100sma
V.F Corp. Bulls, Time To Load Up!V.F Corporation , Market cap: $19.44 Billion
Price action near the 100MA + RSI dips below 40 + Stochastic Oversold = The best long term buying opportunities.
Most impulse moves had retraced to the 0.382 Fib level, on 1 occasion the 0.618.
Buys from the 0.382, which sits at around $40, would be excellent!
Price tends to visit the 100MA on average, every 10 years.
Good Luck!
Here's the 13 brands that V.F Corp currently own, and the year of acquisition or merger.
Workwear
Dickies (2017)
Eastpak wallet
Altra (2018)
Eastpak (2000)
Icebreaker (2018)
And1 Lab (1999)
JanSport (1986)
Kipling (2004)
The North Face (2000)
Napapijri (2004)
SmartWool (2011)
Supreme (2020)
Timberland (2011)
Vans (2004)
Credit to @without_worries for allowing use of indicators
100sma is being tested for the 10th timeMSFT has tested and bounced of the 100sma 9 times, since September 2020.
In all of the 9 tests, RSI was in the 30s, but not oversold. It is currently at the same level.
Besides the multiple tests of the 100sma, we have three tests of the bottom of the horizontal range (drawn with purple horizontal lines). We could potentially see a fill the gap situation short-term.
I think it is a great place to buy.
Placing layered stop-exits to preserve gains.
Risk-reward-ratio is over 4, for a better understanding of the trade, check the Long Position projection to the right of the chart.
Good luck.
Still in a bullish trendWhen we see a moving average with an upward trend with higher highs and higher lows, the bull trend is confirmed.
Every test of the moving average should be seen as a potential buying opportunity, especially when adding from a long-term perspective.
We also see a test of September highs as support at the same level.
Risk-reward-ratio is over 3 when targeting current all-time highs.
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For people wondering about the Santa Claus Rally:
The trading days are 5 days of 2021 and the first 2 trading days of 2022.
eBay at key channel support Technical Analysis
Since the start of the year, eBay has trended up in a clear channel, where the support line is the 100sma.
Since the test of the upper trend-line of the channel, eBay has retraced 10% and is sitting on the 100sma.
Stochastic RSI has been helpful to signal retracement from one side of the channel to the other. When the SRSI is oversold (under 20) and the %K (blue) goes over %D (orange), it has been a great entry. On the other hand, when the SRSI is overbought and the %D crosses above the %K, it has been a place to take profits. The SRSI cross signal has not happened.
Trade Setup
Risk-reward-ratio is fantastic, with a stop under the 100sma (Average True Range is 2.12 pts.) and a profit-exit at the top of the channel.
#SAND SANDBOX - Support if it dropsSAND is on a parabolic run currently but I was thinking where could the bring be brought back down to if it begins to retrace. The 100 SMA and the prior all time high seems to be a possible support area.
Let's see how long the parabolic run will last!
What are your thoughts? Comment below and hit the like please. Thank you!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
Medtronic & its 100smaThe chart speaks for itself. 100sma has been held and tested multiple times.
RSI has not gone below 35 RSI.
Giving it a little wiggle room makes sense to avoid getting stopped out. The ATR (average true range) is 2 points. So a stop below $127 could potentially provide enough room.
Matic's true reversal pointLooks like Matic is about to test the trend line for the 3rd time. Plus there are 100 and 200 SMA's waiting to act as dynamic supports which will make a high probability trade.
Happy trading!
QI (BENQI) trendline breakout soonthe red line is 100sma, still not enough history for 200 to be seen
if this big trendline is broken and retested, could have a nice upside move in the mid-term if the market does well.
SRSI is on the roof, and could see some pullback before going up... ideally would be if breakout and then cools off while retesting it... the first big test for QI would be that 100sma level, which could be TP level, or just a small hurdle before going more up...
ABNB Trade SetupABNB is bouncing off of the 10 EMA and 100 SMA nicely with long wicks (semi-highwave candle). Just had a double bottom after some ranging consolidation and breaking the upper trendline. ABNB appears ready to break higher. Watch out for resistance levels around 164 and 172. These would be great spots to consider setting up weekly collars if we get there.
I will be doing 50% of my trade with the Aggressive Stop and 50% with the safer stop.
Disclaimers: I am bullish long-term on ABNB so any chance I have to trade it long I will. While this is a trade I will be placing myself I am in no way advising you to copy my setup. You must make your own decisions as you will bear the risks associated with any trades you place. To sum it up, trading is risky and do so at your own risk.
DESCENDING WEDGENice descending wedge forming on 1D chart of BA. The confirmation might be over the low smas (9,20) and obviously a break out over the wedge resistance line. I am bullish for the next week and see big potential for this sector. Nice support on the 100sma. Just an amazing play it would be 😋😍
buy this weakness FStopped at the 100-day moving average literally to the penny which should hold as strong support. The mustang mach E is going to do very well and require very little ad or marketing spend. And when they release the electric F150 it will go gangbusters. They had blow out first quarter earnings but are just trading down because of confusing guidance and bad price action in the markets lately when it comes to earnings beats.
USDJPY 1D MA-X STRATEGYTim's MA-X Strategy.
This is a Moving Average Crossover or MA-X Trading Strategy setup.
MA-X strategy consists of the 100 period simple moving average (SMA) in red,
and the 20 period exponential moving average in blue.
If the 20 ema is above the 100 sma then we only take buys or longs.
If the 20 ema is below the 100 sma then we only take sells or shorts.
*In this case price is above the 100 sma so we will only take buys or longs.
*This Pair has been in a nice uptrend for some time.
*It's now pulled back below the 20 ema and consolidating below the 20.
*We are going to look for a close above the 20 ema to go long.
*This trade plan we buy a daily candle close above the 20 ema.
On the breaking candle to enter a full-sized position we want the volume bar to reach up to the volume average.
If it doesn't reach the average but does reach 75% of the average open a ½ size position to reduce risk.
You can calculate the percentage by dividing the first volume average by the second volume average.
You should at least get 75%, if you don't then stand aside on the trade.
The stop loss will be 1.5 x ATR.
The first target will be 1 x ATR.
So the way that works is you get your candle close above the 20 ema that's your entry point.
At that time you look at the ATR of that candle.
You multiply that by 1.5 to get your SL.
You measure that distance behind the entry and that will be your SL.
Then you measure 1 ATR above the entry and that will be your first target.
If after entering the trade the candle closes back below the 20 ema, take the loss right then.
Do not wait for the price to hit the SL.
Our intention is that a breakout above the 20 ema should be explosive and hit our target fairly quickly.
If the momentum goes away we want to shut the trade down without taking a full stop if possible.
When the price hits our first target, close half the position for profit and set the SL to break even on the remainder.
Follow stops as price moves in our direction until the market takes us out.
These two rules are the very definition of cutting your losses and letting your winners run.
Typically does this by using two positions.
The first position has a stop loss and a take profit.
That position will close automatically when the first target is hit.
The second position will only have a stop loss and not take profit.
CTA TRADING STRATEGY - ONLY SYSTEM YOU NEED TO USE1 What is CTA Trading?
2 Types of CTA Trading Strategies
3 How does CTA Trading Strategy work?
4 CTA Trading Strategy
4.1 CTA Trend Filter Rules
4.2 CTA Trading Rules for Entries
4.3 CTA Trading Diversification
5 Final Words – CTA Strategy
1 What is CTA Trading?
In finance, CTA is an abbreviation for Commodity Trading Advisor.
A CTA is a professional money manager or a hedge fund who trade futures contracts, commodities, options and certain foreign exchange instruments in more than 150 global markets.
Note* Trading futures and options involve a high risk of losing your investment.
Learn more about other tricks used by CTAs here: Hedge Fund Strategies and Tools Used on Wall Street.
Basically, in CTA finance, a commodity trading advisor tends to run managed futures strategies with OPM (other people’s money). As you might think in the US, managed futures are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the National Futures Association (NFA) so you can be sure the CTA fund strategy use strict risk management rules.
Now, you might be wondering, what are managed futures?
In layman terms, managed futures are a type of unconventional investment approach in which the portfolio is actively managed by professional money managers like CTAs. This also explains what is a CTA fund.
CTA trading looks for ways to make money in both up and down markets. So in other to accomplish this, they will implement a multitude of CTA futures trading strategies.
2 Types of CTA Trading Strategies
Institutional traders have several CTA trading strategies that can use to thrive in any type of market environment. The two of the most popular CTA investment strategies that can be used by a CTA fund are:
Systematic strategies
Discretionary strategies
These two leading strategies used by the CTA investment funds are largely available to be used by the small investor as well. The difference between systematic and discretionary trading is the following:
Systematic CTAs are relying on automated trading strategies and models that use chart pattern recognition signals, trend following signals and technical analysis removing the human intervention
Discretionary CTAs are relying on macro data analysis and trades are executed at the discretion of the CTA fund manager
Note* There are also CTA commodity trading strategies that focus on niche trading plays like market-neutral strategies or delta-neutral strategies.
Now, our team of experts at Trading Strategy Guides will focus on CTA systematic strategies.
Why?
Well, it’s because when we remove the emotion element from the equation of trading we improve our odds of success. Now of course, if you have a gut feeling that comes from tens of years of trading experience, you can override the trade signals of your CTA strategy at your discretion.
No CTA investment strategy is foolproof.
3 How does CTA Trading Strategy work?
The mechanisms behind the CTA trading strategy are similar to any other trading strategy.
You’ll be surprised to learn that most CTA strategies are based on simple stuff like moving averages, momentum indicators or pattern recognition. They are mostly CTA technical analysis based strategies.
However, we can distinguish at least two differences.
First…
The main ingredient of a CTA investment strategy is contingent on the ability to construct a diversified portfolio. That’s investing in several global markets and trying to capture both bullish and bearish trends.
Second…
The CTA trading models rely heavily on analyzing a huge amount of price data that encompasses even 100 years worth of data.
These two elements are what makes the CTA strategy so much more reliable when it comes to correctly predict the direction of the trend and being profitable. Not all trends are created equal, so by diversifying their portfolios, CTA managers can increase their chance of actually capturing a really big trend.
Our team of experts will outline a CTA trading algorithm that can be used without the need of having fancy financial models. You can trade this CTA strategy from any trading platform that offers charting packages.
4 CTA Trading Strategy
In this section, we’re going to provide you with a framework to build a trend following model based on price action. We’re also going to provide you with some of the foundations of how the CTA trading strategy works.
When you go through the process of building a trend-following model, it’s important to first have a strong foundation. But, the reality is that most trend-following rules attempt to achieve the same results i.e. capturing the trend.
Once you grasp that no matter how much you twist the trend following system rules, in the grand scheme, it doesn’t affect the outcome of your trading activities. As we mentioned earlier, the value of the CTA trend trading system comes from diversification.
Now, don’t worry if you don’t know any decent trend following system.
We’re going to share with you some CTA trading rules that will help you achieve the same results as the top CTA fund managers.
A - CTA Trend Filter Rules
The trading rules are the least important thing with trend-based systems, however, to maximize gains it’s important to be able to detect trends as early as possible.
In this regard, we’re going to reveal two of the most important moving averages used on Wall Street since early 1900. The 50-day moving average in combination with the 100-day moving average is our primary tools to gauge the trend direction.
Here are the rules to determine the uptrends and downtrends:
We’re in an uptrend if the 50-day moving average is above the 100-day moving average.
We’re in a downtrend if the 50-day moving average is below the 100-day moving average.
These trend filter rules are quite simple, nothing complicated here.
The trend-following rules are designed to keep you with the dominant trend and to reduce the risk of getting whipsawed by the price action.
Now, you might be wondering…
How do I decide to enter the trend?
B - CTA Trading Rules for Entries
There are many CTA technical analysis tools that can be used to trigger your entry. However, make no mistake, no matter how much you want to improve on your trade entry, in the long run, it doesn’t matter.
In the context of a trend market timing is secondary to things like position sizing.
So, to keep things simple…
We enter a long position when we break and close above the 100-day moving average.
And, vice versa, we enter a short position when we break and close below the 100-day moving average.
Don’t be a novice trader and focus all your energy on your entries. But, instead, try to analyze how to diversify your holdings and how much to risk on each trade.
This brings us to the next point.
C - CTA Trading Diversification
Here is the thing…
Some trends are stronger than others. Inherently, some stocks can develop stronger trends than others. Secondly, there may be long periods, where the market is flat and no trend is presented. In some instances, when we don’t have a catalyst for trend development, the market can stay trendless for years.
