BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars.
previous analyses
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
1-BTCUSD
23/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $108,403.98
Last weeks low: $92,261.97
Midpoint: $100,332.98
Last week we saw a swing fail pattern (SFP) of the week previous' high. Ever since then it's been a steady sell off throughout the week, mostly thanks to JPows FOMC statements despite a 25bps cut as forecast. BTC is now battling the 4H 200 EMA for the first time since the US election, a much needed pullback or the start of a further sell-off?
Going into the holidays we should expect a lower volume as whales take some time off, retail will remain as crypto is shilled to family members over Christmas dinner so the market will continue to be interesting. The 4H 200 EMA is a key battleground, I would have hoped to see a better reaction off the moving average initially but maybe this is bad timing due to the holidays and lower volume, or the reluctance to open new trades while markets are shut etc.
This week is obviously quiet in terms of data releases, there are various token unlocks ENA, IMX, FET and burns for some key altcoins such as ISP & BONK. I think the general consensus is that normal service will resume in January once everything opens back up.
So for this week it's probably better to set alerts for key areas you want to get involved in, planning for when volume returns to the markets and when Trump takes office too.
Merry Christmas to all and good luck!
according to 1hr time frame,
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
- **Sell Entry**: 2639
- **1st Target**: 2619 (Profit: 20 points)
- **2nd Target**: 2606 (Profit: 33 points from entry)
For better risk management, consider setting a **stop-loss** above a nearby resistance level (e.g., 2645 or 2650, depending on volatility).
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.
The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg.
** The Fibonacci Channel Up **
Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021.
As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle.
** The Phases and the high symmetry **
Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range.
As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did.
** Will we test the 1D MA100? **
But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top.
Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid).
** The remainder of the Bull Cycle **
Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000.
So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have.
What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: pain is your gainOne more week which was close to heart-attack for BTC traders. It was very challenging to keep the common sense, and understand such a strong sell-off of the BTC. However, books are saying that the markets are always right - so probably they were right also this time. The BTC price entered into strong correction after the FOMC meeting. It was not pleasant news that the inflation is going to persist in 2025 and that the Fed will cut “only” 50 bps, but how much it can actually impact BTC liquidity? The only explanation for developments during the week, was market overreaction, same as with equity markets.
In one week, BTC reached its new ATH at $108K and a tumble toward the $92K. It was indeed a challenging week, even for BTC, which usually has a higher volatility. But it also shows fragility of market sentiment. However, on the opposite side, a strong overbought market was holding from November this year, indicating that the potential reversal might come anytime. The RSI is currently moving around the level of 50, and is not ready to take a path toward the oversold market side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA 200, without an indication that the indicator could change the course soon.
Although the BTC market is the 24/7 one, still, it could be expected that the Holiday season during the week ahead might affect some calm down of the BTC price. BTC is ending the week with a target of $100K for one more time, which might occur only if the resistance line at the $ 98K is breached. On the opposite side, corrections are also possible, especially now that the RSI reached the level of 50, however, the extension of it will depend on some higher players on the market. Namely, as interest rates are not going to be cut as initially expected, borrowed money will not be so much at disposal to investors, in which sense, they will use the week ahead to wage how much more cash flow can end up in BTC in the year ahead.
BITCOIN Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN has formed a
Bearish flag pattern and
Then made a breakout and
A retest and now we are
Seeing a move down again
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Bitcoin - Bitcoin went below $100,000!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin sell positions can be looked for in supply zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted from its peak of $108,135 on December 17 to below $95,000. Powell’s comments, which signaled the Fed’s ongoing battle against inflation, triggered a sharp selloff in the cryptocurrency market. He indicated that only two interest rate cuts might occur in 2025, as opposed to the four cuts previously anticipated.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.5%. Even the 2026 forecast stands at 2.1%, exceeding the central bank’s 2% target. This suggests that inflation could persist for another two years, compelling the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than initially projected.
Bitcoin ETFs, after experiencing 15 consecutive days of capital inflows, saw an unprecedented $680 million outflow on Thursday. This trend continued into Friday, with an additional $270 million withdrawn. Cryptocurrency investors, reacting to the Fed’s decision to slow monetary easing next year, moved substantial capital out of the market.
In the United States, Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management (AUM). Despite gold ETFs’ 20-year history, Bitcoin ETFs now manage $129.3 billion, compared to $128.9 billion for gold ETFs.
