BTCUSD: Consolidation is about to be over.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.429, MACD = 1547.600, ADX = 23.123) as so far it is failing to stage a proper breakout from the consolidation of the last few days. Based on the long term comparison with the previous Channel Up at the time of the 1D Golden Cross, the consolidation could be over soon, resembling November 4th 2024. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, stay bullish, TP = 165,000.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
1-BTCUSD
BTC: Maintaining Strength Bitcoin continues to hover around the $105,000 level. In line with the primary scenario, we expect the advance in green wave B to extend toward the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This zone can be used to lock in partial gains or establish hedges via short positions. From there, a corrective wave C is likely to follow, driving prices lower into the blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 — marking the end of the larger wave a. A corrective bounce should unfold next, ahead of the final selloff completing blue wave (ii). The alternative scenario, with a 30% probability, envisions a breakout above $130,891 and the establishment of a new high as part of blue wave alt.(i).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTC/USD 1H Short-Term🔍1. General Context and Short-Term Trend
Short-Term Trend: The last dozen or so candles have shown strong fluctuations — a typical sideways market (consolidation) after a clear upward impulse and a quick drop. The price is currently trading in the range of around $104,900–$106,500.
Recent Strong Move: Clear upward impulse from around $104,900 to around $106,900, followed by a quick correction.
📌2. Supports and Resistances (H1)
Supports:
$105,000–$105,200 — Bottom of local wicks and several demand tests.
$104,900 — Lowest point of the last few hours, clear buyer reaction.
Resistances:
$106,200–$106,400 — Upper area of several candles, strong price rejection.
106,900–107,000 USD – The peak of the last impulse, a place of clear supply.
✅3. Candlestick formations and price action
Pin bar / long wick: Candles with long lower wicks are visible around 105,000 USD, which suggests that buyers are defending support.
Double top? (Double top): Peaks around 106,900 USD (03.06 and 04.06) – a classic signal of a potential change in direction to the lower.
Possible consolidation: The last few hours have been a series of alternating candles, signaling the lack of a clear advantage of bulls or bears.
🧠4. Technical indicators (MACD and RSI)
MACD (lower panel)
The MACD line crossed the signal line from the bottom to the top, then a quick correction and currently the MACD is close to zero – no clear trend, momentum has slowed down.
MACD Histogram: Declining, close to zero, suggesting potential lack of strong trend and possibility of further consolidation.
RSI (middle panel)
RSI value ~44–48 – not overbought or oversold, neutral market state.
No divergence – RSI generally follows price, no strong divergences are visible.
RSI bounced off 30 (tested oversold zone and returned to neutral range).
🧠5. What could be important?
Volatility Squeeze: Low volatility after a sharp move often heralds another impulse.
Potential Fakeout: If support at $104,900 is broken falsely (e.g. quick wick and return), a move up could occur.
No clear trend on the hourly chart, rather sideways market in the short term.
📊Summary and scenarios
Scenario 1 (bullish):
If the $105,000-$104,900 level holds, we can expect a test of $106,200-$106,400 and perhaps another attempt to approach $107,000.
Scenario 2 (bearish):
If the $104,900 support is broken (with a candle closed below this level), the next target is around $104,500 and below.
What to watch out for?
Timing of macro data releases - may increase volatility.
Sudden breakouts from consolidation - no trend = higher risk of sudden, false moves.
This Trendline Refuses To Be OverlookedTrading Fam,
While it is somewhat unclear what Bitcoin's next move will be (though I tend to lean towards more upside bias), one thing has become clear ...that aqua blue trendline I have drawn on our chart is proving its significance. Currently, it holds as support. A break to the downside though, and I expect us to drop all the way to 96k. If it continues to hold, a break above our recent high should be expected and new highs will be formed in a relatively quick timeframe.
Stew
BTCUSD Wave Count: Bitcoin Unfolding Wave ((5)) ?Hello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze the Bitcoin chart today using Elliott Wave theory. As we can see, Bitcoin recently made a high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025. We've marked this as the completion of Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)). After that, it dropped to complete Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025. Now, it's moving up, possibly unfolding Wave ((5)). According to Elliott Wave principles, Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. So, our nearest invalidation level is the 31st May's low at $103000. If the price sustains above this level, we can expect it to move towards $115,000 as a Projected Target of wave ((5)). However, if it breaks below the invalidation level, we'll need to re-analyze the wave counts. We've also drawn some trend lines, marked in black dotted lines, which act as support and resistance. This is a 1-hour time frame chart. The red line marking the nearest invalidation level is crucial. If it breaks, we'll need to adjust our wave counts. If it holds, we can expect the price to move up towards $115,000. Let's see how the market unfolds. Please note that this is an educational analysis and not a trading tip or advice.
