THE FLEX SETUP (EURGBP)Good day traders, I'm back with another setup and it’s only an update that I believe can really provide insight into what to expect from price in the upcoming weeks.
Like I always say that I always want to see price take out a previous week high/low as I use that as a confirmation in term of the power of 3 that I use to try and avoid manipulation, but this doesn't mean I don't get on the wrong side of price moves. Looking at the HTF's overall structure we can see that we in a very bullish structure but... There's a bearish flow in price!! On the weekly TF price left a large FVG(BISI), showing how strong the bullish structure is and now that price is trading on top of this BISI I'm mentioning. If we go one TF lower to the daily TF than on the daily the weekly BISI is a balanced price range and normally how I look at Gaps after been balanced, I treat them like classic support/resistance, but they have to confluence with another PD array first than for me the rules of 'support/resistance' come into play. If you look close into the daily TF, we have relative equal highs inside the volume imbalance created on the 12th of May.
Let's look at how price delivered since opening with a gap lower on the 12th, on that same day price repriced that gap but did not close above it. Why do we want it to close above it? Well ICT teaches more on volume imbalances and the rules or pros and cons. If price closes above the volume imbalance than it becomes balanced once price retests the closure above/below obviously depending on the gap opening. On the 4HTF we saw price shift structure higher and the first thing I see is the candle that had a broken lower high because it also became our breaker. And a FVG inside it making that zone stronger again we can use all the PD arrays together.
1-BTCUSD
MicroStrategy: The Dumbest Bet on WallStreetMicroStrategy: The Bitcoin Bet Masquerading as a Tech Company
Introduction: A Software Company Turned Crypto Casino
Once upon a time, MicroStrategy was a business intelligence firm. Today, it’s a Bitcoin holding company disguised as a software business.
Its market cap has ballooned to over $100 billion, not because of its software, but because of its aggressive Bitcoin purchases. Investors aren’t buying a company—they’re buying a leveraged bet on Bitcoin.
And that bet? It’s built on debt, dilution, and dangerous financial engineering.
The Math Problem: MicroStrategy’s Obscene Valuation
MicroStrategy is worth three times the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Let that sink in.
If you buy MicroStrategy stock, you’re effectively paying three times the price of Bitcoin. It’s like buying Bitcoin at $245,000 per coin when the actual market price is far lower.
This isn’t investing, it’s financial insanity.
The Debt Trap: How MicroStrategy Keeps the Illusion Alive
MicroStrategy’s entire strategy revolves around issuing debt to buy more Bitcoin. It has borrowed $7.27 billion through convertible bonds.
Here’s how the cycle works:
MicroStrategy issues debt at low interest rates.
It uses the money to buy Bitcoin.
The stock price rises because investors think it’s a genius move.
The company issues more shares to raise more money.
It buys more Bitcoin—and the cycle repeats.
This is not a sustainable business model. It’s a Ponzi-like structure that depends entirely on Bitcoin’s price continuing to rise.
The Accounting Trick: Hiding the Losses
MicroStrategy has been misleading investors with custom financial metrics. It created terms like BTC Yield and BTC $ Gain to make its Bitcoin strategy look profitable.
But in reality? It recently disclosed a $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings. And when that news broke, its stock dropped 8.67% in a single day.
This isn’t a company, it’s a high-stakes gamble.
The Risk: What Happens When the Bubble Bursts?
MicroStrategy’s survival depends on Bitcoin’s price never crashing. If Bitcoin falls, MicroStrategy’s stock collapses.
And here’s the worst part:
If Bitcoin crashes, MicroStrategy might have to sell its holdings, triggering a death spiral.
If investors lose confidence, the company can’t issue more debt, and the illusion falls apart.
If regulators step in, MicroStrategy’s entire strategy could be dismantled.
This isn’t a safe investment. It’s a ticking time bomb.
Conclusion: The Dumbest Bet on Wall Street
MicroStrategy isn’t a tech company. It’s a leveraged Bitcoin casino.
Investors aren’t buying innovation, they’re buying hype, debt, and financial engineering. And when the illusion fades, reality will come crashing down.
So ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : Carryover in Carryover modeToday's pattern suggests we may see more upward price consolidation/trending.
As many of you already know, I've been tracking the Excess Phase Peak pattern all the way up this incredible rally from the $480 lows on the SPY. In my opinion, we have moved into the "island" topping phase where price is struggling to break either upward or downward right now.
