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1-BTCUSD

BITCOIN vs GOLD History will be repeated.Bitcoin has often been described as the digital Gold. And with good reason as it posseses the scarcity attribute of Gold like no other asset. More often than not, we've seen Bitcoin replicate Gold's trading pattern and why not, as market psychology under certain set of conditions tend to be similar. What better patterns to repeat than the long term ones. And on these charts you seen those. Bitcoin's current Cycle is a Cup and Handle pattern, similar to Gold's formation after its former September 2011 ATH following the amazing rally after the launch of its ETF in the early 2000s. Once Gold crossed above its MA50, it never broke back below it, in fact is provided support for its Handle twice. Bitcoin is on a similar situation right now having held its MA50 last week, the 2nd time it supports it since the Handle did in August 2024. Based on this Gold fractal, this is the best time to buy BTC again for its final rally of the year. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
3
BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
Bitcoin at a Turning Point: Rally or Reversal?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a upward channel, consistently making higher lows, a strong indication of bullish market structure. This suggests that buyers are still in control, and as long as BTC respects this pattern, the bias remains bullish, favoring a continuation to the upside. At the moment, BTC is experiencing a pullback from recent highs and is now approaching a critical support zone. This level aligns with several important technical factors, making it a potential turning point in the current trend. Key Factors Supporting a Potential Bounce: Upward Channel Structure BTC has remained inside a clearly defined ascending channel, where price action has respected both the lower and upper trendlines multiple times. As long as BTC stays within this structure and continues to form higher lows, the trend remains bullish. Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retracement (0.618 - 0.65 Level) The golden pocket is one of the most significant Fibonacci retracement levels, often acting as strong dynamic support. Historically, this zone has been a high-probability area for reversals in trending markets. With BTC now approaching this area, there is a strong possibility that buyers could step in, leading to a bounce back toward higher levels. Confluence of Key Support Levels The Fibonacci golden pocket aligns closely with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, reinforcing this zone as an area of potential support. There are also previous horizontal support levels in this region, adding further confluence to the idea that BTC could hold this level and bounce. Potential for Bullish Continuation If BTC finds support at the golden pocket and reacts positively, we could see another leg to the upside within the channel. In this scenario: Price could bounce off the lower trendline and move toward the midline of the channel. If momentum continues, BTC could ultimately target the upper boundary of the channel, potentially leading to new highs. Bearish Breakdown Scenario – When to Be Cautious While the bullish structure is still intact, it is essential to consider the potential risks if BTC fails to hold the support zone. If BTC breaks below the lower boundary of the channel and closes a bearish candle below support, this could be an early signal of a trend reversal. A breakdown of this structure would indicate that bullish momentum is weakening, and further downside could follow. In this scenario: BTC could start making lower lows, shifting the trend from bullish to bearish. The next logical downside targets would be deeper Fibonacci retracement levels or previous swing lows, where buyers may attempt to step in again. A confirmed breakdown would invalidate the current bullish thesis and could lead to increased selling pressure. How to Approach This Trade Idea Bullish Case: If BTC finds support at the golden pocket and forms a strong bullish reaction (such as a clear rejection wick, bullish engulfing candle, or higher low), this would signal a potential bounce. This could present a good long opportunity, targeting the midline or upper boundary of the channel. Bearish Case: If BTC closes a strong bearish candle below the channel, it would indicate a potential trend shift. In this case, traders should exercise caution, as further downside could be expected. Final Thoughts This is a critical area for BTC, as it decides whether the bullish trend continues or a reversal is imminent. The market’s reaction at the golden pocket level will be key. Traders should wait for confirmation before making any moves watching for strong rejection signals for a bullish bounce or a clear breakdown below the channel for a bearish shift. For now, BTC is still respecting its bullish structure, but this key level will determine whether that trend holds or breaks.
