend to stay paused ahead of the FOMC comments. I believe the FED will not raise or lower rates - meaning NO CHANGE. I don't believe the US Fed has any reason to be concerned with US economic performance right now. Gold and Silver should move into a rally phase today - but that will likely come near the end of the day as the FED comments drive the markets. BTCUSD has moved into an early FLAGGING formation. This could be very interesting as BTCUSD has been leading the SPY/QQQ by about 4-6 trading days over the past few weeks. If BTCUSD continues to lead the SPY/QQQ - that means the SPY/QQQ would be in the early breakdown phase right now - moving into a FLAGGING formation possibly next week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
4
BTC LONG TP:99,500 03-05-2025🚀 Continuation in motion! We’re going LONG toward 99,500, with the 2H timeframe showing clear bullish continuation 📈 Entry zone sits between 95,500 and 94,200 — solid range to average in smart. This move should play out within 17 to 30 hours, so precision matters ⏳ We’re seeing acceleration in bullish momentum, and this could be the final spike pushing BTC to 107–108k in the coming week. Don’t miss the ride. Follow me for updates and let’s lock in those gains together 💰🔥
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately. All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed. So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame. Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible. So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me. That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Long
by stromm
2
Bitcoin has pulled back after a substantial riseThe price of Bitcoin showed a trend of rising first and then making a small correction. On that day, the price rose after getting support near $93,500 and reached around $97,500 at its highest point, before pulling back somewhat.👉👉👉 The bulls in the market have shown strong performance, and the price has significantly increased at one point. However, we still need to be cautious about the potential pullback risks brought by the bearish divergence at the top and the resistance level above. BTCUSD Trading Strategy buy @ 94000-94370 sl 93000 tp 95000-95500 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge