BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Bitcoin turned bullish after the yesterday's FOMC.
The price broke and closed above a significant daily resistance.
I see a confirmed bullish reversal pattern now:
a cup & handle with a broken horizontal neckline.
I think that the market will continue growing and reach at least 90500 level soon.
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1-BTCUSD
Btcusd to moonThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase shows a recent downtrend, with the price currently at $85,749.48, down 1.30%. A potential bullish reversal is suggested with an upward projection toward the $100,000+ range, as indicated by the hand-drawn price path.
Key observations:
Volume Profile on the Right: Indicates high trading activity around current levels, with less resistance above $90,000.
Projected Price Movement: Suggests a breakout from recent lows, a pullback, and then a strong upward move ("BTC to the moon").
Buyer-Seller Levels: The buy price is slightly above the current market price, indicating demand.
This analysis suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation through further price action and volume is needed.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels.
This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach.
Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
BitcoinSupport and Stop Loss Levels:
Support at $85,058.00 (marked in green).
Stop-loss level at $84,500.00 (marked in red).
Target Price (Take Profit):
$89,230.00 is the marked profit-taking level.
Trend & Price Action:
BTC has broken out of a descending trendline.
Recent bullish momentum led to a price spike.
A minor retracement is occurring.
There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) below the price, suggesting possible retracement before another leg up.
Trading Plan Based on This Analysis:
Bullish Setup:
Entry likely around $85,058 - $85,430.
Stop loss at $84,500.
Target $89,230 (Potential ~4% upside).
Chart Analysis Price Action:
The chart shows ETHUSD trading at 2,041.01, with a recent decline of -3.36 (-0.41%).
The high (HI) for the session was 2,044.00, and the low (L) was 1,664.36.
The price is currently near the session’s high, which suggests some resistance around the 2,044 level.
Trend:
The chart spans from 2009 to 2025, indicating a long-term uptrend for ETHUSD.
However, the recent price action (2024-2025) shows consolidation or a potential pullback, as the price is struggling to break above 2,044.
Key Levels:
Support: The low of 1,664.36 is a strong support level.
Resistance: The high of 2,044.00 is acting as a resistance level. If the price breaks above this, it could target higher levels.
Your short position at 2,037 is just below the resistance, which is a logical entry point for a short trade.
Momentum:
The price is currently in a slight downtrend, as indicated by the -0.41% decline.
The fact that the price is struggling to break above 2,044 suggests bearish momentum in the short term.
Volatility Period: Around March 22-25
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I think it always falls less than expected and rises more than expected.
Therefore, trades should always be done in split trades.
This volatility period is expected to last from March 21st to 26th.
Therefore, the key is whether it can break out of the downtrend channel and maintain the price after this volatility period.
In order to do that, it is important to see if it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If it breaks out of the downtrend channel and falls, if it does not fall below the downtrend line, it is expected to rise.
In other words, we need to check if it is supported near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (83646.12).
If not, if it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, it is expected to touch near 73499.86.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTCUSD a potential reversal before rallying upBTCUSD is recovering and trading to the upside based on the chart.
A potential pullback after the liquidation of equal highs could occur this week, reaching the unmitigated FVG level of 80,811 - 80,556 before surging to the major resistance level of 87,414.
Bitcoin long-term holder behavior shift signalsBitcoin long-term holder behavior shift signals 'unique market dynamic' — Research BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin’s corrective phase set a four-month low at $76,600 on March 11. Despite this decline, long-term holders have continued to hold large amounts of BTC, suggesting a “unique market dynamic moving forward,” new research says.
“Long-Term Holder activity remains largely subdued, with a notable decline in their sell-side pressure,” Glassnode said in a March 18 markets report.
Long-term holders show signs of bullishness
Bitcoin’s recovery comes as selling pressure among Long-Term Holders (LTHs) — wallets that have held Bitcoin for at least 155 days — begins to wane.
The Binary Spending Indicator, a metric used to determine when LTHs are spending a significant proportion of their holdings in a sustained manner, shows a slowdown (see chart below) while the LTH supply is also beginning to rebound after several months of decline.
“This suggests that there is a greater willingness to hold than to spend coins among this cohort,” Glassnode noted, adding:
“This perhaps represents a shift in sentiment, with Long-Term Holder behavior moving away from sell-side distribution."
Bull market tops are often marked by intense sell-side pressure and strong profit-taking among LTHs, which signals a complete shift to bearish behavior.
However, despite Bitcoin's drawdown in recent weeks, this investor cohort continues to hold a large portion of their profits, especially for this later stage of the cycle, Glassnode said.
This could suggest that long-term holders may still be expecting more BTC price upside later in the year.
“This interesting observation may indicate a more unique market dynamic moving forward.”
New Bitcoin whale accumulation reshapes markets
New Bitcoin whales, addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC, where each coin has an average acquisition age of less than six months, are aggressively accumulating, according to CryptoQuant data.
This signals strong conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term outlook among the new large investors.
These wallets have collectively acquired over 1 million BTC since November 2024, “positioning themselves as one of the most influential market participants,” said CryptoQuant independent analyst Onchained in a March 7 analysis.
The chart below shows that their pace has accelerated notably in recent weeks, “accumulating more than 200,000 BTC just this month.”
“This sustained inflow highlights a shift in market dynamics, suggesting increased institutional or high-net-worth participation. ”
Meanwhile, several crypto executives have told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin’s recent price drop was a “normal correction,” with the market just waiting for a new narrative and a cycle top yet to come.
But not everyone agrees. For instance, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju said that the Bitcoin bull cycle is over. He added:
“Expecting 6-12 months of bearish or sideways price action.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
2 Paths for Bitcoin in this 60-Day CycleThere are two possible scenarios for the rest of this cycle:
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario (Most Likely)
Bitcoin hit a cycle low at $78,000 on February 28th.
It initially showed strength but quickly reversed, forming a failed cycle.
This suggests a lower low is likely before the cycle ends.
If holding BTC, the best strategy is to sell at the next 3-day Cycle high (message me if you don’t have access to the Cycle indicators), expected next week.
2️⃣ Bullish Alternative
If the recent drop was caused by macro factors rather than natural cycle movement, we could still see a higher high before the cycle ends.
The 1-week Cycle (red line) is forming a bottoming pattern, which could indicate upside potential toward $90,000+.
How I’m Approaching This Cycle
I purchased BTC below the current price and plan to hold through this cycle. My reasoning:
We are currently at the bottom of the mid-term trend, and I expect a strong rally in the near future.
As mentioned in my previous newsletter, it’s crucial to combine the 60-day cycle with other timeframes:
2-week, 1-week, 3-day, and 1-day cycles all provide additional confirmation.
ETH/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Holding – Next Stop $2,175?ETH/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Holding – Next Stop $2,175?
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Current Market Conditions (Confidence: 8/10):
Price at $2,043, maintaining strong momentum following a breakout.
RSI at 67.54, approaching overbought territory but still has room for continuation.
Clear break above previous resistance at $1,925, confirming bullish structure.
No significant bearish divergences present, reinforcing continuation potential.
LONG Trade Setup:
Entry: $2,035 - $2,045 zone.
Targets:
T1: $2,100 (short-term resistance).
T2: $2,175 (extended target).
Stop Loss: $1,925 (below recent support).
Risk Score:
6/10 – Lower risk due to strong structure, but resistance at $2,200 remains a key level to
monitor.
Market Maker Activity:
Accumulation evident at higher levels, with minimal selling pressure.
Clean breakout above resistance suggests further bullish continuation.
Key resistance ahead at $2,200, with strong support at $1,875.
Recommendation:
Long positions remain favorable within the $2,035 - $2,045 entry range.
Watch $2,100 and $2,175 for profit-taking zones.
Monitor volume on the approach to $2,200 to confirm breakout strength.
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BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Momentum Holding – Next Target $87,500?BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Momentum Holding – Next Target $87,500?
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Current Market Conditions (Confidence: 8/10):
Price at $85,494, showing strong bullish momentum with a recent breakout.
RSI at 69.71, approaching overbought but still has room to push higher.
Clear order block formation at $83,600, confirming institutional demand.
Previous resistance at $84,000 now acting as support, strengthening the bullish structure.
