Explanation of indicators indicating high points
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If it falls below the finger point indicated by the OBV indicator, it can be interpreted that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line is likely to turn into a downward channel.
And, if it falls to the point indicated by the arrow, it is expected that the channel consisting of the High Line ~ Low Line will turn into a downward channel.
Therefore, if it is maintained above the point indicated by the finger, I think it is likely to show a movement to rise above the High Line.
In this situation, the price is located near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, so its importance increases.
To say that it has turned into a short-term uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In that sense, the 106133.74 point is an important support and resistance point.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 99705.62 point.
The fact that the HA-High indicator has been created means that it has fallen from the high point range.
However, since the HA-High indicator receives the value of the Heikin-Ashi chart, it indicates the middle point.
In other words, the value of Heikin-Ashi's Close = (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 is received.
Since the HA-High indicator has not been created yet, we will be able to know for sure whether it has been created next week.
In any case, it seems to be about to be created, and if it maintains the downward candle, the HA-High indicator will eventually be created anew.
Therefore, I think it is important to be able to maintain the price by rising above the right Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85).
Indicators that indicate high points include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, OBV High, and HA-High indicators.
Indicators that indicate these high points are likely to eventually play the role of resistance points.
Therefore,
1st high point range: 104463.99-104984.57
2nd high point range: 99705.62-100732.01
You should consider a response plan depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises in the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise rise, and if it is resisted and falls in the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise decline.
Therefore, the basic trading method should utilize the split trading method.
Other indicators besides the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, the trading strategy in the big picture should be created around the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, and the detailed response strategy can be carried out by referring to other indicators according to the price movement.
In that sense, if we interpret the current chart, it should be interpreted that it is likely to show a stepwise rise since it has risen above the HA-High indicator.
However, you can choose whether to respond depending on whether there is support from other indicators that indicate the high point.
On the other hand, indicators that indicate the low point include the DOM (-60), StochRSI 20, OBV Low, and HA-Low indicators.
These indicators pointing to lows are likely to eventually serve as support points.
I will explain this again when the point pointing to the lows has fallen.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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1-BTCUSD
BTC SHORT TP:103,100Alright, let’s talk real — this might be the Sunday fakeout special 🍿
I’m eyeing a SHORT between 104,500 – 104,800, aiming for 103,000 – 103,350 with a 4RR.
We’re riding the 1H to 3H charts and expecting the move within 15 hours.
Looks like a clean bearish continuation — but with the recent manipulations, anything can happen. Set your stop smart based on your strategy.
If it doesn’t happen in time, toss it. Trade’s invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #Short #PriceAction
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible.
Hope you GOT SOME.
BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge.
Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight.
Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week.
GET SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BTCUSD: Neutral but long term still intact.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.968, MACD = 1795.700, ADX = 23.670) a direct consequence of last week's correction. That correction is though just a pullback on the 1W timeframe, which is more bullish than ever as it's coming off a May 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Since the 1W MA50 supported April's bottom and produced the current rebound (even ATH has been made) that also respected the powerful P1 trendline, this is a bullish wave similar to all prior since the late 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. As all 3 rallied by +100%, we can stay bullish aiming for 150,000 towards the end of the year.
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BTC Short & Trend ChangeA quick setup, i like the look of this, we've had a break of structure on the daily on 4hr in terms of the short term up trend (& 50 EMA) which is initial bias of trend change. After the break we have consolidation, a break and retest of the $105k area.
The Fib is showing a possibility the markets could draw slightly higher before falling which would make sense, especially around a level of such significance as there is likely to be manipulation and market movers here.
Short term trend change to the downside is my bias and i'll look for entry only if the markets can fake a break out up to the 61.8% ($106,750) to be exact. Good RR possibilities with good targets around 1:6.5
Target levels around $100,800 and then again around $98,500. Again, no entry unless i see confirmation from Fib levels.
RSI suggesting BTC top prices?I have my doubts and personally believe this cycle might still extend till later this year. But according to the RSI technicals this might be the top or one of them. MACD is applied on the RSI indicator. MACD has crossed what signals a possible reversal of the bullish trend.
BTC 4H Setup – OB Rejection or Launchpad? Bitcoin is currently ranging below a 4H Order Block (OB) and forming a potential higher low. With price holding above the key 0.618 fib zone (104.1k), this could act as a springboard for continuation — or a trap.
