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1-BTCUSD

The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next (chart)b]📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Video idea here: Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives. We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework that maps how trust moves between Bitcoin and traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries . And today’s update? It might be the most important one yet. 🔁 Quick Recap: What Is This Model? This model tracks Bitcoin’s relationship to long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT), cycling between: • Correlated Periods (Blue): BTC and TLT move in the same direction • Inverted Periods (Green): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions And here’s the magic: These flips often occur right at key structural levels in the bond market. 🧠 Where Are We Now? We’re still in an Inverted Period — the 6th major one. • TLT (Treasuries) are dropping again • Bitcoin is rising against that backdrop • The previous support at ~86.8 failed — we are now sliding toward the next major level That level? 📌 71.32 – the all-time structural support for TLT going back to 2004 It’s the same zone that sparked Bitcoin’s explosive moves in the past. 📉 My Expectation: • TLT continues sliding lower • It finds support around 71–76 • Once that happens, we enter a Reversion Phase — where Bitcoin and TLT rise together again • Bitcoin doesn’t just “survive” the macro shakeout — it thrives on it This would be the 6th inversion-to-correlation flip in the model — and historically, these have marked powerful Bitcoin trends. 📊 Why This Model Matters This isn't just about price. It’s about trust . It’s about rotation . It’s about macro capital flow . Forget halving hype — this model focuses on how institutional trust migrates between old systems (bonds) and new systems (Bitcoin). When TLT fails, Bitcoin rises. When TLT finds support, Bitcoin joins in. This is not just a macro hedge. This is the new cycle narrative . 🔍 What to Watch: • Does TLT drop to 71? • Do we find a bottom and reverse? • Does BTC correlate again and break out above 115? If so — we may be on the cusp of a new correlated bull leg . This post builds on the foundation I laid here: 📌 📌 This is part 3. The signal is there. The rotation is happening. The trust is shifting. Are you watching? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
1
BTC Current Situation!Hello traders, Here's a quick update on BTC in the 3-day timeframe: BTC has rebounded from the lower support level but is currently facing resistance at the 21 MA near $86K. The candle needs to break above this resistance to confirm the continuation of the rebound. Failure to do so may result in a rejection, potentially dragging the price below $80K. Strategy: ~ Accumulation: $74k to $80k. ~ Short-term Target: $100k. ~ Mid-term Target: $130k. ~ Long-term Target: $150k and above. Note: Always do your own research analysis before investing.
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉 COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone. 🔍 Key Setup: There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it. This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario. Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support. ✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short. Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly! 💡 Follow for real-time updates and don’t miss the next precision trade! 🚀
Short
by Sober_Trading
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels. From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation. The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete. June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end. Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-21 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside Breakaway pattern may not show up as I would expect. An Inside Breakaway pattern suggests the OPEN will be within the Body range of the previous bar - I don't see that happening today. The Breakaway portion of the pattern is much more likely to happen today with Gold/Silver moving much higher and BTCUSD moving slightly higher today. It appears Safe-Haven assets are THE THING right now. That would suggest the US Dollar and US-Dollar based assed would continue to fall (move downward) as devaluation and contraction in the global economy continues to play out. If you watched my video (posted late last night), you already know my data suggests there is almost no reason for the markets to mount a rally right now. The only thing I can see that would drive a big rally from these lows would be some incredible news that the world is immediately going back to somewhat normal in terms of GCB spending and Global Trade. I don't see that happening. I know there are a lot of emotions related to these Tariff wars and global trade. Heck, almost anything that goes on in the world right now is full of emotions. I urge all traders to STEP BACK. Think of the markets like an engine that runs on the quality of AIR, FUEL, SPARK, LUBRICATION, STRUCTURAL MECHANICAL PARTS, & INTAKE/OUTPUT CAPACITY. If you start to think about the markets (global markets) as a big engine, while thinking of individual economies (by country) as smaller engines, it starts to make a little more sense (at least in my mind). Every country runs its own engine (see the components above). If some of those components are failing, then that country's economy will falter a bit. And that faltering economy may put additional pressure on the global economy/engine. It takes a lot to destroy a functional economy. I mean A LOT. War, Total Destruction of government/law/society. Maybe even some type of internal conflict. But, even then, the economy will still have roots and will fall back to core elements. So, don't worry about all of these people telling you "the world is going to CRASH in the next 2 years because of Trump". That is highly unlikely. What is more likely is that the world will "re-settle expectations" related to future growth and output. Strengthening economies where needed and building up the core elements of global trade/economies over many months. So, if you are worried or don't know what to do right now, move your positions into CASH and wait it out a bit. There will be lots of opportunities for you to pick the right time to start trading again. There is no reason why you have to try to FORCE the markets to adhere to your wants (they never do that anyway). Just wait it out, keep learning, and plan/time your trade efficiently. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
8
BTC - A fake out ? -Green rising Channel broke 2 days ago and get retested. That retest was same previous highs too. Green rising channel was given 3 days ago (look at image 1 below). Price is hovering above lower line of green channel and upper TL of blue channel and hVn. There are some divergences in Volume. 4h CVD has a Div too, but 4h CVD is not a tool which i look at often. CVD is much better at lower TF. Bybit has more bearish volume Divs (obv, ad) than Binance. Bybit has bearish divergence in CVD in every TF 15min-4h. 🧐 😆 POC of the both rising Ranges were bought with buy imbalances. (image 2-3) Follow for more ideas/Signals.💲 Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights or other charity :)✌️
by Free-TA-Signal
1
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk IndicatorIn this idea, I’ll walk you through the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator — a tool based on the well-known Pi Cycle Top Indicator. By the end, we’ll have a new lens to analyze INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles. 👇 First, a quick recap of the original Pi Cycle Top Indicator. It uses two moving averages: — 111-day MA (111DMA) — 350-day MA × 2 (350DMA x 2) A bullish crossover (111DMA crossing above 350DMA×2) historically predicted BTC tops within 3 days. However, one sould know that in 2021 the signal occurred in April (the first peak). The higher November peak didn’t trigger the indicator. Now let’s take the ratio: 111DMA / (350DMA × 2) → this gives us the Pi Cycle Top Ratio (orange line). When the ratio crosses 1 from below, that’s equivalent to the original Pi Cycle Top signal. As you can see: each new major peak is lower than the previous. In 2021, the ratio barely touched 1. This implies that in this cycle, the moving averages may not cross — and Pi Cycle Top Indicator may not generate a signal . Can we forecast the next peak of the Ratio? (Keep in mind: Ratio peaks ≠ BTC price peaks but we'll get back to it later.) Turns out the Ratio peaks fit nicely along a logarithmic curve — let’s plot it. And the lows sit on a straight line. We add both bounds, plus a midline. Now we have a band within which the Ratio tends to move — useful for anticipating turning points. Next, let’s normalize the Ratio within this band: — bottom bound = 0 — top bound = 1 This gives us the Pi Cycle Top Risk indicator — a clean, scaled version of market risk. Currently, it sits at 0.47 , right around the mid-range. Now let’s compare Pi Cycle Top Risk to past BTC tops and bottoms (using daily closes). We’ll treat April 2021 as the last cycle top. The chart shows: — BTC tops occurred when Risk ≥ 0.79 — Bottoms occurred when Risk ≤ 0.24 (or ≤ 0.10 excluding 2011) Summary: 1. Right now, Pi Cycle Top Risk ≈ 0.47 and has been hovering near 0.5 for the past year. This reflects a relatively low volatility during this market cycle — BTC has been rising steadily, with pauses for consolidation, no mania phase and blow-off top. 2. How can we use this going forward? I can’t say whether the Risk will rise or fall — and there’s no guarantee it’ll hit the boundaries. But if it's ever: — Above 0.9 (bright-red zone) → strong signal to consider selling — Below 0.1 (bright-green zone) → potentially good buy opportunities Not financial advice. We’ll keep tracking it.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ChartNChill
1
Bitcoin: slowing downAs markets continue to be highly concerned regarding trade tariffs imposed by the US Administration to the rest of the world, supporting the price of gold, the BTC continues to be somehow left behind the attention of investors. Considering high volatility on other financial markets, and general negative market sentiment, this might actually be good news for BTC. The price of BTC was moving in a relatively short range during the previous week, between levels of $86K, down to $83,5. However, the majority of deals were around $85K. This is the level currently tested for its potential to the upside. In line with BTC movements, the RSI also remained flat, moving around the level of 52. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days are confirming the cross made two weeks ago, with MA 50 currently diverging from MA 200. As previously noted, BTC is currently testing the $85K resistance line, for its potential toward the upside. It also should be considered that Friday and Monday are not working days on Western markets due to Easter holiday. In this sense, modest moves could be expected at the start of the week ahead. In case that the $85K is not breached, then the market will modestly revert toward the downside. In this sense, the level of $ 82K could be shortly tested, but the support level currently stands at $80K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bitcoin - Is Bitcoin on the way up?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend will depend on maintaining the drawn upward trend line. A valid break of this trend line will cause Bitcoin’s price to correct to the 80,000 range. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Following the announcement of new trade tariffs by the United States, Bitcoin experienced a 16.7% drop in price. However, it partially recovered from its 26.7% plunge. The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization has now reached $2.74 trillion, marking a 1.71% increase compared to the previous day. Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market trading volume hit $60.7 billion, reflecting a 32.28% rise. Within this, DeFi transactions account for $5.25 billion, making up 8.65% of the total 24-hour market volume. Meanwhile, stablecoins have dominated trading activity with $55.84 billion in volume, representing 92% of the total market volume for the day. When comparing Bitcoin’s performance to other major assets, gold leads with a 12.9% gain. In contrast, both silver and the U.S. Dollar Index saw a 4.8% decline. The S&P 500 fell by 13.8%, while the Nasdaq dropped 17.5%. Despite its volatility, Bitcoin sits between oil and the Nasdaq in performance, showing signs of partial recovery. However, its behavior still diverges from that of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. On the political front, Hong Joon-pyo, a presidential candidate from South Korea’s conservative party, pledged that if elected, he would implement reforms in blockchain and cryptocurrency regulations. He also promised to integrate blockchain technology into public sector and administrative services. Additionally, Hong plans to invest at least 50 trillion Korean won (approximately $35.1 billion) over the next five years in research and development across artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and room-temperature superconductors. These initiatives are part of his broader strategy focused on growth driven by emerging technologies. In Q1 2025, publicly traded companies collectively acquired 95,431 bitcoins, bringing their total holdings to 688,000 BTC. This amount represents 3.28% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins. The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference in Bitcoin demand between U.S. markets and global exchanges, has shown reduced volatility since March 2024. It appears to be forming a pattern often seen before bullish market trends. Robert Kiyosaki, renowned entrepreneur and author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could rise to between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kiyosaki has long been an outspoken supporter of Bitcoin, portraying it as a safe hedge against inflation and economic instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023. The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024. As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up. In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run. But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys! Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario. The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: – Support area around $83,000 – $82,500 – A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal. Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
Short
by melikatrader94
7
BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further. There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
ENA/USDT Breakout Pattern (18.04.2025)The ENA/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.3015 2nd Resistance – 0.3217 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
18