BITCOIN analysis in 2H TFGiven the bearish structure, lower highs (H) and lower lows (L), and the formation of a resistance line, we can expect the price to move downward toward the demand zone.
The price may react to the demand zone.
A 4-hour candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
invalidation level: 100284$
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Priced in Gold Macro Resistance Rejection CorrectionBTCGOLD monthly line chart, which uses monthly close data.
Obvious long term resistance line and clear major topping pattern on the most recent maximum showing connection with the last market cycle top (both of them.)
What does it mean? It means there's useful information in the BTCGOLD chart that isn't priced in. It also means the most recent correction is a rejection at major resistance, which could indicate further downside risk.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move.
My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23.
These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025.
Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events.
The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price.
I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025.
Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns.
I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength.
The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days.
Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns.
Get some.
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Is Bitcoin heading for an 8% drop from here?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚💡
Given the current volume levels and Bitcoin's failure to sustain above the daily trendline and key resistance levels, there is a significant risk of a decline, potentially up to 8% or more. While we may observe brief upward movements in the form of green candles, these would likely be temporary retracements within the larger bearish trend. Several strong support levels have been lost, reinforcing the expectation of further downside. My primary target for this move is $88,000 . 📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Bitcoin may drop by at least 8% due to failed support at key levels, with temporary upward moves likely before further decline, targeting $88,000. 📚✨
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Bitcoin Price Update: Market Consolidation ContinuesBitcoin Trading in a Defined Range
For the past 90 days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a high time-frame (HTF) range of $108,000 to $90,000. Despite ongoing speculation about whether this phase represents distribution or re-accumulation, a decisive breakout in either direction is imminent.
Current Price Action and Market Structure
At present, Bitcoin is trading around the Point of Control (POC) within this range, experiencing a tight daily fluctuation of 3-4% over the last few days. This low volatility phase suggests that a major move is on the horizon.
Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment
Bitcoin’s price is currently positioned below the 55-day Exponential Moving Average (55EMA)(Blue) and above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (100EMA)(Red). While EMAs in this consolidation phase do not provide clear directional cues, they indicate that the bullish market structure remains intact as long as Bitcoin holds the $90,000 support level.
Potential Breakout and Expected Price Movement
Historically, when Bitcoin gets squeezed between key moving averages, a significant breakout follows. Given the current setup, a $4,000 to $5,000 price swing can be expected, depending on which side breaks first.
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin hovers within this range, the market anticipates a high-volatility move. Whether Bitcoin will push toward a new all-time high or dip into deeper correction territory depends on upcoming macroeconomic trends and market sentiment. Stay tuned for real-time Bitcoin price analysis to navigate the next big move effectively.
February 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
Long waiting based on the rising pattern in Nasdaq
The best short entry section in Tether Dominance came out at the mid-term point.
There is a possibility of a gap reversal at the top and I may miss the entry point today, so
I operated aggressively.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. Pursue purchase at $96,252.5 / Stop loss when the purple support line breaks away or when the 2nd section is touched
2. Top section 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Short position switching when the Good section is reached
Movement within the 1st and 2nd sections at the top is a sideways market.
There may be a strong decline from the 2nd section breakaway,
so those who are operating long positions should be careful.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
This trading plan made me gain 1000 points of profit
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Late yesterday, I came up with a perfect trading plan based on Bitcoin trend analysis. This plan successfully allowed me to gain 1,000 pips of profit. I think some great traders saw my trading plan at the time, and now they must be as happy and excited as I am. Of course, this makes me feel very proud and satisfied that my selfless efforts have helped more traders.
Next, I will continue to share my accurate trading plan, so that I can help more traders and stop them from being confused by investment failures!!!
Mr. Baker
Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range.
The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K.
If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
BTCUSD - Endless BullrunPlotting a trend channel shift that allows BTC to continue a legendary run
This curve is something I have seen online and thought it hodls merit
Vertical lines are tops along the channel with some speculative bars patterns showing how price may continue up
This chart removes my doubt that BTC may crash as it allows continuation
Weekly timeframe
New ratio chart: $TOTAL2/$BTCToday we are looking at a new ratio chart where we plot the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (Crypto market cap without Bitcoin) vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC market cap. As we see from the chart the ratio chart as we see is making lower lows and lower highs. ALTCOINS are bleeding against the CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this Crypto market cycle. The long-awaited ALTCOIN rally is still missing in this crypto market cycle.
With TVC:US10Y holding onto the 4.5% level there is very little respite from the pressure on the ALTCOIN market. The recent meltdown of the meme coin market is also adding pain to the $CRYPTOCAP:TOATAL2 Market cap.
If we plot the Fib retracement level from the top to the bottom in the ratio chart, then we see that the chart is @ 0.236 level. The chart pattern is not bullish, and it is still below the 0.236 Fib level. The chart is bearish and maybe the Ratio CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / CRYPTOCAP:BTC touches 0.36. May be by then the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66% as predicted in my blog on 9th Feb 2025.
BITCOIN The road to 150k is wide open.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the very same Fibonaci level it did during the previous Cycle.
As you see, it was on the 0.786 Fibonacci that BTC traded sideways 4 years ago during January-February 2021.
With the 1week MA50 as the support, it made a November 2021 Cycle Top.
According to this, we can easily see $150k by the end of this year.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Bitcoin - This Cycle Is Pretty Clear!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It is actually quite a surprise that we did not see new all time highs on Bitcoin for the past two months. However we had the same thing happening back in 2017 before Bitcoin actually finished the cycle with a parabolic blow off top. So we all know what is very likely to happen next.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Drop to 93K Before Moving HigBitcoin is currently trading around $95,304, showing signs of consolidation after its recent bullish momentum. Based on the current market structure, there is a possibility that BTC may drop to $93,000 before making a move towards the highlighted supply zone.
📉 Potential Move to $93,000?
Looking at the price action, Bitcoin appears to be forming a retracement pattern. If the bearish pressure continues, we could see BTC testing the $93K support level, which may act as a liquidity grab before a reversal.
📌 Key Supply Zone to Watch
The highlighted zone between $105,624 - $111,075 is a crucial resistance area. If Bitcoin reaches this level, it could face strong selling pressure, making it an ideal area for short opportunities.
💡 Trading Plan:
If BTC drops to $93K, it could be a liquidity grab before a move higher.
Watch the $105K - $111K area for potential sell setups.
A rejection from this zone could lead to a new bearish wave.
🚀 What do you think? Will BTC hit $93K before heading toward this supply zone? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody,
Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US.
US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind.
Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell.
This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US).
I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead.
Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly.
Thank for watching.
GOLD Would you like SeekingPips Live Market XAUUSD analysis?🟢SeekingPips🟢 has just learned that I am able to make CHART ANALYSIS VIDEOS in LIVE market conditions on this platform.🌎
(Yes I am a bit of a DINOSAUR 🦕)
🟢Marking up charts and sharing is great but ANALYSING & marking up charts in live market conditions is a different beast.✅️
⚠️That is one way to filter the TRADERS from the MARKETERS.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 focus is always on the things that matter most I'm really not interested in the FANCY STUFF & NEITHER SHOULD YOU BE.
⭐️I ALWAYS preach TIME over PRICE showing it in real-time is like magic when you see it for yourself⭐️
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✅️I'm willing to show the practice what I preach in video format.✅️
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🟢SeekingPips🟢 is still working his way around some of the great tools for use on this platform, I am still being advised every week by some of my followers of some of the tools here on TradingView.
Would shared VIDEOS be appreciated here?❔️
11 very reliable rules for short-term trading
1. Avoid revenge trading
When a trade is closed, whether it is a profit or a loss, you need to stick to the rules unswervingly. After executing a stop loss, try not to look at it again within 24 hours. This can effectively avoid revenge trading. Opening orders with revenge emotions is likely to increase losses. Some people believe that you should stand up from where you fell, but it is more important to wait and see calmly before triggering new entry conditions. Since traders have to look at charts for several hours a day, it is difficult to resist the temptation to open another order to save the situation after the stop loss. When using leverage to make swings, it is especially necessary to avoid a revenge mentality
2. Try not to participate in trading on weekends
Every weekend, the volatility of cryptocurrency prices will increase, and the trading volume will be small. This makes it difficult to predict short-term price trends. The reason is simple. Weekend buy and sell orders are usually smaller, market liquidity is lower, and whales are more likely to manipulate short-term prices, which makes the disadvantages of retail traders more obvious. In addition, since the cryptocurrency market is open 24/7, the trading intensity is much higher than that of the stock market, and weekends are a good time to decompress and rest, after all, life is more important than trading.
3. Keep trading at specific times
As mentioned earlier, the cryptocurrency market is open 24/7, and it never stops. Even full-time traders cannot keep an eye on the market. In order to keep a clear mind, you can set a fixed trading time for yourself. After opening an order during the trading hours, set the stop profit and stop loss, and then you can do other things. This eliminates the urge to constantly check your phone or study the K-line, and trading will not affect your normal life.
4. Don't have feelings for an asset
If you fall in love with the asset you are trading, it is easy to make mistakes in your decision. Excellent traders use efficiency and rules to make money and give themselves an advantage, because most people's trading behavior in the market is dominated by emotions. "Being an emotionless trading machine" can ensure decisiveness and principle in trading. One of the important reasons why many traders suffer heavy losses is that they are easily emotionally attached to certain specific altcoins, teams or projects. This is acceptable for medium and long-term investors, but it is a potential disaster for short-term traders.
