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1-BTCUSD

BTCUSD: TSI shows that this is the LAST BEST BUYBitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.997, MACD = 3171.400, ADX = 55.280) as it found support on the 1W MA50 last 3 weeks and is trying to capitalize on this with a bullish reaction. The rebound is closer than ever and in our opinion based on the True Strength Index (TSI), this may be the last best buy opportunity of this Cycle before it tops. The 1W TSI is now on its long term Buy Zone, last time it was there was on the August 5th 2024 bottom. The TSI basically marks bottoms and tops on the last 3 Cycles in particular. More specifically, it makes 5 tops in total, every time it approaches 1.00, it is a signal to sell and wait for it to approach -1.00. We are now as mentioned the closest we've been to -1.00 in 7 months and we came here from Top 4. The Cycle technically has one more Top (5) to give so practically the current levels are the last best buy opportunity of the Cycle. From top-to-bottom, the 2014-2017 Cycle lasted 1470 days, the next one (2018-2021) 1430 days, so if there is a declining rate of 40 days on each passing Cycle, we can start expecting a new Cycle Top by September 2025. The price can be at least 130k be then. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
10
This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a key resistance level around $86,527 and a potential bearish move towards lower support zones. Analysis: Price is currently trading near the resistance zone, struggling to break above it. A sell setup is suggested, expecting rejection from resistance. The first target is around $78,500, with an extended downside target at $75,869 and possibly $71,580 if momentum continues. A stop-loss level is placed above resistance at $86,527, indicating a risk management strategy. The overall structure suggests bearish sentiment unless price breaks above resistance. Potential Trading Plan: 📉 Bearish Scenario: Short below resistance confirmation. Targets at $78,500, $75,869, and $71,580. Stop-loss above $86,527. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and close above $86,527 could invalidate the bearish setup.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
Bitcoin BEARISH chart - Some reasons to remain AlertAs I have said many times, I always look to Both sides. Bullish and Bearish. This way, I manage to always know what I am going to do should a Market Direction change. I got caught out once before..NEVER AGAIN So, While so many, including Me, look towards Further gains in 2025, there are some indications that A TOP has already been reached. There is NO guarantee that another will come in. The First Clue to a change towards BEARISH is in the main chart. PA got rejected off the very same Trend line that rejected PA in 2017 and 2021, on all occasions, pushing PA into a Bearish Drop. That alone should make you Think hard. Next, we have the NUPL chart ( NET UNREALISED~ED PROFIT LOSS ) The Arrow points towards the line, that once crossed has shown us that the high possible Profits available begin to Tempt traders to lock in profit..to SELL. Once above this line, the next line has NEVER been crossed. ALL profit taking occurs in this Zone. You Will also notice how in 2021, when we had 2 tops, the NUPL reached High, Twice and then fell as traders Took the profits. We have just had 2 tops and have just dropped out of the profit taking Range. We may return, we may not. We have to wait but all the while, understanding the more profit taken now, people who buy at current price ranges will have to wait Longer to claim this same level of profit, assuming that the price Rises from here....Or they are in Loss... The SOPR ( Spent Outpuit Profit Ratio ) , shows us that these profits have been taken The thing to see here is the level of Selling, or taking of profit. The SOPR line is down near Neutral, This shows the Selling has Stopped. if we look back at the previous chart, we see that the level of profit is dropping. Less reason to sell....and while PA Drops as it is, there is even more possible LOSS incurred. The people who bought the Top are now getting worried. Also notice the "labels" Top ( Bearish signals) and Bottom ( Bullish signals) We had a Bearish warning around 6 weeks before current Top. The Bullish signal on the bottom line Stopped about 4 weeks ago and you will notice how the "line" has dropped below the neutral line, indicating people accepting Losses, just to get out.... Again, this does not mean we will continue Lower but it is a Loud Warning Bell Fot the Level pf profit to return, we need one of Two things, or Both, to happen 1) Price to Drop so we can Buy Low and wait for PA to rise again and so make profit 2) Buy now. ( Buy the Dip ) and Wait and Hope the Market goes to the prices some people say will happen ( Some are Stupid for this cycle BTW ) The MVRV chart helps us see where that Market is heading. MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value. It