Get started

1-BTCUSD

Bitcoin Analysis - 7 MayThe price continues to move within the range of $91,700 - $100,400. In approximately 3 hours, the FED will announce its interest rate decision. The expectation is for it to remain unchanged. If it remains unchanged; there could be a horizontal consolidation between 94,990 – 97,500. If a breakout occurs, the upward movement will accelerate; otherwise, there could be a pullback to the 91,781 – 94,990 levels. If the interest rate is reduced; the psychological resistance at 100,400 USDT may be tested, and if surpassed, the target of 109,605 (ATH) comes into play. If the interest rate is increased; the supports at 94,990 USDT and below could be tested quickly. The levels of 91,781 and 85,085 USDT become potential targets. With stronger selling, the support zone at the 2024 ATH level of 73,776 USDT may come into play.
by CryptoSignalAPP
"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion. Why Is This Important? Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility. This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts. Security and Storage The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation. Federal Context and Reactions While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy. Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida. Potential Benefits Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors. The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state. Criticism and Concerns As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms. There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible. Conclusion By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.
Long
by HCN-News12
It’s ready to move!#BTC 👍👀 Daily Timeframe Volume has dropped at the end of the bullish move. Price is currently ranging in a decision zone. ✅ BTC is holding above the key 91,640 level. As long as it remains stable above this zone, there’s potential for a move toward the $100K area. ⚠️ As shown in the chart, $100K will act as a major resistance level before any attempt to reach $110K. ⚡ Meanwhile, price is testing the pivot zone around $97,400 — the same level that rejected the last bullish attempt. So far, no strong reversal signals from this zone. ❌ But if price gets rejected again, we could see a breakdown below $93,700 and a retest of the support zone around $91,640. 💵 This support needs to hold for the bullish structure to stay intact. ✅ Historically, this level has repeatedly prevented BTC from dropping toward the $77K zone. 📈 I’m currently watching for a long setup, which will trigger only after a clear breakout above 97,400. 📉 For a short position, I’ll wait for a confirmed breakdown below 91,640.
Long
by RP_Group
BTCUSD INTRADAY bullish breakout above 100,00The BTC/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a phase of sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next directional move. Key Levels: Support: 96,000 (primary), followed by 93,875 and 90,850 Resistance: 104,100, with extended targets at 106,550 and 109,000 A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 96,000 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 104,100 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 101,030 and 106,550 and 109,000 over the longer term. Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 966,000 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 93,875 and 90,850 support levels. Conclusion: While the broader trend remains bullish, BTC/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 96,000 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Targeting 3275This chart shows a bearish setup XAU/USD. Price has recently retested a resistance zone around 3330–3340 after a break of structure (BOS) and multiple change of character (ChoCH) signals. The bearish rejection from this zone suggests a potential downside move. The first target is marked around 3275, indicating a short-term bearish expectation. The cloud (Ichimoku) also aligns with bearish momentum as price is currently trading near or below the cloud. The 1st target at 3275 represents a key support level where price previously consolidated and reversed. It’s likely chosen as a take-profit zone because: It aligns with previous structure support. It’s the nearest significant low after the recent break of structure. It's a conservative target, offering a favourable risk-reward ratio from the current resistance rejection. Traders may expect price to reach this level before assessing further continuation or reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartWizard_1
