Drop to 5.5k - BTC Weekly ChartLooking at the weekly chart I've come to the conclusion that we're headed down. Lets take a look at each indicator.
Aroon
Aroon seems to be pretty accurate on the weekly and for those who don't understand how it works I've drawn arrows showing what it's done in the past and what effect it's had on the price. Currently the Aroon Down (which I'm going to refer to as Bears and is represented by the red line) is going up while the Green line (Bulls) has been going down. The Bears are gaining strength as shown by the indicator and is above the green line.
20 EMA Green Line
BTC is currently below the 20EMA on the weekly which is a strong bearish sign. On the monthly it's still above the 20EMA so I don't expect us to go down too far assuming we don't close below the 20EMA on the Monthly.
50SMA (Orange Line) 100SMA (Red Line)
BTC is currently below the 50SMA and above the 100SMA. I believe we're going to drop to the 100SMA and bounce off of it which is currently at around $5.5k
MACD
Currently in the green but just bearly hanging in there and will likely turn red soon.
RSI
Sitting just below 50 and might drop to below 40.
100sma
GBPJPY 4H SHORT TRADEPair has been in a range
Price is another range in between 50 sma and 100 sma
Short trade as price falls back to 100 sma
My Sell Stop @ 147.25
My Sell Take Profit @ 146.25
My SL @ 148.00 and I will adjust it as price falls
If price goes up over the 50 sma - watch for failure to progress bullish
Then add more pending orders
1st @ 147.49
2nd @ 146.90
Watch Macd for direction by Blue crossing above Red line then dropping before it crosses red zero line
AUDNZD 4H LONG TRADEThere is a lot of space between price and the ma's
NZD fell faster than the AUD with a bullish run
When this pair creates so much space from the ma's there is usually a rapid move back
Watch for direction with the Macd cross above the Red signal line and zero line
My Buy Stop is at 1.0705
My Buy Take Profit is at 1.0749
My Stop Loss is below fractal low
USDJPY 4H TRADESPrice has crossed above the 50 sma
Price can return to the 50 sma and then
Long Trade
Price can bounce bullish and return to the 100 sma
Watch for Macd to cross above the Red signal line
Take Profit will be the 100 sma area
Buy Limit 2 112.31
Buy Take Profit can be 30 pips or 100 sma area or 112.85
Short Trade
Price can break below the 50 sma
Macd is falling
Mac below Red signal line
Watch Macd to cross below red zero line
I have a bearish bias short trade
Once price breaks below fractal low could start a new bearish trend for 100 pips
GBPAUD 4H TRADESPrice is in-between the 50 sma and 100 sma
Price could retrace back up to the 50 sma
There price can fall to the 100 sma or break above the 50 sma
Long Trade - break above 50 sma
Buy Stop 1.8575
Buy Take Profit 1.86985
Short Trade - fall to 100 sma
Sell Limit 1.8512
Sell Stop 1.8380
Sell Take Profit 1.8324
EURCAD 4H MA SHORT TRADEPrice has entered the inner range space between the 50 sma and the 100 sma
price may raise back up to the 50 sma.
There it can continue long and retest high @ 1.5353
Or bounce back below the 50 sma and continue to the 100 sma
Short trade
Sell Stop at 1.5210
Sell Take Profit at 1.5175
I will place SL above 50 sma
I will cancel short trade if price goes above 50 sma
EURUSD 4H INSIDE RANGE TRADEsPrice is between 50 sma & 100 sma which I call inside range
Price has held under 50 sma so bias is short
Long Trade
Buy Stop @ 1.1665
1st Take Profit is 1.1690
2nd Take Profit is 1.1718
Short Trade
Sell Stop @ 1.1614
1st Take profit @ 1.1580
2nd Take Profit @ 1.1538
I will find appropriate SL
This is for education purpose not a trade call
EURJPY 1D MA TRADESPrice at 50 sma
Watch Macd for direction
Long Trade
Break of 100 sma and trendline
Find entry on smaller time frame
You determine SL
Take Profits at resistance levels
Short Trade
Price close below 50 sma
Find entry on smaller time frame
You determine SL
Take Profits at support levels
GBPAUD 4H SHORT TRADEPrice is in between 50 sma and 100 sma.
Price fell half way to 100 sma and returned to 50 sma
Price should fall toward 100 sma
Price at 100 sma will either cross below 100 sma or consolidate sideways
Sell stop below 100 sma @ 1.7795
Take Profit @ 1.7728
SL as shown
If price crosses above 50 sma trade void
GBPAUD 4H SHORT TRADESPrice broke below 50 sma and went half way then returned back to the 50 sma.
Now price will continue bullish or bearish.
If bearish it will break below the 50 sma and head to the 100 sma.
I have Sell Stop at just below the 50 sma and just below the recent fractal low in the middle.
Take Profit will be just above the 100 sma