BTCUSDT at daily support, likely to bounce towards 103500The price has come down to daily support DS1. There is a likelihood that the price will find support here and will bounce. A long trade is favorable here from probability point of view. The target of this trade should be around 103.5k. There we have a resistance and the price may face struggle to cross that region and eventually retrace from there.
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years.
But let me ask you an important question:
What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026?
As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers.
Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated?
Of course not.
2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders.
We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins.
This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market.
But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run.
Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target.
This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective.
It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months.
Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC | W-BOTTOM Pattern Continuation - UPDATEA quick continuation on yesterday's BTC update, with regards to the bullish W bottom pattern that likely takes us into the new ATH.
There are a few conditions that need to be met in order to "secure" the W pattern, but we're currently not seeing these conditions met. The good news, is that it's beginning to look more like a cup an handle pattern, also a bullish pattern.
This daily lose and especially the weekly close is going to be a KEY candle close to watch.
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITCOIN made a MACD bearish cross and can fall to 98000.Bitcoin / BTCUSD just completed a Bearish Cross on the 4hour MACD. All prior such formations have resulted in immediate declines.
The pattern on the 4hour time frame is a Channel Down and those MACD declines formed its bearish legs.
The two prior bearish legs declined by at least -8.50%.
We expect a similar technical leg to hit at least Support A, which is the last low of the Channel Down.
Sell and target 98000.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTC/USDT 1H: Bears Take Control – Targeting $102K Next! BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts 📉
Current Market Structure:
Price: $104,560, facing rejection at premium zone (106-107K).
Bearish Bias: Failed breakout, with hidden bearish divergence on RSI (48.74).
Smart Money Activity: Clear distribution pattern at premium, likely targeting PCL (Previous Consolidation Low).
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Short Entry: Current price to $105K.
Targets:
T1: $103.2K (PCL).
T2: $102K (Equilibrium Zone).
Stop Loss: Above $106.2K (premium rejection).
Risk Score: 7/10 (strong R:R setup).
Market Maker Intent:
Distribution Phase in Play, suggesting accumulation around $102K-$103K.
Volume Profile & RSI Confirming the bearish move.
Rejection from premium zone needs confirmation for ideal entry.
Recommendation:
Short positions favorable from $104.5K-$105K.
Wait for rejection confirmation before entering.
Manage risk accordingly—position sizing is key.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bearish continuation.
📉 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 🚀
**Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $2,818** **Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:**
- **Current Price:** Around **$2,800.29**
- **Key Resistance:** **$2,818.05** (Potential target zone)
- **Spot Zone:** Previous resistance turned support around **$2,790**
- **Recent Price Action:**
- Gold broke above a key resistance level (now acting as support).
- Price faced a **minor rejection** but is consolidating, potentially forming a bullish continuation pattern.
- **Forecast:**
- If price holds above **$2,790**, consolidation could lead to a breakout toward **$2,818**.
- A strong breakout above **$2,818** could signal further upside momentum.
- A rejection from this level might result in a pullback to **$2,790** support.
Overall, bullish sentiment remains strong unless price drops below **$2,790**.
Plan Your Trade : Behind The Scenes - Learning PerspectiveI created this video to help answer a question from a follower.
One of the biggest concerns for traders is how to use my research/info in a way that benefits them.
My Plan Your Trade videos are based on Daily & Weekly price patterns/cycles. I won't delve into the Intraday research much because it is almost impossible to predict 2 to 10-minute price bars/action throughout the day when new hits and external price data may dramatically change how price moves throughout the day. I would have to continue making videos every 30 to 45 minutes to help you understand the dynamics of intraday price action.
Either way, watch this video to learn a bit more about my research and why I'm trying to help traders learn to make better decisions.
I'm really not here to tell you what to trade - or when to trade. I'm here to help you learn to make better trading decisions ON YOUR OWN.
I try to help you learn to become a more knowledgeable and skilled trader by sharing some of my advanced research and demonstrating patterns, setups, price levels, and Cycle Patterns.
The only thing I can do to help you become a better trader is to help you learn better skills and techniques. If you treat trading like gambling, you'll go broke (often). If you understand trading as a process of grabbing profits when efficient and limiting risks, you'll survive and grow your account over time.
It's really that simple.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
ETH/USD. Technical analysis from 28.01.25 (Hold BUY!)Glad to welcome everyone!
On Monday, there was an event that truly shook the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market in particular. In brief, friends from the Celestial Empire created an AI called DeepSeek, which is an analog of chatGPT. It is cheaper to produce, with free libraries, consumes less power, runs faster than other AIs, etc.
This news mostly hit the tech sector the hardest. Indices are recovering from the correction. Cryptocurrency market is also feeling confident (Link to analysis on btc/usd pair below).
Regarding eth/usd pair. The price continues to consolidate in a descending triangle within the corrective wave 4. 3070$-2985$ is the key volume auction. This zone has more than once been the strongest support from which the rebound took place. A breakdown of this zone and updating of the local minimum will indicate the continuation of the downtrend.
