BTC and Zoinky Blue 'Zoinky Blue' looks good on the BTC BLX chart. White trendlines are taken from the monthly. Until we see that Pi Cycle top, we keep pushing. On the weekly we have just created a move up from trend levels zero lag. Now we just wait on dominance to decrease and an alt season. Then once pi cycle top is in we can flip bias. Zoinky showed us the way many moons ago.
1-BTCUSD
ALERT: Bitcoin just hit >$70,000!🧵 With $100,000 in sight, you might wonder if we're truly ready for this next big move. Let’s dive into the cycles to find out 👇
1/ 🔍 Cycle Analysis can help pinpoint ideal entry points for Bitcoin—and eventually, altcoins. Here’s what we’re seeing right now (see the chart above):
2/ 📊 Today’s Reading (Oct 30): All three indicators (1-day, 3-day, 1-week) are above 80, meaning we’re officially in *overbought* territory. This usually signals a potential pullback. Translation? It’s a time to *sell*, not buy 🛑.
3/ 😱 So, why’s everyone so hyped on BTC right now?
It’s simple: after half a year of sideways action, people are ready to see a breakout. BTC has been stuck between $60k and $70k for seven months. Altcoins have taken a beating during this time too, making it tough to profit 🩸.
4/ 😅 After this long wait, everyone’s desperate for upward movement. Many folks bought at the last high back in March and are now shouting “BUY!” in the hopes others will push prices higher.
5/ The Bottom Line 📉
- We’re in overbought territory, which typically signals caution.
- The hype is real, but a retracement could offer better entry points soon.
Let’s see how this plays out! 👀
BTC Short Trade Opportunity and SetupBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P / BYBIT:BTCUSDT / CRYPTO:BTCUSD Bitcoin/BTCUSD has recently hit the resistance level of a pattern that has generally held true since mid March 24 (4 preceding resistance and support confirmations).
Furthermore, it has started a return downward move following on from a 3 day filter for confirmation of the resistance level (an example of how a 3/5 day filter is an important tool for crypto trading).
Additionally:
The RSI resistance level of 70 has been recently reached and the RSI is trending downwards - a usually statistically significant indicator
The downward return move is supported by reasonable (although not enough on it's own) volume
A 3 bar pattern (downward move, pause, further downward move for confirmation)
A rate of change approaching and trending negative
A MACD also approaching negative
It's always important to assess the risk that might prove the thesis wrong. And they are:
Today's candlestick pattern is close to a dragonfly, i.e. there might be a return upwards move imminent (although this is unlikely to constitute a beginning of a move beyond the previous high as an actual dragonfly candlestick is at the end of a downtrend)
The MACD is trending down but has not actually turned negative yet, i.e. it is a bit early to say this indicator is stating a downward trend
The ROC hasn't turned negative yet either (but is trending downwards for sure)
This all leads to the following conclusion: For those with a high enough risk appetite (and usually crypto traders are those with the highest :-)) this is a good entry point for a short trade.
Using the (admittedly early but still reasonable) trend for the past three days to determine the final take profit point of 45500 (blue arrow) by approx. 19 Nov 24, the following can be set as a guide for a trade:
Entry: Now or latest tomorrow in case today's candlestick is an indicator of a minor move upwards
SL: $70,500
TP1: $63,450 - based on the first potential moving average being a resistance (200 MA)
TP2: $60,500 - based on the previous move's consistent (and twice confirmed) low
TP3: $54,500 -based on a previous historic low (i.e. psychologically important price point) which also acts as a confirmation of support to a previous move
TP4: $45,500 - The approximate price point of an estimated downward trend
Exit date (independent of TP level): 19 Nov 24
NOTE: the 19 Nov date here is important. It is the forecasted date by which the current downward price trend would linearly reach the support level. This date would be used as a checkpoint to exit the entire trade to safeguard against the normal, usually dramatic and beyond rational calculation price gyrations of crypto.
