Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern
📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now testing the red resistance zone, which aligns with the previous Lower High (LH). The price is also forming a bullish pattern, indicating potential breakout momentum.
🔄 If BTC successfully breaks above this resistance:
First target: Green line level.
Second target: Blue line level (previous resistance zone).
📌 Failure to break the red zone may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
1-BTCUSD
Next Volatility Period: Starting around March 15
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise near the 2nd section.
If not, it is expected to eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
As a result, I think it is highly likely that it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart near 73499.86.
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(BTCUSD 1W chart)
This is the second time that the StochRSI indicator has been maintained at the lowest point (0).
This means that the decline is strong.
In the case of 2014, it formed a bottom section about 15 weeks after that.
We will also have to watch to see if the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is generated due to this decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can be supported near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.414 (79902.66) ~ 2 (80999.68) and rise above 84349.94.
If not, I think it is highly likely that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart near 73499.86.
The next volatility period is expected to start around March 15 (March 14-16) and continue around March 25 (March 24-26).
The point of interest is whether it can break out of the downward channel after this volatility period.
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Following USDT, USDC is also renewing its ATH.
I think this is a sign that a lot of money is flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, even if the current coin market falls, if USDT and USDC maintain their gap upward trend, the coin market is expected to recover quickly.
Accordingly, we need to think about ways to increase the number of coins (tokens) currently held.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 73777.00, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks.
If the support at 73777.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 109588.00 on 01/20/2025, so more losses to support(s) 78180.00 and minimum to Major Support (73777.00) is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57
91037.20
94505.46
98489.63
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
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130000.00
Heiken Ashi Bitcoin chart shows us near Bottom of Range I have posted this chart before so this is an UPDATE
As we can see, PA has come down and now bumped into the rising line of long term support and at the expected % of drop ( -24 )
Does this mean that PA will bounce ?
NO but it does have a higher chance of doing so as the lower Timef rames are now oversold.
The weekly MACD is still falling Bearish and has a few more weeks to go before reaching Neutral.
The Lower Oversold time frames should give PA the energy to rise off this trend line and aim towards Range high
However, as we saw in 2023, PA can drop below and so we need to remain cautious and watch PA closely.
Tomorrow , March 12, we have the USA inflation data being released and this will most likely act as a catalyst to a move in either direction, depending on the data
So, Hang on , Be optimistic while being cautious.. Bitcoin is at a turning point....We are just notto sure in which direction.
Breaking: Bitcoin Made a Comeback Surging 8%The world's first digital asset Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) shocked traders and investors alike as it surge 6% striking a comeback amidst the recent crypto bloodbath placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the FWB:83K zone with eyes set on the reclamation of the $100k Resistance.
Earlier on, we see Bitcoin retraced testing the $70k support point with many altcoins following suit. Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break pass the $90k pivot point which is in lieu with the 38.2% Fibonacci point, a bullish campaign might evolved for CRYPTOCAP:BTC with odds set on the $120k zone.
Data from DefiLama shows industries and crypto projects are migrating to the Bitcoin blockchain network for scalability with about $5.414 Billion locked in Total Value Locked (TVL).
Bitcoin Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $83,341.47 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $58,734,237,674 USD. Bitcoin is up 7.17% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,653,114,998,100 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,835,443 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Retest – Targeting $89K?BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Retest – Targeting GETTEX:89K ?
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Current Market Structure (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Bullish trend confirmed after breaking the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $83,200.
RSI shows strong momentum, with a bullish divergence from recent lows, supporting further upside.
Smart Money Analysis:
Accumulation phase evident between $77K - $78K, confirming institutional positioning.
Multiple bullish order blocks formed, reinforcing higher-low structure.
RSI confirms institutional buying pressure, with momentum favoring continuation.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $83,200 - $83,400 (current retest of breakout).
Targets:
T1: $86,400 (previous high).
T2: $89,000 (major resistance).
Stop Loss: $82,000 (below recent swing low).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward, but market volatility must be considered.
Key Levels:
Support: $82,000, $80,500.
Resistance: $86,400, $89,000.
Market Maker Activity:
Currently engineering a liquidity grab above $84K, likely before a continued move higher.
Volume profile supports bullish continuation, with Smart Money positioning for another leg up.
Recommendation:
Long positions remain favorable on the $83,200 - $83,400 retest.
Watch for price reaction at $84K, as liquidity may be grabbed before a strong move to targets.
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BITCOIN Short term Channel Down rebounding.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a rebound after the price hit the bottom of the 10 day Channel Down.
The bullish wave should attempt at least a +13.73% rise (similar to the previous one) and target 87000.
That is the short term bullish plan as the price may be rejected again at the top of the Channel Down.
If however the 4hour MA200 breaks, it will be the first time since February 4th and should be enough to restore the long term bullish bias back to the market.
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BTC/USD Breakdown? Bearish Target at $70K!🔥
📉 Bitcoin Downtrend Alert! 🚨
📊 BTC/USD (4H Chart) - BITSTAMP
🔻 Bearish Structure!
📉 Lower highs & lower lows – trend is down!
📏 Descending trendline keeping price under pressure.
📌 Resistance Zone (~ FWB:83K - $85K)
🛑 Price struggling to break past strong supply area (purple box).
📉 Support Levels:
🟡 $77,500 🏗️ – Weak support? Possible break!
🔴 Target: $70,000 🎯 – Major support level ahead!
🛠️ Possible Price Action:
1️⃣ Retest resistance 🚀?
2️⃣ Rejection & drop to $77,500 ❌
3️⃣ Break below = CRASH to $70K 💥
⚠️ Warning: Bulls need to reclaim trendline for reversal! Otherwise, bears in control! 🐻💪
📢 Conclusion:
Trend = BEARISH! Until a breakout happens, shorting may be the best play! 🎯
🔥 What do you think? Bullish or Bearish? 🤔👇 #BTC #Crypto
ETHEREUM CRASH TO $786! (UPDATE)Remember my Ethereum sell prediction from September 2024? Despite it pushing a little higher, price has remained within the trendlines & bearish channel, keeping its trend in a 'downtrend'.
We're still within a 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) corrective channel, with the current bearish move down being Wave C. Wave C target still remains around $786🩸
Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K.Bitcoin is gearing up to drop to $50-$55K:
Hey everyone!
As you’ve probably noticed, this week altcoins and meme markets have been falling aggressively, including names from Murad's list like $SPX.
➖ The broader market also shows signs of a downturn. If you check monthly charts for the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and other indices, they’re aligning for a drop.
➖ The catalyst could be anything—from the wildfires in California to a potential strike by Iran on Israel.
Take note of the prepared orders on Coinbase targeting $50-$55K.
➖ Binance’s BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap over the past 6 months (Model 3 from CoinGlass) also highlights liquidation interest in this area.
When you put all the pieces together, the odds favor a drop. Market makers would likely want to shake out recent buyers of altcoins, meme coins, etc., before any significant rally.
Avoid leverage or futures trading—it’s the easiest way to lose your deposit in this environment.
No Financial Advice, Do Your Own Research.
BTC | 4H - 1W | MACRO UpdateBTC has seen a clear bearish trend in the 4h timeframe, after the cup and handle pattern failed to play out. We also notice consecutive lower lows and lower highs, a key sign of a bearish trend.
The technical indicators have turned bearish, and from a macro timeframe is shows a stairstep down may be on the cards.
The moving averages in the daily has turned bearish as we lose the 200d MA.
I hate to say it - but BTC is in full fledge bear mode 🐻
________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Cold thinking on Bitcoin's "pullback moment"This morning, Bitcoin prices fluctuated again, falling below the $77,000 mark and currently fluctuating around $80,000. The market seems to have entered the "pullback moment" again. Faced with price fluctuations, I believe many friends are thinking about the same question:
Is it "getting off the train to avoid risks" or "entering the market at a low point" now?
This question seems simple, but it is actually complicated. Especially in the cryptocurrency market, short-term fluctuations are drastic, and various information noises are intertwined, which can easily make people lose their way. When we are in the "pullback moment", we need a calm thinking, and we should take our eyes off the price fluctuations in front of us and put them into the larger "trend" and "cycle" framework to examine.
Let's take a closer look at what a trend is and what a cycle is.
1. What are trends and cycles?
To understand any market, we should first distinguish between the two key concepts of "trend" and "cycle", and the crypto market is no exception.
Trend: Trend is the long-term direction of the development of things and a grand and lasting force. It represents the most essential and core trend of things, just like a surging river, once formed, it is difficult to reverse.
Cycle: The cycle is the short-term fluctuation in the development of things, and it is the rhythmic change of swinging around the trend line.
Simply put, the cycle is in the trend. However, simple inclusion is not enough to express the complex relationship between them. If the "trend" is compared to the trunk of a tree, the "cycle" is like the rings on the trunk.
When 96% of the world's population does not yet hold Bitcoin, when sovereign funds begin to include crypto assets in their balance sheets, and when blockchain technology becomes a new battlefield for the game between major powers - this galloping "digital ark" has just sailed out of the dock where it was built. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCUSD INTRADAY oversold bounceback capped by resistance at 8800Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 76,112, followed by 74,222 and 67,260.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 98,500.
Conclusion:
The price remains at a pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC/USD (1D) Technical Analysis – March 10, 2025Today, the lowest bitcoin 79201, the highest 84088, the current sharp decline, short-term consideration to buy around 79000, to 81500 sold
BTCUSD Buy @79000-79500
tp: 81500-82000
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USDJPY Falling Wedge Breakout: 300 Pips Bullish Move AheadUSDJPY is currently trading at 147.50, having recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish reversal signal. After the breakout, the pair has completed its retesting phase, confirming support at lower levels. With bullish momentum building, we now expect an upward move toward the 152.50 target, implying a 300 pips gain from current levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the falling wedge is a well-known bullish continuation pattern, indicating that sellers have weakened and buyers are stepping in. Now that the retest is complete, the next key resistance levels to watch are 149.50 and 151.00, with 152.50 being the final target. Support levels are now formed at 146.50 and 145.80, where buyers could step in if any short-term pullback occurs.
On the fundamental side, USDJPY is influenced by Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan monetary policy differences. The Fed's hawkish stance and rising U.S. Treasury yields continue to support USD strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy keeps the yen weaker, allowing the bullish USDJPY momentum to continue. Additionally, risk sentiment and global economic trends favor the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
With the falling wedge breakout confirmed and fundamentals supporting further gains, USDJPY looks poised for a strong bullish rally. Traders should monitor volume and price action for confirmation, as a push above 149.50 could accelerate the move toward 152.50. This setup presents a great opportunity to capture a high-probability trade in the coming sessions.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market.
We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic.
1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year.
But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit.
2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ).
It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!)
😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours....
We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...)
⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
XAUUSD Bullish Pennant Breakout: Gold Aiming for 3020XAUUSD is currently consolidating around 2920, forming a **bullish pennant pattern**, a strong continuation signal indicating potential upside momentum. Gold has been in a steady uptrend, and this consolidation phase suggests that the market is gathering strength before the next move. A breakout above the pennant resistance could push prices toward the psychological level of **3000**, with an extended target of **3020**.
From a technical perspective, a **bullish pennant** is characterized by a brief consolidation after a strong rally, typically leading to another upward surge. If gold **breaks out with strong volume**, it could confirm further bullish momentum. **Key resistance levels** to watch are 2950 and 2970, while **strong support levels** are at 2900 and 2880. A successful breakout could attract more buyers, fueling a strong rally toward the **3020 level**.
On the **fundamental side**, gold remains well-supported by **geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate adjustments**. If economic uncertainty increases or the Fed signals a more dovish stance, gold prices could gain further momentum. Additionally, a weaker **U.S. dollar and falling bond yields** could add fuel to the bullish case for XAUUSD.
In conclusion, XAUUSD is forming a **bullish pennant**, signaling a potential breakout toward 3020. **Traders should watch for volume confirmation and breakout signals above resistance levels** to enter positions strategically. If the breakout is confirmed, we can expect gold to gain further strength, presenting a great buying opportunity for traders.
Bitcoin Perfect bounce off the 2;272 Fib - we need to stay above
Bitcoin retraced down to 76573 usd and this is just below the 2.272 fib extension line at 78930.
Previously, PA had dropped to this area at 78187 on 28 Feb
We can slao see how on 9th Nov 2024, PA has found this line ot be resistance but managed to break through, leading to the cueent ATH
This is why we really do not want to loose this area as support and I believe th ebulls will try and keep it best they can
However, the Bears are out in Force in many forms.
To aid the Bulls, we have Pa oversold in many time frames on RSI and MACD
This could give support while we continue to wait for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral
We have a few more weeks to wait and so the question is, can the Bulls hold up ?
For me, now we have hit what I hope is the Bottom rung of the ladder in this Range, we now Bounce up higher - But this will not h appen untill tomorrow maybe, which is when we get the USA inflation data, pointing towards interest rate decisions.
Which I believe will not get cut anymore this year...But that is OK - it is stable.
But we have to wait and see how PA reacts.
Be on huiard and Cautious.
Why did stocks and crypto crash, and when will they rebound?At the beginning of March 2025, markets experienced a significant decline due to several key factors. One of the main reasons was increased economic uncertainty following the introduction of new U.S. trade tariffs against China, Mexico, and Canada. As a result of the trade wars initiated by Trump, the world’s wealthiest individuals lost over $40 billion since the beginning of the year. From March 7 to March 10, 2025, shares of leading tech companies and the Nasdaq 100 index (#NQ100) suffered a sharp drop: Tesla’s stock (#Tesla) plunged by 15%, Apple’s shares (#Apple) declined by 4.9%, Nvidia’s stock (#NVIDIA) fell by 5.1%, and the #NQ100 index dropped by 4%.
In the digital asset market, the downturn accelerated after investors failed to see the expected government support for cryptocurrencies. Initial regulatory announcements, which initially sparked optimism, turned out to be vague, leading to disappointment and profit-taking. Finally, fears of a potential recession, fueled by statements from the U.S. president, further eroded investor confidence in both the stock and crypto markets. Collectively, these factors led to a broad market decline and heightened volatility. As a result, Bitcoin dropped nearly 15% between March 7 and March 10, 2025, reaching $77,500.
Despite the current challenges, several factors could contribute to market recovery and growth in 2025:
Advancements in technology and artificial intelligence: Companies specializing in AI and high-tech development continue to attract investments. Giants like Microsoft (#Microsoft) and Google (#Google) are expected to strengthen their positions by expanding AI applications in business and daily life.
Growth in the healthcare and biotechnology sectors: Pharmaceutical and biotech companies remain resilient to economic downturns due to sustained demand for healthcare and innovative treatments. Companies researching cancer and autoimmune disease treatments are expected to draw increasing investor attention.
Transition to green energy: Renewable energy companies are showing steady growth. Tesla (#Tesla) remains a key player, and 2025 is expected to see further expansion in solar, wind energy, and battery technology companies.
Macroeconomic policy stabilization: The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to adopt a more predictable monetary policy, potentially reducing market volatility and boosting investor confidence. In 2024, the Fed aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation, which pressured stock markets and limited access to cheap money. However, by 2025, inflation has begun to slow, which could lead to a more accommodative monetary policy and possible rate cuts.
Institutional investments in cryptocurrencies: A crucial factor is the integration of blockchain technology into the financial sector. Companies like Visa (#Visa) and Mastercard (#Mastercard) are expanding their support for crypto payments, while PayPal (#PayPal) is actively incorporating stablecoins into its ecosystem. This trend is driving broader adoption of digital assets and their practical use in the real economy.
Despite the current challenges, there are significant chances for recovery and growth in both stock and cryptocurrency markets. Analysts at FreshForex predict a market rebound in the second and third quarters of 2025 — don’t miss out!
Our trading platform offers 270 instruments, including CFDs on stocks, cryptocurrencies, and indices with leverage up to 1:2000. Stay ahead of the market and capitalize on trading chances!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-11-25: BreakAway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern offers a fairly strong potential the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find support today. I know I've been telling everyone the markets should find support and are seeking support for the past 3+ trading days. But, the SPY has recently crossed the 50% Fibonacci pullback level and the QQQ has recently crossed the 61.8% pullback level.
These levels will act as moderate support. So, I'm urging traders to patiently wait out the early morning volatility. Today could be incredibly volatile while the markets attempt to hammer out critical support.
BTCUSD has moved to consolidation lows and will likely attempt a moderate rally up to consolidation highs.
This is another reason I believe the SPY/QQQ are attempting to base/bottom near current lows.
Gold and silver have recovered from recent lows very aggressively and are moving into a CRUSH pattern. I believe that the CRUSH pattern will resolve to the upside for metals.
At this point, I believe the markets are relatively well exhausted to the downside. But, we must let price be the ultimate dictator of trending and opportunity.
Thus, it is essential to let the markets FLUSH OUT this potential base/bottom in early trading today before getting aggressive with any trades.
Ultimately, we need to see the markets identify support in this downtrend. If we don't find any support before the end of this week, then we are going to see a very large downward price move that will invalidate many of my expectations, potentially leading to a very large breakdown in US/global markets.
Buckle up. The markets are nearing the DO or DIE phase due to how these Excess Phase Peak patterns are playing out.
I see support setting up and a base/bottom building. If I'm wrong, we'll see a continued downward price trend.
Get some.
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Tips to make a profit of 5000+ on BTCUSDShort-term accurate signal analysis shows support near 76300. The current price rebounded to a maximum of 82000, with a profit margin of 5000+. The current price has rebounded to a maximum of 82,000, and the profit margin has reached 5,000+. There is no chance or luck in the transaction, and only strength can lead to victory.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT