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1-BTCUSD

Bitcoin Trading Thesis – February 11, 2025🔹 Current Price: $98,402 🔹 Action: OPEN LONG (Buy BTC) 🔹 Target: $100,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $96,500 🔹 Confidence Level: 85% ✅ Why is BTC Looking Bullish? ✅ Market Sentiment: Strong financial & order book indicators suggest bullish momentum. ✅ Technical Signals: RSI & MACD show upward momentum, signaling a potential breakout. ✅ Derivatives Data: Funding Rate: Positive ➝ Traders paying a premium to long BTC. Open Interest: 76,854 BTC ➝ High participation in futures, supporting bullish activity. ✅ Order Book Imbalance: Increased buy pressure from large market orders. Key Scenarios 📊 Bullish Case (Higher Probability) If BTC holds above GETTEX:98K , strong momentum could push it to $100,500 🚀. Breaking $100K could trigger FOMO buying and push prices even higher. 📉 Bearish Case (Lower Probability) If BTC fails to hold GETTEX:97K , it could retest $96,500 support before another move up. A break below $96,500 would invalidate the bullish thesis. Trading Strategy 🔹 Entry: Look for pullbacks near GETTEX:98K for better positioning. 🔹 Stop-loss: Tight risk management at $96,500. 🔹 Target: First take profit at $100,500, reassess for further upside. 💭 Will BTC finally break $100K, or will it pull back first? Drop your thoughts! 👇
Long
by titankarma
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis – Divergence and Bearish Setuphello guys! Divergence Between Price and RSI: The chart shows a clear bearish divergence between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Price made higher highs, while the RSI formed lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and the potential for a reversal. Price Action Analysis: The price reached the QML2 zone (~$103,000), and there is a clear rejection, suggesting selling pressure. The price is now heading toward QML1, located at around $95,600. If the price breaks QML1 and holds below, the next support target is around $93,455, where further downside could be expected. Support and Target Zones: Support Area 1: QML1 (~$95,600) – key level to monitor for possible breakdown. Support Area 2: QML2 (~$93,455) – potential next stop if QML1 breaks. Resistance Zone: Around $103,000 – the price has been rejected from here, acting as a strong resistance level. RSI Analysis: The RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence, which often precedes a price correction or reversal. RSI Below 50: If the RSI drops below the 50 mark, it could indicate increasing bearish momentum. Trade Setup: Bearish Setup: Entry: Short position below $95,600 (if price breaks QML1 and retests it as resistance). Take Profit: First target at $93,455, then possibly lower towards $91,000. Conclusion: Bearish Bias: The combination of price rejection at the upper resistance level and RSI divergence points to a potential price decline. Key Levels to Watch: The immediate breakdown below $95,600 and subsequent test of $93,455 will be critical for further downside.
Short
by melikatrader94
16
Sector Rotation Analysis: A Practical Tutorial Using TradingViewSector Rotation Analysis: A Practical Tutorial Using TradingView Overview Sector rotation is an investment strategy that involves reallocating capital among different sectors of the economy to align with their performance during various phases of the economic cycle. While academic studies have shown that sector rotation does not consistently outperform the market after accounting for transaction costs, it remains a popular framework for portfolio management. This tutorial provides a step-by-step guide to analyzing sector rotation and identifying leading and lagging sectors using TradingView . Understanding Sector Rotation and Economic Cycles The economy moves through distinct phases, and each phase tends to favor specific sectors: 1. Expansion : Rapid economic growth with rising consumer confidence. - Leading Sectors: Technology AMEX:XLK , Consumer Discretionary AMEX:XLY , Industrials AMEX:XLI 2. Peak : Growth slows, and inflation may rise. - Leading Sectors: Energy AMEX:XLE , Materials AMEX:XLB 3. Contraction : Economic activity declines, and unemployment rises. - Leading Sectors: Utilities AMEX:XLU , Healthcare AMEX:XLV , Consumer Staples AMEX:XLP 4. Trough : The economy begins recovering from a recession. - Leading Sectors: Financials AMEX:XLF , Real Estate AMEX:XLRE Step 1: Use TradingView to Monitor Economic Indicators Economic indicators provide context for sector performance: GDP Growth : Signals expansion or contraction. Interest Rates : Rising rates favor Financials; falling rates benefit Real Estate. Inflation : High inflation supports Energy and Materials. Step 2: Analyze Sector Performance Using Relative Strength Relative Strength RS compares a sector's performance against a benchmark index like the SP:SPX This helps identify whether a sector is leading or lagging. How to Calculate RS in TradingView Open a chart for a sector TSXV:ETF , such as AMEX:XLK Technology. Add SP:SPX as a comparison symbol by clicking the Compare ➕ button. Analyze the RS line: - If RS trends upward, the sector is outperforming. - If RS trends downward, the sector is underperforming. Using Indicators e.g.: You may add the Sector Relative Strength indicator from TradingView’s public library. This tool ranks multiple sectors by their relative strength against SP:SPX Additionally, you can use the RS Rating indicator by @Fred6724, which calculates the Relative Strength Rating (1 to 99) of a stock or sector based on its 12-month performance compared to others in a selected index. Example In early 2021, during economic recovery, AMEX:XLK 's RS rose above SP:SPX , signaling Technology was leading. Step 3: Validate Sector Trends with Technical Indicators Technical indicators can confirm sector momentum and provide entry/exit signals: Moving Averages Use 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages SMA. If a sector TSXV:ETF trades above both SMAs, it indicates bullish momentum. Relative Strength Index RSI RSI > 70 suggests overbought conditions; <30 indicates oversold conditions. MACD Moving Average Convergence Divergence Look for bullish crossovers where the MACD line crosses above the signal line. Example During the inflation surge in 2022, AMEX:XLE Energy traded above its 200-day SMA while RSI hovered near 70, confirming strong momentum in the Energy sector. Step 4: Compare Multiple Sectors Simultaneously TradingView allows you to overlay multiple ETFs on one chart for direct comparison: Open AMEX:SPY as your benchmark chart. Add ETFs like AMEX:XLK , AMEX:XLY , AMEX:XLU , etc., using the Compare tool. Observe which sectors are trending higher or lower relative to AMEX:SPY Example If AMEX:XLK and AMEX:XLY show upward trends while AMEX:XLU remains flat, this indicates cyclical sectors like Technology and Consumer Discretionary are outperforming during an expansion phase. Step 5: Implement Sector Rotation in Your Portfolio Once you’ve identified leading sectors: Allocate more capital to sectors with strong RS and bullish technical indicators. Reduce exposure to lagging sectors with weak RS or bearish momentum signals. Example During post-pandemic recovery in early 2021: Leading Sectors: Technology AMEX:XLK and Industrials AMEX:XLI Lagging Sectors: Utilities AMEX:XLU Investors who rotated into AMEX:XLK and AMEX:XLI outperformed those who remained in defensive sectors like AMEX:XLU Real-Life Case Studies of Sector Rotation Case Study 1: Post-Pandemic Recovery In early 2021, as economies reopened after COVID-19 lockdowns: Cyclical sectors like Industrials AMEX:XLI and Financials AMEX:XLF outperformed due to increased economic activity. Defensive sectors like Utilities AMEX:XLU lagged as investors shifted away from safe havens. Using TradingView’s heatmap feature , investors could have identified strong gains in AMEX:XLI and AMEX:XLF relative to AMEX:SPY Case Study 2: Inflation Surge in Late 2022 As inflation surged in late 2022: Energy AMEX:XLE and Materials AMEX:XLB outperformed due to rising commodity prices. Technology AMEX:XLK underperformed as higher interest rates hurt growth stocks. By monitoring RS lines for AMEX:XLE and AMEX:XLB on TradingView charts, investors could have rotated into these sectors ahead of broader market gains. Limitations of Sector Rotation Strategies Transaction Costs : Frequent rebalancing can erode returns over time. Market Timing Challenges : Predicting economic cycles accurately is difficult and prone to errors. False Signal s: Technical indicators like MACD or RSI can produce false positives during volatile markets. Historical Bias : Backtested strategies often fail when applied to future market conditions. Conclusion Sector rotation is a useful framework for aligning investments with macroeconomic trends but should be approached with caution due to its inherent limitations. By leveraging TradingView ’s tools, such as relative strength analysis, heatmaps, and technical indicators, investors can systematically analyze sector performance and make informed decisions about portfolio allocation. While academic research shows that sector rotation strategies do not consistently outperform simpler approaches like market timing or buy-and-hold strategies, they remain valuable for diversification and risk management when used judiciously.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradeVizion
9
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone. Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours). Buckle up. This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge close to breaking to $105.5kBitcoin is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.917, MACD = -782.200, ADX = 41.331) but neutral on both 1H and 4H, as it is close to conclude a Falling Wedge. Today the price held the 1H MA50 for the first time after a test of the pattern's top, which increases the chances of a bullish break out. Buy only if the break out happens and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 105,500), which happens to be just under the R1 level. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
ADA - JUST ANOTHER DASHI'm a firm believer in Cardano and I will keep stacking it up for my retirement... but this cycle is over folks. I don't like fractals but the results of overlaying DASH onto ADA's chart speak for themselves. The similarities these two share are kind of mind blowing. Two ingenious, open, freedom preserving projects who have robust and loyal communities end up getting beat out by venture capitalists. Fight the good fight guys, use your voice, your wallet, and your vote to make Cardano the best it can be. Work together to solve problems and avoid the drama. Cardano will absolutely conquer next cycle.
KRAKEN:ADAUSD
by seanders_
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-10: EveningStar Island PatternThroughout the past week and a half, I've been watching the markets as I prepare for what I believe will be a sudden and fairly aggressive Deep-V setup between 2-10 and 2-13. Yes, that means RIGHT NOW we are sitting on top of a potentially aggressive type of FLASH market move to the downside. Will it come from news, or someone's comments (think Fed comments or news), or will it come from some other source - if it shows up at all. I'm sticking to my Deep-V analysis because I have no reason to believe it is wrong. We may see a mild type of Deep-V pattern, but I believe it will happen anyway. So, as we move into this week's trading, I want to urge everyone to stay very cautious of a potential FLASH breakdown into my Deep-V type of price activity. As you may get trapped into longs and feel comfortable entering some solid bullish price trends/trades, be aware that this FLASH breakdown (Deep-V pattern) may still be lurking behind what appears to be a solid uptrend (for now). Gold and Silver are falling - which is perfect for my Expansion Phase rally to $4400+ (gold). Bitcoin is stalling - preparing for a breakdown. This is the time to prepare for the rest fo 2025. Follow my research to know when you JUMP INTO the markets for greater success. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
2
Bitcoin is hunting for liquidity, What's next?📊 After attempting to break $100K, Bitcoin faced another rejection. What’s happening now? The SMA shows that Bitcoin is still in a short-term downtrend, struggling to gain momentum. Right now, it’s hovering around $96,400 – $96,500, trying to stabilize. The key support to watch is $94,400 – $94,600—if it holds, we could see a bounce. If not, things might get shaky. On the upside, Bitcoin needs to break $100K first before making a real move toward $103K and beyond. For now, all eyes are on the $94K support. Will BINANCE:BTCUSDT hold or dip lower? What do you think?
by MonoCoinSignal
4
Bitcoin Intraday Thesis – February 10, 2025Market Context & Decision Current BTC price: $97,336 Position: HOLD BUY (Entry: $95,414) Target: $98,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $94,800 Key Insights 🔹 Bullish Sentiment – Financial data and historical trends suggest strong upward momentum. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals, with BTC showing short-term overbought conditions, requiring caution. 🔹 Derivatives Data – Funding Rate: -0.02% (Slight negative bias, but not strongly bearish). Open Interest: 75,758 BTC (Healthy market activity). Price Expectations & Strategy 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (80% Confidence) BTC pushes towards $98,500 if bullish sentiment continues. Strong historical & financial backing supports the upward move. 📊 Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction If BTC fails to break GETTEX:98K , overbought conditions may trigger a pullback. Support at $96K-$95K remains key for continued bullish structure. Conclusion HOLD BUY remains the optimal strategy. BTC likely to test $98,500, but traders should monitor support levels in case of volatility. Keep an eye on funding rates & open interest for further confirmation. 🚀 Will Bitcoin reach $98,500 or face a pullback? Let’s discuss! 👇
by titankarma
BITCOIN This is what happened on the last 1D MA100 double test.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles. We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame. As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections. As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought). But what do you think? Is BTC starting a rally to at least $108000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
9
300% gains Best Level to BUY/HOLD DOGE 5 waves correction🔸Hello guys, today let's review H4 price chart for DOGE. Currently pullback in progress, expecting more losses in this market before potential decent reversal/bounce off the lows. 🔸Previously we had a nice run from 8 cents to 40 cents, 500% gains. Currently expecting 5 waves correction to complete at/near 12 cents. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD low at/near 12 cents once the 5 wave correction is complete. A/B/C bounce into 36 cents. 300% unleveraged gains possible, patience required. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
32
February 7 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The Nasdaq indicator will be released at 10:30. (Non-farm index) Since it is a sideways section and there are so many variables in the Nasdaq, I proceeded as safely as possible. Also, the sideways section is difficult and complicated to explain, but today, the participation rate was good, so I proceeded simply and mildly. *Red finger movement path Long position strategy (final short) 1. 96,727 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken 2. 100,445.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target until the weekend After reaching the top section, switch to a short position Check the live support line and price range The first section at the top is a sideways market From the first section breakout, an upward trend can be connected. If you don't touch the first section and come down right away, the second section becomes the final long position, and the MACD dead cross imprint on the weekly chart during the weekend is the main key point. Even if it breaks through the top section and continues to rise, the dead cross may continue to press down next week, so it could be a headache. If you look at the bottom, from the current position to the sky blue support line of $98,912.5 (safe zone) and maintain it without breaking away from the bright sky blue of $92,796 at the bottom (danger zone), it would be good. You may have been surprised by the sudden decline last week due to Nasdaq and Trump, but as I explained last time, since the movement is within the expected range, it seems that the direction will be revealed to some extent after this week. I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis so far, and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. You worked hard this week too. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin: the $96K or the $92KAnother week of a higher volatility on the crypto market passed. As the BTC became a part of the mainstream markets, its price continued to react to all concerns that investors on traditional markets have. Currently, the major focus on investors is on the imposed trade tariffs of the US Administration, but also inflation fears. The posted non-farm payrolls and unemployment figures in the US on Fridays implied a higher correction of the US equity markets, and BTC followed. The basis for correction were assumptions of investors that higher average earnings of US employees might trigger a higher inflation and consequently Fed's decision to hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time. Monday started with a huge move of BTC price to the level of $ 92K support line. However, this was an early move to the downside, which was not sustainable at this moment, in which sense, the price of BTC reverted back. During the week BTC was mostly traded around the $ 98K, with several attempts to break the $100K level. As this move was also not sustainable, the market reverted back, and again began sort of side trading between levels of $ 98K and $96K. The RSI is reflecting these moves, moving also in a range between the levels of 50 and 42. The moving average of 50 days slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the distance between lines is high, in which sense, the potential cross is not in the store in the near term. By looking at the daily chart on a larger scale, there is indication that the chart is currently more bearish than bullish. The level of $ 92K is a significant level, which sustained the price of BTC since November 2024. This level was shortly tested on Monday, which implies that the market is potentially eyeing this level in the future period of probably a few weeks from now. Still, for the last four days, the level of $96 was also holding strongly. The question is how long this level can hold the selling pressure? This level is going to be a starting point for the week ahead. In case that this level manages to hold, then there is high probability that the price will revert back toward the $ 98K, most likely will try to test the $100K for one more time. In the opposite case, if it breaks the $96K support line, then the next stop of the BTC might be the $92K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX