BTC/USDT Analysis. Massive Bitcoin Short! What’s Next? On March 16, a whale opened a short position on Bitcoin with a volume of 4,442 BTC using 40x leverage. Naturally, this short attracted the attention of the community, and some traders attempted to trigger the whale's stop-loss. However, their efforts were unsuccessful, and the whale managed to close the position on March 18 with a significant profit.
What’s the takeaway?
Perhaps it's best not to bet against major capital.
Market Analysis
Looking at the chart, it’s clear that this short was closed precisely during Bitcoin’s attempt to break out of its local range, after which a rebound followed, bringing the price back within the same range.
The main scenario for Bitcoin remains largely unchanged. Both wave and cluster analysis suggest a potential decline to the lower boundary from current prices or after a false breakout of the local high and a test of the $85,000–$88,000 sell zone (high-volume area).
However, an alternative scenario is also possible: a strong, high-volume breakout of this zone. If that happens, we will reassess the scenario in favor of long positions.
Sell Zones:
$85,000–$88,000 (high-volume area)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volume)
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin's Wild Ride: Will It Moon or Crash and Burn?Ah, Bitcoin—the digital rollercoaster we all love to hate. Currently lounging around $84,000 , but what's next? Let's dive into the crystal ball of crypto predictions, shall we? 🔮
The Bullish Dreamers:
Derivatives Delight: Some analysts are giddy over derivatives metrics, suggesting Bitcoin is "poised" to reclaim the $90,000 level in the coming weeks. Because who doesn't love a good gamble?
The Bearish Realists:
Death Cross Drama: Hold onto your hats! Bitcoin is flirting with a "death cross," where the 50-day moving average dips below the 200-day. Historically, this is like the crypto version of a horror movie—cue the dramatic music.
Support Level Shenanigans: If Bitcoin can't muster the strength to stay above $81,000, we might be sliding down to $76,000 faster than you can say "HODL."
The Fence-Sitters:
FOMC Follies: All eyes are on the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Will they hike rates? Will they cut? Will they order pizza for lunch? Their decisions could send Bitcoin on a joyride or a nosedive.
So, what's the takeaway? Is Bitcoin gearing up for a moon mission, or are we strapping in for a freefall? As always, keep your wits about you, and maybe a parachute handy. 🎢🪂
If you want the deeper breakdown (the one nobody’s telling you), drop a comment or DM me. Maybe I’ll let you in on the real insights. 👀🔥
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before diving into the crypto abyss.
btc on bearish#BTCUSD price have been rejecting down below 82k multiple times, now we await for double breakout below 83735 to sell.
If price falls below 83735 then possible drop below 82k will occur which will form new zone for bearish, stop loss at 84700.
Above the rectangle holds bullish if the H1 candle closes above.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-19-25 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to rally up to resistance, then form a peak/top in price, and then roll over a bit.
After yesterday's fairly consolidated price range, I believe the SPY/QQQ may rally through most of the day and move into the topping pattern near the end of today's trading day.
Overall, I believe the markets are still rolling into the Excess Phase Peak consolidation phase and that means traders need to prepare for extreme price volatility.
What is interesting is how BTCUSD is trying to rally a bit, but not finding upward momentum.
As I stated in today's video, I believe a fairly big move upward, possibly $3000 or more, in BTCUSD could happen between now and the end of this week.
This would be a perfect upward price advance into resistance that could correlate with a move h higher in the SPY/QQQ - targeting the upper level of the Consolidation Phase.
Gold and Silver have reached a "pause" level. I believe Gold and Silver will only pause for 48 to 96 hours before attempting to break higher. So, metals will still attempt to break higher into late March 2025.
Get some.
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BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Last Chance For A Big Move Higher...I see a potential scenario where Bitcoin could move higher in Wave iii of Wave 5. If this pattern holds, Wave 5 would extend. For confirmation, we need to see the price break above 93K. However, if Wave ii ended at 76,642, there’s a chance we’re witnessing a 1-2, 1-2 setup that could push through this level. A strong follow-through would open the door for a move to at least 130K, equal to the length of Wave i, or possibly a 1.618 extension to 162K—roughly doubling from current levels.
Despite the broader bearish sentiment, this setup can't be ignored, as our priority is profit. If the price confirms, I’ll post a video update soon. Key support stands at 79,959, with critical support at 76,642.
$BTC Bitcoin at critical point... Head and shoulder Pattern!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin is at a critical point
Current price: 91000
Bitcoin has retraced over 16% from an all time high of 108k, Price action is currently forming a head and shoulder pattern which is usually a bearish pattern!
#btc needs to remain supported around 90.5k to continue its uptrend to all time highs at 119k
If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN price action loses support at 90.5k then expect prices to retest supports at 85k and then 80k.
Definitely a critical point to watch! What do you think?
DOW JONES This is why chances of a brutal rebound are so high.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 31 2023 High and last week it hit (marginally breached) its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 30 2023. The price went on to test the bottom of the Channel Up and rebounded back above the 1W MA50.
This is an incredibly strong long-term bullish signal and it is not the only one. The market also made a Lower Low rebound on the 3-month trend-line while the 1W CCI got oversold below -150.00 and is rebounding. The last time we got these conditions fulfilled was exactly 2 years ago on the March 13 2023 Low.
That was when the index made a similar Megaphone Lower Low rebound on oversold 1W CCI that initiated a +13.57% rally. Both Megaphone fractals emerged after Dow rose by +21.00%.
In fact, every oversold 1W CCI rebound has produced very aggressive rallies. Based on those similarities with the March 2023 fractal, we expect the index to hit 46150 (+13.57%) minimum by July. If the more aggressive scenario of the November 25 2024 rally that made a Channel Up Higher High on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension prevails, then our more optimistic scenario is 48900 (Target 2) by September, which could technically be the end/ Top of the current Bull Cycle.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Supply ZoneThis chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe, highlighting key levels of resistance, support, and potential price movement. It indicates a bearish rejection from a supply zone, which suggests that BTC may experience further downside pressure.
Key Components of the Chart:
📌 1. All-Time High (ATH) + Resistance Zone (~$110,000 - $115,000)
This is the highest price level Bitcoin has ever reached on this chart.
It acts as a strong resistance zone, meaning sellers are likely to step in if the price approaches this level again.
📌 2. Supply Zone (~$88,000 - $90,000)
The supply zone is an area where selling pressure is high.
BTC attempted to break above this zone but got rejected, leading to a sharp decline.
This rejection confirms that bears are in control, pushing the price downward.
📌 3. Stop Loss (~$95,629)
This level represents the point where a bearish trade would be invalidated.
If BTC breaks above this level, it could indicate a shift in momentum toward bullish territory.
📌 4. Current Price Action (~$83,444)
BTC is currently trading below the supply zone, showing weakness.
The recent lower high formation suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
📌 5. Take Profit (TP) Level (~$65,969)
This is the target level for a potential bearish move.
The $65,969 level has acted as major support in the past, meaning buyers may step in here.
If BTC reaches this level, it could either bounce back up or break lower, leading to further downside movement.
📌 6. Major Support Level (~$45,000 - $50,000)
If BTC breaks below the $65,969 support, the next major support zone is around $45,000 - $50,000.
This area is historically significant and could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Trade Plan & Strategy:
🔴 Bearish Bias:
The rejection from the supply zone signals a continuation of the downtrend.
A short position can be considered if BTC fails to break above the supply zone again.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $85,000 - $88,000 (if BTC retests the supply zone and gets rejected again).
Stop Loss: Above $95,629 to protect against an unexpected bullish breakout.
Take Profit (TP): Around $65,969, targeting the next major support level.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of a bearish continuation, with strong resistance at the supply zone.
A potential move toward $65,969 is likely if selling pressure continues.
If BTC breaks below this key level, a further decline toward $45,000 - $50,000 could happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. 🚀📉
BITCOIN The 2021 Pivot trend-line that is coming to its rescue.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has stayed stable after last week's rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the level that offered support on the Bull Cycle Channel's previous Higher Low (August 05 2024).
Technically however, that is not the only major Support level that may be coming to BTC's rescue as we've identified the Pivot trend-line that started on the April 12 2021 High as a Resistance and since then made another 2 contacts (as rejections). This is the first time now that is being tested as Support.
During the previous Cycle (2018 - 2021) a similar Pivot trend-line was the level that supported Bitcoin during the last year of its parabolic rally on January and June 2021. The June 2021 contact in particular tested the 1W MA50 as well, which is the exact situation we're in right now. That double support hold initiated the final rebound towards the Cycle's new All Time High (ATH).
Check also how similar the 1W CCI patterns between the two fractals are and based on that, a 1W CCI reading at 200.00 would be a solid level to sell and take profit. As a result, we expect this Cycle's Channel Up to accelerate the current rebound, technically its Bullish Leg and make a new ATH, which would be the Cycle's new Top, ideally with a CCI at 200.00.
So do you think this cyclical Pivot trend-line is coming along with the 1W MA50 to BTC's rescue? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Geopolitical Tensions Drive Bitcoin Down, $75,500 Target Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Bitcoin 🔍📈.
Bitcoin has been exhibiting diminishing strength in its upward candles, signaling potential bearish momentum. A decisive break below the $76,000 support level is anticipated, with a projected decline of at least 10%, targeting the $75,500 zone. This movement aligns with broader global dynamics, particularly the escalating tensions in the Middle East, where the flames of conflict have subtly ignited and hold the potential for further escalation. Such geopolitical uncertainty is driving a bullish surge in global gold prices, with nations like Syria, Palestine, Iraq, Yemen, and Iran, which hold independent gold reserves, poised to benefit. Consequently, the crypto market is expected to experience downward pressure, further exacerbating Bitcoin's decline.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Bitcoin is losing steam, likely to break below $76K and hit $75,500, with a 10% drop. Rising gold prices, fueled by Middle East tensions, are set to push crypto lower.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Given the reduced downward momentum, the bullish Ichimoku on the chart, and the formation of support zones, Bitcoin is expected to move toward the identified supply level.
Currently, the price is in a discount zone, and an upward move toward premium levels is anticipated.
A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this setup.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
A possible scenario for Bitcoin over next 2 monthsI do think this has a Strong possibility of happening
MARCH will close as a RED Candle and the statisical expectation is that April will close GREEN and yet there are many reasons why Bitcoin Cannot rise a lot in April to make that Green
SO, We may see March drop down to the 74K area to end the month
This Gives PA the ability to Rise, hit that trend line and still Close the month GREEN and then take off in May.
Why May ?
Because that descending trend line perfectly matches the Weekly MACD decent and the date is when MACD reaches Neutral. Begining of May.
This is also why PA will likely be rejected from the Trend line before MAY
Should PA remain where it is now, it doesn't give a lot of room for April to close Green.
This really is just an Idea so we just need to see if it happens.
I do have a SPOt buy order sitting at 74779 just in case lol
GOLD market Update: BUY DIPS 2990 USD TP 3100 USD🏆 Gold Market Update / Wednesday
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H1
🔸2846/2930 w1, 2930/2887 w2, 2887/3045 w3
🔸3045-3055/2980-2990 wave 4 pullback now
🔸2980-2990/3100 - final wave 5 pump
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 2980/2990 USD
🔸Price Target BULLS: 3100 USD in Wave5
🏆🔥 Latest Gold Market Update – March 2025 🔥🏆
🚀 Gold Prices Hit New Highs!
💰 Gold Breaks $3,040+ – Soaring to record levels as investors seek safe-haven assets. 🏦✨📈
📊 Analysts Raise Targets – UBS forecasts $3,200 by June amid strong bullish momentum. 🔮💎
🌎 Key Market Drivers:
⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions Rising – Middle East conflicts fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal. 🌍🔥
📉 Stock Market Volatility – Investors flee equities, boosting gold demand. 📊📢
Bitcoin- I'm looking to re-eter shortIn my BTC analysis last week, I outlined the reasons behind my decision to enter short exit and detailed my expectations for a corrective move.
As projected, BTC broke below the $80,000 level. Although my initial downside target at $75,000 has not been fully met, I opted to manually close my short position to secure profits. Currently, I am monitoring price action for a potential re-entry on the short side.
From a structural standpoint, after establishing a local low around the $76,500 area, BTC has initiated a corrective bounce.
However, this recovery appears weak and corrective in nature — likely unfolding as a bear flag formation, albeit not perfectly defined.
My primary short re-entry zone is identified between $85,500 and $87,000, where I expect supply to emerge. As long as price remains capped below that zone, my bearish bias remains intact. I continue to anticipate a move to $75,000, with a potential extension toward the $72,000 technical support zone.
This bearish scenario would be invalidated in the event of sustained buying and consolidation above the $90,000 resistance level.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4-hour chart.
Price: Currently around $82,753.16, showing a slight increase of +0.05%.
Trend line: A descending trend line is visible, indicating potential resistance. If the price breaks above this line, it could signal a bullish reversal.
Support level: There is a strong support level at $78,424.30, which has been tested multiple times.
Indicators: The price is currently in the cloud, indicating a state of indecision. The green cloud above indicates potential resistance, while the red cloud below indicates previous bearish momentum.
Resistance: Keep an eye on the descending trend line and the upper edge of the cloud.
Support: The $78,424 level acts as a crucial support area.
Monitor breakouts: A breakout above the trend line may indicate an uptrend, while a breakdown below the support level may signal a further decline.
Volume analysis: Monitor trading volume to confirm breakouts.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
$9.4M Bitcoin Short Squeeze and its Market ImplicationsThe volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market is a well-established fact, but the sheer scale of some trades can still send ripples across the entire ecosystem. Recently, a Bitcoin whale executed a masterful maneuver, closing a $516 million short position with a staggering 40x leverage, pocketing a cool $9.4 million profit in just eight days. This event, occurring shortly after a lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, highlights the intricate interplay between macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment, and the strategic actions of large players.
The whale's decision to close the short position immediately following the CPI release is particularly noteworthy. The lower-than-expected inflation figure signaled a potential easing of monetary inflation concerns, a development that is generally viewed favorably by Bitcoin investors. This optimistic signal likely triggered a shift in market sentiment, prompting the whale to capitalize on the impending price surge.
The use of 40x leverage amplified both the potential gains and the risks associated with the trade. While it allowed the whale to generate a substantial profit in a short period, it also exposed them to significant losses if the market had moved against their position. This high-risk, high-reward strategy is characteristic of whale activity, where large players leverage their capital and market insights to execute impactful trades.
The timing of the trade also underscores the importance of macroeconomic indicators in shaping Bitcoin's price trajectory. The CPI reading, a key measure of inflation, directly influences monetary policy decisions by central banks. Lower inflation can lead to a more dovish stance, potentially resulting in lower interest rates and increased liquidity, both of which are conducive to asset price appreciation, including Bitcoin.
Interestingly, Tuesday has emerged as Bitcoin's most volatile day in 2025.2 This heightened volatility can be attributed to the release of key economic data, including the CPI, as well as the influence of global economic trends. Market participants anticipate increased activity on Tuesdays, making it a crucial day for traders and investors to monitor market developments.
Despite the recent correction, Bitcoin's long-term outlook remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts believe the bull run is over, citing on-chain metrics and expecting up to 12 months of bearish or sideways price action, others maintain a more optimistic perspective, predicting a potential rally to over $200,000.
The recent whale trade, coupled with the resumption of Bitcoin accumulation after three months of distribution, suggests that underlying demand for Bitcoin remains strong.3 This accumulation, particularly by long-term holders, can act as a stabilizing force, mitigating the impact of short-term price fluctuations.4
The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. While the potential for a breakout remains, the presence of significant selling pressure cannot be ignored. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
The notion that the "Bitcoin bull cycle is over" is supported by some on-chain data, which can reveal information about investor behavior and market trends. However, interpreting on-chain metrics requires a nuanced understanding of the underlying data and its limitations. While these metrics can provide valuable insights, they should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.
Bitcoin's resilience in the face of market corrections is a testament to its growing adoption and acceptance as a mainstream asset. Despite the current correction, the cryptocurrency's ability to outperform global assets post-Trump election further reinforces its potential as a long-term investment.
The whale's $9.4 million profit is a reminder of the potential for substantial gains in the cryptocurrency market. However, it also highlights the inherent risks associated with high-leverage trading. Investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before engaging in such strategies.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin whale's strategic short squeeze and the subsequent market reactions underscore the complex interplay of factors influencing Bitcoin's price.
Macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment, and the actions of large players all contribute to the cryptocurrency's volatile nature.5 While the long-term outlook remains uncertain, the resumption of Bitcoin accumulation and the potential for a breakout suggest that the market is far from stagnant. Investors should remain vigilant, closely monitoring market developments and adapting their strategies accordingly. The story of the whale's successful trade is a potent reminder of the fortunes that can be made, and lost, in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics
The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets.
Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value.
However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1
Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level.
Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery.
However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery.
Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections.
The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach.
To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.