May 9 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. There is no separate indicator announcement today. With the green support line maintenance condition, I created a strategy for a sideways market with a red finger long position strategy. The main sections are indicated by price, so Please refer to it. This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart. At the bottom left, with a purple finger, I just connected the 99,222.6 dollar long position strategy from the 8th analysis article. *When the red finger moves, One-way long position strategy 1. 102,536 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks 2. Top section 105,417.6 dollar long position 1st target -> Target price in order from Good to Miracle. From Miracle, the report is updated, and the possibility of the report being updated has greatly increased due to yesterday's movement. The 1st purple finger section at the top If it doesn't break through, it's a sideways market, but if it breaks through, it can be directly connected to an upward trend, so it seems safer to operate it as a long position waiting rather than taking a short. (Horizontal range until convergence section 1, 2) From the green support line deviation of section 2 at the bottom Because of the full candle on the left, it can be pushed hard, So you must follow the stop loss price. This week, it is open from Bottom-> 3rd -> 97086.1, So please use it well in real time. Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis And I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price. Thank you for your hard work this week. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary CodeIn-Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary Code Across Four Halvings Authors: SanTi Li, Nahida, Legolas Abstract: This paper focuses on Bitcoin's four halving events from 2012 to 2024, systematically reviewing the halving mechanism, inflation rate trends, and analyzing market performance before and after each halving to explore their impact on price movements. Through historical data analysis and macro comparisons, it is highlighted that Bitcoin has entered a cycle where its inflation rate is lower than that of gold, emphasizing its scarcity and establishing a long-term value logic comparable to traditional assets. Additionally, from the perspective of the four halving cycles, although the price increase post-2024 halving has been moderate, it is still in the accumulation phase, with the real window potentially opening between 2025 and 2026. The article concludes by discussing Bitcoin's core value foundations, including scarcity, decentralization mechanisms, and deflationary models, indicating its maturing logic as "digital gold." 1.Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Block Rewards and Inflation Rate Bitcoin, designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009, has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins. Initially, miners received 50 BTC per successfully mined block, with this reward halving approximately every 210,000 blocks (about four years), gradually reducing the new issuance. The halving cycle officially began in 2012, with subsequent halvings every four years. In 2024, the block reward became 3.125 BTC, leading to an annual inflation of 52,560 x 3.125 = 164,250 BTC, accounting for approximately 0.782% of the total supply. This inflation rate is already lower than that of most developed countries and gold, which has an annual production inflation rate of about 1.5%-2%. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a cycle with an inflation rate lower than that of gold. Fig.1 Bitcoin Halving Cycle Rewards and Inflation Rate Chart As shown in the chart: When each block reward was 50 BTC, the annual increase was approximately 52,560 x 50 = 2.628 million BTC, about 12.5% of the total 21 million supply. In 2025, with a 6.25 BTC reward per block, the annual increase is 52,560 x 6.25 = 328,500 BTC, about 1.564% of the total supply. As of around 14:00 on May 7, 2025, approximately 19,861,268 BTC have been mined, accounting for about 94.58% of the total supply, with a total market capitalization of approximately $2.034 trillion. Compared to the previous halving cycle in 2020, when about 18,385,031 BTC had been mined (approximately 87.5% of the total supply) and the total market capitalization was about $161.8 billion, the market cap has increased by approximately 1,236% over five years. In the next four years, the annual inflation rate will be only 0.782%. Fig.2 Comparison of Inflation Rates in Major Countries (2019-2025) In 2019, China's inflation rate was about 2.9%, and the United States' was 2.3%. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and subsequent stimulus measures, it was predicted that the U.S. would experience significant inflation from 2020 to 2022. Indeed, the U.S. inflation rate reached a high of 8%, later decreasing to around 2.2% by 2024 due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. China's annual inflation rate is about 0.2%, effectively controlling inflation among major countries. Most developed countries have an inflation rate of around 2.5%, but the actual experience of currency devaluation may be more pronounced than statistical data suggests. At this time, the latest Bitcoin halving will further reduce BTC's inflation rate to a new historical low of 0.782%. A lower inflation rate is generally beneficial for any asset, as it increases scarcity. However, this does not necessarily mean the asset's value will increase by 100% in the short term, but it is an important factor in resisting devaluation. ii.Comparative Analysis of Market Performance After Four Bitcoin Halvings Since Bitcoin's inception, each block reward halving has had a profound impact on BTC's market price. From 2012 to 2024, the four halving events exhibit relatively consistent cyclical characteristics. This paper compares market price trends before and after each halving to extract valuable patterns. History never repeats exactly, but before reaching peaks or nearing destruction, similar patterns often emerge. Fig.3 BTC Value Changes Across Four Halving Cycles The chart in Fig.3 summarizes BTC's trend data six months before and one year after each halving, as well as the highest point within the corresponding cycle. It shows that after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced significant increases. Using the closing price on the halving day as a baseline: 2012 halving: over 8,000% increase within one year 2016 halving: approximately 286% increase 2020 halving: approximately 475% increase 2024 halving: approximately 31% increase within one year (as of now), with a peak increase of 68.75% ($109,588) 1.Significant Price Increases Six Months Before Halving Reviewing the four halving events, Bitcoin typically enters an upward trend six months prior to halving. For example: ●2012 halving: 141.03% increase compared to six months prior ●2024 halving: 118.88% increase compared to six months prior This phase often corresponds to the market gradually pricing in the "halving expectation," serving as a strong preparatory signal. 2.Core Explosion Period 6–12 Months After Halving, Not Necessarily the Peak Historical data shows that the 6–12 months following a halving are typically the main growth phase for Bitcoin: ●2012: 8,181.51% increase within one year ●2016: 286.29% increase ●2020: 475.64% increase ●2024: Currently, 31.18% increase, with a peak of 68.75% ($100.9k) Especially in 2012 and 2020, the structure showed "consolidation within six months, followed by an explosion." After one year, the market entered the most significant growth phase, reaching new historical highs. As the 2024 halving has just passed one year, if history repeats, the real explosion window may open between 2025 and Q1 2026. 3.First-Year Post-Halving Trends Provide Preliminary Reference After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin increased by 10.02% within a month but then experienced two months of fluctuation and correction, remaining in the accumulation phase. By October 2024 (six months post-halving), the price had only slightly increased by 6.30% compared to the halving day, far from entering the main growth phase. However, this is not uncommon historically, as both 2016 and 2020 saw significant price movements starting six months after the halving. 4.Bull Market Peaks Typically Occur 6–12 Months After Halving Based on data from the first three cycles, the highest prices relative to the halving day's closing price occurred in the mid-term before the next halving: ●2012: 9,237.15% increase ●2016: 2,825.84% increase ●2020: 700.28% increase In the current 2024 halving cycle, a peak of $109,588 has been observed, representing a 68.75% increase from the halving day, but it has not yet entered an exponential growth phase. This pattern applies only to the current cycle; if Bitcoin reaches values as high as $300,000–$500,000 or even $1 million, its valuation will be enormous. Unless there is significant devaluation of reference assets or further expansion of applications, such as interstellar exploration, it will be challenging to achieve multiple-fold growth in the next halving. Chart Summary: Bitcoin's historical halving cycles exhibit a highly consistent three-phase rhythm: Accumulation and price increase (six months before halving) Stable fluctuation (six months after halving) Main growth explosion (6–18 months after halving) As the 2024 halving approaches its one-year mark, the market may still be accumulating energy for the later explosion phase, similar to the prelude to 2017, coinciding with the early period of Trump's presidency. The Stock-to-Flow chart also indirectly supports the view that Bitcoin is still in a phase of accumulating strength. However, historical data and patterns are only for reference and should not be blindly followed; independent judgment and thorough research (DYOR) are essential. Fig.4 Bitcoin Price Stock-to-Flow Chart III. Scientific Attributes of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value The value of an asset stems from both consensus and intrinsic worth. Long-term consensus, in particular, must be grounded in the asset’s inherent advancement, scientific underpinnings, and irreplaceable first-mover advantage. Bitcoin (BTC) is not merely a crypto asset — it is the culmination of breakthroughs in technology, economics, mathematics, cryptography, and more. Its long-term value is not sustained by market speculation alone, but rather built on a rigorous, verifiable, and manipulation-resistant system design. 1. Scarcity As previously discussed, Bitcoin has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins, encoded in its protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. Through a programmed halving mechanism, block rewards are reduced approximately every four years, with all coins expected to be mined by around the year 2140. Unlike fiat currencies which can be printed infinitely, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature supports its long-term appreciation from a supply-demand perspective. Scarcity is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s inflation resistance and lays the foundation for its status as "digital gold". 2. Decentralization: Neutrality Guaranteed by Consensus Mechanism Bitcoin’s decentralized Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism relies on computational power. Any node can verify transactions and participate in ledger maintenance. This structure avoids issues found in traditional financial systems such as central points of failure, power abuse, or systemic control. Its globally distributed nature significantly reduces the likelihood of a 51% attack. 3. Deflationary Model vs. Fiat Currency Devaluation As shown in Fig.2 (not included here), Bitcoin's built-in deflationary issuance model starkly contrasts with the inflationary nature of global fiat currencies. Since 2020, central banks around the world have launched large-scale QE programs, resulting in currency overflows. Bitcoin has increasingly demonstrated its role as a hedge against fiat depreciation and asset bubbles. It is becoming a safe haven for capital in an era of diminishing trust in fiat money. 4. Technological Attributes: Advanced Cryptography + P2P Network Design Bitcoin integrates multiple cutting-edge technologies: ●ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm): Ensures account security and private key signatures. ●SHA-256 Hash Algorithm: Guarantees data immutability. ●Merkle Tree Structure: Enables efficient verification of transactions within a block. ●Peer-to-Peer Network (P2P): Facilitates global value transfers without intermediaries. These technologies make Bitcoin a robust and unforgeable value transmission network, with infinite scalability potential — laying the groundwork for second-layer expansions like the Lightning Network and future applications. Bitcoin is not only an asset but also a masterpiece of cryptographic engineering. Future quantum-resistance updates are also worth watching. 5. A Challenger to the Global Financial Order: A Non-Sovereign Asset Amidst Dollar Transition The world is witnessing a wave of de-dollarization, with international settlements shifting toward local currencies, gold, and decentralized assets. With its non-sovereign neutrality, global accessibility, and scarcity, Bitcoin has become a crucial channel for capital transfer and value storage, especially in emerging markets and unstable regions. It offers an alternative financial model coexisting with — yet independent from — the dollar and gold: a neutral system of consensus-based currency. In times when national creditworthiness is questioned, reliance on algorithmic credibility could become a strategic moat. Of course, this will require further regulatory oversight to prevent illegal activities. 6. A Potential Financial Infrastructure for Interplanetary Civilizations (Speculative Idea) Bitcoin is the only current value protocol not reliant on any country, bank, or internet entity. Its ledger can exist across planetary nodes — as long as electricity and computing power are available, the network can be maintained. This structure makes it naturally suitable for future space exploration scenarios, such as on Mars or the Moon, where fast and direct usage would be advantageous. While human space exploration is still in its infancy, with no major breakthroughs in stable planetary settlement, this idea remains speculative. However, from a 30–50 year perspective, initial interplanetary applications may not be entirely implausible. Bitcoin (or credit-like tokens) could serve as the base-layer token of human digital civilization. Summary: BTC's Scientific Foundation ●Supply Ceiling (Scarcity) + Consensus Strength (Decentralization) ●Real-World Context: Weakening trust in fiat currency and expanding debt bubbles ●In the face of future uncertainty, Bitcoin's "anchor-like properties" become increasingly prominent. 4. Summary of BTC’s Long-Term Value Trends Through the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycles and scientific fundamentals, the following conclusions can be drawn: Bitcoin’s four halving cycles to date have demonstrated a consistent market rhythm: price rises in anticipation before each halving, followed by short-term consolidation, then a major rally. Post-2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 0.78% — lower than gold for the first time — reinforcing its role as a scarce asset. Against the backdrop of persistent global fiat inflation, expanding credit, and growing fiscal deficits, Bitcoin’s deflationary model and decentralized structure are attracting increasing attention and allocation from traditional capital. Although short-term volatility remains and black swan events cannot be ruled out, Bitcoin's long-term value logic is becoming clearer: it is not just a cryptocurrency, but a new type of asset based on cryptographic trust and decentralized consensus. In future cycles, Bitcoin's value potential, inflation-hedging ability, technical uniqueness, and expanding ecosystem will continue to empower it, building the essential value moat of a true “digital gold”. Disclaimer on Perspectives: Some people dismiss Bitcoin due to market speculation or scam-like projects. However, equating it entirely with such phenomena is an unobjective approach. Projects that rely solely on hype — such as many memecoins — tend to lack sustainability. Risk Warning: This article serves only as educational research and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and make independent judgments. Never blindly follow anyone — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
by OuChiBoy
Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis– Bullish Continuation Toward $111KCurrent Price Context: BTC/USD: $103,696.63 EMA (70): $96,211.07 Trend: Bullish 📈 --- Key Zones & Analysis: 1. RBR Zone (Demand Zone) 💙 Price Range: $95,435.39 – $97,986.81 This area is a bullish support zone where price previously consolidated before the breakout. Potential entry/buy zone 📍 If price pulls back: Bounce expected here 🔁 🟦 RBR Zone: 🔵 97,986.81 🔵 96,211.07 (EMA support) 🔵 95,435.39 --- 2. Resistance / Short-Term Supply 🟥 Small blue box above current price May cause a minor rejection before a breakout Keep an eye out for price action signals here 👀 🟥 Resistance: 🟥 ~103,700 – 105,000 --- 3. Target Zone 🎯 Main Target Point: $111,415.32 Target Range: $111,281.04 – $112,959.60 If price breaks above resistance, this is the next major target Take profit zone 💰 🎯 Target Area: 🔵 111,281.04 🔵 111,415.32 🔵 112,959.60 --- Possible Price Path: 1. 🔼 Break above current resistance 2. 🔁 Or pull back to RBR zone 3. 🎯 Final move toward target zone
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jameshead007
4
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Is a Pullback Coming Soon?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as a dynamic resistance, and rejection here could trigger a corrective move towards the $98,000 support zone. If buyers defend this support level, the bullish structure remains intact, with potential to move back toward higher levels. However, if price breaks below this zone, there will be little to stop it from falling further. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this key area is essential to identify potential buying opportunities. Risk should be managed properly—always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, feel free to share them in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Ingrid_Forex
Bitcoin Short Setup | 30m SMC OB Rejection + Clean RR💣 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 30-Min SMC Short | May 9, 2025 We just caught BTC’s premium tap into a 30m bearish Order Block, followed by a strong rejection candle. This is a classic Smart Money play, where price fills inefficiency and instantly rejects the institutional footprint. 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 📦 Bearish Order Block tapped at $101,752 📈 Strong bullish impulse followed by hard rejection 🎯 Short from premium into discount zone (~$99,114 target) 🔺 Clean Risk-to-Reward: ~1:5+ 💰 High-probability Smart Money setup 📊 Setup Specs: Timeframe: 30min Direction: Short Entry Zone: $101,752 TP: $99,114 SL: ~$102,000 RR: Approx. 1:5+ 💡 Trade Logic: Price made a liquidity grab + FVG fill before tapping a 30min Order Block. The sharp red engulfing candle at the top confirms SMC presence and intention to sell-off. This zone represents premium pricing, ideal for institutional distribution. 🎯 Chart Ninja Note: “Smart Money never chases price… they wait for the retest where the fear begins.”
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )1. Trade Direction: Long • Trend Alignment: • Daily: Strong uptrend resumption with higher highs, higher lows, and price reclaiming above key moving average. RSI > 70 indicates strong momentum. • 15-Min: Bullish breakout from consolidation, steep EMA slope, MACD rising, momentum increasing. • 3-Min: Intraday momentum continuation pattern. Clean bullish price structure. • MACD (All Timeframes): Strong bullish crossover, rising histogram — confirming trend strength. • RSI (All Timeframes): RSI not yet overextended on lower timeframes, suggesting room for more upside. • Price Action: Recent breakout with healthy retracement structure and no major bearish divergence. • Fundamentals (Contextual): • BTC crossing $100K is a psychological milestone likely to invite more inflows. • Macro environment remains supportive for digital assets (inflation hedge, fiat debasement narrative). • Strong market sentiment and volume suggest continuation potential. ⸻ 2. Trade Setup Entry: • Entry Zone: $102,800 • Price is consolidating above previous resistance (~$102,000), now acting as support. Stop Loss: • SL: $101,200 • Below most recent intraday swing low and EMA on lower timeframes, giving it enough room. Take Profit: • TP: $106,800 • Near the next psychological level and extension target from recent measured moves. FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Bitcoin Hits $100K: Bull Run IgnitesWhat Tariff Shock? Bitcoin Surges Past $100K as Market Recovery Continues The cryptocurrency market has been making headlines again as Bitcoin (BTC) surges past the $100,000 mark, signaling a robust recovery and potentially the start of a new bull cycle. In an environment marked by economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating central bank policies, Bitcoin’s remarkable resurgence has captured the attention of retail investors, institutional participants, and financial analysts alike. This article delves into multiple facets of Bitcoin’s ongoing rally, including its recent rebound after a sharp drop, the role of whales in fueling the push toward $100K, the realized cap hitting a record high, and whether aggressive profit-taking by investors signifies a local top. Additionally, we’ll explore the implications of Bitcoin's return to $100K and why it hints at a "significant price move" that could shape the broader financial landscape. ________________________________________ Bitcoin Rebounds After Sharp Decline: The $100K Push Bitcoin’s journey to $100,000 has been anything but smooth. After experiencing a sharp correction earlier in the year, many market participants feared that the cryptocurrency's bull run was over. However, Bitcoin's ability to rebound from its lows with renewed vigor has defied expectations. Whales Drive the Rally One key factor behind Bitcoin’s resurgence is the activity of "whales," large-scale investors who hold significant amounts of BTC. On-chain data reveals that whales have been accumulating Bitcoin during periods of lower prices, effectively acting as a stabilizing force during market downturns. By reducing liquidity in the market and concentrating their holdings, whales have created conditions conducive to a price surge. In addition, whale wallets have been observed transferring large sums of Bitcoin out of exchanges and into cold storage, signaling a long-term bullish outlook. This withdrawal pattern reduces the supply of Bitcoin available for trading, increasing upward pressure on the price. ________________________________________ Realized Cap Hits Record High: A Bullish Signal Another notable development supporting Bitcoin's rally is its realized capitalization (realized cap) hitting an all-time high. Unlike market capitalization, which multiplies the total supply of Bitcoin by the current price, the realized cap calculates the value of each Bitcoin at the price it was last moved. This metric provides a clearer picture of the aggregate cost basis of Bitcoin holders. The realized cap reaching a record high indicates that a significant portion of Bitcoin has changed hands at higher price levels, reflecting increased investor confidence. This metric aligns with the narrative of accumulation, as both retail and institutional investors appear to be buying Bitcoin at higher prices in anticipation of future gains. Accumulation Continues On-chain analytics reveal that accumulation trends have persisted throughout Bitcoin's recovery. Wallet addresses holding between 1 and 10 BTC have grown substantially, showing that smaller investors are also entering the market. This broad-based accumulation not only adds to Bitcoin's bullish momentum but also reduces volatility by distributing supply across a wider range of participants. ________________________________________ Profit-Taking and Local Top Concerns While Bitcoin's surge past $100,000 has been met with enthusiasm, some analysts caution that aggressive profit-taking by investors could signal a local top. Short-term holders, in particular, have been selling their Bitcoin to lock in gains, as evidenced by the increasing Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). Signs of a Local Top? A high SOPR indicates that investors are realizing profits at a significant rate, which often coincides with price corrections. However, it’s important to note that profit-taking is a natural part of any market cycle and does not necessarily signal the end of a bull run. In fact, periods of consolidation and minor corrections can strengthen the foundation for a more sustainable rally. Market sentiment, as measured by the Fear & Greed Index, has also entered the "Greed" zone, suggesting that bullish enthusiasm may be running high. Historically, extreme greed has preceded short-term pullbacks, making it crucial for investors to remain cautious. ________________________________________ New Bull Cycle? Bitcoin’s Return to $100K Hints at Significant Price Move Bitcoin’s return to the $100,000 milestone has rekindled hopes of a new bull cycle, with analysts pointing to several factors that support this narrative. The cryptocurrency market has historically moved in cycles, driven by supply-demand dynamics, macroeconomic conditions, and technological advancements. The current environment appears to align with the early stages of a new bull phase. Institutional Adoption and Macro Tailwinds Institutional interest in Bitcoin has grown exponentially over the past few years. Major financial institutions, including hedge funds, pension funds, and publicly traded companies, have embraced Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and a store of value. This influx of institutional capital has not only validated Bitcoin’s role as a legitimate asset class but also provided a steady source of demand. Moreover, macroeconomic tailwinds such as high inflation, declining confidence in fiat currencies, and geopolitical instability have enhanced Bitcoin's appeal as a decentralized, non-sovereign asset. Central banks’ monetary policies, including quantitative easing and low interest rates, have further eroded the purchasing power of traditional currencies, driving investors toward Bitcoin. Supply Shock and Halving Cycles Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and its halving cycles play a crucial role in its price dynamics. The most recent halving in 2024 reduced the block reward for miners, effectively decreasing the rate at which new Bitcoin enters circulation. This supply shock, coupled with growing demand, has historically preceded significant price rallies. On-chain data shows that long-term holders, who typically accumulate Bitcoin during bear markets, are now distributing their holdings during this bull phase. This redistribution of supply suggests that a new wave of investors is entering the market, further fueling the rally. ________________________________________ What’s Next for Bitcoin? As Bitcoin continues to defy expectations, the question on everyone’s mind is: What’s next? While predicting Bitcoin’s price movements with precision is challenging, several scenarios could play out in the near term. Scenario 1: Sustained Bull Run If accumulation trends persist and institutional interest continues to grow, Bitcoin could maintain its upward trajectory, potentially reaching new all-time highs. Key resistance levels to watch include $120,000 and $150,000, which could serve as psychological barriers for further price appreciation. Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction A short-term correction is always a possibility, especially given the aggressive profit-taking observed in recent weeks. However, such corrections are often healthy for the market, allowing for consolidation and setting the stage for more sustainable growth. Scenario 3: Macro-Driven Volatility External factors, such as changes in monetary policy, regulatory developments, or geopolitical events, could introduce volatility to the market. While Bitcoin has shown resilience in the face of macroeconomic challenges, it remains sensitive to major news events. ________________________________________ Conclusion Bitcoin’s surge past $100,000 marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market, signaling a robust recovery and the potential start of a new bull cycle. Driven by whale activity, record-high realized capitalization, and persistent accumulation, Bitcoin has defied skeptics and reasserted its dominance as the leading digital asset. While concerns about a local top and profit-taking are valid, the broader trends suggest that Bitcoin is preparing for a significant price move. Whether this rally leads to sustained growth or faces temporary setbacks, one thing is clear: Bitcoin remains a transformative force in the financial world, offering a decentralized, inflation-resistant alternative to traditional assets. As we look ahead, the combination of institutional adoption, macroeconomic tailwinds, and Bitcoin’s unique monetary policy positions it for continued success. For investors and enthusiasts, the journey to $100,000 and beyond is more than just a milestone—it’s a testament to the enduring promise of blockchain technology and the future of decentralized finance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSD – 1H Long Setup | Discount Entry With RR 1:5+🧩 BTCUSD – 1H Reversal Play | May 5, 2025 We’re deep in Discount Territory, and the market just showed signs of strength with a bullish reaction from the OB. The Risk-to-Reward on this one is chef’s kiss 👨‍🍳💋 🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: 📉 Market Context: Prolonged bearish leg forming equal lows — liquidity engineered ✅ 📍 Entry Point: EQ/OB level @ ~$93,736 🟢 SL: Below OB at ~$92,730 🚀 TP: Previous structure high ~97,912 🧮 RRR: Around 1:5+ (massive potential) 🔎 Narrative & Confluence: 🔄 Price reacting to OB zone after taking liquidity 🧲 Potential inducement below = liquidity swept ⚠️ Engulfing bullish candle = signs of LTF accumulation 📈 Expectation: Push back into premium zone above 97K 🧠 Execution Tips: Set and forget, or trail aggressively above 94,800 Watch M15-M5 for CHoCH + order flow confirmation Add to position on micro pullbacks with tight risk Partial TP around 96,000 zone, full exit at 97,912 📣 Chart Ninja Tip: “Discount isn't just a price zone — it's where patience meets precision. Let price hunt liquidity, then strike!” 💬 Drop a 💎 if you caught this sniper long. 📊 Save this setup and tag a fellow price action beast. 🔁 Share if your RR game strong today!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
BTC Intraday Cycle ClustersThese are mathematically calculated cycle clusters based on hourly price and time data. Cycle clusters can signal potential shifts in price action, including: Changes in direction Momentum shifts (acceleration or deceleration) Breakouts Gaps Bold vertical lines indicate periods where more cycles are clustered. Dashed lines reflect clusters with fewer overlapping cycles. I've also added some charting work—mainly channels—to help visualize and potentially trade the price movement between clusters and between channel lines. Questions are welcome!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by goncalo1971
BTC Fractal Update!!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is repeating the same ABC pattern that led to past 70 %+ rallies. We're now at a decision point — next weekly close will confirm: Scenario 1: Rejection Below $96K (Circle 1) → Likely dip to $78K–$80.5K (channel bottom + 0.5 Fib) → Final shakeout before major move. Scenario 2: Breakout Above $96K (Circle 2) → Retest at $90.5K → Then rally toward $160K+ begins (Circle 3) BTC is hovering near the $100K mark — up 5% from the $96K breakout — mirroring the previous breakout from $63K (Circle 2), where it surged to $ 67K (+5%) before a sharp retest to $59.2K, followed by a major rally. A similar healthy retest could be on the cards before CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks its ATH! If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
by persis10t