Ray review analysis: can we wait for the second wave of rise?hello friends
Due to the good price growth of this currency, it has been placed in a range, and with the breaking of that range, a double bottom pattern has been created on the ceiling of the range, which can be expected to move up to the specified limits.
We can enter into the transaction with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
1-BTCUSD
What I think trading is...
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🚨 Bitcoin update! 🚨 BTC rejected at MA50 (4h) inside a Channel Down pattern. If history repeats, we could see a Lower Low at 95K (-10.7%), aligning with MA100 (1d) support. RSI (4h) is confirming bearish momentum.
🔥 Trading Plan: Sell now before further downside!
I was thinking about how to say it, and I came up with this idea.
Thank you again.
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#BTCUSDT 1M
As shown in the chart, it has risen a lot, so it is natural to feel downward pressure.
No one knows how big this downward pressure will be.
However, what I can tell you is the flow of funds.
To see a more detailed flow, you need to look at the gap occurrence status on the 1D chart, but when looking at the overall flow of funds, it is true that a lot of funds are flowing into the coin market.
Selling all of this inflow of funds means that you will not be able to overcome the volatility in the upcoming bull market and will rather increase the probability of suffering losses.
The reason is that the average purchase price is likely to be set too high and is likely to be located in the volatility range.
Therefore, you need to respond according to your investment style.
In other words, if your investment style is one that wants to trade quickly and urgently, a strategy that sells whenever it shows signs of falling would be appropriate to gain profits.
If not, if you have a longer-term outlook or trade mainly in spot transactions, I think it would be better to leave coins (tokens) corresponding to profits rather than selling all of them so that you can more easily purchase them in the future bull market.
Leaving a coin (token) corresponding to the profit means a coin (token) with a purchase principal of 0.
In other words, it means that when the price rises after purchase, the purchase principal is sold.
In that sense, when looking at the BTCUSDT 1M chart, you can see that the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (89050.0) is a very important support and resistance area.
#BTCUSDT 1D
This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31.
Therefore, it is expected that the key will be whether there is support near 101947.24 after this volatility period.
If it falls without support near 101947.24, it is expected that the trend will be determined again by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If you have been reading my ideas, you will understand that you should not try to create a trading strategy by analyzing charts.
As I mentioned earlier, you should create a trading strategy that suits your investment style with the information obtained from chart analysis.
That is why the opinion that it will fall now and sell everything can be interpreted differently by different people, so you need to be careful.
Some people are currently making profits and others are losing money.
Those who are making profits will have the luxury of waiting even if the price falls, and those who are losing money may be suffering from psychological pressure.
The information I am giving you is to provide information on how to respond to all of these people.
In that sense, you need to focus on the price that I am talking about, that is, the support and resistance points or sections.
If your average purchase price is below the support and resistance points or sections that I am talking about, you can check the downward trend and intensity and judge the situation.
If not, you need to create a response strategy based on how much cash you currently have.
If your current cash holding is less than 20% of your total investment and you feel unstable psychologically, it is a good idea to sell some of it to secure cash.
This will allow you to secure the ability to purchase more even if the price falls, so you will be able to secure a certain level of psychological stability even if the price falls.
I think trading is about responding to your investment style and psychological state in this way.
Therefore, you should calmly look at your current psychological state, check your cash holdings, and create a response strategy that suits your investment style.
This is the strategy I can tell you.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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$130K HERE WE COME! #BTCRight now I'm seeing so much fear across social media regarding BTC price that I cannot help but post that we are basically in wave 2 correction of a larger wave 5, and the wave 2 has probably ended or is about to end at any moment, so just sit back and relax and keep HODLing on cuz the wave 3 target is $130K minimum!
**DXY Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell Setup**This DXY 1-hour chart suggests a potential sell opportunity around the 108.400 resistance zone. The price is approaching the marked "Possible to sell zone," and the analysis indicates waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key Observations:
- **Resistance Zone:** 108.400 area acts as a key resistance, previously causing reversals.