by TehThomas
31
BTCUSD Bearish rising wedge forming capped by 88,000 Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415. Conclusion: The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Global Tensions, Market Manipulation, and BTC Uncertainty The cryptocurrency market, a realm notorious for its volatility, is currently grappling with a confluence of factors that are forcing investors to reassess their strategies. Global trade tensions, macroeconomic uncertainties, and the intricate dance of market manipulation are all contributing to a complex and unpredictable landscape. Specifically, Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, is experiencing a period of intense scrutiny, with analysts offering a range of perspectives on its potential future. A recurring theme in recent analyses is the notion of "whale manipulation." Reports suggest that large holders, or "whales," are engaging in strategic trades on exchanges like Binance to influence Bitcoin's price. This "liquidity massaging" is seen as a deliberate attempt to create artificial price ceilings, with some analysts predicting that Bitcoin's upward momentum could be capped below $90,000, and more conservatively, $87.5K. Such manipulations introduce uncertainty, making it difficult to discern genuine market sentiment from artificially inflated or deflated prices. Adding to the complexity is the debate surrounding retail investor participation. Contrary to the prevailing narrative of retail investors being absent, some crypto executives argue that they are already actively involved. This perspective challenges the notion that a surge in retail interest is needed to propel Bitcoin to new heights. If retail participation is already significant, the anticipated catalyst for a bull run may have already materialized, leaving investors to wonder what new catalyst is needed for further price appreciation. Data from Bitcoin's Realized Cap and UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) analysis is also signaling a "major shift." These metrics, which offer insights into the actual value stored within the Bitcoin network and the movement of coins, are crucial for understanding the underlying health of the market. Changes in these indicators can foreshadow significant price movements and shifts in investor behavior. Traders are closely monitoring these metrics for clues about Bitcoin's future direction. However, despite recent attempts to pare losses, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain a consistent uptrend. This instability has led some traders to adopt a bearish stance, with predictions of a potential drop to as low as $65,000. These bearish sentiments are fueled by the inability of Bitcoin to decisively break through resistance levels and the persistent volatility that characterizes the current market. Conversely, some analysts are finding bullish signals by examining indicators that also correlate with the Nasdaq. The correlation between traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space has become increasingly evident, and analyzing these relationships can provide valuable insights. If the Nasdaq shows signs of strength, it could potentially buoy Bitcoin's price. However, this correlation is not always consistent, and the inherent volatility of both markets can lead to unpredictable outcomes. The performance of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is another critical factor influencing market dynamics. The collapse of the "cash-and-carry" trade, a popular arbitrage strategy, has had significant implications for investors. The stagnation of inflows into these ETFs, compared to the initial surge earlier in 2024, has raised concerns about the sustainability of institutional interest. While there have been recent reports of net inflows returning, questions remain if this is a temporary blip, or a sustained uptrend. This fluctuation in ETF inflow signals a wavering confidence from institutional players. The combination of these factors creates a challenging environment for investors. Global trade tensions, which can disrupt economic stability and investor sentiment, add another layer of uncertainty. Fluctuations in traditional markets, geopolitical events, and regulatory developments can all have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market. In this tumultuous landscape, investors are advised to exercise caution and adopt a diversified approach. Relying solely on technical analysis or market sentiment can be risky. Instead, a comprehensive strategy that incorporates fundamental analysis, risk management, and a deep understanding of market dynamics is essential. The current situation highlights the inherent volatility and complexity of the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin remains a dominant force, its future trajectory is far from certain. The interplay of whale manipulation, retail participation, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors creates a dynamic and unpredictable environment. Investors must remain vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and prioritize risk management to navigate this challenging terrain successfully.