SasanSeifi| TONCOIN:Is a Further Correction Coming?Hey there, ✌
🔹In the daily timeframe, analysing the KUCOIN:TONUSDT chart, reveals that the price has been on a downward trend since the $8 level. After breaking the crucial $6 support, this downtrend extended to around $4.80. Following this decline, the price saw a nearly 50% recovery and pulled back to $6, but then faced further correction to $4.50.
🔵Currently, with the price not stabilizing below the previous LOW, it has managed to grow at least 50% from the previous correction leg. The medium-term outlook remains generally bearish. If the price fails to break significant resistance levels between $6 and $6.50 and confirm a SELL signal while completing the pullback, further price correction towards $4 and potentially $3.50 might occur.
💢However, if resistance levels are broken and stabilize, the price may rise towards the $7.50 to $8 range. In this case, further analysis will be needed to determine if the previous high will be surpassed and whether the bullish trend will continue.❗❓
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
1d
SasanSeifi| Key Levels to Watch in the Daily Timeframe!Hey there, ✌ FX:GBPUSD In the daily timeframe, as evident from the chart, after a bullish move, the price has struggled to break above the 1.34 level and, following a period of consolidation, has faced a downward trend. Currently, the price is trading around 1.30. The overall trend suggests a bearish outlook, and it’s expected that if the price breaks below the 1.30 level and confirms this breakdown, we could see it heading towards the target of 1.29500.
After this move, the price may enter a range-bound or minor consolidation phase before dropping further to the 1.28500 area and the demand zone around 1.28.
Alternatively, another scenario is possible where if the 1.30 level holds, and we observe confirmations in lower timeframes, the price could rise towards the FVG zone between 1.30200 to 1.32700 and potentially up to 1.33. In this scenario, after a slight rally and pullback, the price might return to the 1.30 and 1.29500 levels.
It’s crucial to closely monitor the price’s reaction to these levels for better insight into future movements.
This analysis is based on personal opinion and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
EUR-USDThis EUR/USD chart shows a recent decline after reaching a resistance level around 1.12137, forming a double-top pattern that suggests a trend reversal. The price has since dropped sharply and is approaching a significant "Order Blocker" zone between 1.07515 and 1.08022, where institutional buying may occur.
If the price holds in this area, a potential bounce toward the 50% retracement level near 1.1000 could happen, indicating a bullish correction. However, if the price breaks below this zone, further bearish momentum could push it toward the next support at 1.0715.
In summary, the market is currently bearish, but the reaction at the "Order Blocker" will determine whether a reversal or further decline is likely. Traders should monitor this key zone closely.
BTC DAILY BREAKING OUT??After 7.5 months of what what amounts to a HTF bullflag pattern, seemingly endless chop, bitcoin looks like it's finally breaking out above and continuing the Bullrun.
This post doesn't need to be overly complicated, there are a few key factors on what is happening:
- Bullish continuation, a bull flag pattern is just that, after a strong rally the corrective structure looks exactly like how the chart looks before continuing the next stage of the rally. Bitcoin has hit the red zone 9 times before the current breakout move, now that the daily structure has shown repetitive higher highs and higher lows for the first time it's signalled that Bitcoin is ready to continue the move higher.
- US elections, every election year since 1928 traditional markets experience a rally, this year is no exception with the $S&P500, SKILLING:US100 & TVC:DJI all at ALL TIME HIGHS. As much as we crypto traders want crypto to be separate from Tradfi, reality is these markets matter and effect Bitcoin directly.
'21 ATH has been major resistance all year for bitcoin, I could see that being the target for this breakout (should it be a successful breakout) before a retest of trend channel at $66,500 on the daily.
All in all this is an exciting time in crypto, lots of volatility ahead come US election and beyond.
Good luck everyone!
EUR-USDThe eurusd pair creates double top at 1.1200 level and then drop and breakout of M pattern at 1.1000 and go down side to 1.09050. now market drop sharp and its time to retracement to 1.100 again. Pair just broke the support and now its turn support into resistance. and then drop to 1.0800 to 1.07500 support zone.
ZEC/USDT 1D Zcash is a chart I like the look of quite a lot on the 1D timeframe. ZEC has outperformed the majority of the altcoin market since it flipped the 1D 200EMA downtrend into an uptrend.
The 1D 200EMA has been I a downtrend for 2.5 years since the very beginning of 2022! Since then ZEC has bounded off the moving average once with a large wick and now it has just swept liquidity and reclaimed. Waiting for a confirmation of support with some clear closes above. The local double bottom can be seen using the 0.25 line as support. The next resistance level is the 0.5 range midpoint should the 1D 200EMA close above with strength.
It's important to realise that ZEC is still -92% from its $371 ATH, so it has huge room to grow once price has broken the more local range (1.0 level). If the last few months are an indication of the kind of support it has then it's a very good sign IMO. The local range that is
ONDO BREAKOUT Since the beginning of June ONDO has been in a downtrend that saw a -66% move to the downside. Now 111 days later price has broken out of the trend channel, showing a +15% move from the breakout.
The daily candle is currently trying to close above the 1D 200EMA, a convincing close above the MA would be extremely bullish having now cleared the major resistances and the trend is flipping bullish.
Bullish targets would be:
- Local high (LTF) $0.808
- Daily resistance (1D) $0.901
- Key S/R level (1D) $1.048
- ATH $1.50
Stop Loss:
- Local low (downtrend continuation) $0.58
ONDO being one of the standout RWA projects has a great R:R here for the next 6-12 months. Definitely a coin worth keeping an eye on.
ALTCOINS TOTAL3 Altcoins have struggled in the last 5-6 months since BTCs slowdown.
Some alts are down 80% from their highs but are now displaying a promising pattern for the bulls. The chart shows the daily support that intersects 3 points that make a head and shoulders pattern. This H&S pattern is an important reversal structure that if gets completed would signify the bottom of the downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend.
Since this H&S reversal TOTAL3 has flipped the 1D 200EMA and is now at diagonal resistance. Should this resistance be broken and accepted above as well as the WEEKLY S/R then the next target is DAILY RESISTANCE. This would be great for smaller can alts especially the newer projects that have not experienced a Bullrun yet.
In terms of a trade setup. I would place an SL below the local low as this would be a trend break and could signify a further sell-off.
Take profits @ DAILY RESISTANCE, $720B & $780B.
SUI/USDT 1D SUI has been one of the better performing L1's and altcoins in general in the last 6 months that BTC has been chopping/ranging.
There are a few key points on the SUI chart that catch my eye:
- 1D 200EMA is now flipped bullish with a strong reaction after flipping the level, this shows buyers are confident in the project and happier to buy at higher levels, instead of waiting for a pullback for example.
- Clear Higher high and higher low structure indicating a bullish trend on the daily. Invalidations are more obvious when a structure like this is broken.
- Plenty of room to grow going into Q4, the range is clearly mapped out with key Orderblock levels that will more than likely be resistance levels and so they are the targets to take profits, hedge or de-risk while assessing where SUI will go.
With this being SUI's first Bullrun history shows the newer projects do better off in terms of ROI that's if they survive, from what we have seen so far this cycle I believe SUI will be a strong project going forward.
SOL/USDT 1D trade idea Solana has been one of the best performing majors so far this Bullrun, and has had one of the best reactions to the recent sell off.
The DAILY chart is an interesting one and clearly respects the range structure, currently the price has just rejected off the MIDPOINT and for me is an area of contention, there are some triggers i'd like to see and can take action on:
- Accumulation below the Midpoint before a break above putting in higher highs and higher lows when above. The target would then be range high with the 0.75 line as first TP.
- A new lower low and lower high on the LTF from now may signal a move lower, this could then find support at the 0.25 line which is also where the 1D 200EMA is and therefore good support.
BTC 1D OUTLOOKBitcoin is in a tricky place right now. The fear and greed index has cooled off massively and now sits at a neutral score of 55. General sentiment is very poor and after nearly 2 months of sideways action traders/investors are getting restless especially after the promise of price rally post-halving, but is there any positive news?
The chart is pretty clear, HTF is bullish, still above the 1D 200EMA but LTF is bearish. BTC has clearly broken its uptrend and is now in a bearish trend channel, although there has been a breakout attempt, for now it seems to be a fakeout. For me this leaves 2 scenarios;
- Trigger 1 is a breakout trade where confirmation is needed to avoid another fakeout, this includes making a higher high after a new lower high and therefor confirming a new bullish structure after breaking out of the bearish channel.
- Trigger 2 is more of a bearish scenario but one I believe would be better in the long run. There is a large inefficiency area between 52K-56.5K, price seeks to fill these fair value gaps and as long as that area is left unfilled it will always attract price to it, now this could be filled at anytime in BTC's lifespan but it would make the most sense to do it now rather than after price has another huge rally as the risk of a complete capitulation move down to fill this area would grow. Another reason I believe it makes the most sense is that the 1D 200 EMA is at the bullish OB+ level, in a Bullrun this level is a great point to enter longs as it provides strong support. Adding all these layers of confluence suggests this bullish OB+ area should it provide a positive reaction, would be a good area to enter longs which also would mean the altcoin market would also see a positive move as it is currently massively oversold and would bring traders to be more risk on.
The halving so far has not brought the desired bullish narrative that a lot of people expected but it would never going to be a reason for Bitcoins price to suddenly move up, it's one that will gradually have an impact as the supply shock has a lasting effect on miners and institutional investors.
Patience is key in this game, I believe that this quarter will remain a choppy frustrating one as BTC cools off after a year long rally and gets ready for the next leg up. Making sure that the portfolio is a strong as it can be for the next leg of the Bullrun is key and capital preservation is number 1. Trading because of boredom can be very costly. Stick to your plan as best you can to avoid any mistakes.
EUR-USD
The chart for EUR/USD on a daily timeframe shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout. The price is currently at approximately 1.06865 USD, fluctuating between converging trendlines. The upper trendline acts as resistance, while the lower trendline provides support. The chart suggests a possible bullish breakout, represented by a yellow arrow, projecting an upward movement towards 1.09500 USD. Traders should monitor for a breakout above the upper trendline for confirmation of the bullish scenario, or a breakdown below the lower trendline for a bearish outcome
USD-JPYThe chart for USD/JPY on a daily timeframe shows a strong bullish trend, supported by an upward trendline, with the current price at approximately 160.016 JPY. A significant "Strong Resistance Level" is identified around 160.209 JPY, where the price has previously encountered selling pressure.
The chart suggests a potential breakout above this resistance level. The projected price movement, indicated by a yellow arrow, shows that after facing some initial resistance, the price might briefly pull back to the trendline before continuing its upward trajectory. This suggests a bullish outlook if the price successfully breaks above 160.209 JPY.
Historical support is marked around 151.953 JPY, which has previously provided a solid foundation for upward movements. The trendline highlighted in red signifies consistent support, with the price bouncing off it multiple times, indicating its reliability.
In summary, the chart indicates a bullish outlook for USD/JPY, supported by the upward trendline and strong support around 151.953 JPY. The key resistance level to watch is 160.209 JPY. A successful breakout above this level could lead to further bullish momentum. Traders should monitor the trendline support to confirm the continuation of the upward trend and ensure the trendline holds to validate the bullish scenario.
XAU-USD
The chart for Silver/US Dollar (XAG/USD) on a daily timeframe shows a bullish "Double Bottom" pattern around the 28.60 USD level, indicating potential reversal of the recent downtrend. This pattern suggests strong support, as the price has bounced off this level twice. The current price is approximately 29.038 USD.
A significant resistance level is identified around 32.00 USD, where the price has previously faced selling pressure. If the price breaks above this resistance, it could signal further upward momentum. The chart projects an upward movement towards this resistance, represented by a yellow arrow, suggesting that the price might initially face resistance but is expected to rise.
Historical support around 26.00 USD is also highlighted, providing context for potential price movements. The yellow and red highlighted areas mark these critical support and resistance zones.
In summary, the chart indicates a bullish outlook for XAG/USD, supported by the double bottom pattern and strong support at 28.60 USD. The key resistance level to watch is 32.00 USD. Traders should monitor the support at 28.60 USD to confirm the double bottom pattern and potential upward trajectory.
EUR-GBPThe eurgbp pair is getting close to an extremely solid parallel support zone, where there is a good likelihood that it will move in a bullish direction similar to the last one. The price has confirmed my prediction over the past three to four times, and it is now heading toward the same area where there is a greater likelihood of a bullish move. Near the zone, we'll be searching for a reversal candle.
XAU-USD (Gold)The gold pair moves in a vertical upward price channel and gives respect to their upper and lower trendlines. If the market loses its momentum on the ATH level of gold then it's a chance to move down and some retracement it. There is a big zone on the ATH T.F of gold that is 2400-2430. And if the market respects that zone then we see to reject price to lower trendline at 2380.
XAU-USD (Gold)The gold pair moves in a vertical upward price channel and gives respect to their upper and lower trendlines. If the market loses its momentum on the ATH level of gold then it's a chance to move down and some retracement it. There is a big zone on the ATH T.F of gold that is 2400-2430. And if the market respects that zone then we see to reject price to lower trendline at 2380.
AUD-USDThe audusd pair breaks the resistance level at 0.66500 and closes the candle above this level. Now the market is testing again this level to give a big move to the upside level. There is also another strong resistance level at 0.68500. the market breaks this resistance and then turns into support, and if the market holds this support level of 0.66500 then we see an upside move.
AUD-USDThe audusd pair creates a resistance level at 0.66500. The market touched this zone three times.This resistance is very important because last three to four times price stop it's bullish momentum and moved down side towards the support area. if the market holds this resistance level then the market again goes to downward levels.
DXY (dollar index)The dollar index creates a bearish flag after the breakout of the 105.00 level. The market is ready to break the bearish flag because tomorrow is the federal interest rate and Powell's speech a big day. There is also a resistance level at 107.00. If the bearish flag breaks then the market moves toward resistance level.
DXY (dollar index)The dollar index moved in a triangle pattern. Last week, the market tested his upper trendline. If the market tests the upper trendline then it is 106.500 level. Another thing is there is a resistance and supply area at 107.00 level. if the market does not respect the upper trendline then further move to 107.00 level and then reject.
Wait for further movementa symmetrical triangle in the BTC market suggests uncertainty about its future direction. This pattern occurs when the highs and lows of the price form converging trend lines, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers have taken control. Traders often see this as a potential continuation pattern, meaning the price could break out in either direction once the pattern is complete. It's a waiting game to see which way the market will move next.