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Suggested before entering a sell position.
- **Downside Targets:**
- **First Target:** 107.749
- **Second Target:** 107.444
- **Final Target:** 106.951
If price rejects this resistance with bearish price action, it could confirm a short setup. Conversely, a breakout above 108.400 may invalidate the bearish outlook.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-29 : GAP ReversalToday's pattern suggests the markets are going to start off with a bit of a bang.
Although I expect the markets to try to hold up with some support, I believe, ultimately, the markets will break downward - continuing into the Deep-V Feb 9-10 bottom my cycles are projecting.
Gold and Silver are acting to attempt to hedge the global risks and could explode much higher over the next 30 - 60+ days.
Bitcoin looks like it will continue to move downward, first to 98k, then to 92k.
I'm seeing lots of Excess Phase Peak patterns in price action. This suggests the markets are struggling for direction right now and could move aggressively into a downward cycle phase before the Feb 9-10 Deep-V base/bottom.
Either way, we are going to find a lot of opportunities over the next 30+ days as traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Accumulating for a Breakout Toward $106K BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts 📈 Everyday a new chart!
Current Market Structure:
Accumulation phase ongoing after recent drop.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: RSI showing higher lows while price consolidates at key demand zone.
Smart Money Activity:
Market makers accumulated heavily at $99K-$100K, positioning for markup.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $102,400 - $102,600
Targets:
T1: $103,800
T2: $105,200
T3: $106,400
Stop Loss: Below $101,800
Risk Score:
7/10 (favorable risk/reward with strong technical setup but watch for volatility).
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation nearly complete, expecting breakout toward liquidity zones.
Volume profile confirms institutional interest at current levels.
Break above $103,800 confirms bullish continuation.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within $102,400-$102,600 range.
Monitor volume to confirm breakout momentum.
Maintain tight stops to protect against market volatility.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts 📈Everyday a new chart!
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG
Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure.
Trade Idea (Short):
– Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region.
– Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account).
– Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows.
Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
BTC_daily-view (where are we with fib view)This view is nothing to show specifically
just as FYI, where re we in terms of fib levels on the daily, and a few things i have spotted
to me this is an indication of "nothingness", so we need a driver
a driver like $ interest rate new approach, so we know, where is the money flowing, to the $ or Gold, thus then giving BTC the way (hopefully)
it is also near or pass the BTC bull "period", will the 351 day traditional bull period mark the end of BTC's upswing , or are the new players holding us firmly anchored.
LETS see
Bitcoin Short Term ShortThis is just a daily and short term view.
First we see the support at the Center-Line.
Then it got cracked and price trades below it.
Now we see resistance on pullbacks up to the CL.
I expect a move to the south, at least down to the white-dashed CL.
If price can jump above the green CL, then further upside is ahead.
That's it for a short term view.
For a broader view, just check the thread on the linked chart analysis.
GALA's Explosive Potential – A Technical Outlook for 2025Current Market Structure & Momentum
GALA is currently trading at $0.0285, up by +4.61%, showing signs of potential accumulation. The chart presents a strong historical cycle of breakouts (BOS – Break of Structure) and retracements, which typically indicate a high-volatility asset gearing up for another bullish wave.
Key Bullish Indicators
Smart Money Concepts – The presence of Buy-side Liquidity at multiple levels signals that institutional players may be accumulating. Historically, such patterns have preceded massive price surges.
Nadaraya-Watson Envelope Support – The price is currently in a discount zone, meaning this could be a prime accumulation phase before a major rally.
Historical Pump Patterns – Previous price cycles show massive price expansions following extended accumulation periods. The last breakout saw an explosive run from $0.015 to $0.08 (~+400% gain).
Price Targets & Potential Growth
If GALA follows a similar trajectory, a 300% move from the current levels would target $0.12, aligning with historical resistance zones. However, if macro factors, gaming adoption, and broader market trends support the rally, a full-scale bull run could push prices towards the $0.50 to $1.20 range in 2025.
