NVX @ 4 OCT 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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NVX
- Previous analysis was done on 8 Sep - Suggested waiting for stock to retrace and successfully rebound
- In last night’s FB livestream, I said that price is overextended and suggested waiting for a retracement first
- Today, the stock retraced strongly to fall below the short-term average
- Technically, the short-term average hasn’t been tested since end-July and it doesn’t look like it’s a good support
- From the charts, a successful rebound look to be around 6.60 levels on the condition that the stock doesn’t retrace further
- Stocks that have retraced strongly usually will form a LH first before the uptrend can continue healthily
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for the next rebound wave
1-hourtrader
LIC @ 4 Oct 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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LIC
- Previous analysis was done on 21 Sep - Suggested waiting for the next rebound wave
- Since then, the stock has formed a LH, re-tested the short-term support for a mini retracement, and rebounded
- There might be some price resistance above $22 levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry above 22 levels if comfortable with the potential overhead resistances
IMU @ 4 OCT 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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IMU
- First time doing a written analysis on IMU
- Stock is currently trading at previous strong resistance (created in 2007)
- A good rebound from here would form a strong support at current levels
- A successful rebound looks to be at 0.475 levels
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a successful rebound before plotting entry
GNC @ 4 Oct 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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GNC
- First time doing a written analysis on GNC
- Stock is currently trading at a resistance that was formed during the height of last year’s pandemic crash (purple dotted line)
- Since then, the stock has had more sideways consolidation interspersed with uptrends that last for a few weeks
- Stock is bounding around the short-term support and a successful rebound from here will provide an opportunity for entry
- A successful rebound is around 6.60 levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a successful rebound before plotting entry or waiting for a successful breakout of strong resistance
BST @ 4 OCT 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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BST
- First time doing a written analysis on BST
- Stock re-started trading in late July
- Since then, has had a 50% increase with nice uptrends
- A nice test of the short-term average and a successful rebound will present a good entry opportunity
- Stock volume is roughly less than 100k -> Illiquid stocks could mean that the stock may have sudden strong movements
- Price action over the last 2 months shows quite healthy price volatility
- A successful rebound close to 3.45 levels would represent a successful rebound
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a successful rebound before plotting entry
ABB @ 4 Oct 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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ABB
- First time doing a written analysis on ABB
- In last night’s FB livestream, I suggested a breakout entry if believe the stock was capable of forming new all-time highs
- Today, the stock created a new ATH but quickly retraced to form a bearish pin bar
- Historically, the stock has had periods of uptrends interrupted by long periods of sideways consolidation
- Stock is currently trading a resistance zone (blue highlighted zone)
- A breakout entry would mean entering at a price that is far from the short-term support
- Due to today’s bearish pin bar with above average volume, the entry for setup is on the risky side
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a better setup for entry
SHL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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SHL
- Previous analysis was done on 13 Sep -> suggested waiting for successful rebound to around 43.00 levels before plotting entry
- Since then, the stock did not recover to around 43 levels
- Instead, the stock closed below the mid-term support last Friday
- In last night’s livestream, I shared that I was still holding the stock and I’m going to risk some of my unrealised gains to see if the stock is capable of an immediate recovery
- Today, it closed above the mid-term resistance by the skin of its teeth
- I’m still concerned by the lack of buying volume returning -> an important criteria that can drive a strong rebound
- A successful rebound will be at 42.50 levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of HHs and HLs
CXL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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CXL
- Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for retracement and successful rebound
- Since then, the stock created a new all-time high and quickly to test $5 levels
- Price is quite extended at the moment and far from the short-term support
- A successful rebound look to be around 5.35 levels
- Due to the risky setup, a better way to manage this trade is to wait for another retracement and rebound wave
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for another retracement and successful rebound
CSL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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CSL
- Previous analysis was done on 7 Sep -> suggested half entry around 310 levels if comfortable with overhead resistance zone
- Since then, the stock continues to be bounded by the overhead resistance zone (blue shaded area) and the counter-trendline (purple dash line)
- As mentioned in last night’s livestream, I raised my concerns that the stock might experience a retracement
- Stock closed below the short-term average -> we could see a test of the mid-term support this week
- A successful rebound would be when the stock goes back to 310 levels
- R is below 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry around 310 levels if comfortable with overhead resistance zone
ACL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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ACL
- Previous analysis was done on 23 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of 4.60 levels accompanied with strong volume before plotting entry
- After last Friday’s gap up and quick retracement, I thought the stock would retrace to the short-term support again
- Today, the stock closed above the resistance with slightly above average volume
- Stock looks to be a bit far from short-term support -> slightly higher risk
- Continued price action above today’s high would be a successful breakout
- Increased trading volume would be another good confirmation
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry above today’s high if believe the stock is capable of forming new all-time highs
ASX 200 @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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27 SEP 2021 – Market Watch
As mentioned in last night’s livestream, the ASX 200 is currently trading in No Man’s Land. This is a zone where it is trading in a band that is bounded by a strong resistance (7400 levels) and strong support (7250 levels).
Usually, when an index or stock is stuck in No Man’s Land, there needs to be a strong catalyst to break either the resistance/support. With the markets still feeling the unease stemming from Evergrande’s missed interest payment last Thursday and the continued lack of clarity on the US Fed’s tapering plans, I fear we might continue to be stuck in this tight band (blue shaded zone) for at least the coming week.
The best-case scenario is if there is a successful push to 7500 levels and beyond. If it happens, I would be more bullish on the market. As it is, I am more trigger happy when deciding to trim positions. If Evergrande somehow presents a huge contagion effect at a global level similar to Lehman Brothers, the ASX 200 will likely drop to possibly even break 7150 levels.
88% of my stocks are green today. How about you?
If you find this market analysis helpful, let me know in the comments. May the markets continue to be with us!
Disclaimer:- I’m a mid-term trader and I hold my stocks between 1-3 months. I’m using Trend Following strategies and my analysis will be from a perspective as a Trend Follower. I’m sharing these analyses for learning purposes and as always, DYOR.
XRF @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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XRF
- Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep -> suggested waiting for stock to retrace and rebound successfully
- Stock recently had a minor retracement and rebounded
- On 30 Aug, suggested entry at 0.54 levels if believe the stock can create new highs
- Since then, the stock has risen 24% in less than 4 weeks
- If you missed the suggested entries, current price is no longer suitable for entry
- Price is currently too far from the short-term support
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for stock to retrace and rebound successfully
TLS @ 23 SEP 2021 Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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TLS
- Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested half entry at 3.95 levels if believe the stock can successfully breakout of resistance at 4.00 levels
- Since then, the stock had a failed breakout and quickly retraced back to the mid-term support
- Stock is rebounding and is again testing the strong resistance at 4.00 levels again
- Successful breakout looks to be close to 4.10 levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout before plotting entry
REA @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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REA
- Previous analysis was done on 9 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of 170 resistance levels
- Since then, the stock has gone up 9% and broken through the counter-trendline (purple dotted line)
- 170 levels has been a resistance since June 2021 (blue dotted line)
- A successful breakout looks to be around 174 levels
- If a breakout is unsuccessful, it’s important that the stock rebounds of the counter-trendline
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of 170 levels
MQG @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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MQG
- First time doing a written analysis on MQG
- Stock has a history of uptrend that is punctuated with sideways movements
- Usually, a low volatility stock that doesn’t have strong pullbacks (less than 10%)
- Stock would fit traders/investors who have a longer time horizon (ie. A few months)
- Recent test of the short-term support and subsequent rebound has provided a potential rebound entry
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry above today’s high if believe the stock is capable of creating new all-time highs
CHC @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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CHC
- Previous analysis was done on 21 Sep – Suggested half entry at 18.30 levels or wait for successful breakout of 18.50 resistance levels
- Since then, the stock has successfully broken out with above average volume
- If you have taken the entry suggestion, there will be gains of 2-4% within 2 days
- Stock is currently trading at all-time high levels
- Price is too far from short-term support -> no good setup for entry
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for retracement and successful rebound
ACL @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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ACL
- Previous analysis was done on 16 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of 4.60 levels before plotting entry
- Stock has been trapped in a band (moving sideways) for almost a month
- It still respects the short-term support -> good thing
- Stock has a lot of long shadows around the 4.60 resistance zone
- R is borderline 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of resistance accompanied with strong volume before plotting entry
LIC @ 21 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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LIC
- Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep - Suggested waiting for a better setup for entry
- Since then, the stock has dropped to test $20 levels and looks to be rebounding
- Setup for trade is still risky and rebound is not successful yet
- A rebound to 21.50 levels will be promising
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for the next rebound wave
CNI @ 21 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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CNI
- Previous analysis was done on 16 Sep - Suggested entry at 3.50 levels if believe the stock can create new all-time highs
- The next day, the stock gapped up to create new all-time highs -> no good setup for entry
- Since then, the stock has re-tested the short-term support and today created a nice pin bar
- A successful rebound will be close to 3.60 levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful rebound before plotting entry
CHC @ 21 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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CHC
- Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of either counter-trendline or 18.50 resistance levels
- Stock today broke out of counter-trendline with slightly above average volume
- There is still an overhead resistance at 18.50 levels
- While the overall market has been weak, the stock has respected the short-term support -> good sign
- If you didn’t enter at counter-trendline breakout, entry at current price levels would be a pre-breakout strategy for the 18.50 resistance levels
- R is less than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry at current levels or waiting for successful breakout of 18.50 resistance levels
PLS @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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PLS
- Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested half entry at 2.25 levels or wait for more confirmation of uptrend
- The next day, stock gapped up to create new all-time high and there were no entry opportunities
- Stock has retraced back to the 2.00-2.05 support zone -> shows a lot of weakness
- Any break of this support zone would also constitute a structure break
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
LYC @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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LYC
- Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested waiting for a retracement and successful rebound
- Since then, the stock tested $8 levels and today broke through the short- and mid-term supports with above average volume
- Stock is exhibiting high price volatility and may not be suitable for all types of traders
- A successful rebound looks to be close to 7.50 levels
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
GLN @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me.
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GLN
- Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for the next rebound wave for a better setup for entry
- Since then, the stock has retraced back to re-test the $1 psychological support
- Any strong break of the 1.00 support levels will also coincide with a structure break
- Stock will have to rebound to around 1.19 levels to have any chance of a mid-term uptrend
- R is more than 10%
- Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows