APE/USDT 1D. Idea. Huge pump soon. Explanation of the chart.Hi everyone. Been out for a while, there's a reason for that. Market consolidating, no need to update much.
Now we're on the verge of the beginning of the somewhat altseason. So now is the time to update.
Let's make a small remark, Others.d chart(capitalization of top 150 altrcoins) has pumped 20% today, huge sign for altseason.
Now let's dive into this coin APE. There's a big Pump group in this token hence a movement is expected.
There's 3 types of trend as for the DOW theory.
Main trend, Secondary trend, local One.
Let's analyze this chart with this trend theory.
The main trend(here's not the all history of the coin) - Downtrend, shown as red on the chart.
Secondary trend - downtrend channel.
Local trend - falling wedge, where the resistance confluences with the main downtrend.
Right now we're staying near under the support of the downtrend channel - here's also the support of the broken down local falling wedge. It's called a confluence of 2 zones - better seen on chart, where 2 levels become as one point.
We've broken down the downtrend channel(it's called a deviation). Consolidated there for 66 days. It's a good sign for the future pump, because paperhands are thrown out of market(no understanding of market cycles -> leaving the market).
As soon as we break this confluence zone up and got back into the channel - a potential to the resistance of the channel is opened.
It's about 133% which is shown also on the chart. After we got into the channel - only main downtrend line which is also the resistance on the wedge will hold us. When we break this one - free road to the resistance of the channel is opened. This is about 4.8$ zone.
Now notice that we've reached the 1.6$ zone, which is often the bottom zone for the crypto assets. The easiest example is Bitcoin at 16666$ zone and then the reversal, but u can find tons of such example if u look into it(one that comes right now to my mind is UMA - pump from 1.6$ zone, another one is T coin(T/USDT) - accumulation in 1.6$ zone in the beginning of 2023 then pump 400% something like that). I write a lot about it in my ru Channel, but now i share it here also.
This is not the typical stuff u will hear from traders, and u may think it's foolish when u first look at it, but it works and u may check this out for ur self. Maybe later i will share why it works. But the main thing it works.
Also notice that 16x3 is 48 whish is the target for this coin. 48 has it's numerological meaning. This how the magic of numbers works. Don't think about it, just feel it and use it for better understanding.
Capitalization of the coin is 777m$ as for the august 14th. x2.5 pump is about 2b$ which is not that much, so can be realized.
On the daily chart we also have the bullish divergence(triple(3)) on the RSI, this may be used as the addition to the all aforementioned.
Consider the price moves with the market, so don't expect it to pump alone tomorrow for 130%. It takes some time.
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Connors' Price Action Analysis // EURUSD LongHi traders.
EURUSD is currently forming a strong long near the 07, its very likely expected to stay long for the next 3 or 4 hours, which can make us profit between 140-170 pips, because thats what I aim for. I care about pips, not profits as most traders do. Its what brings me money in long term.
I will be updating this chart as time goes by. It'll surely be a good trade. Stay tuned!
My Idea on FOMC USD rate hike decision for EURUSDSo the time is coming, this is the last chance for the FED to demonstrate that the US economy is strong enough to withhold an interest rate hike and continue to show improvements.
there are many political and idealogical factors behind this decision and this is a worry to investors and speculators that think this rate hike should not go ahead and that is only happening because of NON economical influences.
lets see first, prior to the 16th meeting >>>
the pair could well continue its bullish momentum, revisiting the high of 1090 and even penetrating all the way to the 1200 area where the down trend of this year has been established.
also prior to the result and news release, some big brokers and desks will take positions to ensure they have enough liquidity to provide dollars to those who will buy it, so this will produce a few big EUR orders.
Take a look at the CME options expiring at the NY cut, this will give you a good idea of what level is the market expecting.
WITHIN THE MEETING/DECISION
the key word here is VOLATILITY, while traders and brokers decide whether the statement is hawkish or dovish, you will probably see some spikes up and down as they hedge/cover and close their positions currently open.
no one will open brand new positions during the event unless is to cover their large contracts to prevent losses
here is when you need to be careful with your SL, if this is hit during the event then stay out until you can clearly asses the decision. bear in mind that experts analysts have great tools that electronically analyse the statement and is capable to identify different words and highlight this for the banks so their capacity of response is going to be pretty big nevertheless unlimited.
AFTER THE DECISION
here is when new positions will be opened, as liquidity returns and new players enter the market, big banks will look to find out how the decision affects their long term outcome and new positions could be undertaken over the next few days.
looking at where the initial spike ends up you can get an idea if the outcome was scenario A B or C but still.. this may not probe to be the case and the pair may reverses within a few days of the initial euphoric move.
SO IN SUMMARy
- Prior to the event, keep an eye on positioning
- during the event, volatility could kill your positions, ensure you are covered
- after the event, reach the same conclusion than the big traders is essential, load yourself up with good news provider
- if you are not sure, or you have no capital, or you feel insecure about trading in historic events, please do not trade this event.
HAPPY TRADING
HAPPY XMAS!
any questions, please ask below :)