BTC/USD Weekly Analysis – Key Levels & Market Structure📌 Major Trend Channel : The price remains within a long-term ascending channel. It recently rejected the upper boundary and is currently testing key support zones.
📌 Key Support Zone: The price is reacting to the SNR - Support level. If this level holds, a potential bounce toward 100,297 (mid-channel level) could be expected.
📌 Order Blocks & Imbalance: There are key liquidity zones, including a discount price imbalance and resistance order block around $55K-$60K, which could act as a magnet in case of further corrections.
📌 Potential Upside Targets: If bullish momentum resumes, the next target aligns with the channel’s 50% level at $100,297, before retesting the upper boundary.
🔍 Overall Bias: Short-term retracement possible, but bullish structure remains intact above $73,969 support.
Risk Warning: Trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please ensure you fully understand the risks and seek independent advice if necessary.
1-BTCUSD
btcusd on bearish retrace#BTCUSD price have multiple retest below 81k, now we await for next double rejection to sell.
If price touch 84200 then bearish retracment is active which will drop the price till 81k. Stop loss at 85196.
Above 85196 have bullish breakout which forms new buy to reach 88k-90k limit.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-14-25: Temp BottomToday's Cycle Pattern is a Temporary Bottom pattern. I suspect the markets may attempt to move a bit lower in early trading before attempting to find a new base/support level.
Yesterday's low may prove to be very important depending on what the markets do today. Initially, I thought yesterday's low was the Temporary Bottom pattern (one day early). But, I do believe the markets will continue to be volatile in early trading today and may move downward to retest lows before trying to move higher - setting up the Temporary Bottom pattern.
Gold and Silver will likely continue to melt upward unless there is some big news that disrupts the US Dollar's downward slide. I see Gold trying to rally above $3200 very quickly over the next 15+ days.
Bitcoin is still consolidating and is currently in a short upward price phase (much like the SPY/QQQ). In fact, the SPY/QQQ and Bitcoin are all in an EPP consolidation phase.
So, that means even though we may see a volatile type of price move over the next 15-30+ days, price is ultimately trapped in a consolidated price range and will/should attempt to break downward into the Ultimate Low.
Therefore, if we get a moderate pullback/rally phase over the next 5+ trading days, be aware that the rally upward will end near March 21-24 and turn downward very sharply before the end of March (based on my research).
You have lots of opportunity if this base sets up for a moderate rally in the SPY/QQQ, but play it cautiously as I don't believe we'll see new ATHs anytime soon.
Get some.
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XAUUSD MARKET NFP NEWS TARGET XAUUSD MARKET currently on 2923 according to time frame H4 market is bullish trend and my analysis is market go on up word KEPP SUPPORT MY ANALYSIS
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 2958
SUPPORT LEVEL.. 2885 IF market break support level then go on down word 2830
IN NFP NEWS MY TARGET 1 . 2970
TARGET 2 . 3000
Bitcoin will reach $221,000The chart explicitly labels a "Breakout" point around December 15, 2024, where the price moves above the $80,000 resistance level of the ascending triangle. This breakout is a significant technical event, suggesting strong buying pressure and a continuation of the uptrend. Following the breakout, the chart notes a "Retracement" phase, where the price pulls back to test the breakout level (now acting as support at approximately $80,000). This behavior is common in technical analysis, as prices often retest previous resistance levels after a breakout to confirm support.
As of March 14, 2025, the current price of $80,228.30 is just above the $80,000 level, suggesting the price may be in the early stages of this retracement or has recently stabilized after testing the support. This positioning indicates potential buying opportunities for traders looking for entry points near this level, with expectations of further upward movement.
Projected Price Target: $221,000
One of the most notable annotations on the chart is the "TG $221,000" label, which stands for "Target Price" of $221,000. This target is projected based on the breakout from the ascending triangle, likely calculated by taking the height of the triangle (the difference between the resistance at $80,000 and the lowest support at $55,000, which is $25,000) and adding it to the breakout level ($80,000 + $25,000 = $105,000). However, the chart's projection to $221,000 suggests a more aggressive target, possibly involving a multiple of the height (e.g., 3x the height, $80,000 + $75,000 = $155,000, still not reaching $221,000) or a Fibonacci extension beyond standard calculations.
Given the significant gap between the current price ($80,228.30) and the target ($221,000), this projection is an unexpected detail, implying a potential multi-fold increase in Bitcoin's value. It aligns with the chart's bullish patterns but involves considerable uncertainty, as market conditions, macroeconomic factors, and adoption rates could influence actual price movements.
Additional Technical Observations
Beyond the ascending channel and triangle, the chart includes several other technical elements:
Support and Resistance Levels: The $80,000 level, initially a resistance during the triangle, becomes a key support level post-breakout. The lower trendline of the ascending channel also acts as dynamic support throughout the uptrend, providing a floor for price corrections.
Volume Indicator (Implied): While not explicitly shown, breakouts like the one labeled are often accompanied by increased volume, which would confirm the strength of the move. Without a visible volume histogram, this remains an inference.
Fibonacci Retracement (Potential): The retracement after the breakout could be analyzed using Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) to identify key support zones, though these are not drawn on the chart.
Momentum and Moving Averages (Implied): Although not visible, momentum indicators like RSI or MACD could provide additional insights. For instance, a strong breakout might correlate with overbought RSI, while the retracement could indicate a return to neutral levels. Moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) might have supported the uptrend earlier, with the price potentially approaching these for support during retracements.
Implications for Traders
The analysis suggests Bitcoin is in a robust bullish trend, supported by the ascending channel, triangle breakout, and projected target. Traders may consider the following strategies:
Buy on Pullbacks: Look for buying opportunities near the $80,000 support level, especially if volume and other indicators confirm buying pressure.
Target Setting: Use the projected target of $221,000 as a long-term goal, but be mindful of market volatility and external factors that could affect price.
Risk Management: Given the significant gap to the target, set stop-loss levels below key support (e.g., below $80,000) to manage risk.
Bitcoin is Headed to $36K And It’s Happening NOW!This might not be the most popular opinion, especially among those who still believe the current Bitcoin bull cycle hasn’t ended. However, I encourage you to take a few minutes, approach this with an open mind, and let me know whether you agree or disagree.
Understanding the Previous Cycle (2020–2021)
The last Bitcoin bull cycle began in March 2020, when BTC bottomed at approximately $3,810. It then surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $69,870 in November 2021, marking the cycle top.
By applying a Fibonacci retracement to this entire range, we can see that the golden pocket (0.618 - 0.786 Fib)—often a key support zone during bear markets—fell between $17,700 and $28,690.
Looking at the chart, BTC beautifully retraced into this zone, even dipping slightly below it to form a cycle bottom at $15,500 in November 2022.
The key sign that the bear market had ended and a new bull market had begun was when Bitcoin broke above the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the previous cycle and established a higher high on the weekly chart. This marked a clear shift from a bearish to a bullish market structure.
The Current Cycle (2022–2025)
From the November 2022 bottom, Bitcoin rallied, setting a new ATH at $73,600—just slightly above the previous peak. After some consolidation, it found strong support at the 0.236 Fib level of the previous bull cycle, signaling that the uptrend was still intact.
The real breakout came when BTC surpassed the psychological $100,000 level and consolidated around the -0.5 Fib extension of the previous cycle. The cycle top appears to have been put in after Donald Trump took office in January 2025, marking an approximately 26-month bull run—longer than previous cycles.
However, a major bear market confirmation signal has now emerged: BTC has decisively broken below the 0.236 Fib retracement of this cycle, which historically signals the end of a bull market and the beginning of a new bear phase.
Where is the Next Bottom?
By analyzing the Fibonacci levels of both the previous and current bull cycles, we can identify key potential support zones where Bitcoin may bottom out:
1. $51,370 - $53,700
• This range aligns with:
• 0.236 Fib of the previous bull cycle
• 0.618 Fib of the most recent bull cycle
• This zone has confluence, making it a high-probability support level.
2. $35,600 - $36,500
• This range aligns with:
• 0.5 Fib of the previous bull cycle
• 0.786 Fib of the most recent bull cycle
• If BTC breaks below the first support zone, this is the next key level to watch.
Historically, Bitcoin bear markets last around one year, so we can expect this downward trend to play out over a similar timeframe.
How to Position Yourself?
For long-term investors, these support zones offer prime buying opportunities to accumulate Bitcoin at discounted prices before the next bull run begins. While the market won’t move in a straight line down—expect bounces and fake-outs—the general expectation is that BTC will find its next higher low within one of these zones.
Looking Ahead: Next Bull Cycle Target
If we use the same -0.5 Fib extension strategy that predicted the previous cycle’s top, we can estimate the next bull market peak. Based on the current cycle’s Fib range, the projected ATH for the next bull run would be around $157,000.
Final Thoughts
While nobody can predict the future with certainty, historical price action, Fibonacci levels, and market structure provide strong clues about where BTC is headed next. As always, flexibility is key—if market conditions change, so should our expectations. But if history repeats itself, these levels offer a solid framework for identifying the best entry points and positioning for the next major bull run.
What do you think? Do you agree with this analysis, or do you see it differently? Let me know in the comments!
BTC/USDT Reversal scenariosThere is bear mood in market, its exactly what is needed for reversal, lets have a look closer. I see 3 options.