Happy Bitcoin White Paper Day! Happy Bitcoin White Paper Day! 📜✨
Today marks an essential day in digital assets and decentralized finance. On October 31, 2008, Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin to the world through a revolutionary nine-page white paper, "Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System." This blueprint set the foundation for the first decentralized digital currency, fundamentally reshaping our view of money and unlocking new pathways to financial freedom.
As we celebrate this milestone, it’s inspiring to reflect on Bitcoin’s evolution from a bold idea to a powerful global asset that has transformed finance and decentralized ownership. Whether you’re a dedicated HODLer or actively trading, today serves as a reminder of what makes this space truly unique. Let’s honor Satoshi’s vision of decentralization and financial empowerment as we look ahead to Bitcoin’s promising future. Cheers to Bitcoin’s past, present, and all that’s yet to come!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Shift Market Trends - BUCKLE UPThis update is to show you why I believe the markets have already started moving into the low-liquidity phase I have been suggesting for more than 3+ weeks. This low-liquidity phase will happen as we move closer to the US elections.
Simply put, traders are very anxious regarding the outcome of the election and the chaos that may happen after the election. Because of this, I believe many traders have already pulled capital away from the markets and are sitting on CASH.
This lack of market liquidity could present a very real risk of a FLASH-crash type of event.
So, BUCKLE UP.
Metals shifted downward (silver is leading almost all other markets with very clear patterns/setups).
BTCUSD appears to have peaked and is rolling downward.
The SPY is about to APEX into a new FLAG APEX - thus we should expect extreme volatility over the next 3+ hours of trading. Possibly leading to a strong downtrend near the end of trading today.
And, I believe all of this points to the lack of liquidity event taking shape. Moving the markets into a type of low liquidity PANIC mode (downward).
Play safe and Buckle Up!
Get some.
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Bitcoin Resumes Its Bullish TrendBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD remains in a higher degree bullish trend as expected. After we recently spotted wave IV correction on a daily chart, we can now see it resuming higher for wave V with space up to 100k area that can be achieved by a new lower degree five-wave bullish cycle.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern shows that Bitcoin can be trading in wave 3 of V, so more upside is expected. Later we will just have to be aware of subwave 4 pullback before a continuation higher for wave 5 of V.
BTC buy dips TP 70 000 USD Octoberfest🔸Hello traders, today let's review 3 hour price chart for BTCUSD . Bitcoin trading sideways over last 7 months with extremely low volatility. Having said that, low vol always precedes high vol periods, therefore it makes sense to prepare for the new BTC move in advance.
🔸BTC stop loss clusters located at 71 000 usd / 73 000 usd / 76 000 usd.
Expecting bulls to trigger stop sweeps near overhead SL clusters.
Therefore expecting more gains in this market in October.
October is also a decent months for BTC bulls based on recent data.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for pullback to complete near 59 000 / 60 000 usd and confirm reversal signal with RSI/price div on 3 hour chart and/or use any other systems/indicators to confirm reversal. BUY low close to 60 000 usd, stops fixed at 57 500 USD, TP1 bulls is 65 000 USD TP2 bulls is 70 000 USD, 15% upside in this trade setup without leverage. break below 57 500 usd invalidates bullish outlook. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BTC Price holding above 50 sma on the hourlyBitcoin price has currently broke above resistance in a recent bullish impulse. The 71,300 has been flipped from resistance to support. This support test also coincided with a 50 sma test and the 1.382 fib extension. All three held strong. Price action is possibly going to test the support again at time of publishing. this is a good area for a long trade. Buy inside the rectangle and hold rips.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Bitcoin: MA made a cross?After a week with a strong push to the upside, BTC was traded in a sort of more relaxed mode during the previous week. A recently reached higher level at $69,2K was tested at the beginning of the week, and without a strength for higher grounds, BTC reverted to the downside. The lowest weekly level reached was $65,5K at one occasion. The majority of time, BTC spent around the $ 67K level.
The RSI is still holding above the 50 level, closing the week at the level of 57. This is indication that the market is still not ready to start its clear path toward the oversold market side. The most interesting development in the technical analysis is currently occurring with MA 50 and MA200 lines. The lines closed the week at the same level, which strongly points to potential for a clear cross in the coming period. The cross is an indicator of a potential for a trend change, which, in this case, would be positive for BTC.
The week ahead is bringing some important macro data for the US. The PCE and NFP are set for a release. Considering current market high sensitivity to inflation data, there is probability for a higher volatility during the week. As per current charts, BTC might spend some time testing the current $ 67K level. There is also a smaller probability that the price might shortly revert to the $ 65K support line. However, it should not be a surprise if the price moves again toward the $69K level to test the higher grounds.
WIF daily 100% gains buy/hold V-shape recovery setup for bulls🔸Hello guys, today let's review daily price chart for WIF . Noteworthy V-shape recovery in progress, with a decent sequence of higher lows, so overall chart looks good for further gains. limited downside currently.
🔸Strong gains previously in September/Octber, right now re-accumulation
in progress so expecting more gains in this market in November 2024.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: bullish structure and compression in progress. Accumulate near market price in the highlighted zone. Price target for the bulls is 4.50 USD, so it's a 100% BUY/HOLD trade setup. good luck traders.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BTC - NEW ATH Approaches and ALTSEASONThe first time I started talking about my outlook for BTC in 2024, was in MAY. This is the original post where I first propose the Elliot Wave theory, with a 30% multi-month correction:
It's been a painful journey that required a lot of patience - but today, I am pleased to see that the idea has payed out by 95% so far.
The play has always been a "multi-month" approach, and now it is the last push towards the new ATH which I believe to be anywhere from 82K upwards.
_________________________
OKX:BTCUSDT
Where from here can go BTCUSD BTC Long BTC Short How far can #BTCUSDT go?
Is the top close, before we see a bigger pull back?
Will We See Bitcoin Over $100k?
I think that at this moment, although we have great euphoria that we will very soon see a break above the magical $100k, at least according to some other indicators, we may see an all time high (ATH), but I think that after that we will see that bigger pull back.
We have that before (I pointed 2 years ago) and even I give where can be bottom.
If that happens, some will call it "fakeout" or "deviation", but I think it could just be an EXPANDING FLAT that often appears as a correction, very often as the fourth wave in the Elliott wave fraction.
B wave, from ABC correction, as a rule, ends beyond the beginning of A wave (in this case it is ATH), 105% - 138% of wave A, while the target for C (the final leg of ABC) is 123.6% - 161.8% of wave AB.
Several indicators, if we see a new ATH soon, will create divergences (RSI, AO, etc.), which can usually be an indication of an exhausting movement.
Also for this idea I see a couple of harmonic patterns that make confluences for these targets. As I said, the price has not yet reached those areas, but this is something I will keep in mind if we see the new ATH soon.
It is also interesting to see on the 1D time frame some harmonic patterns that were very important in certain moments.
I hope for everyone who wants to see Bitcoin over $100k soon, that this idea will not be correct.
In any case, time will tell if I am right and I will try to update as soon as I see some important changes.
🏃♀️🏃🏽♀️ Crypto market. “Sell in May and Go away”The historical pattern known as the seasonal divergence "Sell in May, and Go away" was popularized by the Stock Trader's Almanac, which stated that investing in stocks represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average November through April and switching to fixed income for the remaining six months "would have delivered reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950."
What is “Sell in May and Go away”?
“Sell in May and Go away” is a well-known adage in finance. It is based on the stock's historical underperformance over a six-month period from May to October.
According to Fidelity Investments, the divergence has remained most pronounced in recent years, with the S&P 500 Index (SPX) gaining an average of about 2% from May to October between 1990 and the next 30 years, compared with an average of about 7% since November to April.
The Halloween Indicator's research paper, 'Sell in May and Go Away': Everywhere and All the Time*, which examined stock markets outside the US, found the same pattern, calling the seasonal divergence trend "remarkably persistent."
Key Findings
👉 “Sell in May and Go away” is a saying that refers to the historically weaker performance of financial markets from May to October compared to the other half of the year.
👉 Investors can try to benefit from this pattern by switching to less risky assets from May to October based on historical data.
Seasonality in investment flows could continue as a result of financial industry and business year-end bonuses, possibly aided by the mid-April U.S. income tax filing deadline.
Whatever the fundamental considerations, the historical picture became more pronounced as a result of the October stock market crashes of 1987 and 2008.
Bottom Line
The only drawback of historical patterns is that they do not reliably predict the future. This is especially true for well-known historical patterns. If enough people became convinced that the “Sell in May and Go Away” pattern would continue, it would essentially begin to disappear immediately. All the early sellers would try to sell in April and bid against each other to buy back the assets before the others in October.
At the same time, certain considerations regarding the development of geopolitical events in the period from May to October 2024 give reason to think about the prospects of such a scenario for the next 6 months.
* The Halloween Indicator, 'Sell in May and Go Away': Everywhere and All the Time
Ben Jacobsen
Tilburg University - TIAS School for Business and Society; Massey University
Cherry Yi Zhang
Nottingham University Business School China; Massey University - School of Economics and Finance
BITCOIN: A Possible Rejection!!!BTC didn't hit the ATH but did rally as high as $73,620, aligning with our weekly analysis. The BRR pattern played out well.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC needs to break above the all-time high resistance to sustain its bullish momentum. A weekly close below this resistance could result in a possible rejection.
Looking at the daily timeframe, BTC is likely to face a rejection around the $68.8k to $69k range.
In my next update, I'll cover altcoins, so stay tuned and trade safely.
Setup for SHORT entry:
~ Entry: $72,800 to CMP.
~ Stoploss: $74,500.
~ Leverage: 10x.
~ Target: $68.8k.
Do your own research and analysis before investing.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-30 : GapUp-Higher PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to GAP higher at the open, then continue to trend upward throughout the day.
I go into great detail in this video trying to highlight the setups and constructs of price for my followers.
We are moving into a very volatile period for the markets with what I believe will be a low liquidity event taking place throughout the election. My thoughts are that liquidity will dry up later this week and early next week before the election day (we also have a Holiday on Monday).
So, if my analysis is correct, we are going to be looking for the US and global markets to clearly illustrate extreme anticipation/fear related to who the US will elect.
That should translate into extreme potential market volatility.
I urge traders to watch this video (and some of my more recent videos). Now is the time to prepare for this extreme market volatility and to learn to PULL AWAY from risks.
There is no reason to be trading like normal throughout this event. By late today or late tomorrow, you should really ask yourself "how much are you willing to risk throughout the election event and long weekend".
Get some.
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BTC's Next Moves: Key Levels to Watch!hello guys!
Technical Analysis:
Primary Uptrend: After a sharp breakout from the triangle pattern, Bitcoin is moving towards the target zone around $73,500–$74,000.
Two Possible Scenarios (Based on Arrows):
Scenario 1 (Immediate Rally): BTC could maintain its upward momentum, bypassing the lower support and heading directly towards the upper target zone around $73,500–$74,000.
Scenario 2 (Pullback and Retest): BTC may temporarily retrace towards the highlighted support area (~$71,500) before resuming the uptrend towards the target zone. This pullback would provide additional support confirmation before a potential rally.
In summary, BTC’s next steps could either see a continued surge or a brief retest of support before reaching its triangle target. Keep an eye on these levels for optimal trading setups! 🚀
BTCUSDT long using proprietary multi-timeframe trend detectionBTC has maintained the H1 short term trend (13D EMA) throughout the tail end of the New York session, the entire Tokyo session and now the London session. For the coming hours it will be quite interesting to gauge wether we see a reclaim of 73000. This is a crucial psychological and once support is found there if reclaimed today, we'll likely find the spring to catapult us to a new all time high.
