2020prediction
PPTBTC : Double Bottom Pattern.PPTBTC : Double Bottom Pattern.
Note: This is only for Educational purposes; this is not investment advice.
HOTBTC: STRONG BUY ON DEMAND ZONE.THIS IS RISKY TRADE BUT VERY GOOD SETUP.
Buy HOTBTC: 8 Satoshi
1st Target : 12 Satoshi
2st Target : 18 Satoshi
3st Target : 42 Satoshi
Stop Loss : 6 satoshi
Mid Term Trade
Note : This is Only for Risk Taker.
There is 25% and 377% Reward.
Note: This is only for Educational Purpose this is not Investment advice.
Thanks
Adil Khan.
AAPL down she goes (2020-2021 Market Crash)The market has gone crazy and I am not sure what is driving the market higher. All indications show most stocks are in overbought territories. looking at the 2003 expansion leading to the 2008 crash, I think we are headed the same path. We have had the long expansion since 2009 and I think we are headed for the same outcome as in 2008. I believe AAPL have topped out and we are headed down.
Do your own DD, this is just my opinion.
VIX Index: Quo Vadis?After examining VIX Index, with weekly closings for a two-year period, it can be concluded that 12,00 point looks like a strong support (green line). We have witnessed throughout this period four downward trends (red lines). In each rebound (October, May, July) from these four falls, 12,00 point was a pivotal base. I have also plotted a blue line to indicate long-run resistance, which cut every upward trend.
Considering these facts and looking into daily data, I think 15,00 point-level will be sooner or later broken and we will observe more volatility in the markets in 2020. Although BREXIT and Trade Agreement risks somehow abated and risks on attitude prevailed in the last quarter, according to my opinion things will not be easily finalised. An increase in the volatility will negatively affect the markets and a fall in the stock market indices will follow.
ETCUSDT Double Bottom Pattern. Altseason are Back.ETCUSDT Looks Double Bottom Pattern.
IF YOU ARE READY TO RISK 30% THEN YOU CAN TAKE THIS TRADE ON CURRENT PRICE REWARD WA 100%
VERY GOOD RISK TO REWARD RATIO.
Note: This is only for Educational Purpose this is not Investment advice.
EOSUSDT Ready For New Bullish Cycle.EOSUSDT Ready For New Bullish Cycle.
We Need to wait for Until Market Hit Second Bottom Plus Also watch Any reversal Candle Confirmation.
KEY TRADING THEMES FOR 2020General fundamental context: Expect global mini economic expansion in 2020. Yes, 2019 year, to the surprise of many, managed to avoid recession. Do you remember this extremely weird rally BOTH bonds and stocks? Investors were basically divided into two camps - doomsayers and smart and witty stock traders who almost blindly bet on Fed capitulation.
Because of that I have moderately bearish outlook on funding currencies (Yen, CHF, USD, Euro) and Bullish on “Commodity dollars” (AUD, CAD) and HY (RUB, PESO, ZAR, NZD). Medium term outlook for XAUUSD is also bearish because because zero-yield assets negatively correlate with positive economic growth.
MAJOR FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS
Implementation of trade agreement (aka "Phase one" Deal)
What to watch:
- China trade data;
- Brazil and Argentina Soybean export data;
- US agro exports, producer price index etc;
- European trade data, PPI (because to increase imports from US, China has to cut imports from other trade partners. It is a zero sum game, you know).
No favourable shifts in Trade - Tariffs are back on the table - second tough test for the US stock market.
"Phase Two" Deal Rhetorics.
Remember that many contentious issues remained unresolved after Phase one Deal. Next stage is Phase Two deal discussion which Trump touted would start right after the signing "Phase one" Deal.
What to watch:
- Trump twitter;
US 2020 Presidential Elections
What to watch:
- Trump leads, so focus on his new campaign promises. It is important because Trump looks a man of his word and delivered on his main campaign pledges (Mexico Wall, tax reform, revision of World Trade Order).
- Watch closely US polls. Markets will be extremely sensitive to this data and with the approach of the date of elections Dollar may start to resemble Pound reacting to Brexit news (really).
Federal Reserve Policy.
The policymakers signalled no more interest rate cuts till the end of 2020. Any tweaks in policy or change in communications can move stocks and Dollar either way.
I want to wish you a happy new year. All the best to you, your family and friends. 2019 will definitely be missed, but let’s make it even bigger in 2020!
The 2020 OUTLOOK: >>YIELDS|STOCKS|FED Policy & GOLD>> Part(1/4)Analysis on Treasuries in 3 detailed bullet points ; Series on fixed income and the 2020 outlook - 21st of December 19'
Before I get into the analysis, wishing you all Happy holidays!
1. What's the outlook for 2020? Compared to the summer of 2019, the recession fears have somewhat phased out. Nevertheless, weak global macros(PMI's, Growth) and the plateau in earnings, increase the overall systematic risk . 2020 will be a volatile year for all markets, and yields should mostly follow the policy path that the FED will be implementing. So far, the "Not QE" plan by the FED(being very sarcastic here), which by some estimates 500 Billion $ liquidity injection into the markets, is on track to set a record high above 4.5 T on the FEDs balance sheet , by the time the program is finished(Ref #2). Moreover, as the FED currently seems very confident in the market, we know Powell's stance can change at any point(i.e late 2018) . My guess would be that, as soon as the current "Not QE" program ends, the lack of liquidity and more importantly lack of GC(General collateral) will reappear, which would lead to the official ONSET of QE-4, starting Q2-Q3 of 2020.
2. Furthermore, since September and the repo market frenzy, we've seen simply just how crucial is ample liquidity to the cycle. Yields have managed to recover from the late summer lows, and are currently on track to test the 2% resistance target #1. More on the chart technicals can be found from my previous idea that's turning out very well thus far.
Intuitively, as the monetary base/FED balance sheet value increases we should see a decrease in yields and vice versa in the case of quantitative tightening(QT:10/2017-08/2019) . Due to inflated growth expectations from QE, thus far this hasn't been the case. Instead, as the QT unraveled the balance sheet yields collapsed, and as the "Not QE" program unfolded, yields are climbing higher again . In case QE-4 is announced, I'd expect yields to climb to at least to target 2, around 2.4-2.5%.
3. Yield curve analysis. It's good that it's not inverted, but if the yield curve is flat persistently, that's obviously not something good either. Tight spreads imply lower profit margin on loans, meaning you need to increase your volume when providing loans as a bank in order to make the same margin . Lower rates have been the nemesis for small banks in the U.S, as they are not as well diversified as large banks . These are the banks, that are crucial to the small economy. On this point that has affected returns in the Russell 2000, I will make a separate analysis.
To sum up this analysis on yields, the expectations should be that we should have even more accommodative policies from the FED in 2020. If the economy ins't doing well, Trump's almost surely not going to win the 2020 election . In a way, it can be said that the FED is buying Trump's way to the 2020 election win. Contrary to the latest FED survey, which currently sees no rate cuts for 2020, I think there is a high probability that we will at least get two rate cuts for 2020 (down to 1%, Ref #1) . Weaker dollar of course, lowers the recession probability(ref #3).
This is it for yields, I tried to keep it short, hope it's useful. Will attempt to post parts 2-4 as soon as they're finished. Feedback and comments are always welcome!
-Step_ahead_ofthemarket-
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References & Disclosure:
1. FED rates Super-cycle 1980's -
2. FED Balance sheet : fred.stlouisfed.org
3. Dollar/Yuan breakdown, trade progress and tariffs :
Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content- contact me through any of my social media channels.
Where Will The Bitcoin Bottom Be !?Welcome everybody, I hope you guys find something here you can use long term in your own trading.
This is my long term BTC chart.
It is pretty simple, I just want to sit and relax and wait for the bottom to be hit and formed.
Then the fun part starts scoping cheap bitcoin and alt-coins for some fun 10-20x increases long term.
Alt-coins follow btc most of the time unless they are extremely hyped for some reason in the short term.
Remember, historically the later years bitcoin have been moving sideways for months after hitting the bottom. ( there may have been exceptions but I'm thinking the 2018 bear market primary - recent times )
So I assume that will be the case again.
And nothing really points to it won't be like that this time.
Some serious whales are needed to push the price up in 2019 compared to in like 2015.
Not 1 whale...I dont believe such foolish idea.. I think a group/group think - of whales is needed to start pumping the price for the reversal to happen.
And they will first do that when their bags are full of cheap btc/alt-coins.
That is why we saw btc go sideways for months at the bottom at 3000-3500 ish usd. The whales are buying up slowly but surely every day.
BTC Whale = Really rich person. Let's say 100 to 500 millions usd in their trading account.
Those who can move the market and are professional traders by trade.
They crush/out-class the retail amateur investor/trader.
It is like playing football vs professional football players...it is not even fun hahaha.
The chart pretty much explains itself.
When we hit a green zone, we just sit and count the months.
When we see a breakout over EMA 100 or 200 it is most likely time to buy in/last chance to buy in if you want maximum profits with minimum risk. = most possible profits long term.
This was all for today.
Have a nice day, Christmas and New Years Eve from here :)
Bitcoin Price at $20,000 Before Halving Is Realistic as BTCAfter the Bitcoin price surged by over 30 percent overnight, a crypto trader says BTC has got above crucial TA levels
The Bitcoin price has gone against all recent bearish predictions by surging over 30 percent overnight and skyrocketing by around $2,000. The Crypto Twitter is heatedly discussing this event.
A crypto analyst from Amsterdam has tweeted that this is good news indeed - now, as per him, Bitcoin charts show that BTC is above all vital indicators and that the recovery of the 2017 all-time-high is realistic before the halving occurs next year.
$17,000 - $20,000 per BTC is ‘realistic’ before May 2020
The crypto analyst and trader @CryptoMichNL has tweeted that currently Bitcoin price pattern is similar to that of early 2016. He assumes that BTC is now above all the important indicators and so achieving the levels of $17,000-$20,000 before the halving in May 2020 is realistic.
Which is proved by Buyanylight prediction they are doing there IEO which is top company in Dubai having real existence business now they are going on blockchain after telegram. So they said that the bitcoin can be likely go up to 20.000 USD on May 2020