Analysis Summary
- Analyzing Bitcoin chart using Elliott Wave theory to understand market trends and potential price movements.
- Recent high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025, & Recent Low around $103,000 on 31st May 2025 indicates a significant turning point in the market.
Wave Count
- Completed Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)) suggests a major uptrend has concluded.
- Completed Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025 indicates a correction phase has ended.
- Possibly unfolding Wave ((5)) implies a new uptrend may be emerging.
Key Levels
- Nearest invalidation level: 31st May's low at $103,000 serves as a crucial support level.
- Projected Target: $115,000 represents a potential upside target based on Elliott Wave principles.
Elliott Wave Principles
- Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1: a key rule governing wave relationships.
- Wave ((5)) projection based on Fibonacci ratios and wave extensions.
Chart Details
- 1-hour time frame chart provides a detailed view of recent price action.
- Trend lines marked in black dotted lines highlight key support and resistance levels.
- Red line marking nearest invalidation level is crucial for validating the wave count.
Important Notes
- Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count.
- Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTC-----Sell around 105200, target 104500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 4:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive, the price was consolidating at a high level, and the attached indicator was dead cross running. The general trend of falling is still advantageous, and attention should be paid to the strength and continuation of the falling trend; the short-cycle hourly chart retreated under pressure yesterday morning, and the US market supported the rebound and broke the high point of the previous day, but the time was wrong, so the continuation was not seen in the early morning. It was under pressure again in the morning. The current price is at a low level, and the attached indicator is dead cross running. The four-hour chart is obviously suppressed, so there is probably still a need to continue the decline during the day.
BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Sell at the current price of 105200, stop loss at 106000, and target the 104500 area;
BTC FRACTAL : Has BTC been following THIS EXACT PATTERN?The only difference in terms of the first peak, is the duration. But even the pullback size has been similar:
Interestingly, in terms of the second peak, the increase from the corrective bottom to the new ATH is almost exact at 122%:
Here's why we MAY still have a small push upward:
- The previous time, the peak was at least 6% higher. Currently, that would put us around 116K.
- The current pennant pattern is different from the previous bearish flag.
2%:
Pattern:
Do you think the bearish cycle is starting, or is another push up likely?
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSD
THE FLEX SETUP (EURGBP)Good day traders, I'm back with another setup and it’s only an update that I believe can really provide insight into what to expect from price in the upcoming weeks.
Like I always say that I always want to see price take out a previous week high/low as I use that as a confirmation in term of the power of 3 that I use to try and avoid manipulation, but this doesn't mean I don't get on the wrong side of price moves. Looking at the HTF's overall structure we can see that we in a very bullish structure but... There's a bearish flow in price!! On the weekly TF price left a large FVG(BISI), showing how strong the bullish structure is and now that price is trading on top of this BISI I'm mentioning. If we go one TF lower to the daily TF than on the daily the weekly BISI is a balanced price range and normally how I look at Gaps after been balanced, I treat them like classic support/resistance, but they have to confluence with another PD array first than for me the rules of 'support/resistance' come into play. If you look close into the daily TF, we have relative equal highs inside the volume imbalance created on the 12th of May.
Let's look at how price delivered since opening with a gap lower on the 12th, on that same day price repriced that gap but did not close above it. Why do we want it to close above it? Well ICT teaches more on volume imbalances and the rules or pros and cons. If price closes above the volume imbalance than it becomes balanced once price retests the closure above/below obviously depending on the gap opening. On the 4HTF we saw price shift structure higher and the first thing I see is the candle that had a broken lower high because it also became our breaker. And a FVG inside it making that zone stronger again we can use all the PD arrays together.
MicroStrategy: The Dumbest Bet on WallStreetMicroStrategy: The Bitcoin Bet Masquerading as a Tech Company
Introduction: A Software Company Turned Crypto Casino
Once upon a time, MicroStrategy was a business intelligence firm. Today, it’s a Bitcoin holding company disguised as a software business.
Its market cap has ballooned to over $100 billion, not because of its software, but because of its aggressive Bitcoin purchases. Investors aren’t buying a company—they’re buying a leveraged bet on Bitcoin.
And that bet? It’s built on debt, dilution, and dangerous financial engineering.
The Math Problem: MicroStrategy’s Obscene Valuation
MicroStrategy is worth three times the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Let that sink in.
If you buy MicroStrategy stock, you’re effectively paying three times the price of Bitcoin. It’s like buying Bitcoin at $245,000 per coin when the actual market price is far lower.
This isn’t investing, it’s financial insanity.
The Debt Trap: How MicroStrategy Keeps the Illusion Alive
MicroStrategy’s entire strategy revolves around issuing debt to buy more Bitcoin. It has borrowed $7.27 billion through convertible bonds.
Here’s how the cycle works:
MicroStrategy issues debt at low interest rates.
It uses the money to buy Bitcoin.
The stock price rises because investors think it’s a genius move.
The company issues more shares to raise more money.
It buys more Bitcoin—and the cycle repeats.
This is not a sustainable business model. It’s a Ponzi-like structure that depends entirely on Bitcoin’s price continuing to rise.
The Accounting Trick: Hiding the Losses
MicroStrategy has been misleading investors with custom financial metrics. It created terms like BTC Yield and BTC $ Gain to make its Bitcoin strategy look profitable.
But in reality? It recently disclosed a $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings. And when that news broke, its stock dropped 8.67% in a single day.
This isn’t a company, it’s a high-stakes gamble.
The Risk: What Happens When the Bubble Bursts?
MicroStrategy’s survival depends on Bitcoin’s price never crashing. If Bitcoin falls, MicroStrategy’s stock collapses.
And here’s the worst part:
If Bitcoin crashes, MicroStrategy might have to sell its holdings, triggering a death spiral.
If investors lose confidence, the company can’t issue more debt, and the illusion falls apart.
If regulators step in, MicroStrategy’s entire strategy could be dismantled.
This isn’t a safe investment. It’s a ticking time bomb.
Conclusion: The Dumbest Bet on Wall Street
MicroStrategy isn’t a tech company. It’s a leveraged Bitcoin casino.
Investors aren’t buying innovation, they’re buying hype, debt, and financial engineering. And when the illusion fades, reality will come crashing down.
So ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : Carryover in Carryover modeToday's pattern suggests we may see more upward price consolidation/trending.
As many of you already know, I've been tracking the Excess Phase Peak pattern all the way up this incredible rally from the $480 lows on the SPY. In my opinion, we have moved into the "island" topping phase where price is struggling to break either upward or downward right now.
Currently, price seems to be attempting to break to the upside after yesterday's meltup. Today should be interesting because we could see solid REJECTION of yesterday's move with a big breakdown move. We'll see how things play out.
The SPY trend is still BULLISH based on my research. Thus, until and IF we get a breakdown, traders should continue to expect a MELT UP type of trend in the SPY/QQQ.
Hedging trades is a good idea right now.
Gold and Silver had a big move early this week and have not stalled into a sideways FLAGGING trend. By my estimates, the APEX of the flag will come near 1900-2100 today (Wednesday 6-3). That is when I think Gold/Silver will attempt to move into extreme volatility and attempt to make another big move.
I hope it is to continue the upside price trend, as this breakout move needs to push higher (breaking recent highs) for metals to move into a new dominant upward price trend.
BTCUSD is trading sideways - possibly setting up that DOUBLE-TOP pattern I suggested was going to take place on 5-20-25. Now, with Bitcoin leading the US markets by about 3-5 days (on average), we'll see if BTCUSD can attempt to move into another rally phase or if BTCUSD breaks below the $103k level and moves into a new downward price phase.
In my opinion, look out below.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Price tapped the low — but didn’t break structure. That’s all I BTC delivered a clean sweep into the 15M low, filled the imbalance, and now it’s reclaiming. If you’re still wondering whether it’s valid — you’re not reading structure. You’re chasing candles.
Here’s the setup:
Price swept a key low at 104,870.98, tapping into a precision FVG
That move also kissed the edge of a lower BPR — institutional order flow at work
Now we’re rotating back toward the 15M OB near 106,438.94, with the first real reaction zone at 105,779.08
Above that, fib confluence and the OB offer a decision point: either distribute from 106.4 or break higher into premium inefficiency zones.
If price stalls at 0.5 (105,831) and rejects hard, I’ll expect a revisit to the low. If we blow through with displacement — we’re heading higher.
Execution bias:
Longs are valid as long as price holds above 104,870
TP1: 105,779
TP2: 106,438
Failure to reclaim FVG = scenario invalid, stand down
This isn’t a “setup.” It’s a replay of logic. The market does this every day — if you know how to listen.
More trades like this? No noise, just precision — check the profile description.
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡
Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻.
Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉.
This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good.
In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range.
📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear.
💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
BITCOIN Will it catch up to the rising Global Liquidity again?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to stage yet another short-term rally on its Tariff War recovery Bullish Leg but the picture is even more interesting on the long-term.
This is a simple yet very powerful and explanatory chart where it shows that every time the Global Liquidity (blue trend-line) led the uptrend and started rising before BTC on this Bull Cycle (since the November 2022 bottom), BTC eventually caught up to the trend and closed the Gap.
