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1-VIX

$DJI Looks okay but $SPX showing more strength, $VIX weak#CPI data is out and it came out a lil higher than expected TVC:DJI broke out of the small downtrend officially yesterday However, volume was weak, likely because of CPI data today Keep an eye on RSI & $ Flow for guidance in direction. Want to see break above for RSI. Holding 36kish is a good sign for AMEX:DIA --------------------------------- Not much on NASDAQ:NDX so focus on SP:SPX it is. RSI shows this to could be picking up steam soon. Looks interesting. However, the $ FLOW could be better. TVC:VIX is weakening. While it roared louder than last time it's already whimpering and cowering. Being weak can be more fuel to the bull case we mentioned a few times. Bumps here & there but #stocks looks to be higher. Tons more data, for more info, see out profile
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$DJI still rangebound, $VIX weakening again, Yields mixedGood morning update. The TVC:DJI is still within the range. Logical as investors are awaiting CPI on Thursday. This will guide on cuts to #InterestRates. The SP:SPX showing some strength & currently in small trend higher. But the CLOSING is VERY IMPORTANT. Day range is nice but always respect the closing. TVC:VIX is weakening again. TVC:RUT is still in a rut 😆 There's a lot of mixed data! --------- #Yields 2yr & less are looking weak & trading under all short term avg's. Longer term are looking better, normalization of curve? Weekly shows huge selloff but RSI is stabilizing. US #Dollar looking to take its current downtrend out. TVC:DXY That's it for now, ENJOY your day!!!
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$DJI now in short term downtrend, NDX, SPX & RUT already wereLooks like the TVC:DJI is in a short term downtrend. NASDAQ:NDX SP:SPX & TVC:RUT all are in short term down trends which begin couple days or so ago. TVC:VIX is at higher end of the recent pattern and it keeps poking it. *(TOOK THIS FROM ANOTHER POST Remember, the more something is poked the weaker it becomes Picture paper holding a marble Poke with a needle Poke enough & that marble falls Same works to the upside)* The TVC:TNX or10 yr #yield looks to be setting up decently on the 4hr intraday. #stocks
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
VIX is showing signs of awakeningAs the stock market is beginning to manifest weakness, we are paying close attention to the VIX, which is starting to exhibit signs of awakening. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
IWM: A $240 Target in 2024. Here's Why It's Doable.Flip on financial TV and you will likely hear a plethora of sellside strategists and buyside portfolio managers voice optimism about small-cap US stocks. Consider that the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) was easily in negative territory on the year back in October. Fast forward just two months and the small-cap ETF is up close to 20% total return in 2023. The quick switch has come about amid the group’s fastest move from a 52-week low to a 52-week high in its history. IWM is now poised to print its third-best two-month rally since its inception more than 20 years ago. Is there more room to run? I think so. A breakout above the $200 mark, particularly on a weekly, monthly, and yes, even a yearly closing basis, is significant. Recall that IWM found support in the low $160s on a few occasions in the last year and a half after printing an all-time high above $240 in November 2021. Sellers flexed their muscles three separate times in 2022 and 2023 at the $200 mark. This $40 zone appears to be breaking in the bulls’ favor. That suggests a measured move upside target to $240 – close to the all-time high on IWM. I see some near-term resistance in the $210 to $215 area – the range lows from 2021. Indeed, there is likely a significant amount of ‘dead bodies’ lingering above $210 that may look to supply the market with shares in order to sell at the breakeven mark. Still, the technicals appear positive despite some near-term overbought readings on IWM. Another cautionary signal is that the January through mid-March stretch has featured some volatility at times for the broad market, so the pace of the advance will likely slow. I remain constructive on small caps looking into 2024, though.
AMEX:IWMLong
by mikezaccardi
$BTC setting up for.......Let's examine CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC 1 - it is still trading higher on that trendline, good news. 2 - it has formed a Symmetrical Triangle formation. We've shown these before, best example was TVC:VIX , it cratered since the break. These can really pack a punch. Have to keep an eye in the direction that they break, they do tend to be CONTINUATION patterns!!! IMO #bitcoin could be setting up for 2024 PART 2 CRYPTOCAP:BTC WEEKLY: RSI looks okay Not exactly like mid 2019 or late 2020 but there's SOME resemblance. #BTC $ flow looks pretty good. If it stays here, historically it has a pause and then pushes higher Then we reach the higher level, thick yellow line, where #bitcoin tends to peak.
