Bitcoin reached the resistance of 65800, what is the next step?Here , about 1 week ago, I announced that Bitcoin will meet the resistance of 65800 and after that we have to wait for the price reaction.
Now that we have reached here, it can be predicted that if 66,500 is broken, the upward trend will continue and we will see the short-term goals of 77,000 and 95,000.
In case of correction, the support of 59,000 is very important for the continuation of the process.
If you want to know about the future of Bitcoin, don't forget to follow and boost.
1-BTCUSD
BTC Fear Maxxing
🚨 Market Update: Mt. Gox Trustee to Commence Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash Repayments in July 2024 🚨
Fresh news this morning about the Mt. Gox Trustee starting Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash repayments in July 2024 has injected new fear into the markets. As a result, BTC has dipped below $61k.
📉 Chart Analysis:
- I was monitoring the H8 demand area, which had been holding up the price for several days.
- An E9 Whale signal appeared, but was quickly invalidated by a Bearish Engulfing candle.
- After a low liquidity weekend, this news drove the price directly into the Weekly 21EMA, another key H8 demand area from mid-May, where traders had previously pushed BTC back into the $72k supply area.
- Using a Fibonacci tool from high to low of the fixed volume tool, we see a Golden Pocket in this area.
- The MFI and OW Oscillators are bottoming out across higher timeframes (H4 - D1). These levels haven't been this low in a while.
Stay tuned for more updates! 📈🔍
BTC - Wyckoff Reaccumulation Cycle stages
**The Wyckoff Reaccumulation Cycle Within an Uptrend: A Comprehensive Guide**
The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis framework developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century. This approach helps traders and investors identify market patterns and trends, providing valuable insights for buying and selling decisions. One essential component of the Wyckoff Method is the reaccumulation cycle, which occurs within an uptrend. In this article, we'll explore the stages of the Wyckoff reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend, providing a comprehensive guide for traders and investors.
Preliminary Support
The reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend begins with preliminary support. This phase marks the consolidation of the uptrend, as prices bounce off a support level. Preliminary support indicates that buying interest is present and that the market is stabilizing. During this phase, traders and investors should look for signs of accumulation, such as increasing demand and decreasing supply.
Buying Climax
After preliminary support, the buying climax phase occurs. This phase is characterized by a sharp increase in prices, often accompanied by high trading volume. The buying climax is a sign of strong buying demand and marks the beginning of the reaccumulation cycle within the uptrend.
Automatic Rally
Following the buying climax, the automatic rally phase begins. Prices continue to rise, but at a slower pace than the initial uptrend. This automatic rally is a natural response to the buying pressure and provides an opportunity for traders and investors to buy or add to their positions at lower prices.
Secondary Test
In the secondary test phase, prices reach the high but then experience a minor decline. This decline tests the preliminary support level, providing an opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength and identify potential buying opportunities.
Sign of Weakness
After the secondary test, the sign of weakness phase occurs. Prices decline further, indicating that selling pressure is increasing. This sign of weakness can be a warning that the uptrend is losing momentum, and traders and investors should be cautious.
Up Thrust
Following the sign of weakness, the up thrust phase begins. Prices experience another sharp increase, often accompanied by high trading volume. This up thrust is a bullish signal, indicating that buying demand is strong and that the market is regaining its upward momentum.
Up Thrust After Distribution
In the up thrust after distribution phase, prices continue to rise but then experience a minor decline, testing the preliminary support level again. This up thrust after distribution is a sign of strength and potential for further advance.
Test
After the up thrust after distribution, the test phase occurs. Prices decline further, testing the preliminary support level once more. This test is a normal part of the reaccumulation cycle and provides an opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength.
Spring
Following the test, the spring phase begins. Prices experience a sharp increase, often accompanied by high trading volume. This spring is a bullish signal, indicating that buying demand is strong and that the uptrend is regaining its momentum.
Test Again
In the test again phase, prices decline again, testing the preliminary support level for the third time. This test again is a normal part of the reaccumulation cycle and provides a final opportunity for traders and investors to assess the market's strength.
Jump Across Creek
After the test again phase, the jump across creek phase occurs. Prices experience a sharp increase, breaking through the previous high and confirming the new primary advance. This jump across creek signals the end of the reaccumulation cycle and the beginning of a new phase in the uptrend.
Last Point of Support
The last point of support phase marks the final support level before the new primary advance. Prices may test this level one more time before moving higher, providing a final opportunity for traders and investors to buy or add to their positions.
Conclusion
The Wyckoff reaccumulation cycle within an uptrend is a natural part of the market's evolution. Understanding these stages can help traders and investors identify potential buying and selling opportunities, manage risk more effectively, and make informed trading and investment decisions. As always, it's essential to use this information in conjunction with other indicators and market analysis to achieve success.