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin update 21.03.2025 (6 more months of bull market)Bitcoin Update : 6 Months Left Until the Bear Market You asked for a Bitcoin update — here it is. I don’t post updates too often because I’m currently focused on developing my academy. But let’s get straight to the point. Where Are We Now? There are only 6 months left until the end of the current bull cycle . My vision remains unchanged: we’ve gone through a correction and are now forming the bottom of this move. This is a classic consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next big push. I’m still bullish, but it’s important to remember that we’re in the distribution zone . This means upward movement will be accompanied by volatility and local pullbacks. What to Expect in the Coming Months? The next 2 months are likely to be monumental. We’ll see new highs, but in 2 months, most people will have already forgotten about this forecast (as usual). People tend to ignore long-term trends until they become glaringly obvious. However, publishing exact targets on the chart right now isn’t the smartest move. We might not even reach them, as emotions and news drive the market. Key Moment: May 2025 In May, there will be a major announcement in the US regarding cryptocurrencies . This will be a turning point. The market is currently moving based on the current sentiment, but after May, things will change. When politicians start talking about crypto, it’s our signal to exit. My Take Don’t underestimate the importance of timing. When everyone starts talking about Bitcoin, it’s already time to get out. Until then, we’ll see growth, but keep this in mind: the next 6 months are for closing positions, not opening new ones. Be prepared for a significant correction after September — more than 50% from the peak . This is a natural process that repeats itself over and over again. Conclusion The market moves in cycles. They work like clockwork: 151–152 weeks of growth (bull cycle). 51–53 weeks of correction (bear cycle). We’re nearing the end of the bull cycle. Act consciously, stay disciplined, and remember that success comes to the patient. Best regards, EXCAVO _____________________ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
47
BTC: Accumulate energy for the rise and soar into the sky!📍BTC's volatility has narrowed, with selling pressure showing signs of weakening. Throughout the choppy price action, the 84000-83500 zone has established itself as a critical support area in the short-term structure. This level now serves as a key defensive line. 📍Following this consolidation phase, BTC may stage a rebound from this support region. If the price manages to break through the resistance around 84800 with strength, further upside momentum could drive it towards the 90000 level. 🔎Trade Idea: BTCUSD:Buy at 83500-83000 TP:84500-85000 SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance. 📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Long
by Trader_Marvin
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-21-25 : BreakAway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern may show up in the form of an Island Top or break-away to the upside if my analysis is correct. I see the markets stalling over the past few days, potentially setting up a "last breakaway" type of pattern today. I've highlighted how these "last" patterns work where price sets up a peak or trough (in this case a peak) as a last/exhaustion move and how this move can sometimes be very aggressive. I urge traders to stay cautious today as we are moving into a MAJOR REVERSAL weekend. I believe the markets will suddenly change direction next week (early) and will move back into downward trending by March 25-26. Gold and Silver may rally today if the markets move into that Exhaustion Peak pattern. Keep an eye out for Gold/Silver/Bitcoin to potentially rally today and into early next week. Overall, traders should stay very cautious as we move into next week's peak/top/rollover. Don't get too aggressive trying to prepare for the rollover or any potential upside move over the next 3-5+ days. Let the markets show us what and when we need to be aggressive. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
Bitcoin in coming days ...frankly, Bitcoin will reach $89000 in the coming days. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
1
Bitcoin, interest rate effects, Macro events since 2021 - UPDATEThere is one very simple takeaway for me from this chart and that is simply that raises and Lowering of interest rates had Very little Effect on Bitcoin It is more the effect it had on other organisations and the sentiment that followed Bitcoin and the traders. For instance, From Jan 2023, when we saw Bitcoin begin its recovery, interest rates continued to rise.....and had NO effect on the Bitcoin recovery And I think this continues to this day. After the First push higher by Bitcoin in 2023, PA went into a Long range...in this time, interest rates began remaining at a static level. Bitcoin did not rise because of this. When BTC was ready, it made a push higher again, interest rates were static and remained so while BTC entered another long range in 2024 It could be said that BTC PA rose once Rates were reduced but PA leveled out again even while the next rates decision was to reduce. Bitcoin has its own agenda, it is NOT dependant on the USA to control its choices On Each range, the MACD on the weekly timef rames was OVERBOUGHT. And it is currently resetting having been overbought again. This s NOTHING to do with interest rates. MACRO events do have an impact though and we need to pay attention this this But over all, Bitcoin is GOOD, BULLISH and getting ready for its next push Have a Nice day now
