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2014

Fractal similarity now and 2014This is a more bearish scenario -at least midterm bearish, longterm btc is of course always bullish :) I notice the similarity of this behaviour with summer 2014. Let's see if this will play out like this again. In the plot I drew the standard moving average SMA200, as you can see in 2014 it didn't manage to push through it, and apparently now it behaves also like that, until now. Let's see what will happen, there is still the chance for a 2013 fractaly and a bullrun, see my last chart.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SebastianofMoon
10
Comparing BTC with the 2013 and 2014 cyclesI keep seeing the 2014 bear fractal charts everywhere. There seems to be a trend going on or something. However, many people forget that before 2014, there was another rally, in early 2013. Both rallies ended in a large correction, with a subsequent logarithmic downtrend line. In both cases the trendline was broken. In 2014 it was a failed breakout, meaning that after breaking through the log res, it failed to go above the previous fibonacci resistance (mostly the 0.5 and 0.38 fib levels from the entire rise of the bull move). It then continued to decline. In 2013 however, we see a successful breakout from the downtrend line, leading to the second rally of 2013. The question is now: Which path will BTC take now? I think that BTC will continue to climb to the 0.38 fibo level, around 11500. Then, the usual oscillations, and afterwards it shall be decided if BTC does another rally like in 2013, or fails and continues to decline like in 2014. People who pretend to know are liars, no one knows what will happen. However, one can position himself or herself accordingly after we hit 11500. I will be prepared for both scenarios. Luckily, after the first pumps or dumps, it should be clear which direction BTC will take :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SebastianofMoon
4
2014 CRASH SUPERPOSITION I have updated my superposition charts to reflect the channel break that we had recently. I believe that this chart is even more realistic than my previous ones as the 2014 ghost pattern (in blue) is only compressed by 25% on time frame. I think this is also reasonable as we have in a slightly faster moving market today than in 2014. So as you can see the top breakdown happened in 2014 as well and finally it happened to be a bull trap. My advice to everyone can only be to stay careful. I don't think the correction is over. But this is just an opinion.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by kayamemet
7
*BITCOIN BIGGER PICTURE* -2014 fractal-Hi there. I want to share with you this idea of BTC fractal of 2014. Well, let's begin. First of all, I want to be clear with you: I DON'T want to be in a bear market for longer. But, if it's the case, I will be ready for it, and I'll make money while it happens. So that's why I want to take into account this very possible scenario, so that nothing catches me by surprise. As you see, the fractal is PERFECT. So, what makes you think that will not continue to be fulfilled? 1) Price action: BTC has gone through the log scale trendline. Well, many people think that because of this we are no longer in a beartrend. But, see what happened in 2014? All those bulls got rekt If this short bull streak happens, alts will fly so hard. This weeks have been just a preview of what can happen with the alts if BTC rises to the $11-13k zone 2) Fibonacci levels: I have tried to mark it in the best possible way, so that it is seen that the final target is between 78.6 and 85% fib ($3000-4500) IF THE FRACTAL IS FULFILLED. The intermediate bull run would end at 38.2% fib ($11500-12500 approx) 3) MACD: Weekly MACD is going down strongly, and since 2015 it has not gone below 0 4) RSI: blue box has acted as support but has been broken, so now it is a resistance. The orange line is a resistance like the 2014 one. The drop would be expected once it reaches the red circle 5) Stochastic RSI: this indicator needs to be reset after spending a lot of time in the area of <20. So it would be difficult to make a big drop without being in the area of >80. The drop would be expected when it reaches that area red circle Well that's it. I will update the idea as time goes by. If I see any movement that invalidates the fractal, I'll publish it here If you liked or liked this, I would appreciate a like and share Legal disclaimer: *THIS IS NOT A BUY / SELL SIGNAL. Try to do your own research before trading.*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoCapo_
8