MicroStrategy, a company renowned for its massive Bitcoin holdings, successfully entered the Nasdaq index. With 439,000 Bitcoins valued at $42.64 billion, the company controls approximately 2% of the total Bitcoin supply. This milestone highlights MicroStrategy’s strong position in the Bitcoin market and has boosted its stock price (MSTR) to $364.20. The company’s innovative strategy of leveraging Bitcoin as a growth asset showcases a unique approach in the financial world.
Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily decreased in recent years. By October 2024, its monthly volatility had dropped to 11%, lower than that of high-profile tech stocks like Tesla (24%), AMD (16%), and Nvidia (12%).
Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, recently shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market. He predicted a “horrific collapse” around the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, 2025.
Hayes wrote, “The market believes Trump and his team can deliver immediate economic and political miracles,” but pointed to a gap between investor expectations and the “absence of quick, viable policy solutions.”
Hayes forecasted that implementing changes to cryptocurrency policies would likely take far longer than the market anticipates. He added, “The market will soon realize that Trump, at best, has only a year to execute any policy changes in or around January 20. This realization will trigger a massive selloff in cryptocurrencies and other Trump-related trades.”
He also predicted that a “steep decline” would occur around Trump’s inauguration day, followed by a “crack-up boom phase” in late 2025. This phase, typically seen after financial crises, is characterized by rapid price increases, high inflation, and financial instability.
Bitcoin Price Target
If Bitcoin loses the 90K region there will be a measured move to 73-76k area. I get this from the high to the support area which places BTC at 73k area. This aligns with several Altcoins that have measured moves back to pre-election. This makes total sense to me that the market will revert to pre-election for a major fake-out.
DAY 3 - Daily BTC UpdateBitcoin must hold the key support level of $92,300 to maintain its bullish outlook and validate the Dragonfly Doji pattern on the daily timeframe. There is conflicting data, with momentum indicating increasing selling pressure, reflected in the formation of lower highs on the daily chart, but the STOCH RSI has bottomed.
Bitcoin’s hash rate—the computational power used to mine and process transactions—has risen by 5.48% to 830.78 EH/s, showcasing stronger network security and processing power. Despite this, mining difficulty remains unchanged at 108.52 T, suggesting that while miners are contributing more power, the effort required to mine a block has not yet been adjusted.
The Crypto Greed and Fear Index currently stands at 70, indicating market greed. While this sentiment suggests confidence, it could also signal caution as investors may pull back from further price increases after the recent decline. The total cryptocurrency market cap has dropped by approximately 2.9%, with Bitcoin dominance slightly decreasing to 55.1%, reflecting minor shifts in market dynamics.
In trading, long liquidations have surged, with over $38 million in Bitcoin long positions liquidated within four hours. This sharp move signals a potential bearish turn, driven by traders taking profits or reacting to external pressures. Despite this, declining trading volume suggests fewer sellers in the market, which could hint at stabilisation or a potential reversal.
On-chain data provides a more optimistic perspective. Whale accumulation has increased, and exchange liquidity inventory ratios have declined, signalling that large holders are likely accumulating Bitcoin for longer-term gains or anticipating a price recovery. Moreover, exchange reserves are decreasing, reducing the immediate supply of Bitcoin available for sale. This dynamic supports a potential price rebound if current trends persist.
The past 24 hours have been volatile, with Bitcoin leaning bearish in the short term. However, the underlying on-chain metrics—such as whale activity and reduced exchange reserves—suggest that bullish investors still have hope. A buy-the-dip opportunity may arise if Bitcoin forms a higher low in the coming sessions, potentially paving the way for a recovery.
I am still Buying the Dips :)
PS there were a few more images on the in group update - but not allowed under Trading View Rules - Sorry :(
Bitcoin Mid TermFirst Impression:
The BTC/USD pair appears to have dropped below the $95,000 level and is under selling pressure. Strong support levels are evident in lower regions. The price is retracing toward levels that previously acted as support during bullish moves.
Volume Analysis:
No notable increase in volume is observed on the chart. This could indicate that the current downward move is a low-volume correction or that the market is indecisive. However, if volume increases, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing may rise.
Price Action:
The price is trading around $94,000, showing downward movement. Below, key support levels are visible near $90,700, $88,000, and $85,000. These levels have historically been areas where strong buyers stepped in, making them potential zones for price reactions.
Positive Scenario:
If the price holds at $94,000 and starts a recovery move, it could climb back above $95,000. In this case, $97,500 would be the first target. Sustained movement above this level could push the price back toward the psychological resistance at $100,000.
Negative Scenario:
If the price drops below $94,000, a decline toward $90,700 becomes more likely. A break below this support level could lead to further declines to $88,000 and then $85,000. This scenario would indicate continued selling pressure.
High Probability:
Given current market conditions, it is highly probable that the price consolidates between $90,700 and $94,000 for some time. The balance of buyers and sellers in this zone will determine the direction of the next trend.
Overall:
The BTC/USD pair is trading near a critical support zone. The $94,000 level should be closely monitored; a drop below this level could drive the price toward lower supports. For upward recoveries, $95,000 and $97,500 are the first resistance levels to watch. Strategies should be adjusted based on volume and price action.
WIFUSDT: Long-Term Bullish SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
DogWiFiHat ( KUCOIN:WIFUSDT ): Long-Term Bullish Setup for a Multi-Month Hold
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $2.0682 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.2580
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $5.6605
- TP2: $10.2864
Fundamental Analysis:
DogWiFiHat ( KUCOIN:WIFUSDT ) is an innovative cryptocurrency project aimed at merging decentralized connectivity solutions with meme-inspired community engagement. With its growing adoption and strategic partnerships in the tech sector, $ KUCOIN:WIFUSDT is creating a niche within the blockchain space. The anticipated market bullishness by May adds further potential for a strong rally.
Recent community-driven campaigns and developments in the ecosystem are expected to enhance its visibility and attract more long-term investors.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
- Current Price: $2.0820
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $1.8000
- 200-Day SMA: $1.5000
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 63, indicating bullish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $1.9000
- Resistance: $2.5000
KUCOIN:WIFUSDT has broken out of a consolidation phase, supported by strong buying volume. A confirmed breakout above $2.50 will likely drive the price toward TP1 and eventually TP2 as the market enters a more bullish phase.
Market Sentiment:
DogWiFiHat is riding the wave of increasing interest in meme-inspired cryptocurrencies with real-world use cases. With the broader market sentiment turning positive, KUCOIN:WIFUSDT is poised for significant upside potential.
Risk Management:
The stop-loss at $0.2580 provides strong downside protection, while the take-profit targets offer excellent reward potential. TP1 represents a 173% return, with TP2 providing a potential 397% gain for long-term holders.
Key Takeaways:
- KUCOIN:WIFUSDT combines meme culture with real-world utility, making it a unique play in the crypto space.
- The trade setup offers significant upside potential, aligning with market-wide bullish expectations through May.
- Strict adherence to stop-loss and take-profit levels is crucial for managing risk.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Whether it can be supported and rise around 92K-93.5K is the key
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
What we need to look at is whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator and rise.
When a new candle is created, it is expected to pass around 83.6K.
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart around 87.8K-89K.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend from the 100 point, and if a new candle is created, it is expected to change to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is still in the overbought zone, it is likely to rise after receiving support around 92K-93.5K.
-
(1D chart)
The next volatility period is around December 17 (December 16-18).
Therefore, the key is how it will look after this volatility period.
It is currently showing a short-term downtrend, but looking at the overall picture, it is ambiguous to say that it has yet to break out of the sideways zone, so the key is whether it falls below 90586.92.
-
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise above 95904.28.
If not, it is expected to touch around 92K-93.5K.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 97821.5-98892.0 to be supported.
Since the Momentum indicator is showing a low, it may lead to an additional decline.
You can see that the Body color of the candle changed to red from the December 20 candle.
This is because the OBV fell below the midpoint.
Therefore, if the Body color of the candle changes back to Green, it can be seen as a buying period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Bitcoin: Time To Remove The Party Hats?Bitcoin may be on the verge of compromising the 90K support which I will interpret as a sign that the next broader corrective cycle MAY be beginning (Wave (IV)). IF this is the case, you can remove your Bitcoin 200K party hats for at least a YEAR or two. Gold had a similar outcome a few years back and persisted in a consolidation for two years before it broke out. A corrective cycle does NOT mean Bitcoin is going back to 50K (anything is possible though). It just means a prolonged consolidation may be on the horizon which will provide swing trade and investment opportunities for those who know what to WAIT for.