This time Global Liquidity has been rising since the start of the year (early January) while Bitcoin only started to do so since April 07. Even if the Global Liquidity pauses here, Bitcoin still has the potential to continue rising irrespectively.
How high do you think this can go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Check support near 106775
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(MBT1! 1D chart)
The prerequisite for the previous ATH to rise above is that the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain there.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 106775.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the 96600-101495 area.
The 96600-101495 area is an important support and resistance area for continuing the uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls in the 96600-101495 area, it is likely to fall sharply.
If it falls,
1st: Around 89745
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or 74105-79025
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Therefore, the 96600-101495 area can be seen as an important support and resistance area.
-
(30m chart)
It played the role of support and resistance by touching the area around 105385 several times.
It is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Price is coiled. Expansion is near. The setup is clean — if you BINANCE:BTCUSDT has reclaimed its 4H range low and is now driving into the midpoint of a prior leg. This isn’t random — it’s the prelude to a move Smart Money has been framing for days.
Here’s the breakdown:
Price respected the 0.618 (105,780) and rotated upward — that level is now the line between structure and noise
First objective: OB 4H at 107,839, aligning with 0.5 → 0.382 retracement
If that gets cleared with displacement, we extend into 109,621 — final premium zone before HTF liquidity is satisfied
The upper wick at 111,897 is still untouched — a long-term draw that only unlocks if we break 109k with intent
But if price fails and flips below 105,780, that signals fading momentum — and opens the door for a sweep toward the 4H OB at 104,116 or even the FVG 4H down near 101,998
Execution mindset:
Longs are valid above 105,780
Targeting: 107.8 → 109.6 → possibly 111.9
Invalidation: Daily close below 104,116
Liquidity lies above — Smart Money is already positioned
You don’t need signals when structure tells the story. You just need precision.
More entries, levels, and logic? They’re in the profile description — not in the crowd.
Ethereum Is Not DEAD ... WHY ??? Because BlackRock Says SoMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on ETH here.
ETH Is Not Dead — It’s Just Getting Started
Narrative of ETH being “dead” is short-sighted. Here’s why:
1. Ethereum Is Still Younger Than Bitcoin
• Ethereum launched in 2015, a full 6 years after Bitcoin.
• BTC had over a decade of network effect, price discovery, and global trust before ETH even got its first DApp.
• On the charts, ETH still has room to mature, just like Bitcoin did pre-2020.
• Fundamentally, Ethereum is still evolving — from PoW to PoS, scaling solutions (L2s), and now modular chains.
You’re not late to ETH — it’s just halfway through the marathon.
⸻
2. BlackRock’s BUIDL Fund Is a Massive Signal
• The BlackRock BUIDL fund, launched on Ethereum, already has $3B in AUM — and it’s growing.
• It shows that legacy institutions aren’t ignoring ETH — they’re building directly on it.
• This isn’t speculative hype. It’s tokenized real-world assets backed by the biggest asset manager on earth.
• Smart money is moving into ETH, not away from it.
The narrative is shifting. Institutions aren’t betting on meme coins — they’re betting on Ethereum rails.
Final Thought
ETH is not dead. It’s undergoing the same early-stage skepticism BTC did in its early years. With foundational upgrades and institutional validation, ETH might be the most undervalued top asset in the market today.
⸻
Watch the chart. Track the fundamentals. And don’t sleep on ETH.
#Ethereum #ETHUSD #Crypto #fundamentals #BUIDL #BlackRock #OnChainData #NotDead #TradingView
Watch video for more details
Price isn’t reacting — it’s delivering.BTC just tapped into the 4H FVG with surgical precision.
If you’ve been watching price the way Smart Money does, this wasn’t a surprise. It was the setup.
Here's the structure:
After reclaiming the 4H OB below, price expanded upward into the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4H)
That delivery aligns with the 0.0 fib at 106,770.4 — a premium zone engineered for liquidity harvesting
The next level above is the RB — Reversal Block — where I expect displacement to either fade or accelerate
What matters now is how price reacts on the pullback into the 0.382 → 0.618 fib range (105,338.9 to 104,454.6).
If we see structure hold, I’ll target 107,082.6 next.
If that zone fails — all eyes go back to the OB 4H at 103,023.2.
Execution clarity:
Holding above 104,454 → Long bias continues
Breaking 103,825 with follow-through? Reversal confirmed
Clean invalidation, clean targets — no guessing
The chart’s not lying. It's just speaking in algorithm.
Want trades like this before they hit the box? Check the profile description. Clarity doesn’t need noise. Just rules.