$BTC: Last 2 months pump before the bear market starts.On the chart, you can clearly see the similarities between the last cycle and the current one.
First, this cycle is already longer, so I don’t expect another top in 2026, as some are suggesting.
Based on my analysis, we are currently in the equivalent stage of the last cycle where two strong monthly candles appeared before the market dropped into a bear phase.
Why is this happening?
We are resetting the weekly MACD — it's at the bottom and needs to push into overbought territory before it can turn down alongside the monthly MACD.
As shown in the chart, the monthly MACD is close to turning bearish. If the weekly MACD also flips bearish, that could mark the end of the bull market.
Additionally, volume is dropping, and the RSI supports this scenario. It looks like we’re setting up for one last pump, just like last time — likely followed by a rejection in 2 months.
📊 Check the chart — I’ve laid it out as clearly as possible.
💬 If you agree or disagree, let’s discuss in the comments!
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #CryptoCycle #BullMarket #BearMarket #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR #Altcoins #MarketUpdate #CryptoCommunity #Cryptocurrency
1-BTCUSD
Could this be beginning of 5th wave up in Bitcoin?Being cautiously optimistic - I can see a potential leading diagonal formation followed by 3-3 legs which could be legs w-x of w-x-y or w-x-y-x-z .
Only time will tell if this is what I think it is o it evolves into another corrective rise followed by further downside.
Bitcoin Is Entering Into The New ImpulseHello, Skyrexians!
We hope you remember our previous BINANCE:BTCUSDT analysis where we told you that Bitcoin will not go significantly lower than $77k. Now price is already at $85k and people now can't understand what is happening. We can see a lot of charts where traders are calling for bear market and further deep dive.
On the daily time frame we can see the clear picture. At $110k the previous impulse has been finished. Bearish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator and two red dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator were the sign of large correction ABC. Now it has been finished with the confirmation with opposite signals. Moreover, wave C has been finished inside the Fibonacci target area. We are 90% sure now that Bitcoin is going to ATH now and this time it can happen with the altcoins growth.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Technical Analysis for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 17,21Apr)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
EURUSD GBPUSD potential break up
EurAud EurNzd could hold, favor EurAud to long
USDJPY triangle to break lower
EURCAD or NZDCAD to long/
EURGBP (h&s)
BTC range play
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Trade Review for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 16,14-18Apr2025)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
How was your trading this week?
Have you took any trades on these pairs i mentioned last week?
EURUSD
EURAUD
EURNZD
BTC
USDSGD
Come on in to review our week 16. :)
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern for BTC??!!!??!Bitcoin appears to be trading in an inverted h&s pattern.
Which coincides with a bullish breach of a Bullish Expanding Triangle highlighted in red to the upside!!
A double bottom is where the head of the inverted triangle can be formed, the space between the two bottoms forms the apex of the head of triangle.
First upside target of $90k USD
Second upside target is $260k USD
BTCUSDT hitting daily resistance but eying weekly resisatnce 98kBTCUSDT has bounced well from weekly support WS1 and currently heading towards daily resistance DR1 around 87k-88k zone. Once it breaks this, the next target would be weekly resistance WR1 which is the next resistance on its way. This resistance is sitting around 95k-98k zone. I think, the price is eying that zone and in coming days and week we will see the price trading there. However, this WR1 zone would definitely make the price push back on firts hit. But the price will definitely make another go there before either breaking of giving up for a while again. The resistance WR1 will be the only obstacle before the price can hit all time high and beyond again. Therefore, this weekly resistance will not give the way easy as this will be a strong supply zone. But I would not worry much once the price reaches there. This will evnetually signal that we are going beyond ATH and further higher. It would be just a bit of struggle there and some consolidation and some boring price action for a while, and then there will be clear sky.
Bitcoin Bottom- i saw many traders using vrvp or vpvr like and claiming BTC will go 10k.
- They just don't know how to use this tool and didn't understand how it works.
