10yryields
Naughty Nas Had a Bad Day! Why?!Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and other financial firms are advancing along with bond yields. The rate on the 10 year Treasury note is up 1.48%. If you did not know, those higher rates are pulling down shares of tech companies that benefit from lower borrowing costs. All the FAAMG stocks had experienced a red day due to this. When trading indicies always keep up with the fundamentals alongside your technicals. If you do not know what the 10yr Treasury Note is, I suggest googling it and get a better understanding of its fundamentals.
10 yrIf rates do not get blocked by that weekly 200 ema and reject from the 1.64 lvl then I would say we are heading into some serious pain for risk assets with a C wave target of 2.14 basis points. IDK guys but im thinking 1.64 holds and SP500 completes my C wave around 4250. Then back up to 5,000 EOY
US10Y yield pattern relative to the SPYA similar pattern to 2020 is happening, but it appears elongated. I used colored arrows to divide this chart into segments. The blue arrows represent the yields falling to a base. The yellow arrows are the rates rising phase. The red arrows are the yields dropping in a unique curved pattern. It seems to break that curved pattern and start an upward channel. Last year the very day it fell out of that upward channel, the SPY started to fall.
10 YEAR BOND YIELD - Have Interest Rates Bottomed?My count has not changed that much over all the attempts that I have made at finding the right count in this market.
Which is why I always ask the question, have interest rates bottomed?
I believe once we rise above a couple of key levels mentioned in the video we will have more of an idea.
At the same time I find it intriguing how the NASDAQ and Dow Jones both appear to be at an inflection point.
I have linked the latest NASDAQ and other ideas below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Futures Levels | Look Ahead For the Week of Aug 15There's nothing much to see in the stock indices as the trends, or lack thereof (RTY1!), have continued. This week I'll be watching the 10Y rate to see if a retest of the recent lows matters at all to the broader market.
When things are slow, it's good to measure just how slow. I like to use the 7-D ATR to gauge volatility and I explain how to do so in this post.
Silver vs 10 year bond yieldsStarting from the same base as the massive run from last summer, silver vs 10 year yeilds seems to have the perfect setup for the next few months, if inflation picks up with yeilds rising at the same time, there could be a large increase in silver prices in the next few months.
10 Yr Yields About to Break?When looking at the 10 Yr Yield chart, the price is currently sitting at a key area of support. A breakdown of that support could lead to a massive move to the downside. This would be enough to send equities and commodities soaring.
A bounce from here should take yields right up to two big areas of resistance - first, the recent high around 1.75 and long term resistance at ~1.98-2.00. A breakout of those levels, although highly unlikely, would signal the market actually pricing in rate hikes in the near future. If that were to happen, I'm also assuming equities and commodities would not like that one bit.
Another probable scenario is a temporary bounce up towards the resistance areas, followed by a rejection of those levels. Then, the most logical place for price to move would be down, down, down.
Don't underestimate how important this move in the TVC:US10Y will be for equities and commodities, regardless of which direction it will be.
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BONDS 10year yield formed the 1st 4H Death Cross since SeptemberThe US10Y has just formed a Death Cross (the MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing below the MA200 (orange trend-line)) on the 4H time-frame since September 24, 2020!. That is technically a bearish formation. It gets even more bearish if we count the fact that the price got rejected on the 4H MA50 after the bounce. The last time we had such a rejection on a 10-20 day selling sequence was on June 16, 2020.
This pattern has the capacity to stop the uptrend of the recent months and initiate bearish momentum on the medium-term. The green zones indicate potential Supports. Personally, I expect the price to drop all the way to the 1W MA50 (yellow trend-line) which is the pivot between being bearish or bullish on the long-term.
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