Nas100 continuation lower?Good evening traders, I am busy with my market recap and I saw this beautiful idea on nas100/US100 or whatever name your broker uses.
Indices have been pretty bearish from our understanding as we saw price crush, well my thought process when analysing chart is question based, question like did price move above our weekly opening price to give us our manipulation phase in the power of 3, and in this case or in the case of this analysis the answer is yes it moved higher following this week’s open. Today in the 1 hour TF we have a structure shift lower and before we can do anything we need to see price come higher to Atleast the FVG that is marked on the chart, I know ICT teaches deeper about FVG but for me it’s fine for price to completely cover it. Or if maybe the OTE(optimal trade entry) is the method you use to enter trades it’s still fine or even order blocks if maybe you can see any than it’s also completely fine.
Currently price is showing momentum lower and maybe it’ll close prices lower but if we close the daily candle above the midpoint of the weekly gap we can expect price go than trigger the limit.
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD Analysis – Market Uncertainty Weighs on Bitcoin, $73K Sup
Date: April 9, 2025
Pair: BTCUSD (Bitcoin vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: Daily – Medium-Term Outlook
Market Sentiment:
Bitcoin is currently navigating a phase of heightened uncertainty. Despite its strong long-term bullish structure, macroeconomic pressures, geopolitical tensions, and unstable global monetary policy are making investors cautious. The market is showing signs of reduced participation, with declining volume and a lack of aggressive accumulation — both indicative of weakened investor confidence in the short term.
Technical Analysis:
BTC is now testing a critical support level at $73,000. This zone is not only a psychological level but also a key demand area that has historically acted as a strong base since Q4 2024.
If the $73,000 support breaks convincingly, selling pressure is likely to accelerate. In that case, I project Bitcoin to move toward the next major support zone around $55,000 – $57,000, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the early 2024 rally.
However, should BTC hold this support and bounce with strong buying momentum, a potential recovery toward the $98,000 – $100,000 resistance zone is possible — though such a scenario currently lacks supporting volume and sentiment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Major Support: $73,000
Next Support Zone: $57,000 – $55,000
Minor Resistance: $85,700 (200-day MA)
Key Resistance: $98,000 – $100,000
Given the current state of the market, I’m taking a conservative stance. A breakdown below $73,000 would be a clear signal that the market is losing momentum, and that institutional players are not yet ready to step back in aggressively.
Caution is essential. I personally will wait for confirmed price action around the FWB:73K level before considering any positions. If the level fails to hold, a move down to $55K becomes a strong possibility.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
TV: @algonauthx
X: x.com
BTCUSD. Weekly bull pennantThe daily failing wedge’s top trendline is not as sharp of a trajectory as the the weekly timeframe’s and due to this, the daily time frames wege is noticeably longer, so I thinkI am going to post a follow p idea to this one that shows the longer version of the wedge, not sure which one is more valid yet at this current time. If the weekly 50ma(in orange) can hold support then we should break up from this wedge right around where I have placed the dotted measured move lne, in which case the breakout target would be around 133k, if the longer version of the wedge on the daily time frame is the more valid of the two then we will likely have to correct longer before we see a breakout. Will post the longer version n the very next idea post. *not financial advice*
BTC exhibited a steady upward trajectory.Following a substantial plunge at yesterday's market opening, BTC staged a swift recovery.
As all trading markets resumed normal operations, BTC exhibited a steady upward trajectory.
💎💎💎 BTCUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@78000 - 79000
🎁 TP 81000 - 83000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
$$$ BTCUSD MACRO-BULLISH $$$ 1W CHART $$$BITFINEX:BTCUSD 1W Chart
There are many reasons to look at this weekly chart and see that there's absolutely no reason to be bearish on Bitcoin yet.
Holding strong r/s flip support.
Holding regression trend.
Holding parabolic trend.
Stoch RSI at the bottom.
Weekly bullish divergence.
Assuming this plays out in a way that's similar to the last local bottom, the current target is around $134k-$135k.
It would take a lot to invalidate all of these bullish indicators, but if that does somehow happen, with a CLOSE of the weekly candle that invalidated these, then It's pretty much definitely over for a loooong time.
NFA blah blah blah..
BTC/USDT Analysis – Expected ReboundWhile the entire market was panicking and selling off, our primary scenario was a rebound from the buyer zone at $77,000–$73,000, which has played out.
Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced an abnormal spike in volume. A breakout and consolidation either below or above the newly formed volume zone at $78,000–$80,000 will set the trend for the coming days.
Our main scenario suggests a move toward the sell zone above the current price. At the moment, we are seeing a slight absorption of market selling based on delta analysis.
In a bearish scenario, support is expected on a false breakout of the local low at $74,550.
Sell Zones:
$82,000–$83,900 (volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup with SBR Rejection🔵 Key Zones & Levels:
🔷 SBR Zone (Support ➡ Resistance):
Price Range: ~$81,000–$83,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31 (Just above resistance)
Expecting sellers to step in here if price retests this level
🟠 Mid-Range Zone:
Current price is consolidating just below SBR zone
Could form a lower high before dropping
🟦 Target Zone (Support Area):
🎯 Target Price: ~$75,000
Previous demand area – price bounced hard from here before
🔁 Trade Plan:
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry: Near current price or after retest of SBR zone
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31
🎯 Target: $75,000 (approx -8.33%)
✅ Summary:
Risk-Reward: Appears solid (R:R > 2:1)
🕵️♂️ Watch for: Fakeouts or rejections in the SBR zone
🔻 Potential Move: -6,804 points if plan plays out
Bitcoin Signal for Short Lets Make Some Real GameThis is an educational trading setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), focusing on a short position opportunity between the $82,000 and $80,000 price levels. The analysis is based on technical indicators, price action strategies, and current market sentiment. Please note: this is not financial advice, strictly for learning purposes!
📉 Trade Concept:
Entry Zone: $82,000
Target Zone: $80,000
Setup Type: Short / Sell
Timeframe: Short-term / Intraday
Market Context: After an extended bullish rally, BTC/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance. High probability retracement expected towards the $80,000 support area.
🔍 Educational Insights:
Technical Indicators: Overbought RSI levels, bearish divergence, and candlestick reversal patterns around $82,000 zone.
Psychological Levels: $80,000 is a major psychological number where buyers may step in.
Risk Management: Always use stop-losses and proper risk-reward ratios in live trades.
💡 Purpose of Sharing:
This setup is shared purely for educational purposes to help traders understand how to spot potential short opportunities in volatile markets like Bitcoin. Learn how to analyze resistance zones, manage risk, and read price action effectively.
📢 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making financial decisions.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #ShortTrade #BitcoinSignal #PriceAction #Educational #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoEducation #LearnTrading #RiskManagement
Has Bitcoin entered a downtrend?Bitcoin is going down, the whole crypto market is going down, too. So, does this mean Bitcoin has entered a downtrend cycle? That is a million- or even billion -dollar question.
Let's analyze Bitcoin's two previous downtrends. The first correction wave dropped about 21.7%, and the second one dropped about 32.8%. If this pattern continues, the current correction wave could drop at least 32.8%; the latest Bitcoin's bearish candle is a little short of this amount.
Also, the previous horizontal resistance area, which is now a support area, coincides with the 32.8% drop value and the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement levels, too. So, this area seems like a good place for Bitcoin's correction to end.
Moreover, the major uptrend line is the last line of defense for Bitcoin to keep the bullish phase alive. Let's see what happens.
Gold 4H Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone Target 3115Here’s the updated short analysis with the Key Point included:
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This 4H XAU/USD chart shows a potential bullish setup forming after a sharp sell-off. Price has tapped into a higher time frame demand zone** (blue), indicating possible buyer interest.
The **Key Point level (around 3,048–3,050) marked in pink acted as previous support and now resistance. A break and hold above this zone could signal strong bullish momentum toward the target zone around 3,115–3,120 (green area).
The projected price path suggests possible consolidation or a sweep of lows before a rally toward the target. Buyers will likely be watching for signs of reversal and confirmation near the blue zone to go long.
Entry Zone: Around 3,010–3,020 (inside the blue demand zone)
🎯 Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,048 — Just before the Key Point resistance zone, partials can be taken here in case of rejection.
TP2: 3,080 — Mid-range resistance before the main target, aligns with previous consolidation.
TP3 (Final Target): 3,115–3,120 — Main target zone marked on chart; strong supply area and potential reversal zone.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then.
The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000.
Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF WITH CKBUSD-Cross chain Proof of work crypto, with partnerships notably with Cardano
-This one is right where it was before previous pumps
-If the cycle continues from current position to high will be 1000%
-Not too much more room to fall
-Not too heavy on this one but I'm accumulating
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point.
RSI also looks weak.
Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels.
Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels.
Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
BTC Bears about to get liquidA continuation of distribution is still in play for bitcoin and the alt market.
Maybe a few more days of bleeding but not much lower from here.
Currently in SOW Phase B (Sign of Weakness in Phase B) v
d.stockcharts.com
Looking to see a quick turn around from this zone to the upside.
Target : $130,000
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bullish Reversal PlayAfter a sharp drop, BTC is testing a key liquidity zone around 78.2k. The market structure suggests a potential bullish reversal, with a fakeout and recovery in sight.
📌 Trade Idea:
Entry: After confirmation of a reclaim and bullish structure break (above ~79.3k)
SL: Below recent low ~77.6k
TP: 82.8k zone
RRR: ~3.2
📅 Timeframe: 30min
📈 Bias: Counter-trend long
🔁 Watch for: Price reaction at current support and market structure shift
🚨 Wait for confirmation – patience is key in volatile conditions!
ETHEREUM SHORT TO $786! (UPDATE)ETH dumping really hard! The Crypto market overall is very bearish right now, but ETH specifically I’ve been calling it since 2024.
$786 still remains our Wave C target of my ‘Elliott Wave Theory’ strategy. Let’s see if we still a straight dump towards $786, or do we see some sort of slow down in bearish momentum.
LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.
Bitcoin: 76K Test Watch For Reversal.Bitcoin has broken the 81,500 minor support and is now in the process of testing the recent swing low 78K to 76K AREA. With the lower high structure at the 88K area (see arrow) in place, a lower low is likely to follow in the coming week. The question is how much lower? One reasonable estimate is a test of 73K (the previous all time high before November). The current area between 79 and 76K does present a buying opportunity on multiple time horizons (investment, swing trades, day trades) but the key to timing this WAITING for confirmation.
From the investing perspective, this is an attractive low because this may establish a reversal formation (double bottom) which may be the bottom of Wave 4. IF this turns out to be true, Wave 5 can potentially begin here. Price can probe as far as 64K before overlapping with Wave 1 of this impulse. Stepping into this our placing a limit order at a lower price is reasonable, but managing risk on this time horizon has a lot to do with your sizing strategy (I have explained this on many streams). Keep in mind price can BREAK and test 73K or lower and you must consider that possibility into your sizing strategy.
As far as swing trades, its the same idea except this is where a defined risk (stop) and profit objective has to be assigned (Trade Scanner Pro shines here). While the level is ideal for a double bottom or failed low (see illustration), there is NO confirmation. So it is still highly risky to step into this, especially in light of the stock market situation, etc. Wait for a bullish pin bar, engulfing candle, etc. You can define risk from there and utilize at least a 2:1 or greater profit objective.
For day trades, its the same process just on smaller time frames, (1 min to 15 min). Just on the day trade time frame, at this time, SHORTS can still be attractive on minor retracements because momentum on these time frames is CLEARLY bearish. If 79K breaks, there is a greater chance momentum continues toward the 76K AREA low.
I realize there must be some news catalyst in play to spark such a move. DO NOT react to the news, this is often a mistake. It doesn't matter what it is because this is a game of recognizing herd mentality behavior and identifying potential opportunities in this context. You want to anticipate an inflection point, WAIT for price behavior to confirm. At that point you can identify risk, and profit expectations. THIS is a MORE objective process compared to "thinking" you know how the news will affect a market. Keep decision making as simple as the "IF this, then that" framework which gives you a more accurate view of market intent since it encourages a more passive view rather than asserting your own irrelevant opinions.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Bullish Idea I'll be buying for that point of interest 78544.71 if I see confirmation for reversal. Though H8 zone 79100.20 looks valid too as the price has triggered it and rejects it awesomely.
My projection is this new week is going to be Bullish not just for Bitcoin but some other. Crypto pairs too.
I'm bullish on Eth as well.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