bitcoin market oulook still stuck in range buy low sell high🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
🔸4 hour sell side liquidity defined by OB at 108k, currently trading at 102k,
limited upside going forward expecting pullback to re-test range lows and trigger
fresh buying / fresh OB liquidity near 90k.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 90k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 108/110K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
1-BTCUSD
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Aim for $106.8k After Key Recovery ! BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Bullish recovery underway after a liquidity sweep at 98.4k.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Higher lows on RSI while price made lower lows, indicating potential for further upside.
Smart Money Activity:
Accumulation phase appears complete.
Market now transitioning to markup phase with strong institutional buying evident.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 101.8k-102.2k
Targets:
T1: 104.4k
T2: 106.8k
Stop Loss: Below 98.2k (recent sweep).
Risk Score:
7.5/10 (favorable R:R with clear invalidation).
Market Maker Intent:
Previous distribution attempt at 104.4k failed, suggesting a move to target liquidity near prior highs.
Volume profile supports the bullish narrative, with strong accumulation complete.
Recommendation:
Long positions are favorable within the 101.8k-102.2k range.
Maintain tight stops below 98.2k to limit downside risk.
Monitor price action near 104.4k for potential resistance.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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BTC - 15m Scalp OpportunityCOINBASE:BTCUSD is consolidating within a narrow range, and a breakout could trigger a strong move. Given the sharp drop yesterday, this ascending channel may act as a bearish flag, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
If BTC loses support, expect another significant fall. Watching for a breakdown confirmation!
📉 Stay alert for price action signals!
BITCOIN Rebounded on a Double Support. Will it continue higher?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced a sharp sell-off yesterday following the DeepSeek news but managed to recover more than 50% of the losses as it rebounded on the Double Support level.
The obvious level that catches your eye is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which was tested for the first time in 12 days. The second is the Pivot trend-line, which was formerly a Lower Highs trend-line initiating from the December 17 2024 All Time High (ATH).
At the same time, it almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of January's Channel Up. Technically that is similar with December's Channel Up, which also had a Pivot trend-line test that delivered a rebound and a Higher High to the December 17 ATH.
As a result, if the price breaks above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we expect a Higher High (new ATH), on a minimum 112000 estimate. If the price gets rejected on the 4H MA50 however, we expect a Double Bottom test of the 98000 level (or slightly below), similar to those of December 23 and January 13.
The reason that both scenarios are plausible is the fact that they both got their 4H RSI oversold (<30.00) and then rebounded.
The above show that even in the event of a 96000 Low, BTC is a buy even on the current levels, as once again we are closer to the technical bottom than the Cycle's Top. The technical upside remains enormous in 2025.
So which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cake supply/demand zones with volumeCake touched the nearest demand zone and bounced back as BTC sell-off was intensive but short. Might be re-visiting this zone and even lover to 1.664. All depends on the general market condition and mood. The altcoin season is slowly approaching. This time it takes BTC dominance to climb higher much longer due to competitors among alts and general world economy condition. During alt season might be surprisingly outperforming competitors but it will not last long. This coin is still not made for long-term holding rather for short-term trading. Lower highs and higher lows are narrowing the corridor for upside breakout with strong potential.
Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash?
The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3
Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena
Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5
Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7
The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty
The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10
The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11
Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation
While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other.
In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as:
• Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop.
• Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline.
• Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
The Role of Media and Speculation
It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it.
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence.
Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer
The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline.
It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements.
As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
Tue 28th Jan 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 5x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 5x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a BTC/USD Sell, XAG/USD Sell, AUD/CHF Buy, EUR/AUD Buy & a NZD/CHF Sell. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Targeting $126,500!
Introduction: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant price surge, reaching new heights. For those new to cryptocurrency trading, understanding this movement is crucial. In this post, we'll break down the current BTC price action and discuss potential trading strategies.
Current BTC Price: As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $101,254.00 USD.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Level: $94,500 USD
Resistance Level: $105,000 USD
Market Sentiment: The market is currently bullish, with increased trading volume and positive news surrounding Bitcoin's adoption.
Potential Price Target: Based on the "Cup and Handle" pattern, a technical analysis chart pattern, the projected price target for Bitcoin is $126,500 USD.
Trading Strategy for Beginners:
1. Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price retraces to the $94,500 support level.
2. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the $92,000 level to manage risk.
3. Take-Profit: Aim for a take-profit at the $126,500 target.
Important Note: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. It's essential to conduct thorough research and only invest funds you can afford to lose.