- if u don't know how to use a tool, simply don't use it. so less people's will rekt. this is an advanced trading tool.
- The Timeline of those tools are VERY IMPORTANT, they cannot be set up from 2015 or 2013.
What happened when BTC was Bearish :
- Actually when BTC dipped from 30,000$ ish, the columns started in the vrpv darker zone ( Less Demand )
- BTC reached 20,000$ and columns started to grow ( Demand Zone but Fear "Retailers" )
- Then dipped 17,500$ and the columns diminished size ( Good Demand " Smart Money" )
- This is at this point that you can detect a BOTTOM Zone. ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
Then what happened when BTC was Bullish :
- if you watch VRVP when BTC was growing you will notice the inverse.
- The Main demand was around 30,000$.
- BTC Reached 50,000$ and VRVP started to be darker ( More Demand impulse "FOMO" ).
- Then BTC reached 70,000$ ( No Demand ). ( Darker zones + Small Columns )
- i will post an exemple under this post to show a bad use of VRVP/VPVR. please don't use it that way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TheKing Cycles- Nothing can be perfect in Life or in Trading, but you can always brighten up your day.
- Remember "Cycles are Cycles"
- Everything is in graph
- You can follow bears, predicting 10 years of recession, but we are in a big recession and for a long time already.
- You can fall in the deep and predict the darkness.
- i like to see the sunshine in the morning and i will always radiate warmth.
- Follow Hope, and always believe in your own judgement.
- Be Bold and do the opposite of what commons peoples think.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Choose your Side- i often compare TheKing with Nasdaq right now.
- Have a main reason :
- NAS100 (Nasdaq) have mostly "Top Tech Companies" acting as Thermometers in this index.
- SPX (SP500) have Tech Companies + traditional ones. Nasdaq Companies are also included in SPX, but 500 Companies start to be a lot.
- DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a Mastodons, i don't use it much because this top 30 is too mixed ( coca cola, boeing, techs, big banks, nike.. etc).
- i mostly use very high TFs, i prefer look from far, less noise, more easy and less headaches.
- i use sometimes to trade with 1D, H12, H4 TFs but when we are bullish. In bearmarket, it's hard to find entries points in bearish mode.
- i don't short markets and accumulate more coins/tokens, so i just DCA, Dollar Cost Averaging is investing a fixed amount of money into a particular investment at regular intervals.
- so this chart is basically only about MACD :
- it's really interesting to see Nasdaq making another red columns in 3W TF, while the markets should recover slowly.
- if you take a look at BTC, columns stayed in Light Red Color and reducing size.
What could it means ?
- Keep in mind that BTC is not a STOCK.
- One of the most pivotal events on Bitcoin's blockchain is the halving, when the supply of new bitcoins is cut in half (2024).
- BTC have 21M Supplies and that's all. no more will be created.
- At any time BTC could stop to follow Nasdaq and do his way, TheKing used to do that before already.
- A small bounce in Nasdaq could be also a huge move for BTC.
- " Choose your side " and DCA the money you don't need for living.
Happy Tr4Ding !
The Black Swan Method- Making TA as a trader is like reading a magical ball but some major unpredictable events are out of control.
- i usually accurate most of the time but i should be a fool to think i am always right, it's impossible to make TA in that markets conditions.
- So this post is not to make some kind of predictions but to warn peoples on what's going on right now.
- i will try to explain very basically the situation (with my bad english skills, so forgive me if i make some mistakes) :
1/ the first attack was based on Luna and UST, some entities started to short UST/Luna with some billions $, FTX and SBF surely did it. Luna tried to save the situation with their BTC reserve but it was effortless. they lost all. (Luna have never been hacked, important to specify this )
2/ the fail of UST was the first step to create a snowball effect.
3/ 3AC, Celsius, Voyager, and much more were all involved in Luna/UST and Anchor Protocol witch was giving 18% returns on UST. They used customers funds in UST and staked, when the situation started to turn really bad for Luna, they tried to save the situation trading customers funds and they failed. (any of those companies have been hacked, important to specify this )
4/ FTX used customers funds and started to short their own products, FTT, SOL, SRM, etc , Binance saw the move and twitted that they will drop all their FTT.
FTX locked their customers wallets. FTX used 8B$ Customers funds to short markets. they are still right now trying to short USDT on Binance. (FTX have never been hacked, important to specify this).
5/ The snow ball started to be transformed in an avalanche. The damage here is huge. An exchange implosion of this magnitude is a gift to bitcoin haters all over the world.
6/ Sam bankman-fried was a Trojan horse in the crypto space, surely backed by banks and govs, a kind of worm witch have to be eradicated.
7/ Soon bankers will tell you, " u saw what happened with your exchanges ??!!, better use CDBC and stick with Banks!! ", this is their ultimate goal.
- i pray for everyone who got caught up in this mess and lost money with those bad actors.
- i hope you take care of yourself and continue to be a part of this journey.
- i hope it doesn't turn you off of crypto witch are here to stay in the future.
- BTC is resilient. No matter the magnitude of the earthquake.
- Buy BTC
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl and come back later.
Have faith in what you believe and fight. Thanks for reading!
PS : Not sure this post will get me banned or censored, but at this point the freedom of speech is an human right.
BTC Diamond Ser ?- While bears see bearish pennants, I see diamonds in the rough.
- I remain bullish, not due to the price, but for the sake of humanity.
- This isn’t an analysis, just a light-hearted joke, so please don’t roast me too hard! 🙏.
- Remember, diamonds are forever.
- Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTC | FAKE REVERSAL - Here's WhyI'm not convinced of the recent "bullish" price action. In fact, I say it's likely the calm before the next bearish move down.
In a downtrend, there are a few tale tell signs that the price has gone into full bear mode . In this video, I discuss two of them.
Make sure you catch up on ALTCOINS, and their ideal buying zones HERE 👀👇
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC POTENTIAL TRIPLE TOP PATTERNhi
From the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35
If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further.
good luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
The Road to The Mooni like to make some graphs like that when peoples are in Dispair mode.
- i used a modified ADX indicator with a Monthly Timeframe ( thanks to the creator by the way )
- Look at the Mountains and tell me when in past bullruns we stopped at 100 ? - Never -
- The Highest Point is 160+
That said my advice for now is : " You don't really care if TheKing will back to 20k, what you have to care is the Highest point TheKing will reach! "
- Don't Think it's the end of this bullrun
- Don't Listen Fuders
- Use indicators for the Long Term
- Believe in Trends and cycles movements
- Believe in the future of cryptos
- Believe in TheKing because Theking cannot die.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin are you Worried ?Everything is in chart.
- Like i said many times, more you look from far, more it's easy to predict the future.
- This Monthly Chart combinated with indicators show you how BTC moved in 2016-2017 BullRun so keep eyes open and you will find the way for 2020-2021.
- We cannot compare a Bullrun from 400$ to 20,000$ with a Bullrun From 4000$ to 3XX,XXX+$, the chart will be exponential. We are now playing with big numbers.
- imo right now we are in fake bear market stage, this stage happened also in 2016-2017 pre-bullrun ( but Numbers were smallers...), whales are just trying to create fear and remove retails investors.
- Actual stage could be a Consolidation Phase, if Whales see there's a lack of interest, they will push BTC up, or we could get a quick fast Trap to 20,000$ if Whales feel Retails not fear enough (Not sell their BTC).
- 100 000$ Target is still very preservative, past this stage it will be the FOMO Stage to go Higher!
TheKing is dead??? Long live TheKing!! :D
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN Smart Money SetupPrice reclaimed a key support zone with a bullish structure shift (CHoCH), followed by a strong rally into a premium resistance area. Volume confirms the push with increased participation. Multiple timeframes show bullish sentiment, and a potential continuation is in play unless rejection from the current resistance zone triggers a reversal. Watch for reaction and volume cues.
