BTC LONG TP:86,000 04-03-2025I foresee a potential manipulation that could drive Bitcoin down to the 81,000 - 82,000 range before we witness a significant rebound pushing the price up to 86,000. This movement is anticipated within a 1-hour timeframe, meaning we should expect this to unfold in the next 10 to 14 hours. If the expected price action does not materialize within that period, the trade will unfortunately be deemed invalid.
Make sure to follow me for the latest updates and insights, so you can continue to seize profitable opportunities!
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range.
That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels.
Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher.
Godspeed!
JHart
Bitcoin Loses Key Support – Is the Bull Trend in Trouble?Bitcoin has fallen sharply, breaking below the $91,000 support level, which previously acted as a major floor for the uptrend. The cryptocurrency is now testing the 200-EMA ($79,897) as it struggles to find buying interest.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📉 Major Breakdown – The loss of $91,000 has turned sentiment bearish.
📉 200-EMA as Last Defense – Holding above $80,000 is critical to avoid deeper losses.
📉 RSI at 29.30 – Bitcoin is entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential relief bounce.
📉 MACD Bearish – The indicator remains deeply negative, confirming ongoing selling momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $80,000-$79,000 – Crucial support zone; a breakdown here could trigger further selling.
🔹 $91,000 – Now resistance; bulls must reclaim this level to restore confidence.
🔹 $100,000+ – Long-term bullish outlook remains intact above this mark.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔻 Bearish Case: A sustained break below $80,000 could accelerate downside pressure, targeting $72,500 (61.8% Fib retracement).
🔺 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above the 200-EMA, a relief bounce toward $91,000 is possible, but buyers need to reclaim it to shift momentum.
Bitcoin's long-term trend is still bullish, but the recent breakdown raises concerns about further downside risk. Can bulls defend $80,000, or is this the start of a deeper correction?
BTC in trouble. Sale Now.We are going to $61k and if we break that, we go to $50k.
If $50k breaks, guaranteed we go to $12k.
The worst case scenario is at $3k. Probable and possible based on chart patterns.
Obvioisly with a lot of up and downs and mini bull-runs but in the the big picture, we are going down.
The 2 year bear market cycle started.
Hold tight.
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February.
Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday).
During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back.
As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level.
As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Cycles & TA: 3/4/25 Well well well... as I mentioned in one of my last video titles, the stage was set for a drawdown and sure enough, indicators and cycles called it AGAIN!! lol but as an investors, I did not partake in trading this down or shorting.. I am simply looking for re-entry points and we have come coming up soon, real soon.
Bitcoin 10X Trade-Numbers (1,375% Potential)The low is in and this is the perfect timing for a long-term LONG on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT and other trading pairs).
This is for experienced traders and can end up producing huge profits, great growth, amazing results —great entry timing.
__
LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $83,000
3) $81,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $94,810
2) $98,804
3) $101,058
4) $104,266
5) $108,353
6) $112,859
7) $115,648
8) $120,154
9) $132,643
10) $139,250
11) $158,347
12) $165,345
13) $189,212
14) $200,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $78,000
Potential profits: 1375%
Capital allocation: 5%
____
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC testing 200 DMA second time in less than a weekCOINBASE:BTCUSD is back to test the 200 day moving average for the second time in last few days. First time, we saw a good rejection from 200 DMA which was promising but now it's back where it started. If it closes below it this time, it'll signify further weakness and any chances of recovery in near term would diminish.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone.
We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour).
Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation.
After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) capped by resistance at 92,000The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price action suggests a bearish sentiment despite the broader long-term uptrend. The market reached an all-time high of $109,000 on January 20, 2025, before reversing, signalling potential downside risks.
Formation of a Double-Top Reversal Pattern
BTC has formed a double-top pattern, a classic bearish reversal setup.
The critical “neckline” support level at $91,900 was breached, confirming the trend reversal.
A corrective pullback from this level has intensified selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $86,227
Major Resistance Levels:
$89,075
$91,900 (previous neckline, now acting as resistance)
Key Support Levels:
$77,900
$74,900
$72,750 (long-term support)
Bearish Scenario
If BTC fails to sustain a move above $86,227, the price could resume its decline.
A rejection at this level would reinforce downside pressure, targeting $77,900 initially, with extended losses toward $74,900 and $72,750 in a deeper correction.
Bullish Alternative: Breakout Confirmation
A daily close above $86,227 would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook.
A sustained breakout could lead to a rally toward $89,075, followed by a potential retest of the $91,900 neckline resistance.
A confirmed reclaim of $91,900 could shift momentum back to the bulls, opening the door for renewed upside.
Conclusion
BTC’s price action remains bearish in the short-to-medium term, with key resistance at $86,227 dictating the next move. A failure to break higher could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout above resistance would shift sentiment bullish. Traders should closely watch these critical levels for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-4-25: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern is a Top Resistance pattern.
Usually, these types of patterns reflect a market where price moves higher - attempting to find a peak/resistance level, then rolls downward (confirming that resistance level).
Because of yesterday's strong selling after Trump's Tariff comments, I suggest the peak in today's price activity may be set in very early trading.
We're going to have to watch the charts to see how price reacts to more news and the continued restructuring of global economies.
One thing is obvious: the markets are resettling based on Trump's expectations and tariff comments. I checked out TLT and a few other symbols last night, and it appears the Predator Fed comments I made over the past 12+ months are still holding up very well.
Inadvertently, the US has moved into a position of being the 900 lb gorilla of the global markets.
Higher Fed rates for longer are putting pressure on global currencies and many global economies.
If Trump is able to secure more US manufacturing and a more secure US economy (reducing deficit spending), I can see the next 3+ years being very disruptive for the global markets.
Ultimately, though, building a strong US economy and going through this disruption will lead to explosive growth in 2026 and beyond. You may not see it now, but if we are able to organize our government/finances better going forward - start to think about how powerful that could be for the next 15 to 25+ years.
Next, thank you for all the great comments. Love it.
Gold and Silver are starting to make that recovery rally move after the last 7+ days of selling. This could be a very powerful move to the upside for metals and miners.
Bitcoin is still struggling and will likely stay trapped in a sideways range. that range could be $10k to GETTEX:13K in size - so stay cautious of wild volatility in BTCUSD if you are trading it.
Again,I want to urge all of you to consider your trading as "taking calculated risks" - not gambling.
I talked to a friend just yesterday, and he told me how I changed his life by helping him to stop the gambling-style of trading he was doing. Once you realize that trading is not about those HUGE WINS (sure they are nice) - but it is about staying agile, getting in and out with decent profits, and growing your account efficiently.
So, I urge you to step back and consider every new trade you take as "how much am I really risking if things go wrong". When you do that, you'll find you can still take the trade, but you'll teach yourself to manage your capital more efficiently.
Ok. Go Get Some!
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
MSTR IS JUST GETTING STARTED - ONLY FOOLS SELL NOW!MSTR and Bitcoin are gearing up for the biggest bull run you've ever seen. Its unbelievable how many people are selling now thinking the bear market is starting and the bull run is over. Its crazy how many bears are flooding X and other platforms. It makes me laugh people calling Saylor a top signal and stupid. Saylor is not stupid and to think that you're smarter than him is just dumb. These rich dudes and hedge funds know whats going on, way better than anyone on here or any other platform. They control the markets, they have the money to make the charts do what they want. Dont be fooled.
None of this is financial advice. Just my opinion. Follow me for more charts and updates.
BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
Bitcoin's 60-day Cycle path to another All-time highBitcoin's Next Big Move: The 60-Day & 24-Week Cycle in Action
The crypto market is getting exciting again! When BTC dropped below $80K, people freaked out, calling for a bear market. But those who understand cycles knew this was just another bottom forming before the next move up. Premium Strategy Master members already knew which coins I loaded up on at the cycle lows.
Why Did Bitcoin Crash Below $80K and Then Pump to $95K?
Bitcoin moves in 60-day and 24-week cycles. A full 24-week cycle is made up of three 60-day cycles, and when we hit a weekly cycle bottom, the next 60-day cycle usually kicks off with a big pump. That’s exactly what we just saw!
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
We’re still in a bull market, and everything is lining up for more upside:
The 2-week cycle indicator is dipping below 20 (oversold territory).
The 1-week cycle indicator (red) just flipped up.
The 3-day cycle indicator is also moving higher.
This all points to Bitcoin pushing past $100K soon.
On top of that, this is the start of a new 24-week cycle. The first 60-day cycle is almost always bullish, even in rougher market conditions, with at least 35-40 days of upward movement.
Right now, we’re only on Day 3 of this fresh 60-day cycle, which means the market is primed for more upside.
Bitcoin Rejected at 94,930 – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesBitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – March 4, 2025
Bitcoin's price initially dropped and then attempted a recovery but was rejected exactly at 94,930, aligning with the "Rejection Possibility" area we previously highlighted. This confirms the descending trendline resistance, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Technical Outlook
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
The rejection at 94,930 and failure to hold above 91,586 signals continued bearish pressure.
As long as Bitcoin trades below 87,238, further declines are expected toward 80,000, followed by the key support zone at 76,681 – 72,600.
A lower high formation suggests the potential for another bearish leg if price action remains weak.
📈 Bullish Recovery:
If BTC reclaims 88,000 and stabilizes above 91,586, a reversal could push the price toward 94,930, breaking the descending trendline.
A 4H or daily close above 94,930 would indicate a stronger recovery, invalidating the bearish outlook.
🌍 Market Sentiment & Trade Impact
Bitcoin's volatility has increased following the rejection at the key trendline.
The rejection aligns with a broader risk-off sentiment in financial markets, signaling potential further downside pressure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔸 Resistance: 87,238 | 91,586 | 94,930
🔹 Pivot Zone: 87,238
🔻 Support: 80,000 | 76,681 | 72,600
⚠️ Directional Bias: Bearish while below 87,238 – A confirmed breakdown could extend losses toward 76,681 – 72,600.
EURUSD MARKET INTRADAY: FURTHER ADVANCEEURUSD currently on 1.04774 according to time frame H4 also my analysis the eurusd is go on up side but
>THE break above 1.0450 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.0515
> Below 1.0450 look for further downside with 1.0420 & 1.0390 as targets.
MY preference
> Long position above 1.0450 with targets at 1.0515 & 1.0540 in extension .
NEW WEEK TARGET XAUUSD MARKETXAUUSD MARKET CURRENTLY on 2856 according to time frame H4 and my analysis on new week market is bullish trend support level 2836 resistance level 2959 MY TARGET IS 2865 KEEP SUPORT MY CHART
SUPPORT LEVEL .. 2836 If market break the support level then market go on 2800
MY TARGET ... 2865 if market keep go on my target then its go on in 2900 zone
LONG ON BITCOINIts Timeeeee.....
Bitcoin has tapped into a major demand zone and has given us a change of character/structure to the upside.
It has pulled back to discount price all day today and is now ready to head back up to 100k.
I am purchasing bitcoin now at 83k expecting it to get back to 100k buy the end of the week. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bearish BTCOn the daily and weekly stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone.
Using fibonacci, on the daily, price has not finished out the fib sequence to the d extension and had less than a 38.2 pullback.
We hit a d extension on the monthly.
Still bearish on this pair at least to 77K = 38.2 up fib retracement zone with inclination toward further downside potential to 68K = 61.8 up fib retracement zone.