1-BTCUSD
Observations on Bitcoin Dominance ChartThe Bitcoin dominance level is approaching a significant resistance level, warranting attention. Although this chart is a representation rather than a real market, it appears to adhere to certain universal mathematical principles, suggesting that it may respond to key levels.
Notably, a strong resistance level is present above 60.92, which could potentially cap the current Bitcoin dominance. On the downside, support levels are visible at 57.5 and 55.5, with a more substantial support area at 50.5.
From a broader perspective, the chart indicates that we are currently in a downtrend, which may ultimately lead to a retest of the 39.0 level in the long term (potentially spanning several years).
While the outcome is uncertain, particularly given the representative nature of this chart, a potential decline from current levels could have significant implications for the market. Specifically, it may signal the onset of an "alt season," where alternative cryptocurrencies experience increased activity and growth.
Further updates will be provided as necessary, potentially in the coming years.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-28 : Top Resistance PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Top Resistance pattern in Countertrend mode.
I believe this pattern will represent a moderate early topping price action in the SPY/QQQ - resolving slightly to the downside, then rolling into an upward price trend near the end of the day.
The reason I believe this to be the case is because of two factors.
A. The Countertrend mode suggests the top will actually be a moderate bottom in price (a pullback resolving as a base/bottom).
B. The continued bias for the markets is slightly upward, thus I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to reach new intermediate ATHs before we start to move into the pre-election downtrend.
Gold and Silver will struggle today as both appear to be consolidating in a FLAGGING formation.
Bitcoin is still consolidating in the Phase #3 sideways consolidation pattern of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
Everything is playing out generally very well aligned to my research and cycle patterns. Last week I warned that market price would likely be very difficult in comparison to my SPY Cycle Patterns and that traders should begin to move to protect capital.
This week is the last week you have for any upside opportunities. You need to plan to protect capital (if you plan to) before the pre-election correction. I believe skilled traders will be able to move back into the strongest sectors at a 5.5 to 8.5%+ pullback just after the elections.
That is a smart move if you can pull it off.
Also, don't hold any Gold/Silver futures contracts through the 2-3+ days around the election day. Volatility will be EXTREME and unless you can take the lumps (margin calls), I don't advise anyone trying to trade metals on November 5-6. If you do, get in and get out QUICKLY.
Here we go...
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTC USD UpdateAfter 4 days of filling orders, we got moving with it. This allowed us to fill up orders for days. Something told me it was too good to be true and that it would wick us out, so I left a huge stop-loss and also placed a spot order long just in case. Now we have orders from last month going, plus new ones. I'm really all-in till 70k liquidity level. After 70k I also want to leave a runner. I don't know how far we will go with it, but the trading conditions are good and easy as of now. I hope you guys are taking advantage of these markets and are profitable. I'll keep you posted if we lose bullish momentum or something comes up. Stay calm now and enjoy the ride!
28/10/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $69,526.58
Last weeks low: $65,268.55
Midpoint: $67,397.56
2021's ATH of $69,000 was once again broken last week, that makes it the 8th time this year BTC has broken through that level. Each and every time so far price has rejected off without price acceptance above it.
We are now 7 days away from the US election, with Trump in the lead in the polls and Wall Street preparing for another Trump presidency I expect to see crypto start to push on after the 8 month chop. The plan for a Bitcoin strategic reserve and favourable law-making towards the crypto market is a positive.
We also have the FTX distribution in 2 weeks, that's $16B coming back into the market, perhaps not all of it will stay in crypto but even if a portion of that remains that will be a significant boost to buyside pressure.
All in all BTC is in good shape currently, I would like to see acceptance above the all important $69,000 level by the end of the week setting us up well for the US election. Obviously what happens there is unknown until we get the result and typically fear can be negative for the markets so maybe we don't see acceptance this week but I am confident that the R:R at current price looks good with many signals showing growth is likely going into the end of Q4.