CME:BTC1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
VIX showing that tension is expected soon in the stock markets.The Volatility Index (VIX) is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the September 28 2022 High, which has also been the start of the 2023 recovery year for the stock markets (SPX illustrated by the thin black trend-line). Being negatively correlated in nature, when VIX declined within this Channel, the stocks rose and vice versa. Since October 23 2023, VIX started to decline again and that sparked the stock rise which is holding up to this day, the end-of-the-year rally. However, we see a deceleration on VIX's decline, while its 1D MACD has formed a Bullish Cross since December 01. Being so close to the Channel Down bottom, a technical rebound is technically plausible and the pattern is recurring as it resembles a lot the previous Lower Lows. If it does reverse upwards, the SPX can react a few days later as during the previous bottom process and reversal (June 22 - July 27) it lagged. In any case, this pattern shows that by January 2024, we should expect heightened volatility translated potentially into a (short-term at least) pull-back on the stock market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:VIX
by TradingShot
5
RSP performing better than $SPX, good news for breadthThe AMEX:SPY is underperforming AMEX:RSP (equal weight SP:SPX ). This means that underperformers could very well pick up the slack & outperform the Big 7 going forward. They have been performing well. The Volatility Index TVC:VIX is down on the day BUT up from open. Will the moving avg's push it lower or do we get some sort of support here? This is a MAJOR SUPPORT level! TVC:VIX rarely gets close to oversold, let alone oversold. AMEX:SPXS AMEX:SPXL #stocks
AMEX:RSP
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
VIX near signaling a correctionLow volatility is good for the market, but extreme low volatility is not As you can see, a lot of times where the TVC:VIX crossed 12 from below it signaled a correction within a bull market And is not just the VIX, there are other breath indicators that are converging at levels that usually signal correction I normally track the % of SPX stocks above their 50-day and 200-day MAs, NYSE New Highs/Lows and NYSE New 52-week Highs/Lows My target would be 4.300 in the SP:SPX
TVC:VIXShort
by dpuleo19
SVXY short VIX model green arrow Sell red arrow BuyThe chart posted is that of SVXY the SHORT VIX as you can see we have been a rather clear channel at each of the red arrows we had high VIX and they also match up with high put buying each was a LOW .The Green arrows we had Low Vix at each we had high call buying each was TOP or high . But you see the double arrows both green and red they were at every high extremes were we saw move of over 400 to 700 sp 500 moves . . best of trades WAVETIMER
CBOE:SVXY
by wavetimer
2
VIX Index at Lowest Levels Since 2017OVERVIEW As of 12/12/2023, CBOE:VIX is at 11.82. There have only been a handful of periods over the last 30 years where stock market volatility is at a similar level, including 2007 and 1994. Some would argue it implies an increasing level of volatility will be due in 2024. What is the VIX? The CBOE Volatility Index, is a real-time market index representing the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days. Investors often refer to the VIX as the "fear index" or "fear gauge" because it is one of the most recognized measures of market volatility. Here's a breakdown of what the VIX represents: Volatility Measurement: The VIX measures the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options. It is calculated using the bid and ask prices of S&P 500 index options. Forward-Looking: Unlike many market metrics that look at past performance, the VIX is forward-looking. It provides a 30-day forward projection of volatility. Market Sentiment Indicator: A high VIX value indicates that traders expect significant changes (volatility) in stock prices, which is often associated with market uncertainty or fear. Conversely, a low VIX suggests low expected volatility and is often associated with market stability. Not a Direct Stock Market Indicator : It's important to note that the VIX does not measure the direction of stock market movements. Instead, it measures how much the market is expected to fluctuate, regardless of the direction. Use in Investment Strategies: Some investors use the VIX to help in making decisions about market timing. For example, a high VIX might suggest a market turning point, leading some to consider it a good time to buy, while others might see it as a signal to sell. VIX Derivatives: There are various financial products, such as VIX futures and options, that allow investors to trade based on their views of future market volatility. Risk Management Tool: For portfolio managers and sophisticated investors, the VIX can be a tool to hedge against market volatility or to take a position on future volatility. In summary, the VIX is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. It has become a crucial tool in financial markets for hedging, trading, and investment strategy formulation
Editors' picks
CBOE:VIX
by kingthies
7
The VIX will be up 8% soon. 1. Higher Than Expected NFP Report: If the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is higher than expected, indicating strong job growth, it could lead to increased market optimism. Paradoxically, this positive news might also cause concern among investors. They might worry that a robust job market could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to prevent the economy from overheating. Higher interest rates can make borrowing more expensive for companies, potentially affecting corporate profits and slowing down economic growth. This uncertainty can lead to higher market volatility, causing the VIX to increase. 2. Apple's Declining Sales: If Apple reports a 3% drop in sales after close, it could negatively impact investor confidence in the technology sector and the overall market. Apple is a significant component of major stock indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. A decline in Apple's sales could lead investors to reevaluate their portfolios and adopt a more cautious approach, contributing to market uncertainty and potentially increasing the VIX. 3. Current Daily Support Level and Fibonacci Retracement: Technical analysis suggests that the market is currently at a daily support level and below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in the weekly price range. Traders often pay attention to these levels as potential turning points in the market. If the market breaches these support levels, it could trigger selling pressure and increase market volatility, reflected in a higher VIX. In summary, a combination of a strong NFP report, Apple's declining sales, and technical factors indicating a potential market reversal could lead to increased uncertainty and higher market volatility, causing the VIX to rise. Investors tend to react to unexpected news and technical levels, which can influence market sentiment and impact the VIX accordingly.
TVC:VIXLong
by ttfx098_