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1-BTCUSD

Harmonic Pattern Trading: Ultimate Guide for 2025Harmonic trading is a powerful price action-based strategy that uses Fibonacci ratios to identify high-probability reversal zones. These patterns fall under XABCD structure, meaning they have five key points (X, A, B, C, and D) and rely on Fibonacci retracements and extensions. By mastering harmonic trading, you can identify trend reversals early and achieve higher win rates compared to traditional technical analysis methods. 🔹 Key Principles of Harmonic Trading 1️⃣ Structure of Harmonic Patterns (XABCD) All harmonic patterns follow the same five-point structure: X → A: The initial move. A → B: The first retracement. B → C: A counter move. C → D: The final leg, forming the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). 2️⃣ Fibonacci Ratios in Harmonic Patterns Harmonic trading is Fibonacci-driven, meaning each pattern is defined by specific retracement and extension levels: Common Fibonacci Retracements: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6% Common Fibonacci Extensions: 127.2%, 141.4%, 161.8%, 200%, 224%, 261.8% 3️⃣ Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) The D-point of the pattern is where price is expected to reverse. This PRZ zone is validated by Fibonacci confluence, support/resistance, and other confirmation signals (RSI, MACD, divergence, etc.). Entry: Around D-point reversal confirmation Stop Loss: Beyond the PRZ invalidation zone Take Profit: Based on Fibonacci extension levels (often 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8% retracements). 🔷 Primary Harmonic Patterns & Their Structure 1️⃣ Gartley Pattern 🦋 ✅ Most popular & reliable harmonic pattern ✅ Predicts trend continuation or reversal ✅ Respects 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from XA Gartley Pattern Structure: AB = 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 78.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Look for confluence with trendlines, supply-demand zones, and RSI/MACD divergence. 2️⃣ Bat Pattern 🦇 ✅ High-probability reversal setup ✅ Stronger deep retracement of XA compared to Gartley ✅ Ideal for trend continuation & reversal trades Bat Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 50% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 88.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Expect strong reversal 🚀 Trading Tip: Bat patterns often provide low-risk entries with tight stop losses due to their deep XA retracement. 3️⃣ Butterfly Pattern 🦋 ✅ Predicts deep trend reversals ✅ Used for aggressive counter-trend trades Butterfly Pattern Structure: AB = 78.6% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 127.2% or 161.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Strong trend reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Butterfly PRZ zones are more extended, so look for price exhaustion & divergence before entering. 4️⃣ Crab Pattern 🦀 ✅ The most extended harmonic pattern ✅ Strong 161.8% XA extension creates powerful reversals Crab Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 161.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Extreme overextension, likely strong reversal 🚀 Trading Tip: Use confluence with key support/resistance levels & volume analysis to confirm reversals. 5️⃣ Deep Crab Pattern 🦀 ✅ More reliable version of the Crab Pattern ✅ D-point extends further for deeper pullbacks Deep Crab Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 38.2% or 88.6% retracement of AB CD = 224% - 261.8% extension of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Similar to the Crab, but requires stronger confirmation signals before entry. 6️⃣ Cypher Pattern 💠 ✅ High accuracy harmonic pattern ✅ Faster entries compared to other patterns Cypher Pattern Structure: AB = 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of XA BC = 127.2% to 141.4% extension of AB CD = 78.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Price reversal likely 🚀 Trading Tip: Look for RSI/MACD divergence at the D-point for added confirmation. 7️⃣ Shark Pattern 🦈 ✅ Newer harmonic pattern variation ✅ Similar to Crab but uses different Fibonacci rules Shark Pattern Structure: AB = 113% - 161.8% extension of XA BC = 113% - 161.8% extension of AB CD = 88.6% retracement of XA D-point PRZ → Strong reversal expected 🚀 Trading Tip: Shark patterns often appear before larger trend reversals, so they work well for early trend detection. 🔷 Advanced Harmonic Patterns Overview 📌 3-Drives Pattern Predicts the end of trends using 3 equal price movements Each drive follows Fibonacci retracements/extensions Strong reversal happens after the 3rd drive completes 📌 Alternate Bat Pattern Similar to Bat but has a deeper B-point retracement (50% of XA instead of 38.2%) More accurate for identifying trend continuation trades 📌 White Swan & Black Swan Developed by harmonic trading expert Scott Carney Similar to the Crab, but focuses on psychological market structure 🚀 How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Successfully Step 1: Identify the Pattern & PRZ Use harmonic pattern scanners or manual Fibonacci tools. Step 2: Wait for Reversal Confirmation Look for candlestick patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles). Check RSI, MACD, and volume divergence. Step 3: Place Your Trade Entry: Once price reacts at PRZ. Stop Loss: Beyond PRZ invalidation level. Take Profit: Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%). 🔥 Summary – Why Harmonic Trading Works ✅ High accuracy when Fibonacci ratios are respected ✅ Works across all timeframes (forex, stocks, crypto, indices) ✅ Combines price action, Fibonacci, and confluence factors If you master these harmonic patterns, you'll consistently spot reversals early, maximize profits, and minimize risks! 🚀📈
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
17
Voice of reason BTCTwo scenarios are in play right now: 1. We are long past the distribution phase—“smart money” has exited, and a “lower high” is forming this week before fear and capitulation set in. 2. We are in the last stage of the bull run, with one more blow-off top expected around $114,000–$120,000. Either way, if you are long, I suggest taking profits or partially closing margin positions. The bull run is not over, but the market needs a correction. Spring and summer are likely to be bearish/accumulation phases, with Bitcoin’s final top expected in autumn. The same applies to altcoins—you might not see significant growth until Bitcoin tops toward the end of the year. In all cycles alt season started when BTC.D was already going down BTC made a blow of top and then alt-coins made their run. Rotation of money needs to happen. None of the cycle peak indicators have turned green yet, so I’m confident we will see another Bitcoin top, but it might not happen right now. Take a close look at your portfolio and assess how you can profit before either of these two scenarios plays out. Avoid FOMO—it could end very badly. Stay safe! Not financial advice ;)
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by CrashRomeo
1
Bitcoin's Path to $100k USD&beyond - How much time is left?Don’t worry—we’re not here to debate whether the bull market top is in or still ahead. Based on cycle analysis, one thing is clear: Bitcoin is set to break $100K soon and continue its upward trajectory. But the real question is: How much time do we have left? Can we still make gains until the end of the year, or will March/April be the final window to profit? 🔹 Bitcoin’s Current Position BTC is approaching its 60-day cycle low, with the 1-day, 3-day, and 1-week cycles all dipping below 20. We’re waiting for the final bottom to form—historically, these moments offer some of the best buying opportunities. 🔸 Two Possible Scenarios Ahead: 1️⃣ Bull Market Peak in May 2025 The upcoming 2-week cycle top marks the end of the bull market (~May). The 2-week cycle typically takes ~14 weeks to reach a peak, aligning with a late-May timeline. After this, a 1.5-year bear market (~18 months) could begin, correcting the excess of this cycle. 2️⃣ Final Top in December/January The market peaks at year-end, followed by a 12-month bear market. This means a bloody summer, then a fast & bullish upside in Oct/Nov leading to a final peak. This aligns with historical seasonality of previous cycles. 📌 Conclusion: No matter which scenario plays out, the key is to maximize gains before the cycle peaks and exit before the bear market begins. 📈 Watch for the 60-day cycle bottom—this will be the key entry point. Which scenario do you think will play out? Let me know in the comments! 👇🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTCUSD: Crossing of 4H MA100 brings enormous rally.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.096, MACD = -559.600, ADX = 41.025) as it is rising aggressively today and just hit the 1D MA50. This is its major Resistance level, which when crossed has caused the two main rallies of 2025 so far. The first (Dec 30th-Jan 7th) crossed the 0.618 Fibonacci before pulling back, while the second (Jan 9th-Jan 20th) made a full +20% rally. As you realize, if we do get a 1D candle close over the 1D MA50, the target for the modest scenario of Fib 0.618 is TP1 = 103,500 and if it continues (which as some point it will since the Bull Cycle has at least another 6-9 months more) for the good case scenario of +20%, the target will be TP2 = 113,000. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
BTC | BITCOIN: 110K or 85K? PipGuard's GuideBTC | BITCOIN: 110K or 85K? PipGuard's Guide 📈📉 Bitcoin is at a crucial moment , and the big question is: will it reach $110,000 or drop to $85,000 ? Don’t panic; the key is to know what to watch and how to act . Here’s a clear , concise , and straightforward analysis. 🎯 TARGETS TO WATCH Bullish Scenario: $98,500 $100,200 $102,500 $106,500 $107,200 $110,000 Bearish Scenario: $94,000 $91,500 $88,500 $85,000 $80,000 ⚖️ THE PIVOTAL LEVEL: $97,800 Above $97,800? The structure remains bullish . Below $97,800? The market starts to lose strength . 🔍 CONFIRMATIONS THAT MAKE THE DIFFERENCE Bearish Confirmations: Closing below $94,000 → the market shows weakness . Closing below $91,500 → we start aiming for lower targets . Bullish Confirmations: Closing above $98,500 → BTC regains momentum . Closing above $100,200 → green light towards higher targets . Note: By "closing," I mean the candle body , not the shadows. This is about clarity , not guessing games. 📌 HOW TO READ THIS ANALYSIS? Follow these steps: 1️⃣ Look at the market’s direction . 2️⃣ Wait for closures above or below the key levels . 3️⃣ Identify the most sensible entry based on confirmations. 4️⃣ Follow the trend and don’t fight it. 💡 PIPGUARD’S MESSAGE The market may be unpredictable , but the rules to approach it are not. Patience , discipline , and solid confirmations are your best allies. There’s no need to anticipate ; just observe and react logically . Bitcoin is about to make a big move : be ready, but don’t rush. Wait for clear signals and act only when the market gives you the green light. Remember, this isn’t about winning a bet but following a method . If you liked this analysis, I kindly ask you to leave a boost or a comment . Let’s discuss it together! ❤️ Best regards, your friend PipGuard 🤝 BTC | BITCOIN: 110K or 85K? PipGuard's Guide 📈📉 Bitcoin is at a crucial moment , and the big question is: will it reach $110,000 or drop to $85,000 ? Don’t panic; the key is to know what to watch and how to act . Here’s a clear , concise , and straightforward analysis. 🎯 TARGETS TO WATCH Bullish Scenario: $98,500 $100,200 $102,500 $106,500 $107,200 $110,000 Bearish Scenario: $94,000 $91,500 $88,500 $85,000 $80,000 ⚖️ THE PIVOTAL LEVEL: $97,800 Above $97,800? The structure remains bullish . Below $97,800? The market starts to lose strength . 🔍 CONFIRMATIONS THAT MAKE THE DIFFERENCE Bearish Confirmations: Closing below $94,000 → the market shows weakness . Closing below $91,500 → we start aiming for lower targets . Bullish Confirmations: Closing above $98,500 → BTC regains momentum . Closing above $100,200 → green light towards higher targets . Note: By "closing," I mean the candle body , not the shadows. This is about clarity , not guessing games. 📌 HOW TO READ THIS ANALYSIS? Follow these steps: 1️⃣ Look at the market’s direction . 2️⃣ Wait for closures above or below the key levels . 3️⃣ Identify the most sensible entry based on confirmations. 4️⃣ Follow the trend and don’t fight it. 💡 PIPGUARD’S MESSAGE The market may be unpredictable , but the rules to approach it are not. Patience , discipline , and solid confirmations are your best allies. There’s no need to anticipate ; just observe and react logically . Bitcoin is about to make a big move : be ready, but don’t rush. Wait for clear signals and act only when the market gives you the green light. Remember, this isn’t about winning a bet but following a method . If you liked this analysis, I kindly ask you to leave a boost or a comment . Let’s discuss it together! ❤️ Best regards, your friend PipGuard 🤝
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by PipGuard
ETH/USDT 1H: Momentum Strong – Can Bulls Break $2,820?!"ETH/USDT 1H: Momentum Strong – Can Bulls Break $2,820?" 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Market Structure & Momentum: Price: $2,734, showing strong momentum after breaking key resistance. RSI at 64.50, confirming bullish momentum but not yet overbought. Clear bullish structure, with higher lows forming. Hidden bullish divergence confirmed on RSI, supporting continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: $2,780 (major supply zone). Support: $2,680 (previous resistance turned support). Fair Value Gap (FVG): $2,600-$2,620 range. Trading Strategy: Entry: Current price ($2,734) or pullback to $2,700 for better risk-reward. Targets: T1: $2,820 (+3.1%). T2: $2,860 (+4.6%). Stop Loss: Below $2,645 (-3.2%). Risk Score: 6/10 – Momentum is strong, but price is nearing major resistance. Smart Money Analysis: Accumulation visible at the $2,600 zone, confirming institutional interest. Market Makers likely targeting liquidity above $2,800. Strong institutional buying pressure evident from the volume profile. Recommendation: Longs remain favorable, but watch for potential resistance at $2,780. Keep tight stops below $2,645 in case of rejection. Break and hold above $2,780 confirms strength for a move toward $2,860. Confidence Level: 8/10 – Bulls in control, but price must clear $2,780 resistance for extended upside. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Cryptokijker
BTC/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Breakout Above $99K?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Structure: Price ranging between $94,500 - $98,500, showing lower timeframe bullish momentum. Institutional accumulation visible at the $95,500 support zone, indicating Smart Money interest. Hidden bullish divergence on RSI—higher lows forming while price prints lower lows. Smart Money Analysis: Market Makers accumulating within the ascending triangle formation, suggesting a breakout setup. Liquidity likely being engineered below $96,000 before an upward move. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: $97,400, with scaled buys down to $96,800. Targets: T1: $98,200. T2: $98,500. T3: $99,000. Stop Loss: Below $96,400 (recent structure low). Risk Score: 7/10 – Favorable long setup, but liquidity sweeps below $96,000 remain a risk. Market Maker Intent: Accumulation phase evident, with higher lows forming inside an ascending triangle. Expect liquidity grabs below $96,000 before a potential breakout. Break above $97,800 confirms bullish momentum for aggressive entries. Recommendation: Long positions favorable within $96,800 - $97,400. Watch for a breakout above $97,800 before aggressive entries. Maintain tight stops below $96,400 to limit downside exposure. Confidence Level: 8/10 – Strong accumulation phase supports a bullish breakout setup. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Deep Consolidation Many of the members asked me to provide the updated analysis for Bitcoin. The main problem with BTC is that the market is currently in a deep consolidation. Since the beginning of the month, the market is barely moving, forming candles with tiny bodies and long tails. The price is currently stuck within a narrow range on a daily. For now, the best signal that you should wait for is the breakout of one of the boundaries of the range, and a candle close below/above that. The side of the breakout will accurately indicate the future direction of the market and a real sentiment. Be patient and wait for the signal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-14-25 : CRUSH PatternHappy Valentine's Day - everyone. Tell the people around you how much they mean to you and how important they are to your life. Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a CRUSH pattern. These types of patterns are usually very large range bars that attempt to REVERT back to a mean price level - in this case - DOWNWARD. Near the end of this video, I discuss some of my Custom Indexes and explain why the data tells me we are moving into a topping pattern for the US and global markets. Many of you watch my Plan Your Trade videos and probably think I make things up as I go. Actually, a lot of data and research go into my decision-making. Ninety-nine percent of that data (usually in predictive modeling, Custom Indexes, and other resources) delivers a clear outcome. In this case, the result is "the markets are TOPPING." So, even though the markets didn't cooperate with my Deep-V breakdown from Feb 10 to 13, I urge you to watch this video until the end, when I start sharing some Custom Index data/charts. Pay attention to what that data tells us. Notably, the Smart Money Index and the Accumulation Phase Index are screaming, "The markets are TOPPING." Gold and Silver move into a Gap-Revert-Stall-Flush pattern, again representing a reversion to the mean price level. I believe today will be another moderately downward-trending Friday, as we've continued to see over the past three or more weeks. Please spend a little time hitting the pause button and checking out some of my Custom Index charts. They are the data that drives much of my decision-making. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
1