BTC: Imminent Breakout with Final Swing Trade OpportunityA breakout for BTC is on the horizon. We’ve seen a small breach of the upward trendline, and with momentum building, we’re now watching closely for a decisive break of the upper trendline. If this happens, Wave 4 will be complete, leaving only Wave 5 of 5 of 5 remaining.
Once a full open and close above the trendline is confirmed, I’ll be going long, planning to ride it until Wave 5 completes. This could be the final swing trade of the season before a lengthy corrective phase sets in—a potential year-long winter of correction. If you’re looking for a last big trade before the market cools, now’s the time to prepare.
BTC FALLINGIs Now the Right Time to Sell Bitcoin?
As Bitcoin continues to experience significant volatility, many investors are wondering if now is the moment to cash in on their holdings. While Bitcoin has delivered impressive gains for early adopters, the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market presents both risks and opportunities. Selling Bitcoin at current levels could allow investors to lock in profits, diversify portfolios, and reinvest in more stable assets.
Market analysts point to increased regulatory scrutiny, fluctuating investor sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions as factors that could impact Bitcoin’s future price trajectory. For those looking to reduce exposure to risk, selling BTC now can offer a strategic exit while prices remain elevated.
Ultimately, the decision to sell Bitcoin depends on individual financial goals and risk tolerance. However, with the market’s inherent unpredictability, acting sooner rather than later could provide a chance to capitalize on gains and explore other high-potential investments.
BITCOIN All indicators aligned for an incredible 12-month rallyBitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its 7-month Bearish Megaphone pattern, which was essentially the pattern that absorbed via a relief pull-back the incredible rally that the market had since October 2023, fueled at large by the ETF speculation and then launch.
** Bearish Megaphones inside 7-year Channel Up **
This pattern is, as you can see, part of a greater 7-year Channel Up that encompasses the last two Cycles of BTC. Halfway through the 2018 - 2021 Cycle, the market also had a Bearish Megaphone, a little larger, lasting for 12 months before the price broke above it.
** The importance of the 1W MA50 **
That bullish break-out came when the price regained the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and until the Cycle Top, it was never compromised again. In an amazing display of Cycle symmetry, Bitcoin is also being supported by the 1W MA50 right now (has been since the March 13 2023 weekly candle), in fact it was successfully tested and held 3 times since August 05 2024.
** MACD Bullish Cross **
The Megaphone break-out and the 1W MA50 support aren't the only bullish indicators that point to a heavy price increase next. Perhaps the most important of all is the (L) MACD Bullish Cross on, also on the 1W time-frame, the first such formation in a whole year (since October 23 2023). This is a huge development as it comes after 7 months of non-bullish price action, indicating a shift in trend.
** Can the top be at $200k or above? **
When all those indicators were aligned in mid 2020, BTC kick started the 2nd, final and most aggressive Rally of its Cycle. It was +65% stronger than the 1st Rally. As a result, we may experience in the next 12 months a rally of +615% (65% greater than the +373% 1st Rally).
But if this seems too great without a catalyst like the ETF launch was in January, even if BTC replicates the bullish price action of November 2022 - March 2024, it will still hit the $200k mark. What history has shown at least, is that we can stay bullish, until a 1W candle closes below the 1W MA50, whether that's at 100k, 150k or 200k and above.
So what do you think about this triple bullish combo? Is it enough to initiate a 12-month rally? And if so, what is your target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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October 25 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisOctober 25 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement
If you look at the captured image at the top,
The trend is coming out while I am writing the analysis.
In the upper left corner, the purple finger is 68,498 dollars
I proceeded with today's strategy from the final short of the top section yesterday.
*When the blue finger moves,
It is a short position
Long->short switching strategy.
1. 67,963.5 dollars, chase purchase entry section / cut-off price when the purple support line is broken
2. 69,069 dollars, short position switching / cut-off price when the red resistance line is broken
The reason for the chase purchase at 67.9K is that the entry point can be missed
The resistance line is open
On the other hand, I bet on the vertical decline of Tether dominance.
