2023
End of Dollar, CBDC vs BTC 2030 >>>> NWO is Coming...With the fight by the NWO for the two blocks (both controlled by the evil one), there will be the loss of the dollar hegemony, this starts in 2023, therefore another agenda of the same occult elite (deep state) will start to rise, which in this case is Bitcoin, CBDC's are coming, duality always, CBDC vs BTC.
BTC in 2023 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Support is rising - Possible ATH retest in a couple weeksThis coin has massive potential, unlike other meme coins. It has a solid community behind it that owns and controls it. I could see this reaching a HKEX:10 million market cap this summer. Not financial Advice - DYOR before investing in anything.
BTC Macro Halvings interpolated - 2020 cycle LOW is IN days awayFib time from previous cycles says - 2020 cycle LOW is IN or days away (by the end of 2022).
The interpolations says:
MAY-JUNE 2023 - BTC at 45 000 $ to 48 000 $
FEB-MAR 2024 - BTC at 15 000 $ to 16 000 $
NOV 2025 - BTC at more than 100 000 $
':)
🥂 Happy New Year! Here's to 2024 and a Goodbye to 2023! 🥂🥂 It's with pleasant thoughts and a blissful peace that I'm happy to write up these few words for you guys, I can't believe today's the last day of 2023 and soon enough we'll be in 2024.
🥂 It is with great honor and pleasure that I'm able to say it's been a good year, sure it's had it's moments and could have been better but it's in those good moments that I learned a lot and gained some great memories. I'm grateful for my family, my kids, my blessings and more. This year has taught me to be grateful and count my blessings amongst all things else.
🥂 I wish nothing but the best for each and every single one of you guys as well as trading view which has allowed me to have this wonderful community, it's crazy to think that less than a year ago this family had less than a dozen people, and now I've got 684 followers or family members as I like to call you guys! It's been a crazy run up but I can't wait to see what the next year holds in store for us! I've got a feeling it's gonna be something especially worth.
🥂 For a quick technical aspect on things, we're still trending with this sort of back and forth wave between 0.60 and 0.65 as we keep getting smacked down whilst breaking 0.65. If I had to guess, as usual it'll likely be some more news that will be our catalyst for a rise and break past 0.65 but regardless I've got no complaints. I'm happy to keep stacking and sitting patiently. After all, patience is a virtue.
🥂 With this being my last post of the year. I'd like to wrap up this year on a happy note and give my blessings and thanks for each and every single one of you guys, this year will do us all much good, I know it and we deserve it. Here's a quick toast to each and every single one of you guys, let's wrap up 2023 and make the most of 2024! Till then, see you all next year!
~ Rock '
The Best and Worst Trades of 2023 💪First of all… happy new year to all traders, globally!
As the year comes to an end, and the new year begins, it’s time to join us in reviewing the top trades that defined our unforgettable year together. Marked by a historic market recovery across various global asset classes, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, and bonds, 2023 has been a memorable year for all of us.
Among the best performers, the Nasdaq-100 showed an incredible run, climbing more than 50% over the course of the year, while Bitcoin emerged as another noteworthy recovery adding more than $500 billion back to its market cap. While these two stories make many headlines, there’s much more to discuss and look into. After all, that’s what markets are about - research, planning, and data to find the next great trade.
Below, we'll recap these highlights, featuring charts and statistics that explain what happened in 2023 and some emerging trends to watch in 2024.
The best trades of 2023
Long Carvana +1063%
Long Solana +994%
Long Coinbase +448%
Long Avalanche +296%
Long Nvidia +245%
Long Bitcoin +161%
Long US dollars versus Turkish Lira +57%
Long Nasdaq-100 +55%
Short Natural Gas -38%
Short VIX -45%
For those who want to see more data, we’ve created handy lists for you below. Here are the best and worst for some of the most important asset classes:
The best stocks by market cap over $5 billion:
1. Carvana +1063%
2. Bridgegbio +502%
3. Coinbase +448%
4. Affirm +464%
5. Microstrategy +360%
6. Symbotic +346%
7. Applovin +275%
8. Super Micro Computer +253%
9. NVIDIA +245%
10. DraftKings +222%
Notable: Duolingo +232%
The worst stocks by market cap over $5 billion:
1. JD -53%
2. Moderna -45%
3. Pfizer -45%
4. Dollar general -45%
5. Estee Lauder -43%
6. Bayer -35%
7. Hertz -30%
8. Nokia -30%
9. Etsy -28%
10. Alibaba -19%
Notable: NIO -18%
The best performers in crypto by market cap over $3 billion:
1. Solana +994%
2. Chainlink +191%
3. Avalanche +296%
4. Bitcoin +161%
5. Cardano +155%
6. Polkadot +103%
7. Ethereum +97%
8. Tron +92%
9. XRP +88%
10. Dogecoin +33%
The biggest changes in forex - all pairs:
1. Swiss Franc / Turkish Lira +72%
2. British Pound / Turkish Lira +67%
3. Euro / Turkish Lira +63%
4. US Dollar / Turkish Lira +57%
5. Euro / Russian Ruble +33%
6. US Dollar / Russian Ruble +29%
7. Mexican Peso / Japanese Yen +25%
8. Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen +19%
9. British Pound / Japanese Yen +15%
10. Euro / Japanese Yen +13%
The best performers in commodities:
1. Cocoa +66%
2. Cattle +23%
3. Gold +13%
4. Sugar +4%
The worst performers in commodities:
1. Natgas -38%
2. Corn -29%
3. Wheat -20%
4. Soybean -11%
Indices:
1. Merval +321%
2. Nasdaq +55%
3. NIKKEI +31%
4. S&P 500 +25%
5. IBEX 35 +21%
6. DAX40 +19%
7. Russell 2000 +18%
8. Eurostoxx 50 +17%
9. CAC40 +15%
10. Eurostoxx 600 +11%
Notables:
Hang Seng -17%
VIX -45%
Thanks for being a part of our community and we look forward to celebrating the end of 2023 and the start of 2024. For those of you who read this far down, we have a game for you – can you spot the new tool we’ve added for 2024?