is an indicator used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued I am not going to get to techie here but that yellow line is called Z Score and we are in ATH territory when it is above the green MVRV, as can be seen in the chart We are currently Dropping FAST and Z Score is very slightly BELOW the MVRV line. This happened in Summer 2024 and we recovered as you can see. This Means Bitcoin is becoming Less Overvalued but a Long way from Undervalued What I see here more than anything is how the recent High was up on that line where the 2021 ATH was rejected from. It was the same level of Value that made people say, "OK, This is great, I am out" and Sell. Again, understand, the higher the BTC price goes, the heavier it is to move. We may not manage to get a Bitcoin Way up where that 1st 2021 ATH was. Hugely over Valued. THIS is what I am watching more than anything So, are we in a Bear Market ? NO - But it would be easy to fall into a Mini Bear here, or longer one, if the market does not recover by mid June Latest Why ? Because, as ever, for me, The weekly MACD is the -- THE thing to watch If that MACD drops below neutral when it arrives at Neutral, That is a Big red Flag.... But , in an ideal world, we should be able to understand the possibility of that happening BEFORE it does. The charts above help with that - How mush profit is available, is it being Taken, what potential for more March as a monthly candle, is very likely to close RED, as mentioned in other posts, It is APRIL that will really decide where we go next. It needs to be GREEN, even if only marginally. My decision point is if the MVRV continues to Fall past that 236 fib line.....and stays below Then the MACD and SOPR If Capitulation begins - I BUY MORE - at the Bottom ( possibly around 65K - But I do not expect hat this year...... Bear Markets are not all bad.................... Have AI sold any Bitcoin Yet ? NO - thankfully, I still hold enough profit on my earlier buys to cover the smaller losses I may make while I begin to buy again now, which I am doing, in small quanties...Just incase we move higher soon..Because, as I said before, I look to both sides....and I am more Bullish than Bearish right now.....But open to change. I hope you all understand this logic
by Orriginal
BTCUSD Analysis StrategyBitcoin prices are currently hovering around $84,000 as the market's bull-bear struggle intensifies. In the short term, Bitcoin remains in a sideways consolidation and base-building phase. Traders are advised to remain nimble and adjust strategies based on the actual breakout direction. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 87000 buy @ 81500，78500 Finally, I'd like to remind every investor that the cryptocurrency market is inherently highly volatile, and every decision you make may have an impact on your investment returns. you can visit my profile for free strategy updates every day.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by George_Lester
Quantum Doom for Bitcoin?Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency known for its promise of a decentralized structure, faces an existential crisis due to advances in quantum computing that threaten its cryptographic foundation. The article "Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse: The Quantum Threat and Cryptographic Vulnerabilities" outlines a convergence of risks – technological breakthroughs, government influence, and market dynamics – that could potentially bring Bitcoin's value to zero. At the heart of the danger lies the SHA-256 algorithm, which secures the Bitcoin blockchain. Quantum computers, such as those from D-Wave, which claimed to have achieved "quantum supremacy" in 2025, may soon be able to reverse the hashing operation, revealing private keys and destabilizing the entire network. This potential breach, known as "Q-Day," could severely damage trust in Bitcoin and lead to a mass exodus of investors. The forecast becomes even more alarming given the mysterious origin of SHA-256, developed by the NSA (U.S. National Security Agency) and standardized by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). The article raises disturbing questions about the possibility that the NSA possesses unknown vulnerabilities or "backdoors" within the algorithm. Past seizures of Bitcoin by the U.S. government, such as the recovery of a hacker's wallet in 2021, suggest an extraordinary ability to bypass its security – perhaps through undisclosed inside knowledge. Meanwhile, NIST's push for post-quantum cryptography (PQC) hints at the impending obsolescence of SHA-256, but Bitcoin's failure to adopt these alternatives critically exposes it. This lack of preparedness increases the risk, as rivals with quantum computers could act before defenses are strengthened. Market signals add another layer of concern. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in 2023 by financial giants like BlackRock and Vanguard suggests a strategic move where institutional players offload risks onto less experienced retail investors. Combined with repeated government seizures that cast doubt on Bitcoin's anonymity, a scenario is emerging where the cryptocurrency stands on the brink. The conclusion is that Bitcoin's vision of decentralization may not survive this perfect storm – a quantum threat, cryptographic weaknesses, and orchestrated market shifts. For stakeholders, the message is clear: adapt quickly or risk potential collapse.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by UDIS_View
