TAO | #1D — One More Leg Up Before Major CorrectionStep-by-Step Scenario:
Current Context:
Price is consolidating above the 373–382 support (blue box) after a strong impulse from June lows. This zone aligns with a major HTF demand and retest of the recent breakout.
Expected Move:
Base Case: Holding the 373–382 zone triggers a new leg higher toward the $500 supply area.
Upside Target: $500+ (main target), with interim resistance at $440–460.
Trigger: Look for strong 1D closes above 401 for confirmation, or a quick dip and reclaim of 382 for entries.
Timing:
Expect the final move up to play out into late August. Watch for momentum and trend exhaustion as we enter September.
Major Correction Risk:
If price stalls or forms an SFP at $500 or in upper supply, look to reduce exposure and prepare for a multi-week/month correction.
Breakdown below 373 (especially daily close) invalidates the bullish scenario and may accelerate a correction back to 320–260.
Why:
The market structure remains bullish above support.
Still running on strong narrative/momentum, but approaching key supply zones and cycle timing.
Macro risk: Many alts (including TAO) could top as Q3 ends, mirroring historical cycles.
1d
ALGO | #1D — Building the Spot Position LowerALGO has completed its first local move and is now retracing toward key support levels. The price remains under the 200DMA and is heading into the first cluster of demand zones.
Step-by-Step Price Scenario:
Initial Support: Watch the 0.2413–0.2268 zone — this is the first area to scale in spot buys.
Main Accumulation: If price drops deeper, the main spot buy window is $0.22–0.20 (0.5–0.618 retracement of the recent rally and the main demand block).
Invalidation: Breakdown below $0.1726 would invalidate the spot strategy and suggest deeper downside.
Bullish Confirmation: A strong reaction from either of these support levels, followed by reclaiming the 200DMA, would set up the next move toward $0.33–$0.35.
Why this plan:
Buying spot on pullbacks into HTF demand with clear invalidation below keeps risk defined, and the current market structure allows for compounding if the trend resumes.
HYPE | Sweep & Reclaim SetupPlan:
Watching for a sweep into the blue H4 Untapped Demand zone, then a reclaim of 41.237 (green line) to add longs.
Ideal target: new ATH and 55 extension.
If the blue zone fails or we can't reclaim 41.237, risk-off mode: equal lows at 30.6 could be the draw.
Reasoning:
A sweep into demand would reset local liquidity and trap late shorts.
Reclaiming 41.237 confirms a shift in momentum and invalidates the breakdown.
Structure is bullish above 41.237; below, risk increases for deeper downside.
ENA | Waiting for the Daily RSI 50 ResetWatching for price to drop into the blue demand zone while the daily RSI resets to the 50 level. If both conditions align, that's the next high-probability long setup.
Reasoning:
Strong rally has left RSI elevated, so a cool-down is likely.
The blue zone lines up with the prior breakout and consolidation, so it's a logical area for buyers to step in.
A confluence of demand and neutral RSI usually provides the best R:R for trend continuation.
SUI – Base Formation for Next Leg HigherTrend Shift:
SUI has broken the 1D downtrend and is now consolidating above a key supply/demand zone, suggesting accumulation.
Short-Term Range:
Expect ranging/chop as price tests acceptance above broken resistance. This phase could last up to a week.
Trigger for Next Move:
Sustained closes above $4.0 will signal buyers are in control, opening the way for a move higher.
Targets:
If the base holds and SUI establishes above resistance, the next push is toward $5.10–$5.40 (previous highs/ATH zone).
Invalidation:
A sustained move below $3.37 would invalidate the bullish base thesis and open the door for deeper retrace.
SUI has flipped its 1D trend and is now consolidating above a key S/D level. Historically, such consolidations above reclaimed resistance often precede strong trend continuation. While a short-term range is likely as the market digests recent gains, the structure favors an eventual push toward previous highs and potentially new ATHs in August. Patience during this ranging phase is key; the setup remains bullish unless price falls back below $3.37.
DOGE – HTF Plan & Spot Reload ZoneSpot Position & Realized Profit:
Spot position held from the $0.19 sweep.
Previous long from demand taken and partially realized at $0.26, de-risking the core position.
Current Structure:
After reaching resistance ($0.26–$0.27 zone), price is retracing.
Daily demand/support sits around $0.20–$0.21, with multiple confluences for spot re-accumulation.
