SELL THE RALLY, BUY THE DIP: A LITECOIN STORYA convenient selling opportunity is giving way to a prime buying opportunity for crypto neophytes .
Price on the 4 hour TF is forming a beautiful ascending pattern ,right where we are price is reaccumulating.Looking for price to form a nice 3-D pattern before sell off on the 1 hour timeframe .The last 2 consecutive down close candles on the daily timeframe seem to be a nice target for taking profits .
SAFE TRADING
2023
Bitcoin Outlook - 2023The year of Bitcoin 2023, its a very possible way how the price could act throughout the year. I will not use it for any trades or decisions because buy and hold is the only thing I do and the only way I am feeling comfortable with.
The negativ market sentiment that started in 2022 will continue throughout the year 2023 but will not result in a continuation of the selloff, instead a long running sideway market is expected to happen.
I could be wrong but..Just an idea, I definitely could be wrong. everybody is talking about a 2023 recession but the sp 500 has closed 3 weeks in a row near the high of the week. Sure its in a range but 3 bullish hammer candles in a row on the weekly chart? there must be some sort of institutional buying at the 3800 level because every time we go there I see a bounce back up. I feel that a possibility that would be the against the crowd is a strong move up on equities. I feel that a move lower is kind of expected, its the consensus and as we know the market moves against the crowd most of the time. I do believe we are heading lower at some point this year but keep you guard up for a strong move up to flush out the shorts followed by a move down when its least expected.
from a trading perspective I will only be bullish above 4100. i feel the likely scenario is a pop to 4050 followed by a strong move down
let me know your thoughts in the comments below I do respond to all comments. have a fantastic weekend :)
Bubble or NothingThe past two weeks have been largely uneventful as the market has seen a sustained period of low volatility and Bitcoin has been trading between the $16,250 support and the $17,000 resistance.
From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator just crossed above its signal line. The last time this happened, the market saw a short-term increase in bullish momentum. Bulls will be hoping this momentum can play out and bitcoin can finally break above the $17,000 level and reach new range highs. Bears will be looking for a break below $16,250 which would only leave $15,500 as the last major support before $14,000. The RSI has still remained relatively neutral and has not provided any major support for either potential scenario as of yet.
There has been an ongoing conversation as to whether the market will see an ‘echo bubble’ (a post-bubble rally that results in another, smaller bubble) in 2023. The spread between market expectations for a Fed pivot in H2 2023 could build expectations which might give confidence to the bulls. This is supported by the Federal Reserve recently starting to temper rate hikes from 75bps increases to a 50bps hike. However, there is evidence that markets tend to bottom after the Fed makes its pivot, not before. This would strengthen the case that we have not yet reached the lows of this current bear market.
Another major event giving traders food for thought is China’s opening up from COVID restrictions. Will this prove inflationary for the world economy and potentially undermine the effect of rate hikes as Chinese citizens rush to spend money after 2 years of lockdowns? The impact of these events is worth following closely.
Whether the market sees an echo bubble or not, one event that will have a major bearing on short-term market direction is the January 18th announcement on CPI inflation. Many traders will be looking for inflation to come in soft as this will grant risk assets, such as bitcoin, some relief whilst simultaneously causing the dollar and bond yields to fall. Regardless of what inflation comes in at, traders will want to exercise caution in leveraged positions at this time as volatility will most certainly be high around the announcement.
2023 Scenario's for Ripple XRPXRP is clearly bottoming out and I expect this pair to reach or demand zone one way or the other.
Here I show my personal expectations about where price will go in 2023.
As you can see, the demand zone that formed, is still fresh to be touched and I expect there to be a lot of institutional buyers in this zone.
Ofcourse we will have to take into consideration that Ripple is still in a fight with the SEC.
And I expect that a rumour about Ripple losing, will give us the last push lower, before we will go for takeoff.
DOT/USDT Good days are comingAs you see in this analysis, Polkadot will be one of the best profitable coins in the coming days.
The reasons are:
We have reached the monthly demand in control zone and we have pulled back to it for the first time (FTB).
We have reached the bottom of the downtrend weekly channel.
We saw the falling wedge pattern in the daily timeframe and its break out is imminent.
Potential for STELLANTISOverall I'm probably bullish on Stellantis given the current trend.
The 15€ level is particularly important since it has already been touched in mid August and acted as a strong resistance rejecting the steep bull-run fueled also by the Q2 results that outperformed analysts' expectations.
If that level is broken with decent volumes there might be some potential in the long run.
I think it's interesting to consider this current trend also with respect to an overall car sale shrink world wide. Stellantis is growing even if sales are down in Europe and in Italy as well, two of the carmaker's main markets.
*** This Content is for educational and informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. ***
🔵 1st Analysis of $GOLD in 2023 🔴 By checking the gold chart, we can see that today the price moved towards $1850 with a jump and then faced a price correction to $1832. Note that the range of $1850 to $1878 is a supply zone, but considering the movement If the price stabilizes above $1832, I expect that the price will attack above the level of $1880 to collect liquidity and face a price correction of at least 300 pips after collecting enough liquidities !
Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I'm here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading
📅 01.03.2022
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
At what price and when will Bitcoin grow?At what price and when will Bitcoin grow?
The most important analysis of Bitcoin in the monthly time frame
As you can see in the chart, in my opinion, Bitcoin will grow in the specified area and it is suitable for investment on May 1, 2023.
Of course, at a reasonable price around the price of 12284 to 9354 dollars
It is not an investment recommendation, just a personal analysis
Happy New Year TradersHappy New Year.
It has been a historic year in the markets.
From the war in Russia to the Fall of Crypto.
Here are my 5 top ideas from 2022.
#5 Learning the Ichimoku Cloud.
A 4 part idea breaking down how to read the indictor
One technical analysis improvement I made in 2022 was learning the Ichimoku Cloud. I have found it invaluable for understanding trends and spotting future trends.
#2 That’s Bait 10Y treasury note yield prediction
This idea is a prediction of the 10Y reaching 2008 highs.
#3 What is really moving markets this summer?
In this idea I created the JHEQX Seagull and past rolls together to illustrate how markets, especially in the summer, are effected by this hedge.
Since then I have posted several dozen ideas dedicated to this series. Check out my trading view feed for the rest.
#2 There will be Blood
I like to mix a movie theme combined with a chart or macro event and this one of There will be blood turned out the best.
#1 How I look explaining WYCKOFF to family and friends
By far one of the most popular since I started charting on Trading View.
The idea was inspired by dozens of other WYCKOFF charts I had created in the past.
I wanted to mix a chart idea (prediction) within a meme.
The chart took me roughly 4 hours to draw. The hand holding the cigarette was the most difficult part.
🎉New Year Gift🎁: Bitcoin Monthly🎉INDEX:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
🎄 Happy New Year🎄
I was glad to share my forecasts on crypto and forex in 2022 with you. I hope that my positions were profitable for you.
In 2023, my effort is to deepen my focus on the forex and crypto markets and publish more diverse, and accurate ideas on my page.
As a Christmas Gift, I predict that the current price of Bitcoin is suitable for investment, on the other hand, many of you may be doubtful about the future of this market. If so, Bitcoin in the price range below $14,000 to $11,800 will be suitable for a long-term purchase and investment.
(Although the price may not fall below 14 thousand dollars.)
The best strategy is to buy step-by-step. You can invest in any drop of Bitcoin from the current price to the mentioned levels.
I hope that the new year is full of profit for you and that my analyses would be helpful in this matter
From today, the analysis published on my page will be carried out in the form of these three sections:
Bitcoin Serial Analyses
Gold Serial Analyses
Other Analyses and Profitable Positions
$AUD - 2023 🐂$AUD - 2023 🐂
Happy New Year! May this year ahead of yours be full of trading opportunities and most importantly great health.
$AUDUSD - C&H (Cup & Handle pattern) If this carries on playing out we have great zones we can take opportunities on. Watch out for 2023 I am bearish the dollar and bullish all commodity FX pairs! However, don't forget about your trading plan and most important implement your risk management skills. It's going to be a very volatile year with CB's divergences and various other factors, but again with great volatility gives us traders opportunities! Fear not.
Key tip: Get a good R/R.
Have a great year ahead.
All the best,
Trade Journal
Disclaimer: Not Investment Advice
NAS 2023 HTF OutlookHere is what im seeing on indicies for the next year, overall bearish, but can see bullishness early in the year in order to put in a high. I think the market will go for that 2020 low. which sucks from an economic perspective and what that will actually mean for everyday people.
How To Follow Your Trading Plan In 2023!! 🌲🌲🌳🌳I hope 2022 was a positive year for you on the trading front. My own trading results vary a lot from year to year. Some years I’m profitable, some years I’m not. Even when I follow my trading rules to a T. Such is the nature of trading.
For me, 2022 was Interesting to see in The Market. but I didn’t press too much since I had an absolutely phenomenal performance in 2020-2021. I wanted to take it easy, especially since stocks / crypto felt a little toppy for me.
and also check this out Post From TradingView
But 2022 market conditions were very Unforgiving and the Market Gods have been throwing Dirt at the Disciplined and the Undisciplined. So, if you haven’t made any money in 2022, don't worry because opportunities were not lacking.
That being said, know that there will always be opportunities. Human behavior changes over time, but NOT HUMAN NATURE . That’s why you see—and will continue to see—financially exploitable patterns in the markets.
Now, whether you made money or not in 2022, it’s important to remain Humble, recalibrate your mindset, and renew your commitment to your trading plan in 2023.
Here’s what I suggest you do.
Two Steps …
First , recognize that the nature of the market makes trading an emotionally charged game by default.
Emotions never go away. Over time, and with experience, we just learn not to let them fuel irrational decisions.
Second , acknowledge that your emotional states do not need to match your trading rules. This is very important… you don’t have to always feel good about following your trading rules. It’s not necessarily meant to be a “feel good” thing.
There’s a reason why following your rules/plan doesn’t feel good: those things give structure to your behavior, and your mind doesn’t like that. Your mind is like a wild animal and likes to do what it wants.
I mean, who likes rules? Rules are hard to abide by, especially one’s own rules. If you’ve ever tried a really strict diet, you know what I’m talking about.
So, it takes a special kind of courage to still choose to follow your trading rules, amidst the discomforts. And mindfulness can help you access and grow that courage.
INFUSING MINDFULNESS INTO YOUR TRADING PROCESS
The idea of sticking with your trading rules despite the discomforts is that you need to feel worse before you can feel better. In other words, you need to go through the pain of following your trading rules in the present, so that you can enjoy consistent profitability in the future.
This is not an easy and comfortable process. Again, it’s hard. From an early age, we learn to stay away from pain and discomfort. But the thing is, pain and discomfort aren’t always bad, and you can learn to overcome the toxic conditioning of automatically thinking that they are bad by willingly opening up to how you feel.
This is where mindfulness can help. Mindfulness is simply being aware of what is happening right now without wishing it were different. It’s enjoying the pleasant without holding on when it changes (which it will); it’s being with the unpleasant without fearing it will always be this way (which it won’t).
In that sense, mindfulness is said to not solve your problems, but rather dis-solve them, which is a rather poetic way of saying that it can help you see through your discomforts.
By cultivating such a skillful perspective on so-called negative emotions, one can learn to reframe and reinterpret them as just neutral, non-dual information arising and passing.
Armed with this new perspective, you can then learn to act in the market with a greater degree of objectivity, and the unpleasant emotions that arise in relation to following your trading rules will no longer hold such power over you.
