BITCOIN This where things get interesting for the greedy..Bitcoin / BTCUSD has entered its parabolic rally mode, as we are in the final year of the Bull Cycle.
We are 812 days after the Bear Cycle bottom and on this chart we applied that range on the previous Cycle to get an idea of were we are in relation to the past.
As you can see we are just after a 1week LMACD squeeze, which in March 15th 2021 turned into a bearish cross that delivered a strong correction while in March 20th 20217 a smaller technical pull back.
In both cases the EMA Bollinger Bands Baseline (green) came to support.
This Cycle however draws more similarities with 2017.
It needs to be said that when BTC is in parabolic rally mode, it tends to spend more time above the BB Upper band (blue).
What this indicates is that any pull back towards the baseline should be bought as Bitcoin is now more likely to make higher highs above the Upper Band.
We project a smoother uptrend compared to past Cycles towards the end of 2025.
Be greedy, buy every pull back below the blue line and take profit a bit above it. Repeat until September-October.
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1-BTCUSD
BTC | EXCITING PATTERN | Bullish Pattern in the DailyBTC has formed an interesting pattern in the daily timeframe.
The W-Bottom pattern is a bullish pattern that shows up on the daily timeframe usually when the price is about to go higher. This can be considered as a bullish pattern or even a fractal, if we look at previous price action with the same pattern.
This is likely the impulse that leads to a new BTC ATH as well as a new ETH and SOL all time high, which we are still waiting for:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Uptrend Within Ascending Channelhello guys!
Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum. Price recently bounced off the midline support and is now heading towards the upper boundary.
The expected scenario is a continuation of this trend, with Bitcoin pushing toward the resistance zone near 106,400. A break above this level could signal further upside movement.
Crystal Clear Path Bitcoinin the end BTC was recognized by some fairly large and trusted institutions (accumulation began) and finally recognized by some countries. BTC limited supply is probably what is still a deep question for me. because time will prove. but the asset that is created as if it is pure and has no owner interest (has disappeared) there is only BTC not other cryptocurrencies. like XRP and others. I can give an example of Brad Garling, the owner of XRP, never buys XRP, instead he often sells his XRP at certain prices. BTC is a very good asset candidate and may be difficult to replace and its value I believe can penetrate 20billion USD and even more depending on the increasingly adaptive financial markets, institutions and individuals. the bad thing is that many are said to be black transactions using BTC, but I think that will disappear in time because the BTC wallet can be tracked who the owner is. this is my initial research that started believing in BTC after 2 months of studying it. and I have also bought 26.64xxxxxxxxxx BTC as my initial investment with an average of 105500USD.
I hope you do your research first before making an investment decision.
I hope many long-term investors will get their rewards in due time someday.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588).
At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week).
Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days.
Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol
Who knows.
This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025.
Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450.
At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move).
The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone.
Get some.
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BTCUSD: Repeating the late 2024 bullish pattern to 150,000Bitcoin turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.434, MACD = 1198.600, ADX = 26.499) as it found support on the 1D MA50 and is rebounding. The emerging pattern is a Channel Up and coming off an Arc consolidation in December, it draws strong comparisons with the price action after August 2024. The 1D MACD shows that once BTC rebounded on the 1D MA50 (October 10th 2024), the indicator formed a Bullish Cross, which is exactly what is happening now. This paved the way for the parabolic rally that peaked near the 3.5 Fibonacci extension. That shows that this is the time to engage in a confirmed long position again and target at least the 3.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 150,000).
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Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis: - **Breakout Confirmation**Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:**
- **Breakout Confirmation:** Price has broken above a key resistance zone, indicating bullish momentum.
- **Retest Zone:** A potential retest of the breakout area may confirm support before continuation.
- **Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 2,772 zone.
- **Last Target:** 2,783–2,784 zone.
- **Market Structure:**
- Multiple **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (ChoCh)** signals bullish strength.
- Rounded retest pattern supports a continuation towards the targets.
- **Key Watchpoint:** If price holds above the breakout zone, the bullish move remains valid; otherwise, a failed retest could lead to a pullback.
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Gearing Up for $108.5K After Key Breakout!!BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Bullish momentum developing after recent consolidation at 104.2K.
RSI: 58, indicating room for further upside without overbought conditions.
Breakout Confirmation: Previous resistance broken with strong volume.
Smart Money Activity:
Liquidity Hunt Completed: Market makers swept 102K level before reversal.
Accumulation Phase Evident: Smart money positioning for markup phase.
Institutional Buying Pressure: Clear demand visible in price action.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 104.2K - 104.5K
Targets:
T1: 106.2K
T2: 108.5K
Stop Loss: Below 102.8K
Risk Score:
7/10 (Moderate risk, favorable risk/reward setup).
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation nearly complete, setting up for a liquidity move.
No significant bearish divergences present on RSI.
Break above 106.2K would confirm bullish continuation.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within 104.2K - 104.5K range.
Monitor volume confirmation for breakout strength.
Maintain tight stops below 102.8K for risk management.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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BTC DOMINANCE AND ALT SEASONIf we completed 5 waves up, structure ABC should be next. When price take liq above last high (A wave) we can see start of the drop and alt season. If not, btc price will go more to the upside and btc.d will rise again.
Everybody is expecting alt season so market makers can do opposite... lets see.
This is not a financial advice.
Cake demand/supply resistanceCake is approaching the nearest resistance level around 2usd, needs to be broken and become support so wait for break out and then one leg down to settle down at this support. Market conditions positive, altseason outlook promising. Keep in mind price below this demand zone, below 1,8usd can trigger depression and sell-off. For now holds steady even btc dropping as this coin suffered a lot sell-offs recently.
✅BTC's situation+next targets and expected movements.Hello.
As you can see, Bitcoin failed to break the Ascending triangle in its last attempt, and now it is making a fourth downward wave based on Elliott , and than we have to wait for Bitcoin's rise.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
**Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Analysis: Bearish Rejection at Resistance, OANDA:XAUUSD **Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis**
- **Resistance Zone:** The price is currently testing a resistance area marked in gray, aligning with a descending trendline.
- **Potential Rejection:** The chart suggests a possible rejection from this zone, leading to a bearish move.
- **Target:** If rejection holds, the price is expected to drop toward the **2,745** level.
- **Pattern Formation:** The price is forming a lower high structure, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
- **Confirmation:** A strong rejection candle or break of minor support could confirm the downside move.
### **Conclusion:**
Watch for confirmation around the resistance zone. A rejection could trigger a short trade targeting **2,745**, while a breakout above could invalidate the bearish setup.
Bitcoin Looks Shortable, But I’m Staying Out—Here’s WhyBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is presenting a textbook short setup. The composition on the 4-hour timeframe looks nearly perfect for a short trade, and for the day, one could craft a compelling shortable strategy. However, despite my analysis, I am making the rare decision not to enter this trade.
The short setup: a perfect storm?
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is flashing bearish signals. Momentum indicators are showing weakness, volume profiles suggest exhaustion, and key resistance levels seem to be holding. In a vacuum, this setup looks ideal for a profitable short position.
But trading isn’t just about technical analysis—it’s about understanding the broader market psychology and risk dynamics.
The risk of shorting bitcoin right now
The reason I’m sitting this one out is simple: betting against Bitcoin is like betting against the entire world.
1. The Supply Squeeze Effect – The long-term macro trend for BTC is that supply is constantly decreasing. With halvings reducing new issuance and institutions accumulating, the fundamental picture favors long-term scarcity.
2. Everyone Wants a Dip to Buy – Shorting BTC means betting that people won’t step in to buy the dip. However, history has shown time and time again that Bitcoin has a dedicated base of believers who aggressively accumulate whenever there’s weakness.
3. “No Bitcoin Left” Narrative – The idea that eventually there will be no more BTC available for easy purchase is gaining traction. In such an environment, shorting is not just risky—it’s dangerous.
Sometimes, the best trade is no trade
It’s frustrating to see a clear short setup and yet hold back from executing. But trading is not just about being right—it’s about managing risk. And in this case, the risk of being on the wrong side of Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory outweighs the short-term setup.
There’s an old saying: “The best trades are sometimes the ones you never make.” Today, this is one of those moments.
For now, I’ll watch from the sidelines. But if Bitcoin proves me wrong and drops anyway, I won’t have any regrets—I’ll just be reminded that in trading, discipline is more valuable than being right.
Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103.100.42
1st Support: 100,108.50
1st Resistance: 107,850.01
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BTCUSDT update, Support and resistance!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let's analyze BTCUSDT :
Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited strong momentum, particularly on weekly closing days, and is trading within a defined channel.
Looking back, on Monday, January 13th, BTC reached a low of $89,000. One week later, on Monday, January 20th, it surged to a new all-time high (ATH) of $109,599. More recently, on Monday, January 27th, BTC dipped to $98,000 from its ATH but quickly recovered from the support zone around $98,500. 50 EMA also supports this level on daily TF.
If BTC fails to hold this level and breaks down from the channel, immediate support would be $91.5k.
This recent price action has fueled anticipation of another new all-time high by next Monday. Currently, BTC is facing resistance at the $106,000 level, which also acts as a breakout zone on shorter timeframes. A daily close above this $106,000 resistance level could potentially trigger a rally toward the $120,000 mark.
Key Support Levels:
$98.5k
Key Resistance Level:
$106k
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BTCUSDT | 4H | BE CAREFUL Dear friends,
For Bitcoin, the 97, 98, 102 thousand dollar levels are very important areas. I suggest you to be careful at these levels. I think these points can be dangerous; therefore, we need to observe these levels. ⚠️
Please be careful in advance, dear followers 📣
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Best Regards 🫡
Bitcoin 200 Week SMA As Market Top IndicatorI just re-created this study which I heard about today, showing that the new market top for Bitcoin is typically where the 200 Week SMA crosses above the prior market cycle high.
We'll also be watching the Pi Cycle Top signal, along with our 'Bear Market' confirmation signals which we developed last cycle (link in bio), which seem to signal programmatic selling...
But this study is a simple way to prepare for and help determine when it's time to get out.
The more signals pointing toward similar levels, the better.
Personally I believe we could push up close to $150k in Febuary / March, followed by a 30% - 50% correction into the summer... Then a rip roaring rally to $200k by October / November 2025.
Then it's Bear Market City.
What do you think?
Technical analysis of Btc/Usd pair. Should I PANIC?)A warm welcome to everyone!
A bit of fundamental:
The reason for the markets falling is attributed to the fact that Deepseek, a Chinese company of 200 people and a $6 million budget, created DeepSeek AI without having access to the latest Nvidia chips due to US sanctions.
Today DeepSeek AI overtook ChatGPT in the Chinese AppStore and can now compete with OpenAI, which caused bearish sentiment for the US stock market and Nvidia stock, and the market pulled down. Funny how this happened when most of us were asleep, isn't it?))
My thoughts:
“Gathered liquidity higher, now all that's left is to gather liquidity below ~$100k$”. My words from three days ago. A continuation of the locally bearish momentum all the way down to 95-97k$ is quite possible.
There is strong support there and the upper triangle line, which was previously the strongest resistance. And as we know, the stronger the pattern, the more involved the play will be at this point. I suppose you realize that my current notes are intended for the local trend only. In the medium term, within the framework of the final diagonal triangle, as I wrote earlier, I expect the upward movement to continue.