SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 3-13-25 - Fear Settling InWith the US government only about 39 hours away from a complete SHUT DOWN, I want to warn everyone that metals are doing exactly what they are supposed to do - hedge risks. While the SPY/QQQ are continuing to melt downard.
I created this video to show you the Fibonacci Trigger levels on the 60 min SPY chart, which I believe are very important. Pause the video when I show you the proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and pay attention to the fact that any upward price trend must rally above 563.85 in order to qualify as a new Bullish price trend.
That means we need to see a very solid price reversal from recent lows or an intermediate pullback (to the upside) which will set a new lower Bullish Fibonacci trigger level.
Overall, the SPY/QQQ are in a MELT DOWN mode and I expect this to last into early next week unless the US government reaches some agreement to extend funding.
This is not the time to try to load up on Longs/Calls.
The US and global markets are very likely to MELT DOWNWARD over the next 2 to 5+ days if the US government does SHUT DOWN.
FYI.
Gold and Silver may EXPLODE HIGHER.
Get some.
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1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Up or Down, I’m Watching!Hey there, trading family—just chilling and watching Bitcoin like it’s my buddy on a rollercoaster. It’s hanging out near that FWB:83K spot, and I’m like, “Dude, if you bust through, I can see you tearing up to $120K-$130K—time for a high-five and a snack!” But if you start slipping with those lower lows, no biggie. You might drop to $79,600, then maybe $78,700, $77,000, or even $73,500. I’m just kicking back, enjoying the show—up or down, it’s all good vibes! If you liked this, comment below, boost, or follow—let’s keep the trading love going!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
BTC: In Weekly TimeframeHere's how the weekly chart looks for BTC.
With 9 hours left until the weekly candle closes, it's crucial for the next weekly candle to turn green and show a rebound. The support trendline around $80K needs to hold strong to maintain positive momentum.
~ Initial Support: $80K
~ Lower Support: $68K to FWB:73K
Stay vigilant—the upcoming week will be crucial.
Trade safely, and always do your own research and analysis before making any decisions.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-13-25: Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to continue to find support and move into a sideways pullback (upward) price channel.
I believe the markets have reached an exhaustion point that will move the SPY/QQQ slightly upward over the next 5 to 10+ days - reaching a peak near the 3-21 to 3-24 Bottoming pattern.
This bottoming pattern near March 21-24 suggests the markets will move aggressively downward near that time to identify deeper support.
I believe metals will continue to move higher as risks and fear drive assets into safe havens.
Bitcoin should continue to slide a bit higher while moving through the consolidation phase.
Watch today's video to learn more about what I do and how I help traders find the best opportunities.
Get some.
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This could be a bitter end for BTC or an opportunity !!!Do you think this will happen, or do you see Bitcoin below $50K in the future?
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN Money Supply, Dollar and Bonds pushing for MEGA RALLY!This is not the first time we publish a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis in relation to the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line) or Chinese Bonds (red trend-line) and Global Liquidity (blue trend-line). In fact we have been doing this since the late 2022 bands in China and like the highly bearish sentiment that was in the market then, we decided to dive into this cross-asset analysis yet again in order to put the current sentiment in perspective.
Well it couldn't be more relevant. What we discovered is that all the financial assets mentioned above have yet again aligned to offer the strongest bullish confirmation for BTC since the November 2022 Bear Cycle bottom!
More specifically, we are a little past the point where the DXY peaks and declines aggressively, Global Liquidity bottoms and starts rising, while Chinese bonds (our CN02Y/CN20Y ratio) bottom and rise aggressively. In the past 10 years this combination of events has happened 6 times, 2 times during each Cycle: one at the bottom of the Cycle and the other when the final, most aggressive rally starts.
Notice also that (naturally) this is where the stock market (SPX, black trend-line) also bottoms and starts rising aggressively.
As a result, the above market conditions are an indication that despite the recent monthly correction and turbulence due to a number geopolitical and other trade fundamental reasons, the macro-economic parameters remain intact for the wider picture of this Cycle. Truthfully, this is where an announcement next week of future Fed Rate Cuts would come very handy.
So what do you think of this analysis above? Are you fearful that a new Bear Cycle is starting or more confident that the market will soon recover and price a new High? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win This Battle?Market overview:
Daily Timeframe
The daily chart is the foundation of this analysis, providing a macro perspective on Bitcoin’s current market structure. Price is trading between two critical zones, one acting as support and the other as resistance. These levels have historically played a significant role in Bitcoin’s price action, making them key areas to watch for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
Currently, Bitcoin has tested the lower support zone multiple times, showing that buyers are actively defending this level. However, each bounce has been met with selling pressure near the previous support-turned-resistance zone, which indicates indecision in the market. This price action suggests that Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, where liquidity is building before a larger directional move.
There are two potential scenarios that will determine the next major trend:
Bullish Breakout:
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone (the green-marked area on the chart), it would indicate a shift in market sentiment, with buyers taking control. This move would confirm that the recent downside movement was a temporary correction rather than a trend reversal. A clean breakout, followed by a successful retest of the level as support, would provide an ideal confirmation for a long position, targeting higher resistance levels.
Bearish Breakdown:
If Bitcoin loses the current support zone, it would confirm that sellers remain in control. A daily close below this level would likely trigger increased selling pressure, leading to a move towards lower support zones. In this case, a short position would be favored, with potential downside targets in mind.
Since price is still within this range, waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown is crucial before committing to a directional trade. Acting too soon, without confirmation, could lead to getting trapped in false breakouts or liquidity grabs.
