2023
Short-term up with range later in 2023Why market is entering into short-term bullishness again and latter uncertainty or range?
We will do both technical and fundamental analysis in this video tutorial, and we will see how both analyses can affirm each other.
Content:
. Why market is entering into a short-term bullishness? (Fundamental & Technical studies)
. Subsequently the market will enter into a range (Fundamental & Technical studies)
CME Micro Nasdaq Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 = $0.50
1 = $2
10 = $20
100 = $200
1000 = $2,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis in 1H 🌈Hi Friends 🖐
A day before the release of the US Federal Reserve news (PMI and FOMC index), I decided to share my technical analysis of Bitcoin.
With the growth of Bitcoin price, it entered the daily supply area to the level of 23,968 dollars, which you can see optimized in the 4-hour time frame (Order Block Refine 4H).
The pivot (A) was able to break its previous top (B) upwards, so the pivot (A) is a strong bottom; With the breaking of this floor (pivot), we can say that a change in nature from bullish to bearish has occurred (CHOCH).
You can see two scenarios with high probability on the chart.
Another thing that I need to say is that the price has been rejected several times by hitting the blue zone (Liquidity zone) (high shadows), this means that there is a lot of liquidity at the levels of $22,000 and $21,000, also with the emergence The price gap (FVG) at these levels is very likely to attract the price like a magnet.
The next point to be mentioned is liquidity above the $25,212 levels, many Sellers have definitely set their own limits in this area (Bearish ob), when the price hits this area, Bitcoin will suffer a lot of selling pressure. The price hitting this area and the formation of bearish setups in the lower time frame can be a good opportunity to sell.
Good luck ♥
FTM/USDT Analysis Update in Daily 🎯Hi guys I'm Come Back 😏
As you can see in the chart, Phantom Digital Currency (FTM) performed exactly as we expected. In the previous technical analysis of this cryptocurrency, we mentioned that the price has activated sell orders (SELL) by the traders by hitting the resistance area of $0.35 and driving the price to lower levels.
Also, the price entered the correction phase, which lasted until the Fibonacci line of 0.382. After the price correction, FTM was able to stabilize above $0.30 and easily reach and cross the $0.38, $0.40 and $0.42 targets.
Currently, the price has reacted to the resistance zone of $0.50 (Bearish zone). There are 2 scenarios with more probability.
1. The first scenario is predicted that due to the existence of a lot of liquidity above the resistance zone (Bearish zone), the price will have a short growth above this zone and by collecting its liquidity, it will enter the correction phase again and fill the yellow area of FVG. (FVG area: price gap or price imbalance)
2. The second scenario (less likely) enters the correction phase without collecting liquidity and enters the yellow zone of FVG.
Arztoday Team 💙
Analyzer ✍: AR.Rashidi
APT - Still Strong 🦾Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Aptos has been overall bullish trading inside the rising broadening wedge in blue.
APT is currently in a correction phase inside the red channel and approaching the lower blue trendline and demand zone in green.
🏹 For the bulls to take over again, and start the next bullish impulse, we need a break above the red channel.
UNLESS, we break below 15.0, then APT will experience a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
2023-2024 Forecast - from Dow Jones 2000-2002 dot com RoadmapThis is a chart of the Dow Jones 2000-2002 dot com bubble market overlaid on the Australian share price index, but really, this Dow Jones market could be laid upon a number of U.S. indices and you would still find a high level of correlation.
The forecast dates are unlikely to align. The overlaid will need to be pushed and pulled forwards a backwards by a number of months to achieve 1, 2 or possibly 3 'best-fit' potential outcomes.
The major low is generally more likely to aligning with a secondary low (a low just before or after the major low), or possibly one of the highs between the lows.
U.S Dollar Seasonal PullbackTVC:DXY
U.S Dollar Index marked on the weekly chart
The U.S Dollar has been on a tear the past year, almost breaking old highs from 2001. However, DXY has chosen to respect its historical seasonality with the pullback in recent weeks which I believe will continue further before ultimately re-aligning with the longer term bullish narrative.
Confluences
Seasonality: Dollar tends to begin a downtrend in the second half of November.
Respected Monthly bearish order block at ~114.00. This is an area prior to the large bear trend formed in 2001.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) by breaking the swing low at ~110.00.
Most recent weekly candle disrespected a weekly imbalance by closing through it with enormous force (i.e support broken)
Bullish order block with its mean threshold within an imbalance resides below.
Lots of liquidity resting above the imbalance and order block, ripe for the taking.
Not long ago I would have expected Dollar to zoom past 120.00, but recent price behavior has shown that a cooling off is at play. The time for Dollar all-time highs will come, but for now I am bearish.
Dollar historical seasonality details: charts.equityclock.com
Gold End of the Year RallyCOMEX:GC1!
Gold Futures marked on the weekly chart
Confluences:
Major sellside liquidity taken with the break of the 2021 lows, should now seek the opposite: buyside.
Respected the volume imbalance boxed at 1625-1650 by wicking up 3 times and candle bodies staying above; It shows signs of accumulation.
Market Structure Shift (MSS). First time a short-term high was taken on the weekly chart this year.
Very obvious bearish channel since the start of the year broken, therefore tons of liquidity to be taken from short sellers at previous highs.
Relatively equal highs at ~2075. If a bullish reversal is at play, that is a magnet on price due to tons of liquidity resting above in the form of buy stops.
Seasonality: Gold's best months are November, December, and January. If there was a best time to reverse, the coming months are it. See below for more details.
I marked 1920.0 as another target because it is an institutional reaction level based on how price has traded around it since the end of 2020. If the ~2075 equal highs are not to be broken in the upcoming price run, at the very least 1920.0 should be the draw on price before a bearish reversal should be considered.
My only concern is the triple bottom ~1625 which can be an attractive area for price to sweep before finally going up to take the previous highs.
Gold historical seasonality details: charts.equityclock.com
Don-Key Finance 2023 key resistance to breakAnyone in Don-Key Finance will want to see these two trendlines broken in order for a higher target moving into the 2025 bull run. DON needs to break between the $0.04 and $0.06 price range in order to move higher. These are major resistance trend lines that need to be broken through and would be nice if this happens in 2023 if not then we wait till 2024.
BTC: "Movement is life, and life is movement"!Hello colleagues!
📊 Weekly BTC/USDT review.
There was a strong rally last week with a new December high.
Now the price is trading in the weekly block zone, but I expect an update at $21,480 this week (there was an update on the Bybit exchange and CME)
and descend to daily zones of interest.
📈Schedule of the day.
With such an upward momentum move, the price rarely provides a good entry.
If you don't enter the root at the start of the momentum, it will be difficult to find a profitable trade afterward.
In any case, it is better to wait than to lose!
At the moment, the price has not decided on a corrective movement. There are enough interesting directions after such growth.
Three major imbalances (marked on the charts) and prices in the discount market, which I will look at to find entry points for the continuation of the upward movement.
And for a deeper correction, the price zone is $17,200.
And remember, we trade in probability!
❗️Not a financial recommendation, before concluding a particular deal, analyze the asset yourself.
ADAUSD - Upward move coming - 2023!It looks like Cardano it's going to start 2023 well.
On the 4-hour timeframe chart(left), Cardano's price is showing Regular Bullish Divergence. The Divergence is indicated by the Relative Strength Index and the Stochastics.
On the daily timeframe chart(right), Cardano's price is showing an Oversold condition. The Oversold conditions are indicated by the Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index, and Stochastics.
Both charts complement each other. The new innovative plans for 2023 are in line with these ideas as well.
Enter your long position only if/when the candle closes above the key level and confirms it as a support.
All further details are shown on the charts.
Good luck!
Is BTC's Rise a New Bull Run or Just a Temporary Rally?Hello Tradingview community and dear followers, welcome to our first BTC update of 2023 on the main page.
after a period of stagnant market and a decline of more than 75% from its all-time high of $69,000 to $15,400 (BITSTAMP prices) over the last 13 months. finally, we have seen BTC show signs of recovery at the start of 2023, with gains of 28% so far, after a period of a stagnant market. This leads us to the main question on many traders' minds: Is BTC's rise a new bull run or just a temporary rally?
Please note that the information presented here is based on the writer's opinion and should not be taken as a guarantee of future performance. It is intended for informational and educational purposes only not financial advice.
Based on our chart analysis and comparison of BTC's movement after BTC halving, we can see that the data is interesting. Even though this downward cycle is happening at a different rate than previous cycles, we can extract some insights.
On the bullish side,
BTC has a chance to establish $15,XXX as the bottom and start a new bullish trend until the next halving and the formation of a new all-time high.
For this to happen, BTC needs to hold above $15,000 and break out to $27,000 in the coming weeks during Q1 of 2023. If this occurs, we may see BTC continue to move up to $32,000/$37,000, making this year a green year until Q2.
Then, a final correction to $21,000/$18,000, followed by the Bitcoin halving to create a clear path to a new all-time high of around $100,000. However, it's important to keep in mind that these predictions are based on the current market conditions and are subject to change. It's important to stay informed and use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to make informed decisions.
On the bearish side,
if BTC fails to break out above $24,000/$27,000 in the next weeks and falls back below $17,500, it could lead to another panic sell-off, resulting in further losses for bulls. This could potentially push BTC down to $15,000/$13,000/$10,000, which is a possibility that some traders have been anticipating and we were on of those people.
Our personal view,
based on the current performance, the bulls appear to be doing well and have a good chance to break out above the last high of $22,000. This would be a positive sign for a trend reversal. However, until that happens, we are not fully bullish yet. Nevertheless, we have been taking advantage of the movement by sharing some signals at $15,800/$16,300/$16,700 which are currently yielding good gains.
We believe that the bottom is only confirmed when a trend reversal occurs and not before. During the period before a trend reversal, a potential bottom can be identified, and trading can be done based on that potential with strict risk management in place.
PS:
The person who is obsessed with bullish thought can extract 10000 scenarios for bullish movement and the same with a bearish person But As analysts, we provide both bullish and bearish scenarios, highlighting potential buy and sell zones. However, it's up to the trader to conduct their own research, use caution, and make informed decisions. Keep in mind, the market is unpredictable, and having a bullish or bearish bias doesn't guarantee a certain outcome. Please note, we do not short BTC, and our predictions may be right or wrong and this is not financial advice.
Please keep in mind that this is not financial advice and the purpose of these charts is to provide an idea of coin movement, not buy or sell signals. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and not suitable for everyone, so be aware of the potential risks before making any investment decisions. The information presented here is a personal effort and is subject to success or failure, and we welcome constructive criticism.
Good luck to all.
🙏we ask Allah reconcile and repay🙏
Rally into 2023? Likely rally into 2023, spurred by downward trend in inflation. Likely 25bp hike at next meeting, then full stop to evaluate the damage (and give time for lagging economic data to catch up to policy changes). Unemployment will rise, possibly some deflation, and fed will cut rates towards the end of 2023 in response to negative economic data. This will cause a second drawdown. Well, the rates will be correlated with a second drawdown, but the real correlation will be between the negative data and equities.
My initial thoughts as we move into a new year. Should be an interesting one.
Love,
InTheMoney
GOLD 240The price breaks through the local resistance of 1821, from this level the price can continue to rise to 1858 or retreat to the support zone , but it will still be within the accumulative range. In the medium term, a breakout of resistance at 1858 could take the price to the 1900 mark.
My guess is that gold will be in the accumulation phase for a long time, but at the moment the bulls are ruling the market and they continue to dominate the situation, which means it is worth considering long scenarios. I expect the price to start rising either from the channel support or from the level of 1821. The short-term target is resistance at 1858
Regards,FARHAD
10 Potential Trends 2023 by EXCAVOPotential trends and my thoughts on the future
- 1. Increased Crypto Regulation
2. I'll start by explaining what L0, L1, L2, and L3 are:
L1 - Transactions
L2 - Closing problems of L1
L3 - Applications/Infrastructure for Applications
L0 - Cross-chain infrastructure
*L1 solution cannot be fast, scalable, and decentralized at the same time.
Protocols L1:
Ethereum (ETH)
Toncoin (TON)
Solana (SOL)
Near (NEAR)
New L1 Solutions :
Aptos
Sui
Canto
Fuel
Shardeum
Quai
Linera
Sei
Disadvantages of the New L1
ETH dominance
Past failures of "new" L1
Interest in LAYER L2 solutions
LAYER 2 - a protocol deployed on top of the main blockchain (Layer 1) is needed to increase the scalability of L2 - solutions are used for popular blockchain platforms with low bandwidth, such as Ethereum and Bitcoin
Pay attention to:
Arbitrum
Optimism
Polygon
zkSync
Fuel Labs
Advantages:
Ethereum is the most popular ecosystem
Developed infrastructure
Request for scaling
Disadvantages:
Risk of vulnerabilities
The problem of mass adoption
Key challenges:
Attraction of liquidity
Competition
Layer 0
Cosmos, Polkadot, Avalanche, Cardano
3 . Exchange tokens also remain interesting for market participants; some exchanges leave while others remain and they see opportunities for customer growth and platform development. I would like to highlight several exchanges that are now actively working to become top exchanges:
Okex
Bitget
Wootrade
If I missed any exchange, please write in the comments
4. For potential trends, pay attention to the simplification of financial interactions, new types of fundraising, DeFi of the second and third generations, WEB3 is not yet used in a large part of the cryptocurrency market. Remember something that was very hyped in the past but has not yet been transferred to a decentralized plane, such as with ICO/IDO like IPO, as as well as NFTs like Bearbrick and KAWS. Look for a super idea or potential fierce hype.
5. DeFi will continue to develop, and from the future leaders, I think there will be projects such as:
dYDX
Lido
Uniswap
Maker
Curve
Advantages:
Request for decentralization
Ecosystem support
High profitability in terms of business
Disadvantages:
Regulatory risks from the US
Higher entry threshold than CEX
Hacking attacks
Key challenges:
Stimulation systems
Competition
6. At the end of last year, I began to look very closely at the Chat GPT platform, of course, it made me look at what is happening and the future of the world in a different way. And a few days ago, a list of crypto projects related to AI (AI) was published:
coinmarketcap.com
dropstab.com
Many began to write about the potential trend in this direction at the next Bull Run. And this is certainly the case. Any trend starts like this. But I want to note that there are already plenty of projects working with Big Data - DYOR
7. Proof of Physical Work consensus
I wrote in a previous post
8. Wallets
Due to the mass distrust of centralized exchanges, wallets will gain popularity in this cycle, this hype will be facilitated by the release of the metamask token.
As for me, I use several cold wallets and I really like mobile phone wallets such as C98, Safepal, and Trustwallet.
9. Social media
Decentralized social networks are a potential new boom:
DeSo, Nation, Farcaster, Lens Protocol, Braintrust , and so on are some examples to look out for.
Centralized social networks
Potentially, each social network (Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Telegram) will have a direct sending of cryptocurrencies. It looks like this, stablecoin issuers are already working on implementation. This will be the next trigger and stage of adoption, which will mark the new BullRun of the cryptocurrency market, after which we will see a global restructuring of the TOP 50
The main IT giants are Apple and Google - they have been preparing to enter the cryptocurrency market for 2 years. They will be able to take the cryptocurrency industry to the next level, but I think it will not be in this cycle
10. AAA Blockchain Games
....will continue to be developed
I communicate very well with the project team, see for yourself how cool it is
www.youtube.com
I will say more, I have already played the beta version
It is also important to note that all investments come with some level of risk and even the most promising projects and trends can have unforeseeable challenges and obstacles. It is always important to conduct a thorough analysis of any investment opportunity and understand the level of risk involved before making a decision. Never invest more than you can afford to lose and always be mindful of the long-term potential of any investment.
As a final note, it is also important to keep in mind the importance of regulations and compliance in the financial markets. The crypto and blockchain space is still largely unregulated and many projects and trends may fall foul of legal and regulatory requirements. It is important to stay up-to-date with any changes in laws and regulations in the countries you are operating or investing in.
I hope this information has been helpful in providing some context and guidance when it comes to trends and developments in the financial markets, and a deeper understanding of the crypto and blockchain space. Remember, it is essential to conduct your own research and make your own decisions based on your financial goals and risk tolerance.
If I missed any trend write it in the comments
Best regards EXCAVO
NiftyBank trend for tomorrowToday a V- shaped recovery has been seen in Niftybank from previous day's low of 41900 today it stand near 42500approx and it moves beyond that and went upto 42700. If this upward trend sustains above 42700 for tomorrow then it will hit 43000++ and will show strong momentum. But it has reversed somewhat today which shows a clear indication of inverted head and shoulder pattern on a 15 min timeframe which says if it crosses below 42300 and sustains below that then niftybank will hit 41900 and fall below that which will ruin everyone's portfolio to some extent.
So, basically what I am trying to say is that opening and the market momentum after half day will clear our confusion. Moreover DIIs buying in cash market was more than the sellings by FIIs today.
Our 2023 Outlook - S&P500 🔮Happy New Year traders from the team at AlgoBuddy! 🎇
2022 was a big and exciting year for us. We recently released the latest version of AlgoBuddy's flagship indicators; AlgoBuddy Premium 2.0 & AlgoBuddy Momentum, along with an ETH 30m strategy bot. 🔥
Our goal here is to always deliver helpful & actionable tools for traders to add to their trading tool belts. We'll also continue to release more tutorials and trade ideas every single week.
Enough about us, let’s dive right in…
2022 was a year to remember for US equities. Bears clearly took control, as we had a strong down trend bear alert early in the year from AlgoBuddy. We had a few bear market rallies that every trader had to navigate through carefully. Managing capital, and not jumping too quick on to the bull train would have allowed you to survive.
By end of year 2022, bears couldn't take us below 2021's low as the bulls defended it nicely (~3860). This is a major level that if we test again will likely fail.
As of right now and moving forward, it feels that since inflation is still high, and the fed hasn't taken its foot off the breaks on the economy (interest rates), any rally is still a bear market one for me.
We will continue to lean into the bear trend as seen on our weekly chart until we receive a bull alert. Even when the bull alert prints I fully expect price to capitulate and test our thick ribbon at least 2x before finding a base to rally.
We recently got a divergence bullish signal on our momentum indicator so we will watch closely. I must see the fed step in and assist economic growth before I jump onto the bull train, even if I'm late to the party I can live with that.
Until then, Algobuddy's S&P 2023 outlook is bearish on the weekly for at least end of Q1 2023. We will trade small on short term longs keeping stops tight, and we will jump easier on our shorter time-frame bear alerts for now until the trend changes.
Good luck all, as always reach out to us for any questions/help/support.
Happy trading,
AlgoBuddy Team