1) Manipulation is over, we reached the target of local FIBO 1.618 at 77055$
2) Level 73764$ - its the target of Double TOP , the edge/high of the last block and 0.618 level of grand FIBO
3) POC level of last accumulation block which lasted for 255d at 67436$ - we could reach this level only with fast squeeze and fast buy back, leaving long needle on higher timeframe
BITCOIN Is this a Falling Wedge bottom formation?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading since the February 28 Low within a Falling Wedge pattern, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and at the same time supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Throughout its dominant Bull Cycle pattern, the +2 year Channel Up, it has formed another 6 such Falling Wedges, all below the 1D MA50 and all turned out to be market bottom formations, which paved the way for an immediate bullish break-out. On all occasions, the 1D CCI has been almost as low as on the February Low.
The shortest rebound it made before another break below the 1D MA50, was +26.68% and the highest was +106.96%. As a result this gives us a minimum immediate potential Target of $96800 and a maximum of a little more than $150000. Given that the price has touched the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, like the bottom formations of September 06 2024 and September 11 2023, it is quite likely to see the stronger rebound probability taking place.
But what do you think would be the case? Is this a classical Falling Wedge bottom break-out formation and if so what may be the Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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any day now moon shot to $130,000 then its going down to...any day now we will have a moon shot to $130,000 by march 25 2025 and that will be the top then we are going to a financial reset
Alt coins will 50x before they retrace %98
bitcoin will go down to $17,500 by October 2025
not a financial advise
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Rejection – Bearish Move Incoming?📉 Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Purple Box): Price has tested this area and faced rejection.
Bearish Projection (Gray Box & Arrow): The chart anticipates a drop towards the $76,800 - $77,000 range.
Liquidity Grab? Price might consolidate before a sharp decline.
⚠️ Possible Scenarios:
Rejection Confirmation 🔻: If BTC fails to reclaim $84,470, selling pressure could increase.
Breakout Fakeout? 🤔: A deviation above resistance followed by a dump remains a risk.
🎯 Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $84,470 - $85,078
Support: $80,000 and $76,825
🔥 Final Take: If BTC struggles below resistance, a short setup could play out. Confirmation is key!
bitcoin 2025btc and time
Ladies and gentlemen, let me tell you something. Bitcoin, digital currencies, it's the future. No doubt about it. The world is changing. We’re moving into the 21st century faster than ever before. And folks, the only way to keep up—truly keep up—is to embrace this technology. We have to adapt, we have to move forward, or we’ll get left behind. Believe me.
Now, some people, they’ll tell you that Bitcoin is too volatile, that it’s too risky. Well, let me tell you something. Nothing worth doing is ever easy, okay? There are always going to be risks. But Bitcoin, digital money, it’s the future. It’s the future of finance. And let me tell you, it’s already happening. We have the biggest companies, the smartest people, they’re all talking about it. Tesla, MicroStrategy, you name it. They’re already in. So why aren’t we? Why aren’t we moving faster? That’s the question. We have to be smart. We have to get ahead of the game.
Look, I’ve seen it all—the stock market, the banks, the big banks. They don’t get it. They don’t understand how fast things are changing. But Bitcoin and digital currencies—they understand change. They understand innovation. And that’s what we need. We need innovation, folks. We need to update our systems, we need to update our country. We need to update the way we think about money.
Some people say it’s just a trend, just a bubble. I’ve heard it all before. You know what? They said the same thing about the internet. They said the same thing about smartphones. And look at us now. We don’t want to be the last ones to figure it out. We want to be the first. We want to lead. And that’s what we’re going to do.
So I say to you, the future is bright. We’re talking about an economy that moves faster, more efficiently. It’s the future, folks. We need to make sure we’re part of it. Digital money is coming whether we like it or not, so we’d better make sure we’re on top of it.
And let me tell you, it’s going to be big. The biggest. The world is looking to us. They want us to lead, and I believe we will. We’re going to make sure America is at the forefront of digital finance. We’re going to make sure we’re ahead of the curve. And we’re going to win. We’re going to win big. Thank you, God bless you, and God bless America!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update for 3-13-25What a crazy day. The markets certainly decided to burn the longs almost all day.
I got a few messages from traders who continued trying to pick bottoms in this downtrend. FYI, that can be very dangerous.
If you are a short-term trader and are trying to pick a base/bottom all day today - you have to have a limit in terms of how much you are willing to risk within a single day.
I've seen dozens of traders blow up their accounts in a big, trending market.
Please learn from your actions. Develop a STOP POINT related to your trading decisions.
There is no reason to continue to try to execute "bounce" trades when the markets are trending as strongly as they are today.
This video should help you understand what I see as the potential over the next 5+ days.
We are still trying to hold above critical support near the 50% retracement level on the SPY.
Everything depends on what happens in DC and how the markets perceive risks.
Gold/Silver rallied very strong today. This is FEAR related to risks.
If the US government enters a shutdown, Gold and Silver could skyrocket much higher.
Get some.