Investor Takeaway
🔹 Current accumulation zone suggests a strong potential for an upcoming rally.
🔹 Break of key resistance levels (around $0.05-$0.07) could fuel a parabolic move.
🔹 Long-term holders and strategic investors may find this an ideal accumulation zone before a potential explosive breakout.
With increasing blockchain gaming adoption, a growing Web3 ecosystem, and GALA's historical patterns, this could be a golden opportunity to position yourself before the next wave of institutional and retail interest floods in! 🚀🔥
BITCOIN rejected on the MA50 (4h). 95k possible.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Down pattern which has just formed a Lower High on the MA50 (4h).
This is a technical rejection, which after holding the MA200 (4h) previously, now should aim for a final Lower Low on the next support level, the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 95000 (-10.70% decline as the previous bearish sequence of the Channel Down and potential contact with the MA100 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is about to cross under its MA trend line again, confirming the bearish move.
Please like, follow and comment!!
SBUX LONG 28TH JAN 2025 READ NOTESSBUX is looking good here at current price with a clear price action.
I will go long here. When ever I am trading at current price then we need to understand that it would be a riskier trade comparing it to a regular trade. It can come back to $92 if it does not go up from here
Do not blindly follow anyone without understanding the risk involved.
NOTE:RISK MANAGED & I WILL GO LONG
Crypto Alpha Report - January 28, 2025Happy Tuesday, friends! Fancy yourself a trader do you? In today’s episode, let’s face some hard facts and distinguish between a true trader (the 1%) and the gambler (the 99%). Grab a box of tissues, because this one might sting.
Ah, the trader. What a glorious lifestyle. From the luxury of an Adirondack chair on a cozy beach, sipping Mai Tai’s, scalping the one-minute chart, and reeling in a few grand a day. Is this what you initially pictured when you started trading?
Unfortunately, the sad reality is that this is mostly a pipe dream. It’s a lie that’s sold over and over again that appeals to our innate desire to live ‘the good life.’ But, as humans, we gobble this fantasy up and throw our hard-earned capital into the markets - often to disastrous effect.
While it’s not impossible to live this dream, the reality is that most of us focus on the end goal, the Mai Tai and the pretty senoritas, and not the process that achieves the end goal. Backtesting? Boooooring! Strategy creation? Pssh, why do that when all I have to do is find the right memecoin, bet big, and retire?
For every successful story you hear of a meme coin trade gone right, a few thousand traders could show you a -99% loss. Memecoin trading is the new lottery. You do know the odds of hitting the lottery, don’t you?
All right, as if that wasn’t enough fluff, let’s cut to the chase. If you don’t know the statistical odds of your ability to win or lose a trade, you’re not a trader; you’re a gambler. “But I follow price action, bro…” No, stop that; you’re a gambler. I’ve met a handful of price action traders with statistics, and kudos to them. But 99/100 “price action traders” are just gamblers. Confirmation bias, seeing what they want to see, and survivor bias - that’s the cocktail of “smart money concepts.” Hey, if you can backtest it, more power to you. But most of you can’t and won’t.
Building a strategy isn’t sexy, but it’s the difference between sitting down in front of the charts every day and knowing (roughly) how you will do, and sitting down in front of the charts just praying that today will be your lucky day.
Don’t rely on luck; become good. That takes hard work, just like anything else. It also takes a lot of trial and error. Start small and increase capital as your success increases. Slow and steady is the Path to Profit. Fast and loose is the road back to Burger King.
Make today the day you commit to building a long-term strategy. Make today the day you swear off gambling because your lucky day is likely not coming.
Stay frosty, friends.
Crypto Market Update
Stablecoin Dominance
Currently sitting at 5.79%, yesterday saw a strong attempt to break out above 6%, a level I have continually warned is the danger zone for the market, particularly altcoins. However, we did see a strong buy back from the market moving into yesterday’s daily close. This metric is overbought, but any strong close above 6% is a major warning sign.