As a trading tip, a rebound from the 1-hour chart support line touch
Can be a condition that can shake things up big. (6-hour, 12-hour chart center line retouch)
Orange resistance line 1 section at the top / Green support line 3
Movement within the convergence section is sideways.
69069 dollars is the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart resistance line.
If the mid-term pattern is broken and the 12-hour chart support line -> resistance line is touched,
I judged that it can be restored to a normal pattern again.
If the strategy is successful,
Try to match the rebound section at the bottom during the weekend.
If you look at the chart carefully,
I left a hidden picture game with technical analysis. Haha
Please use my analysis up to this point as a reference only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
You worked hard this week too.
Thank you.
BTC and SOL Form Bullish Cup and Handle PatternBINANCE:BTCUSDT and BINANCE:SOLUSDT technical analysis update.
BTC and SOL are showing similar chart patterns, each forming a cup and handle. Currently, both SOL and BTC prices are trading within the handle, moving toward a potential breakout. If this breakout occurs, we could see a strong bullish move in both assets.
SOL has already risen 2600% from its bottom, and a breakout could potentially lead to a further 200-500% increase. BTC, on the other hand, has gained 360% from its bottom, and a breakout from this cup and handle pattern could yield an additional 100-200% upside.
BTCUSDT BREAKOUT OR REJECTION?🔹 Current Situation:
Bitcoin is once again testing the top of its long-standing channel, currently around $69,000. Here are the two primary scenarios to monitor:
🔹 Bullish Breakout Path:
If BTC successfully breaks through the channel top and clears the previous high of $69,600, it may initiate a move toward the $71,000–$72,000 zone. The expected sequence in this scenario is:
Initial test of the $69,600 high
Retest of the channel top as support
Strong rally toward the $71,000–$72,000 target zone
🔹 Bearish Breakdown Path:
On the downside, a break below $67,500 could signal weakness and shift momentum towards a deeper decline. In this case:
First Target: $63,700
🔹 Divergences:
Bearish divergences are forming across multiple timeframes, suggesting potential downside pressure if a breakout fails.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
BITCOIN - The Next Target: Minimum $118K...After months away from analyzing the Bitcoin chart, I revisited it and identified a straightforward count, clearing away previous complexities to better estimate Bitcoin’s next target.
Based on this count, we’re now in Wave v of Wave 5, marking the final movement in this 5-Wave sequence that began in 2008.
In this video, I’ll also cover the key levels to watch if you’re looking to trade this move higher.
Stop Level: $58,971
Target 1: $118,000
Target 2: $174,000
This is just an idea and is not investment advice. Always trade with caution.
Preparing For Pre Election Volatility - Stay Protected From RiskI wanted to highlight what I believe is the most likely 5 to 10+ day price activity and why I believe traders should immediately begin to prepare for extreme price volatility.
I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a very moderate rally phase over the next 2 to 4 days, then peak near Oct 30-31 and shift into a very aggressive downward price trend.
That downward trend could evaporate 5.5 to 8.5%++ (possibly even resulting in a 10-14% downward price move in some of the most volatile tech sector stocks/ETFs).
Traders really need to understand the risks of holding positions through the election vs. the opportunities of CASHING out of 80-85% of your holdings and attempting to buy back into those same symbols at a 5.5 to 8.5% discount on November 6-8.
Think about it.
Why take the 6 to 10%+ risk when you don't have to.
Again, I'm trying to help you plan and prepare for what I believe is likely to happen. I could be wrong - we'll see.
But, even if I'm wrong about some of my expected ranges, you would still be able to buy back into these shares at a reasonable price no matter what happens.
Remember, a quick 6 to 10% pullback can provide a very good opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
ATCryptoScan : BTCUSD at that time before launch againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally. This comes with both MACD and VolDiv crossovers and a breakout of a trendline after a period of consolidation.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Seriously Bullish BTC
PS. this is the repeat post... the amended version.
BTCUSD—Testing Probable Pump, Double Top Formation PossibleGM crypto bro’s, today fear and greed index remains in the greed zone at 72, with Stoch RSI touching oversold territory.