Entry: 72528
SL: 71666
TP: 77777
Short term I'd like to see the H4 close back above 73.4k for relative confidence that this leg is well underway. Will look to move the SL into BE when that happens.
BITCOIN Gaussian Channel telling you the rally has already begunBitcoin (BTCUSD) is illustrated here on the 1W time-frame from the 2011 Cycle until today. We've used the Gaussian Channel (GC) after a long time and the reason is simple. Since the August 05 2024 Low, it has been supporting the uptrend up to today's test of the All Time High (ATH).
** Gaussian October support every 4 years **
This continuous support is a critical feature moving forward as every time the GC held at this stage of the previous Cycles (October 2020, 2016 and 2012), BTC started its final (and most aggressive) Parabolic Rally of the Cycle.
** Resistance turned Support **
What's equally interesting is that during those stages, the price also re-tested and held the former Resistance (of the previous Higher High), turned it into a Support (while the GC held) and bounced to the Parabolic Rally. This is a remarkably consistent feature taking place every 4 years!
** The green GC length matters **
Now as to the GC in more detail. What we want you to keep from it, is that the green part of the GC has lasted in the previous Cycles 123, 144 and 148 weeks respectively, which translates to 861, 1008 and 1036 days, until it turned red. As a result, we can expect the current green phase to last until December 08 2025 (minimum) and June 01 2026 (maximum). It is more reasonable to expect the longer case as the recent Cycles tend to have stabilized most of their common time patterns.
The Bear Cycle tends to start when a 1W candle is closed below the GC. Until then, based on the parallel Channel Up patterns that encompass 3 Cycles each time, we can even expect a price as high as $200000 for this Cycle Top.
Do you think that's realistic? And if so, do you also expect the GC wave to support a parabolic rally all the way to the top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PEPEUSDT consolidation before potential JumpPEPEUSDT has recently established a fake breakout at the previous support level, forming a double bottom pattern. Since the beginning of the month, the pair has been consolidating following an impulse move, which suggests potential accumulation. On the daily timeframe, an inverse head and shoulders pattern is visible, signaling a possible reversal. If the price retests the support level and holds, it may gain the momentum needed to break through the downward channel. The target for this potential bullish move is the resistance zone around 0.0000108
October 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
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If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 11 o'clock shortly.
Since the price of Gimp has risen a lot, the goal of breaking through 100 million has already been achieved,
but isn't the margin exchange important?
If Bitcoin goes up a little more, it will skyrocket,
but I had a lot of trouble today because of the entry point.
Well, if Nasdaq doesn't crash today,
Bit has slightly surpassed its all-time high,
so it's a double top, right? (Bearing condition)
First of all, today is not a sweeping condition, and the possibility of a crash is not high,
so we operated very aggressively.
If perfect doesn't come out today,
I will take a day off tomorrow to reflect.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. 70990.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when purple support line breaks
2. Top section 1st target -> Good 2nd target -> Great 3rd target
If you just touch the 1st section at the top, 71694 dollars,
it is an overshooting position, a position where an upward trend is connected,
and if it reaches the Top section, it can be connected to Good right away,
but I tried to be perfect.
If the strategy succeeds and the Top or Good section target price is reached,
it would be good to use the last red finger 1st section as an additional long position entry section.
It is a strong upward condition until the purple parallel line support line is maintained.
Then, the long position entry point is section 2,
and the range is around 700 dollars, so I set the cut-off price short. If the rebound doesn't come out strongly in the 2nd section today,
Since the 3rd section below is roughly the 1+4 section,
I think it would be good to remember this place.
Today, I will leave it short and thick like a man and go in.
Up to this point,
Please use my analysis as a reference and only to the extent of use,
I hope you operate safely with the principle trading + stop loss price.
Thank you.
BITCOIN Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is retesting a
Horizontal resistance level
Around 74k USD which also
Happens to be an all-time-high
So despite our bullish bias
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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