2016
Predictive Analysis of the Next Megabull Cycle - To the MoonAfter rearranging the fractal and aligning it properly with our current triangle we can see that we broke out and blew past $470 last resistance.
The accumulation being over, and no sellers/bears to be found anymore, we are now heading towards $650-680 and maybe way higher as we continue the megabull cycle to the "moon".
From there we have several potential targets but the fractal goes to $8100 per BTC .
My conservative targets are: $680-700 and $1200-950 and $2500
I am here to help. Feel free to ask me questions or Private Message me directly.
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If it is your first time trading Bitcoin I highly suggest to open an account with Bitfinex and Okcoin.com . PM if you need help trading I will help you out :)
USD/RUB long positionOn market there are bullish trand. You can see it on charts from oct. 2014
Toch resistance level going to be end of 2016 year.
So I recemend open position in long
open: 68-70
stop loss: 60-62
take profit: 84-88
Predictive Analysis of the Next Megabull Cycle - Break Out!Hey All,
We finally broke up of this long boring triangle as seen here in this zoom out of the current chart:
Bulls:
After rearranging the fractal and aligning it properly with our current triangle we can see that we broke out and blew past $435 resistance.
The accumulation being over, and no sellers/bears to be found anymore, we are not heading towards $452-460 initially from which we will go down from to retest $435-440 and confirm it as support on the 4H for the bulls to continue the megabull cycle to the "moon".
From there we have several potential targets but the fractal goes to $8100 per BTC.
My more conservative targets are: $680-700 and $1200-950 and $2500
Bears:
Nothing for the bears right now unless we break down under $420. I recommend to put your stop loss at $415 just in case. If I see a change I will first post on my twitter account and then follow up with a new chart on Trading View.
I am here to help. Feel free to ask me questions or Private Message me directly.
Also follow me on Twitter: crd.ht
Where can I register and buy/sell/trade Bitcoin?
Bitfinex Signup: www.bitfinex.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
Okcoin Signup: www.okcoin.com (Accepts Worldwide users except US residents)
SimpleFX Signup: simplefx.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
Coinbase Signup: www.coinbase.com (Accepts US Residents Only)
BitMEX Signup: www.bitmex.com
You can support me by joining under my referral any of the above Bitcoin exchange. If you join Bitfinex under my referral you will get %10 discount on your trading fees the first month!
Other Fractal Charts I am working on:
Break Out turning into another Pump Similar to October 2015This is a self-explanatory chart. Assuming that we continue to pump similary to the pump from the early $200s to $500. It is pertinent to note that the consolidation phase has been extremely similar to now.
Current final target for this fractal is: $720-680
I am here to help. Feel free to ask me questions or Private Message me directly.
Also follow me on Twitter: crd.ht
Where can I register and buy/sell/trade Bitcoin?
Bitfinex Signup: www.bitfinex.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
Okcoin Signup: www.okcoin.com (Accepts Worldwide users except US residents)
SimpleFX Signup: simplefx.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
Coinbase Signup: www.coinbase.com (Accepts US Residents Only)
BitMEX Signup: www.bitmex.com
You can support me by joining under my referral any of the above Bitcoin exchange. If you join Bitfinex under my referral, Bitfinex will give you a 10% discount on your trading fees the first month!
2016 Bitcoin Bubble Mirroring 2013 Pre-Bubble Formation2016 Bitcoin Bubble Mirroring 2013 Pre-Bubble Formation
Predictive Analysis of the Next Megabull Cycle - Update 2Hey all, I have been pretty busy lately and found the time to give you all an update! After visiting $445 we revisited the bottom of the triangle at $400-405 which strongly held as no sellers were to be found to take us to $320. Bears failed and Bulls won that last round. Which leads us to a big potential for the megabull cycle to occur on March 25-27th as we make our way to $435 (top of triangle).
Bulls:
After rearranging the fractal and aligning it properly with our current triangle we can see that were spot on the last pump within the triangle before we break out of the triangle. Initial top of triangle is $435 on Bitfinex and if all goes to plan we will blow past it to $450-448 then go back down to retest $426-421 before the megabull picks up steam and moons.
From there we have several potential targets but the fractal goes to $8100 per BTC which I find exaggerated.
My more conservative targets are: $680-700 and $900-850 and $1500 and $2500
Bears:
For now the bears do not have a case in my opinion as $400 held as support and we had no new lows. However, note that if March 27th passes (give it to March 31st max) and we fail to break the top of the triangle ($435) and reach $450, then it is highly likely that the megabull cycle failed again and bears will take over. If I see a change I will first post on my twitter account and then follow up with a new chart when I have time on TV.
I am here to help. Feel free to ask me questions or Private Message me directly.
Also follow me on Twitter: crd.ht
Where can I register and buy/sell/trade Bitcoin?
Bitfinex Signup: www.bitfinex.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
Okcoin Signup: www.okcoin.com (Accepts Worldwide users except US residents)
SimpleFX Signup: simplefx.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
Coinbase Signup: www.coinbase.com (Accepts US Residents Only)
BitMEX Signup: www.bitmex.com
You can support me by joining under my referral any of the above Bitcoin exchange. If you join Bitfinex under my referral you will get %10 discount on your trading fees the first month!
UPON CONFIRMATION: 410 pips SHORT ~ 10 250Reasons for action:
1) Pitchfork lines commonly act as support/resistance.
2) Above 10 114 begins a selling zone.
3) Price has yet to re-test the middle line of the down-sloping pitchfork.
4) We are still inside of a working down-sloping pitchfork and as the price rises, so does the probability of bearish mood.
UPON CONFIRMATION: 290 pips LONG ~ 5 990Seems to me that bulls were a bit hasty first time we tested the buying zone and not everybody had a chance to get in. This can of course be viewed as a presence of strong bullish mood by those who are willing to long below 5 990.
Predictive Analysis of the Next Megabull Cycle at Halving 2016Full credit initially for this chart goes to JoeBu on Trading View. He was kind enough to share his initial chart with me.
This is an updated chart following my last chart on the failure of the megabull that occurred after January 15th. This chart is my predictive forecast on the occurrence of the next Megabull cycle after our latest failure at the double top ATH high of 500/470 . Although all those Megabull cycles might have occurred when Mark Karpeles was in charge of Mt. Gox failed exchange with the use of the Willy bot which drove the market higher each cycle, I believe we still have the chance without Willy to have another Megabull cycle once we reach the end of the big yellow triangle at halving 2016 on approximately July 16th per the Bitcoin Halving Clock
Bearish New Cycle Begins:
Before the 36th day of consolidation ended, Bitcoin washed down $100 down from $450s to $350s as I had anticipated on my previous charts, and the bulls failed to recover quickly upwards above $425 and remain above it to regain the lost highs and break out from the triangle's top. We instead had a series of fake outs to $420s (bull traps) which retraced quickly down to $370s where sideways took over. This sets the short-term trend to very bearish as:
For the first time since 2010 or 2012 the Megabull Cycle failed to occur after 36 days of consolidation
Previous double top ATH $1170/$980 and $680/$660 we have now a new ATH at $500/$470 (patterns are repeating and fractals as well)
We broke down the big yearly bull round bottom as seen in my chart here: crd.ht
So what's next? We must retest $360 bottom of the small triangle and see if it holds for a temporary double bottom and retest of $440. However, the likeliness of that scenario is rather low, hence I am expecting 350-360 support to fail and if volatility picks up then we will hit $325-315 where I strongly suggest to buy as the 1D RSI will be oversold for a bounce up to $350 then back down Or from $350 we could get as high as $424-414. There is also a slight chance that if $300-320s do not hold then with max volatility I expect a quick wick to $275 (strongly suggest to buy or put orders there) then an immediate recovery to $300 and $315-320s.
Bear targets summary:
$360-350 (if you are buying here have very tight stoploss at $347)
$325-315 (recommend to buy)
$275 (achievable with max volatility only)
Bulls:
For now the bulls do not have a case in my opinion until the halving. If I see a change I will first post on my twitter account and then follow up with a new chart when I have time on TV.
I am here to help. Feel free to ask me questions or Private Message me directly.
Also follow me on Twitter:
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Bitfinex Signup: www.bitfinex.com (Accepts Worldwide users)
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GOLD down to 1180-90 Area again - Swing Trade - Febr. March 2016GOLD down to 1180-90 Area again - Swing Trade - Febr. March 2016
For any questions, please don't hesitate to leave a message.
Thank you.
Still a way to go downI believe that DAX will hit critical buyers somewhere between 6 and 5 k, so there is a good way left. However we are now extending past the latest swing low, this movement cannot continue forever and should be exhausted by the time we reach 8 200s. In other words we may expect a surge back to 10 100s, where DAX should find more powerful sellers before it gets pushed down to 6 k.
Again a bitcoin fractal.That is where I think we are now.
We`re in a quite similar fractal of the "small" rally of 2012.
As you might remember, that rally took place a few months before the halving, after a long bearmarket,
a situation strangely similar to where we are now.
My prediction:
I think we´ll slowly rise back to 450, build a plateau at 450-500 and stay there stable for a few months.
Then we might see a rally unfold, if bitcoin continues to do fractals.
It would fit also the upcoming halving in the middle of 2016.
However, for that, the potentially upcoming economic crisis needs to fully unfold, with lots of capital flowing into bitcoin. The chances for that are not so slim.
Lower at the beginning of 2016After a false breakout, followed by an acceleration to the downside, we briefly found ourselves visiting the red area (50 %) of the fib retracement. Essentially I took it as a clear sign of a dying bullish trend, but just like in every classic case we now made it back to the yellow area (23,6 %) before continuing to fall. The fall itself I expect will begin shortly.
Bearish 2016 until may.Could fit a ABCD pattern (maybe XABCD). And reacts well on the fib.
I am short until it breaks out of the pitchfork.
In my opinion it seems next year to be very bearish, if all the fundamental aspects are against us.
Like a lower price on oil.
If the market have a bad respond on next week news, it can get disastrous.
Give me your comment on how you see 2016 :)
2016For the mid-long term, I expect BTC to fall back to ~$325-350 and rise towards $600 by the end of 2016
