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1-BTCUSD

Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K. Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown. Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated! Jon @JHartCharts
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by JHartCharts
Bearer of Bad News - Short $XRPI originally posted this idea several days ago, but it was flagged b/c I linked one of my social media accounts. Apologies for any typos - the format of my post got jacked up after copying/pasting. Crypto's going to break one way or another from current levels. Bitcoin has a wide supply zone (not super strong) 86267.86-92920.42, so watch how it reacts... Strictly technical setup here. Near-term demand/buy zones were good for bounces across the crypto space. However, buying has been fairly tepid. Given the technical structure for many crypto underlyings, this is unsurprising (addressed in CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ( COINBASE:DOGEUSD ), CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ideas). Barring a catalyst, it seems more likely that crypto (and risk assets generally) will trade lower before higher. Unfortunately for bulls, BITSTAMP:XRPUSD has levels of daily supply near current price. Per the 1D chart, sell zone = 2.3265-3.4106, 2.5032-2.6487. Additional sellers are likely lurking between 2.6487 and 3.0153, though LTFs need to be analyzed for identification. If the RSI is printing < 60/65 if/when price reaches the abovementioned ranges, CRYPTOCAP:XRP could roll over and commence another bearish impulse wave. Use micro-timeframes to watch for signs of uptrend violation/termination + to confirm any short entries/long exits. To bolster positional confidence, observe other cryptos, especially larger market caps. Correlative behavior can be a very helpful trading "odds enhancer". If other majors rally w/ significant volume/momentum, XRP will likely follow. Conversely, if BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BITSTAMP:ETHUSD ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), etc. fizzle out, expect XRP to do the same. If this idea materializes and shorts regain control, daily demand = 1.5414-1.2843, 1.1222-1.0033. Fib retracements reinforce the aforementioned buy zones. Because of the explosive nature of XRP's 2024 rally, the monthly/weekly charts have "tradeable voids" (expanded-range candlesticks). While traditional technicals tout large candles, they're a double-edged sword. Their elongated nature is often reflective of limited trading and gaps in order flow, which can have a vacuum-like effect if/when prices correct. It's great when you're on the right side of the trade creating the candles, but there's also not a lot of unfilled orders to stop price from moving rapidly in the opposite direction. So, if XRP sells off, don't be surprised if price moves quickly. I'm a fan of confirmation entries vs. "catching a falling knife". Referencing RSI momentum + using micro-TFs to ID trend reversal signals can help prospective buyers reduce risk (and/or increase position size). When volatility strikes, preservation is paramount. Thanks for reading! Feedback/engagement welcome. Jon
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by JHartCharts
20
BTC Update 4 Hour/ FOMC Day March 19, 2025, GAME PLAN!🚨 FOMC Day Update – March 19, 2025 🚨 BTC at ~$83,244 (+0.28%–1%) as markets stay cautious. Fear & Greed at 23, RSI at 44.05 = neutral momentum. While BTC is trading below all significant EMs, 50 100 and 200, It has broken above the 21EMA which is bullish for the short term. Fed likely to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50% (99% odds) – a surprise cut could ignite a BTC rally. Whale accumulation signals potential upside. Sentiment data and whale accumulation hint towards a possible upside but only if FED surprises with a rate cut. The current pump in the market will be short-lived if there's no change in the rates which is very likely. So be careful with your longs and shorts. Volatility will kill both bears and bulls. You need to keep an eye on Powell’s 2:30 PM EST speech. Inflation & liquidity outlook will shape BTC’s next move. Stay sharp! I'll keep you updated. Let me know what you think in the comments and do hit that like button if you like this post. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
7
BTC----Buy around 85500, target 87000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC on March 20: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was still a single-yin and single-yang line. The price was consolidated at a low level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross, but the fast and slow lines were still below the zero axis. The suppression at the weekly level was still quite obvious. The current trend is still the trend of time-for-space pullback, but there will not be too much movement, and we just need to follow the trend and maintain short-term trading; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose and the US session continued in the early morning, and the price broke the high and then retreated quickly. The current price is consolidating at a high level, and the attached indicator was dead cross but there was no retracement strength. If we see a continued rise today, then the retracement strength cannot be large. The intraday low is near the 85400 area. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: buy at the 85500 area, stop loss at the 85000 area, and target the 87000 area;