Key Levels:
Support: 104.1k–103.6k (fib cluster & mid-volume node)
Immediate Resistance: 105.1k (OB 4H)
Breakout Target: 107.1k
Fail-safe: 103.0k
Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Path:
Hold 104k zone
Reclaim 105.1k OB = confirmation
Push toward 107.1k & higher liquidity sweep
🟥 Bearish Path:
Rejection from OB + break below 104k
Eyes on 103.0k as next bounce zone
Plan:
Long scalp above 104.2k if volume sustains
TP1: 105.1k (retest OB)
TP2: 107.1k
SL: Below 103.6k (tight invalidation)
📌 “OB rejection or flip? Market’s next impulse hinges on this 104k–105k squeeze.”
FVG re-entry or fail – this level decides the tone.Bitcoin tapped the 0.618 fib at ~$104,100 and front-ran the 1H demand zone. Now it's hovering at a decision point just beneath the 1H Fair Value Gap.
What to watch:
→ Price is pressing into FVG (104.4k–104.7k), aiming for acceptance.
→ Value area high sits at 104,275 – acting as pivot.
→ Break + hold above 104.7k? Clean path to 105.8k.
Plan:
Entry: 104.1k–104.3k
SL: below 103.6k
TP1: 104.9k
TP2: 105.8k (liquidity sweep)
Invalidation: Rejection from 104.7k = probable retest of 103k
Narrative flip potential:
Buyers are defending the mid-range + FVG. Breakout would shift market structure bullish on the lower timeframes.
"Acceptance above the gap = momentum reclaim."
Bitcoin Reverses from Resistance, Eyes $100K SupportBitcoin's rally stalled at the $108,500 resistance level, with prices now pulling back and breaking below the steep uptrend line. The MACD is crossing lower and RSI is falling toward neutral, indicating momentum may be shifting. With the 50-day moving average near $94,400 and horizontal support around $100,000, traders may look for signs of stabilization in that zone before reassessing trend continuation.
-MW
BTC: Slowing DownBitcoin managed to stabilize over the weekend after its recent slide, nudging slightly higher from local lows. We continue to expect the current rebound—interpreted as wave B—to stretch into the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that move tops out, the next leg lower should follow, with wave C driving the price into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That would likely complete wave a in orange and pave the way for a temporary recovery before wave b rolls over into the final drop of wave (ii). The alternative scenario, which we’re still assigning a 30% probability, assumes Bitcoin is already in wave alt.(i) in blue—a more bullish path that would extend the rally well beyond $130,891 without another major correction first.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
$BTC not finished yetHey!
I'm still me, just a quick rebranding honoring my father.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle is far from over. Not saying we bottomed yet. I think prices bewteen 96 - 102k could be reached on the upcoming days.
Althought this bearish momentum, we should encounter a goooood support level which would lead us to a great short absortion. If price holds those levels this week (maybe next too) there is a high chance we will see a new leg above the ATH level.
Im long here. Stay tuned
Bitcoin Daily: It Will Go Lower, I Will Explain WhyIt is hard to make these predictions because there are so many different points of view, so many opinions. There is so much data available that one can easily become confused. We can write an entire book about Bitcoin's next move and still not know what will happen next. I will keep it simple and straight forward and you will be able to understand and appreciate how easy it is when we focus on the chart only. Bitcoin is breaking below 100K.
Bitcoin is already trading at support. The mid-May consolidation range. From this range Bitcoin produced an advance and hit a new all-time high. The all-time high is a triple-top when we take the highs from January 2025 and December 2024. The fact that the action happens below this level now is bearish and this range has been confirmed as resistance.
The market will look for strength and this simply means lower.
Since resistance has been confirmed after a 50% rise, it is normal to see a retrace, can be medium-sized to balance out the strong-long bullish wave. Bullish action was present between 7-April until 22-May, 45 days.
The current retrace can take only a few weeks, think about 15-21 June as a rough estimate but nothing more (can end much sooner).
If you are unprepared and don't have map of the bigger picture, this can become terrifying and even lead to poor decisions at some point. If you know that this is only a retrace and the market will continue growing after a test above 90K, you can rest easy or even take advantage of this situation.
Now, what Bitcoin does is not the entire market. In a bull market, when Bitcoin moves down, money flows to the Altcoins. When Bitcoin goes sideways, the Altcoins grow. So dynamics will be much, much different now compared to what you saw in 2024, 2023 and 2022. The way the market will behave it is basically new for most participants.
The conclusion is that all is good and the chart is pointing lower short-term. After a short-term retrace, we get additional growth. Simple isn't it? It is...
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY may attempt a GAP Breakaway in Trend mode (likely BULLISH). But, the Russia/Ukraine war is overshadowing that potential pattern as big news this morning.
From what I can tell, Russia is mounting a large-scale attack after Ukraine launched a big drone attack targeting Russian aircraft.
