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1-BTCUSD

#BTC Bounced, 100EMA saved the day!100 EMA saved the day. But the one concern? We’ve printed a new Lower Low, not a great sign. The chart looks bouncy, but the overall structure still feels uncertain. No point guessing or forcing trades here, I’d rather wait for clear confirmation. I’ll share updates if I spot any changes or interesting altcoin setups. For now, patience is our best edge. I know many altcoins might look great, but BTC Dominance is not yet done. I'll be sharing that chart tomorrow. Stay sharp. Hit that like button if you find this short update useful. Thank you #PEACE
by Cryptorphic
1
Altcoin Season - Just around the corner!!!In this analysis I share my hypothesis on #OTHERS CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as to why the big awaited alt season is right around the corner ! After analysing how the Trump mania season unfolded, I could see plenty of similarities: 1. Price filled the supply before the last retrace - gray rectangle 2. Then it broke the downtrend line and made a decent move up - red dot 3. Price correction to the 618 retrace on fib AND in the supply -> became demand from #1 4. RSI formed a hidden bullish divergence, marking a potential start of the rally 5. Time passed from #2 trendline breakout to the big impulse -> around 50 days -> now we are around 60 days, which means more time to accumulate, bigger impulse In an ideal scenario, the total OTHERS cap (all crypto excluding top 10) should at least reach the last high of 450 billions, and to pour some hopium, to around 600-700 billions... So if you filled your bags around recent prices on your alts, you should expect at least 10-20x imo!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by tamastery
2
₿itcoin: PullbackBitcoin has experienced significant selling since Friday, briefly slipping below the $100,000 mark. We previously mentioned that a sharper pullback wouldn't surprise us. Whether prices will drop a bit further remains to be seen for the moment. Ultimately, we still expect Bitcoin to climb into the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891) before a broader C-wave sell-off occurs, pushing the price down to the lower blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323). There, we anticipate the low of the larger orange wave a, which should mark the start of another corrective upward move. Afterward, we're preparing for the last downward leg of blue wave (ii). However, if Bitcoin directly surpasses the resistance at $130,891 – and thus our upper blue Target Zone – we'll locate it still in blue wave alt.(i) (30% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Bitcoin Between Conviction and Caution - The Market Suspended?⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1W) – (Date: June 23, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $101,226.28. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,740.64): ∴ Price remains above the 21EMA, confirming bullish structural integrity in medium trend; ∴ The slope of EMA21 remains positive, reinforcing sustained market momentum; ∴ Most recent candle printed a higher low above the 21EMA, reaffirming it as dynamic support. ✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA upholds the current cycle's bullish engine - it is the first invalidation level for any mid-term reversal. ⊢ ▦ SMA50 – ($85,002.38): ∴ SMA50 sits considerably below current price, reflecting distance from mean reversion zones; ∴ Market remains extended, but no immediate signs of pullback toward this structural level; ∴ The last interaction with SMA50 was in late 2023, when it confirmed trend resumption. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 defines the core mid-range support - no threat to it unless a breakdown accelerates below EMA21. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($49,241.87): ∴ SMA200 remains deeply below market, showing that the macro bullish structure remains unchallenged; ∴ Distance from SMA200 reflects the strength and maturity of this cycle’s trend; ∴ Long-term investors remain in profit and structurally supported. ✴️ Conclusion: No macro breakdown as long as price stays well above SMA200 - the secular bull phase is intact. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (Kumo, Tenkan, Kijun, Chikou Span): ∴ Price is trading clearly above the Kumo (cloud), showing sustained bullish dominance; ∴ Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are positively stacked, with Tenkan still leading; ∴ Chikou Span is above price and cloud, confirming long-term bullish alignment. ✴️ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components confirm bullish control - weakening only upon Tenkan/Kijun flattening or bearish cross. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (MACD: 318.17 | Signal: 4,884.24): ∴ MACD line is far below the signal line, though attempting a bottoming curve; ∴ The histogram remains red but with decreasing amplitude - bearish momentum is fading; ∴ No bullish crossover yet - momentum remains negative but weakening. ✴️ Conclusion: MACD suggests waning bearish cycle, but no official reversal signal until crossover and histogram neutralization. ⊢ ▦ RSI + EMA21 – (RSI: 57.71 | RSI EMA: 59.39): ∴ RSI remains in bullish territory above 50, although flattening below its EMA; ∴ No bearish divergence observed yet - RSI is consolidating; ∴ If RSI reclaims its EMA, strength may resume; if rejected again, loss of momentum may escalate. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI reflects structural strength, but cautious momentum - monitoring RSI/EMA relationship is critical. ⊢ ▦ Volume + SMA21 – (Vol: 2.51K): ∴ Weekly volume remains below the 21-week average, indicating weakening participation; ∴ Last few candles show declining volume despite price stability - possible distribution; ∴ Absence of buyer aggression may limit further upside near-term. ✴️ Conclusion: Volume suggests lack of conviction - momentum exists, but crowd participation is thinning. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Bitcoin's weekly chart maintains bullish structural posture above all key moving averages, yet momentum indicators reflect hesitation; ∴ The Ichimoku system confirms trend dominance, but MACD and RSI signal that internal strength is not expanding - only sustaining; ∴ Volume contraction reveals market indecision or fatigue, potentially foreshadowing consolidation or rebalancing phases; ∴ Despite no structural breakdown, directional conviction is lacking - further upside demands renewed volume and momentum alignment. ⊢ ☍ II - GAP CME – BTC1! – Chicago Mercantile Exchange: ▦ Previous CME Close – ($99,640.00) + Spot Opening Binance – ($100,980.77): ∴ A clear upside gap is present between the institutional close and the retail spot open, measuring approximately $1,340.77, thus defining a latent Magnet Zone for downward pullback; ∴ This CME gap forms a critical vacuum range between $99.640 and $100.980, which will likely act as a liquidity reabsorption zone if spot retraces; ∴ No immediate fill has occurred, suggesting current bullish momentum persists despite latent imbalance. ∴ The latest weekly CME candle closes with a smaller real body and a pronounced upper wick — a classical signal of buy-side exhaustion below macro resistance ($102K–$103K); ∴ Despite the weakening thrust, no breakdown has yet been printed — the bullish structure remains technically intact above previous weekly lows; ∴ Volume prints are non-expansive, indicating lack of conviction among institutional buyers at this level — vigilance is required. ✴️ Conclusion: The CME structure reveals a latent institutional gap magnet to the downside, with price now suspended above an untested imbalance. The technical structure remains constructive but fragile. Further confirmation from the spot market will determine whether continuation or reversion will manifest in the coming cycle. ⊢ ∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges): ∴ A recent spike in total Bitcoin inflows aligns directly with the $101K zone, signaling increased movement of coins from wallets to exchanges; ∴ Historically, such inflow spikes near local tops indicate preparation for distribution or profit-taking by large holders; ∴ Current inflow levels exceed previous consolidation phases, amplifying the risk of sell pressure activation. ✴️ Conclusion: The market is facing elevated short-term risk from exchange-bound liquidity — inflows confirm readiness to sell into strength. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD – (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-Day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD curve shows clear flattening and early reversal near resistance, indicating a shift in taker behavior; ∴ Passive sell-side absorption appears to dominate, reducing the strength of buy-side aggression; ∴ Price action continues upward while CVD retreats, forming a classic hidden distribution divergence. ✴️ Conclusion: CVD reveals taker exhaustion - without resurgence in spot demand, current price levels are vulnerable to sell-offs. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean – (7-Day Moving Average) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7DMA of inflow mean remains elevated, suggesting sustained presence of large-sized transactions heading toward exchanges; ∴ This behavior often precedes institutional or strategic sales, especially when combined with total inflow spikes; ∴ No decline in the inflow mean implies continuous preparation for short-term distribution. ✴️ Conclusion: Elevated inflow mean confirms that whales and large actors are preparing or executing strategic exits. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (All Exchanges): ∴ Rates across global derivatives platforms remain slightly positive but without speculative imbalance; ∴ The neutral-positive range suggests cautious optimism among traders - not overleveraged, but not afraid; ∴ No signs of euphoric long build-ups, which reduces liquidation risk but weakens breakout fuel. ✴️ Conclusion: A neutral funding environment supports consolidation, not explosive upside — no immediate directional conviction. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (Binance): ∴ Binance-specific funding remains tightly aligned with global averages, reflecting no localized distortion; ∴ Positive, stable readings indicate low speculative friction, but also lack of trend-defining aggression; ∴ Historical patterns show that breakout rallies typically require a surge in funding rate — not present yet. ✴️ Conclusion: Binance traders are balanced - not short-squeezed nor euphoric - bias remains neutral until imbalance arises. ⊢ ▦ Realized Price – Short-Term Holders (MVRV-STH) – (~$47.5K): ∴ Price trades far above the STH realized price, indicating most recent buyers are deep in unrealized profit; ∴ This dynamic historically increases the chance of sell pressure at resistance zones, especially when inflows are high; ∴ No downward compression or convergence - suggesting strength remains, but realization is a persistent risk. ✴️ Conclusion: STH's are exposed to high profit levels - the market is primed for potential realization, but not structural weakness. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ Exchange-based signals (Inflow Total, Mean) confirm active preparation for sell-side flow; ∴ Spot aggression is fading as per CVD divergence, weakening breakout thesis despite strong price structure; ∴ Neutral funding and passive miner/on-holder behavior reflect structural balance - not panic, not euphoria. ✴️ Conclusion: The market rests in a zone of speculative tension - directionally undecided, but operationally sensitive to imbalance triggers. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ The temporal structure signals resilience, but lacks expansion - technical relief exists without structural thrust; ∴ On-chain flows unveil transactional friction at current levels, with capital cycling toward liquidity zones (exchanges); ∴ Market energy is neither compressed for breakout nor collapsed into capitulation - a state of coiled hesitation; ∴ Asymmetry remains hidden within equilibrium - vigilance, not movement, defines the moment. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ▦ Structurally Neutral: ∴ Price holds above key macro supports (EMA21, SMA50), confirming preservation of the bullish superstructure; ∴ Long-term holder behavior and miner flows remain passive - structural integrity is undisturbed; ∴ However, no active thrust or trend validation emerges - the system sustains but does not ascend. ⊢ ▦ Tactically Cautious: ∴ Exchange inflows and CVD divergence signal short-term vulnerability near key resistances; ∴ Technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Volume) reflect a condition of deceleration - momentum is reactionary, not foundational; ∴ Until price reclaims volume-weighted levels with confirmation, the posture remains defensive and watchful. ⊢ ⧉ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! 𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-23 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern suggests the markets will struggle to find any support for a rally. A CRUSH pattern is usually a large breakdown type of price bar that moves aggressively against the dominant trend. Som, today I'm expecting some fairly large price action and I believe the markets may start a breakdown move this week as we continue to get more news related to the Israel/Iran/US conflict. This week will be a "resettling" week in my opinion. Buyers will start to actively liquidate and reposition assets as we move deeper into this conflict. When buyers turn into sellers (to get out), the markets usually react very aggressively in trend. Metals continue to hold up without making any big moves. I believe the increased FEAR level could play out as a moderate rally for metals over the next 15-30+ days. BTCUSD broke down very hard (more than 6%) over the past 3-4+ days. This is a big move downward for Bitcoin and could suggest US technology stocks/sectors could also collapse on fear of a "rollover top" in the US stock market. Smart traders will hedge and pull capital away from this potential top - just like I've been suggesting for the past 2-3+ weeks. Oddly enough, if we do get a rollover/top this week because of the Iran conflict, it plays right into my Excess Phase Peak pattern and the predictions I've been making over the past 4+ months. No, I don't foresee events like this Israel/US/Iran conflict. I can't see into the future. What I can do, and continue to try to deliver, is the best analysis I can offer without becoming BIASED by indicators, comments, or other inputs. I just read the chart and will tell you what I see as the most likely outcome. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
