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4hr diamond bottom appears to be playing outNo guarantee it will follow through and I'd like to see a slight bit more volume to confirm but it appears we have a 4hr chart diamond bottom breakout. If so it should reach the breakout price target I have posted here and I expect then on this current pullback for the yellow horizontal trendline at 9646 to retest as and maintain support in which case we will then head back up towards the diamond bottoms breakout target. If this were to occur it greatly increases the chances that we will trigger a breakout from the 1 day falling wedge pattern as well which if triggered here has a breakout target of 11.5k. We still have a potential gap to fill at 8.5k and must continue to keep that in mind but that could happen before we breakout of the wedge, after, or possibly even not at all...so instead we must focus on the price action at hand and only worry about factoring that in if the charts show we are heading that way.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
1
1 day double top vs. 1 day falling wedgeThe current battle playing out seems to be between the support of the falling wedge's top trendline(in purple) and the resistance of the double top's neckline(yellow horizontal). If we somehow were able to close the 1 day candle above this neckline that would be a good sign for the bulls. We would still need breakout confirmation from the wedge first of course, but if a wedge breakout were to trigger here the breakout target would be 11.5k. I think instead a breakout fakeout here is slightly more probable but will remain neutral until I see it react one way or the other. For now, I have the projected breakout occurring instead where the next horizontal support line down around 8.5k intersects with the top trendline of the wedge. We will see if my assumption is accurate but currently we have potential to rigger the breakout from our current zone. Wee can also see the 3 day golden cross trajectory has been moved up to the 1st of August. I think this cross will be sustained and eventually lead to an 87% increase in price but think there's a chance price action could fall down to those moving averages right before or during the initial cross to scare people and accumulate short fuel first. We could also just shoot upward without doing that at all but if I see a red candle the day of the cross I will neither be worried or surprised. May be a slow climb at first in August but I have a feeling come september/october we will be full on bull mode again. Just a gu instinct and as always not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1day chart pattern beginning to take shape: Falling Wedge?We have finally reached a 31% correction here when we dipped into the upper 9k region...odds are good the 1hr/4hr chart h&s pattern is really a decoy at this point as a 1 day chart falling wedge is starting to take shape more and more as the candles progress and is starting to seem more valid. We have also filled the highest gap on the cme futures contracts on the last correction leaving only the gap at 8.5k left to be filled. There is a slight chance this gap won't be filled but we could also easily throw a daily candle bottom wick down to it briefly and then slingshot back up and still manage to keep the daily candle bodies above the bottom trendline of the 1day wedge. I'll be keeping a close eye on the 4hr and 6hr charts to see if we have a turn back to the downside on them before forming a higher high on those time frames...if we do form a lower high on the 4&6 hr charts then odds of dipping down to fill that gap are still very good however if we form a higher high on either of those 2 time frames probability will then favor that are big correction may be complete and the bullrun is likely to resume. Still no guarantee that this falling wedge is the main pattern here on this move but as of now it is the frontrunner.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
Ethereum's path to $500 now firmly set in motion after c&h break Ethereum is now confirming a breakout of a weekly chart bullflag that should take it to at least $366 but more impressive is the cup and handle pattern on he 1 day chart it seems to be triggering at the same time which has a potential breakout target of $499. Now it's true cup and handle breakouts often fall slightly short of their projected target, but there's also several instances where price action far exceeds the projected target as well. Whatever happens I'm definitely long. I feel even if it corrects before $500 it will get there sooner rather than later.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by DrDovetail
A new longer rising wedge emerges on btcusdthere's still a chance this ascending purple line could be the bottom trendline of the rising wedge if so we will know by sunday at the latest. However current price action suggests the rising wedge is a lot longer than originally thought...long enough to carry us to 10788 before a breakdown...with an apex at the horizontal resistance line at 11694...if we were to breakdown around 10788 a 31% drop would send us to the blue horizontal at 7427 and a 41 % drop would take us back to the green horizontal at 6234. Probability right now favors the longer wedge but best to be prepared for either,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
XRP back above $.046 resistance testing neckline of doublebottomWe can see xrp has once again broken through the horizontal resistance at 46 cents and is now testing the neckline of the 1 day double bottom pattern. Triggering a breakout of this double bottom pattern can give us a target of 59 cents. Reaching that target should help us rise above any of the other potential top trendlines of our descending triangle pattern( although I'm pretty sure we already broke out of that pattern in early May). All of this bullish convergence should see xrp reaching anywhere from 83 cents at the lowest to $2 on its initial bull run before its first significant correction...$1.33 still seems like a prime target to pay attention to in my eyes but we could easily go higher than that before the first big correction if everything aligns perfectly.
BITFINEX:XRPUSDLong
by DrDovetail
All Previous 1day 50ma bottoms on xrpbtc clue us in on next 1.a look at the time between each 1day 50ma bottoming out on xrpbtc 1day chart 2015-now....1st one took 238 days, next 238 days as well which formed three 50ma bottoms each not as deep as the next which resulted in the biggest breakout ever against btc.... then 286 days to the next bottom followed by 278 days and finally we are currently at 256 days and the 50ma is already starting to curl its trajectory upward slightly this will be the 3rd 50ma bottom in a row with the gap between it and and the blue 200ma getting smaller and smaller on all three just like the last time we had a massive breakout run against btc...should be another big one this time too if history continues to repeat.
Long
by DrDovetail
XRPUSD goldencross now official!As I said in my previous idea yesterday, we were 1 day away from the 1 day chart's goldencross on xrpusd and it has now officially crossed. The market tried to shake some weak hands with a solid bear trap last night but I know all those who understand the utility and value of xrp did nothing but hodl through it. Well done all he held as now the daily candle has flipped to green giving us 7 green daily candles in a row. This should just be the start of xrpusd's bullrun. There is still a chance that we could close a daily candle or 2 as red candles in the coming days, but our weekly candle is currently a big green bullish engulfing candle and as long as it stays that way by candle close probability very highly favors that we continue our direction upwards. Also on the weekly chart(not shown here) we have closed 2 consecutive weekly candles above the heavy resistance of the weekly 50ma. XRP is behaving exactly how btc did when it first closed a couple weekly candles above its weekly 50ma. It acted like it may dip back under for a second but then had its huge blastoff. If XRP behaves the same way we could see is huge breakout by the next weekly candle. XRPBTC should start to make strides and gains as well along with it.
BITFINEX:XRPUSDLong
by DrDovetail
potential inv head & shoulders could double ADA's current priceCardano has been taking a bullish upturn recently along with much of the alt market. . .but if it can trigger a breakout of the current inverted head and shoulders patern on it's 1 day chart, it still has the potential to double its current price. Current 1 day stochrsi is alreeady over extended so it may meet resistance for a few days or so at the neckline before finally breaking upward but considering its had its golden cross sustained probability is inf avor of a validated breakout before too long. target 17-18 cents.
BITTREX:ADAUSDLong
by DrDovetail
1
BTC maintainin bullishness; golden cross now on track for 4/11I appears that the stoch rsi is finding excellent support on the strong ascending 3 year old trendline keeping momentum bullish for now and has helped to increase the northern trajectory of the 1 day 50ma(in orange) to where we currently have a golden cross on track for as early as April 11th. Of course any significant selling from now until then will likely push that expected cross date back but price action currently appears to be in a bit of and ascending triangle/bull pennant on the one day chart...so if we were to break up from that price action within the next day or 2 we could expect a golden cross even sooner. So as of now things still look quite bullish all around...the only reason to even consider a downward move that invalidates the goldencross and instead results in a fakeout is that because everything looks so obviously bullish that the exact opposite could happen to trick a majority of traders. However beyond that, everything else seems to be indicating probability is currently favoring the bulls. So while I'm prepared for either outcome my bias leans bullish. If we are to break upward from the current flag set up the next consolidation or correction zone is right around 6k but ultimately I still believe we will get pretty close to the big wedge breakout target of 7229 maybe even as high as the resistance at 7.4k if enough fomo kicks in before any sort of significant correction happens.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
Possible goldencross after higherhigh-achieving bullish breakoutWe can see after the recent bullish breakout from the rising wedge we were in that BTC has finally achieved the ever elusive 1 day higher high a crucial move necessary to jumpstart the next bullmarket. We of course are eventually anticipating a higher low to follow it but we may keep forming this higher high a leg or 3 more upward before correcting downward to form the higher low...so while I anticipate we probably are more likely to continue up a leg or 3 I am leaving this idea neutral until I see a break one way or the other. Another crucial move to kick the bullmarket into gear is the 1 day golden cross. Because of the recent bullish breakout from the wedge we can now see the trajectory of the 1 day 50ma has bent very sharply north which has given us the potential for that ever important 1 day golden cross to occur by April 11th!! In fact we could just consolidate sideways in a bullflag for the next 7 days and we would likely see the goldencross occur! continuing upward would only make it occur sooner as well. Of course we could always bart back down before those seven days, or have a golden cross fakeout where the cross occurs but only lasts for 1 to 2 days before having a huge dump back down to the downside. Definitely a possibility to always anticipate. If we do end up having a sustainable solidified and confirmed 1 day golden cross then all thats left from there to fully confirm the bull market is that follow up 1 day higher low and one more 1 day higher high to follow it up. ('m already accumulating each time we trigger a new leg up in the meantime and will definitely be adding to my bags should I see a solidified golden cross confirmed.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
BTC forms 1day higher high 1st time since bearmarket beginning!!This is a huuuge sign that we may finally be seeing the trend reversal we've been so patiently waiting for and a definitive end to the bear market...This is the first higher high on the 1 day chart we've had since January 2018. We will be looking to follow this up with a 1 day chart higher low and then one more 1day higher high to complete the sequence and fully hand control back over to the bulls. if we do not form a higher low then we will almost certainly see a capitulation candle to follow...if we do then capitulation already happened in December! Very exciting either way you slice it!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
ADABTC completes 1 day golden cross/picture perfect ih&s patternWe can see here on the 1 day ADABTC chart that the price action is responding quite bullishly to the recent 1 day golden cross. Also we can see a picture perfect inverted head and shoulder pattern here which cardano has just now broken above the neckline with good bullish volume to match it. There is still a slight chance at a fakeout here but we should know by the next 1 day candle if this is a legitimate triggering of the inverted head and shoulder pattern. With the volume confirmation here probability favors a breakout more than a fakeout currently especially coupled with the recent golden cross and so I'm listing this idea as long. We also have talk of cardano being added to the ledger cold wallet and cardano also being next up to be added to coinbase...the coinbase rumor is not as solid as the ledger speculation but both are certain to be impacting price at the moment. If the ih&s breakout is triggered I have put a projected breakout price target here in green.
Long
by DrDovetail
Extremely pivotal moment for bitcoin could signal bearmarket endIf we can break up from bitcoin's current 4hr bull pennant, the breakout target shown here is around 4350 or so....which would also allow us to hit the green falling wedges breakout target shown here as well. Much more important than either of those targets however is if we can at least get enough momentum from a bullish break of the bull pennant to lift price action above the lavender horizontal trendline at $4117. Why is this line so pivotal? Because if we can reach above it we will for the first time since near the beginning of the bear market form our first higher high on the 1 day chart. That would signal that we may finally be starting to see exchange in the overall market trend from bearish to at the very least more sideways...we could of course hit that higher high and still follow it up with a lower low if the rejection at the top descending dotted white trendline is powerful enough...if we were to then follow it up with a 1 day lower low, that would almost certainly become our capitulation candle(unless we already had capitulation back in late December at 3.1k). Also if we were to follow the daily higher higher with a lower low, even though bears would then still be in control we would very likely have another higher high after that lower low since it would likely be a bounce up from capitulation and from there we could expect a higher low and a subsequent higher high after the higher low on the daily. Once we can complete a consecutive higher high/higher low/higher high sequence on the daily chart I will then be confident the bottom is indeed in. However we could also bart down here instead of breaking up from the bull flag and simply continue our never ending bearmarket series of lower highs on the 1 day chart....if so the bottom may not be in for some time. So for now though this is a very pivotal moment for btc...especially if we can break up from the current 4hr bullpennant. 4hr stochrsi looks like it wants to go up but the daily stochrsi looks like it wants to head downward so who knows it could break up hit the target and then have a big retracement...if so as long as the breakup goes above 4117 that will be a very very good sign...even if we capitulate immediately after.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Neutral volume/price analysis on Bitcoin day chart BitStampI'm illustrating this just to mostly illustrate a point about use of volume in price analysis. Bitcoin right now seems to be a battle of small groups or single people perhaps even who are both trying hard to influence market here. Perhaps a semi-larger group (maybe miners again or exchanges) are trying to support price. One large seller or a small group seems to be trying to hunt for stop-losses and or break support lines long enough to influence more downside. Hope this helps someone, this is just my thinking and ideas. DYOR!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SeanBronato