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 3-17: GAP PotentialAs we start moving into the Excess Phase Peak pattern consolidation phase, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt a moderate rally for about 3-5+ days, then roll into a deep selling mode after March 21-24. I don't believe we have reached a bottom - yet. I do see a lot of people talking about "the bottom is in" and I urge all of you to THINK. What do you believe will be the basis of US and GLOBAL economic growth starting RIGHT NOW? Can you name one thing that will be the driver of economic expansion and activity? I can't either. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for more sideways consolidation range trading over the next 60+ days as hedge assets and currencies attempt to balance risks. BTCUSD, Gold, Silver should all be fairly quiet this week. I'm not expecting any huge price moves this week. I expect the SPY/QQQ & BTCUSD to move a bit higher while Gold and Silver melt upward a bit further. Then, after March 21, I expect bigger volatility and a broad rotation in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin where Gold/Silver will start a bigger move higher. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range. From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
Gold Short Setup: Double Top Rejection and Key Sell TargetsThe chart indicates a potential double-top formation near the 3005 level, suggesting a possible reversal if bearish confirmation appears. The price is testing a key resistance zone, and a rejection could lead to a decline toward the rising trendline for support. A confirmed break below this trendline might trigger further downside movement. However, a breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish setup and signal continuation of the uptrend. Waiting for a clear confirmation is crucial before making any trading decisions. For a short-term sell setup, potential targets: - First target: 2,979 (initial support) - Second target: 2,960 (if momentum increases) If price breaks below these levels with strong bearish confirmation, then 2,940 could be the next short-term target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
March 14 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement It is not visible on the chart screen, but in the analysis article on March 11, I connected today's strategy while maintaining a long position of $79,188 at the long position entry point. Also, there was a recent booster manipulation and the participation rate was low, so I kept the analysis article private for the past few days, but how was the difference compared to other analysis articles? I wonder if you felt the gap in my analysis article. It was not a mistake to make the analysis article public today, but I think it would be good to see it as a small gesture of goodwill because new people supported me yesterday and today. It is currently moving sideways after a slight upward touch, and compared to Tether dominance, I created an aggressive strategy. The important part today is that NASDAQ only needs to move sideways If it crashes or breaks the previous low Be careful because Bitcoin will definitely follow I'll summarize it very simply and briefly. *When the red finger moves Long position strategy 1. 82407.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks (It can be pushed up to section 2 at most.) 2. 84965.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target Currently, the top section is roughly the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart. Rather than touching this section and switching short positions It would be better to try to re-enter after long liquidation. (The mid-term pattern is broken based on Tether Dominance) Today, the second sky blue support line is a safe zone where the upward rebound can be maintained From the bottom section deviation, the next support line is the previous low point section marked below, 77,611 dollars. Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