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN Will this historic level break too?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is its main Bull Cycle Support, despite the recent volatility. As mentioned numerous times, in periods of uncertainty it helps you maintain an objective long-term perspective if you zoom out and look on the wider time-frames. On this 1W chart, we can see that so far all of BTC's Cycle's have followed the same pattern. The Bear Cycle bottoms and the first bounce of the Bull Cycle aims at breaking above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (blue Arc). It is what we call the 'Growth Channel' that guides the market from its Cycle bottom to break above the ATH Lower Highs and when it does the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle) starts. The most aggressive part is when the price breaks also above its Growth Channel. This is the only Resistance level that has yet to be broke on this Cycle. If it does, the market will explode to Targets above $200k that will start putting it to capitalization levels that would require earth shattering catalysts in terms of adoption. A continuation of expansion within the boarders of the Growth Channel however can easily target $150k. Notice that throughout the whole process of the Growth Channel expansion on all Cycles historically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to hold and support. So what do you think will happen this time? Will Bitcoin break above the Growth Channel and offer us another proper Parabolic Rally or will it be a more standard rise within it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
22
(BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern - Critical Breakout Setup🔍 Market Overview & Technical Breakdown Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, which is a bearish signal indicating a potential reversal. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, but the narrowing wedge suggests that buying momentum is weakening. BTC has been battling a major resistance zone around $85,000 - $87,500, struggling to break higher. If Bitcoin fails to hold above the key support level at $80,000, we could see a strong downside move. However, if BTC breaks the upper resistance, the bearish setup may be invalidated, opening the door for a push toward $95,000+. 📉 Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Formation) A rising wedge occurs when the price moves upward within two converging trendlines, making higher highs and higher lows but with a weakening bullish momentum. This pattern often breaks downward, leading to a sharp sell-off. Characteristics of This Wedge Formation: ✅ Upward Sloping Support & Resistance Lines: BTC is trending higher, but the slope is narrowing, showing a loss of bullish strength. ✅ Decreasing Volume: Volume is declining as price moves higher, indicating buyers are losing control. ✅ Bearish Breakout Probability: Rising wedges typically break down 75% of the time, suggesting a high likelihood of a drop below support. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones (Potential Breakout Levels) 1️⃣ $85,000 - $87,500 → Strong resistance; BTC has repeatedly failed to break above. 2️⃣ $90,000+ → A confirmed breakout would invalidate the wedge and shift the trend bullish. 3️⃣ $107,000 Target → If BTC breaks above resistance, we could see a move toward the psychological $100,000 - $107,000 level. 🔻 Support Levels (Bearish Breakdown Zones) 1️⃣ $80,000 - $82,000 → Key support within the wedge; a breakdown confirms the bearish move. 2️⃣ $75,000 → Strong historical demand zone; BTC could bounce here if it drops. 3️⃣ $70,000 and Below → Ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates. 📈 Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Rising Wedge Breakdown) 🔴 Entry: Below $80,000 (confirmed breakdown). 📉 Stop-Loss: Above $83,500 (to avoid fakeouts). 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $78,000 TP2: $75,000 TP3: $70,000 🔹 Confirmation: Look for increased selling volume and a retest of $80,000 as resistance after breakdown. 🚀 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance) ✅ Entry: Above $87,500, confirming bullish momentum. 📉 Stop-Loss: Below $85,000 (to minimize risk). 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $90,000 TP2: $95,000 TP3: $107,000 🔹 Confirmation: BTC must break the wedge’s upper boundary with strong volume for bullish continuation. 📊 Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment 🔵 RSI (Relative Strength Index) Currently near 60 – Showing bullish momentum but not yet overbought. A move above 70 could signal an overbought market and potential reversal. 🔴 Volume Profile Volume is decreasing as BTC rises, suggesting a possible exhaustion of buying power. A breakout should be accompanied by strong volume to confirm bullish strength. 🟢 Moving Averages (EMA & SMA) BTC is trading above key EMAs (50 & 200), supporting the bullish case. A breakdown below the 50 EMA could accelerate selling pressure. 📢 Final Thoughts: High-Risk, High-Reward Setup 🚨 BTC is at a critical decision point! The rising wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal, but confirmation is needed. If BTC breaks below $80K, expect a strong sell-off. However, if bulls manage to break above resistance, BTC could rally toward $100K+. 🔹 Risk Management Tip: ✅ Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. ✅ Use stop-losses to protect your capital. ✅ Monitor volume & key levels for stronger trade signals. 🔥 What’s your take on this setup? Will BTC break down or push higher? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC Breaks Structure - Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea!Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside on the daily timeframe, confirming a bullish trend 📈. I’m considering a buy opportunity, but only if the key conditions discussed in the video align. Right now, BTC is in a strong uptrend, with a well-defined higher highs and higher lows structure on the 4-hour timeframe 🔍. In this video, we break down the trend, price action, market structure, and other essential aspects of technical analysis to navigate this setup effectively. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony