BTCUSD - Similar Channels Current channel can be contrasted to the previous 2017 run
We are at the stage before aggressive bulls take control pushing above this channel
The verge of a large breakout for crypto across the board
I don't know if price will surpass 1m but it definitely will be pushing new ATH's probably each week
Weekly chart
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Halving to ATH data -2 year UPDATE-conflicting results
I havw Noticed in recent days, people "Boosting" A chart I posted in Dec 2022, called "BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %"
So I thought I would update it and see where we are now.
In it, i said 2024 would be a Good year.
Well, we got that in many ways and not surprisingly but we have seen some things that point towards this being a VERY different cycle and I will explain some of them here
So, as the title suggests, Lets Look at the Halving to ATH - For a start, I need to explain the issue we have with 2021 - 2 major ATH and a divided community about which one was the REAL ATH and so on. There are plenty of reasons to accept the NOV 2021 ATH as the real one, mostly because it was the highest price !
It was also a similar day count from previous Halving to ATH and so I am working with that.
The Current Bitcoin ATH was 280 days after Halving. A Lot Less than any previous day count from Halving to ATH..
We are however, still under the 365 count we had in 2012 Halving to ATH - So...for me, the possibility that we have NOT seen Cycle ATH still exists for many reasons..
And yet, at the same time, I am Very aware that this Cycle has seen accelerated adoption because of ETF's etc,,,,,,so, please Keep an open mind.
Using the day Count system and the Nov 2021 day count, we could expect this Cycle ATH around Oct 2025 - probably safer to say Q4
But how High ?
The % rise from ATH to ATH is an interesting topic here.
2012 to 2017 ATH saw a 1144.6% Rise in PA
2017 to 2021 ATH ( Nov ) saw a 326,3% rise in PA - This is 3.5 X SMALLER than the previous Rise.
Using that 3.5 Smaller calculation, that gives us an % rise of 92.4% and an ATH of around 121K for this cycle. Kind of contradicts expectations and this alone could point towards that fact we may have already be near reacheing cycle Top !
(I have posted a Far more detailed chart about this and will be updating it soon)
BUT, the Crunch comes when we look at the Halving to ATH, as mentioned in the title
I wrote in Dec 2022
2012 Halving 10K% rise after
2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after
2020 Halving 700 % rise after
Projected PA in 2024 /5 would also be 700%
BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates
We got earlier Pumps due to ETF expectations, as can be seen by how far of the Curve PA rose in 2024 - This has completely changed how strong PA was at Halving and how Much further it could rise.
In facr, if you look back over previous Halvings, PA has been FLAT by comparison.
And so, Since the Bitcoin Halving in March 2024, to the current ATH, we have only seen a 62.8% Rise
If PA Had been on the Curve in the chart at the halving date, we would have seen a 397.8% eise to the current ATH
This Highlights a Massive change in how PA is rising But, at the same time, We would still most likely be in the Range we are now in.
And Lastly, I want to show you this
I mentioned in Dec 2022 how Bitcoin PA could expect a 700% Rise in Price from Halving to cycle ATH
I was WRONG
From Where PA was at Halving to the Expected ATH mark on Rising trend line, it will be 651% rise and around 500K
So, in conclusion, despite a massive change in how PA approached Halving and how Shallow the rise in PA has been compared to previous cycles after Halving, we are Still in a VERY Good place.
However, if you Look at just the ATH to ATH dats calculation, we may already he near TOP....
Take you pick - For Me, I am holding out for Q4 but I have safe guards in place should it turn out we have peaked early.
But do remember, this is a Projection..No guarantees......But we can hope
Stay safe and Love your Neighbour
Will this short-term recovery drive Bitcoin to the $100,000 markBitcoin Price Chart
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $92,358 with a market cap of $1.831 trillion. The completion of the Morning Star pattern on the 200-day EMA line increases the probability of a breakout beyond the resistance trendline. The price of Bitcoin has also violated the 78.60% Fibonacci level at $91,780. With the sudden recovery of Bitcoin, the index has maintained a positive stance since the end of last week due to the increase in market volatility. Additionally, the Directional Movement Index indicates a potential crossover in the VI line. This positive crossover could mark the beginning of an uptrend in Bitcoin, and a potential triangle breakout rally is on the horizon.