BITCOIN Is this the 'most normal' Cycle of them all ??This is not the first time we use a Convergence/ Divergence approach to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycles and certainly not the last one. On the previous one, it helped us to succesffuly predict the end of 2022 bottom but what we couldn't anticipate is how smooth the new/ current Cycle 5 (orange trend-line) would be. As the title says, this is probably the 'most normal' Cycle of them all, as BTC has been trading within a Channel Up (orange) since the Bear Cycle's bottom more than 2 years ago. To get a better understanding of this claim, we compare Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles from their previous top to the next one (with the exception of the first), on this complete mapping analysis, having them all displayed on top of another: Cycle 1 (green trend-line), Cycle 2 (red), Cycle 3 (blue), Cycle 4 (black) and the current one Cycle 5 (orange). ** Diminishing Returns ** As you see, first of all, this showcases the Theory of Diminishing Returns, which suggests that as the market grows and higher adoption is achieved, BTC will show less and less returns in each Cycle. Every Cycle Top has been lower from the previous one. ** Cycle Convergence - Divergence ** Secondly, all Cycles particularly during their Bear Phase and for a short time after, tend to follow a common path. The illustration on this analysis is very clear as it starts with each Cycle's Bear Phase and you can see that when they diverge, they converge again quickly. The most recent Bear Phase was not surprisingly as long as Cycle 4 and almost Cycle 3, which was to be expected as the market has shown an amazing degree of symmetry in the past 10 years. Note that this is also the model that helped as determine very early in 2023 that Cycle 3 would be the best fit for the new Cycle in terms of price action and without a doubt, BTC has been mostly replicating that Cycle. ** What's next for the current Cycle? ** If we compare the current Cycle (5) with Cycle 3 we can see that the Convergence - Divergence Model is holding. So far when Cycle 5 converged, it immediately diverged. And this is exactly what it has been doing since the December High and the marginal January All Time High (ATH). It has started to diverge significantly from Cycle 3 so what the recent pull-back to the 1W MA50 achieved is to normalize it and is about to touch it. Now that the price hit the bottom of its +2 year Channel Up, we expect to rise, which will achieved convergence and contact with both Cycles 3 and 4, which is what they both did in their last 150 days of their respective Bull Cycles. Technically, this can take Cycle 5 to around $150k. As we've first mentioned in the crypto space, regarding the last Bear Market being the 'smoothest' in history, we can securely say now that the current Bull Cycle is also the 'most normal' ever. So what do you think? Does this Cycle regression model offer any useful conclusion as to where Bitcoin might top and if so, is this Cycle indeed the 'most normal' in the history? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth. Main Scenario The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement. Two possible correction paths: 1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area. 2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range. After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics. Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected. Secondary Scenario Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable. Alternative Scenario In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226). Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
2
Bitcoin Weekly SMA are finally into Sequential order -and now ?A nice simple post here. As you can see, in Late January, the 5 main SMA ( Simple Moving Averages) finaly got into sequential order Under PA This is a sign that PA is bullish. As you can see, in September 202, this happened and PA began its rise after a sharp drop just before hand. It is a bit different this time in that we have dropped AFTER that SMA order was made. But it is still a Good sign HOWEVER - what is important to note, is how PA has fallen below that 21 and we are currently hitting off the 50, searching for Support again. I remain BULLISH and I am sure that within a few weeks, we shall move back over that 21. From were the SMA went into order in 2020, it took about 6 months to reach the first ATH in 2021 PA is rising Much slower than in that cycle but If that repeats, we can see a New Real ATH around July / August I would say that is too early to be honest and so I expect larter. As I said, PA is rising slower this time around. But, anyway, Good News that the SMA have remained in order so far... Something to look forward to