Currently, price seems to be attempting to break to the upside after yesterday's meltup. Today should be interesting because we could see solid REJECTION of yesterday's move with a big breakdown move. We'll see how things play out.
The SPY trend is still BULLISH based on my research. Thus, until and IF we get a breakdown, traders should continue to expect a MELT UP type of trend in the SPY/QQQ.
Hedging trades is a good idea right now.
Gold and Silver had a big move early this week and have not stalled into a sideways FLAGGING trend. By my estimates, the APEX of the flag will come near 1900-2100 today (Wednesday 6-3). That is when I think Gold/Silver will attempt to move into extreme volatility and attempt to make another big move.
I hope it is to continue the upside price trend, as this breakout move needs to push higher (breaking recent highs) for metals to move into a new dominant upward price trend.
BTCUSD is trading sideways - possibly setting up that DOUBLE-TOP pattern I suggested was going to take place on 5-20-25. Now, with Bitcoin leading the US markets by about 3-5 days (on average), we'll see if BTCUSD can attempt to move into another rally phase or if BTCUSD breaks below the $103k level and moves into a new downward price phase.
In my opinion, look out below.
Get some.
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Price tapped the low — but didn’t break structure. That’s all I BTC delivered a clean sweep into the 15M low, filled the imbalance, and now it’s reclaiming. If you’re still wondering whether it’s valid — you’re not reading structure. You’re chasing candles.
Here’s the setup:
Price swept a key low at 104,870.98, tapping into a precision FVG
That move also kissed the edge of a lower BPR — institutional order flow at work
Now we’re rotating back toward the 15M OB near 106,438.94, with the first real reaction zone at 105,779.08
Above that, fib confluence and the OB offer a decision point: either distribute from 106.4 or break higher into premium inefficiency zones.
If price stalls at 0.5 (105,831) and rejects hard, I’ll expect a revisit to the low. If we blow through with displacement — we’re heading higher.
Execution bias:
Longs are valid as long as price holds above 104,870
TP1: 105,779
TP2: 106,438
Failure to reclaim FVG = scenario invalid, stand down
This isn’t a “setup.” It’s a replay of logic. The market does this every day — if you know how to listen.
More trades like this? No noise, just precision — check the profile description.
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡
Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻.
Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉.
This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good.
In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range.
📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear.
💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
BITCOIN Will it catch up to the rising Global Liquidity again?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to stage yet another short-term rally on its Tariff War recovery Bullish Leg but the picture is even more interesting on the long-term.
This is a simple yet very powerful and explanatory chart where it shows that every time the Global Liquidity (blue trend-line) led the uptrend and started rising before BTC on this Bull Cycle (since the November 2022 bottom), BTC eventually caught up to the trend and closed the Gap.
This time Global Liquidity has been rising since the start of the year (early January) while Bitcoin only started to do so since April 07. Even if the Global Liquidity pauses here, Bitcoin still has the potential to continue rising irrespectively.
How high do you think this can go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Check support near 106775
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(MBT1! 1D chart)
The prerequisite for the previous ATH to rise above is that the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain there.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 106775.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the 96600-101495 area.
The 96600-101495 area is an important support and resistance area for continuing the uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls in the 96600-101495 area, it is likely to fall sharply.
If it falls,
1st: Around 89745
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or 74105-79025
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Therefore, the 96600-101495 area can be seen as an important support and resistance area.
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(30m chart)
It played the role of support and resistance by touching the area around 105385 several times.
It is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
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Price is coiled. Expansion is near. The setup is clean — if you BINANCE:BTCUSDT has reclaimed its 4H range low and is now driving into the midpoint of a prior leg. This isn’t random — it’s the prelude to a move Smart Money has been framing for days.
Here’s the breakdown:
Price respected the 0.618 (105,780) and rotated upward — that level is now the line between structure and noise
First objective: OB 4H at 107,839, aligning with 0.5 → 0.382 retracement
If that gets cleared with displacement, we extend into 109,621 — final premium zone before HTF liquidity is satisfied
The upper wick at 111,897 is still untouched — a long-term draw that only unlocks if we break 109k with intent
But if price fails and flips below 105,780, that signals fading momentum — and opens the door for a sweep toward the 4H OB at 104,116 or even the FVG 4H down near 101,998
Execution mindset:
Longs are valid above 105,780
Targeting: 107.8 → 109.6 → possibly 111.9
Invalidation: Daily close below 104,116
Liquidity lies above — Smart Money is already positioned
You don’t need signals when structure tells the story. You just need precision.
