10yearusnotes
US 10 year T-note; Clearly a Continued SHORT!Despite appearances US T-Notes & Bills will absolutely obliterate US equity returns in this investment cycle! - The math being inescapable, despite all the wishful thinking in the world.
Let's put an exact number on it; How does >+4% annually over US Equities sound?! (Yes, do check the math - as I'm sure of it!)
Incidentally the U$D is bottoming here and it is a Massive LONG, for now.
E.g. The decline in US T-Notes is likely to be slow and shallow.
Triangle On Treasuries Suggests Limited Upside On StocksHello traders!
Today we will talk about treasuries (10year US Notes) and stocks (S&P500).
Well, as you may already know, treasuries and stocks are more or less in negative correlation and what we have noticed that 10y US Notes can be forming a big bullish triangle, while S&P500 can be finally finishing a five-wave rally from lows.
In EW theory, triangles are usually continuation patterns, so seems like treasuries can be headed higher, which means that stocks can see limited upside, especially now when we can clearly see five waves up from lows and according to EW rules, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows!
That said, if we are right, then ideal scenario would be a rally into the final wave "v" on treasuries, while stocks may see a deeper a-b-c correction! So, be aware of a potential sell-off and risk-off mode on stocks.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
10 Year US Notes Trading Near Support10 year US notes are in an uptrend, but currently trapped in a three-wave temporary correction. Corrections are three wave patterns, so we look lower now for end of red wave c. Support for wave c can be found at the lower channel line and near the Fibonacci ratio of 38.2.