Happy new year, traders! Stay tuned for more great announcements.
TradingView
BUNNY: $0.10 | a Binance Lab Pet for Tsa Nis Nu Year
when the universe the stars and the gods will it
then as early approaching Jan 22, 2023 shall be a moment to look forward
a yield optimizer that has a simple intuitive application
with a significant Value Locked
just waiting for placements to be noticed
by Chinese New Year as TRADiTiONAL Chinese observe the FENG SHui and
tradition of the old world
good luck
and remember.. size your entries and maintain discipline
#RabbitMoon
BTC - Christmas Theme Analysis 🎄Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas.
I hope you enjoy this Christmas Theme Idea.
After acquiring the 🎁Gifts at 16,000 and breaking above the 🎄Christmas Tree neckline resistance at 30,000, 🎅Santa Claus has been heading North towards the previous all-time-high ⭐️Star.
📈 BTC is approaching the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance / supply zone. For the bulls to remain in control and push towards the all-time high, a break above the 50,000 level is required.
📉 Meanwhile, there is still a possibility that BTC may reject the 48,000 resistance and undergo one more bearish correction, reaching the 30,000 - 32,000 support before the next upward impulse begins.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? Why and when?
📚 Always adhere to your trading plan, including entry points, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Merry Christmas, Everyone! 🎄
~Richard Nasr
ETH - Last Couple of Candles of 2023Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
Based on my recent ETH analysis, we anticipated a rejection from the blue circle zone , as it is the intersection of the lower bound of the blue channel and the 2,150 support.
Now, what's next?
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a medium-term perspective again, we need an H4 candle close above the last major high marked in orange at 2,270.
In this case, a movement to the 2,500 round number and upper red trendline would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , ETH would be stuck inside a range, but the bulls will remain in control as long as the 2,100 level holds.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH - Top-Down Analysis 📹 2024 RoadmapHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #ETH.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ADA - Break or Make Zone ⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
ADA is currently hovering around a robust resistance zone highlighted in blue.
Weekly Chart:
📈 To maintain control and establish a long-term bullish perspective , a weekly candle close above 0.465 is essential for the bulls.
If achieved, a movement toward the next resistance at approximately 0.8 could be anticipated.
H4 Chart:
📉 Conversely , the bulls will remain in control unless the last low in red at 0.393 is broken downward.
In this case a bearish correction till the 0.31 mark would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
CLORE BREAK VOLUME Thank you for reading this update.
Depending on our study we see that CLORE has a good chance of volume increase.
This updates depending on day trade, And the market should confirm with time the right market way.
The last movements of all markets is stable, Clore can make a change to small time frame confirmation.
#Nottradingadvice
Bitcoin - Back Inside The Range? 📦Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📌 on Weekly: Left Chart
As per my last analysis, BTC is still hovering around the 38,000 - 40,000 resistance zone.
🏹 To sustain bullish control and assert dominance from a macro perspective, a crucial requirement is a weekly candle close above 40,000. Such a development would likely lead to a parabolic movement, aiming for the 50,000 resistance level.
📌 on H4: Left Chart
Meanwhile, considering BTC's proximity to a resistance zone, there remains a possibility of bearish intervention, potentially pushing it back into a range reminiscent of the 30,000 to 32,000 range.
📉 To trigger the bearish scenario, a break below the last significant low in red at 35,670 is required.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
S&P closes low, but is this the end to it?Stock Market Update: S&P Shows Low Movement, But Advancements Expected
The $S&P500 index exhibited low movement today, initially dipping -0.20% but quickly regaining ground to close with a slight negative of -0.1%.
The market's resilience in maintaining and even advancing current price levels is surprising.
In the short term (1-2 months), there's a higher probability of further advancement towards the 4553-4570 range, provided support is held above the daily resistance level of 4523.
NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia's strong earnings report, released after market close, reinforces the likelihood of an upward move. Nvidia, along with Tesla, collectively accounts for nearly 70% of the S&P's daily trading volume.
The recent slump in the Wholesale industry may discourage investors with a 3+ month investment horizon. However, for shorter-term investors (1-2 months), the upcoming Black Friday and Holiday season could lead to unexpectedly strong performance from other retail companies.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: neutral swing of volatility.
Next Wave: sell wave to the range.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 117.558B
Release Date: 11/21 BMO
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #4
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is neutral.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is neutral.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: sell wave to the range.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 110.635B
Release Date: 11/22 BMO
Quarter: FQ4'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #2
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #6
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: buy wave to the range.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 152.987B
Release Date: 11/23 BMO
Quarter: FQ3'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Next Wave: sell wave to the mean.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Market Capitalization: 1.218T
Release Date: 11/21 AMC
Quarter: FQ3'24
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #1
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #5
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢 Buy ~ If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪ Neutral ~ If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴 Sell ~ If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
2023The chart you see is the EURUSD but this post isn't just about euro but it will be a key player coming into next yr.
It's been a year of CB's but where do we head next?
BOE raising rates 3.5%, with the split vote as we head into 2023 expect a large recession going forward as all CB's have raised rates they are hiking a little bit too much and yes they will have to cut as we head into the recession but hiking could actually be a mistake but we obviously don't control what CB's will do and CPI is declining 11.1% it dropped to 10.7% cost of petrol, tobacco etc Food prices are rising. It is a great amount 10% core inflation isn't excelling it's still at those areas. Raising rates, it takes time to come into transition. Now don't forget we've got strikes such as rail strikes, it isn't busy with retail sales aren't excelling people can't get into these stores and less people are spending.
FOMC: Raising rates 0.25% keep rates higher 2023 5.1% expectation of rate. Very hawkish, headline inflation 7.1% lowering CPI. These rate hikes are working. The market rallied S&P, it declined. Rate hikes are pacing themselves, we could even get cuts mid next year stop hiking rates, recession. It will take more evidence for inflation is on downward path, in reality it is declining. Perhaps its due to core inflation. The dot plot was the main move. It's 4.5%, they want 5.1%. No cuts in 2023, that's the questionable bit as well. Now market did rally before thinking there would be cut sooner 2023 well the dot plot differs in that view. 17 out 19 for 5.1% members. Last 3 months it has raised. That's interesting. Labour market jobs available and working 3.5 million it is very tight. When going into recession there's cost cutting, further reduction of employees = Recession. Job cuts are here tech sector, finance sector etc. Wages stay high, no demand disruption. May sustain high inflation. The need keeping rates higher for longer, extending the demand disruptions. Hiring was very difficult in first place, are workers going to extend the cut of workers? Time will tell.
ECB hiked as all CB's are. Anybody who thinks this is a pivot, is wrong. 50 basis point hikes pace for period of time EU indices fell. Very hawkish. They are lagging compared to other CB's, current rate 2.5%. Now bare in mind they do have to think of other countries but they are behind compared to others, the large bear move came. Quantitative tightening in May extends.
We had CPI's, we've had of this year CB's. Year ends all CB's hawkish. The markets SPX and other EUR indices rallying but it hasn't happened the Grinch came out, you can see in my previous posts I wasn't confident at all we could head higher especially SPX this can be seen through previous posts. I expect this to continue. Don't forget you got China think about as well reopening, it's interesting time there. Overall regarding the market, we already see housing having issues, there's another country that has my key interest it's Mexico, will manufacturing move further away from China and head a little to Mexico? USDMXN interesting FX pair I am going to keep an eye on for next year. Regarding market overall, I am bearish DXY for the next 6 months in my humble opinion . I feel shorter term, for sure a pull back but I think longer term: GBP we could hit back to 1.30/1.35 areas, EUR 1.15/1.20, XAG 30-35, keep an eye on other euro minor pairs could extend further a lot more in gains than others and yes I will even mention crypto 8-10k Bitcoin seems a good support area! If we technically stay above those areas, could be a good time to buy but that market overall has a lot of reinforcement to make regarding the regulations. The market doesn't go in straight line that's where technicals come in. Last year I expected we get higher DXY - we achieved that but this time I'm on the flip side...embrace yourself for recession.
Happy Holidays & Get ready to smash 2023.
Trade Journal
Financial Trader | Empowering Your Trading Journey
Disclaimer: Not Investment Advice Or Signal Provider
📢 M a r k e t A l e r t💡 Get your technical analysis ready! because earnings are out the door. With only a hundred companies reporting this week and a fraction of that in each of the following weeks I think it's safe to say " there will not be any more fundamentals to push things along this quarter ."
💡Enter technical analysis. Woohoo🗽
💡Eyeing the VIX and VVIX for option plays may be a wise venture to pursue!🔢
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: Earnings Calendar.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
☝️ P R O V I S I O N
The analysis presented is incomplete work thereby can't safely trade in the Market by itself.
Dedushka Moroz Race 2023Less than two months before Christmas and The New Years eve in Russian Federation. We see a minor opportunity to take a small opportunistic long trade or if you see fundamentals are weak just sit on your hands and watch how situation will develop. Happy holidays, please enjoy and comment.