1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN 4H - 8th time lucky? The 200 EMA is a great indication of the environment a certain asset is currently in. If the 200 ema is not being respected as neither support nor resistance then generally the market environment is rangebound. If an asset is in a trending environment then the 200 ema is often being respected, as in the moving average acts as a key support in an uptrend or as resistance in a downtrend.
What we have seen from BTC is a clear shift from rangebound PA where it seems as though the 4H 200 EMA has no effect on price and is sat relatively neutral with no gradient, to a clear downward gradient capping off any attempt for the bulls to move higher. Eight separate occasions the bulls attempted to flip the moving average and failed each time, until now?
Having ended last week strong with a reclaim of $86,000 an early Monday push has seen BTC close a 4H candle above for the first time in 7 weeks. It is important to note that when the MA is still sloping downward it is still seen as a resistance level, a retest as new support while the slope levels out is always a possibility.
I am now interested in the question of, if Bitcoin reclaims the 4H 200 EMA, does it flip to a bullish trend or another rangebound one? That's where the $91,000 S/R comes in, as a reclaim of that level would put BTC into a LTF rally and therefor bullish trend, rejection off that level would see the MA level-out and becomes less important and therefor rangebound.
Comment with your thoughts on this idea.
BTC encountered strong resistance 89000I made an analysis this morning. I said that if the price of Bitcoin breaks through the resistance level of 87,000, it's very likely to rise all the way to 88,000 in one go, and then it will encounter the resistance level at 89,000. Look, my analysis has been verified now. It has been proven that the resistance level at 89,000 is indeed effective.
At present, it's not advisable to engage in short - selling. Instead, one can consider taking long positions again at the support level.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@85000 - 86000
🎁 TP 88000 - 89000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BTC (20250324) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of BTC on March 24: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday. The K-line pattern is still a single negative and a single positive. The price stands on the MA30 daily average line. The attached indicator is running in a golden cross, but the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis. According to the current trend, when the current fast and slow lines touch the zero axis horizontal line, the time consumption space is almost the same, and the second large downward trend will come, so we have to wait in terms of time and trend; the short-cycle hourly chart continues the rebound trend of yesterday today. It is currently in the European session time, and the price begins to be under pressure. In addition, the probability of shock on Monday is relatively high, so the US market will first retreat in the evening.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price of 87,500 area, stop loss at 88,000 area, and target the 86,500-86,000 area;
BTC Today's analysisLast week, BTC was in a sideways oscillation around $84,000. The competition between bulls and bears was intense, and the market was filled with strong wait - and - see sentiment, constantly waiting for a clear direction. Yesterday, the price rose to $85,000, and today it reached the $87,000 resistance point analyzed previously.
Currently, the resistance at $87,000 is significant. A large number of sell orders have gathered, putting great pressure on the price and causing frequent fluctuations. There are two reasons for this resistance. First, investors who bought at high levels earlier are selling here to stop losses or lock in profits, increasing the selling pressure. Second, investors generally expect strong resistance at this price level, so they either sell or wait and see, exacerbating the resistance.
If BTC breaks through the $87,000 mark, there is a high chance of a new upward trend in the short term. Technically, the breakthrough will attract trend - followers to enter the market and push up the price. In terms of market sentiment, it can boost confidence and trigger chasing buying. Based on the current momentum and historical experience, the price may quickly rise to the range of $88,000 - $89,000. If it fails to break through, the price may retrace to the range of $85,000 - $86,000 to seek support and start a new consolidation to accumulate upward momentum. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor the breakthrough of the $87,000 resistance point in the following days, as it is of great significance for investment decisions.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@85000 - 86000
🎁 TP 88000 - 89000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-24-25 : Bozu Trending PatternToday's Bozu Trending pattern suggests a very aggressive price move is likely. I believe this move will be to the upside after my weekend research suggested we are moving into a "blow-off" topping pattern that will act as a Bull Trap.
Overall, I belive the SPY/QQQ have about 2-3 days up upward price trending early this week, then the markets will suddenly roll into a topping pattern and start to aggressively move downward.
The next base/bottom of the continued downward price trend sets up in early/mid April. The March 21-24 base/bottom is likely the minor base/bottom we have seen over the past 3-5+ days.
I believe the breakdown in the SPY/QQQ late this week and into next week will result in a new lower low - causing the Consolidation phase of this downturn to extend down to the 520-525 level on the SPY.
Bitcoin is very close to my $88,000 upper target level (only about $250 off that level). Get ready, BTCUSD should make an aggressive move downward after stalling near the FWB:88K level peak.
Gold and Silver are moving into a trending mode. I believe both Gold and Silver will rally this week and into the next few weeks as we expand into the Expansion phase.
Buckle up. If my research is correct, we are going to see a BIG ROLLOVER this week.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
24/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $87,453.65
Last weeks low: $81,140.91
Midpoint: $84,297.28
Great weekly close for the bulls! A reclaim of the weekly high in the dying hours of the week is a huge win and has spurred on an early run for the weekly high.
The overall goal for this move should be $91,000 in my opinion, and a must not lose area is $86,000 or 0.75 line/ last weeks weekly high.
What happens at $91,000 is yet to be determined and I have an idea many will be tentative around that area. On the high time frames a reclaim of this level unlocks the capability to retest the highs from a TA standpoint as price re-enters the range bound environment. A rejection of that level would make a $73,000 retest a very real possibility.
In terms of altcoins we're seeing some strength returning with some strong gains but relative to their sell-offs it is a a drop in the ocean so far. Currently the market conditions are a traders dream but a long term investor/holders nightmare. No major news is planned to come this week so unless something drastic happens TA should be the driving factor this week.
March 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq index announcement (FOMC interest rate announcement) at 3 AM soon.
I created today's strategy based on Nasdaq.
*When the red finger moves,
One-way long position strategy
1. 83,451.4 dollars long position entry point / green support line breakaway stop loss price
2. 85,233.8 dollars long position 1st target and after autonomous short -> Top autonomous long
-> Good to up to 94,179.7 dollars long position final target price
(You can check the price if you drag the chart.)
The purple finger section at the top
is the place where you should touch first to have a high chance of success in the strategy. This is a section for autonomous shorts and rising waves,
(If it comes down right away, the safe section in the short-term rising trend is number 2)
If it breaks the 3rd sky blue support line at the bottom,
the rising trend line may break,
and since the previous low is broken from the bottom,
you should open it up to $79,712.8 by the weekend.
(Major rebound section)
Please use my analysis articles for reference only,
and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
I will see you next Monday due to personal reasons.
Thank you.
BTC/USDT: Bullish Momentum Targets Key Psychological LevelOn the 1-hour timeframe, the BTC/USDT market is exhibiting a clear uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. The recent break above a downward trendline led to an extended move upward, bringing the price to a test of last week’s high, where a potential pullback could emerge.
Zooming out, the broader structure reveals the formation of an ABC pattern, with the move appearing to target the psychological level of 90,000. It is common for markets to consolidate around significant levels before breaking out, suggesting that price may hover near this area in the short term. Barring any unforeseen market disruptions, the current momentum supports a retest of the area above 90,000, with the next key target at the resistance zone around 89,000
BITCOIN just broke above 4H MA200 for the 1st time in 1.5 month!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1.5 month (since February 04). This is on its own a major bullish signal but fortunately for buyers, it is not the only one.
Just yesterday, the price also broke above the February 21 Lower Highs trend-line, the first medium-term Resistance of the market that basically started the brutal sell-off of late February and breaking above it technically restores the bullish sentiment back to the market and at the same time formed a 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross for the first time in more than 2 months (January 18).
Obviously the complete confirmation will come if BTC breaks above its Channel Down but given the fact that 2 Resistance levels already broke and that the bottom looks like a W-shaped recovery pattern, we can already set a Target on the 99500 Resistance, which just so happens to be marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
But what do you think? Is this 4H MA200 break-out the bullish signal the market needed after such a long time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
What BTC is showing?! Full Scenario As of now market is really slow... Why?
As the History of BTC shows that market never formed a new high with out retesting its Support or previous Resistance level, as in 2020 market break its Resistance level which was 19,000 and market formed a new high in 2021 which was 68,000 after that market didn't formed a new high until it retested its last support level 19,000. After retesting 19,000 market shows us a new high of 109,000 and since Market has formed a new high it didn't retested its Support level which is 68,000, so According to me history will be repeated here, till market don't retest its previous level which is 68,000 market will be slow and bearish. After that market will perform a new high.
According to RSI there is also a bearish divergences which support my vision.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup
This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks.
Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart.
📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
🔹 What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside.
🔹 Key Observations in the Chart
The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows.
The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone.
A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action.
Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
📊 Important Technical Levels
1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones
📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here.
📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout
The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level.
📈 Trading Strategy & Setup
🔹 Entry Confirmation
To enter a long position, traders should wait for:
✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout).
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case.
A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move.
🔹 Target Price Projection
Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000.
This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone.
Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target.
🔹 Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone.
This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility.
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Entry around breakout level (~$87,000)
Target: $118,000 (35% upside)
Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside)
Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup.
📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment
Why This Pattern Matters?
A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout.
If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally.
Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
Potential Risks
❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt.
❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action.
❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move.
🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup
✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside.
✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up.
✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection.
🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop.
Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
Btc pullback is waiting around 89k🚨 Bitcoin Alert: CRYPTOCAP:BTC back above $87,000! 🚀
Key zone ahead: FWB:88K –$90K This level is make-or-break.
Here’s what to watch:
✅ A strong breakout above $90K could spark the next leg up
🩸 Bearish divergence will also form which is dangerous that can trigger correction.
❌ Rejection at this zone might trigger a correction $79k
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
Bitcoin: in a silent moodThe fears regarding future US economic outlook are still strong among investors. The Fed held its FOMC meeting during the previous week, holding for one more time interest rates unchanged. On the other hand, Fed officials acknowledged uncertainties originating from moves from the US Administration, mostly related to trade tariffs. The US equity markets are trying very hard to sustain a positive mood, however, it is not an easy task under current circumstances. This is why markets generally slowed down a bit, waiting for more clarity in which direction the US economy will go till the end of this year. The same sentiment is impacting the crypto market.
During the previous week, BTC tried to hold a positive sentiment, reaching the highest weekly level at $87,4K. However, the coin soon reverted back to the levels above the $84K. Fridays and Saturdays trading sessions passed in a quite silent mood, oscillating around the $84,5K, without any sort of direction. The RSI continues to move around the level of 45, again not providing a clear signal that the market is ready for a move toward any side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly converge toward the MA200, from the upper side, implying that the cross might come quite soon.
Quietness is not a good signal from the market. It means that something much bigger is coming in the near future, in terms of price moves. As per current BTC charts, there is some space for the upside, but now only till the level of $88K. A lower ground might come with lower probability. As long as uncertainty interferes with market sentiment, some higher moves to either side could not be expected.
BTC Today's analysisDuring the recent continuous and close tracking of the cryptocurrency market dynamics, I have always maintained an optimistic view on the price trend of BTC.
As it turns out, this prediction has been strongly validated by the market. Since the last market analysis, the price of BTC has shown a strong upward momentum, steadily climbing from an initial price of around 84,000 to the current remarkable 85,200.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture – Breakout or Breakdown? 📉 BTC is at a key decision point! After pulling back from recent highs, it's now consolidating within a range, sitting right in the middle of the previous price swing. I'm keeping a close eye on this zone—if price breaks out, a high-probability trade opportunity could emerge.
🎯 In this video, we dive deep into price action and market structure, breaking down a potential trade setup—if the market aligns with our strategy.
🚨 Trade smart, manage risk—this isn’t financial advice! 🚀🔥