Long
by BraveTigercat
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-20-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's SPY Cycle pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat muted in trading range today. I still believe the SPY/QQQ are in a moderate melt-up type of trend - attempting to reach a peak near the end of this week or early next week (see the patterns for March 24, 25, 26). Even though I believe we are struggling to try to move higher, I do believe any failure of the SPY to move above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level would be a technical failure related to the breadth of this pullback. Thus, I believe the markets have at least one more attempt to try to move higher over the next 5+ days before topping and rolling over into a broader downtrend. Gold and Silver moved solidly lower this morning - almost like a Panic type of selling. I believe this is related to the Flat-Down pattern and I believe Gold/Silver will recover fairly quickly. I do believe this is a huge opportunity for Gold/Silver over the next 30+ days. I believe Gold will attempt to move above $3500-3600 before the end of April. BTCUSD rolled higher yesterday by more than $4000 - just like I predicted. Incredible. And, that is another reason why I believe the SPY/QQQ have more room to the upside than we are seeing right now. Remember this is a trader's market. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
The best investment since Nov 2021 - GOLD or BITCOIN ? - FACTSThe Main Chart is the chart from BITFINEX that trades Bitcoin to Gold DIRECTLY I look to this often and find it a MUST See to compare the two assets. This is Not done to try and make BTC like GOLD but that they are both investments with returns, It is as simple as that But which one has the higher return ? I have taken the November 2021 Bitcoin ATH as the Datum point. a Worse case scenario for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Directly to Gold. As you can see on the main chart. If you had sold your Gold into Bitcoin and Just Held since Nov 2021, you are currently at a slight loss. Less ounces of Gold to one Bitcoin. It is as simple as that. But PA has fallen from Above the buy price recently. But to also mention, if you had bought Bitcoin with your Gold at the Bottom in Jan 2023, that is a 360% Rise in Value DIRECTLY OVER GOLD as opposed to the -75% Losses from ATH to Low. Nothing else does that Lets look at a comparison Via 100 USD investments into each asset GOLD USD CFD Let us say we invested 100 usd in Nov 2021 at the Bitcoin ATH that year. Since then, there has been a 62.71 % increase in price; from your buy price, if you simply just held your investment. This gives you 162.71 usd currently PA had risen 12% from that date but then dropped 22% to the low. From the Low, PA has risen 89 % and if you had Traded your investment, selling high, buying Low, you would now have 211.68 usd currently Now to Bitcoin - again, 100 usd invested at the ATH in Nov 2021 100 invested in Nov 2021 currently has a 24.68 % increase from Buy price. if you just HODL, off the 2021 ATH and so you would have 124.68 currently From that ATH point, we saw a Loss as PA dropped 77.2% to the Low but then Rose up 596% from the Low. If you traded , Depending on when you sold your bad 100 investment , the gains are different But lets say, you sold what was left of your 100 at the slight rise in PA in March 2022 - that was a loss of 28.5%, leaving you 71.5 usd Wait till the Low in Jan 203 and then continue Buy Low, Sell high, you currently have 743 usd , having sold the top at 109K and waiting for the next Low So, in summery, from 100 usd investment in Nov 2021 BTC ATH GOLD HODL 162.71 - Traded 211.68 BITCOIN HODL 124.68 - Traded 743.34 The ONLY REAL Loss currently is with the BTC GOLD pair, where BTC is -20% currently off Buy price, having fallen from HIGHER than Buy price recently,. However, PA is on the lower trend line, as you can see in the chart, and the expectation is for a Strong Bounce over the next few weeks..This will set BTC off towards that magical 50 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. But it has to be said, the journey if you held Bitcoin having sold out from Gold has been painful. Tthat pain is about to end, very possibly forever. Trading is not for everyone and Hitting the perfect High or Low point is almost impossible. But the Gains are there in Bitcoin against Gold if you even do basic trading. And, inmy opinion, if you have gold....SERIOUSLY think abot Bitcoin now. Gold is OVERBOUGHT on many timeframes.... Bitcoin is not...................
