US10Y - 10Y Bonds: And Reverse Forest RuuunLet's see:
This was the chart I posted this year:
We reached the U-MLH.
This is the stretch to the upside. How ever, it could go further towards the Moon.
But usually, if price get rejected at the MLH's, we see the opposite move. In this case to the downside, to the Centerline.
This is a great opportunity, the second time this year in the 10Y Bonds, which I clearly will not miss.
Additionally this would indicate a bounce in the index markets (S&P500, Nasdaq etc.).And if you pay attention to my S&P Chart, then you know that the Centerline is reached too there.
So prepare for a possible bounce, even it's just temporarily.
10yearshort
United States Headed Towards A Recession? The ten year yield peaks about 6 months to 14 months before two consecutive quarters of negative growth (a technical recession). Right now, from our peak in this current cycle we are 6 months divorced from a peak in the yield. Moreover, 3 year over 10 year yields inverted recently a signal that a recession is in the not too distant future. However, massive stimulus in the form of quantitative easing has significantly pushed down the 10 year yield distorting this market. Moreover, the 3 year over 10 year only inverted for around five trading days and is no longer inverted whereas the same ratio inverted for several months in 2000 and 2007. Overall, we are probably not going to see recession from Q2 into Q3 of 2019, but it is in our future whether its later this year or 2021.