For buyers, it is extremely important to break the upper boundary on aggressive volume and consolidate above $3486, which will confirm the bullish mood. I still hold my position, and I don't plan to retreat. The rats run away from the ship first. The captain is faithful to the ship till the end! The targets are the same: 3700-3800$. Good luck to all traders and don't forget about risk management.
Translated with DeepL.com (free version)
BTCUSD buying and selling zone1st buying zone
if price make here long wick candle in a zone after LQ SWP so we'll try for buying
2nd buying zone
its a save buying zone after liquidation
Selling zone
if price make here long wick candle and fill up 50% to 60% FVG area in a zone after LQ SWP so we'll try for Sell
BTC | Developing Distribution Pattern | FractalsWe're looking at a disjointed channel dating back from 2019 capturing all the last two cycle tops and bottoms without having to use the log scale
This distribution pattern caught my eye as it seemed very similar to the fractal top in 2021 and of course we can spot partial fractals of distribution all over the chart like the ones I circled in yellow
As we trade in this top like area we have to remember BTC is a Risk-On asset and is sensitive to economic data
Lets take a look at altcoins CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 at the bottom, we can notice that every time there was a developing continuation pattern, perhaps a bullish flag in this scenario, BTCs price slows down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D looking weaker within the 60 - 65% zone
Seeing this I dont think we'll see a 70% dominance with alts looking to rise from the dead and to shoot for for the moon🌝
🎯My relevant post shows targets of $115k BTC from the falling wedge breakout also in confluence with a fib extension eyeing at the same level as the flag pole target, 100%
We can also overshoot to around $120k
One more thing when we line up TOTAL3s bullish patterns with BTCs price you'll notice BTC starts to underperform and while ALTs look to over perform
We all know what happens after ALTs hit the moon and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD may be telling us something is coming soon.
Stay tuned for more BTC updates and lets get through this together🚀
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Jan 31 : GAP PotentialAs we move into the end of January 2025, I'm still watching for technical failure near these higher levels. On Monday, we saw a huge breakdown in the markets just days after my Jan 21-23 Top prediction. Now, as we are moving into the Feb 9-11 DeepV base/bottom pattern - I've been expecting the markets to move into a downward trending phase - which has not happened yet.
The way I see the markets right now and how I would offer a general interpretation of the trend is "struggling to find/set a new trend".
In other words, the markets are really congested in a wide range. I believe the markets will attempt to move downward after today's opening GAP higher.
I believe the markets are going to continue to struggle to find support and trade in a downward-sloping consolidated price range until Q3/Q4:2025.
I believe the markets are reacting to earnings and continued support right now, but that will ultimately resolve as a breakdown phase over the next 60+ days - leading to the multiple BASE/BOTTOM patterns my cycle research suggests will happen.
So, I continue to explain what I see in the context of the broader cycle phases.
Gold and Silver may rally a bit today - but we have a CRUSH pattern on Monday - so try not to carry any positions over the weekend.
BTCUSD is struggling to move away from very strong consolidation. It is also setting up multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns. I believe we need to be patient as BTCUSD struggles to find a new trend. Right now, I see more downside potential than upside potential.
I would offer one warning about today. Today's opening GAP will likely prompt a breakdown in price (moving downward) as we head into next week.
I believe next week will be very volatile. Buckle up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
TRUMP Long - Did You Give Up Yet? Good!Basically we're in the classic time range where bottom might likely occur since longs experience complete emotional damage. Let some room for your stoploss. We're at the end of the range and have at least a 70% up potential. This is an excellent risk / reward trade idea.
(Lunar New Year Special) january 24 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Bitcoin 4-hour chart
This is the main drawing section.
It seems to have taken about 2 and a half hours just to draw it.
The section where the flag is marked is the section where the daily chart is created,
and the last flag is January 31st, when the holiday ends.
This week, there has been absurd and bizarre repetition of
unasked rises and unasked falls.
The reason is that after the report was updated,
as I explained in detail in the last video,
it is right before the bitcoin price skyrockets.
Based on the Bollinger Band weekly chart, it is important to see whether the resistance line is touched first
(a major rise)
and whether the MACD dead cross on the weekly chart
will occur first,
and adjustments and sideways movements will occur.
Based on that, if you look at the high and low points on the right,
I have indicated the prices.
At the very top, 117,182 dollars touches the weekly chart resistance line,
moving towards a mid-term upward trend
If 99,703 dollars at the bottom is broken first,
it will be the place where the weekly candle low is broken.
It would be bad if the two light-colored sky-blue support lines I drew were broken.
Because it is the place where the sideways movement and support line are broken,
I calculated the main section, so
I think it would be good to refer to it.
This is a 30-minute chart of Tether Dominance moving in the opposite direction of the beat.
Today, in terms of the pattern,
it touched the 5-minute and 15-minute resistance lines,
and the 30-minute chart resistance line section order.
I carried out a short position strategy in the sky blue finger section/strong downward section.
In the case of Tether Dominance,
the 6-hour chart and 12-hour chart MACD dead cross are currently in progress.
I applied it to Bitcoin as is.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 12 o'clock tonight.
The Nasdaq is in the process of a 6-hour MACD dead cross,
and I judged that this section is not very dangerous.
The short-term pattern is still alive,
and the MACD golden cross is imprinted on the weekly chart,
and even if there is a strong adjustment in Nasdaq,
since the 1+4 rising pattern is waiting,
I focused on the rise and proceeded with the strategy.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. $104,740 long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. $109,231.5 long position 1st target -> target price in order from the top
Based on the Tether dominance movement and the Bitcoin pattern,
I focused on the rebound from the 30+1 pattern.
Up to the first section, it is a sideways movement, and from the top section, it is a new record, and if it reaches this point, it will continue to rise significantly.
In preparation for a strong adjustment in Nasdaq,
I maintained the stop loss price for the 30-minute support + 1-hour support of the second section, which is marked as the final long position waiting section.
If it touches the bottom section today,
It is not good because the daily chart low is broken.
If it falls to 101.4K at the very bottom,
Pay attention to the 6+12 pattern that was not recovered yesterday.
Basically, if it comes down to this section,
It is not good because the center line of the 12-hour Bollinger Band chart has been touched several times,
and the support line of the 6-hour chart is also open.
Please refer to the final support line explained at the mid-term point at the top.
Today, I explained it in detail for the first time in a while,
and I did my best to analyze a week's worth,
I hope it was helpful for your actual trading.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Since it's a long holiday,
don't just look at the charts,
and I hope all my followers have a good time with their families next week on Lunar New Year.
Happy New Year.
Thank you always.
Bitcoin Targeting $110,000: Major Profit Opportunities Await.Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚🎇
The price is currently moving within a parallel channel, showing stable trends. With market volume increasing and the political changes following Trump’s presidency, we expect a boost in trading activity, which could push prices higher. As the market adapts to these shifts, we predict the price will break out upwards soon, likely generating strong momentum and a minimum 11% gain. The combination of rising volume and political influences points to a positive outlook. Traders should be ready for a potential rally, as these factors are set to drive the price up. We’re optimistic about short-term gains due to these dynamics.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The price is stabilizing in a channel, but with rising market volume and political shifts from Trump’s election, we expect a breakout and at least 11% gains. Traders should prepare for a potential rally as these factors drive prices up.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Crypto Miner CLSK longterm patternBullish "march" if all factors hold true?
ie NVDA look weak-ish.
Falling yields would be nice.
Trump told his crypto team to investigate BTC reserve question within 100 days. That's now around April.
www.investing.com Markets pricing 1st rate cut around June.
Look into longterm macd potential.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,131.91
1st Support: 100,108.50
1st Resistance: 107,850.01
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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ZEN Trend Successfully ChangedZEN Detailed Analysis on 4h tf.
ZEN has successfully changed it's trend from down to the upside and re testing it as well. Also it is holding well 200EMA daily + 50EMA 3D.
I am aiming the next leg up soon towards 26$ - 29$ (Fair Value Gap Area)
Hope for the best.
#nfa #dyor #aqeelonline
106K Showdown: Can BTC Send?Bull
Breaking levels—momentum needs to keep rolling.
If this is the send, eyes on the usual markers.
106K is still the big bad bulls need to break.
Clear that, and we start looking for idealized moves.
Let’s see if they’ve got the juice.
Here is the ideal path if it can break above.
Bitcoin Returns to All-Time HighsThe cryptocurrency has managed to sustain a gain of over 4% in the last two trading sessions, as the market remains confident that Trump’s new administration will play a key role in the future of U.S. regulation. For now, the price is slowly approaching the all-time high resistance zone at 106K.
Neutral Bias
Bitcoin continues to trade within a strong lateral range, with resistance at 106K and support at 91K. The recent bullish momentum has once again brought the price to the resistance zone of the channel. If buying pressure remains steady, the current neutral formation could be challenged, potentially leading to a more significant upward move.
ADX Indicator
One factor that may not fully align with the recent buying spike is the ADX line’s movement. Currently, the ADX line is oscillating below the neutral 20 level, suggesting that recent upward movements lack a clear trend direction. This could lead to short-term bearish corrections, creating resistance at the current price level.
Key Levels
106K: The closest resistance level, positioned at the all-time high zone recorded by Bitcoin in recent weeks. If the price successfully breaks above this level, it would end the current lateral range and potentially trigger a stronger bullish rally in the short term.
99K: The nearest support level, aligning with the midpoint of the current range, the 50-period moving average, and the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud. This indicates that 99K serves as an important support barrier against bearish movements in the short term. If the price falls below this level in the coming sessions, it could confirm a bearish bias, undermining current market confidence and extending the lateral range.
91K: The final support level, positioned at the lower boundary of the lateral channel and acting as the last barrier before a potential trend reversal. If the price reaches this level, it could trigger strong bearish pressure in the BTC market.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst