ZN - 10 Year Note FuturesPrice remains problematic in the Extreme for Equity Bulls.
As does TLT and ZB.
We have indicated for months - breaking 1.171 - 1.762 for the
10 Year Note Yield would commence the Next Sell Off.
We shall see...
4/4 isn't complete until ZN / 10 Year Yields RESOLVE.
A break of 130.005 and close under... yeah, naw, Equities will not
hold up.
10yryields
TNX - Breaking 1.645Could post a problem for the Equity Complex.
The ROC's would begin to increase again, averaging 3.12%
would push TNX to 1.71 very quickly.
This would not provide anything but a SELL for TECH.
The DX has been supportive of Higher Prices for Equities
as it remains in a small Countertrend.
The JPY/USDX is the primary cause.
Once the Fuse is lit, it is Blue Skies
What is your opinion of the current and upcoming trend for BTC?Here you can see I am a slow and patient bear who ate his oatmeal and slept away Q4 & Q1 For all the stores were bear as well, So I bought moar oatmeal.
DXY looks like oatmeal
Not that I know anything ser's........ I like oatmeal
Me can only buy me oatmeal with DXY
Not really feeling like explaining this........I'm sure me shall be shamed for loving me oatmeal moar than me bloatmeal.
BTC Earth Or Moon?
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ARIASWAVE LONG TERM VIEW -BITCOIN -DOW JONES -GOLD -10YR YIELDSThis video was originally intended to be a members only video but I have decided to share it with all my followers.
In this video I share my thoughts about the long term view of these markets.
It has been a long process in terms of thinking about how certain markets will impact each other in the long run.
Every time I share my ideas it allows me to reflect on each one after the fact at a deeper level in order to identify possible faults in the analysis.
This leads to a lot of background process thinking and is entirely based on the AriasWave methodology.
This is why they are called ideas and they should never be taken as financial advice.
My goal is to understand where we are in the long term patterns in order to produce better long or short trade ideas consistently depending on the pattern for that market.
These ideas are also mostly understood by current members that have already begun learning and using the AriasWave methodology.
The AriasWave methodology teaches you exactly whether or not a correction is complete because it describes exactly what is involved in the corrective process.
In essence everything is a correction, it just depends on the magnitude and the observable degree of trend using available chart data.
I welcome productive comments and hope to bring you some actionable ideas that help you with your own analysis in the years to come.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Naughty Nas Had a Bad Day! Why?!Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and other financial firms are advancing along with bond yields. The rate on the 10 year Treasury note is up 1.48%. If you did not know, those higher rates are pulling down shares of tech companies that benefit from lower borrowing costs. All the FAAMG stocks had experienced a red day due to this. When trading indicies always keep up with the fundamentals alongside your technicals. If you do not know what the 10yr Treasury Note is, I suggest googling it and get a better understanding of its fundamentals.
10 yrIf rates do not get blocked by that weekly 200 ema and reject from the 1.64 lvl then I would say we are heading into some serious pain for risk assets with a C wave target of 2.14 basis points. IDK guys but im thinking 1.64 holds and SP500 completes my C wave around 4250. Then back up to 5,000 EOY
US10Y yield pattern relative to the SPYA similar pattern to 2020 is happening, but it appears elongated. I used colored arrows to divide this chart into segments. The blue arrows represent the yields falling to a base. The yellow arrows are the rates rising phase. The red arrows are the yields dropping in a unique curved pattern. It seems to break that curved pattern and start an upward channel. Last year the very day it fell out of that upward channel, the SPY started to fall.
10 YEAR BOND YIELD - Have Interest Rates Bottomed?My count has not changed that much over all the attempts that I have made at finding the right count in this market.
Which is why I always ask the question, have interest rates bottomed?
I believe once we rise above a couple of key levels mentioned in the video we will have more of an idea.
At the same time I find it intriguing how the NASDAQ and Dow Jones both appear to be at an inflection point.
I have linked the latest NASDAQ and other ideas below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Futures Levels | Look Ahead For the Week of Aug 15There's nothing much to see in the stock indices as the trends, or lack thereof (RTY1!), have continued. This week I'll be watching the 10Y rate to see if a retest of the recent lows matters at all to the broader market.
When things are slow, it's good to measure just how slow. I like to use the 7-D ATR to gauge volatility and I explain how to do so in this post.
Silver vs 10 year bond yieldsStarting from the same base as the massive run from last summer, silver vs 10 year yeilds seems to have the perfect setup for the next few months, if inflation picks up with yeilds rising at the same time, there could be a large increase in silver prices in the next few months.