ETHUSD 1H EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE TRADING STRATEGYStep #1: Plot on your chart the 20 and 50 EMA
The first step is to properly set up our charts with the right exponential moving averages so we could be able to identify the EMA crossover at the later stage. The exponential moving average strategy uses the 20 and 50 periods EMA.
Most standard trading platform come with default moving average indicators so it should not be a problem to locate the EMA either on your MT4 platform or Tradingview.
Step #2: Wait for the EMA crossover and for the price to trade above the 20 and 50 EMA
The second rule of the exponential moving average strategy is the need for the price to trade above both 20 and 50 exponential moving averages and secondly, we need to wait for the EMA crossover which will add more weight to the bullish case.
We refer to the EMA crossover for a buy trade when the 50-EMA crosses above the 50-EMA.
forex ema crossover strategy
By looking at the EMA crossover we create an automatic buy and sell signals.
However, since the market is prone to do a lot of false breakouts we at Trading Strategy Guides need more evidence than just a simple EMA crossover. At this stage, we don’t know if the bullish sentiment is strong to push the price further after we buy so we can make a profit.
To avoid the false breakout we added a new confluence to support our view which brings us to the next step of the exponential moving average strategy.
Step #3: Wait for the zone between 20 and 50 EMA to be tested at least twice, then look for buying opportunities.
The conviction behind the exponential moving average strategy relies on multiple factors to confirm a new trading idea. After the EMA crossover happened, we again need to exercise a little bit more patience and wait for two successive and successful retests of the zone between the 20 and 50 exponential moving averages.
The two successful retest of the zone between 20 and 50 EMA gives the market enough time to actually develop a trend.
Never forget that in trading no price is too high to buy, and no price is too low to sell.
Note* When we refer to the “zone between 20 and 50EMA” we actually don’t mean that the price needs to trade in the space between the two moving averages.
We just wanted to cover the whole price spectrum between the two EMAs because the price often times will only briefly touch the shorter moving average (20-EMA) which is still a successful retest.
Step #4: Buy at the market when we retest the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time.
If the price successfully retests the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time we go ahead and buy at the market price. We now have enough evidence that the bullish momentum is strong to continue pushing this market higher.
Step #5: Place the protective Stop Loss 20 pips below the 50 EMA or below fractal low.
After the EMA crossover happened and after we had two successive retests we now know the trend is up and as long as we trade above both exponential moving averages the trend remains intact.
In this regard, we place our protective stop loss 20 pips below the 50 EMA or below the fractal low. We added a buffer of 20 pips because we understand we’re not living in a perfect world and the market is prone to do false breakouts.
Step #6: Take Profit once we break and close below the 50-EMA or you pick your own TP strategy.
In this particular case, we don’t want to use the same exit technique as our entry technique which was based on the EMA crossover.
If we would be waiting for the EMA crossover to happen on the other side then probably we would have given back some of the potential profits because we still need to consider the fact that the exponential moving averages are still a lagging indicator.
The exponential moving average formula used to plot our EMAs allow us to still take profits right at the time the market is about to reverse.
Note** The above was an example of a BUY trade… Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a SELL trade. However, because the market goes down much faster, we sell on the 1st retest of the zone between 20 and 50 exponential moving averages after the EMA crossover happened.
1h
USDJPY 1H/4H BIG 3 TRADES
Long trade
Pair can breakout long on 1H resistance level of 112.39 for long entry
4H resistance levels at 112.73 & 113.09 as TP
Short trade
Pair can fail long move
You find entry short on 15m
1st take profit ar Yel Res. line of 112.13
2nd TP at 61.8% fib at 111.88
3rd TP at 50% fib at 111.50
USDCAD 1H lONG TRADE FOUND ON 3 TSG INDICATORSAdvanced Triangle Breakout System Indicator 63 pips
5 Candle Mastery System Indicator 90 pips
Big 3 Trading System Indicator 131 pips
Each indicator finds trades setups based on
Triangle patterns breakouts
ATR breakouts
Continuation candle pattern breakouts
PM if you have any questions. I will be happy to help.
AUDUSD 1H WILLIAMS ALLIGATOR STRATEGY Tradingstrategyguides
5 candle trading system
based on Alligator strategy
Red column shows a short trade setup is developing
If price closes below red line then enter
Let's see what price will do this Asian session
Currency strength meter shows USD stronger than AUD
EURAUD 1H BEST ICHIMOKU STRATEGYStep #1 Wait for the Price to Break and close above the Ichimoku Cloud
Ichimoku cloud trading requires for the price to trade above the Cloud because that’s a bullish signal and potentially the beginning of a new up-trend.
The cloud is built to highlight support and resistance levels and it’s supposed to highlight several layers deep because support and resistance are not a single line drawn in the sand, but several layers deep.
So, when we break above or below the Ichimoku Cloud that signals a deep shift in the market sentiment.
Step #2 Wait for the Crossover: The Conversion Line needs to break above the Base Line.
The price breakout above the Cloud needs to be followed by the crossover of the Conversion Line above the Base Line. Once these two conditions are fulfilled only then we can look to enter a trade.
As you can notice the Ichimoku Cloud indicator is a very complex technical indicator that can be used even as a moving average crossover strategy.
Step #3 Buy after the crossover at the opening of the next candle
Ideally, any long trades taken using the Ichimoku strategy are taken when the price is trading above the Cloud. Our team at TGS website has adopted a more conservative approach and added an extra factor of confluence before pulling the trigger on a trade.
So, after the crossover we buy at the opening of the next candle.
Step #4 You choose SL or place protective stop loss below the breakout candle
The ideal location to hide our protective stop loss is below the low of the breakout candle. This trading technique accomplishes two major things. Here is an example of master candle setup.
Firstly, it’s minimizing significantly the risk of losing big money and secondly, it helps us trade with the market order flow.
Step #5 You choose your Take Profit or Take Profit when the Conversion Line crosses below the Base Line
We only need one simple condition to be satisfied for our take profit strategy.
When the conversion line crosses below the base line we want to take profits and exit our trade.
Alternatively, you can wait until the price breaks below the Cloud but this means risking to lose some parts of your profits. In order to gain more sometimes you have to be willing to lose some.
Note** the above was an example of a BUY trade using the advanced Ichimoku trading strategies. Use the same rules for a SELL trade – but in reverse.
GBPUSD - 1H BAT 4H CYPHER - ADVANCED PATTERN POTENTIAL Hi Traders, we have 2 potential advanced patterns setting up on GBPUSD
Keep these on the radar and look for entry opportunities. If your an aggressive trader then make sure to front run your orders as we know the markets can easily hit entry and roll over to targets if your not prepared.
As always Entry, Stops and targets on screen.
BAT D completion looking very close to the even handle 1.28000
These patterns will be invalid if we break below the BAT A Leg - or for the Cypher if we close beyond the 141.4% Fib Ext
I will also update these patterns if we get closer to the D Completions, as price action moves around we may also form Gartley
Enjoy and happy trading
Chaikin Volume Indicator Strategy EURUSD 1HThe reason why Chaikin Money Flow is the best volume indicator and it’s better than the classical volume indicator is because it measures institutional accumulation-distribution.
Typically on a rally the Chaikin volume indicator should be above the zero line. Conversely, on sell-offs the Chaikin volume indicator should be below the zero line.
Step #1: Chaikin Volume Indicator must shoot up in a straight line from above zero (minimum +0.15) to below the zero line (minimum -0.15)
When the Volume goes from positive to negative in a strong fashion way it has the potential to signal strong institutional selling power. That’s our base heavy lifting signal!
Basically, we let the market to reveal its intentions.
When the big money steps into the market, they leave a mark as their orders are so big that it’s impossible to hide. When the volume indicator forex goes straight from above zero to below the zero line and beyond it shows accumulation by smart money.
We’re firm believer that you get your maximum bang for the buck when you trade side by side with the smart money. The institutions have more money than you have, more resources than you have and probably they are smarter than you. It’s pretty obvious that the odds are stacked against you, so if you want to change that just follow the smart money.
Step #2: Wait for the Volume Indicator Forex to slowly pullback above the zero line. The price needs to remain below the previous swing high.
Once we spotted the big elephant in the room aka the institutional players we start to look for the first sign of market weakness. Here is how to identify the right swing to boost your profit.
We’re going to let the Chaikin Money Flow indicator slowly move above the zero line. The key word here is “slowly”. We don’t want to see the volume dropping fast because this will invalidate the accumulation noted previously.
Secondly, as the volume decreases and moves above the zero line, we want to make sure the price remains below the previous swing high. This will confirm the smart money accumulation.
Step #3: Sell once the Chaikin Forex indicator breaks back below the zero line. Wait for the candle close before pulling the trigger.
Now that we have observed real institutional money coming into the market, we wait for them to step back in and drive the market back down.
When the Chaikin indicator breaks back below the zero line, it signals an imminent rally as the smart money are trying to selloff the price again.
Obviously that we would need to wait for the candle close to confirm the Chaikin break below the zero line. Once everything aligns together we’re free to open our short position.
Note* The trigger candle needs to have the closing price in the upper 25%.
Step #4: Hide your protective Stop Loss above the previous pullback’s high.
Using a stop loss is crucial if you want to have an idea of how much you’re about to lose on your trade. Never underestimate the power of placing a stop loss as it can be lifesaving.
Simply hide your protective stop loss above the previous pullback’s high. Never use a mental stop loss and always commit a SL right at the moment you open your trades.
Trading with a tight stop loss can give you the opportunity to not just have a better risk to reward ratio but also to trade bigger lot size.
Step #5: You choose your Take profit or Take profit when the Chaikin Volume moves above +0.15
Once the Chaikin volume moves back above +0.15 it indicates that the buyers are stepping in and we want to take profits. We don’t want to risk giving back some of the profits gained so we liquidate our position at the first sign of the smart money stepping in on the other side of the market.
We always can get back into the market later if the smart money show up again.
Note** the above was an example of a SELL trade using the best volume indicator. Use the same rules for a BUY trade – but in reverse.
US DOLLAR INDEX BEARISH DROPThe US Dollar Index 0.16% is showing significant price rejection on the weekly chart at a prior established resistance level . This suggests the US Dollar 0.16% could be in for weakness - baring any unusual news.
Suggested trade - Find a USD pair showing this pattern on the weekly chart (there may be several.) Drill down to the daily or even the 4 hour to find a good short trade signal (use the strategy of your choice.)
USDJPY Weekly has a similar as US Dollar weekly
USDJPY 1H bullish trend line breakout short
Watch Dollar index on 1H and 4H to follow direction on USDJPY
BTCUSD: 1h made it! time to get ready.Hi everyone,
New idea for BTCUSD with a trade setup for soon, hopefully. Remember to like the post if you feel it deserves it. It helps me a lot and is very much appreciated. Thanks
BTCUSD 1h ASIA UPDATE - 05/07/2018
With this new high at 6,792.28 and rsi divergence, we have enough swings to the upside to call first leg of new cycle from 24/06/20178 completed, but marginal new highs cannot be ruled out (preferred view).
For now, I don't like to buy because closest invalidation level is 5,780.00 and I would prefer to buy once this first sequence is indeed completed (watch rsi trendline for a break down). I don't like to sell either and will position at purple 2 (remember, from here or higher, buy any pullback in a clear corrective 3 waves (3, 7 or 11 swings) as long as above 5,780.00.
Disclaimer:
This content is provided for educational purposes only. The Trader's Corner is not registered as an investment adviser and the information shared on the website or any other medium is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy/sell any instrument. Any trades placed based on our content are at the own risk of the viewer. Trading include risks and loss of capital. Future trading results can never be guaranteed.
ZRXUSD: catch me if you can!Hi guys,
Please do not forget to like the Idea if you feel it deserves it. It is very much appreciated as it helps the channel. Thanks
ZRXUSD 1H ASIA UPDATE - 05/07/2018
Following previous post in the 4h, here is the plan.
Chart self explanatory. Green box is a sure buy (in the sense that I will buy there for sure), yellow one is shaky as we would have a corrective 3 waves only from the low...
Any questions, pm or in the comments. Always welcome.
Disclaimer :
This content is provided for educational purposes only. The Trader's Corner is not registered as an investment adviser and the information shared on the website or any other medium is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy/sell any instrument. Any trades placed based on our content are at the own risk of the viewer. Trading include risks and loss of capital. Future trading results can never be guaranteed.
I'm back! BTCUSD: is it over? Hi everyone,
And I'm back (and happy) to posting here in TradingView. It's been a long time, lot's of change and new stuff... Anyhow, back to the chart.
Break of 5,920.72 was bad! Very bad! It was predictable as an option only but it is what it is, I guess. I'm out of all my positions in BTCUSD (stopped out at break even). The good point (for bulls) is that this has not been the big sell off and I explained that in one of my free video (I will do one here when I have fixed my mic). So, now what?
In daily, nothing, we wait because next equal leg area is 4,596.14-3,332.87 and we might not see it!
Indeed, on 28/06, I called the end of the 4h cycle from 9,948.98 high at 5,870.00 (explained the marginal new low that is ignored) and therefore the end of the cycle from 11,780.00 high and 19,666.00 despite we did not reach the equal leg area in daily and 4h.
I did not recommend to buy BTCUSD and I don't recommend to buy here (I bought ETHUSD and ZRXUSD within equal leg area lower), so now, we have to wait and see how the structure develops. Here is the path I propose as long as we stay above 404.98.
From current levels, if we break below 6,259.34, I don't like to buy lower as we are left with 3 waves to the upside from 5,780.00. If we have a marginal new high with rsi divergence intact, I will buy any clear 3 waves pullback (purple 2), stop either 161.8% extension or 5,780.00 (depends on the level), repeat and rinse (3, 7 swings is same).
Also, volume seems to be back, especially in altcoins, so we have interesting time ahead. But remember, follow your system, your risk management and don't open the stops...
Disclaimer :
This content is provided for educational purposes only. The Trader's Corner is not registered as an investment adviser and the information shared on the website or any other medium is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy/sell any instrument. Any trades placed based on our content are at the own risk of the viewer. Trading include risks and loss of capital. Future trading results can never be guaranteed.
BTCUSD 1H relief before another round? or we had enough?BTCUSD 1H ASIA UPDATE - 21/06/2018
Bitcoin ended the sequence from 7,790.69 high at 6,120.00 with break of RSI trendline on 18/06/2018/
And therefore, cycle from 25/04/2018 is called ended, providing an opportunity for the historic crypto to resume.
Shorter term, equal leg of cycle from 6,120.00 projects 6,904.81-7,038.96 in a possible regular FLAT (3-3-5) if we have RSI divergence with a marginal new high from current levels.
I don't like to buy at current levels as risk to reward ratio is not interesting and would rather position longs at red 2 (small position size to take into consideration the higher time frame) and I don't like to sell/
Invalidation level to the upside is 6,120.00 but I will monitor 6558.95 for a truncated cycle at 6,841.81 current high.
I have a lot of comments on the charts when the view is denied. I provide my charts for free here but you have to understand that one must learn how to read them to be able to trade them and be profitable. I do not buy or sell every turn. A chart is a path but it is dynamic and one needs to understand the mechanics behind to respond to the market when a change happens. See the charts here as a guide for your own system if needed.
Every week, for one particular cryptocurrency, in addition to the charts that I upload on TradingView, I will put the full comments and trade setup for different time frames:
- Daily on Sunday,
- 4h once a day during Asia session and
- 1h twice a day in Asia (post US) and Europe sessions.
Will resume posting daily update next week
Disclaimer :
This content is provided for educational purposes only. The Trader's Corner is not registered as an investment adviser and the information shared on the website or any other medium is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy/sell any instrument. Any trades placed based on our content are at the own risk of the viewer. Trading include risks and loss of capital. Future trading results can never be guaranteed.
2nd analysis on USDJPY 1 hour chart (SELL?)Hey everyone,
This is my 2nd analysis on the USDJPY on the time frame of 1 hour.
As you can see, I have circled the candle stick patterns everywhere where the market wants to make a turn or has made with the well-known bearish and bullish patterns.
June 13 began the analysis with a 3 bullish pattern which is a bearish candle pattern where the market threatens to go down.
3 hours later it is confirmed with a bearish night star pattern.
broken the support and created a new floor where the price was difficult and the floor tested several times.
An hour later where a high impact news probably took place and the resistance broke and came back indicating that the shadow is 2-3 times larger than the body which is a sales feature.
With the famous tweezer tops knowing a good sell-order to be able to place.
The support to have broken and on the way to the next support zone where bled and respected.
After 7 hours of support to have broken without a known pattern and almost 30 pips falls to a strong price level where it is respected.
Where expected, price is going to rise.
inverted hammer, fortress, doji and the bullish engulfing are discussed.
which clearly means that the price will rise and that happens with almost 100 pips to the tweezer tops.
on the way indicated the 1st and 2nd pullback to create an entry point for a buy order I usually step in at the 1st and 2nd the 3rd never.
With the tweezer tops, the price level was respected and the bullish pattern indicated for a sell-order and almost 40 pips dropped.
Completed at the level of support that is respected, a familiar pattern of 3 candles is formed.
The bearish III is expected to be a heavy fall, but it will not go through support, which is also a good sign for the future.
4 hours in consoladation what good scalp opportunities were, a doji is created which after 2 hours follows a 2nd doji which usually means that the market makes a turning point.
but that ends against resistance
What I think the market will do is respect the resistance by the fact that last 2 doji took place and the price level in the past has been respected several times, but where broken, it has returned to the old price level.
Let me know what you think or what I missed and hope that our prediction comes true.
Thanks for reading and watching my 2nd analysis, hope we are at the same level.
see you guys.