BTC : What I’m Watching Now AND What I'm Worried AboutWhat I’m Watching Now:
I’m eyeing a potential buy from the 1H Order Block below.
It lines up clean, and the move makes sense…
But Here’s What I’m Worried About:
There’s a double bottom resting at the weekly FVG.
Which means: liquidity.
If price wants that liquidity first,
it might run deeper —
breaking the OB before the bounce.
Stay sharp.
And like always — wait for confirmation.
Patience > Prediction
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD: We haven't seen the real Bull yet.Bitcoin is under heavy volatility and yesterday's gains from the moment of the tariff pause announcement are almost all wiped out, which is reflected on its 1D technical outlook which turned bearish (RSI = 42.714, MACD = -1766.300, ADX = 26.356). Nonetheless, it is still holding its 1W MA50, the key support of this Bull Cycle, which might have not shown its strongest rally yet.
And the reason is a pure look at the 2015-2017 Bull Cycle, which is on a similar Channel Up and 3W RSI pattern. 11 weeks between the Channel's last two corrections, same level with the RSI bottoms. This indicates that this April could be similar to April 2017 that started the strongest rally of the Cycle.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Slammed Back Into Channel SupportBitcoin shed -2.46% today, reversing sharply lower from the top of its descending channel and the 50-day SMA, reaffirming resistance just below $88,700. The rejection puts focus back on the 200-day SMA and mid-channel support.
🔻 Price remains firmly inside the falling channel
📉 MACD is flattening below zero — no bullish crossover yet
⚖️ RSI sits at 44 — modest bearish momentum without being oversold
If price breaks below $79,000, eyes may turn to the lower channel boundary near $72,000, and eventually the long-term trendline closer to $68,000.
Momentum is weak and trend pressure remains tilted downward unless bulls can reclaim the 50-day SMA and break out of this channel decisively.
-MW
BTC-----Sell around 82100, target 80800-80300 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 10: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a big positive line yesterday. The K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price stood above the MA5 daily average line, but the attached indicator was dead cross. A single rise is difficult to become a trend and difficult to continue. In addition, when the large trend is still weak, there is no room for rise, so the current trend can only be regarded as a correction trend; from the four-hour chart, the current K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the pressure high point after the pullback is 83,600 area, and the price has not broken the correction high point position of the previous stage-by-stage decline. This is very obvious. The current K-line in the short-cycle hourly chart is continuous negative, and the attached indicator is dead cross, so whether the European session can continue is the key.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 82,100 area, stop loss at 82,600 area, and target 80,800 area and 80,300 area;
1050 days of bull, 380 days of bearPlanning for the afterlife already. Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. The big bounce should happen just before the summer, then consolidate, and the last leg up should come after, and we peak in late October. Let's try this
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-10 : FLAT-DOWN PatternToday's Flat-Down Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will struggle to move away from yesterday's big open-close range.
Normally, I would suggest the Flat-Down pattern will be a small, somewhat FLAT price move.
But, after yesterday's big move, the Flat-Down pattern can really be anywhere within yesterday's Daily Body range.
So, we could see very wild volatility today. That means we need to be prepared for general price consolidation (which suggests somewhat sideways price trending) and be prepared for some potential BIG price trends within that consolidation.
These BIG price trends would be more like bursts of trending, while still staying somewhat consolidated overall.
Watch today's video to learn how the Excess Phase Peak pattern is dominating the trend right now (in the Consolidation Phase).
The same thing is happening in BTCUSD. BTCUSD has been in an EPP Consolidation phase for over 35+ days now.
Gold and Silver are setting up a CRUSH pattern today. That could be a VERY BIG move higher (or downward). Given my analysis of Gold acting like a hedge (a proper hedge for global risk levels), I believe today's move will EXPLODE higher.
Gold is already in an early-stage parabolic bullish price trend. When gold explodes above $3500, I believe it will quickly gain momentum towards the $5100 level.
Right now, Gold is recovering from the Tariff news and about to explode upward (above $3200) if we see this CRUSH pattern play out well.
Thank you again for all the great compliments. I'm just trying to share my knowledge and skills with all of you before I die. There is no need to carry all of this great information and technology to my grave.
So, follow along, ask questions, learn, and PROFIT while I keep doing this.
Get some.
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Bitcoin Prediction - Crypto MarketBitcoin has broken the weekly structure to the downside, and we’ve been bearish since then.
However, the monthly chart still looks bullish, and I expect the price to return to the monthly demand zone and get a reaction from there.
I believe the crypto market could turn bullish again by the end of summer 2025.
Possible scenario:
We short from the current levels down to the monthly demand zone, sweeping the engineered weekly liquidity (by 'engineered,' I mean a level designed to push price higher). That level is around $67,000.
I’ll be watching for LTF confirmations to take longs from that zone.
Most likely, the monthly demand zone will hold and send us toward new all-time highs.
BTC/USD) rejected point analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a bearish short-term technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
---
Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Structure:
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
A clear downtrend is marked on the chart.
2. Rejection Zone:
The yellow highlighted area near $83,800–$84,000 is labeled as a “rejected point.”
Price touched this zone and got rejected again, confirming resistance.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
The 200 EMA is at $82,291, acting as dynamic resistance. Price is currently below it, reinforcing bearish momentum.
4. Support Level / Target:
The yellow box at the bottom around $74,559 is marked as the support zone and target level.
This is the previous low and aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is showing a potential bearish divergence and is pointing downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and a likely move lower.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Around $81,300–$82,000 (after rejection confirmation)
Target: $74,559 (support level)
Stop-loss: Could be placed just above the rejection zone, around $84,000
---
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTCUSDT | Waiting for Precision – Not Just Price LevelsMany were tempted to short BTCUSDT around the $83,000 region, and I was closely watching it too. However, as always, I don’t take trades based solely on price levels. What separates professional trading from guesswork is the data behind the scenes, and in this case, CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) did not show any bearish divergence. That’s why I completely passed on this level without hesitation.
🎯 What’s Next?
Upper Blue Box is My Focus: I’ve now shifted my attention to the next key upper blue box, where I’ll be looking for serious short opportunities, but only if LTF confirmations such as orderflow shifts, CDV divergences, or volume traps appear.
Why I Wait: Just because a price hits a “zone” doesn’t mean we react. Professional traders wait for confluence, confirmation, and controlled risk.
🔒 Smart Trader Checklist:
No CDV divergence = No trade.
Wait for price to enter the upper blue box and react.
Short only with proper lower time frame confirmation.
If price breaks above with strong momentum and retest, I will not insist on shorts. I will shift and look for longs.
💡 I trade with precision and patience—not emotion. These levels are not random lines, but key zones mapped with advanced tools and strict discipline. That’s why my followers consistently win, and why my success rate is among the highest you’ll find here.
If you want to trade with clarity, confidence, and data-backed precision, just keep following me. You’ll see the difference.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
BTCUSDT Daily : Range AreaHi Guys,
As you can see in the chart, with the temporary suspension of trade tariffs, the market was able to recover by about 10%. I expect this kind of pain to continue.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 10/april/26
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90
Last weeks low: $77,786.89
Midpoint: $83,144.89
Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down.
As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity.
The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000.
The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this.
Good luck for the week ahead!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Bullish Setup🔵 Key Levels:
🎯 Target Point: 87,050.22 (🔼 Expected upward move)
🔵 Support Zone: 79,833.82 (🛡️ Strong demand area)
🔴 Current Price: 82,254.27
📊 Analysis:
🔵 RBS + RBR Zone (🔄 Role Reversal Support & Rally Base Rally) - Possible entry point for a long position.
🟠 Stop Loss: Below 79,833.82 (🚨 Risk Management)
🟣 Resistance Zone: Near 83,000 (🔄 Possible short-term pullback)
📈 Strategy:
1️⃣ Price might retrace to the blue zone (support) before continuing upward.
2️⃣ If it holds, 🚀 potential rally towards 87,050.22 🎯
3️⃣ If it breaks below support, ⚠️ possible downside risk.
✅ Conclusion:
A bullish setup with a 7.45% profit target 📊
Risk managed with a stop loss below support ⚠️
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bounce from Demand Zone Towards $80K TargetKey Zones
Demand Zone (Buy Zone)
🔵 $74,250 – $75,000
Strong support area
Buyers previously stepped in here
Marked for potential entry
Resistance Zone
🟣 $77,300 – $77,600
Mid-level resistance
Could cause a short pullback
Watch for breakout or rejection
Target Point
🎯 $80,273.49
Potential upside: +6.68% gain
Previous supply/structure zone
Take Profit (TP) zone
Stop Loss
⛔ $74,247.07
Just below the demand zone
Protects against invalid setup
Trade Idea
1. 🔽 Price expected to drop into demand zone
2. 🔄 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bounce or engulfing candle)
3. 📈 Enter long position near $75,000
4. ⬆️ Ride it up through resistance
5. ✅ Target = $80,273 | ❌ Stop = $74,247
BTC/USD more sells incoming? 66k?!Good morning traders, I’m back again with another beauty guys!! I’m sure everyone is asking what’s happening in the markets recently, well Trump(era) is happening.
Back to the charts, here I have a 1 hour TF, yesterday we saw very big moves in price following the news that the tariffs are on hold, but that doesn’t or shouldn’t take always our market sentiments and our biases we had coming into this new week.
This setup is basically a continuation set up but for now I’m only focusing on the relative equal lows because we understand that’s there is sell stops resting below those lows. For the rest of the day we can expect price to deliver lower price for the rest of the week but my question is this…can price drop to the 66k level?
Good luck traders and remember we study price and time not technical analysis!
Bitcoin Is About To SkyrocketHello, Skyrexians!
It looks like BINANCE:BTCUSDT has finally finished its correction. On the daily time frame we have the confirmation, now we are waiting for weekly close to make sure. With our prediction next wave to the upside is going to be the altcoin season wave, a lot of negative around the Trump's tariffs also confirms that.
Let's take a look at the weekly chart and remember our global forecast. The wave which has been finished in March 2024 was just a wave 1. Now price is printing wave 3. Notice that the minimal target for the wave 3 has been completed. This is the Fibonacci 1 level. Even if wave 3 has been already finished we will see higher high in the wave 5. But the main scenario is that this wave will be finished at 1.61 Fibonacci level, approximately at $140k. Anyway we will see which scenario market choose when Bitcoin will breaks $110k. Now we want to see the confirmation on the weekly by the green dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator .
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 80,393.27
1st Support: 77,842,40
1st Resistance: 84,559.23
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