LAST FEW WORDS
Before I end this short post, I want to leave you with two things. 🙂
First, a quote from famous German philosopher, Nietzsche:
"If you are unwilling to endure your own suffering even for an hour, and continually forestall all possible misfortune, if you regard as deserving of annihilation any suffering, and pain generally as evil, as detestable, and as blots on existence, well, you have then, besides your religion of compassion, yet another religion in your heart (and this is perhaps the mother of the former) –the religion of smug ease. Ah, how little you know of the happiness of man, you comfortable and good-natured ones! For happiness and misfortune are brother and sister, and twins, who grow tall together, or, as with you, remain small together!
All Nietzsche is saying is that you need to keep pushing your own boundaries even if it means that you have to suffer pain and discomfort in the process. That’s the only way to grow. Clinging to comfort is one of the worst things you can ever do because “happiness and misfortune are brother and sister, and twins, who grow tall together, or remain small together!”
Second, an action step:
When placing and/or managing your trades, make sure you have a clear idea of the kind of emotion you’re experiencing. Then set an implementation intention by repeating the following: “I will not blindly react to ( fear, anger, greed… name the emotion ) , Instead, I will use it as a cue to redirect my attention to my trading plan.”
and yeah that's it
Likewise always Wishing you a Profitable Week and Welcome 2023 . Happy New Year!!
and yup Have a Good Day Trader And Investor.
Many Thank The Creative persons
'Freya-PasSiFolle
'YVAN.
S&P500 - Outlook - 2023 - 1st Week of January - 4 Hour ChartS&P500 Outlook for the 1st week of January 2023 on the 4 hour chart.
Looking for a minor high, or the beginning of a strong move to the downside to HEAVILY short the market within the first few days, or first trading week of January.
1) Always have your stop loss in place.
2) Always have your 'take-profit' target planned before entering.
3) Always be open to being wrong, and exit when the market is not heading in the anticipated direction.
S&P500 - Outlook - 2023 - 1st Week of January - 4 Hour ChartS&P500 Outlook for the 1st week of January 2023 on the 4 hour chart.
Looking for a minor high, or the beginning of a strong move to the downside to HEAVILY short the market within the first few days, or first trading week of January.
1) Always have your stop loss in place.
2) Always have your 'take-profit' target planned before entering.
3) Always be open to being wrong, and exit when the market is not heading in the anticipated direction.
S&P500 - Outlook - 2023 - 1st week of JanuaryS&P500 Outlook for the 1st week of January 2023.
Looking for a minor high, or the beginning of a strong move to the downside to HEAVILY short the market within the first few days, or first trading week of January.
1) Always have your stop loss in place.
2) Always have your 'take-profit' target planned before entering.
3) Always be open to being wrong, and exit when the market is not heading in the anticipated direction.
S&P500 - Outlook - 2023 - 1st Week of JanuaryS&P500 Outlook for the 1st week of January 2023.
Looking for a minor high, or the beginning of a strong move to the downside to HEAVILY short the market within the first few days, or first trading week of January.
1) Always have your stop loss in place.
2) Always have your 'take-profit' target planned before entering.
3) Always be open to being wrong, and exit when the market is not heading in the anticipated direction.
✅WHAT TO EXPECT IN 2023❓
✅2022 was a difficult year but it has almost ended, so it is natural for us to ask what has 2023 in stock for us! The answer lays in the structure that we both love and hate and it's the FED. Yes, the markets are now governed not by fundamentals and value but by the decision of a bunch of people in suits at the FED. However, we are traders and our job is not to lament the current state of affairs but to make money off of it! But how?
Well, according to my analysis, the FED will pivit in the first half of 2023 . After that, the only direction the markets will know is UP! Everything from Gold to Stocks to Crypto will start it's upward journey creating another bubble bigger and more dangerous than the previous one. And while all the sensible people know that this is unsustainable and that this house of cards will one day collapse on our heads, we should remember one of the most profound proverbs of the financial world: The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent! So let's use the irrationality and the exuberance of the current system to fill up our coffers while we can.
After the FED pivots I will start slowly buying assets and I recommend you to do follow my lead!
Happy New Year to you and your families!