Immediate Plan:
Waiting for price to revisit daily demand ($0.20–$0.21) to reload spot and/or open fresh longs.
Watching for a possible lower timeframe (1H) bullish confirmation (e.g., 1H change of structure/1H CSD) as a trigger for a tactical long before daily demand is tagged.
LTF Play:
If price prints a 1H CSD, a quick long up to daily imbalance ($0.24–$0.25) can be considered.
Invalidation:
Loss of daily demand ($0.188) would invalidate the bullish scenario and require re-evaluation.
Upside Target:
If demand holds, looking for moves back into daily supply/imbalance, with ultimate HTF targets at $0.26, $0.32, and higher.
Reasoning:
The core plan is to build spot exposure at strong demand after de-risking on the first move up. The context is that DOGE has shown willingness to bounce at major demand, and with realized profits in the pocket, risk can be managed comfortably on new entries. Short-term, LTF confirmation (such as a 1H CSD) can offer a tactical long back into daily imbalance before the main reloading zone is tagged. Patience and precise triggers are key—no need to rush until price action confirms.
AAVE – Eyeing Reversal From Daily Demand for $400 TargetCurrent Structure:
AAVE recently rejected from 1M S/R at $332.54 and pulled back into a confluence support zone—overlapping 1W order block (OB), 1D OB, and previous resistance now flipped support ($277–$290 zone, marked blue).
Buy Zone:
Watching the blue box area for bullish reversal triggers. This is a high-probability demand zone due to multiple timeframe confluence.
Trigger:
Wait for a bullish reaction/candle confirmation inside the blue zone. Ideal scenario: bullish engulfing, sweep of the low and reclaim, or a strong bounce with rising volume.
Targets:
Primary upside target: retest of the 1M S/R at $332, then continuation toward $400 if momentum sustains.
Invalidation:
If price closes below the 1D OB ($274.84), long setup is invalidated—risk of further downside increases.
AAVE is testing a major support confluence zone, combining weekly and daily order blocks. This area previously acted as resistance and now presents a strong demand zone. If bulls defend this zone and trigger a reversal, there’s a clear runway back to previous highs and potentially $400. This setup offers a favorable risk/reward profile with tight invalidation.
ETH — Perfect Long Play: Pullback & 1W Breaker Reclaim
After the strong move, price is likely to retrace as longs get trapped and late buyers take profit.
Best scenario: ETH pulls back to the 1W breaker zone ($3,141–$3,456), which previously acted as resistance and could now flip into support.
Watch for bullish reaction and confirmation in the 1W breaker zone.
If support holds, enter long — targeting a return to the range high and then the liquidity zone ($4,108+).
Invalidation if ETH closes below the 1W breaker or loses range low ($2,876) support.
ETH has rallied hard. After such a move, it’s normal for price to pull back and test old resistance as new support. The ideal long is on confirmation of a bounce from the 1W breaker zone, which keeps risk controlled and sets up for a continuation move higher. This approach avoids FOMO and protects against reversal if the breakout fails.
SOL — $180 HTF Resistance | Consolidation ExpectedSOL is approaching a key HTF resistance zone at $175–$181 with 1D RSI close to overbought. Unless price cleanly breaks above this area, a pullback to $160 or even the $138–$147 demand zone is likely before further upside. The setup provides a better risk/reward for longs on pullbacks after consolidation rather than chasing at resistance.
ETH 1D Overview Finally we are seeing altcoins regaining lost ground on Bitcoin and the second largest crypto by market cap is rallying strong.
Since ETH has such strength currently the opportunity to short is quite slim with high risk, however I think it's important to see where ETH may find some resistance or if a pullback was to happen, where would it come from?
The first level is the bearish orderblock level that has just been tapped as of writing. This area previously began the sell-off at the end of 2024 by confirming a new lower high. Naturally this area will present problems for the bulls and so a potential pullback could be initiated from this level. I would like to see a sweep of the stop loss positions just above the area and then a SFP to confirm the pullback is in motion.
Should the bearish orderblock fail the next clear level is the daily local top around $4000. A big even level and the area that started 5 months of downtrend. IMO the most likely level where longs will take profit. I do think if we see any form of consolidation between the bearish orderblock and the local high the bulls will look to carry the rally on, shallow pullbacks maintain momentum
Ten out of the last eleven days have been green candles with the only one day being red just above a key high, I expect if we are to get a pullback that bullish orderblock area ($2900-3000) to be retested as support. Therefor if any of the above areas initiate a pullback this area should provide support and therefor a long entry.
To clarify I am in no way bearish about Ethereum, this is just a plan for different eventualities.
CRV - Two Scenarios for Strategic Spot BidsBINANCE:CRVUSDT
No FOMO, two clean entries.
Sweep S/R and reclaim EMA 200 — first trigger for spot longs. Equal lows at $0.61 — magnet for liquidity.
Deeper flush to demand = main buy zone ($0.40–0.56).
Stops under main demand.
Plan simple: let the market pick the entry for you.
CRV Approaching Demand — Bottom Fishing in the $0.40–$0.49 Zone🎯 BINANCE:CRVUSDT Trading Plan:
Scenario 1 (Reversal from Demand):
Look for bullish SFP, engulfing, or reclaim in $0.40–$0.49 zone
If confirmed, long with first target $0.83
Tight stop below $0.39
Scenario 2 (Breakdown):
If $0.39 breaks decisively, step aside — risk of new lows
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Enter only with clear bullish trigger on LTF (H1/H4)
No trade if price grinds below $0.40
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🟩 Buy Zone: $0.40–$0.49 (alerts on wicks into zone)
🛡️ Stop: Below $0.39
🎯 Target: $0.83
🚨 Risk Warning:
Only bottom fishing with confirmation — avoid knife catching
CRV Range Reclaim — Eyes on $0.70 After Classic Deviation Setup🎯 BINANCE:CRVUSDT Trading Plan:
Active Range Setup:
Long Trigger: Deviation and reclaim below $0.5585
Target: $0.70 (mid/upper range)
Stops: Below most recent deviation
Alternative:
If $0.47–$0.50 is swept, look for LTF reversal signals for a new long entry
No Macro Shift:
Stay in range-trading mode until daily/weekly close above $0.76
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Play the range: long on deviations and reclaims, take profit at range high or $0.70
Reassess for higher timeframes only after $0.70–$0.72 or $0.47–$0.50 is hit
🚨 Risk Warning:
Don’t chase mid-range — entries are only at extremes or after deviations
GIGA | Watch for 1D MSS Flip & Long TriggerBUY ZONE $0.0175–0.0192 — wait for pullback, enter on bullish signal.
TRIGGER: Flip and hold above 1D MSS zone.
STOP: Close below $0.0171 = exit.
TP: $0.025 / $0.03 — take profit on move up.
Wait for the break and flip above 1D MSS, then enter long on confirmation. Avoid early entry — only buy after a clear signal. Fix part of profit at resistance.
TOTAL Q3 As Q2 closes, Q3 begins...
The 2nd quarter of 2025 made up for a lot of the losses of Q1 peaking at $3.5T in the middle of the quarter. Since the peak a steady downtrend channel has formed and continues to be the case going into Q3.
What can we expect to see in the next 3 months in the crypto market? For me there are two different scenarios that are bullish, and one that is bearish IMO:
Bullish scenario 1 - The most likely scenario I think is a breakout above the downtrend channel and a move towards the range top. My reasoning for this comes from what we know about the driving forces in the market. Just last week BTC ETFs had a $2.2B net inflow, MSTR bought another 4,980BTC for $531.9m, various ETFs on the way for other majors such as SOL. Crucially the M2 money supply is at a record ATH. What that means is huge demand and the means to purchase with a what feels like a deadline closing in.
Bullish scenario 2 - We see a trend continuation until the range midpoint which has provided support before. It would coincide with the bottom of the trend channel and therefor I believe would provide a good launchpad for long positions.
Bearish scenario - For me this is the least likely situation but one that must be prepared for, a loss of the range midpoint would be a major setback, one that would mean a potential revisit of the range low in a symmetrical move down mirroring Q2s move up. The reason I believe this is the least likely is there is just too much in favor of risk on assets like crypto currently, I've mentioned the fuel that is the M2 money supply piling up to be deployed. A US interest rate cut all but confirmed for September and the institutional race for acquiring these assets before it is too late.
In conclusion just keeping it simple on the chart, a breakout above the trend channel is a great long opportunity to target the highs.
If BTC continues the grind down a great place for it to turn bullish is the range midpoint as has happened previously.
In the event BTC loses the midpoint a retest of the weekly low would make sense to me.