BTC - POSSIBLE LONG TERM SCENARIO (JAN 2024)This is my first post in 2024.
BTC - POSSIBLE LONG TERM SCENARIO (JAN 2024)
This is what I see BTC in a big picture at the moment. The lowest I anticipate (if happens) would be 36k. Moreover, BTC can correct when reaches around 48k. The top also can be around 150k in 2025. Let's see what will happen.
1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN | 4H | KEY POINTS Hey traders, what's up
I've marked the key levels for Bitcoin on the chart. Right now, it's holding within the 4-hour supply and demand zone. But if this level breaks, I expect Bitcoin to drop all the way down to around $78K.
For spot buyers, there’s no real risk at the moment. But if you're trading on margin and currently in the red, be extra cautious.
The market will liquidate you first, then move on its way.
Big thanks to everyone supporting my analysis with likes
I will provide continuous updates under this analysis.
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTCUSD INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-1-25 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find temporary support near recent lows or a bit lower.
I'm not expecting much in terms of price trending today. I do believe the downward price trend will continue today with the SPY attempting to move down to the 548-550 level trying to find support.
The QQQ will likely attempt to move downward toward the 458-460 level trying to find the support/base/bottom level today.
Gold and Silver are in a moderate consolidation phase that I believe is transitioning through a Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend type of phase. Ultimately, the trend will continue to push higher through this phase as metals have moved into the broad Expansion phase. This phase should see gold attempt to move above $4500+ before the end of May/June 2025.
BTCUSD is rolling within the 0.382 to 0.618 Fibonacci price levels related to the last price swing. I see this middle Fib level and the "battle ground" for price. I expect price to stall, consolidate, and roll around between these levels trying to establish a new trend.
Thus, I believe BTCUSD will move downward, attempting to move back down to the $78,000 level.
Nothing has really changed in my analysis except that we are experiencing a 48-96 hour consolidation phase before we move back into big trending.
Play smart. Position your trades so that you can profit from this rolling price trend and prepare for the bigger price move downward (targeting the bigger base/bottom near April 15, 2025).
Get some.
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BTC USDT entry on retest of TSO - AM with invalidation above
looking for retracement to TDO & TYO
TYO should act as a huge magnet for price
EQLs below acting as a DOL
If you wanted to risk $100.00 on this trade, then your position size would be 2.36 BTC/USDT.
note: make sure to adjust this position size according to your own risk-management strategy and portfolio size.
Continue to believe in BTCI. Technical Analysis
(1) Support and Resistance Levels
BTC has a strong support at $80,000. It’s withstood selling pressure multiple times. When the price dropped to $82,000, it rebounded, validating this support. $85,000 and $87,000 act as resistance levels. Failed attempts to break through these thresholds show strong selling above these price points.
(2) Moving Average System
While BTC short - term moving averages are down due to price drops, long - term ones stay upward. This means the long - term uptrend isn’t disrupted. A golden cross may form when short - term averages recover and cross long - term ones, supporting upward movement.
(3) Technical Indicators
RSI shows BTC is in oversold zone, hinting at excessive selling. Market recovery may trigger a price rebound. Although MACD gives a bearish signal, the bearish momentum is weakening, indicating a possible reversal.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@80500 - 81000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin short term.I follow 5 wave movements in most of my analysis because it gives a good idea about the direction of the movement.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
89542.51 or higher, the key is whether the price can be maintain
Hello, traders.
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Have a good day today.
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Today, we will talk about the BTCUSD chart for the first time.
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(BTCUSD 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that it is in an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Currently, it is showing a short-term uptrend as it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, but it is highly likely that it will continue to rise only if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising to around 89542.51.
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We need to see if the OBV is maintained above the middle line and can break through the upper line.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, if there is no increase in trading volume, it is likely to eventually show a downtrend.
If it shows a downtrend, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
At this time, we need to check whether there is support near 73589.43.
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The competition starts on April 1.
As I mentioned in the Binance BTCUSDT chart description, the next volatility period is expected to be around April 5 (April 4-6).
Therefore, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and decide the position.
In other words, I think it is good to decide the position depending on whether there is support near the original section marked on the 30m chart.
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It is expected that the key point of this competition will be whether the trading volume can increase and whether the price can be maintained by rising above 89542.51.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTC LONG TP:84,000 31-03-2025Bitcoin is currently presenting a promising bullish formation around the 84,000 mark on both the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes. This suggests a strong upward momentum developing in the short term. Furthermore, over the next 3 days, we are observing a super bullish setup that indicates the potential for prices to reach between 90,000 and 95,000 by April.
These developments offer an exciting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the upward trend. Be sure to follow me closely as we navigate these market movements together and continue to generate profits!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownThis BTC/USD 1-hour chart showcases a falling wedge breakout, indicating a potential bullish reversal after a downtrend. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin could move toward its next resistance target of $87,550, offering a profitable long setup for traders. Let's analyze the chart in detail.
1️⃣ Market Context: Understanding the Trend
📉 Previous Downtrend
Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was in a strong downtrend after reaching a resistance level near $87,000–$88,000.
Sellers took control, creating lower highs and lower lows, forming a descending wedge pattern.
The price declined sharply, reflecting profit-taking, increased supply, and weak demand.
📊 Current Market Setup
Bitcoin found strong support around $81,412, a level where buyers have stepped in multiple times.
The price action compressed into a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, indicating that bearish momentum was weakening.
The breakout from the wedge suggests that bulls are regaining control, signaling a potential uptrend.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Resistance Level ($87,000–$88,000)
This zone has acted as a strong supply area where Bitcoin previously struggled to break through.
If Bitcoin approaches this level again, a break and retest scenario would be ideal for further continuation.
🔹 Support Level ($81,412)
This area has provided multiple bounces, confirming it as a demand zone where buyers are actively defending.
A break below this support would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a downward move.
📍 Breakout Confirmation
The falling wedge breakout is confirmed by bullish price action and strong buying pressure.
Bitcoin is now forming higher lows, indicating a potential trend reversal.
3️⃣ Technical Chart Pattern: The Falling Wedge
📌 What is a Falling Wedge?
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines before breaking out upward.
✅ Characteristics of a Falling Wedge in This Chart
Series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a contracting price range.
Decreasing bearish momentum, seen by smaller candles near the support zone.
Bullish breakout with strong momentum, signaling a reversal.
💡 Implication:
A breakout from a falling wedge often leads to a strong upward move, especially if volume supports the breakout.
4️⃣ Trading Setup & Strategy
📍 Entry Strategy
A confirmed breakout above the wedge with a strong bullish candle.
A pullback and retest of the breakout level can provide a high-probability entry point.
🎯 Target Levels
Primary Target: $87,550 (Projected based on wedge height).
Extended Target: Above $88,000 if momentum continues.
🛑 Stop-Loss Placement
Below the support zone at $81,412 to minimize risk.
If Bitcoin falls below this level, it invalidates the bullish setup.
5️⃣ Risk & Considerations
⚠️ Potential Risks to Watch
Fake Breakouts: If BTC fails to hold above the breakout level, it could result in a bull trap, causing a price reversal.
Market Volatility: Crypto markets are highly volatile, and external factors (such as macroeconomic news or regulatory updates) could impact price movements.
Resistance Pressure: The $87,000–$88,000 zone could act as a strong resistance, leading to possible consolidation before a decisive move.
✅ Risk Management Tips:
Keep a tight stop-loss below key support.
Adjust position size based on volatility.
Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid false breakouts.
6️⃣ Conclusion: Bullish Bias but Caution Advised
📈 Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential uptrend after breaking out from the falling wedge pattern. However, traders should watch for a confirmation of strength before entering long positions.
Key Points to Watch:
BTC needs to hold above $83,500 to sustain bullish momentum.
A strong candle close above $85,000 will further confirm bullish control.
The $87,550–$88,000 resistance zone will be a crucial test for the next move.
🚀 Bullish outlook remains valid unless BTC drops below $81,412.
Hashtags for TradingView Idea
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #CryptoSignals #TradeSetup #TradingStrategy
BITCOIN - Long Idea Trade Update - Let's Talk About It...In this video, I break down the current trade setup and explain how every wave fits into a larger, predictable structure. If you don’t understand where we are within that structure, you won’t be able to take advantage of the waves ahead.
Now is the perfect time to learn AriasWave, and I’m offering it for free when you sign up with Phemex—visit my website for details. Understanding these patterns is crucial because it will benefit you in the long run. It doesn’t matter which crypto exchange you use if you keep losing money. The goal is to trade independently without relying on anyone else.
Right now, we’re on the verge of massive gains, so get ready to see it unfold. You can either capitalize on these opportunities or simply watch the moves happen—it's your choice. Don't miss out on learning how these markets work and making the most of them!
Bitcoin Monthly Candle close colour patterns since 2011We got the expected RED March close but it was a close thing.
but, this creates better Odds for a continued push to ATH.
We have had only 3 occasions when we had a Green Jan, Red Feb, Red March ( arrows)
2 of those went on to an ATH the following Year !
The other one was entering a Bear Market.
Of the previous 7 RED March Closes, 5 were followed by a Green April
And of those 5, 4 were followed by consecutive Green candles closes for the following Months.
As you can see, April, May and June do have more GREEN closes than Red on average but May and June is near 50/50
It could be said that March Candle close was a "Spinning Top", showing in-balance / indecision in the market. This is possibly driven by Macro events.
We had a similar situation in 2012 and April was Green, as were the following months.
We had 2 other occasions with small Red candle bodies in March, both were Hammer Candles, one inverted, that led to a red April, the other was not and let to a green April.
The March close we just had, had a Long Upper Wick. To me, this shows the BEARS had the upper hand, keeping driving down.
And thats OK, PA needed to reset but we now need a GREEN April
Statistically, April should close Green - We currently have a Score of 8 Green to 5 Red month closes for April.
April seems to have opened GREEN and I hope to see it close that colour though we do need Caution
Because of the Colour sequence over recent months, there are not many comparisons to use.
Alpine showing a week level signal
BINANCE:ALPINEUSDT showing a strong weekly level signal. Don't know the reason why, but enjoy and see if it happens.
Basic information:
Alpine F1 Team a chance to engage with the racing brand. Binance promises that the token will "revolutionize the fan experience" by allowing fans to:
Participate in team voting polls
Hunt digital collectibles and purchase NFTs
Enjoy gamification features tied to fan rewards or great experiences
COINBASE:BTCUSD For long-term level, BTC will also reach a higher level, so be patient and do not use any emergency money to buy a long-term style coin.
Bearish Trend Meets Bullish Momentum: Is BTC Ready for a Rebound📉 Bitcoin is currently in a strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, but 📈 the 1-hour timeframe shows a break of structure and bullish momentum. This suggests a potential short-term pullback into the previous range, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 Additionally, there’s a bearish imbalance above that could be rebalanced. While this presents a possible buy opportunity, ⚠️ it’s a high-risk setup due to the overall bearish trend. Always trade with caution! 🚨
Disclaimer
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult a professional if needed. 💡
Bitcoin will reach $180,000 this yearBitcoin’s trajectory is unstoppable—analysts are calling for a climb to $180,000, fueled by institutional adoption, limited supply, and global economic uncertainty. With halving cycles tightening the squeeze and mainstream acceptance soaring, BTC isn’t just a store of value—it’s the financial revolution we’ve been waiting for. Buckle up, the bull run’s coming.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout – Next Targets in SightThis chart of XAU/USD on the 2-hour timeframe shows a strong bullish trend, characterized by break-of-structure (BOS) confirmations and accumulation phases. The price previously found support in an order block, leading to a breakout above key resistance levels. The market has continued to ma ke higher highs, with multiple accumulations fueling the uptrend.
Currently, gold is trading around 3,143 and appears to be targeting the 3,160–3,180 zone. A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before the next leg higher. The bullish momentum remains intact unless a strong reversal signal appears.
TP1: 3,160 (short-term target)
TP2: 3,180 (next resistance zone)
TP3: 3,200+ (if momentum continues)
Watch for a possible pullback before continuation, but as long as the structure holds, the trend remains bullish.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced of the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,264.56
1st Support: 78,172.96
1st Resistance: 86,012.36
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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