On the D1 timeframe, BTC is likely to correct toward our previous range of 65K-64K. However, on the H4 timeframe, there’s an alternate scenario: a potential pump test toward 68K. Should a rejection occur here, we may see a double-top formation on H4.
Probability is just that—probability. Stay sharp, avoid FOMO, and manage your risks. Akki signing off—one chart, one love. Have a great day and stay SAFU.
Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis📈 Why Smart Money is BEGGING for a Bitcoin Dip (Technical Analysis)
MAC Strategy: Your Dip-Buying Blueprint
Monthly and weekly Moving Average Channel indicators are bullish. Here's your shopping list:
- Weekly MAC support: $59,234
- Monthly MAC support: $55,943
These aren't dips - they're gifts. When Bitcoin touches these levels, smart money moves fast.
Ducks in a Barrel Strategy Says "Load Up"
Weekly timeframe say we want to buy the dip. :
- 39 & 52 week MAs trending up and pulling away from each other (bullish momentum)
- Strong uptrend intact in spite of the several months of consolidation..
Perfect storm setup for Ducks in a Barrel:
1. Bitcoin undervalued vs gold/treasuries
2. Stochastic hits oversold at the same time
If you see a Bitcoin dip, REMEMBER: Dips are Gifts.
Stop Missing These Setups
I'll be honest - finding and catching these dips isn't rocket science, but timing is everything. Ready to level up?
- Learn how to implement rules based & non-discretionary trading to become profitable
- Learn to interpret the Commitment of Traders data to gain a major edge in the markets
- Join live market analysis sessions
- Learn my exact entry triggers
- Master risk management
DM me for more information. Serious traders only.
Trading Disclaimer
TRADING CRYPTOCURRENCIES INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information provided in this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change without notice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading decisions and consequences are your responsibility.
The key is whether it can rise above the 1st section
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
When a new candle is created, you should check whether there is support near 68393.48.
And you should also check what movement the StochRSI indicator will show.
From the current position, the important support and resistance sections are
- 68393.48-71280.01
- 65602.01-65920.0
- 61099.25
The three sections above.
If the price is maintained above the HA-HIgh indicator, a full-scale uptrend (stepwise uptrend) is likely to begin.
However, it is important how the BW (100) indicator section, 68393.48-71280.01 section, is broken upward.
-
(1D chart)
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained by breaking upward through the first section, 68393.48-69031.99 section.
If not, you should check for support near 65920.71-67414.39.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 67414.39 point, the point to watch is whether it can receive support near 67414.39 and rise.
-
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of turning upward.
However, it has not yet risen from the overbought zone, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Therefore, when a new candle is created, you should check how the StochRSI indicator appears.
When the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, the decline is interpreted as a strong decline, but eventually you will find the time to buy.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator is below 50, it is recommended to create a trading strategy from a buy (LONG) perspective.
If you trade from a sell (SHORT) perspective, you need to respond quickly and briefly.
The StochRSI indicator is not an all-purpose indicator, but it allows you to know the timing of response and the intensity of the wave to some extent.
Therefore, if you use the StochRSI indicator, you will have less conflict about whether to go up or down right now.
In addition, since you are more likely to trade in the direction of the trend, you will be able to reduce the number of times you cut your loss.
-
Due to the changes in the chart, the next volatility period is likely to start around November 4th.
So, let's check the overall flow when the new month starts.
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If you use the Linear Regression Channel indicator in TradingView indicators, it will automatically draw a parallel channel according to the current price position.
You can set the indicator settings to suit you.
However, the recommended settings are 50 (Length), ohlc4 (Source).
I think that chart tools such as trend lines, channels, and Fibonacci are tools for chart analysis.
Therefore, I do not recommend using chart tools to create trading strategies.
In order to create a trading strategy, you must have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If you have drawn support and resistance points, you can create a trading strategy by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points by referring to the analysis with the chart tool.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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