by Orriginal
Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10 Well, let's try to hit it again !) Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" )) Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days. And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire. 👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
12
BITCOIN The Ultimate Cycle Model calls for $160k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. Technically the rebound has already started 10 days ago after the market nearly bottomed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is the strongest long-term Support level, as it is where BTC priced Lows and rebounded on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023, but it is not the only one. With the current 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle pattern being a Channel Up, this is the absolute and ultimate model that has been guiding the price action and can help estimate any future moves. Given that, it's also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level that supported both Lows (as well as the current one) on the 1W MA50 mentioned above. As a result, we are so far on a double Support cluster. The 1W RSI comes in as the 3rd Support, as it hit and is rebounding now on its 2-year Support level, where the bounces of September 07 2024 and September 11 2023 happened. It is also important to mention that the Channel Up can be divided into two phases, Phase 1 (green Channel Up), which traded within the 0.0 - 1.0 Fibonacci range and Phase 2 (blue Channel Up), which trades within the 0.5 - 1.5 Fibonacci range. The symmetry within those patterns are so high that the two Bullish Legs of Phase one have both rallied by +100.64%. If Phase 2 follows the same dynamic, and there is no reason to assume it won't as the Bearish Legs have been almost identical, we can assume that the Bullish Leg that has just started will rise by +121.48%, same as the previous one (Aug - Dec 2024). That gives us a Target estimate of $160000. So do you think that BTC has bottomed on this Triple Support Cluster and if so, can it reach $160k by the end of this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Long Term Bitcoin SituationRemember the time that we broke out the major bull flag in Bitcoin? It caused many new all time high levels in recent months. The problem is that Bitcoin lost its 5 waved bullish momentum. We see an upwards move only because of the fundemantel news. I believe we are currently in a correction phase known as A-B-C pattern according to Elliot Waves theory. In order for Bitcoin to create another all time high level, there some requirements to achieve. First, another bullish fundemantel actor in macro economic events. This could be an interest rate cuts, something about ETF's or even some crayz idea from Trump himself. Problably, it will be about intrest rates to be cut down in next june. Second, Bitcoin needs to gain its delta momentum back (it's called CVD). For many weeks while Bitcoin has risen up, there were some significant movements in futures section. Bulls and long term holders were keeping their positions. With acceptence of the ETF's, spot Bitcoin volume was increased as well. The problem about this part of the story is, big instutial money that carried Bitcoin upwards is leaving. It's mostly because of the new politics that Trump has brought to the US. Instutial money or simple retail traders don't really like when there is an uncertainity about the economy. Fear and uncertainity is taking smart money away from Bitcoin. When this situation changes, money flow will change again and Bitcoin may catch the momentum it needs. As the last requirement, Bitcoin hasn't actualy swept all the remaining liquidtiy below the lastly formed bullish flag. It's important for two reasons: 1: In technical terms, it will be fine retest and safe entry. 2: All the rookies who play around with futures sections in exchanges will be eliminated. So there will enough liquidty to go upwards again. Remember, market always run for the liquidty and all the tecnical things you heard from people around is shaped by this consept. We will meet below 70K again before this summer. For short term, I believe there will be another uprising move before upcoming pullback. It will be a short one and will get people in. You see RSI below the chart that it's broken a trendline. Usually it's something good but in this case, even though some other indicators tells us that Bitcoin catch is momentum back again, I don't believe its that simple. As an another example, MACD also screaming out for Bitcoin to rise at the this moment in the daily chart. As I mentioned earlier, it's all caused because of the fundemantel news. Nothing real. Good Luck to us all .
by vs_sayin
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview: This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding. 1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop. Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs. Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows. Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones 🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box) This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price. The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal. 🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box) A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend. This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown. 🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566 This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe. 3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown 🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement. A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal. Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift. 📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure) The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance). After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure. Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets. 4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets 🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea) Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone. Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP 1: $81,638 TP 2: $77,897 Final Target: $74,990 5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion 📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend. 📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation. 📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking. 📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance. This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Btcusd to moonThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase shows a recent downtrend, with the price currently at $85,749.48, down 1.30%. A potential bullish reversal is suggested with an upward projection toward the $100,000+ range, as indicated by the hand-drawn price path. Key observations: Volume Profile on the Right: Indicates high trading activity around current levels, with less resistance above $90,000. Projected Price Movement: Suggests a breakout from recent lows, a pullback, and then a strong upward move ("BTC to the moon"). Buyer-Seller Levels: The buy price is slightly above the current market price, indicating demand. This analysis suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation through further price action and volume is needed.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
2
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels. This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach. Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
Long
by AriasWave