4-Hour Timeframe – Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Reversal Signs
Looking at the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has recently swept a major low, a move often associated with liquidity grabs. However, price did not close below this level, suggesting that the move was intended to trap sellers rather than initiate a true breakdown.
Liquidity sweeps occur when market makers push price below a previous low to trigger stop-losses and induce panic selling before reversing the price direction. This failure to break lower could be a sign that Bitcoin is gearing up for an upside move, but further confirmation is required.
1-Hour Timeframe – Key Level for a Bullish Breakout
The 1-hour chart further supports the bullish case, as it also shows a liquidity sweep of recent lows, similar to what was observed on the 4-hour timeframe. This confluence strengthens the idea that Bitcoin may be preparing for a move higher.
A key resistance level has been marked with a black line on the chart. This level represents the most recent structural high that must be broken and flipped into support to confirm bullish momentum.
Trading plan for a long position:
Break Above the Key High – Price must first move above the marked resistance level to signal strength.
Retest & Hold as Support – A successful retest of this level as new support would indicate that buyers are in control.
Entry for a Long Position – Once support is confirmed, a long position can be considered, targeting higher resistance levels.
If Bitcoin fails to break this level, the bullish thesis weakens, and attention should shift back to the daily support zone for potential bearish continuation.
Upcoming Bitcoin-Related News & Events to Watch
While technical analysis provides clear trade setups, macroeconomic events can heavily influence Bitcoin’s movement. Some key fundamental catalysts to watch in the coming days include:
CPI & Inflation Data (March 12, 2025) – Higher-than-expected inflation could negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, while lower inflation numbers could support a bullish breakout.
FOMC Meeting & Interest Rate Decision (March 20, 2025) – The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be crucial. A more dovish tone could provide a bullish tailwind for Bitcoin, while hawkish policy could lead to downside movement.
Final Thoughts
The daily range is the most critical structure to watch, whichever level breaks first will determine the trade setup.
The 4-hour liquidity sweep suggests potential bullish momentum but still needs confirmation.
The 1-hour key high must be broken and flipped into support before looking for long positions.
Macro events like CPI and Fed decisions could heavily impact Bitcoin’s movement.
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Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which had been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 85,769.28
1st Support: 80,188.79
1st Resistance: 88,718.07
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC 3 MONTHS LONG Starts, this week?Waiting for a last impulse 140 ds/3 months on INDEX:BTCUSD BITCOIN, this week could the 3 months BTC LONG START . Why? Let´s see:
- Channel with 4 elliot waves done. Looking for Wave 5.
- RSI 3D breaking out, like 1 year ago.
- RSI W Just about to Break out, like 1 year ago. Looking for confirmation.
- Rate Cuts this week, lets see.
www.tradingview.com INDEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Daily Bullish DivergenceAs the bitcoin price made a LL but the RSI on daily TF made a HL, which gives it a very bullish divergence, but as the price still is below the 200 daily MA , it can goes fall to about 76k but Im not expecting the RSI make a LL, which gives us another bullish divergence.
Btcusd 91000 target This is a Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price chart from Binance on the 1-hour timeframe. The analysis includes key technical levels and projected price movements:
1. Current Price: Bitcoin is trading at $83,148.97, with a slight decline of -0.63%.
2. Support Levels: There are multiple support zones marked in blue/green below the current price, around $80,000 and $77,500.
3. Projected Downside Move: A white trendline suggests a possible dip to these support zones before a potential upward move.
4. Bullish Target: The analysis indicates a potential rally towards $91,000, shown by yellow arrows.
5. Volume Profile: The right side of the chart shows volume at different price levels, highlighting areas of strong interest and liquidity.
Conclusion
This analysis suggests a possible short-term correction before a strong bullish move toward $91,000. It is likely based on support levels, liquidity zones, and historical price action. Traders may watch for confirmation signals at the support levels before entering long positions.
BTCUSD - Decision Time.As we see, price is at the white L-MLH.
This is a critical level.
On one hand, price showed weakness.
On the other hand, price is stretched to the downside, bearing the possibility to shoot upwards from here.
How can we find out what's happening?
By observation and NOT ACTING!
Just watch, observe, and a good entry Long or Short will uncover. FOMO is your greatest Enemy!
Calm down, wait for the sweet Fruits that will be given to you. §8-)
Bitcoin in a falling wedge / bull pennant It’s hard to say where it will. Break up from ths pennant, I put the dotted measured line in an arbitrary spot which will almost certainly have to be readjusted and most likely further down than where I placed it but if it were to somehow break up from the wedge by then and confirm that breakout the target would be in the 145k zone. *not financial advice*
BTCUSD - If it is a Similar Situation to 2017If we are experiencing a similar run to 2017 we would be 847days into the bull run
I have shown the bars pattern for where price could go with the rest of the time left, which shows a 3500% gain this bull market. This is compared to the 2017 run which was a 9000% gain to the top.
We have some bull time left is the take away if the runs are comparable.
Weekly chart.
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD: Last 1W MA50 rebound to the top of the CycleBitcoin remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.004, MACD = -3484.800, ADX = 36.461) but today we see the first recovery attempt. The technical reasoning behind it is that the market is testing its 1W MA50 and in due time it will price the new HL of the Bull Cycle and form the bottom that will hold for the rest of the year until the cycle's very top. This is no different than the last two Cycles, the 1W RSI is even rebounding on its S1 level. Based on that pattern we are looking at a potential Cycle peak between 150k - 200k.
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