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Bitcoin Weekly LINEAR chart shows possible re run of 2021 2X ATHI was just looking at this Linear chart and spotted a couple of things.
So many people Use LOGARITHMIC charts.
In summery, A logarithmic chart is a graphical representation that uses a logarithmic scale, which differs from the conventional linear scale. In a logarithmic scale, the distance between values is not constant but increases by a factor, making it useful for datasets with a wide range of values. This approach helps in presenting numerical information more efficiently and allows for a better visualization of rates of change or percentages rather than absolute values.
A LINEAR chart however, shows you the REAL rate of change.
And on This Linear chart, I have noticed that PA is creating a very Similar Top to the MARCH ATH of 2021
I do not think we will follow it perfectly, as that drop in 2021 was over 50% and that would take us down to 52K, which I think is not a real possibility. But, being open to ALL possibilities, that trend line that was used by PA to bounce to the Nov ATH currently sits around 65K But the longer we wait, it heads higher, towards the 1 Fib ext around the Old 2021 ATH near 70K ( 69300)
Also note, how once PA had Dropped in March 2021, it levelled out and slide sideways for around 7 weeks.
So if we come over to Today, we have just dropped around 30% and seem to have found a Floor around 76K
We HAD to drop out of that Upper range box - It would have been December before we found support on the rising Trend line that has been the trigger for moves higher since 2023
And so, we have dropped to a Lower Range Box ( hopefully ) and this box hits the Rising trend line around June.
This has confluence with a number of other charts
And if we do range sideways, around this level, it is similar to that Range after the drop in 2021.
In 2021, after that range, PA rose by around 122%
I am not to sure we would see that but................
So now we wait to see if we stay in this range or not, with a top around 90K
We could See wicks out of this Range, down to the 70K mark maybe, with swift recovery.....
We may also see further Drop....
there is abcolutly NO guarentee that we will even head higher again.....
We have to wait and see and have plans and stick to them..for both BULl and BEAR
BTC Buy at this Level - NFP News This Week (Volatility Risk!)Short term Buy idea on Bitcoin. This is a riskier idea because:
A) BTC is showing signs of Weakness (so we are counter trend trading)
B) This idea is based on NFP news timing
I may wait until Monday to get clarity (unless you also trade on the weekend)
Overall Idea for this is:
- W1/M candles have big rejection wicks to the downside, retesting the previous Week's wick, hinting at some Buyside potential
- We see divergence with ETH.
- The LTF H4 shows a Break of Structure, momentum move to the upside.
- We've already had a retracement down after, and it validated the gap in price (blue zone), reacting off it, hinting that it will hold.
- Now I'm waiting for the next best price to enter.
Again, NFP volatility can create bigger than usual spikes, so keeping that in mind.
If NFP takes it higher without coming to a better price, so be it - the train will leave without me. Will wait for further PA.
Price will be giving the validation to enter.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 3-13-25 - Fear Settling InWith the US government only about 39 hours away from a complete SHUT DOWN, I want to warn everyone that metals are doing exactly what they are supposed to do - hedge risks. While the SPY/QQQ are continuing to melt downard.
I created this video to show you the Fibonacci Trigger levels on the 60 min SPY chart, which I believe are very important. Pause the video when I show you the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and pay attention to the fact that any upward price trend must rally above 563.85 in order to qualify as a new Bullish price trend.
That means we need to see a very solid price reversal from recent lows or an intermediate pullback (to the upside) which will set a new lower Bullish Fibonacci trigger level.
Overall, the SPY/QQQ are in a MELT DOWN mode and I expect this to last into early next week unless the US government reaches some agreement to extend funding.
This is not the time to try to load up on Longs/Calls.
The US and global markets are very likely to MELT DOWNWARD over the next 2 to 5+ days if the US government does SHUT DOWN.
FYI.
Gold and Silver may EXPLODE HIGHER.
Get some.
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Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Up or Down, I’m Watching!Hey there, trading family—just chilling and watching Bitcoin like it’s my buddy on a rollercoaster. It’s hanging out near that FWB:83K spot, and I’m like, “Dude, if you bust through, I can see you tearing up to $120K-$130K—time for a high-five and a snack!” But if you start slipping with those lower lows, no biggie. You might drop to $79,600, then maybe $78,700, $77,000, or even $73,500. I’m just kicking back, enjoying the show—up or down, it’s all good vibes! If you liked this, comment below, boost, or follow—let’s keep the trading love going!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
BTC: In Weekly TimeframeHere's how the weekly chart looks for BTC.
With 9 hours left until the weekly candle closes, it's crucial for the next weekly candle to turn green and show a rebound. The support trendline around $80K needs to hold strong to maintain positive momentum.
~ Initial Support: $80K
~ Lower Support: $68K to FWB:73K
Stay vigilant—the upcoming week will be crucial.
Trade safely, and always do your own research and analysis before making any decisions.