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TOTAL Q3 As Q2 closes, Q3 begins... The 2nd quarter of 2025 made up for a lot of the losses of Q1 peaking at $3.5T in the middle of the quarter. Since the peak a steady downtrend channel has formed and continues to be the case going into Q3. What can we expect to see in the next 3 months in the crypto market? For me there are two different scenarios that are bullish, and one that is bearish IMO: Bullish scenario 1 - The most likely scenario I think is a breakout above the downtrend channel and a move towards the range top. My reasoning for this comes from what we know about the driving forces in the market. Just last week BTC ETFs had a $2.2B net inflow, MSTR bought another 4,980BTC for $531.9m, various ETFs on the way for other majors such as SOL. Crucially the M2 money supply is at a record ATH. What that means is huge demand and the means to purchase with a what feels like a deadline closing in. Bullish scenario 2 - We see a trend continuation until the range midpoint which has provided support before. It would coincide with the bottom of the trend channel and therefor I believe would provide a good launchpad for long positions. Bearish scenario - For me this is the least likely situation but one that must be prepared for, a loss of the range midpoint would be a major setback, one that would mean a potential revisit of the range low in a symmetrical move down mirroring Q2s move up. The reason I believe this is the least likely is there is just too much in favor of risk on assets like crypto currently, I've mentioned the fuel that is the M2 money supply piling up to be deployed. A US interest rate cut all but confirmed for September and the institutional race for acquiring these assets before it is too late. In conclusion just keeping it simple on the chart, a breakout above the trend channel is a great long opportunity to target the highs. If BTC continues the grind down a great place for it to turn bullish is the range midpoint as has happened previously. In the event BTC loses the midpoint a retest of the weekly low would make sense to me.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ProR35
2
SUI | — Key Buy Trigger AheadPrice is drifting lower and approaching a high-confluence retracement zone. A key bullish setup may form if price sweeps the 0.618–0.666 Fibonacci region and reclaims the level with strength. 📌 Buy Trigger: • Sweep into the $2.38–2.5 zone • Look for reclaim and bullish reversal for long entry • Structure remains constructive while above monthly support ($1.91) 📈 Reclaim Level for Strength: • $2.83 — clearing this confirms bullish intent • Flip = strength toward $3.80 and beyond 🎯 Targets: • $2.83 → Range reclaim level • $3.50–3.60 → local resistance • $5.36–5.37 → full upside liquidity target 🟥 Invalidation: • Clean break below $1.90 (monthly support) = full invalidation 📌 Best setups form when liquidity is swept and price reclaims structure. Wait for the flush and follow strength.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
AAVE: Bearish Range Play — Watching for Move Back to Monday Low✅ Break above Monday high rejected, confirming resistance ✅ Structure is bearish — main scenario is return to Monday low ($221.56) ✅ Watch for reaction at target for partial profit taking Active Scenario: Hold/enter shorts while below Monday high Target: $221.56 (Monday low) Partial profit: On first touch of Monday low Watch: Price reaction for potential reversal/setup at Monday low 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only consider reversal/long on strong bounce or reclaim at Monday low Remain bearish while price is under Monday high 🚨 Risk Warning: Local trend is bearish — don’t fight structure until reversal is confirmed
Short
by Goldfinch_song
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
CRV Range Reclaim — Eyes on $0.70 After Classic Deviation Setup🎯 BINANCE:CRVUSDT Trading Plan: Active Range Setup: Long Trigger: Deviation and reclaim below $0.5585 Target: $0.70 (mid/upper range) Stops: Below most recent deviation Alternative: If $0.47–$0.50 is swept, look for LTF reversal signals for a new long entry No Macro Shift: Stay in range-trading mode until daily/weekly close above $0.76 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Play the range: long on deviations and reclaims, take profit at range high or $0.70 Reassess for higher timeframes only after $0.70–$0.72 or $0.47–$0.50 is hit 🚨 Risk Warning: Don’t chase mid-range — entries are only at extremes or after deviations
Long
by Goldfinch_song
HYPE: Distribution Zone — Best RR for Shorts?🎯 KUCOIN:HYPEUSDT Trading Plan: Active Short Scenario: Entry: $37–$45 zone Invalidation: Daily closes above $45.8 (cut/derisk) Partial TP: $27.5 (0.5 retrace), $22 (weekly gap), $13 (monthly demand) No Longs: Avoid opening fresh longs in this structure/zone Wait for reclaim and closes above $45.8 for any long bias 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Add on weakness/rejection at highs Derisk or close if daily closes above range 🚨 Risk Warning: Strong squeeze risk if range high breaks Be disciplined with stops
Short
by Goldfinch_song
SoFi Technologies (SOFI, 1D)On the daily chart, SoFi has broken out of its descending trendline, confirmed the breakout with a clean retest of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $12.33, and is now building upward momentum from this demand zone. This “buy zone” is acting as a launchpad for a potential mid-term move toward higher resistance levels. Key Fibonacci-based upside targets: – $13.48 (0.5 retracement) – $14.64 (0.382 retracement) – $16.07 (0.236 retracement) — within the defined target zone – Extended target: $18.37 (1.0 Fibonacci projection) Technical structure highlights: – Breakout of multi-month downtrend + successful retest – Price now trading above key EMAs (50/100/200) – Volume expansion on bullish candles confirms demand – Daily momentum favors further continuation toward the $14–$16 zone – Premium supply zone above $16 may slow initial momentum but offers long-term potential toward $18+ Fundamental context: SoFi is evolving as a vertically integrated fintech platform with strong brand recognition and growing user engagement across banking, investing, and lending services. As the company narrows losses and strengthens recurring revenue, investor interest in SOFI is growing — particularly as market appetite returns for high-quality fintech with path-to-profitability models. The technical breakout is confirmed. As long as price remains above the $12.33–$12.50 buy zone, the bullish scenario remains valid with targets toward $14.64 and $16.07. A breakout above $16 would activate the full expansion toward $18.37 in the mid-term.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by TotoshkaTrades
1
XRP — Triple Tap at Support or One More Low Before Lift-Off?🎯 BINANCE:XRPUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 (Support Holds): Bullish above $1.90 — possible pre-breakout setup if structure improves Look for volume/impulse above midrange to confirm move Scenario 2 (Sweep Lower): If $1.90 fails, set alerts at $1.39–$1.40 for reaction/reversal setup Entry on strong reversal pattern at sweep zone No Trade: No action unless price at the range extremes or showing breakout structure 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only engage after confirmation: bullish SFP at $1.90 or $1.39–$1.40, or clear structure before breakout 📝 Order Placement & Management: Buy: Only at $1.90 (on reclaim) or $1.39–$1.40 (on strong reversal) Stop: Below range low ($1.90) or below sweep zone ($1.39) Targets: $2.90 (range high), then $3.40 (liquidity sweep) 🚨 Risk Warning: Wait for range extremes or breakout confirmation Avoid chasing chop — patience until the setup is clean
Long
by Goldfinch_song
BTC at the Crossroads — $91k Demand or Deeper Flush to $76k?🎯 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 — Bullish Reclaim: If price reclaims 1D 50EMA and $104k, bias flips bullish; look for continuation toward ATHs Scenario 2 — Base Case (Favored): Remain patient for a move to $91k–$92k; swing-long setup on signs of strength or iH&S formation If $91k–$92k holds, expect a summer rally and new ATHs later in 2025 Scenario 3 — Breakdown: If $91k fails, prepare for deeper move to $73k–$76k; this is the “max long” zone if tested Must hold here; below $73k–$76k, next support is $55k 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Long only above $104k + 1D 50EMA, or after bullish structure at $91k–$92k Major long only on strong support at $76k, with clear confirmation 📝 Order Placement & Management: Buy: On reclaim of $104k (trend confirmation) or at $91k–$92k with iH&S/reversal pattern Backup Buy: If $76k is tagged with confirmation Stops: Under $91k or $73k (based on entry) Targets: New ATHs for late 2025 🚨 Risk Warning: Losing $91k opens path to $76k; losing $76k is a major structure break Don’t knife-catch — wait for confirmation at each level
by Goldfinch_song
CRV Approaching Demand — Bottom Fishing in the $0.40–$0.49 Zone🎯 BINANCE:CRVUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 (Reversal from Demand): Look for bullish SFP, engulfing, or reclaim in $0.40–$0.49 zone If confirmed, long with first target $0.83 Tight stop below $0.39 Scenario 2 (Breakdown): If $0.39 breaks decisively, step aside — risk of new lows 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Enter only with clear bullish trigger on LTF (H1/H4) No trade if price grinds below $0.40 📝 Order Placement & Management: 🟩 Buy Zone: $0.40–$0.49 (alerts on wicks into zone) 🛡️ Stop: Below $0.39 🎯 Target: $0.83 🚨 Risk Warning: Only bottom fishing with confirmation — avoid knife catching
Long
by Goldfinch_song
ENA At Make-or-Break Demand — Long-Term Thesis on the Line🎯 BINANCE:ENAUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 (Reversal from Demand): Watch for strong reaction in demand zone ($0.24–$0.20) Long-term entries on confirmation (H4/D1 SFP or reclaim above demand) Scenario 2 (Breakdown): No trade if $0.20 breaks with high volume/no bounce Next demand much lower, patience required 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Wait for clear reversal signal in HTF demand before entries No knife catching if breakdown occurs 📝 Order Placement & Management: 🟩 Watch Zone: $0.24–$0.20 (set alert) 🛡️ Stop: Below $0.20 (on breakdown confirmation) 🚨 Risk Warning: This is the last major demand before price discovery lower Only enter if there’s clear strength or volume spike on reclaim
Long
by Goldfinch_song
BTC Weekly Game Plan: Key Levels & Clear Setups!Short Scenario: Enter on confirmed rejection (SFP or bearish MSB) from Equal Highs ($110,700) or BPR ($108,000) Targets: $105,000 → $102,600 (Weekly Draw) Invalidation (stop): Above $112,000 (Range High) Long Scenario: Enter on confirmed bounce (bullish MSB or SFP) at Weekly Draw ($102,600) or Range Low ($100,300) Targets: $108,000 → $110,700 Invalidation (stop): Below $99,500 (under Range Low) 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: M15/H1 confirmation required: SFP or clear MSB before entry. Avoid entries if price slices through levels without a reaction. 📝 Order Placement & Management: 🔻 Sell Limits: $110,700 & $108,000 🛡️ Short Stop: $112,100 🎯 Short Targets: $105,000 → $102,600 🔼 Buy Limits: $102,600 & $100,300 🛡️ Long Stop: $99,500 🎯 Long Targets: $108,000 → $110,700 🚨 Risk Warning: Shorts are against HTF bullish momentum, increasing risk. High volatility expected due to FOMC meetings (Tuesday/Wednesday).
by Goldfinch_song
SOL | Key Demand Zone Retest in PlayBINANCE:SOLUSDT has pulled back into a major demand zone, following rejection from a local supply block. This zone previously acted as the base of the last impulsive move and now presents a critical level for a bullish reversal. 🟩 Key Demand Zone: $135–$125 • Valid demand cluster from April expansion • Looking for bullish reversal signs or SFP before confirming entry • Invalidates below $122.75 📌 Trade Setup (if confirmed): • Entry near $125–130 • Target: $220 (79% upside) • SL: Below $122.75 • R:R ≈ 4.88 🟥 Invalidation: • Clean break below $122.75 = structure break • Bearish continuation toward $102–105 zone 📌 This is the zone to look for strength — weak bounce = stand aside. Strong reaction = high R:R opportunity.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1