No matter how you slide and dice this news, it means this conflict is entering a new phase. A possibly much more destructive phase for all involved.
Gold and Silver are reacting to this news by skyrocketing higher. I believe this upward move in metals could continue for many days/weeks as long as this conflict continues to grow.
BTCUSD is trading slightly downward right now, but not as much as I would have expected based on the news. We'll see how BTCUSD plays out this week and if we get a bigger breakdown over time.
Currently, if you had actively hedged your positions, I believe you will be OK this week as Metals seem to be the big movers right now. The SPY/QQQ should react to this war news, but being somewhat isolated from this conflict economically, we may not see any huge moves in the US markets today.
Overall, hedge your positions to protect against surprise news/risks and try to prepare for the longer-term swings. Volatility will stay elevated over the next few weeks..
So, GET SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Bitcoin: What's next?BTC has lost local support around $107k and currently testing previous resistance around $104k.
If buyers are able to step in between $100k - $104k and reclaim $107k, it will signal strength.
If BTC experiences continued weakness, losing $100k as support, I would expect price to test the $95k - $97k region or 1D 200MA before signaling a reversal.
Descending right angle broadening pattern.Descending right angle broadening pattern and ABC correction waves after 5.wave.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
BTC/USDT – Retest in Play After Breakdown!Bitcoin broke below its 4H ascending trendline and is now showing signs of a retest at the broken trendline zone.
It tried to break the immediate resistance of $105,100 but couldn't sustain it.
📉 Breakdown confirmed
Key Levels:
Resistance: $105,968 | $108,941
Support: $101,539 | $97,205
Bearish Target remains near $97K if rejection holds
Watch how the price reacts here — rejection could lead to further downside. A break back above $105K may invalidate the move.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TrendlineBreak #Retest #BearishSetup #PriceAction
DXY Update..PWL takenGood day traders I’m back yet again with another update but this this it’s DXY(dollarindex)).
Price has taken previous week’s low, and for me that’s the manipulation phase in the power of 3 because my bias is bullish on the dollar and bearish on foreign currencies. Price has taken the PWL in a zone/area where we saw price react higher in that BPR zone/area. For the rest of the week I personally believe we can expect higher prices on DXY, Atleast till the midpoint of that gap above price. ICT teaches more on the importance of that halfway/midpoint of gaps and other PD arrays.
Since we are in a discount zone we can expect price to move higher into the premium range of the daily TF dealing range and our first liquidity (internal) is also inside the premium zone.
BTCUSD Breakdown Incoming? 4H Chart Flags Key Bearish Entry🔵 Entry Point (Sell Limit / Market Entry)
• Around $104,600 – $104,700
This area aligns with the retest of the descending trend line and a weak resistance zone. Price is reacting negatively after hitting this level.
🟥 Stop Loss
• $107,060
Placed just above the weak resistance. This protects the trade in case price breaks structure and invalidates the bearish setup.
🟩 Take Profit Targets
1. TP1: $101,818 (Support 1)
o First major support zone; price has bounced here previously.
2. TP2: $98,020 (Support 2)
o Deeper support and more aggressive target. Aligned with previous wick lows.
🔺 Chart Observations
• Trend Line: Still intact and respected. Price rejected it on the latest retest.
• Structure: Lower highs and lower lows show bearish momentum.
• Volume/Volatility: Tapering candles around resistance indicate weakening bullish attempts.
• Risk-to-Reward
o TP1 R:R ≈ 1.3:1
o TP2 R:R ≈ 2.5:1+
⚠️ Scalper Note
If you’re trading this as a scalp, consider securing partial profits at TP1 and moving SL to breakeven to protect gains. Volatility around macro events or news (like the red event icons near June 3–5) could trigger wicks.
Would you like me to add RSI, MACD, or EMA confluence to strengthen the setup further?
BTC didn’t dump — it tapped.BTC reached into the 1H FVG and wicked just above the OB at 104,204 — delivering premium liquidity and then reversing.
Most are staring at red candles, but the real story is the reaction zone:
Price tagged the 0.618 level (104,559) with precision and reversed with displacement.
Now what?
We're mid-delivery. If BTC can reclaim 104,800–105,000 (mid OB/FVG confluence), a strong move into 105,865 is likely — potentially sweeping for external liquidity near 106k.
Execution Plan:
Entry: 104,600–104,700 range
SL: 104,200 or beneath 103,752 swing
TP1: 105,365
TP2: 106,000+
Key invalidation: clean break below 104,200 with volume
Bias: Bullish while above 104,200
Why: Fair Value Gap fill + OB + 0.618 convergence + responsive wick
This wasn’t a sell-off.
This was a setup.