5. Keep simple trading rules
Traders often combine multiple indicators, news and candlestick patterns to try to find a suitable confluence point for trading. This is not a problem in itself, but be careful to avoid over-analysis, which complicates the problem. In fact, when the candlestick pattern that suits your own system appears on the chart, you can start trading. At the same time, it is particularly important to pay attention to stop loss setting and position control.
6. Only trade in the right state of mind
When you are angry, tired or stressed about something, don't trade, and your state of mind will affect your judgment. The key to maintaining a good state of mind is to have other daily activities outside of trading. For example, fitness, reading, and spending time with family and friends can all help cultivate the right trading philosophy.
7. Record a trading diary
Trading diary review is boring, but it is actually meaningful because it can help you avoid making the same mistakes. There are specific reasons behind profitable and losing orders. Recording trading details is a way to learn and grow quickly.
8. Don't try to catch a falling knife with bare hands
"Catching a falling knife with bare hands" refers to traders trying to buy the bottom of an asset that is plummeting. The motivation for bottom fishing is usually to lower the cost price and make up for the losses caused by the sharp decline. The idea of trying to accurately buy the bottom during the plunge is unwise. Waiting for a stabilization rebound and the resistance level to turn into a support level before entering the market is a more prudent approach.
9. Don't ignore extreme market conditions
While referring to technical analysis indicators, black swan events or other extreme market conditions cannot be ignored. Ultimately, the market is driven by supply and demand, and sometimes the market is extremely unbalanced.
Take the RSI relative strength index as an example. Generally, if this indicator is below 30, the asset can be considered oversold. Does this mean that it is safe to buy the bottom? Not really! It only shows that the market is under the control of sellers. Under special market conditions, the RSI may reach extreme values, and may even drop to single digits or close to zero. Even so, it does not necessarily mean that the price is about to reverse. Trading based entirely on technical indicators can lead to the loss of a lot of money. This is especially true in black swan events, because extreme price behavior can cause technical indicators to fail. The market can continue to move in one direction, and no analytical tool can stop this trend.
10. Don't forget that technical analysis is a game of probability
There is no absolute correctness in technical analysis, it is essentially just a game of probability. That is to say, no matter what technical method you use to formulate a strategy, there is no guarantee that the market will operate as expected. Technical analysis is just a prediction and cannot be operated as a deterministic event. No matter how rich your experience is and how dazzling your record is, you can't take it for granted that the market will follow your technical analysis. If you hold this kind of thinking, it is easy to over-bet on a certain preset, resulting in excessive risk exposure, and the market will teach you a lesson every minute.
11. Don't over-trade
The number of transactions is not positively correlated with profit. Even if the market provides multiple opportunities, try not to operate more than 3 transactions at the same time. The more types and numbers of positions, the more difficult it is to manage risks. If multiple transactions are stopped out, you may suffer significant losses. Jesse Livermore, the pioneer of day trading, said something very reasonable, "Money is earned by patient waiting, not by trading." We should try to avoid trading for trading. In fact, under certain market conditions, staying on the sidelines and waiting for opportunities to enter the market can help us avoid a lot of unnecessary risks.
What is least lacking in trading is opportunities, and the most precious thing is the principal. Every trader should formulate and improve a set of trading rules that suits him or her. After summarizing the lessons of failure and success, he or she can make more wise decisions and improve the winning rate of transactions.
Mr. Baker
Bitcoin: preparing for the breakThe inflation figures, Fed next moves, potential impact of US Administration on Fed's decisions, trade tariffs were all unknowns on the financial markets during the previous period, which impact that the BTC was sort of left a bit behind. From the beginning of February, BTC entered into sort of side trading, between levels of $ 98K to the upside and $95K to the downside. There were occasionally attempts for a higher or a lower ground, however, the market swiftly diminished such moves, turning the price of BTC back to the channel.
Similar situations continued also during the previous week. The BTC continued to move in a range between the levels of $98,75K and $94,5K, continuing the channel from the beginning of February. The RSI is almost flat for the last 15 days, moving around the level of 50. It shows that the market is still not ready to choose the trading side. The MA50 and MA200 are currently moving as two parallel lines, without an indication of a potential cross in the near period.
From the perspective of the technical analysis, a movement in a channel indicates that soon the financial asset will make a final break, either toward the upside, or toward the downside. The chances are equal for both sides. What is also strongly evident on BTC daily chart is a strong support at $92K. In this sense, a break of a channel to the down side would imply that BTC will find support again at this level. If a break occurs to the upside, then the next strong resistance line holds at $100K. Still, there is a question whether this break will occur in the week ahead or BTC will spend another week in this channel? The technical analysis can indicate levels, but not the exact timeframe in which these levels will be reached.
BTC/USD Moving In Range,Best Place To Buy And To Sell Very ClearThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.