More entries, levels, and logic? They’re in the profile description — not in the crowd.
Ethereum Is Not DEAD ... WHY ??? Because BlackRock Says SoMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on ETH here.
ETH Is Not Dead — It’s Just Getting Started
Narrative of ETH being “dead” is short-sighted. Here’s why:
1. Ethereum Is Still Younger Than Bitcoin
• Ethereum launched in 2015, a full 6 years after Bitcoin.
• BTC had over a decade of network effect, price discovery, and global trust before ETH even got its first DApp.
• On the charts, ETH still has room to mature, just like Bitcoin did pre-2020.
• Fundamentally, Ethereum is still evolving — from PoW to PoS, scaling solutions (L2s), and now modular chains.
You’re not late to ETH — it’s just halfway through the marathon.
⸻
2. BlackRock’s BUIDL Fund Is a Massive Signal
• The BlackRock BUIDL fund, launched on Ethereum, already has $3B in AUM — and it’s growing.
• It shows that legacy institutions aren’t ignoring ETH — they’re building directly on it.
• This isn’t speculative hype. It’s tokenized real-world assets backed by the biggest asset manager on earth.
• Smart money is moving into ETH, not away from it.
The narrative is shifting. Institutions aren’t betting on meme coins — they’re betting on Ethereum rails.
Final Thought
ETH is not dead. It’s undergoing the same early-stage skepticism BTC did in its early years. With foundational upgrades and institutional validation, ETH might be the most undervalued top asset in the market today.
⸻
Watch the chart. Track the fundamentals. And don’t sleep on ETH.
#Ethereum #ETHUSD #Crypto #fundamentals #BUIDL #BlackRock #OnChainData #NotDead #TradingView
Watch video for more details
Price isn’t reacting — it’s delivering.BTC just tapped into the 4H FVG with surgical precision.
If you’ve been watching price the way Smart Money does, this wasn’t a surprise. It was the setup.
Here's the structure:
After reclaiming the 4H OB below, price expanded upward into the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4H)
That delivery aligns with the 0.0 fib at 106,770.4 — a premium zone engineered for liquidity harvesting
The next level above is the RB — Reversal Block — where I expect displacement to either fade or accelerate
What matters now is how price reacts on the pullback into the 0.382 → 0.618 fib range (105,338.9 to 104,454.6).
If we see structure hold, I’ll target 107,082.6 next.
If that zone fails — all eyes go back to the OB 4H at 103,023.2.
Execution clarity:
Holding above 104,454 → Long bias continues
Breaking 103,825 with follow-through? Reversal confirmed
Clean invalidation, clean targets — no guessing
The chart’s not lying. It's just speaking in algorithm.
Want trades like this before they hit the box? Check the profile description. Clarity doesn’t need noise. Just rules.
Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
Bitcoin's Battle: $107K Resistance or $100K Support?Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,522, showing a consolidation pattern after a recent rally. The price has been moving between $103,000 and $107,000, with $107,000 acting as a strong resistance level. This ceiling has been tested several times but hasn’t been convincingly broken yet. On the flip side, $100,000 has proven to be a solid support, with buyers stepping in whenever the price dips near this key psychological level. If BTC breaks above $107,000, it could target $110,000 or higher; however, a drop below $100,000 might see it test $97,000 or lower.
From a technical standpoint, the 4H chart shows a short-term bullish trend line around $105,800, which has been holding the price up during small pullbacks. That said, there are signs of weakening momentum, the 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) is flashing a bearish divergence, hinting that the upward push might be losing steam. On the daily chart, the MACD has turned negative, which could signal a broader trend shift. For now, traders should keep an eye on whether BTC can push past $107,000 or if it falls below $100,000, as these breaks will likely dictate the next big move.
Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin’s price is being shaped by several external factors. Recent news, like the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Binance and a new crypto market structure bill in Congress, could bring more regulatory clarity and lift investor confidence. Economic uncertainty and tariff relief are also driving some to see BTC as a hedge, much like gold. Stablecoin market caps have hit all-time highs, suggesting more liquidity in the crypto space. But there’s a flip side: China’s heavy gold buying and the US-China tariff war could throw a wrench into BTC’s trajectory.