WYCKOFF - A BITCOIN MOVE!I've been implementing this macro pattern in my trading activity even before 2023 started, due to the Tritch Matrix, a cycle theory of investment proposed by George Tritch. The theory suggests that it's time to purchase assets at the beginning of a new cycle, which is predicted to peak in 2026.
With this understanding, investing in Bitcoin seemed to be the optimal strategy considering its past performance trend. Currently, we can observe the perfect unfolding of this pattern and can identify our existing position. Moreover, it's important to be aware of the recent manipulation tactics often employed by the media to affect markets, particularly retail, nudging them into providing liquidity, also referred to as 'Dumb money.' Don't get caught out - have a plan and stick to it!
Riding the Crypto Wave – A Hypothetical StrategyAs an individual who has stepped back from cryptocurrency trading due to concerns over prevalent wash trading, I've moved away from the tumultuous seas of crypto. Nevertheless, let's indulge in a little speculative strategy on how one could "ride the wave" if they were still participating in the market.
-Disclaimer-
This strategy is a subjective thought exercise. It doesn't entail actual financial advice, and I am not currently trading cryptocurrencies myself.
-Remember Peace of Mind-
Whatever approach you choose, maintaining your peace of mind is paramount. If the stress is too high, it may be wise to consider more regulated markets such as stocks, though they come with their own set of complexities like dark pools and FTDs.
While my skin isn't in the game anymore, theoretical approaches to navigating the crypto waters can still be intriguing. Always remember that the key is finding a strategy that aligns with your goals and comfort level, regardless of the asset class you're dealing with.
Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts.
The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing:
Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days:
___________________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC/USDT - Rejection from Key Level with Bearish Continuationhello guys.
actually, btc surprised me!
Hunting Level Rejection:
Bitcoin has reached the hunting level (around $65,100), showing signs of resistance and potential reversal. The price briefly spiked into this level but faced rejection, signaling exhaustion in buying pressure.
Bearish Engulfing Potential:
If the price fails to hold the current level and shows a bearish engulfing pattern, it will likely initiate a downward move. This move would invalidate further bullish attempts in the short term.
First Target:
The first significant support zone lies around $63,100, which could act as the initial target for any downward momentum.
Final Target:
A stronger bearish continuation could drive the price toward $59,300 (the lower hunting level), aligning with prior accumulation zones and a solid demand area.
BTCUSD Come on Baby, You are Ready to Bullrun1. Current Price Action
Price is trading at around $64,719, approaching the previous all-time high of $67,752.
There appears to be a breakout from a downward wedge pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.
The price target projected from this wedge is aiming towards higher levels.
3. Future Price Targets
1.272 Fibonacci extension is marked at $100,214, which seems to be the next major target on the upside if the price breaks above the previous all-time high ($67,752).
The chart suggests that there’s a good probability of Bitcoin rallying towards this level if bullish momentum continues.
4. Trend Analysis
The breakout from the wedge is significant, as wedge patterns often signal the end of a corrective phase. The breakout suggests that the market could resume its bullish trend after the consolidation.
If Bitcoin sustains its price above $67,752, it would likely confirm a new bull run, with Fibonacci extensions providing potential targets for the next leg up.
5. Support Levels
On the downside, the first major support is around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $49,793.
Below that, significant supports include $39,099 (0.618 Fibonacci level) and $32,992 (0.5 level).
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!! (Short term)As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin experienced a good rise after breaking out of the Megaphone and is now It has completed 5 ascending waves and considering that the price has reached the weekly pivot line, we can expect price correction from this point.
Previous Analysis
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Indecision Reigns: BTC Testing Crucial Resistance ZoneThe recent price action of COINBASE:BTCUSD shows a clear battle between buyers and sellers near a critical resistance level around 66,000. The price has struggled to break above this level, leading to a period of consolidation. However, the price has stayed within a tight range, reflecting indecision in the market. Although there has been some selling pressure, buyers have been able to hold the price above key levels, indicating that bullish sentiment is still present.
The recent candle patterns provide insight into this indecision. We’ve seen a mix of candles with longer wicks, indicating attempts by both buyers and sellers to take control, but neither side has dominated. This type of back-and-forth movement often signals that the market is waiting for a stronger catalyst.
Some candles show clear rejection from higher prices, suggesting that the 66,000 resistance level is being heavily defended by sellers. On the other hand, the recent green candles with stronger closes near their highs indicate that buyers are slowly gaining strength.
COINBASE:BTCUSD next move will likely depend on whether it can break above the 66,000 resistance or lose momentum and fall back to support levels around 62,000 short term, or 58,000 for medium term. A strong bullish candle breaking above resistance could signal a rally toward 70,000, while a failure to break through may lead to further consolidation or a potential pullback.
$BTC Daily Analysis UpdatePlease do check my referred CRYPTOCAP:BTC analysis back two days
Daily Swing is Bullish
We have now mitigated the Daily supply that might cause bearish pressure to the demands down below, which will be long position opportunities once we hit the daily demands.
But remember, Daily Internal and Fractal Structures are still Bearish and this recent bullish momentum could be only to mitigate upper Daily Supply zones
As we have internal fractal switched to Bullish now, I play longs till price mitigates the premium daily supply and we get 4H bearish momentum to kick in
I have tried to explain my expectations on the chart
Please do comment If you would like to discuss any trade idea
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Ready to Explode? Massive Gains on the HorizonThe current BTCUSDT setup shows a bullish momentum on the Risological Swing Trader following the entry point at 61,732.3 on 11th October. The price has moved steadily upward, reaching the first take profit (TP1) level at 63,482.7, which confirms the continuation of the upward trend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Entry Level: The trade entered at 61,732.3, representing a critical support level where buyers stepped in to drive the price higher. This region coincides with a prior consolidation, giving confidence to the bullish breakout.
Stop-Loss (SL): Positioned at 60,316.2, this acts as a strong downside protection level, slightly below the consolidation zone to avoid premature exit.
Trailing Stop: The trailing stop is now placed at 62,038, and will continue moving upwards as price action progresses. This method locks in profits while allowing for additional upside potential as BTC moves towards higher targets.
Trend Analysis
The price is above the Risological dotted moving average support line, confirming a healthy uptrend. BTC has made consecutive higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong bullish momentum.
The current breakout from the 61,732 entry zone hints at further upside potential. As BTC moves toward TP2 at 66,315.0, we can anticipate continued bullish behavior if broader market conditions remain favorable.
Targets and Profit Zones
The immediate target was TP1 at 63,482.7, which has been hit or surpassed, giving confidence to the bullish scenario.
Next, TP2 at 66,315.0 serves as the next resistance level where some profit-taking might occur, followed by TP3 at 69,147.4 and the ultimate TP4 target at 70,897.7.
Risk Management
The trailing stop set at 62,038 ensures that even in the case of a pullback, the trade will lock in gains. This dynamic risk management allows the trader to maximize profit while minimizing potential losses.
With BTC showing strong momentum, moving the stop closer to the price is a sound strategy to protect profits.
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin continues to show strong bullish signs as it heads toward the next resistance levels. The key will be monitoring the price action near TP2 and adjusting the trailing stop as needed. If momentum remains intact, we could see BTC testing the higher targets of 69,147.4 and 70,897.7
Bitcoin's local perspective 14.10.24The old logic of the forecast from last Monday was achieved👇
After that, the price went under the mentioned trend line and continued its drop.
Now there are no new swing models for INDEX:BTCUSD , and within the existing ones there is a correction to the zone of $64,000-$63,648
Bitcoin Quest- History tends to repeat itself.
- The maximum could reach around 250k.
- The minimum could drop to about 40k.
- Remember, the longer it takes, the higher we could go.
- The graphic is straightforward as usual; just track "colors", "bubbles" and "trends."
- Keep in mind, while the future is uncertain, we can still speculate.
Happy Tr4Ding
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-14 : GapUp-Lower In Counter TrendGood morning,
This video highlights what I expect to happen in the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin over the next 5 to 7+ days.
Remember, I'm using my proprietary modeling systems, SPY/Gold Cycle Patterns, and other research to share a roadmap of expected price action 5- 7+ days into the future.
I don't know anyone else who can do this research accurately and provide such clear trade/entry/exit signals.
This week should be exciting as we'll see multiple opportunities in the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver.
Bitcoin is nearing a Phase #4 (consolidation) trigger near recent highs. At this point, traders need to wait for a breakout of the recent range before getting more aggressive with BTCUSD.
Let's get some this week.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTCUSD - Bitcoin's good performance will continue in September?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel
Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds has led to its continued upward movement, and you can look for Bitcoin sales positions within the specified supply zone
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way down for Bitcoin, which can be sought for Bitcoin buying positions within the defined demand zone
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
Bitcoin Bear Trap: A Historical Pattern Suggests a Rally Ahead!BTCUSDT technical analysis update.
The Puell Multiple is a metric that compares the daily issuance of Bitcoin (in USD) to the 365-day moving average of that same issuance. When the Puell Multiple is low, it often indicates that Bitcoin is undervalued, signaling a potential accumulation phase or a bear trap. Conversely, a high Puell Multiple suggests overvaluation, often preceding market corrections.
Currently, the Puell Multiple shows that Bitcoin is trading at levels consistent with previous bear traps in its market history. This pattern has appeared in the last three cycles of Bitcoin, where price action initially suggested bearish momentum before reversing sharply into a bullish trend.