The arrow on the chart points to the 92K support that is in play at the moment. At as long as 90K is not broken, I anticipate at least one more attempt to test the high. This short term up leg is likely to test the 100K area. IF the higher high (break of 108) does not culminate from the next price advance, then it would be wise to reduce risk, lock in profits and LOWER expectations until bullish short term price structure can rebuild itself.
IF 90K is broken, the next inflection point on this time frame is the 86K area. Great profit objective for those bold enough to short this thing. If 86K is cleared, then its the low 80K area. Again this is one scenario of countless, the key is confirming the price action that supports this possibility, NOT to expect it. This is NOT a forecasting game, it is a interpreting and adjusting game.
With the major holiday week on the horizon, it would be best NOT to expect a LOT of action. Volume typically declines, and movements become very muted or you can get slow grinds that just stubbornly persist to some key level. Either way, it is usually best to avoid such markets, ESPECIALLY if you look at smaller time frames.
As far the the highs at 108K, anyone that bought anywhere above 100K is NOW at the mercy of the market. This is why I always warn my followers about buying into highs. Chances are you won't take your profits when the peak unfolds because you won't know its the peak until WAY after the fact. When I hear about people who have NO idea what Bitcoin is, now interested in "investing" in it, that screams THE PARTY IS OVER, for now. The best times to get in are usually when no one is paying attention, and for Bitcoin and the alt coins, that seems to take about a year or two from the peak. If you can't take the heat, don't play with fire (or Bitcoin).
Thank for you considering y analysis and perspective.
"In markets, gravity always wins."📉 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC/USD) 📉
Bitcoin's meteoric 100% rise since September screams overextension. The euphoria may be fading, and a correction looks imminent.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
$73,800: The first major support—breaking this could accelerate the drop.
$65,600: A likely target if bears take full control.
The chart suggests BTC is overdue for a pullback. Corrections after such rallies aren’t just likely—they’re inevitable. Bulls, buckle up. Bears, this might be your moment.
"In markets, gravity always wins."
Skl time to flipi been looking for this coin for almost 5 years now, ans i see that a flip is comming.
As you can see, rsi is in over sell position, and MACD is shoeing efforts of a big change.
In the chart there are little green points, those are my Buy positions.
I understand that january and February will be greates than november.
Traders BEWARE! Extreme Volatility In 2025-26. LOOK OUT!I just completed a deep dive into my Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system, and I'm here to tell you that 2025 and most of 2026 will be highly volatile.
If you do not attempt to stay ahead of these market trends, you could suffer a loss of 35% to 45% (or more) over the next 18 months or more.
If you want to learn how to navigate these trends, I suggest you find someone you trust to help you identify the best opportunities for your investments and trading.
This is no joke.
This is the type of event that destroys trader's accounts and disrupts global economies.
If you are not prepared for this, get busy trying to find someone to help you.
Merry Christmas. Buckle up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NSTR - Technical Analysis of Key Bullish and Bearish LevelsKey Observations:
Expanded Volume Profile:
The volume profile on the left indicates significant trading activity (support/resistance zones).
The high-volume node around 360–380 suggests a key area of interest where the price might consolidate or face resistance/support.
Bullish Levels:
Bullish Week (376): A breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum toward 400 and potentially higher.
Close Week Swing (363): Currently being tested. Sustained strength above this level would be a sign of bullish continuation.
Key Target at 400: Bullish swing level acting as a psychological and technical resistance point.
Bearish Levels:
Bear Swing (348): A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside, with the next support at Bear Week (325).
Week ATR (328): If the price approaches this level, it signals a deeper bearish sentiment.
Price Action:
The yellow line shows a recovery attempt after a sharp drop. The price appears to be testing resistance at Close Week Swing (363).
The upward trend from lower levels near 325 suggests some buying interest at lower prices.
Annotations and Targets:
Close Week Swing (363) is pivotal; crossing this level with volume might lead to a test of higher resistance levels.
The area around 325–328 has shown strong support previously, and a retest might attract buyers.
Analysis:
Bullish Scenario:
The price needs to decisively close above 363 to gain bullish momentum. If this happens, look for targets at 376 and then 400.
Volume supporting an upward move would confirm bullish sentiment.
The Bullish Week (376) level is critical for mid-term trend confirmation.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 363 could lead to a retest of 348 (Bear Swing) and possibly further downward moves toward 325–328.
Increased volume at lower levels might indicate bearish control.
Neutral Scenario:
Consolidation between 348 and 363 could signal indecision, with a breakout or breakdown likely depending on market sentiment.
Recommendations:
For Bullish Traders:
Look for strong volume above 363 and consider targets at 376 and 400.
Watch for consolidation near 360–363 as a possible entry point.
For Bearish Traders:
A rejection at 363 or a breakdown below 348 would signal opportunities to target 325–328.
Use volume and candlestick patterns to confirm breakdowns.
Risk Management:
Stops should be placed slightly beyond key levels (e.g., above 376 for shorts or below 348 for longs).
This setup emphasizes the importance of the 363 level as a tipping point for direction. Let me know if you'd like further insights!
BTCUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry Point - 96576
Stop Loss - 94182
Take Profit - 10116
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Bitcoin Analysis: December 23, 2024 - Consolidation or Rebound?Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis for today.
Weekly Chart Analysis
Looking at the Bitcoin weekly chart, we can identify two main yellow box zones that represent Bitcoin’s historical trading frames. Currently, in the blue box zone, Bitcoin has moved into a new frame.
Examining the weekly candles, we see that the current red candle is engulfing the previous week’s green candle. As the weekly close approaches in just a few hours, it is highly likely that this bearish engulfing candle signals a consolidation phase within the frame.
If we look at the green box, a similar scenario occurred in the past: after a new high was reached within the previous frame, a bearish candle emerged, followed by approximately 9 months of sideways movement.
While it is unclear how long the current frame will last, the appearance of this week's red candle is not a particularly optimistic signal for future bullish momentum.
The red box, which has provided support since November 2024, becomes critical. A breakdown below this zone could signify a breach of approximately five weeks of sustained support, increasing the likelihood of retesting the weekly 20-MA or even breaking below it.
However, since the red box zone has not yet been decisively breached, it is still possible for Bitcoin to move sideways within the current frame. For those holding long positions, there is no immediate cause for alarm unless the price breaks below 89,400 or fails to hold the support of the weekly 20-MA. If either of these scenarios occurs, it may signal a trend reversal. Keep this in mind as you approach your trades.
Daily Chart Analysis
The key level to watch on the daily chart is 89,400, which coincides with the entry zone for the Ichimoku Cloud.
Since November, Bitcoin has not encountered significant resistance around the daily 20-MA. However, the recent resistance at this level suggests a weakening of bullish momentum.
At this point, it’s crucial to determine whether Bitcoin will:
Receive support and rebound above the key levels, or
Retrace further to 73,800, which was the previous frame’s entry level, and test the short-term ascending trendline.
4-Hour Chart Analysis
To confirm a rebound, Bitcoin must first establish a solid foothold above the 4-hour 20-MA.
Although there was a brief attempt to break above the 20-MA on December 20, 2024, Bitcoin failed to sustain its position, leading to further corrections. This indicates that surpassing the 20-MA remains a priority before addressing resistance levels.
The second critical level to monitor is 99,485, which currently serves as a resistance zone. A breakout above this level would indicate diminishing selling pressure. This would also confirm the current frame's significance as Bitcoin potentially targets the next key resistance near 109,000.
Conclusion
Is the market overheating, or is a rebound on the horizon?
Despite years of observing charts, the emergence of new wealth in this market suggests we are experiencing unique dynamics.
Opportunities always arise during cycles, but entering the market during periods of rapid growth often results in losses rather than gains.
Sometimes, waiting can be the best strategy.
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BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown:
Descending Broadening Wedge:
Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control.
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Current Structure:
BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal.
The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup.
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Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle.
Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000.
Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook.
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Momentum Indicators:
Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure.
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Trade Setup:
Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000.
Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: Huge Gains Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
We hope you made a right decision when received the warning sign by our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator from our previous Bitcoin analysis . Now we see that this correction is happening right now and there is some space to go down more but not that much as you may be think.
Let's take a look at the daily BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. We can see that our indicator has printed the red dot at the top of the wave 3. After that this dump has been started. This is wave 4 and it has the clear target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels. Therefore we can conclude that max target which price can reach before the reversal is 84k, but it's more likely the reversal will happen earlier, at $89k.
When correction will be finished we can expect the wave 5 with the optimistic targets between $120k and $140k. Here is nothing change from the last analysis. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then.
The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000.
Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.