Despite the massive recovery in Bitcoin price, institutional support remains weak. On March 5, the US Bitcoin ETF saw a daily net outflow of $22.1 million. Surprisingly, Blackrock saw an inflow of $38.93 million, which was the first inflow after seven consecutive days of outflows.
Bitcoin ETFs, Invesco and Bitwise recorded outflows, while other ETFs maintained net zero flows. Invesco had the largest outflows, with $9.9 million worth of Bitcoin, followed by $6.9 million. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
March 5 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is an indicator announcement at 12 o'clock on Nasdaq.
Yesterday, based on Tether Dominance, the 4-hour chart was maintaining a thin line above the center line,
so it is rebounding strongly as expected, coupled with the Nasdaq rebound.
It is very difficult to make an entry point again today.
Yesterday, Nasdaq touched the Bollinger Band weekly chart support line, so I judged this week to be a major rebound section.
(It is good that the support line is supporting it.)
At least, Bitcoin followed the trend according to the possibility of a sideways movement without a plunge.
*Red finger movement path
Long position strategy
1. $88,407 long position entry section / cut-off price when purple support line is broken
2. $96,005 1st target -> Top section 2nd target
After liquidation, bottom section 1 long position re-entry section / cut-off price autonomous
Today's long position entry section is
30-minute support + 1-hour central pattern that returns.
(Today's first wave)
I explained most of the key points of the strategy yesterday.
The reason I focused on the long position today is
The daily chart MACD golden cross is in progress,
*In the case of Tether dominance, it is a daily central line + 12-hour chart support line pattern,
but since the mid-term pattern is broken and the daily chart central line is the second touch, I thought it was highly likely to be pushed by force.
Section 1 at the top and section 2 at the bottom are sideways.
Because the downward direction is open from the bottom section,
it can flow up to section 3.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin - A pattern you can't ignoreThis is the key that will help you make money on Bitcoin
According to my sources The Cryptocurrency Reserve in the US will be approved in May. But it will be too late to buy. When politicians get to cryptocurrencies it means it's our time to get out of the market.
And now I'll explain why the entire market will be down in September.
May through September will be the biggest bitcoin distribution, it will be much higher than the prices that are now
Since 2015, I have been fixating on this pattern:
The bull market always lasts 151-152 weeks (2.9 years).
A correction is 51-53 weeks (1 year).
And it worked without errors :
2017 : Peak in December - $19,783 (exactly within the cycle).
2018 : Bottom in November - $3,122 (in the bullseye again).
2021 : ATH in November - $68,789 (the cycle didn't fail).
2022 Bottom in November - $15.832 (in the bullseye again).
There are many publications with the same timings and decision-making
А 2023-2024 ? This was my record year! I bought when everyone was yelling “Crash!” and sold when the crowd was yelling “To the moon!”. All thanks to cold calculation instead of emotion .
🧠 Why does it work? Because the crowd is blind
When everyone is in a panic - I activate the algorithm :
А 2023-2024 ? This was my record year! I bought when everyone was yelling “Crash!” and sold when the crowd was yelling “To the moon!”. All thanks to cold calculation instead of emotion.
🧠 Why does it work? Because the crowd is blind
When everyone is in a panic - I activate the algorithm :
Timing : I enter at the end of a bearish cycle and exit at the peak of a bullish cycle.
Discipline : No “maybe it's time?” - just numbers.
Adaptation : Is the market evolving? My model is too. In 2025, my Academy will release an updated course - where I will share the most acutal information.
💥 Why am I disclosing this now?
Because there's not much time left until the end of the bull cycle, and I want you to be ready.
📉 “But isn't that risky?”
Risk is when you follow the crowd.
🔥 The END of 151 weeks will start sooner than you expect. Do I want you to miss out on the opportunity? Subscribe, save the post, write comments - and let's make money while others are looking for “magic indicators”.
Questions? Doubts? Write in the comments.
P.P.S. This is not “another prediction.” This is the key to the market, which I have been grinding for 11 years. And it's yours - if you have time.
Bitcoin's future is bright!
Best regards EXCAVO
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $92,786 resistance approaching, $91,375 support currently in effect, $86,305 key support from here, possible sign of reversal on 1D with RSI and MACD confirmation, can retake $94,148 support this week if no further manipulation changes it's course. Current Weekly and Previous one both looking bullish showcasing strength of the Bulls, expect resistance at $94,148-$95,878, next key support range at $80,582-$78,034.
Will Bitcoin Break Its Resistance? | Market Analysis of Bitcoin
As you can see on the chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is respecting a curve trendline very well. One of the most important observations is that every time Bitcoin tests this curve trendline, it forms an inverted hammer candlestick pattern, leading to a market reversal.
For those familiar with technical analysis, candlestick patterns play a significant role in predicting market movements. The repeated formation of inverted hammers at this trendline has consistently caused the market to reverse. Now, as Bitcoin approaches this trendline again, we’ll watch for the formation of another inverted hammer. If this pattern appears, it could signal another reversal and a potential drop in price.
However, just because the market has failed multiple times at this level doesn’t mean it will fail again. There’s also a strong possibility that Bitcoin could break through this resistance zone. The 91,000–92,000 zone is acting as a key resistance area, and the curve trendline is also providing resistance here.
Two Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1: Breakout Above Resistance
- There’s a high probability that Bitcoin could break the 91,000–92,000 resistance zone.
- If this happens, the next major resistance levels to watch are 94,500 and 98,800.
- After reaching these levels, Bitcoin might pull back, and we’ll analyze the next move in a future update.
- 94,500 and 98,800 are important resistance levels that are defining the current market character. For now, the market remains bearish, but if these levels are broken in the future, we could see the market’s character shift to bullish.
Scenario 2: Reversal at Trendline
- Bitcoin could test the curve trendline and form another inverted hammer pattern, leading to a reversal.
- This would mean the market fails to break the resistance and moves downward again, continuing the previous pattern.
Key Takeaways
Watch for Candlestick Patterns: The formation of an inverted hammer at the trendline could signal a reversal.
Trade Carefully: Be prepared for both scenarios—breakout or reversal—and plan your trades accordingly.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
Bitcoin Breaks 90k with upward bounce on Daily FVG and 200MABitcoin Breaks 90k with bounce on Daily FVG and 200MA.
The FMG "Fair Value Gap" is a big deal, especially this one on the daily.
The 4h and 2h and 45min charts are looking like this could continue.
It's a powerful moment, and maybe 80k will never been seen again?
This is more bullish than I have felt in a few days.
Major upcoming events in the marketThe trap has appeared:
- The crypto summit on Friday will confirm the strategic position of BTC
- The hotly speculated altcoins may be "delisted" by policies
- The US Treasury's 215,000 BTC reserves reveal the true intention
Now chasing the rise of altcoins is like betting against the dealer. XRP, which is deeply involved in SEC lawsuits, and SOL with Democratic background are both high-risk minefields.
Remember: When the White House starts discussing crypto strategy, the real winners are always the whales who have already made arrangements.
For more amazing news, opportunity trends, big swing trades, when to buy and sell, leave me a message. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
BTC SHORT TP: 85,4000 05-03-2025Bitcoin is currently displaying a rebound pattern towards the 85,000 - 85,500 zone, which is crucial to maintain its bullish momentum. I suggest entering a short position in this range with tight stop-losses to capitalize on the anticipated movement.
This analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, so we should expect results within 8 to 11 hours. If the expected price action does not occur within that timeframe, the trade will be considered invalid.
Be sure to follow me for ongoing updates and to continue generating profits!
We've successfully executed 6 trades in a row—let's aim for this to be the 7th, or we start fresh!
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Structure Emerging – Next Stop $95KBTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Structure Emerging – Next Stop $95K?
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Current Market Structure (Confidence 8/10):
Price: $89,849, showing bullish momentum emerging from equilibrium zone.
Hidden bullish divergence confirmed between price action and selling volume.
Market Makers (MMs) accumulated heavily at GETTEX:87K support, now targeting the premium zone.
Clean break above POI (Point of Interest) at $88.5K signals further upside potential.
Trade Recommendation:
Entry: Current price ($89.8K) or pullback to $88.7K.
Targets:
T1: $91.2K
T2: $93.5K
T3: $95K
Stop Loss: $87.2K (below equilibrium zone).
Risk Score:
8/10 – Favorable R:R setup with a clear invalidation level.
Market Maker Activity:
Accumulation phase complete at the GETTEX:87K zone.
Currently engineering moves toward the premium zone ($94-95K).
Likely targeting shorts above GETTEX:92K before continuation.
Smart Money Insight:
Institutional accumulation is evident, showing strong buying pressure.
Structure suggests another leg up, but traders should monitor premium zone resistance near $94-95K.
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
BTCUSD Do you think this position is a turning point?According to the current trend analysis, BTC has reached a critical point of long-short negotiations in the short term, but it is also at this time that we must pay attention that there is a high possibility of large fluctuations. Traders still need to observe calmly. Blindly entering the market will only put you in danger.
From the analysis, BTC can focus on the resistance of 90700 and 91500 in the short term. Focus on the support of 88500 and 87400 below.
Trading is risky, so control your position reasonably. The market is changing rapidly, and accurate signals are subject to real-time. BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Make continuous profits of 10,000 points on BTCUSD, please come My name is Baker, and I am a professional analyst with more than ten years of experience in the financial industry. After witnessing insider trading in the market, I decided to resign from all institutional positions and form my own analyst team. At present, my team and I focus on in-depth analysis of gold, Bitcoin and oil market trends and medium- and short-term fast trading strategies. Of course, I am also a mentor to many traders in the market. Recently, I have continuously made profits of 5,000-10,000 points in BTC transactions, and my members have made profits of more than 600%. In the following time, I will share with you trading skills, accurate signals, insider information and other content. Interested traders can keep following up.
The market has been very unstable recently. If you are a novice trader or a trader with a bad mentality or a trader who has suffered too much loss in the past, it will be more difficult for you to trade in this market, because I have come from that stage. So I know it all. But how to trade is a very critical step, when to buy, when to sell, how much profit can you accept for each transaction, and how much loss can you accept for each transaction. Loss is equivalent to paying tuition fees, see how much loss you can bear and what you can learn. How to effectively control trading risks. Reasonably control trading positions. These are things that must be faced in trading. When trading, the market will create opportunities for us to make money. But it requires courage and execution. When not trading, you need patience. The market gives us opportunities to make money. But it will not give us the opportunity to continue to make money. So we have to seize the opportunity to make money.
When you come to this channel. Then your choice will not be wrong. Believe in your own vision. Because your vision will guide you how to become better. Smart people find me after losing money, become my members, and let me help them. This is indeed a method. Because in this way, you can not only get accurate trading signals, but also learn how to manage your trading mentality, how to control risks, how to trade correctly, and why to trade. BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
Crypto - Another Leg Down vs. ATH Challenge?Crypto and risk assets are hanging in there, having found near-term (daily timeframe) supportive levels. Markets are trying to decide whether the next swing will be up - challenging ATHs - or down. Longer-term (monthly, weekly) charts, suggest that additional downside is possible. There's no shortage of risk-off fundamental drivers, any of which could serve as the catalyst for a resurgence in bearish sentiment.
Should cryptocurrencies, represented by the TOTAL Market Cap Index, fail to hold current lows (2.55T), subsequent buy levels are ~2T (2.16-2.02). 1.69 is the controlling anchor low of the current intermediate-term uptrend. To maintain a long-term bullish outlook on crypto, TOTAL should hold this level (far away). If risk assets break down, it's advisable to deploy confirmation entries for buys (vs. "catching a falling knife"). Watch micro timeframes for trend reversal indications before stepping in.
One can try the next directional swing by looking for a breakout/breakdown on intraday timeframes. Given the backdrop across markets, maintaining flexibility + staying nimble are key! The prevailing trend in crypto and undeniable rise of digital assets suggests that a move higher is more likely vs. not, but charts have yet to confirm, so it's prudent to prepare for either scenario.
JHart
X: JHartCharts
OM/USDT : Do you know what is going to happen?hello guys
As you can see, this currency has strong spikes...
Now, according to the latest spike, we have identified good support ranges for you to buy step by step and move with it until the specified goals, of course, with capital management...
*Trade safely with us*