Stablecoin + Bitcoin Dominance
Currently at 64.75%. This metric is also overbought, and showcasing the same technical position we were in right before Christmas, which led to a two week mark up period for the altcoin markets. Unfortunately, we’re not showing any weakness yet, so speculating on a reversal in altcoins is a high risk move at this point. Watch for a clearer sign of rejection and weakness first.
Altcoin Price Performance Relative to Bitcoin
Altcoins, besides the majors, are still getting obliterated. Underperforming Bitcoin by -24.74% currently. While we are oversold, no signs of strength yet. Perhaps in the next few days we might see a reversal in trend, but all eyes on the upcoming FOMC.
Bitcoin
Trends
5M: Bearish
30M: Bullish
1H: Bearish
4H: Neutral
Daily: Bullish
Weekly: Bullish
After a strong sell off in reaction to the DeepSeek news, Bitcoin did put in a strong buy back at Daily Support. So far, we have not closed below our Daily Trend, nor the Weekly 10 MA. Tentatively optimistic, but I’m quite concerned about a deeper retracement unless we get a rate cut tomorrow.
Key Levels
POC: $104,955
VWAP: $102,609
Value Area Low: $101,569 - $102,079
Value Area High: $103,139 - $103,649
Next Liquidity Zone Above: $104,474 - $105,800
Next Liquidity Zone Below: $98,773 - $99,723
Bitcoin is trading in a relatively tight range today, after yesterday’s big move down. Currently fighting resistance at ~$103,500 with support at $101,566.
Strategy:
Honestly, expecting further downside pressure. Re-evaluate bias on a close above $103,500 - likely a lot of chop and volatility leading into tomorrow’s FOMC. Stay safe.
#BTC/USDT Ready to launch upwards#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 98500
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 102500
First target 104300
Second targe 107500
Third target 110080
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-28 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp Bottom.
After yesterday's big breakdown and consolidation, I believe the SPY will attempt to identify support, possibly near 597, and attempt to move higher a bit today.
Ultimately, a Temp Bottom pattern is where the price seeks out support (moving downward or retesting recent support levels) and then rolls to the upside, creating a base/bottom type of pattern.
The QQQ should follow the same pattern.
Gold and Silver seem trapped for the next 2-3 days (possibly melting a bit higher as the US Dollar appears to be moving downward a bit).
I don't see Gold/Silver starting to make any big moves until Jan 31 or in early Feb.
Bitcoin will likely stall out, just like the SPY/QQQ, over the next 2-3 days, then move into a downward price phase - attempting to move back towards $92k.
I believe the markets are stalling and in a bit of shock at the moment. Don't get too aggressive in any trades unless you are confident in your ability to manage risk levels.
Some sectors/symbols will trend. But the SPY/QQQ will likely stall out for another 2-3 days before making another big move.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Mr.Million | Current BTC Chart Analysis and My Trading PlanBTC at a crossroads! 50-50
🔼 If it goes up, I will wait for an ending diagonal and bearish divergence before SHORTING to $65-70k. This will be a very high probability (90%) setup!
🔽 If BTC drops, I will then wait for an ABC retracement to 0.500 – 0.618 Fib before going SHORT, also targeting $65-70k.
Patience pays! Let’s see which way the wind blows.
**Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD **Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis** OANDA:XAUUSD
1. **Uptrend Channel:**
- The price has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
- The channel’s lower boundary is acting as dynamic support, while the upper boundary serves as resistance.
2. **Current Price Action:**
- Gold is pulling back from the upper resistance area around **$2,780** and is now approaching the midline and lower boundary of the channel.
- A break below **$2,740** could lead to a test of the channel’s lower boundary near **$2,720-$2,700**.
3. **Potential Trade Outlook:**
- **Bullish Scenario:** If price finds support at the lower trendline and rebounds, it could present a buying opportunity targeting **$2,760-$2,780** again.
- **Bearish Scenario:** A confirmed breakdown of the channel support might lead to further declines toward **$2,700** or lower.