In the previous cycles, the Puell Multiple signaled bear traps, allowing traders to identify key accumulation points. Following these signals, Bitcoin experienced significant bullish rallies, highlighting the indicator's reliability. With the current Puell Multiple levels indicating a bear trap, we could be on the brink of a bullish rally in the coming days.
Regards
Hexa
High Probability Bitcoin Setup – HTF FVG + OTE Near Buyside LiqBitcoin has been consolidating within a defined range for months. Recently, a sell-side liquidity sweep indicated a potential reversal. Price is now reacting to a higher timeframe daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), sitting above a short-term high/buyside liquidity. If Bitcoin closes below this buyside level, it sets up a high probability retracement toward the next sell-side liquidity target at 58,000.
DYOR :)
October 11 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 9:30.
*When the red finger moves,
Long position strategy
1. After touching the 1st section of the purple finger,
$60,962.5 long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
If it comes down right away without touching the purple finger,
Long waiting at the 2nd section at the bottom, $60,377 / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. $62,256 1st target -> Top 2nd target,
Good, Great 3rd target price
There is a possibility of a crash in Nasdaq,
Please pay attention until the main section is broken
Up to this point, my analysis is for reference only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
Why Smart Traders Trust the Risk-to-Reward Ratio!Risk Reward Ratio
In the world of trading, profit potential alone doesn't define success. More important than chasing profits is understanding and managing risk. This is where the Risk-to-Reward Ratio becomes a vital component of every trading strategy. Traders who ignore this concept often find themselves on the losing end, even when they win more trades than they lose. On the other hand, those who master the art of managing their risk relative to their potential reward tend to find consistent success over the long run.
In this idea, we'll explore why the Risk-to-Reward Ratio is crucial, how to calculate it, and why traders should prioritize it for sustainable profitability.
What is the Risk-to-Reward Ratio?
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio compares the amount of risk a trader takes on in a trade (the potential loss) to the potential reward (the possible gain). Simply put, it tells you how much you're risking for every dollar you're aiming to make.
For example, if you're willing to risk $100 on a trade but expect a potential reward of $300, your R ratio is 1:3. This means for every $1 you're risking, you aim to make $3.
How to Calculate the Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Determine the Risk: This is the distance between your entry price and your stop-loss level.
Determine the Reward: This is the distance between your entry price and your take-profit level.
The formula is:
Risk to Reward Ratio = Potential Profit/Potential Loss
Why is the Risk-to-Reward Ratio So Important?
Maintains Profitability Despite Losses: No trader can win 100% of the time. A favorable R
allows profitability even with a low win rate. For instance, with an R of 1:3, winning just 25% of your trades can break you even.
Limits Emotional Trading: Emotional decisions often lead to poor trading choices. A clear R helps enforce discipline, making it easier to adhere to your trading plan and reducing impulsive actions based on fear or market fluctuations.
Improves Trade Selection: Not every trading opportunity is worth taking. A favorable R
encourages selectivity, focusing on trades that offer high potential returns relative to risk. This helps eliminate low-quality trades, leading to a more profitable strategy.
Balances Risk and Reward: Finding the right balance between risk and reward. A favorable R ensures you’re not risking too much for too little gain, allowing winning trades to cover losses over time.
Improves Long-Term Consistency: A solid R creates a sustainable trading system. Maintaining discipline and risking only a small percentage of your capital helps protect your account during losing streaks. Combined with a strong strategy, this fosters a reliable edge in the market.
Risk-to-Reward Table and Breakeven Win Rates
To understand how different R ratios affect your breakeven point, let's look at the table below. It shows the win rate required to break even, based on different Risk-to-Reward ratios.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/5GZcSrlz/
-if your R ratio is 1:1, you need to win 50% of your trades just to break even.
-With a R ratio of 1:3, you only need to win 25% of your trades to break even.
-A higher risk-to-reward ratio reduces the pressure to win more trades because when you do win, your reward is significantly larger than the risk you took.
This table highlights the power of having a higher R ratio. Even if your win rate is low, you can still remain profitable as long as your winners significantly outweigh your losers.
Examples of Risk-to-Reward in Real Trading
Let’s say you're considering a long trade on Bitcoin. Your analysis shows the entry price should be $64,000, with a stop-loss at $62,500 (a $1,500 risk). Your target price is $68,000, giving you a potential profit of $4,000.
Risk: $1,500
Reward: $4,000
Risk Reward Ration = 1500/4000 = 2.67
In this case, your R ratio is 1:2.67, meaning that for every $1 you risk, you aim to make $2.67. If you only won 30% of your trades, you could still be profitable over the long term because of the higher reward relative to your risk.
Mastering the Risk-to-Reward Ratio is essential for traders seeking long-term success. By understanding and implementing this concept, traders can effectively manage risk, improve trade selection, and maintain profitability, ensuring a more sustainable approach to trading.
Regards
Hexa