LONG Trade Setup:
Entry: $85,200 - $85,500 zone.
Targets:
T1: $86,000 (key short-term resistance).
T2: $87,500 (extended target).
Stop Loss: $84,000 (below recent support).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Elevated due to extended move, but structure remains bullish.
Market Maker Activity:
A
ccumulation visible at higher levels, suggesting Smart Money positioning for another push.
Minimal bearish divergence present, supporting further continuation.
Break above $84K suggests sustained momentum, but watch resistance at $86K for reaction.
Recommendation:
Long positions remain favorable within the $85,200 - $85,500 entry range.
Monitor $86K resistance for breakout potential; failure to hold may lead to a pullback.
Use tight stops to protect against a sudden liquidity sweep.
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Btcusd trade idea e read caption This chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe from Coinbase. Here are the key elements of the analysis:
1. Order Block (Green Zone):
The green zone represents a significant order block, indicating an area where institutional buying or selling activity previously took place. The price has reacted strongly to this zone, confirming its importance.
2. Entry Point (White Line & Label):
The price has broken above the order block, suggesting a bullish entry. This level is marked as an optimal entry zone for a long position.
3. Price Movement & Target Levels (Yellow Arrows):
Two yellow arrows suggest that the price is expected to move upwards towards key resistance or profit target zones.
4. Target Levels (Dashed Lines & Blue Labels):
$88,000.17 and $90,681.03 are identified as potential profit targets, indicating resistance levels where the price may face selling pressure.
5. Current Price & Trend:
Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,511.26, with a 3.40% increase. The strong breakout suggests bullish momentum.
6. Market Volume (Right-Side Volume Profile):
The volume profile on the right shows high trading activity around the $84,000 level, which could act as support in case of a pullback.
Summary:
A breakout above a key order block suggests bullish continuation.
Entry is positioned above the breakout.
Target levels are set at $88,000 and $90,681.
High probability of upward movement based on volume and trend analysis.
This analysis suggests a bullish setup with potential gains if the price sustains above the order block and moves toward the target zones.
Trading Is Not Gambling : Become A Better Trade Part IOver the last few weeks/months, I've tried to help hundreds of traders learn the difference between trading and gambling.
Trading is where you take measured (risk-restricted) attempts to profit from market moves.
Gambling is where you let your emotions and GREED overtake your risk management decisions - going to BIG WINS on every trade.
I think of gambling in the stock market as a person who continually looks for the big 50% to 150%++ gains on options every day. Someone who will pass up the 20%, 30%, and 40% profits and "let it ride to HERO or ZERO" on most trades.
That's not trading. That's flat-out GAMBLING.
I'm going to start a new series of training videos to try to help you understand how trading operates and how you need to learn to protect capital while taking strategic opportunities for profits and growth.
This is not going to be some dumbed-down example of how to trade. I'm going to try to explain the DOs and DO N'Ts of trading vs. gambling.
If you want to be a gambler - then get used to being broke most of the time.
I'll work on this video's subsequent parts later today and this week.
I hope this helps. At least it is a starting point for what I want to teach all of you.
Get some.
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TRB/USDT(UPDATE)Hello friends
Given the price drop, you can see that buyers supported the price on good support and were able to build a higher ceiling.
Now we have identified important and practical support areas for you to buy in steps and with capital management.
Price targets have also been identified...
*Trade safely with us*
CRV/USDTHello friends
Due to the heavy price drop, buyers have been supporting the price well on the indicated support, which has caused a good price growth.
Now in the indicated support areas, you can buy in steps with capital management.
If you want to be with us in the Alt Season, send us a message.
*Trade safely with us*
SUI/USDTHello friends
Given that the price has reached a good support and buyers have entered and supported the price, you can now buy in stages at the specified levels with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
If you would like to be with us in the Alt Season, send us a message.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC Current situationCurrently BTC has not reached the resistance point of 85000, we can directly choose to go short。
BTC
🎁 Sell@84900 - 85000
🎁 SL 86000
🎁 TP 83900 - 83500
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
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BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events.
NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical.
The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”:
> an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins)
> overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders
> AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs
> soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive
> OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+
I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run!
This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.