OK Let's put that 2014 Bear Fractal Theory to RestI'm tired of seeing sloppy comparisons of the fractal from the 2014 bear market skewed and stretched for convenience without any regard to wave count or time. That is just confirmation bias. You can see that yes, there is an uncanny resemblance between the two, however the TIME element is often ignored. If you look at the equivalent peaks and valleys you see that they do correspond, however with the additional volume in the market (and my personal theory that this is only a subwave of a larger wave) things have sped up dramatically. Let's compare apples to apples. We have 5 waves down, a double top , and a double bottom with the second leg higher than the first. Then finally we have a bowl shaped consolidation period followed by a parabolic move. Furthermore, in the runup to the 2014 bear market, we saw a 1739% rise in the price, whereas in 2017 it was 264%. It could not be any clearer. We are NOT repeating 2014, if we continue the bear market it will be something entirely new and different. Case closed.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DennisLeeBTC
28
I got a feeling about good old $CLAMs (CLAM). Will it rise againI got a feeling about good old $CLAMs (CLAM). Will it live again? This is CRYPTO! Steemit Link: steemit.com Rule #1: Expect the Unexpected... Although this coin dumped hard back in October 2017, here are some factors that may indicate an impending move upwards. DISCLAIMER: I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it, and I have no business relationship with any company member mentioned here. I own a very small bag of $CLAM. This is a VERY RISKY investment and this strategy is based much on speculation. I could obviously be wrong. I am not responsible for any trading decisions. PLEASE, DYOR. INVESTMENT RISK/REWARD: * High Risk * Potential +69% return * Buy Range: 40-52 sats. Sell Range 60-70-80-90+ * Time Frame: By first week of May. QUICK MARKET QUICK OVERVIEW (APRIL 19 2018) * MARKET CAPITALIZATION $12,731,149 * 24 HOUR TRADING VOLUME $278,117 * 24H LOW / 24H HIGH $4.07 / $4.37 * Circulating Supply: 2,969,255 CLAM * Total Supply: 16,665,869 CLAM RECENT * $CLAMs (CLAM) launched in 2014. Many 2013 and later coins have mooned, but $CLAMs has not. It dumped. * $CLAM dumped real hard late last year. Ouch! * It's time for either a move upwards or project death. Not that many options! MEDIA * $CLAM was spotted at the Block Hack 2018 conference in i.imgur.com * $CLAM was mentioned on John Oliver show LOL imgur.com SOCIAL * There has been extended silence across social media for many months. Little activity. TA * There is visible accumulation and resistance in our current range across all trading exchanges. * Rolled into the Ichomuku cloud this past week. DEV * Original / Official Github has no activity or commits in over a year * HOWEVER, @BayAreaCoins comments on Reddit on April 18 2018- "CLAM is being developed and the new wallet is about to be released after Xploited is finished testing it." (source: www.reddit.com) * New Wallet = Move Upwards. TRADING AND EXCHANGES * $CLAM trades against $DOGE, $LTC, $BTC, and $ETH. * $DOGE has been rising steadily so maybe 'THEY" will use $CLAM as an exit? ORDERBOOK * Asks increasing, Sell walls moving further awayfrom average mean. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT MYSTERY: * The development plan shown on the official Clams website shows that the project is 90% complete - and NOT complete. * Although their website has not been updated in a while. Another mystery remains in their development plan: Note below, the - (??% COMPLETE) Moon. * Development Plan: CLAMmonetas. - (90% COMPLETE) Proof-Of-Working-Stake. - (70% COMPLETE) Update to Upstream Codebase. - (70% COMPLETE) CLAMshell. - (60% COMPLETE) CLAMchat. - (20% COMPLETE) CLAMtrader. - (10% COMPLETE) CLAMmarket. - (??% COMPLETE) Moon (source: clamclient.com) WEB DEV - The clamclient.com last header date:·Sat,·16·Dec·2017·15:46:01·GMT(CR)(LF) - Modified date is even earlier. - Note: 4 months isn't too bad at the end of the day given the small team and the wild bear market. MARKET DATA Recent Data pulled from CoinMarketCap and shows increased activity across markets. (coinmarketcap.com) as of 4/19/2018 1 Bittrex CLAM/BTC $163,573 $4.27 59.37% 2 Poloniex CLAM/BTC $108,510 $4.24 39.38% 3 Cryptopia CLAM/BTC $1,766 $4.79 0.64% 4 YoBitYoBit CLAM/BTC $1,681 $4.20 0.61% 5 BleutradeBleutrade CLAM/BTC $7 $4.79 0.00% 6 BleutradeBleutrade CLAM/DOGE $0 $3.74 0.00% www.coingecko.com
CLong
by mgogel
BTCUSD : 2014 crash pattern comparison replay... Yes... again...Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! If you want to see my chart more closely, click the share button below that video.. You will be able to have access to the chart used in that video. Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum . You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators Kindly, Phil If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by PRO_Indicators
98
Bitcoin back to 4.5k? Downtrend Fractal theoryHello everyone, I hope you're all doing fine and having a wonderful Easter. Sadly my last prediction didn't work out further as we broke the major support line and plummeted into the abyss. We had followed that fractal for quite some time, but it did no longer when the major support broke. Ok, downtrend. But what now? But what could be bitcoins next move? I have a new theory: I noticed some traders comparing the 2014 downtrend to our downtrend now. And as many of fractals repeat I think that's actually not a bad idea. One thing that I noticed during research of fractals is that many shapes repeat, but they distort over time, because a market starts to move faster or slower. In mutiple market cycles I found similiar shapes, just distorted/deformed. I believe that right now we move MUCH faster than back in 2014. If we roughly follow the 2014 fractal linked with our market speed now. The bottom should be around 2.9k in Spring/Summer followed up by an accumulation phase that lasts from mid may to mid august. Where the average of the price lies around 4.5k. The bull market could start from September. Personnaly I don't think we are heading into a long crypto winter and here is why: - There is a super large channel active that's here since the top of 2014. And as price moves between channels: We bumped the top of the super channel in December and are now heading to the bottom of the channel. I'd like you to take a look at how the fractal bottom matches with the lower part of the super channel. - I noticed that the 2014 fractal fits onto our downtrend. But I had to speed it up. Weirdly it looks like we are correcting MUCH faster than back in 2014. I hope you liked this analysis. Happy Trading. Greetings, Vincent
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CivilisedWolf
4
BTC - 2014 vs 2017 crisis (price movement)Looks like we have a similar situation in cryptos that the one at the end of 2013/start of 2014 "China crisis". If we learn from the historical price movement, future movement in 2017 should be similar to the one shown on my graph. After last bounce bear market is expected for probably more than 1 year after we reached the top. There are more reasons to believe we have reached the top with 5000. One of them can be found in related ideas. This time I hope I am wrong. :/
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MJMeetya
20
bitcoin short Bitcoin obviously left rational / sustainable prices. And it may have got 4 times the amount of active users as in 2014 ? (according to blockchain.info) - But then, do we need to reach 4 times the price of 2014? Now users have different demografics. Back then it was coders/developers, and some who believed in bitcoin and also gamblers. probably richer in average (more bitcoins per person.) 2014 was people still not trusting it as much as now and needing or wanting to leave more than now (New miners and others) . and others feeling like it was just a game. And some people not willing to give away any - at any price before $10 billions in marketcap or so, which seemed enough in 2014, even expecting fast developments, leaving enough opportunity to buy back cheaper. Yet it went above $14 billion for a brief moment so another 40% Today people are here more permanently and more people. And poorer people. They are more rational because it is necessary. They may bought 0.1 Bitcoin for $60. Sell it for $250. Buy it again for $125 I know even silver does some weird charts for example - but the bigger bitcoin gets the less likely is parabolic shape! Parabolic shape is basically just a Ponzi-Party (next to some real new fans and capital) - And exploring the equilibrium in minds: What should be the maximum now? - Thats all. So what should be the maximum? Bitcoin may has only got ~70 times fewer active than paypal but bitcoin users do 20 times the volume per person in $USD Because it is cheaper, they can move it between wallets. Or anything. And some bought it cheaper. so bitcoin could be worth half as much as paypal now = $30 billion it is far, but doesnt look that far anymore either! that is where Bitcoin paused for some days this time (at $30 billions) Of course it has potential to grow many times, but all other Crypto currencies may have too... So that may be just be the right amount for now. And it already tried another 40% again too right now ($42 billion) But this time it may be even faster? bitcoin may have dozens of millions of active users later, like paypal or even as many as visa, or more (including "the unbanked") but by then the price will be much more stable too. Gambling may level itself out sooner through advanced / leveraged trading which was not possible/common in 2014 Option 2 (pink): Bitcoin could go more than up vertically (above 100% slope) - so even go backwards in time and leave space?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by fineregex
1