Bitcoin Bounce Alert: Holding the $100K Fortress! 📉 Market Context & Technical Levels Key support at ~$100K: As the chart shows and multiple analysts confirm, this level continues to act as a strong defence zone. Cointelegraph noted bulls have been “defending the $100K key support level strongly,” triggering bounces during dips Descending channel overhead: Bitcoin has retraced into a downward channel. A clean breakout above ~107K–109K (past recent peaks) is needed to signal a bullish shift . Liquidity target at ~106K: Plenty of orders await in that region—flipping it to support may pave the way for another push higher . 📊 Indicators & Momentum RSI dip near 25 during the latest drop indicates oversold conditions—often a precursor to rebounds . Volume surge on rebounds suggests absorbing sell pressure and strong accumulation interest at lower levels. 🚩 Key Price Zones to Watch Level Significance $100K Crucial support; losing it risks a slide toward $95K–97K or even $92K . $105K–106K Liquidity zone; flipping here as support could confirm upward momentum . $107K–109K Resistance from channel tops and prior highs; a successful break is key to next leg up . $112K–$112K+ If breakout occurs, upside targets extend toward prior ATH near $112K and beyond . 🎯 Chart Analysis Summary Your chart shows three distinct bounces from the $100K–100.7K supply zone (highlighted in blue) and the latest one includes a sharp wick and rebound. This aligns with broader market dynamics emphasizing support at $100K and building liquidity at $106K. The arrow projection signals a probable retest of ~106K, with room to challenge ~107–109K after consolidation. 🧭 Trade Outlook Bullish scenario: Hold above $100K → reclaim $106K → trendline breakout → potential rally to $112K+. Bearish risk: Fails support at $100K → breakdown toward $95K–92K region. 📌 Bottom Line Support $100K is alive and well. Bounces have been crisp and volume-backed. Next test lies at $105–106K. That’s the battleground—flip it, and we may see bitcoin reclaim recent highs. Watch the channel overhead (~107K–109K). A breakout could open the door to fresh records. ✅ Conclusion: BTC is defending its psychological base firmly. If this zone holds once more, the path to $106K and beyond is in focus. Breaking above demands conviction, but it’s the pivot to watch.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader
BTC, Selling pressure below 100K, 23 JunePlan BTC today: 23 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Market capitalisation fell to $3.03 trillion over the weekend, likely due to speculators expecting a sell-off in response to US strikes on targets in Iran. However, the limited reaction from traditional financial markets brought buyers back to the crypto space, showing their willingness to buy at a discount and pushing market capitalisation back up to $3.12 trillion. The cryptocurrency sentiment index dropped to 42 on Sunday, its lowest level in two months, but rebounded to 47 at the start of the new week, moving from the fear zone into neutral territory. Bitcoin slipped to $98K over the weekend, briefly touching the classic support level at 61.8% of the April–May rally. However, by the start of the European trading session, it had already recovered to around $102K, compared to $102.7K at the beginning of Sunday. Still, last week’s sell-off broke the 50-day moving average support, weighed down by external factors. A breakout from the $96K–$105K range will likely determine the direction of the next major move personal opinion:!!! Selling pressure caused gold price to drop below 100k yesterday, macro economy has not changed much. Gold price continues to suffer selling pressure Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 100.800 ; 98.200 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Short
by JJainy
3
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks. Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high. Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest. Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range. Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want. Safe trading
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025. Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20). Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900. Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024. So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Lose $100K Support?!On the four-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 and is in its short-term descending channel. One can look for buying opportunities for Bitcoin from the channel bottom. If the resistance level is broken, the path to the rise and its reach to the level of $107,000 will be prepared for Bitcoin. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management will be more important in the cryptocurrency market. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Bitcoin has been in the spotlight again in recent days, especially as its price fluctuates within the psychologically important range of $101,000-$102,000 and its fundamental indicators are sending mixed signals. The first and perhaps most important element in Bitcoin’s fundamental analysis is the accumulation trend by large financial institutions and corporations. According to data published by websites such as CoinShares and the Financial Times, more than $87 billion worth of Bitcoin is currently held by companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, Block, and ETFs, which is approximately 3.2% of the total BTC supply in circulation. This clearly shows that Bitcoin has established itself as a store of value in the portfolios of professional investors, although there is still no consensus on its function as a “digital gold”. In this regard, analysts such as Román González of A&G have predicted that Bitcoin could reach the $200,000 range by the end of the year; on the other hand, some more conservative analysts such as Jacqui Clarke believe that Bitcoin still lacks measurable intrinsic value and should not be viewed solely as an alternative asset. This conflict of views shows the depth of complexity in analyzing Bitcoin. From the perspective of onchain, or intra-network data, the picture looks a little more cautious. The volume of active addresses last week was in the 1.0-1.1 million range, which is lower than in previous bullish periods (such as late 2021). Also, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) index, which measures the potential profit potential of investors, fell slightly from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating that the market is somewhat cooling off from the short-term heat. Also, on June 22, more than 5,200 Bitcoins were removed from exchanges, which is usually a sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in short-term selling pressure. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s behavior in the face of geopolitical crises shows signs of a change in the dominant market narrative. During the recent tension between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin fell by nearly 4%, unlike gold, which experienced significant growth. This challenges the assumption that Bitcoin is a “hedging” or “safe haven” asset and shows that BTC is still registered more as a risk-on asset in the minds of market participants. This is considered very important as investors look for tools to hedge inflation or protect against economic shocks. In terms of correlation with traditional markets, Bitcoin is also on a path to further integration with classic assets. The 30-day correlation index between Bitcoin and the S&P500 is now around 0.78, and academic studies predict that the correlation will grow to 0.87 at some point in 2024. This means that Bitcoin’s movements are more aligned than ever with the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, interest rates, stock market conditions, and global liquidity flows. Therefore, in the current situation, the impact of US macro data or central bank decisions plays a decisive role in Bitcoin’s volatility. Finally, Bitcoin price prediction models in recent days also reflect this complexity. Websites such as Bitfinex, Changelly, and analysts from institutions such as Brave New Coin have estimated that Bitcoin could reach the $125,000-$135,000 range this summer if macroeconomic conditions remain stable, and even if institutional capital continues to flow and there are no macro crises, reaching $150,000 by the end of the year is not out of the question. However, such scenarios require maintaining the current level of liquidity in the market, the absence of drastic tightening measures by the Federal Reserve, and the control of geopolitical risks. In short, Bitcoin is in a situation where, on the one hand, its supporting fundamentals are stronger than ever; With institutional inflows, accumulation of long-term addresses, and reduction of inventory on exchanges. On the other hand, the market remains highly vulnerable to macroeconomic and political risks and continues to show volatile reactions. This situation has led to Bitcoin becoming not only a speculative tool or growth investment, but also gradually becoming a part of professional portfolios with a carefully composed risk management mix. Its medium-term outlook is positive, but with one important condition: stability in global inflation and continued institutional capital flows.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of ​​105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space. At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Bitcoin: open path to downside?The FOMC meeting and the decision on interest rates, geopolitical tensions and inflation fears are currently the most important topics for investors on financial markets. The crypto market was sort of left behind during the previous week, with some funds outflows as of the end of the week. Current chart looks like seeking the downside, however, the question is whether it is just a short term correction or the market is indeed setting the stage for the higher move toward the downside? At the beginning of the previous week, BTC tried for one more time to make a push toward the higher grounds, and tested the $108K level. Since there was no strength to sustain this level, the BTC spent the rest of the week looking at the downside. The lowest weekly level was reached on Friday, at $102,6K, but BTC recovered a bit on Saturday till levels modestly above the $103K. The RSI continues to move below the level of 50, indicating that investors are still eyeing the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come soon. As previously noted, charts are pointing to the probability of a higher move toward the downside for BTC. Lows from the beginning of June might be the first target in this scenario. This would lead BTC toward the price range between the $100K - $101K. There is also some probability for the move toward the opposite side, where BTC will again test the $105K resistance. At this point charts are not pointing to probability for reaching levels higher from the $105K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 98,383.98 1st Support: 94,101.85 1st Resistance: 108,545.92 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bitcoin H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 103,844.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 107,000.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 99,546.32 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDShort
by Tradu
OIL: THE CHART THAT COULD TIP THE WORLDWTI Crude just bounced hard off the $65 channel support, tagging resistance at $76 — and what happens next isn’t just about price. It’s about power. Zoom into this chart: We're sitting at a directional pivot with two possible outcomes: 1️⃣ If this was a truncated 5th wave, the structure is complete. Any further war escalation could be the catalyst for oil to break resistance — dragging down risk assets, including CRYPTOCAP:BTC and equities. 2️⃣ If wave 5 isn’t done, we’ll likely see one more sharp leg down before oil launches. Either way, this is a high-stakes Elliott Wave setup with global macro consequences. Chart with FIB Levels: You'll see the wave I’ve marked (3) is messy, and on lower timeframes, that may hint at a truncated move worth watching. Why this matters: Over 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint controlled by Iran. If conflict escalates, that line gets squeezed… and oil price explodes. Price to watch: $76 resistance. If oil breaks, the markets will react fast. If it fails, we might get one more correction and maybe some relief from the sideways pain we’ve seen across risk assets. Remember the COVID Crash? Oil literally went below zero in April 2020. That wasn't just a chart anomaly, it was a global demand collapse. Traders were paying to get rid of oil because there was nowhere to store it. That moment marked a generational low, and what followed was a powerful multi-year 5 wave up. Now look where we are: That same COVID low helped form the base of the current Elliott Wave structure. The fact we’re back testing levels that once sparked global panic is no coincidence. If you’ve been here before, you’ll see the signs. The charts always leave traces. And if this is the end of wave 5, it could be the start of a whole new macro move. TLDR: Stop trading headlines. Trade the structure. This chart is telling us everything.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by LisaNEdwards
Checking the trend change after the volatility period Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) This volatility period is expected to last from June 21st to 23rd. Therefore, it is necessary to check the trend formed after the volatility period. The 99705.62 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1W chart, so it is important to see if there is support near this point. If it falls without support, it may fall to around 89294.25. The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart. Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is rising to around 99705.62, the area around 99705.62 is likely to play an important role as support and resistance. Even if it turns upward, it must rise above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 of the 1D chart to maintain the price. If not, it is likely to fall again. - The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that it fell from the high point range. In other words, if it falls below the HA-HIgh indicator point, it is likely to start a downtrend. However, since the HA-High indicator is an intermediate value, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend. The end point of the high point is the DOM (60) indicator. Therefore, it should be interpreted that it has risen above the high point section only if it rises above the 111696.21 point. Therefore, depending on how the 108316.90-111696.21 section is broken upward, an upward trend can be predicted. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- There are auxiliary indicators OBV indicators made of Low Line ~ High Line channels and PVT-MACD oscillator indicators. The OBV indicator made of Low Line ~ High Line channels is an indicator that can see how the channel is structured, and whether OBV falls below the Low Line of the channel or rises above the High Line. Therefore, you can predict the future trend based on the channel pattern. - The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is an indicator created by adding the Close value dash PVT value to the MACD formula. Therefore, it shows a similar appearance to the MACD oscillator indicator. The reason for looking at the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is to find out how the trading volume flows. There are many trading volume indicators, but I think this PVT-MACD oscillator indicator reflects the trading volume flow well. - However, you should look at the support and resistance points where the changes in the movement of the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator, the OBV indicator created by the Low Line ~ High Line channel, and the StochRSI indicator occur. If the changes in these indicators occur near the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicator points, it can be of great help in creating a trading strategy. The DOM(-60) indicator indicates the end point of the low point. That is, falling below the DOM(-60) indicator means that it has entered the low point range, and there is a high possibility that it will show a full-scale downtrend. The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it has left the low point range. That is, if it rises above the HA-Low indicator, it means that there is a high possibility that an uptrend will begin. However, since the HA-Low indicator is an intermediate value, if it encounters resistance and falls, it is possible that it will show a stepwise downtrend. Therefore, whether there is support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is important. - Currently, the OBV indicator created as the Low Line ~ High Line channel has fallen below the Low Line. Therefore, we need to look at whether the Low Line ~ High Line channel will change to a downtrend channel in the future. We need to look at whether an 'M'-shaped pattern indicating a trend change occurs. Since the PVT-MACD oscillator indicator is still below the 0 point, it can be seen that the selling force is dominant. However, since the oscillator is maintaining an upward trend, you can see that the overall selling pressure is decreasing. Even so, since it is located near the HA-High indicator, the resistance in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section is expected to be considerable. - Support and resistance points should be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. This will increase accuracy. However, since the standard time frame chart for all indicators is a 1D chart, it is most important to check the flow of the 1D chart. - You may think it is difficult because you have to look at multiple indicators at once. The most important thing is to look at the movement when approaching the HA-Low or HA-High indicator. The reason is that the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is a description of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
3
Bitcoin Break: Watch 100K Revesal Or Test Of 95K.Bitcoin broke 100K support without any type of retrace attempt (YET). This move which is attributed to global events should not be entirely surprising. Most importantly do not OVERREACT, especially with all the nonsense hype this will generate. Here is a more effective way to process the current situation. Avoid bias and pay attention to the bigger picture. In terms of wave count, Bitcoin can technically retest the 85K area and STILL be considered within a broader Wave 4. This implies the broader structure is still BULLISH (Wave 1 overlap). A swing trade or investing buying opportunity can develop in the 95K area or lower (see illustration). The short term momentum is bearish as per break of 100K. This should guide shorter time frame strategies like day trades. A new bearish trend line is in play (see arrow). At this point without any meaningful reversal pattern in play (4H or above) look for bearish continuation patterns like consolidations (triangles) inside bars, etc. The 95K support would be a price objective to consider if you are open to aggressive short strategies. Keep in mind, shorting into such a low is HIGHLY risky and best suited for those who have adequate experience. This situation proves once again, "expert" opinions mean nothing. A few short weeks ago, Bitcoin was poised to break out and everyone was going to be rich again (remember the Bitcoin conference?). So much for that. The market does NOT care what you, me or Michael Saylor thinks. It reflects the perception of the future, whether or not that future plays out. This is precisely why CHARTS can offer value in terms of measuring potential and RISK. You don't even need to be that technical, just take a look at the weekly time frame. The previous week's bearish pin bar low was broken signaling weakness, NOT Bitcoin 100 million K. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
Perspective -- all basic indicators point DOWNI feel it's easy to get lost in what is happening NOW and forget what has happened OVERALL. Zooming out to a weekly chart and using basic trading indicators, we can see where this is going. Trading Volume: Low Double Top: Confirmed Elliot Pattern: Concluded SMA50 & SMA100: Same setup as Dec 2021 Stochastic RSI: Turning bearish First target: 92 - 93k range Second target: 77 - 78k range Third target: 33 - 34k range I suspect a slight uptick at 93k, but not surprised if it breezes past this onto 78k. Strange that anyone views this as a bulllish movement. This is a clear signal of a bearish market, and if altcoins follow then it'll be a full on crypto winter.
Short
by neuromancer
3
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel. The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction. If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs. Key Note: Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg. Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
13