BTC TO $86,850Based on my TA, BTC has now confirmed a short term trend change on the smaller time frames which will result in relief / pull back on the higher time frames (W,M).
BTC recently just crossed over the SMA's, pulled back and rejected them as well as a major key level. There is also the case of the SMA's (21/9) crossing over on the 4hr indicating a trend change confirmation.
On the higher time frames we also has deceleration and exhaustion from the candles showing a relief period and pull back is in coming which of course will result in a trend change again on the smaller time frames.
We also have the issue of the FED stating they are not looking to hold a BTC reserve and won't be changing their opinions anytime soon regardless of Trumps open supportiveness of Crypto.
The fib is also confirming a bear market as it is aligning very nicely with key levels and targets to the downside. I have entered at the LH which is the same area the market rejected the crossover of the SMA's.
We'll likely see some consolidation / resistance around the $94,500 price mark as it is a major key level imo but if we break that level then BTC will likely fall to the golden ratio market out by the fib which also happens to align with another major key level of $86,850 which is my overall target.
Of course i will lock in profits along the way, i have a small stop on this trade of just 2.5% located just above the cross over of the SMA's for some protection from TA.
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSDT On The way to 120KBTCUSDT, Bitcoin-based cryptocurrency, is currently trading at $97,000.
The target price for BTCUSDT is $120,000, indicating significant growth potential.
This represents a potential gain of over 30%.
The coin's price movement is guided by a support and resistance pattern.
BTCUSDT's growth potential is significant, driven by increasing adoption and demand.
Investors can capitalize on this opportunity for substantial returns.
However, market volatility and risks should be carefully considered.
A well-informed investment decision can help maximize gains and minimize losses.
By monitoring market trends, investors can make informed decisions about BTCUSDT.
PNUTUSDT → A Double Bottom Formation: On the Verge of a Bullish PNUTUSDT → A Promising Reversal Ahead: Poised for 30-50% Growth in the Near Future
PNUTUSDT is setting itself up for a potentially significant rebound, with the possibility of a 30-50% growth in the coming weeks. After experiencing a sharp and substantial drop (often referred to as a "dump"), the asset is now showing signs of a reversal, forming a bullish pattern on the chart. This price movement suggests that the market could be nearing a turning point, where the downward trend may soon give way to an upward rally.
While Bitcoin remains largely range-bound and stagnant in its price action, PNUTUSDT is demonstrating strength and resilience by forming a classic double bottom pattern. This pattern is known to indicate a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish, often signifying that a trend reversal is in the works. The double bottom formation is typically seen as a sign that the asset has found solid support and is now preparing for a potential surge in price, making this an exciting opportunity for traders and investors alike.
At present, one of the primary hurdles for PNUT is the resistance level around the 0.75 mark. This price point has historically acted as a significant level of resistance, and the coin will need to break through it decisively to trigger a meaningful rally. If the price can push past this 0.75 resistance and establish a solid foothold above this level, the next logical price target will be 1.0. This would mark a key psychological and technical level, which could pave the way for further gains in the short to medium term.
It’s important to keep a close eye on the support and resistance levels as the price action unfolds. For now, the critical support level for PNUT stands at 0.6. This zone represents a key price area where the bulls need to maintain strong defense to prevent a breakdown and potential further downside. If the coin can hold above 0.6 and rally past the 0.75 resistance, it will signal that the bulls are in control, with higher price targets on the horizon.
Resistance Levels:
0.75: This level acts as a strong resistance, which, if broken, could trigger the start of a substantial upward movement. It’s a key threshold that traders should watch closely. A breakout above 0.75 would likely mark the beginning of a more significant rally.
1.0: Once the 0.75 resistance is overcome, the 1.0 level will be the next major target. This psychological and technical barrier could prove to be another important test for the bulls. If the price can break past this level, PNUT could be poised for even greater gains.
Support Levels:
0.6: This is a crucial support level that should not be overlooked. For PNUT to remain bullish and continue its rally, it’s vital that the price holds above this level. A drop below 0.6 would raise concerns and could potentially reverse the bullish momentum.
If the bulls can successfully overcome the 0.75 resistance and hold the price above it, the market could see a significant upward push in the coming weeks. The primary target, once 0.75 is breached, would be the 1.0 level, which would mark a substantial psychological milestone. From there, if the momentum remains strong, the next set of targets could be at 1.15 and 1.35, both of which are seen as potential resistance levels in the medium-term price action.
Why This is an Important Setup: What makes this setup particularly intriguing is that it aligns with a strong reversal pattern, supported by technical indicators such as the double bottom. Historically, such formations often lead to significant price rallies, as they suggest that the bears are losing control and the bulls are preparing to take over. This creates a perfect environment for a potentially profitable trade, with considerable upside potential for those who are able to time their entries and exits effectively.
Investors should monitor how the price behaves around the 0.75 resistance. A failure to break above this level would suggest that the bears are still in control, and the rally may stall. On the other hand, a clean break and close above 0.75 would signal a clear bullish trend, with 1.0 as the next major target.
The Bigger Picture: Looking further ahead, the overall market conditions should also be considered. While Bitcoin is not showing much movement at the moment, the altcoin market is still ripe with opportunities, especially for coins like PNUT that are setting up for a reversal. The key here is timing and watching for confirmation of the bullish trend before entering a position.
For traders with a medium to long-term outlook, PNUT’s setup could present an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity. If the price breaks through resistance and establishes solid support above 0.75, the next targets of 1.15 and 1.35 would become increasingly realistic.
In conclusion, PNUTUSDT is showing significant potential for a strong recovery. After a sharp fall, it is now forming a double bottom pattern, which typically signals a reversal in the market. If the price can break through critical resistance levels at 0.75 and 1.0, PNUT could be on the verge of a strong bullish rally, potentially reaching new highs in the short to medium term. Investors should monitor the key support and resistance levels closely, as overcoming the 0.75 resistance could signal a powerful upward move. The primary target remains at 1.0, with subsequent targets of 1.15 and 1.35 offering additional upside potential.
Odds favor the long side on BTC
You can clearly see that there was a volume spike that absorbed the selling of the weak hands, now you see that the volume returns to the direction of the trend up, so people are not willing to sell Bitcoin at a lower price, so the puppet master has to increase his bidding price so he can get filled after Trump WON the election.
Add to it that the price was consolidating for half a year and holding its value near the top.
BTCUSD is taking an elevator UPClearly defined UP channel + hold very well the resistance to support line.
No matter what you hear in the news, Bitcoin is bullish.
Remember, that "worth" and "value" are subjective, not objective.
A luxury handbag... does not have its value in the cost of materials,
it has its value in the mind of the people who buy it...
Doge, Bitcoin and the Monthly LMACD Let me start by explaning what you are seeing here, at the top is Bitcoin , bellow doge and the bottom is the LMACD on the monthly time frame for Bitcoin. As I have stated in multiple occasions bull markets typically last for about 26 bars or 793 days(green histograms of the LMACD). Once those 793 days ends you see the LMACD crossing bearish and starting the transition to the bear market. Using this pattern I came to the conclusion that this bull market should be running till Sep2025. Now if you look closely the 2017 cycle top arrived 4 bars(months) before the the end of the bull market, 2021 cycle top around 5 bars and maybe 2025 cycle top would be 6 bars before Sep. This might suggest topping in March2025 for BITCOIN and exactly 1 bar after this the DOGE top in April2025.
DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update
I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing:
STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce.
0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal.
Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight:
Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term.
Supply and Demand in Bitcoin
Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements:
Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading.
Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall.
Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand.
Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
Ethereum: A buying opportunity or a trap?Charturday #3: CRYPTOCAP:ETH 🪻
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of bull flag with successful retest
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming lower/ better support, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a better formed Williams CB
🔜🎯$4094🎯$5043
Bull Flag Breakout🎯$5772⏲️Before DEC2025
CupnHandle B/O🎯$6839⏲️Before 2028
Not financial advice.
BTCUSD Revision 22 December 2024Hello Nation!
Let’s see what BTC did. We open today at 96537 area. It did made a huge gap breaking a Resistance level. The same Level became a Support. As multiple rejections can be seen. To me that a good hint for a buy entry. I marked out my m15 Box and that will be my point of interest for a buy entry.
With 30 Pips SL risk and 100 Pips TP. It will be a nice winner. I did took this entry but i secured at 94 Pips. My risk was smaller than 30pips as i make them precise on m1 or m5.
Price went up straight to a Daily SBR area. Once i spotted Price was breaking a support on the H1, this information is key to me. I marked the Support that broke and that same area is now Resistance. A point of interest which i will monitor.
Again, I drew out my m15 box after the identifying Support and Resistance in that area. Upon seeing multiple bearish reactions. I was confident price will be making a move down. I took a sell entry.
This time i targeted the H1 low which give me a bit more than 100 pips. I secured this entry at 138 Pips. Knowing that there was gap during market open. I could have attempted to target much lower. But i am happy with what i got. It was a very good day for me.
BTC is just bouncing off its supply and demand. As you know, I don’t make predictions on my post. I will only try to share what story that i see after the candles happen.
Thank you for Reading. Good Bye!
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio >1.6 👈 for buyers
Risk rewards ratio >1.7 👈 for sellers
Technical analysis 👇👇👇
↘️↘️📶📉
An broadening triangle pattern has formed on the daily timeframe and there is a possibility that we will face a decline if the price breaks below the pattern’s bottom. However, we have several strong support areas at $88-$95 that can prevent the market from returning to a bear market. If the sellers get stronger and this support area cannot withstand the pressure from the sellers, Bitcoin will fall to the $77 range.
👉👉📈↗️↗️
On the other hand, if Bitcoin moves up, our first target will be the upper edge of the triangle and the price of $110.
At that time, we need to see if the buyers' power is greater than the sellers'?