Global Market Overview. Part 4: BITCOINPreliminary Context — See Above
Bitcoin: Euphoria, Fear, and a Foundation That Withstood It All
If we were to describe the mood of the crypto market over the past few months in a single phrase, it wouldn't be just a roller coaster — it’s been a full-blown thrill ride, driven by geopolitics, news hype, and emotional burnout among participants. Public sentiment toward Bitcoin this year has swung across the entire spectrum — from wild excitement and $200K price forecasts after Trump’s projected victory, to total pessimism with claims like: “That’s it, Bitcoin’s going back to $20K — crypto is a scam.”
And, as is so often the case, both camps were wrong.
The market survived — not on hype, but on fundamentals.
I make no secret of the fact that I remain a Bitcoin optimist. Not because I want to believe — but because when you mute the media noise, one thing remains: the strongest macroeconomic foundation the crypto market has ever had.
Let’s be honest: it’s getting harder and harder to find a solid reason why Bitcoin should collapse back to $50K — let alone $20K. Strip away the emotion, and here’s what we’re left with:
What do we have, in fact?
1. Regulators are no longer suffocating the market — they’re participating.
The SEC has dropped major investigations into crypto projects, including Ethereum and leading DeFi platforms.
The U.S. Senate has approved legislation to create a national crypto reserve — for now, it’s based on confiscated assets, but it marks the first precedent of crypto being recognized as part of state strategy.
Meanwhile, the European Union has officially launched the MiCA regulatory framework, making crypto a fully legal asset class in the EU with clear compliance norms, a tax model, and open access to institutional clients.
2. Institutions are playing big.
Crypto ETFs have launched not only in the U.S., but also in Europe. This means one thing:
Pension funds, insurance companies, and hedge funds are entering the market.
The capital is not speculative — it’s strategic.
These are not "hot" retail dollars chasing tweets — they’re building portfolios for the long haul.
3. Exchanges are drying up. Whales are accumulating.
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at historic lows.
This tells us:
Long-term holders aren’t selling.
Large players are moving assets to cold wallets.
Retail hype hasn’t kicked in yet — which, frankly, makes it a perfect entry point.
When the crowd starts buying, it’ll be too late.
4. Even a trade war couldn’t break the market.
The tariff escalation between the U.S. and China has hit global trade hard, triggering corrections across traditional markets. Yet despite that:
Bitcoin held strong above $70K, rising from the $110 levels.
This zone has become ironclad support — a sign that the market has matured.
There’s panic in the headlines, but not in the charts.
Even Wall Street veterans are cautiously suggesting Bitcoin may be a necessary hedge against fiat devaluation.
5. China is silent — for now. But if that changes...
Any positive signal from Beijing — even a hint at easing restrictions or partial legalization of crypto ownership — would cause an immediate surge. Because:
Chinese capital is waiting.
The tech infrastructure is already in place.
And if the government gives the green light, the market will relaunch overnight.
What do I think?
The current Bitcoin price range is a prime entry zone for medium-term positions.
The 70K–85K range is a fundamental accumulation corridor, where:
Strong hands are already in.
Weak hands have been shaken out.
FOMO and retail hype haven’t even started.
By Fall 2025, even modest optimism in geopolitics or trade could push the market to new all-time highs — not on hype, but on dry institutional demand.
Final thoughts
I’m not a fan of conspiracy theories.
But this setup is too clean to be a coincidence.
The crypto market has survived it all: bans, lawsuits, regulatory crackdowns, exchange collapses, hacks, FTX, LUNA, and every form of digital black magic.
But it's still here.
More than that — it’s quietly becoming a legitimate part of the global financial system. Without noise. Without asking permission.
While everyone else is talking panic — the market is already in an accumulation phase.
And those who understand the cycles don’t look to the news for validation.
They look at the fundamentals — and act accordingly.