1-BTCUSD
BTC - Key Zones & Liquidity InsightsBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently oscillating within a new trading range, establishing a trustable support zone while facing a weaker resistance trendline and resistance zone. Given this setup, a breakout isn’t the primary expectation just yet.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Strength: The support zone is stronger than the resistance, making it less likely for BTC to break downward easily.
Resistance Weakness: The resistance trendline and zone appear weaker, meaning any rejection could be temporary.
Liquidity Perspective: As seen on the liquidity chart, there’s favorable liquidity above the resistance zone, increasing the probability of a short-term push higher to hunt liquidity.
💡 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ BTC could move toward the resistance zone, tapping into liquidity before reacting.
2️⃣ If buyers step in aggressively, a short-term liquidity grab above resistance might trigger further upside.
3️⃣ Failure to reclaim key levels could lead to continued range-bound movement.
🚀 Stay ready for the next Bitcoin move! Follow for real-time updates and professional insights! 🔔
"NO ALT SEASON!!" - OTHERS.D vs BTC.D - Is this time different? "No Alt Season!!" – OTHERS.D vs BTC.D: Is This Time Different?
While no one can say for certain whether history will repeat itself, one thing remains clear: it often rhymes.
During the previous cycle, we witnessed an altcoin capitulation around the same time (cycle-wise), and the prevailing sentiment online was "No alt season" or "Alts are dead."
This period of pain in the altcoin market presents a significant opportunity for those with little to no altcoin exposure.
While I am cautious i do not think this time is different, there are notable changes in the current market dynamics tho.
Many altcoins will continue to underperform even as the eventual BTC.D breakdown (alt season) unfolds. However, it’s important to note that most altcoins will not reach new highs, with only a select few likely to lead the market. As such, it's crucial to revise your strategy, moving away from holding onto outdated or underperforming assets, even if it’s difficult given the emotional attachment many of us have to certain coins. Understand that, in this cycle, there are simply too many coins for all of them to reach their all-time highs. Act strategically, and if you find value in this post, please consider following and supporting my account and leaving a boost on this post. Thank you.
NAS100USD and BTCUSD correlationJust been recapping on the SPXUSD and NAS100USD charts, both look like they could head lower in the short term at least. Not sure crypto has proven it can trade independently from that just yet, at least based on the short term. Plus if things get disorderly then everything could get wacked. I'll be monitoring my positions over the weekend (BTCUSD, HBAR, XRPUSD), but I may reduce them again irrespective of how crypto moves in anticipation of potential downside in the wider markets. Looking at the recent declines on NAS100USD compared to BTCUSD, BTCUSD tends to overperform to the downside in % terms, you can see the percentages on the charts of the past declines. The recent decline which has just started sees there NAS100USD declining by -1.76% and BTCUSD by -4%, no guarantee that pace will continue, but assuming NAS100USD declines to the first target area and BTCUSD matches the drop in % terms BTCUSD could be looking at $94,500 and if it overperforms then it could reach $90,000 which is a potential measured move target based on how the NAS100USD could decline.
XRPUSD thread here which gives some background to recent positioning.
BTC Long, bear trap doneDaily level the last fews days not being able to break belove 95.500-95.000 level.
Looking at the btc liquidity heatmap, there is not really much liquidity left below, loads of liquidity left above 109.000.
Aiming for this huge RR trade, small stoploss. Would be my best trade ever if this succeeds.
Also lots of positive bitcoin news the last few days. Im bullish.
I was also waiting and waiting for 60k 80k levels, but i don't really think it will drop that far anymore, perhaps in the case of a massive world event.
A small BTC longI entered a long position on BTC at 96,003.8, buying at the bottom of a 1H/4H order block. The confluence between these timeframes suggests strong bullish potential, as price often reacts positively when multiple timeframe order blocks align. My Take Profit (TP) is set at 97,151.0, while my Stop Loss (SL) is at 95,452.0.
Despite the bullish setup, I’m cautious because there’s a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting right above my order block. This FVG could act as short-term resistance, limiting upward momentum. Given this, I’ve opted for a conservative TP to secure profits without overexposing myself to potential reversals.
Current bitcoin bullflag has a target of 144kBeen consolidating inside this one for some time now and its been creating a lot of uncertainty in the market lately as most people have been distracted by the bearish h&s pattern on the Daly chart and haven’t zoomed out to the higher time frames to realize this whole time we’ve ust been consolidating inside this bullflag. The stochrsi has already been reset for awhile on the Daly time frame and is about to be fully reset here on the weekly time frame too sugget we will resume the uptrend in the near future. *not financial advice*
One more sell-off your honor2019 had that prolonged sideways accumulation right on that same support level (circled). Today’s chart is behaving similarly, revisiting that line while momentum is slipping. If market repeats 2019’s pattern, we could see an extended consolidation on top of that support, eventually setting up the next rally once selling dries up and buyers return in full kapaw yabadaba’doooo mode
Best bitcoin investor (among 100 million)We checked all bitcoin wallets (100MLN+) to find those who buy at the bottom and sell at the peak.
So who is the best bitcoin investor?
Almost everyone knows popular investors like Michael Saylor, except he doesn't sell bitcoins and ends up with an 80% drawdown. And he's not buying at the bottom, he's averaging.
And few people know about those who actually invest competently in cryptocurrencies.
Unfortunately, I can not publish in this post a link to the wallet (because I may be banned), but we do not hide its address.
Here are the details of the wallet
Invested - 11,3k
Profit - 346k
Profit - 3052%
Wallet age 87m
Average Sell Price 34 790$
Average Buy price 14 956$
---------
I also note that he is still holding his position.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector.
Key Points on the Chart
Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation
The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline.
However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation.
A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum.
Ascending Channel Structure
The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation.
The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone.
61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support.
If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend.
Impact on Altcoins
Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue
Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region.
Conditions for Altcoin Recovery
For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone.
A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins.
Altcoin Seasonal Trends
Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness.
Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk.
Trading Considerations & Strategy
For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term.
For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins.
For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
Possible top for BTC for this cycle?Trying to see what the bullish outlook is for #BTC, however I am finding a lot more bearish arguments at this stage then bullish.
Looking at the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Chart:
- RSI printing Bearish Divergences
- Failing to break above the heavy pitch-fork channel formed since 2017 Highs through to the highs in 2021.
Daily:
- 50MA is approaching closer and looks to roll back around.
- Super Guppy band is starting to tighten and turn neutral.
- 5th Wave of Elliot has finished, with a truncated top.
- Double top pattern
- Wyckoff Distribution looks to be in play
Of course if we can break out of this massive channel, this bearishness is no longer valid.
What case for Bullishness can you give me for BTC?
BTC weekly zones
🚀 Bullish Breakthrough for Bitcoin on Weekly Time Frame! 🚀
Just in from @RSI_Trading_Concepts on @TradingView - the Bitcoin weekly chart is a beacon of bullish sentiment! 📈 The analysis highlights how the #BTC bulls are not just defending but thriving at the Overbought (OB) zone low on the weekly time frame, showcasing their strength and determination. 💪
🔹 Key Insights:
Following a significant breakout in late 2023, Bitcoin has been on a steady upward trajectory.
The bulls have impressively defended the OB Low at $53,841 on the weekly chart, indicating strong support within this zone.
This defense of the OB Low, especially in an overbought RSI context, suggests that the market sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with momentum favoring further gains.
🔹 What This Tells Us:
This isn't just a defense; it's a statement from the Bulls. Holding strong at this critical level, particularly after RSI has indicated overbought conditions, is a powerful sign that the current trend might continue. The market is showing us that despite being in overbought territory, the appetite for Bitcoin is still voracious.
Don't overlook this signal! The resilience at this key level on the weekly chart could propel Bitcoin to new heights. Keep your eyes on this zone and prepare for what might be an exhilarating journey upwards. 🚀💹 #Bitcoin #Bullish #Crypto #RSI #TradingView
Bitcoin 15 minute chart zoomed outWelcome. If you have come across this chart you have entered into a Bitcoin maxi's mind. For the past 5 years this has been my one and only 15 minute chart; lines that have been drawn have never been erased. This chart is used to determine when a good time to DCA may be. For this overview the chart has been zoomed out to give a daily perspective.
First, I want to be clear that this is not finical advice, but a glimpse into what my personal strategy is and how I personally gage when a good time to enter the market for a long term hold. I personally trust this chart due to many reasons, but the most important reason is because variables have not been changed in over 5 years.
To start, the most important lines drawn on this chart are major Fibonacci levels; for example, the high at approx. 69k to the low of approx. 16k. These Fib levels will be marked by the same same lines at all four levels. The second most important lines drawn and weekly closes on a 15 minute chat on the candle of 23:45. These candles are marked at the high and at the low of each of these candles with a purple line. These purple lines over time provide an import gage for me in determining major levels of resistance and support. This chart also includes MA Ribbons, MACD, and RSI.
I will post weekly closes and provide ideas of what I think the market is doing every week immediately after the weekly close.
Thank you for your time and I look forward to being a little more social in this space moving forward.
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near
The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins.
I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!)
🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet
Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt.
🔹 Bitcoin Outlook
BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support.
😱 More blood on the charts?
Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders:
1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in.
2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish.
I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders.
📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles
When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding.
If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery.
Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
BTC/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Breakout Above $99K Next?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Current Market Condition:
Price at $97,395, consolidating after rejection from $99K.
Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) formations indicate choppy price action.
RSI at 47.86, showing a neutral stance with no extreme conditions.
Smart Money Analysis:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $96K- GETTEX:97K acting as strong support.
Premium zone at $102K remains untested.
Multiple liquidity hunts occurring around the GETTEX:98K level, signaling engineered price action.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $97,200 - $97,400.
Targets:
T1: $98,800 (+1.5%).
T2: $99,400 (+2.1%).
Stop Loss: Below $96,400 (-0.8%).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Decent risk-to-reward, but potential for manipulation at GETTEX:98K level.
Market Maker Intent:
Market Makers appear to be accumulating within this range.
Hidden bullish divergence forming on RSI, supporting a breakout thesis.
Recommendation:
Consider long entries within $97,200 - $97,400, keeping stops tight at $96,400.
Be patient—this is a high timeframe setup that requires discipline and proper risk management.
Watch for strong volume confirmation above GETTEX:98K to reinforce bullish momentum.
Confidence Level:
7/10 – Strong accumulation signals, but confirmation is required before aggressive positioning.
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG.
First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted.
Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now.
Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time.
That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning.
And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens.
Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours).
My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future.
I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities.
Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me?
Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Starting a Bitcoin Analysis Series – February EditionI’m kicking off a Bitcoin analysis series for February , where I’ll be sharing quick and to-the-point updates on the Bitcoin chart throughout the month. Alongside that, I’ll also post my trade ideas as they develop. The goal is to stay on top of the price action and navigate the market with clear, structured setups.
I might not be able to catch every single move, but I’ll do my best to cover the most relevant ones. Hopefully, this will lead to some solid trades and strong results. At the end of the day, it’s not that complicated—you just have to trade what you see .
Looking forward to an exciting month in the crypto market!
BTCUSD: Is it about to explode while the Dollar tanks?Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 62.733, MACD = 8478.500, ADX = 61.463) but neutral on 1D, which suggests that it is a buy opportunity long term. What can really help the price explode from this point onwards though, is a strong drop on the DXY, which has already shown signs of peaking. Based on the last 2 Cycles, it is out of the Accumulation Phase and is has completed the fake-out, which traps investors into thinking that higher prices are coming. This is where a bearish reversal has taken place in the past, lasting 399 days until its bottom, which is where BTC tops. Get ready for a full 2025 Bitcoin rally.
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