dxy could becould be our future...the US is in control of the SWIFT system until other things get way better...not until 2032...the US will use this strength to also lower oil price and manage this entire situation so NATO will win
10years
ZB1! (10 Year T-bonds ) , H4 Bearish dropType: Bearish drop
Resistance: 159'22
Support: 151'22
Pivot: 156'00
Preferred case: With price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we have bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot of 156'00 in line with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement to our 1st resistance of 159'22 in line with the horizontal swing low support.
Alternative Scenario : Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 151'22 in line with the 100% Fibonacci projection level.
Fundamentals: With the uncertainty of the RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict and the implications on the US economy due to increase increase sanctions. Bond prices will continue to increase as increase frequency of rate hikes seems more unlikely. As fundamentals and technicals align, ZB1! might be a good opportunity to look into.
bitcoin long term 2011/2020 priceinteresting observations on btcoins price history.
--Bitcoin (blx coin) on 1W timeframe--
-aproxx every 53 bars, or 370 days before each block halving, the price finds a bottom:
(eg: oct/nov2011, june2015, and more recently march 2019 and march 2020)
Price coils inside the fractal trendlines (red and purple flag formation on 1W tf), then breaks out on/around the time of the block halveninnng.
Price makes a new ATH and roughly after 600 days (1 year and half) passing the halving, the price is already on its way down from the bubble pop, eg: Aug2011, Jun/Jul2014, April/May2018, and if the fractal continues then March2022 in 1.5years from now, finds new bottom 378 days before the halvening of 2024 on or around Q1 of 2023
--Now the question is, since the price hasn't yet broken out of the flag formation (red and purple support and resistance trendlines) it can even breakout between Q4 of 2020 and Q1 of 2021. The price reaching the top of the red resistance trendline and retesting as support then taking off and next bubble poppin on or around march 2022.
IF the price breakouts like previous halvings, price will be the following the same projection as the yellow and blue fractrals
U.S T-Note Bearish Scenario by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
On this timeframe, we can see how price tried to break the Top of the Ascending Channel multiple times but failed. Now, there is MACD Bearish Divergence which indicates that the trend is getting weaker. There is a middle trendline inside the channel, so, the movement may try to reach that zone, and if it is broke, then the bottom of the Ascending Channel would be next target.
MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS:
-Daily:
-Weekly:
RSI Divergence for 10 year notes on DAILY chart When we look into monthly and weekly charts, both RSI and trends are going up. But when we go down to daily chart, RSI is not supporting tre uptrend, just the opposite RSI is weakining on daily. This may be an indicator of ending bull market.
United States Headed Towards A Recession? The ten year yield peaks about 6 months to 14 months before two consecutive quarters of negative growth (a technical recession). Right now, from our peak in this current cycle we are 6 months divorced from a peak in the yield. Moreover, 3 year over 10 year yields inverted recently a signal that a recession is in the not too distant future. However, massive stimulus in the form of quantitative easing has significantly pushed down the 10 year yield distorting this market. Moreover, the 3 year over 10 year only inverted for around five trading days and is no longer inverted whereas the same ratio inverted for several months in 2000 and 2007. Overall, we are probably not going to see recession from Q2 into Q3 of 2019, but it is in our future whether its later this year or 2021.
Long Term Bitcoin Forecast [+10 years]Long Term Bitcoin Forecast
And The effect of insitutional money/financial instruments on it's volatility
(NB instead of decreased volatility read, volatility decrease)