If it is, the yellow box, which is the intersection of the long-term uptrend and the price exit area from the triangle, will be our next target, the range between $114 and $118. 🎯🎯🎯
Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms.
Data observations:
337,000% increase -> 93% decrease
Massive increase, followed by a steep correction.
61,000% increase -> 86% decrease
Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms.
11,000% increase -> 84% decrease
Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder.
2,000% increase -> 77% decrease
Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate.
Observing a descending pattern:
The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility.
Estimate for the next increase:
Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around:
~300%-500%.
This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market?
To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time:
Historical data:
240 days
730 days
850 days
1050 days
Notes:
The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration.
The duration increase intervals were:
From 240 -> 730: +490 days
From 730 -> 850: +120 days
From 850 -> 1050: +200 days
Analysis:
The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend.
If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days).
Estimate:
The duration of the next cycle could be:
~1250-1350 days.
This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
Bitcoin Crucial Support LevelBitcoin is still showing strong Support around the: GETTEX:92K zone area. Multiple times this area has been retested. Until we break bellow, I’m still optimistic🚀
Bulls have still managed to prevent the bears pushing price action further to the downside 👀😬
Remember this was just a correction, not a crash 💥 🙌🏻
BTCUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EUR/USD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 97265
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 10074
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin - Time to buy again!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars.
previous analyses
previous analyses
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Short term!Bitcoin reached a new high yesterday but then dropped to $92,000 to liquidate positions. This price decline created a bearish scenario. As you can see, Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge. If this pattern breaks, the price could drop to $92,000. However, we cannot say Bitcoin is bearish right now because as long as the wedge does not break, Bitcoin can still be bullish. So, we wait to be sure.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Weekend Crypto Pulse: $BTC at $95,415 & $ETH Leading DeFi – Top Good morning, champions! ☀️
While traditional markets take a breather, crypto keeps the grind alive. 🕒
CRYPTOCAP:BTC holds strong at $95,415, still defying gravity,
and CRYPTOCAP:ETH sits at $3,527, the DeFi heartbeat going strong.
Weekend movers:
📈 CRYPTOCAP:AVAX up 4.5%, turning heads in the Layer-1 race.
📈 CRYPTOCAP:SOL climbing 3.2%, showing resilience in its recovery arc.
Take a moment today: plan, prep, sip that coffee. 🛠️ Balance your charts with a bit of mindfulness—crypto’s a marathon, not a sprint.
What’s your strategy for today’s market movers? Any hidden gems on your radar? Let’s share some insights. 💡
bullish continuationChart Summary:
Key Resistance: $101,107.27
Important Support: $98,115.68
Current Range: Between $98,000 and $100,000
📈 Current Trend:
BTC is attempting to break the resistance at $101,107.27 after a bounce from the support at $98,115.68. This move suggests a possible bullish momentum if it sustains above $100,000.
🛠️Potential Strategy:
Buy: Consider entries in the range of $99,000 - $100,000 with a stop loss below $98,000 to manage risk.
Target: Target the resistance at $101,107.27 and if broken, look towards levels above $102,000.
💡 Notes:
Trading volume and momentum indicators will be crucial to confirm the strength of the move.
Stay tuned for any news or events that may affect BTC volatility.
BTC Idea Bitcoin has formed a valid ascending channel and broke the last touch of it with an H4 candle and retested the downside of the channel which let us predict that it will be going down to retest the 70k support
So we will enter a short (sell) position on this pair
Be careful fam and followers this is a long trade with a big stop loss so small trade carefully with a right risk management
Follow us for more updates and ideas
BTC/USDT ! HOUR DESCENDING BROADENING WEDGE LONG TARGET 105KIn this idea I have a clean descending broadening wedge that is about to take off to 105k. Target is clearly marked and should hit that no problem. If you agree throw me a like and follow me for more setups that keep you in the money. Much love - ND
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024
Overview:
Let’s focus on Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been pumping steadily, but it now appears to be losing momentum. The market structure has created an imbalance, suggesting a potential decline in the coming weeks.
Trade Idea:
Potential Buy Zone: The price could fall to the marked zone around $73,000.
Entry Timing: Avoid entering immediately when the price reaches this level. Instead, wait for a clear reaction—such as bullish confirmation or upward momentum—before considering a buying opportunity.
Key Considerations:
This setup is similar to the structure seen in the German Index (DE40), which showed comparable behavior before a significant drop. The resemblance in patterns could signal a similar outcome for Bitcoin.
Monitor price action closely in the coming weeks for signs of reversal once the price reaches the anticipated zone.
Risk Management:
Do Not Rush: This is not financial advice. Always wait for clear entry signals before making any decisions.
Stay Disciplined: Protecting your capital is more important than making profits. Use proper stop-loss levels to safeguard your trades.
Trading Requires Patience: A reactive approach is key. Trading is about responding to what the market shows you, not forcing predictions.
Final Note:
Making no money is always better than losing money. Watch Bitcoin closely in the coming weeks, and stay disciplined in your analysis. Let’s see how the market unfolds. See you in the next update!