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Go Up Again?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. As long as Bitcoin is above the drawn trend line, we can think about buying transactions. The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and observing capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin’s price has experienced a significant decline, reaching its lowest level in several weeks. This price drop coincides with growing concerns about a potential economic recession in the U.S. and the impact of Donald Trump’s recent statements on financial markets. As a result, many investors have shifted towards safer assets. Analysts believe that Trump’s remarks have intensified market volatility, leading to increased selling pressure across financial markets. Consequently, riskier assets like Bitcoin have also seen a decline in price. Given the uncertainty in the market and doubts surrounding the future of the U.S. economy, experts predict that Bitcoin’s price fluctuations will persist. While some investors see this drop as a buying opportunity, the lack of clarity on upcoming economic policies has heightened overall risk. On March 14, Bitcoin broke its long-standing 12-year ascending support trend against gold (XAU). A well-known analyst, NorthStar, has warned that if Bitcoin remains below this level for a week or more, it could signal the end of its 12-year bullish trend. This breakdown occurred as spot gold prices surged by 12.80% since the beginning of the year, reaching a new record high above $3,000 per ounce. In contrast, Bitcoin—often referred to as “digital gold”—has fallen 11% so far in 2025. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, who previously predicted that Bitcoin would drop below $80K, now believes its decline will likely bottom out around $70K. Meanwhile, reports indicate that Russia is increasingly using cryptocurrencies in its oil trade, which is valued at $192 billion. Digital assets are facilitating the conversion of yuan and rupees into rubles, streamlining transactions. According to sources, Russian oil companies have been utilizing Tether, Bitcoin, and Ethereum in their trades.While digital assets currently represent a small portion of the oil trade, their adoption is growing rapidly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
1
Bitcoin's local perspective 17.03.2025In Friday's analysis "How Trump's Policy Will Impact the Crypto Market", we presented a bearish model for the medium-term perspective👇 Today, our key focus is on the $78,300 level (the 4th point of our model), which serves as significant support. It's important to note the presence of an unfilled gap on CME at the $85,905 level ($85,943 in index terms)👇 We assess the probability of closing this gap in the near term as high – either from current positions or after retesting the $78,300 level. How will we act? If price moves toward $85,943 from current levels, we plan to partially close our #ETH position that was accumulated during the March 11 decline. In the scenario of a retest of $78,300, we will consider opening a long position on #BTC with a target of $85,943.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
1
BTC, seed at 78k.. we are goin for new ATH again this year! BTC, corrected heavily after tapping a parabolic ATH high at 108K levels which warranted a mid term trim down -- which is healthy and sustainable. Price overextended to unforeseen numbers to 70k range to tap 77k levels. An exact precision tap of 61.8 FIB extension zone -- which replicated the same scenario during the 50k era pre-surge season before the massive rally to 100k. Both are bouncing off in this 61.8 fib area with laser accuracy precision which just manifested last night. We are now at the rare accumulation zone signal -- a pre surge basing area where long term buyers converge after that 61.8 fib perfect tap. The diagram above is already showing hint of initial shift of the current metrics. The visual clarity of the signal is day and night. You can decipher it easily. This signal never missed since 15k era. Batting average is 4 out of 4. Ideal seeding was the lowest at 77k. Target: ATH retap at 108k Mid target 120-140k levels. TAYOR. Trade safely.
Long
by JSAL
3
17/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $85,306.40 Last weeks low: $76,622.98 Midpoint: $80,964.69 It's FOMC week again! Last week it was CPI week and inflation numbers came in under forecast signaling the Tradfi market sell-off and implementation of tariffs have at least had a positive impact on the consumer price index, a 2.8% print 0.1% lower than forecast. As this relates to FOMC the forecast is a non mover with interest rates staying at 4.5%. However this does not necessarily mean that FOMC will be a non event in terms of the markets, volatility is always expected and with a suspected Trump insider opening a $380m 40x short position on BTC with a liquidation price of $86,600. I expect this price to be hit at some point this week purely because CT is targeting this account that has had a perfect 8/8 trade record to stop hunt it, I think FOMC could proved the volatility to do it. The general structure of BTC as a whole despite this stop hunt narrative is bearish, after losing $91k support and a retest confirming the level as new resistance structurally it makes sense to revisit FWB:73K to retest it as support. This would be horrible for the broader altcoin market that has suffered greatly so far this year but it would eliminate the need to fill the FVG in the future. This week I am keeping a close eye on that stop hunt and FOMC as I feel that will dictate if we retest $91K or $73K.
by ProR35
2