At the same time, when the market is not trading we can also have lots of false signals.
Now, the key idea is to cover more than just one market and built up a portfolio of trades, the same as in our latest forex basket trading strategy.
When you try to catch trends from multiple instruments at the same time you increase your odds of success.
Let me explain…
Trends come in different forms and shapes.
Some trends will last for a very short period of time. Other market trends will reverse on you, right when you enter the market.
The idea is that you will incur losses.
It’s inevitable.
But, with diversification, it will allow you to catch a big trend as well.
No one knows what market trends will continue to develop and what market trends are doomed to die unless of course, you have the Holy Grail. So, by diversifying in multiple trends you can take small hits her and there, but if one market emerges with a strong trend you can overcome all your losses and finish the line with a lot of profits.
Just for simplicity, we’re going to assume we’ve bought the above three stocks Apple, Facebook and Twitter. All of the three stocks started to emerge into an uptrend, more or less, around the same time.
What is the first thing that pops up though your mind studying the 3 stock charts?
The trends developed on the Twitter and Facebook chart price were short-lived.
So, he took a hit on those two trades.
However, with our Apple trade, we were able to recover all of our losses and make a nice profit.
That’s the power of CTA diversification in action.
Now, what if we told you that the CTA fund managers use position sizing in their favor to further turn the odds of success.
What do we mean by that?
CTA trend following strategies also uses volatility-based position sizing. The trading principles are simple, allocating different position sizes based on the level of stock volatility:
Take larger position sizes for less volatile stocks
Take bigger position sizes for higher volatile stocks
With this approach theoretically, each trade should have the same impact. Most CTA funds use the Average True Range (ATR) as a proxy measurement of volatility.
Final Words – CTA Strategy
In summary, CTA trading offers an exciting opportunity for both long and short investors. With the CTA trading strategy, you can achieve a true diversification of your portfolio by spreading the risk across several positions.
However, you have to keep in mind that generating positive returns are dependent to your skills to identify good trading signals. Outstanding returns can’t be achieved only through diversification.
So, here is a short recap of the CTA strategy:
A systematic approach is superior to a discretionary approach
Define the uptrend and downtrend combining the 50-day MA and 100-day MA
Diversify your portfolio with multiple positions
Use volatility-based position sizing to maximize your profits
AUDCHF 1D MA-X MOVING AVERAGE CROSS
Tim's MA-X Strategy.
This is a Moving Average Crossover or MA-X Trading Strategy setup.
MA-X strategy consists of the 100 period simple moving average (SMA) in red,
and the 20 period exponential moving average in blue.
If the 20 ema is above the 100 sma then we only take buys or longs.
If the 20 ema is below the 100 sma the we only take selss or shorts.
*In this case price is above the 100 sma so we will only take buys or longs.
*This Pair has been in a nice uptrend foe some time.
*It's now pulled back below the 20 ema and consolidating below the 20.
*We are going to look for a close above the 20 ema to go long.
*This trade plan we buy a daily candle close above the 20 ema.
On the breaking candle to enter a full-sized position we want to the volume bar reach up to the volume average.
If it doesn't reach the average but does reach 75% of the average open a ½ size position to reduce risk.
You can calculate the percentage by dividing the first volume average by the second volume average.
You should at least get 75%, if you don't then stand aside on the trade.
The stop loss will be 1.5 x ATR.
The first target will be 1 x ATR.
So the way that works is you get your candle close above the 20 ema that's your entry point.
At that time you look at the ATR of that candle.
You multiply that by 1.5 to get your SL.
You measure that distance behind the entry and that will be your SL.
Then you measure 1 ATR above the entry and that will be your first target.
If after entering the trade the candle closes back below the 20 ema, tke the loss right then.
Do not wait for price to hit the SL.
Our intention is that a breakout above the 20 ema should be explosive and hit our target fairly quickly.
If the momentum goes away we want to shut the trade down without taking a full stop if possible.
When price hits our first target, close half the position for profit and set the SL to break even on the remainder.
Follow stops as price moves in our direction until the market takes us out.
These two rules are the very definition of cutting your losses and letting your winners run.
Typically does this by using two positions.
The first position has a stop loss and a take profit.
That position will close automatically when the first target is hit.
The second position will only have a stop loss and not take profit.
This is the position that will be allowed to run.
When the first target is hit we have to manually move our stop up to break even on the second position.
Risk only two percent of your trading account of each trade.
Each position will then only be 1%.
AUDJPY 1D MA-X STRATEGYTim's MA-X Strategy.
This is a Moving Average Crossover or MA-X Trading Strategy setup.
MA-X strategy consists of the 100-period simple moving average ( SMA ) in red,
and the 20-period exponential moving average in blue.
If the 20 ema is above the 100-SMA then we only take buys or longs.
If the 20 ema is below the 100-SMA the we only take selss or shorts.
*In this case price is above the 100-SMA so we will only take buys or longs.
*This Pair has been in a nice uptrend for some time.
*It's now pulled back below the 20-EMA and consolidating below the 20.
*We are going to look for a close above the 20-EMA to go long.
*This trade plan we buy a daily candle close above the 20-EMA.
On the breaking candle to enter a full-sized position we want the volume bar to reach up to the volume average.
If it doesn't reach the average but does reach 75% of the average open a ½ size position to reduce risk.
You can calculate the percentage by dividing the first volume average by the second volume average.
You should at least get 75% if you don't then stand aside on the trade.
The stop loss will be 1.5 x ATR.
The first target will be 1 x ATR.
So the way that works is you get your candle close above the 20 ema that's your entry point.
At that time you look at the ATR of that candle.
You multiply that by 1.5 to get your SL.
You measure that distance behind the entry and that will be your SL.
Then you measure 1 ATR above the entry and that will be your first target.
If after entering the trade the candle closes back below the 20 ema , take the loss right then.
Do not wait for the price to hit the SL.
Our intention is that a breakout above the 20 ema should be explosive and hit our target fairly quickly.
If the momentum goes away we want to shut the trade down without taking a full stop if possible.
When the price hits our first target, close half the position for profit and set the SL to break even on the remainder.
Follow stops as price moves in our direction until the market takes us out.
These two rules are the very definition of cutting your losses and letting your winners run.
Typically does this by using two positions.
The first position has a stop loss and a take profit.
That position will close automatically when the first target is hit.
The second position will only have a stop loss and not take profit.
EURCHF 1D MA-X CROSSOVER STRATEGYTim's MA-X Strategy.
This is a Moving Average Crossover or MA-X Trading Strategy setup.
MA-X strategy consists of the 100 period simple moving average (SMA) in red,
and the 20 period exponential moving average in blue.
If the 20 ema is above the 100 sma then we only take buys or longs.
If the 20 ema is below the 100 sma the we only take selss or shorts.
*In this case price is above the 100 sma so we will only take buys or longs.
*This Pair has been in a nice uptrend foe some time.
*It's now pulled back below the 20 ema and consolidating below the 20.
*We are going to look for a close above the 20 ema to go long.
*This trade plan we buy a daily candle close above the 20 ema.
On the breaking candle to enter a full-sized position we want to the volume bar reach up to the volume average.
If it doesn't reach the average but does reach 75% of the average open a ½ size position to reduce risk.
You can calculate the percentage by dividing the first volume average by the second volume average.
You should at least get 75%, if you don't then stand aside on the trade.
The stop loss will be 1.5 x ATR.
The first target will be 1 x ATR.
So the way that works is you get your candle close above the 20 ema that's your entry point.
At that time you look at the ATR of that candle.
You multiply that by 1.5 to get your SL.
You measure that distance behind the entry and that will be your SL.
Then you measure 1 ATR above the entry and that will be your first target.
If after entering the trade the candle closes back below the 20 ema, tke the loss right then.
Do not wait for price to hit the SL.
Our intention is that a breakout above the 20 ema should be explosive and hit our target fairly quickly.
If the momentum goes away we want to shut the trade down without taking a full stop if possible.
When price hits our first target, close half the position for profit and set the SL to break even on the remainder.
Follow stops as price moves in our direction until the market takes us out.
These two rules are the very definition of cuttoing your losses and letting your winners run.
Typically does this by using two positions.
The first position has a stop loss and a take profit.
That position will close automatically when the first target is hit.
The second position will only have a stop loss and not take profit.
This is the position that will be allowed to run.
When the first target is hit we have to manually move our stop up to break even on the second position.
Risk only two percent of your trading account of each trade.
Each position will then only be 1%.