Bitcoin 2022 CAPITULATION SCENARIO | Complete analysisSo there is actually also a third scenarion going on - In case we would get this ranging scenario towards 2022, we must take in account that we had a deviation above range extreme during end of 2021. That means we could see a deviation below the range extreme on a downside, too.
This is nothing confirmed and very far from likeliest outcome to see, but it is a possibility and it is actually the most bearish possibility I could figure out for a following year.
It would consist of visiting the area of the biggest pain in markets - that is liquidity below 28k. Afterwars ,the sentiment would be so negative (And even structure would say down), but as we know ranges - only a trap to get too many shorters on board and up afterwards.
Stay safe
2022prediction
Bitcoin 2022 "BEARISH" SCENARIO | Complete analysisMy previous analysis was bullish update, where I posted my view that is most likely about to play out. BUT there is one CRUCIAL part and that is January close. If we cant make january close above 43,8k, 2022 will be mostly very boring year - that could be quite good for swing traders, but not so much for hodlers and moonboys, cos we will be ranging between 35k (max 32k) to 60k USD. The mid of this range is about 46k - open price of this year and PoC of previous move. In ranging context, this will continue to be the important level for HTF bounces.
I think the chart is pretty self-explanatory:
1. Slow accumulation around 35k (must-long area)
2. Then rise towards 46k and later 60k (again - must short area)
3. Slow decline towards 46k a nd maybe lower (probably 2023)
As I described, this would be VERY BORING year if january closed below 43,8k. Anyways, the main thing is to have a plan in place and follow it. I have a bullish and bearsih based only on Jan. close.
Hope this helps
Stay safe
Andy
Bitcoin 2022 BULLISH SCENARIO | Complete analysisComing into 2022, the sentiment is extremely bearish and of course - it can stay like that for a very long time. The problem is, context doesn't show BTC should be slowing down, so it seems probable BTC reaches extremes of its trend right now. I am also posting bearish scenario separately, but I do think this one is the likeliest outcome of all.
What is crucial for bullish plan to be triggered - is January close above 43,8k. WIthout that, I will switch towards bearish scenario (which is mostly ranging during next 12 months).
IF we handle to close Jan. above 43k, there will be a very quick expansion with an ultimate target of 58-61k - that is utested resistance and will be sooner or later filled anyways. Afterwards, I do not think the expansion could go any further than that in a straight line. So for traders, short 60k is a must - and for holders it will be important ho hedge.
BTC should range for several months afterwars - a lot of people will call for bear market again and we could even reach towards 43,8k again (yeah, very important level). This will be very hard period to handle - but not with shorts from 60k ofc . Just don't get trapped in a range. Stay with the plan.
Because after this range gets finished, there should be another expansion towards bullish targets - technically we should reach 75-85k. I can imagine in extreme even reaching 100k mark.
I do think this will be the cycle top and we should look for our hedge short positions accordingly around these levels - after a structure breakout to the downside.
Stay safe, take care!
GALAUSDTPER 2022 Buy OR SELL Signal FORECAST NEXT 4H TREND CHARTGALAUSDTPERP 2022 Buy OR SELL Signal FORECAST NEXT 4H TREND CHART
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Seven Year cycle! US market crash in 2022When we study Gann's theory and, in addition to macro and economic, we will also study the cycle of the stock market, that is, the cycle. the bullishness of U.S. stocks in 2021 is still overwhelming. What will happen to the stock market in 2022, what will happen to the economy in 2022, and what will happen to U.S. stocks in 2022? The U.S. stock market in 2022 or up to the seven-year cycle will have the opportunity to retrace, many people have asked, then today we explain again.
In Gann's theory, "seven" is a very important and mysterious number. Gann believes that "seven days", "seven weeks", "July", "seven years" may be the inner cycle of a certain stock. In the past, Xiao Long has successfully predicted the bull market in 2017, the bear market in 2018 and the Hong Kong stock market crash in 2021 by using the 30-year cycle and the 10-year cycle.
Biblical term called “Shemitah’ has caught the market attention. Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world.
U.S. stock valuations have been very expensive, Shiller P/E, or cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (Cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio) to see, the U.S. PE is already 38.77, is the second highest in history. But when to fall is the point.
The economic cycle of U.S. stocks has a very obvious 7-year cycle.
-In 1966, the United States experienced a "credit crunch". In August of the same year, the U.S. Treasury market suffered a severe "liquidity crisis.
-In 1973, seven years later, the world suffered the "first oil crisis", with stock market and economic problems and the first stagflation.
-Seven years later, in 1980, Wall Street forced the Hunt brothers to stop hoarding silver, which helped some banks and securities firms to avoid bankruptcy.
-In October 1987, the Dow fell 22% in one day on "Black Monday".
-Seven years later, in 1994, the FED raised interest rates six times in a row, and interest rates rose sharply from 3% to 6%, resulting in the most famous bond massacre in history.
-Seven years later, in 2001, the Black Swan event of 9/11 triggered a severe setback in the global stock market, and the U.S. declared an emergency stock market closure from 9/11 to 9/14, but the market resumed on the 17th, the U.S. stocks still had a panic sale, the S&P 500 index opened at 1,092 points and closed almost at the low of 1,038 points, down 5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Index was killed to 8,883 points, down 7%, and the stock market fell 14% in one week.
The 7-year cycle came to 2008, the financial tsunami, Hong Kong stocks and U.S. stocks plunged.
-In 2015, Hong Kong stocks and U.S. stocks crash.
-2022:?
I would predict that in 2022, there may be a significant pullback in US stocks.
2022 Forecast of Chaos DXY and it's effect on EU GU etc.In this forecast I am predicting what will happen somewhere between first and second quarter 2022. I expect that volatility will be injected into the markets allowing central banks to clear liquidity on both the buy and sell sides, wiping out many retail traders. The camouflage of a crisis event i.e. higher covid rates, or some sort of terroristic event can/will be used to whipsaw price back and forth creating and similar pricing event to what was seen in 2020. Then I expect that dollar will continue bullish into the 3rd quarter. while opposing currencies crumble.
Have a prosperous year,
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