Analyst sentiment is split. Som e see a bearish flag pattern pointing to a potential drop to $97,000, while others are betting on a bullish surge to new highs, maybe $120,000 or even as far as $325,000. This consolidation phase could be the calm before a major breakout, either up or down. Keep an eye on volume and those key levels ($107,000 and $100,000) for hints about what’s next. As always, stay sharp, manage your risk, and keep up with the latest market updates!
BTCUSDT Trade Analysis📊 BTCUSDT Trade Analysis
Previous Move (Sell)
✅ Sell executed successfully – target reached (🎯).
📈 New Trade Setup (Buy)
💡 Current Plan:
Switching to buy now as the market has reached the previous sell target.
New Target:
Next major resistance area near 111,025 – 111,072 USDT range (🟩 target box at the top).
📍 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Above 105,000 USDT mini-resistance area (🟧 mini-resistance box).
Support: Around 102,999 USDT (blue support line).
Current Target (Buy):
Target zone: 111,025 – 111,072 USDT.
📌 Trade Plan Summary
Entry: Above 105,000 mini-resistance area break.
Target Point: 111,025 – 111,072 USDT 🟩.
Stop Loss: Suggested below 102,999 USDT to limit downside (🔴 red zone).
🎯 Conclusion:
🔵 Target for the buy move is well-defined and positioned above current resistance levels.
🟢 Awaiting price action above mini-resistance area for a safe entry for the next bullish leg!
HolderStat┆BTCUSD stairway to athCRYPTOCAP:BTC marched out of strong consolidation, sliced a falling wedge, then keeps stacking bull-flag consolidations on an ascending trendline. Uptrend channel, breakout energy and 100 k support line up for an assault on the 112 k ATH level — bullish momentum in full swing.
BTC: Still in the Grip of Wave BBitcoin is holding steady near the same levels seen at the time of yesterday’s update — and so is the structure. According to our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective wave B to complete soon within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that happens, a wave C selloff should follow, likely targeting the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That said, our alternative scenario (30% probability) remains intact. In that case, the high of blue wave (i) has yet to form — a breakout above $130,891 would confirm that view and open the door to further upside before a correction resumes.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTCUSD Bear Trap Loading – Premium OB Sell Setup ActivatedBTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Rejection Play – Premium Repricing Before Breakdown
The king of crypto is looking shaky. Smart money isn’t buying the pump. Here’s why BTCUSD might be gearing up for a steep dump from a premium order block reaction 🩸👇
📌 1. Market Context:
After a clean bearish leg, BTCUSD is now retracing into a premium zone — above the 70.5% Fib
Price is climbing into a high-probability reversal OB (highlighted in purple/red)
This area aligns with the 70.5%–79% golden retracement zone — where institutions love to load shorts 🧠📉
💎 2. Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Premium OB Zone (Sell Zone): 108,378.95 – 109,276.15
🟣 Golden Rejection Zone: Fib 70.5% – 79%
🔽 Target Weak Low: 103,121.59
⛔ Invalidation/SL Above: 109,276.15
🎯 RR Potential: 1:4+ sniper-grade
Price is expected to tap this premium zone, sweep liquidity, and collapse into the weak low for a full market cycle completion 🔁
🧠 3. Smart Money Flow:
This move smells like a liquidity grab trap – taking out late longs before a drop
No bullish BOS from HTF – market structure still bearish
OB overlaps with inefficiency (FVG), making it ripe for rejection
Strong high is intact — unbroken = more confluence for downside
🎯 4. Execution Strategy (Entry Tips):
⚔ Wait for:
M5–M15 shift in structure (BOS) from bullish to bearish inside the OB
Sharp rejection wick or engulfing candle for confirmation
Ideal entry = wick entry near 109.2 with tight SL just above OB
Target = weak low for full mitigation and profit harvesting
This is surgical precision territory. The sniper must be patient before pulling the trigger 🥷
🔥 5. Why This Short is GOLD:
✅ OB + Fib + FVG confluence = high-odds reversal zone
✅ Price is in premium – not discount = perfect for shorts
✅ Weak low = magnet
✅ No bullish confirmation = no reason to long
This is not a guess — this is the blueprint for institutional execution 📐
📉 Drop “BTC Dump Mode 🚨” in the comments if you’re watching this setup too
🔁 Save this setup for your playbook
⚔ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more institutional-level trade ideas like this one
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong.
Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern.
Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase.
This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point.
Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels.
BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data.
Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today.
Get some.
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