Conclusion: Bitcoin's recent price action presents potential trading opportunities. By understanding key levels and technical indicators, beginners can navigate the market more effectively. Always remember to trade responsibly and stay informed.
Let's Discuss! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's current price action? Do you agree with the projected target of $126,500? Share your insights and let's engage in a constructive discussion!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
By inviting readers to share their thoughts and engage in a discussion, you can foster a more interactive environment and encourage traders to participate in the comments section.
BTC/USD Local work. Clamping 2.37%/18 days. Stop-Loss zonesLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Local trend.
Clamping the price in a narrow range of 2.37% for 18 days. Stop-Loss zones (market fuel), due to which the impulse will occur, was shown on the chart. Previously showed more than once such trading situations and their solutions, the sense of such manipulation in such zones. I will not repeat it.
In your work to observe the risk management, it is advisable not to work with large leverage because there can be significant volatility in both directions. Instead of a logical profit in the trend, you will get a loss on the spot.
237/18
A line chart to understand the trend direction of this zone.
The previous idea of a secondary trend of two months ago, which shows this zone 1618 0
BTC/USD Secondary trend. Double bottom zone.
The main bitcoin trend (almost all of it). The time frame is 1 month.
BTC/USD Main trend. Cycles. Halving BTC. Surrender zones.
This idea of a long-term trend shows capitulation zones in secondary trends and the percentage of price decrease from the highs. Bitcoin's halving. Cyclicality. Note that unlike past cycles, the price has been under the uptrend line zone for a very long time.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
TRUMP | Donald Trump signs RADICAL Crypto Executive OrderPOTUS Donald Trump has issued an executive order aimed at creating a streamlined regulatory framework for digital assets, with a focus on cryptocurrencies.
One of the key elements of the order is the creation of a National Digital Asset Stockpile. This initiative is intended to establish a strategic reserve of digital assets to enhance economic security and encourage innovation in the sector. Additionally, the order calls for the formation of a specialized working group to develop a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, including stablecoins. This group will be led by David Sacks, the White House's AI and Crypto Czar, and will include senior officials from the Treasury, the U.S. SEC, and other key agencies.
Notably, the executive order explicitly bans federal agencies from initiating or supporting the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), maintaining a focus on decentralized cryptocurrencies. The creation of the Presidential Working Group on Digital Assets is expected to significantly influence the future of cryptocurrencies, NFTs, stablecoins, and other blockchain technologies.
The order also reverses previous directives from the prior administration that hindered innovation in digital assets. These outdated frameworks had prompted many U.S.-based crypto companies to relocate to more favorable jurisdictions, such as the UAE or Singapore.
President Trump's recent executive order is likely to have significant effects on both Bitcoin and Trumpcoin.
Bitcoin:
This pro-crypto stance including the establishment of a National Digital Asset Stockpile and the creation of a federal regulatory framework, could encourage investor confidence in Bitcoin. This supportive regulatory environment may lead to increased institutional adoption and public trust, potentially driving Bitcoin's price higher. However, the market's reaction has been mixed and we're not seeing an immediate result reflecting in the price just yet.
Trumpcoin:
Trumpcoin could experience heightened interest due to the executive order. The administration's favorable view on digital assets might attract investors to Trumpcoin, anticipating that it will benefit from increased visibility and potential use cases.
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BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
"Gold 1H Chart: Bearish Setup Pending Confirmation"This 1-hour chart of gold (XAU/USD) shows a clear trendline break, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price is now retesting the broken trendline and resistance zone around $2,769–$2,780.
The plan is to wait for a bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection or reversal candles) at this resistance zone. If confirmed, the price could target the $2,740 area, marked as the next significant support level.
Key levels:
- Resistance: $2,769–$2,780
- Support/Target: $2,740
Waiting for a clear signal at the resistance zone is crucial for entering a sell position.
Bitcoin Triangle Breakout! What Next?Looking at the 4h, I anticipated at least ±10% on the breakout, which still might happen although it looks less likely as time passes.
It made perfect sense to begin the week with liquidating the long positions. It would either have been the longs or the shorts - someone had to take the hit.
I cautiously played both sides and benefitted from a short sell of around 2% marked on chart.
Where next? It's either going up, down, or sideways.
I'm playing both sides . Redrew a Fib between new high and low then chose my EP, TP and SL. It's still possible to lose with this method.
The larger Fib remains in play as I'm not yet convinced price cannot reach my original ±10% despite it seeming unlikely. Once the last candle has passed the triangle I'll retire that idea.
This won't stop me looking for setups in the meantime.